Bitcoin Threat - Last chance is now! Or crash to 40k! (-63%)Bitcoin crashed by 12% in the past few days to 86,800, exactly to the last available support of the whole bull market! This is the last support; otherwise, the bull cycle is over, and we will have a tremendous crash to 40K in 2025/2026. So why is this the last support?
First, we need to look at the price action because bitcoin has been going sideways since November. We can clearly see an expanding triangle on the daily timeframe. Expanding triangles are very uncomfortable patterns for traders, as the whales take liquidity on both sides (buyers and sellers). And this is exactly what happened recently: Bitcoin crashed to 86.800 below the previous swing low and took all stop-loss orders from traders while remaining in the expanding triangle continuation pattern.
Bitcoin really cannot afford another crash; otherwise, the bears will break the expanding triangle, and the bull market will end. Bitcoin must go up right now! I am bullish until the end, and I still see that Bitcoin is in an uptrend. But if the price falls below 86,800, expect 40k later in 2025/2026, so this is the last chance!
What is also bullish? The price is still above the main green trendline. We want to see this trendline hold until the end of the bull market. From the Elliott Wave perspective, the price is starting last wave (5) to finish an impulse wave of higher degree. 125k is a significant resistance because of the 0.618 FIB extension. So, the threat is big for Bitcoin - 125k or 40k? Let me know in the comment section! (write 125k or 40k).
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Fibonacci Extension
DJT - Parabolic Move IncomingNASDAQ:DJT is soon in my mind to begin the most insane of rallies. This chart for me is as clean as they come!
Recent Price Action
From the peak of October 2024 to recent days in February 2025 - the stock has seen a ~46% correction, in what is likely the completion of an Elliott Wave 2 correction (in X,Y,Z form).
This after a bullish initial Wave 1 formation saw it go beyond even the most bullish of bullish initial price targets, in just 2 weeks flat.
Price had prior to that been compressed inside a downwards-pointing wedge pattern (orange lines), since late March 2024. This is one of my most favourite bullish chart patterns. It often leads to explosive price action.
After breaking out of the wedge, it is now not-only putting the finishing touches to an Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern (grey text)... but when it does so it will also complete a massive Cup & Handle formation (white arrows).
Future Price Targets
The initial target (T1) from this move would be $570 (20x) in a very short period. Perhaps even by end of June 2025. This would coincide with the 1.414 fibonacci level. Drawn from its initial introduction to public markets to its peak just weeks later.
Thereafter, an extended 5th wave target of $1,020 (43x) could be reached sometime around late November 2025 and January 2026. This coincides with the 1.618 fibonacci level (darker blue T2 line).
Price as of today has overshot the 0.382 fibonacci line and back-tested the previously-formed left shoulder. It is likely to find support here on the yellow line.
Next Up...
Volume has been pitiful of late. Watch it ramp-up again in the next few days, just like we saw in September 2024 when it completed its full retrace.
It is my expectation that we will see rest of the markets surprising bears, with a huge reversal before March, perhaps even combined with a significant dollar devaluation.
During this time when volume picks-up, a sharp reversal to the upside out of its latest wedge (dark red lines) is possible before the week ends on 28th February. If this occurs, this will likely confirm the end to Wave 2 of 5.
If there is any further downside to come, the absolute worst case scenario will likely be ~$18 - coinciding with the 0.238 fib. However this is not expected, just something to be wary of.
NASDAQ:DJT from here is ready to begin the most volatile of Elliott Waves, Wave 3. If volume persists, price will be drawn like a magnet to the horizontal sloping trend line in bold white.
Possible Elliott Waves
Wave 1 - $12 to $55
Wave 2 - $55 to $24
Wave 3 - $30 to $570
Wave 4 - $570 to $175
Wave 5 - $175 to $1,020
Ridiculous targets, right? So what could be the catalyst?
With the appointment of Kash Patel, we may now start seeing legal action taken against entities & individuals involved with naked short positioning. NASDAQ:DJT even in it's short history has been a prime target for this since 2022.
NASDAQ:DJT may be partially or heavily-involved with the Sovereign Wealth Fund being discussed for the United States.
NASDAQ:DJT may also complete the long-rumored acquisition of Bakkt Holdings ( NYSE:BKKT ). Perhaps even obtaining a minority stake in TikTok.
Short squeeze, M&A, fraudulent recovery, purchases of ETHUSD or just plain old organic price discovery - you pick your poison. But if you thought you'd seen NASDAQ:DJT reach its peak prior to the elections, be prepared to rethink your views.
