Fibonacci Retracement Levels In Forex TradingBoth novice and seasoned traders use Fibonacci levels as one of the most common and universal strategies when trading forex and other markets. It is a well-known fact that market prices incline toward levels where the bulk of market orders are gathered. Such levels can be found and predicted using a variety of ways.
Systems for trading are built on a variety of levels. Since traders first realized that the price fluctuations of some assets frequently followed the Fibonacci number sequence, the Fibonacci levels have been employed in trading. The standard Tradingview trading platform, which is currently the most well-known and in demand, includes the tool because of how useful it is.
Leonardo Fibonacci, who was born in ancient Italy, discovered a straightforward numerical sequence that is utilized globally and is consistent with a wide range of natural occurrences.
The order is as follows: 0 followed by 1, then 1 (0+1), then 2 (1+1), then 3 (1+2), followed by 5, then 8 (3+5), etc. It appears that the Fibonacci sequence is the sum of the two numbers before it.
An intriguing ratio may be calculated using these numbers: 0.618 is the result of dividing the first by the second (regardless of which of the numbers in the sequence are taken). And you get 0.382 when you split the numbers by one. The "golden ratio" is this set of fractions, and it appears frequently in nature, a striking example is a spiral like the seeds in a sunflower.
The following are the trading-related Fibonacci correction levels: 0.236, 0.382, 0.500, 0.618, and 0.764.
Levels of expansion are 0; 0.382; 0.618; 1.000; 1.382; and 1.618. It makes no sense for traders to manually calculate any of these figures, which are all calculated from the sequence. The key is to comprehend how they operate, what they are used for, what data they offer, and how to make effective use of them when trading.
Special indicators that automatically draw lines on the chart or symbols in the trading platform are used while trading with Fibonacci levels. Retracement levels can be utilized for a number of purposes, such as support and resistance, to start trades, and to set stop orders. The usage of extension levels by traders for take-profit placement. Based on swings, or candles with at least two upper highs or upper lows on the left and right, Fibonacci levels can be applied to a chart. Additionally, bear in mind that Fibonacci levels for forex are a trending technique and are not applied during periods of consolidation. When the trend is upward, the price tends to retreat from Fibonacci-based resistance levels; the opposite is true for downtrends and support.
Fibonacci Levels in Forex: How to Use Them
Almost all charting applications contain Fibonacci retracement levels. Fibonacci lines are regarded as the most flexible and understandable option, however others also use fan lines, arcs, and time periods as typical tools.
What do you need to know about Fibonacci numbers in order to trade?
Values are calculated as 23.6, 38.2, 50.0, 61.8, and 76.4% on a scale of 0 to 100. The primary signal for foreseeing likely future price fluctuations is these ratios (prices often bounce back from levels). The indicator shows levels on the price chart and allows forecasting of future price changes.If you want to manually trade using the price chart or the software, you can select to display correction levels. To do this, drag the cursor from the bottom point of the trend to the top point. There will be five horizontal lines that display 0, 38.2, 50, 61.8, and 100% (an additional line showing 23.6% can be added).
Depending on whether Fibonacci is trading above or below the lines, the lines can be utilized as support or resistance levels. The levels activate more frequently as the time span becomes longer. Finding a downward trend, appropriately stretching the Fibonacci lines, waiting for confirmation, and placing an order are the essential duties of a trader. Numerous strategies for using numerical series in trading exist.
How Fibonacci Levels Work And How To Use Them In Trading
Trading professionals can examine the changes in asset values by using Fibonacci numbers that are displayed as lines on the chart. As a result, resistance/support levels are established, and the degree of a trend movement's already-started corrective is examined.
The price typically follows the guidelines of key levels on the Fibonacci lines. Therefore, there is a strong likelihood of a price reversal at the level, for instance, if the price crosses the line. Fibonacci retracement levels are particularly helpful for discovering pullback levels, for establishing the conclusion of a pullback, and for the continuation of price movement along with the trend because pullbacks are a natural part of every trend.