NASDAQ:DJT has a LOT of room to the upside still from here. Make sure at the very least, you keep this one on your watch-list.
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Note : This post was originally published on 2nd November 2024 in the lead-up to the election. It was popular but was hidden due to an error on my part including a private indicator. It has now been updated to account for recent price action & timing.
Bitcoin will +27%, ETH +139%, LTC +251%, SOL +100% (Best coins)In this analysis, we will look at 4 major coins that are good to hold for the upcoming weeks! Because alt season is starting, we want to focus on strong altcoins. Starting with Bitcoin.
Bitcoin (BTC) - expect + 27%
Bitcoin is in a strong uptrend (ascending channel), and as long as Bitcoin is in this channel, we are very bullish. We can expect Bitcoin to hit 125k in the near future. I know this is not a lot; that's why we want to focus on altcoins! Definitely avoid coins such as XRP or TRUMP because these coins are already pumped!
Ethereum (ETH) - expect +139%
Ethereum still didn't hit an all-time high in this bull cycle, which gives us a great opportunity to buy it cheap. Ethereum is definitely undervalued compared to other coins, so this is a clever buy. Technically, the price is in an uptrend and near the ascending channel support. This gives us an excellent buying opportunity for 2025.
Litecoin (LTC) - expect +251%
Litecoin was in a range for 3 years! That was a really long time, but currently the price is breaking out of the range and forming a bull flag. This is a very strong combo, so we definitely want to buy on the buying side. Sorry for traders or hodlers that were waiting 3 years without any profits. We are traders; we want to buy at the best moment and take profit after the pump!
Solana (SOL) - expect +101%
Solana is another extremely bullish altcoin, and as with the previous ones, we are also in an uptrend (ascending channel). Because the price is near the support trendline, this is a great opportunity to buy it with a tight stop loss. If you are satisfied with 100% profit and pretty low risk, you can go for it. If you want more profits, go with Litecoin or use leverage on futures SOLANA.
Want to know the analysis of your altcoin? How much % ? Easy, hit the like button and write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response!
Bitcoin - No one is expecting this move! (must see)A lot of people are turning very bearish on Bitcoin, but I don't think it's time to be bearish, the bearish trend is not confirmed at all, and the price of Bitcoin should first touch the long-term major trendline (2017 -> 2021 -> 2025). You want to sell at the touch of the trendline. The second option is to use the Fibonacci extension tool and look for the 1.618 FIB. I did it for you, and the 1.618 FIB is exactly at 122,069 USD.
Bitcoin is currently in the final stage of the bullish cycle that started in 2022 (15,632 USDT) and is predicted to end in 2025 (around 125,000 USDT). This was a pretty good investment, but if you are jumping in right now, you will most likely get hurt in 2025 and 2026. Let's take a look at history to see what we can expect in the next few years.
Bitcoin crashed by 84% (in 2018) and 77% (in 2021). These are the classic bear market crises that Bitcoin experiences every 3–4 years. It's because we have halving events (reducing rewards for miners in BTC) every 4 years from a fundamental perspective. You may know that Bitcoin is highly volatile. History is telling us that in 2025/2026 a huge bear market and crisis are ahead.
From the Elliott wave perspective, we are in the final wave (5). We can expect an ABC correction in 2025/2026 which would bring the price down to 50,000. I bring you very strong technical data that you can use on your trading decisions.
In conclusion, I am currently optimistic about the price of Bitcoin for the next weeks and months. I think Bitcoin will hit 120k to 125k before we experience a major drop or flash crash. It's safe to buy/long Bitcoin, but do not forget to take profit!
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Best Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Levels for Trading
In this short article, you will learn the best Fibonacci extension and retracement levels for trading Forex and Gold.
I will share with you correct settings for Fibonacci tools and show you how to use & draw Fibonacci's properly on TradingView.
Best Fibonacci Retracement Levels
First, let's discuss Fibonacci retracement levels.
Here are the default settings for Fibonacci retracement tool on TradingView.
We will need to modify that a bit.
We should keep 0; 0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0,786; 1 levels
0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0,786 will be the best retracement levels for Forex & Gold trading.
How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement Levels Properly
In order to draw fib.retracement levels properly, you should correctly identify a price action leg.
You should underline that from its lowest low to its highest high, taking into consideration the wicks of the candlesticks.
Fibonacci Retracement of a bullish price action leg will be applied from its low to its high.
1.0 Fibonacci level should lie on the lowest lie, 0 - on the highest high.
Fibonacci Retracement of a bearish price action leg will be applied from its high to its low.
Best Fibonacci Extension Levels
Above, you can find default Fib.extension settings on TradingView.
We will need to remove all the retracement levels; 2,618; 3,618; 4,236 and add 1,272; 1,414 levels.
1,272; 1,414; 1,618 will be the best Fibonacci Extension levels for trading Gold and Forex.
How to Draw Fibonacci Extension Levels Properly
Start with correct identification of a price action leg.
Draw the Fib.Extension levels of a bearish price movement from its high to its low .
Draw the Fib.Extension levels of a bullish price movement from its low to its high.
I apply the fibonacci levels that we discussed for more than 9 years.
They proved its efficiency and strength in trading different financial markets. Learn to combine Fibonacci levels with other technical analysis tools to make nice money in trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Bitcoin - Buy now! Ready to pump to 125 000 (alt season)I recommend buying Bitcoin as the price is ready to go much higher in February. The current price is 98,000, and I expect Bitcoin to hit 111,000 in the immediate short term. 111k is a strong resistance because it's the top of the ascending parallel channel. Bitcoin has been in this channel for 91 days since November 2024. Then later this year in summer, Bitcoin will reach 125k.
But we should focus on altcoins in the next months! Why? Because a huge alt season is starting! Let's take a look at the BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) chart because this is the major indicator of altcoin seasons. As per my analysis, the price recently hit a strong resistance and needs to go down to 48%. We could experience the greatest alt season in years, so be ready! Make sure you have the right altcoins. Ethereum is definitely one of the altcoins that will outperform Bitcoin in the next months.
I am very bullish on Bitcoin and on the overall crypto market for the next weeks and months! Now is the time to buy, but let me know in the comment section, what do you think?
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Bitcoin Seasonality - Best Month (October) and Best Day (Monday)It's very important for every Bitcoin trader to know its seasonality because this will significantly increase the probability of successful trades. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years, and I successfully use seasonality patterns to predict Bitcoin price movements. For example, you don't want to go long on Bitcoin during August or September; that's probably a very bad idea. The biggest market crashes usually happen in September. But you definitely want to go long in October or April, as these months are the most promising. Knowledge of these patterns will give you an advantage over standard retail traders. Every trade matters.
Average return by Month (%)
January: +5.1%
February: +12.1%
March: +4.8%
April: ˇ+18.7%
May: +14.2%
June: +4.4%
July: +6.1%
August: -3.1%
September: -8.4%
October: +22.2%
November: +17.9%
December: +7.3%
Average return by Weekday (%)
Monday: +0.63%
Tuesday: +0.18%
Wednesday: +0.54%
Thursday: +0.40%
Friday: +0.37%
Saturday: +0.45%
Sunday: +0.10%
Currently I am bullish on Bitcoin as the price is in an uptrend and the bear market is not confirmed; I expect Bitcoin to hit 115k probably at the end of February. What I also expect is an alt season - alt season is starting right now! So it's time to buy some altcoins. Ethereum should outperform BTC in the next weeks as well.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Bitcoin's BTC Next Moves?My prediction for BTCs next moves in the coming year.
We have touched the 618 fib which looks like resistance and I believe there will be approx a 30% pullback to fill the current $77k-$81k CME gap.
Once this happens we are likely to see alt szn.
We will then see a upwards movement to approx $150k which is 10x from the $15k low. BTC will most likely move up higher and will form a large wick possibly up to $17k-$180k
Understanding Fibonacci ExtensionsUnderstanding Fibonacci Extensions
Have you ever noticed that market movements often occur in repeatable patterns? Well, that’s where Fibonacci extensions come into play. Join us in this article as we dive into the world of Fibonacci extensions and discover how they can be a strong addition to your trading arsenal.
A Primer on Fibonacci Ratios
Fibonacci ratios originate from the Fibonacci sequence, where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones (e.g., 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34). The key ratio, known as the Golden Ratio, is approximately 1.618. This is calculated by dividing a number in the sequence by its immediate predecessor (e.g., 34 ÷ 21 ≈ 1.619). Conversely, dividing a number by the next number yields approximately 0.618 (e.g., 21 ÷ 34 ≈ 0.618).