The key correction levels are created by the interrelations between a trend and a correction shown by Fibonacci levels, which have recovery probabilities of 38%, 50%, and 62%. It only takes placing a grid over critical spots to see that pivotal price levels frequently cross Fibonacci percentage lines. Fibonacci levels and graphical patterns can be used to coincidentally determine market entrance and exit points. Opening profitable trading positions after a collapse or rebound from a level is beneficial.
Trading professionals frequently employ Fibonacci lines to place Stop-Loss and Take-Profit orders. To avoid being caught by an unintentional pullback, it is preferable to position the Stop-Loss order above the levels (for the recovery from which the trader is counting). Take-Profit levels are based on Fibonacci extension.Remember that on a price chart, the support/resistance areas that coincide with the Fibonacci net levels are viewed as further support for the lines' significance.
This instrument is the foundation of many trading techniques. Beginners should be aware that there is no definitive interpretation of the Fibonacci technique; it is merely a point of reference. Trading systems frequently incorporate Fibonacci levels with other technical analysis tools because this technique can occasionally fail to corroborate the signals.
Importance Of Different Fibonacci Levels
Expert traders claim that not every Fibonacci level behaves the same way on a price chart. Before using the instrument for trading, some regularities should be studied.
Fibonacci levels and their importance in trading:
23.6 - weak, a clear confirmation is required to use it in trading.
38.2 - an important level, the price of the asset bounces from it for further consolidation.
50 is intermediate in importance between the two previous levels and gives a high probability of trigger.
61.8 - strong, like 38.2.
76.4 - 80.9 is a strong level as well.
The likelihood of a profitable trade is quite high if we consider the strength of the levels, trade in line with the trend, weed out erroneous signals using a straightforward extra indicator, and avoid using low time frames. Additionally, it's critical to remember risk management and trading psychology's fundamental principles.
Advice for using 38%, 50%, and 62% levels effectively
Stretched between the trend's minimum and maximum, a grid is drawn on the graph. On the charts, three to four separate time frames with longer value movements can be displayed in various colors. Numerous Fibonacci levels will be displayed on the graph, allowing for analysis. Usually several of them exactly coincide on various time scales, therefore they are regarded as significant support/resistance levels.
These three can be utilized to enter positions and exit open ones because fibonacci numbers have potentially important levels. These price retreat levels by themselves are not what drives price movement; if this line doesn't have the appropriate support, it will simply go to the next. More accurate signals are produced by combining Fibonacci with other tools (such as Moving Averages, trading channels, reversal patterns, etc.).
A significant resistance/support level is 62%. When it is attained, the price frequently starts to vary erratically. When the price surges past the 62% level and moves on to the 70–75% retracement level (before returning to the 62% level), you can place an order. When two to three further crossover signals are received, trades can be initiated from deep retracement levels. It is preferable to avoid entering if there are no cross confirmations. It's also a good idea to keep in mind that once the correctional movement reaches the 62% pullback level, it may go on to reach 100% in the chosen time frame and stop the trend.
Fibonacci Levels: How to Use Them in Forex Trading
Fibonacci levels can be used relatively easily. The most crucial levels in forex trading are 23.6% and 38.2%, 61.8% and 76.4%. They are used to identify price pullbacks; when one appears on the chart, one should wait for a favorable price before joining the impulse (enter the movement at the moment of a pullback).
When there is a significant market movement, the asset's price can drop by up to 23.6%, 38.2%, or even 50%. These ranges are regarded as ideal. Price increases of 61.8% or more may signal the beginning of a trend reversal.
The Fibonacci levels should be drawn correctly:
-Finding the price impulse.
-Plotting the grid on the chart.
-The expectation of a pullback to 23.6% or 38.2% or 50% to enter the market.
-When there is no pullback, the price keeps moving, updating the lows/maximums, it is worth pulling over the grid based on new local extrema.
-In this case, it is important not so much to determine the levels as to understand whether the current price movement is a correction concerning the previous one or the beginning of a new trend.