In trading, these ratios are used to identify potential support and resistance levels through Fibonacci retracements and extensions:
- Fibonacci Retracements. These indicate where the price might pull back within an existing trend. Common retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. They are derived from the ratios between numbers in the sequence and are applied to measure potential correction points.
- Fibonacci Extensions. These project potential price targets beyond the current range. Key extension levels include 100%, 161.8%, 200%, 261.8%, and 423.6%. They are calculated by extending the Fibonacci ratios past the 100% level to anticipate where the price might move following a retracement.
Note that these ratios can be expressed as either integers or percentages, e.g. 0.618 or 61.8%.
What Are Fibonacci Extensions?
Fibonacci extensions (also known as Fibonacci expansions or Fib extensions) are a technical analysis tool that allows traders to determine potential levels of support and resistance for an asset’s price. Like regular support and resistance levels, they are considered as areas of interest rather than where the price will turn with pinpoint precision. They’re most frequently used to set profit targets, although they can also be used to find entries.
Fibonacci extensions can be applied to any market, including forex, commodities, stocks, cryptocurrencies*, and more, and work across all timeframes. While not foolproof, using the Fibonacci extension tool combined with other forms of technical analysis might be an effective way to spot potential reversal points in financial markets.
Fibonacci Retracements vs. Extensions
Both Fibonacci retracements and extensions are based on the Fibonacci sequence and the Golden Ratio, but they are used to measure different things in the market. The former shows support and resistance levels during a pullback from a larger move. The latter measures the potential levels of support and resistance for an asset's price after a pullback has occurred.
As shown in the chart above, the Fibonacci retracement tool can be applied to identify where the price may pull back to – 50% in this scenario. Then, the Fibonacci extension tool is used to plot where the price could end up beyond this pullback. The 100% and 161.8% levels posed significant resistance, causing the price to reverse.
It’s easy to see how both tools can be used in conjunction to build a strategy. Generally speaking, traders tend to enter on a pullback to one of the key retracement levels, and then take potential profits at the extension levels. However, either tool can be used to find areas suitable for entries and exits.
Fib Extensions: How to Use Them in a Trading Strategy
If you’re wondering how to use Fib extensions in your own trading, here are the steps you need to follow.
- Click to set the first point at a major swing low if expecting bullishness or swing high if expecting bearishness.
- Place the second point at a swing in the opposite direction.
- Put the third point at the low of the pullback if a bullish move is expected or the high if a bearish move is expected.
That’s it! You now have an idea of where price may reverse as the trend progresses, allowing you to set profit targets or plan entries. You can also double-click the tool to adjust it to your preferences, like removing certain levels and changing colours.
Bullish Example
In this example, we have a swing low (1) followed by a swing high (2) that makes a retracement (3). These three points are all we need to plot a Fibonacci extension. Notice that the 138.2% level didn’t hold, showing that price isn’t always guaranteed to reverse in these areas. However, the wicks and sustained moves lower at the 100% and 161.8% areas gave traders confirmation that a reversal might be inbound.
Bearish Example
Here, we can see that each of the three areas prompted a pullback. Some traders might not consider the 138.2% area valid to trade. However, the most common way to get around this is to look for confirmation with a break of the trend, as denoted by the dotted line between extensions. Once the price gets beyond that swing high (intermittently breaking the downtrend), traders have confirmation that what they’re looking at is likely the start of a reversal.
Some traders believe that if the price closes beyond a level, it’ll continue progressing to the next area. While this can sometimes be the case, it can just as easily reverse. Here, the price briefly closed below the 161.8% level before continuing much higher.
How Can You Confirm Fib Extensions?
While Fibonacci extensions suggest potential areas where price movements may reverse or stall, traders often seek additional confirmation to enhance their confidence in these levels. Here are some methods traders typically use to validate Fib extension levels.
- Confluence with Other Fibonacci Levels. Traders can look for alignment between Fibonacci extensions and retracements from different timeframes or price swings. This overlap may indicate a more significant level where the price could react.
- Support and Resistance Zones. If a Fibonacci extension level coincides with established support or resistance areas on the chart, it can reinforce the likelihood of a market response at that point.
- Candlestick Patterns. Observing specific candlestick formations, such as doji, hammer, or engulfing patterns at Fibonacci extensions, can provide insights into potential reversals or continuations.
- Technical Indicators. Incorporating indicators like moving averages, RSI, or MACD can help confirm the validity of a Fibonacci extension level. For example, if the RSI indicates overbought conditions at a key extension level, traders might anticipate a pullback.
- Trendlines and Chart Patterns. Aligning Fibonacci extensions with trendlines or chart patterns like the Head and Shoulders can offer additional confirmation. Traders often find that extension levels intersecting with these tools carry more significance.
- Volume Analysis. An increase in trading volume near a Fibonacci extension level may suggest stronger market interest, potentially validating the importance of that level.
- Multiple Timeframe Analysis. Traders might analyse Fibonacci extensions across various timeframes to identify consistent levels of interest. A level that appears significant on both charts could be considered more reliable.
- Market Sentiment and News Events. While primarily technical, acknowledging fundamental factors such as economic news or market sentiment can help traders assess whether a Fibonacci extension level might hold or be surpassed.
Limitations of Fibonacci Extensions
Fibonacci extensions are valuable for projecting potential price targets, but they come with limitations that traders should consider. Understanding these can lead to more informed use within a trading strategy.
- Lack of Confidence in Price Movements. While based on mathematical ratios, Fibonacci extensions don't account for unexpected market events like economic news or geopolitical developments that can significantly impact prices.
- Subjectivity in Point Selection. The effectiveness of extension levels hinges on correctly identifying swing highs and lows. Different traders may choose varying reference points, leading to inconsistent levels and interpretations.
- Ineffectiveness in Certain Market Conditions. In sideways or highly volatile markets, prices may not respect Fib extensions, reducing their reliability as indicators of support or resistance.
- Conflicting Signals Across Timeframes. Extension levels vary between different timeframes, potentially causing confusion and conflicting signals in analysis and decision-making.
- Overreliance on Technicals. Focusing solely on Fib extensions might cause traders to overlook other critical technical indicators or fundamental factors influencing the market.
- Unnatural Price Movements. Widespread use of Fibonacci levels can lead to price reactions simply because many traders expect them, creating artificial support or resistance that may not hold.
- Psychological Biases. Traders might experience confirmation bias, seeing what they expect at Fib levels, which can lead to misguided trading decisions.
Making the Most of Fibonacci Extensions
By now, you may have a decent understanding of what Fib extensions are and how to use them. But how do you make the most out of Fibonacci extensions? Here are two points you may consider to improve your trading strategy.
- Look for confirmation. Instead of blindly setting orders at extension levels, you can look for price action confirmation that the price is starting to reverse at the area before taking potential profits or entering a position. You could do this by looking for breaks in the trend, as discussed in the example above.
- Find confluence. Similarly, you can use other technical analysis tools like trendlines, indicators like moving averages, or even multiple Fibonacci extensions, to give you a better idea of how price will likely react at a level.
Your Next Steps
Now, it’s time to put your understanding to the test. Spend some time practising how to use Fibonacci extensions and try backtesting a few setups to see how you could get involved in a trade. Once you feel you have a solid strategy, open an FXOpen account to start using your skills in the live market. In the meantime, why not try exploring other Fibonacci-related concepts, like Fibonacci retracements and harmonic patterns? Good luck!
FAQ
How Can You Use Fibonacci Extensions?
Fibonacci extensions help traders identify potential future support and resistance levels beyond the current price range. To use them, traders select three points: the start of a trend, its end, and the retracement point. They then apply the Fibonacci extension tool to project where the price may move following a retracement.
How Should You Draw Fibonacci Extensions?
The process starts with choosing the trend-based Fib extension tool in your charting software. Then, the next step is to select the swing low/high (start of the trend), then the swing high/low (end of the trend), and finally the retracement low/high. The tool will display extension levels indicating possible future price targets.
What Is the Difference Between Fibonacci Retracements and Extensions?
Fibonacci retracements identify potential support and resistance levels during a price pullback within an existing trend. Extensions, on the other hand, project levels beyond the current price range, indicating where the price might move after the retracement. Retracements focus on corrections; extensions focus on trend continuations.
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GOLD | Bullish Pivot Points | $3,000This TA focuses on the bullish pivot points while at the same time using the 150-day SMA in conjunction to help manage trades and to use as a dynamic support level
The Fibonacci extensions are there to confirm the pivot points and to have an idea of where the trajected targets are
Next targets are $2,850 -$2,875
🎯
Keeping an eye on these pivots will help forecast the next psychological target of $3,000
Technical Analysis of XAUUSD (Gold/USD) – 4H ChartTechnical Analysis of XAUUSD (Gold/USD) – 4H Chart
1. Review of Last Week’s Trend
Strong Uptrend: Gold prices have been steadily rising over the past week, particularly after breaking the structure (BOS) and confirming bullish pressure.