When Fibonacci Correction Levels Do Not Work
Fibonacci levels are not 100% reliable signals; they are more like rough guidelines that give information about the movement that is likely to occur. Fibonacci levels can also be broken occasionally, just like support/resistance levels can. There are many exceptions to the rules, therefore it is advisable to check the signals with additional tools and to take the maximum precautions when opening any position.
The levels need to be carefully worked, refined, and filtered on a regular basis. Sometimes levels might be crossed, and the bounce occurs at 61.8 instead of 50%; other times, the price skips levels and views essential ones as weak and unimportant ones as important. Because of all these features, it is important to be able to combine different tools in a strategy and constantly gain experience trading with the selected tools.
Conclusion
The suggested strategy broadens the potential uses for trading with Fibonacci levels. You can use it to your advantage so that practically any corrective movement—not just ones that conclude at 38.2% or 61.8%—will be beneficial. You must be able to accept what the market offers you since it doesn't always move that well.
Fibonacci Confluence
Bitcoin Starting Wave III run to ~20,000 with ~16,250 S/LBullish continuation for D1 through W1 on BTCUSD after confirming the higher high on the D1 timeframe from late December. W1 timeframe showing promise to close near the late November weekly high, confirming the higher low from mid November and continuing up towards 20,000 with a stop loss around 16,250.
Entry at ~17,000 should have a good Return to Risk ratio of 3:1 but a drop to ~16,650 is possible. Using the same S/L would yield ~9 R/R. I would suggest starting a small position at ~17,000 and adding down to ~16,650 with all stop losses at ~16,250.
Targets and Stop Loss are based on fib retracements and expansions and a bit of a fast and loose Elliot Wave, assuming the run from ~15,460 to 18,450 was Wave I. Wave III will target the 20,000 area since Wave IV should be approximately half of Wave II and needs to start above where Wave I ended.
ETH - trade rekapDisclaimer: If you think this chart is a mess, you are wrong. Here, we are dealing with lots of fibonacci lines to find confluence at specific zones we want to trade. As we want to maximize our profits, we want to trade at highest possible risk reward ratio. As this is a game of possibilities, our job is to find specific zone with highets probability to make price reaction.
Scalp trade. This is how we catch the trades, because we are traders, not gamblers. Why this trade works? Because we have mutiple confluences at the same place. Its yellow trend line of few wick highs. Its blue EMA 233 which is very important EMA. Next, there is 1 fibonacci extension. Enough to think of taking a trade. Now, there is already 1:3 profit taken. You can drive this all the way down if possible, or moving the stop loss in profit level by level.
Happy trading :))
Tools:
- Fibonacci retreacement
- Fibonacci extension
- Pitchfork (All types)
- Trend lines
- RSI
- EMA fibonacci numbers
If you take closer look, you can see how price respects the lines. If the trade analys is good, we can find a place where the top/bottom of the wick will happen, therefore place an entry buy/sell order and let the magic happen :)
ETH - Range analysDisclaimer: If you think this chart is a mess, you are wrong. Here, we are dealing with lots of fibonacci lines to find confluence at specific zones we want to trade. As we want to maximize our profits, we want to trade at highest possible risk reward ratio. As this is a game of possibilities, our job is to find specific zone with highets probability to make price reaction.
We are currently moving above 1203 support area and moving in a triangle range which is always difficult to identify. So we should be prepared for all possible outcomes. If 1203 zone hold the price above, we should be heading to 1245 zone. 1245 zone didnt offer any support during that intense fall, it is reasonable to expect it will turn into resistance zone. Therefore, we want to be ready for trading AROUND that zone. Yes, we cant say for sure that 1245 price will directly affect the price, we need to be carefull with wicks that could be left above the zone. If the price fails to break that resistance zone, we should be preapred for more downward movements. I will keep ypu updated.
Happy trading :)
Tools:
- Fibonacci retreacement
- Fibonacci extension
- Pitchfork (All types)
- Trend lines
- RSI
- EMA fibonacci numbers
If you take closer look, you can see how price respects the lines. If the trade analys is good, we can find a place where the top/bottom of the wick will happen, therefore place an entry buy/sell order and let the magic happen :)
DXY (Dollar Index) End Of The Year Full Analysis UpdateTraders and investors, DXY (Dollar Index) is still bullish and may continue to rise up. In the coming days or weeks please pay close attention to the price action before making sort of decisions in the market. Irrespective of the asset class or the market that you are trading, make sure that you are watching dollar as it can change impact your trading plan. In this End Of The Year Full Analysis Update we study some of the scenarios and possibilities which can result in great trading opportunities.