Breaking Resistance Levels: The price has moved above the equilibrium level and the PDL (Previous Day Low), approaching the premium zone.
Resistance at 2800 - 2820: The red zone (Premium) indicates a strong resistance area where the price has reacted and formed a weak high.
2. Forecast for the Upcoming Week
Possible Price Correction: Since the price has reached a strong resistance level (red zone), a potential pullback may occur. The PDH (Previous Day High) could act as support.
Key Support Levels:
PWH (Previous Week High)
2760 (aligned with the white moving average)
2740 - 2725 (aligned with the green and yellow moving averages)
Two Possible Scenarios for Next Week:
If the price breaks above the 2820 resistance: The uptrend may continue towards 2840 and 2850.
If the price fails to break resistance: A correction towards the mentioned support zones is likely.
3. Impact of News on Gold
Trump’s Policies & Geopolitical Tensions: The U.S. warning to Iran regarding Trump could increase market uncertainty, which generally benefits gold.
Inflation Expectations & Fed Policies: Any signs of potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could further boost gold prices.
Economic Data: The release of U.S. employment and inflation data in the upcoming week could significantly impact gold’s movement.
Conclusion:
✅ The overall trend remains bullish, but a pullback from the 2820-2800 resistance zone is possible.
✅ Key support levels are 2760, 2740, and 2725.
✅ A breakout above 2820 could push prices towards 2850.
✅ Economic and geopolitical news will play a crucial role in price action.
Bitcoin: Full February plan (125K shortly)Since the price of bitcoin broke out of the falling wedge formation and was successfully retested twice, its price action is incredibly bullish right now! We may anticipate higher prices over the next few days and weeks because there isn't anything particularly negative about the price action.
Three powerful levels are visible on the chart, which you can utilize to guide your trading selections. The symmetrical triangle's 0.382 FIB and POC mark the initial level, which is located at 105,544 USDT. Following a breakout, this level will probably be tested soon. This implies that Bitcoin may surge above $110,000, then return to test this level before rising further. 110,342 USD is the second level price. Because it is the 0.618 FIB extension from wave 1 to wave 2, this level is likewise quite powerful.
We can anticipate a liquidity sweep above this swing high and a brief downturn since it is also above the prior all-time high. At 118,109 USDT, the third level is located. We also have a 1:1 FIB extension, and as you may know, Bitcoin responds to this extension rather consistently, so this is another important level. It's among the greatest.
The Elliott Wave analysis shows that the price action is likewise bullish. Impulse wave 3 has begun, and we have just completed the ABC correction with a 1:1 FIB extension. The 1:1 FIB extension may also mark the end of this wave 3, but we must watch for trendlines, chart patterns, and maybe RSI bearish divergence.
For the upcoming days and weeks, this is my main strategy. The other strategy is that the ABC correction (wave 2) may become a WXYXZ triple three corrective wave if it is not finished.
I'll provide you with an analysis if you leave a comment with your altcoin. For more inspiration, please hit boost and follow. If you have a skilled coach, trading is easy! Since there is no stop-loss or profit goal, this is not a trade setup. I keep my trades to myself. Thank you, and best of luck with your transactions!
Bitcoin - Complete plan for February (125K soon)Bitcoin's price action is currently extremely bullish because the price broke out of the falling wedge pattern and 2x successfully retested it! There is really nothing bad about the price action, so we can expect higher prices in the coming days and weeks.
On the chart we can see 3 strong levels that you can use for your trading decisions. The first level is at 105,544 USDT (0.382 FIB and POC of the symmetrical triangle). This level will most likely be tested in the near future after a breakout. That means Bitcoin can pump to 110k and then come back and retest this level before continuing higher. The second level is 110,342 USD. This level is also very strong because it's the 0.618 FIB extension from wave 1 to wave 2. It's also above the previous all-time high, so we can expect a liquidity sweep above this swing high and then a short-term downtrend. The third level is at 118,109 USDT. This is also a significant level because we have a 1:1 FIB extension, and you may know that Bitcoin reacts pretty reliably to this extension. It's one of the best.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, the price action is also bullish. We have just finished the ABC correction with a 1:1 FIB extension, and we have started impulse wave 3. This wave 3 could end at the 1:1 FIB extension as well, but we need to wait for chart patterns, trendlines, and potentially RSI bearish divergence.
This is my primary plan for the next days and weeks. The secondary plan is that the ABC correction (wave 2) has not been completed, and it can transform into a WXYXZ triple three corrective wave.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
ETHUSD Prepares for Expansion with Targets at $4,689 and $6,279
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD remains bullish, with the EMA ribbon confirming its upward trajectory. The price is currently holding above the critical $3,000 support, which has acted as a rebound level multiple times. Previously, a hidden bullish divergence formed on the Stochastic indicator. A hidden bullish divergence occurs when the price makes a higher low while the oscillator forms a lower low, signaling the continuation of the prevailing uptrend. This divergence is often considered a key signal for bullish continuation. The Stochastic has recently crossed above the zero level, indicating momentum with room to reach the overbought zones.
The Signal Builder tool has previously provided bullish signals, aligning with the current analysis. Entry opportunities could be around $2,927, upon the breakout of the descending trendline, or following the breach of a prior swing high during this pullback phase. Using Fibonacci projections of the last impulse, targets are identified at $4,689 (100%) and $6,279 (161.8%). The stop-loss is positioned below the last swing low before the $3,000 support break, around $2,116.
👨🏻💻💭 Does this analysis align with your perspective on BITSTAMP:ETHUSD ? Share your thoughts below!
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The information and publications within the 3Commas TradingView account are not meant to be and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by 3Commas and any of the parties acting on behalf of 3Commas, including its employees, contractors, ambassadors, etc.
XRP | Bull Flag ContinuationPrice action successfully holding up above liquidity after breaking out from $2.80
As this retest develops it looks like we're forming a bull flag for a continuation towards $4.35 and then to see another rip onwards on the high side of the parallel channel with a second target of around $5.50.
Bitcoin - Crash to 50k in 2026! (Best cycles analysis)In this very detailed and unique analysis, we will look at the most important Bitcoin fundamental analysis of halving cycles. I predict Bitcoin will crash to 50k in 2026, so if you are buying now for the long term as an investment (buy and hold), you can probably wait for a better price!
Statistically, Bitcoin crashes every 4 years by 86% to 77%. The market cap is getting bigger as institutions stepping in, so this time I expect a weaker crash (around 65%). Still, it's a huge crash, and many investors will sell at a loss as usual. Knowledge of the Bitcoin cycles will save you a lot of money.
We are in the final stage of the bullish cycle, and this cycle should end between February and November 2025. When you draw a trendline on the linear monthly chart, you will get a target of around 125,000 USD. This is a good level to sell Bitcoin. I would never listen to moon boys that are screaming that Bitcoin will never go down and Bitcoin will reach 500k or 1M in the next months. That's due to an already big market cap, pretty much impossible. After we finish this bull cycle, we can expect a massive crash to 50k in 2026. For people who are prepared, this may be an incredible investment opportunity. Also, you can short Bitcoin at the top and ride the investment in the opposite direction, plus you will make money on funding fees every 8 hours.
Bitcoin halving is coded to occur once every 210,000 blocks, or roughly every four years, and will continue in this fashion until the final supply of 21 million BTC is reached. It is assumed that the last BTC will be mined in 2140. After that, transaction fees are supposed to be the only source of block rewards for miners.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Can ETH Maintain Its Uptrend and Reach New Highs?
BINANCE:ETHUSDT shows strong bullish momentum after rebounding from the key support level at 2900. The EMA ribbon confirms the upward trend, acting as a dynamic support throughout the price action. The ascending trendline indicates that buyers have consistently stepped in at higher lows, reinforcing the bullish structure.
Using a Fibonacci extension from the previous cycle, potential targets are at the 100% level (5663.56) and the 161.8% level (8618.84). For the bullish scenario to remain valid, the price must stay above 2111; a close below this level would invalidate the setup and signal a shift in market dynamics.
Additionally, the Signal Builder has recently provided upward signals, complementing the technical bullish outlook. If the price maintains the current trend and breaks through resistance levels, it could be poised to test the outlined targets.
👨🏻💻💭 What do you think about this ETH setup? Are these targets achievable? Share your insights!
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The information and publications within the 3Commas TradingView account are not meant to be and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by 3Commas and any of the parties acting on behalf of 3Commas, including its employees, contractors, ambassadors, etc.