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
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✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis
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Take care and trade well
-Vik
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📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
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GOLDEN ZONE - FibonacciHello guys! Take a look at how smoothly the market respects the Golden Zone on Fibonacci retracement levels. The Golden Zone or Golden Ratio is the area between 50% and 61.8% on retracement levels, which acts as a strong support zone. After an impulse, on the correction the price usually gets rejected by this zone and it continues its previous trend. However, if it is broken, there is a high change of a trend reversal, as we can see in this chart.
$NIFTY Possible Bull Target & Reversal Zones #NiftyTraders and Investors, there is a lot of joy, speculation, excitement and nervousness in the Indian stock market as it makes another all-time high today. This however can be very deceiving or a good opportunity. Depends on how to see and interpret it. 🙂 If you think this is way too high and it should take a correction or dump then it may just give you that sort of opportunity when it reaches one of those FCP zones or extension levels ahead. If you are bullish and expect market to continue rise higher then also we have these zones and extension levels as possible bullish targets.
Remember a few things about this market:
1. It has been consolidating for a while after hitting a major reversal level as you will see in the attached idea posted on Oct 13, 2021. This can still form a double top and fall down.
2. The Nifty 50 index has been taking divergence from US Indices this year. Whilst US indices fell Nity held its position strongly. But that does not mean it can no start to follow them again. The correlations come and go in time cycles.
3. This market cab target 20K level as well because that is psychological and is getting close. In terms of points, it is still too far but in the overall price action structure it is not.
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis
✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions and questions.
Take care and trade well
-Vik
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📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
Is Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish? Think Again! - Full Top-Down AnalysisTraders and Investors,
The gold started to rise on NFP data last week. Now that it showed a few patterns playing out and rejection from a level forming triple bottom, is it really bullish? There are few scenarios which first look at before we start to make any decisions.
In this Gold (XAUUSD) analysis update we will look at what happened and what sort of opportunities can be there in coming days and possibly weeks.
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis
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Take care and trade well
-Vik
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📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
$DOWI #US30 Can Go To Approx 38000 (ATH)Traders, US30 has been rising up as expected since it hit our FCP zone.
Now there is great pattern setting up which can push Dow Jones (US30) to the All Time Highs. There are few intermediate FCP zones (Targets For Longs Or Barriers/Resistance Zones) along the way.
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis
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Take care and trade well
-Vik
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📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
$EURUSD Higher Time Frame Analysis - A Huge Opportunity #EURUSDTraders and Investors,
As promised, here is the update on EURUSD higher time frame analysis. Remember the last analysis here as below and then further update?
An FCP M pattern had already been completed a few weeks ago but the price has just been consolidating. Last week it showed first signs of bullish indication. Although not very strong, these are the first signs. This pattern can lead to a very good market turning opportunity. Refer to the chart. It is self-explanatory.
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis
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Take care and trade well
-Vik
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📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
Is DXY Still Bullish? Full Top-Down Analysis & Update!Traders and Investors,
The dollar fell on NFP data last week after rising on FOMC in the same week. Now that it showed a few patterns playing out and rejection from a level, is it really bearish? There are few scenarios which first look at before we start to make any decisions.
In this DXY (Dollar Index) analysis update we will look at what happened and what sort of opportunities can be there in coming days and possibly weeks.
Please support this analysis by liking and sharing. 👍🙂
Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis
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Take care and trade well
-Vik
____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
$FTSE (UK100) Is Targeting All Time High As Bullish TargetTraders and Investors, FTSE is one of the best resilient indices which had one of the lowest impacts in last few months as compared to bearish US indies. Now last couple of weeks it has been making its move upwards which can set its trajectory to retest the previous high one more time. This can happen if the trend line and that FIB level is cleared.
This is looking increasingly bullish now.
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis
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Take care and trade well
-Vik
____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
$WTI #USOIL Can Start To Rise Further, Can Go ParabolicTraders, USOIL has been rising after hitting our FCP zone as below. If 2 conditions of this set up are satisfied, it can start rising parabolically towards 100 again where we have an unfilled gap too. Manage the risk though!
Aug 21:
September 26:
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis
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-Vik
____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
How to use Fibonacci Retracement ⁉️ ‼️ Forex traders use Fibonacci retracements to pinpoint where to place orders for market entry, taking profits and stop-loss orders. Fibonacci levels are commonly used in forex trading to identify and trade off support and resistance levels. After a significant price movement up or down, the new support and resistance levels are often at or near these trend lines . Usually the price retracts to 50% or untile OTE (0.62, 0.705, 0.79) before another impulse movement occurs.
$HSI Hang Seng Index Can Rise Up - Inside and FCP Zone NowTraders, I have been covering indices in depth latetly and what I see a common pattern is that US Indices has started to bounce back. US3 has been gaining for last 3 weeks or so, SnP500 is lower but gaining and NASDAQ is the only one which gained slowest. Hang Send Index (HSI) has reached 2008 levels but forming an M pattern. It is now inside an FCP zone which can push it upwards. Now think about the consequences of that.
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
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-Vik
____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
$BABA Can Go Up Watch Out For A BreakoutTraders and Investors, Alibaba (BABA) has completed the typical bubble stock M formation and is now trying to gather orders for a bullish momentum. This stage happens when most investors fall into Despair or hopelessness.
The earnings report is expected, and we have a wedge pattern. If the price breaks above the pattern and we get a confirmation, this can go the first target of M patter which is around 160 but with an intermediate target of approx. 132.
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis
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Take care and trade well
-Vik
____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
Twitter ($TWTR) Can Rise Much Higher, Wait For A BreakoutTraders and Investors, Twitter currently is at an important structure zone. If that zone is broken and confirmed, it can rise much higher to the targets shown in the chart.
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
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✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis
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Take care and trade well
-Vik
____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
DXY (Dollar Index) Full Top-Down Analysis Traders and Investors,
Dollar had a massive run for past year and is now inside an FCP zone. It is kind of stuck between 2 FCP zones and may consolidate there for a bit. On smaller time frames, there are few signs which can give us potential important hints on the next direction. Last week, showed a rejection pattern from the top which is still valid. if the market does not violate that it can still look for downward move at least for the short term. But as it has been very bullish, there may be a period of consolidation. On the other hand, EURUSD also showed a good bounce last week which can also be correlated with it.
On the bearish side of things there are several factors lining up for the dollar:
1. Completion of W pattern
2. price inside FCP zone
3. Trend Line touch a few days ago
4. Weekly divergence building up
As the market conditions are changing fast, risk management is a priority.
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
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-Vik
____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
$EURUSD Can Rise Now #EURUSDTraders EURUSD has been waiting for a good bounce from 0.96387 level which it saw today. Depending on the market close today, if it closes a good strong candle there is a possible positions trade coming in EURUSD which can push the price to much higher-levels completing W patterns at these 2 FCP zones approx. at these levels. This may take weeks and possibly months.
1. 0.99500
2. 1.00500
As the market conditions are changing fast, risk management is a priority.
Please support this analysis by liking and sharing. 👍🙂
Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis
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Take care and trade well
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____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
Simple forecasting with Fibonacci. What to do?I have plotted the monthly, and weekly and also zoomed in on the daily time frame to get a better view of it. The zone marked are zones that CLUSTERS the daily fibo together with weekly and monthly. There are 4 things to do before you place a trade on it.
1) Wait and let the market touch or come inside the marked zone
2) Wait
3) A bullish candle needs to close above the marked zone
4) Wait for a pullback which I prefer or you can instantly enter the market.
If there is no bullish candle that closes above the zone and continues breaking the zone, expect it to go lower. Don't guess, follow what the market tells you to do.
You can swing this trade all the way to 2026.