Interpretation of support and resistance points and Fib ratios
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There was a change in the chart while I was writing the idea.
Therefore, please refer to the chart attached below.
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(TRUMPUSDT.P 1D chart)
Since the chart was created not long ago, it is practically impossible to analyze it.
However, I will take the time to explain it as an extension of the explanation of Fibonacci ratios.
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(1D chart)
You can check the retracement ratio using the Fibonacci retracement tool on the 1D chart.
(30m chart)
You can check the Fibonacci ratio on the 30m chart and analyze the chart.
However, I think the Fibonacci ratio is a chart tool for chart analysis, so in order to trade, you need to draw support and resistance points by the arrangement of candles.
As I mentioned earlier, since the chart is created not long ago, you can select support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, so even if you draw support and resistance lines, their role is likely to be weak.
Therefore, I think it is better to trade these coins (tokens) in short-term transactions such as scalping or day trading.
If the trading period is long, the psychological burden is likely to increase, which can lead to incorrect trading.
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The HA-MS indicator was activated to indicate support and resistance points.
If you activate the Fibonacci ratio drawn on the 1D chart, it is as follows.
You can see that the maximum range we can trade is 28.0-70.654.
If we go outside this range, a new wave will be created, so new support and resistance points are needed.
At this time, a chart tool that can help interpret the chart is the Trend-Based Fib Extension.
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Since the HA-Low indicator was formed at the 40.245 point, we can see that the low point has been formed.
Therefore, if it shows support near the HA-Low indicator, it is a time to buy (LONG).
Since it has currently fallen below the HA-Low indicator, it is highly likely that it will update the latest low, so it was possible to enter a sell (SHORT) position when it fell from the HA-Low indicator.
As the price falls, I think it is better not to make a new transaction until the HA-Low indicator is newly created or the existing HA-Low indicator rises and shows support.
If it is supported by the HA-Low indicator and rises,
- 46.618
- 63.882-70654
You should check for support in the above section.
If it is not supported, it is a time to sell in parts.
In my chart, the MS-Signal indicator is an important indicator in terms of trend.
Therefore, in order to turn into an uptrend, the price must be maintained above the MS-Signal indicator.
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(12h chart)
The current chart is so new that it is virtually impossible to see the trend.
If you want to draw with the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool, the largest time frame chart you can draw is the 12h chart.
The point where the finger points is the selection point.
(30m chart)
The chart above is drawn with the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool.
The circles marked on the far right correspond to important support and resistance zones.
When interpreting Fibonacci ratios, the 0, 0.5, 0.618, and 1 ratios can be interpreted as key ratios.
Therefore, if it falls below 1, it may fall to around 1.618 (2.198), so caution is required when trading.
The 0.618 (35.663) ~ 0.5 (39.612) section can be interpreted as an important support and resistance section.
Since the HA-Low indicator is formed within this section, it can be interpreted that the role of support and resistance is emphasized.
Even if the Fibonacci ratio is drawn in this way, it can be helpful in setting the timing of trading only when it is interpreted in accordance with the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Otherwise, it is likely that your subjective thoughts will be included and the transaction will proceed in the wrong direction.
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The support and resistance points must be drawn by looking at the arrangement of candles on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts to be activated as support and resistance points.
The support and resistance points drawn on the time frame chart below may have a weak role, so caution is required when trading.
In that sense, I hope you understand the content of this idea as how to comprehensively interpret the Fibonacci ratio and support and resistance points.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Bitcoin - Very bullish, Ethereum will +50% in a week!Bitcoin is currently very bullish, as the price broke the 60-day long range. Bitcoin hit an all-time high yesterday, which confirms the breakout of the range. We can expect 122k to be hit in the near future, but let's take a look at Ethereum, because this is a very good indicator, not only for bitcoin but for altcoins in general.
Ethereum is forming a huge inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. Don't be surprised if ETH starts pumping like crazy; this is probably your last chance to buy it cheap! You can wake up in the morning and see a huge green dildo on the ETHUSDT chart, so you really don't want to miss it. Personally, I would prefer ETH over BTC in the next few days or weeks.
Back to Bitcoin. What we can see on the chart is my Elliott wave count. We are in the final wave (5) of a major impulse wave. It's time to set up your sell orders and prepare for a significant bear market in 2025/2026. I recommend selling Bitcoin around 120k, while moonboys expect 300k or 500k. I stay grounded, I don't think Bitcoin will go exponentially.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!