S&P ES Long setup target 6129 / Calls SPY target 605Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures CME_MINI:ES1! has already found support at the Fib level 78.6% (6020.50) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (Jan 17) has closed above retracement Fib level 78.6%. My Down Fib guides me to look for ES1! to eventually go up to hit first target at Fib level 127.2% (6129.00).
CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 127.2% (6129.00), Target 2 at 161.8% (6206.00) and Target 3 at 178.6 (6243.50)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (5983.00).
Option Traders : My SPY AMEX:SPY chart Down Fib shows price to go up to Target 1 at 127.2% (605), Target 2 at 161.8% (613) and Target 3 at 178.6 (616)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (592).
Fibonacci Extension
SONIC - New altcoin, is 10x possible?SONIC is a new altcoin that has been listed on all major exchanges. I received many requests from you to do an analysis on it and if it's worth it to buy. First, let's take a look at fundamentals, then technicals.
The market cap is 202 million dollars ($202.91M) and is ranked #362. There is room to grow, as the market cap is not that high. As the coin is listed on major exchanges, it has relatively good liquidity, and you can trade it on the futures market. You can go long/short, and the volatility is extremely high. Pretty much every retail trader is addicted to volatility because if the coin is not moving, there are no opportunities. Always choose coins that move; you don't want to be stuck in the boring range.
Sonic is the first SVM network extension to launch on Solana, for games and applications. They are partners with Backpack, OKX Wallet, Metaplex, Pyth, Solayer, and more. The Solana network is getting popular, also with the latest TRUMP coin pump. They have 566k followers on Twitter and the number is rising pretty quickly.
Now, can this coin 10x? Yes, but this will definitely take some time. If you want to trade this coin, which I highly recommend due to its high volatility, you can take the following trade.
On the chart, you can see a descending channel, and I see an opportunity to go long on the next touch of it. Take profit is at the top of the channel or liquidity zone above the previous range, which you can see on the chart. Now, I am very curious - What do you think about this coin? Buy or sell? Let me know in the comment section. Thank you and have success!
BTC 121k and then the Bull Run StartsSo right now we are at about the max of our next consolidation zone which is. almost the local high 109,975.00usd then i think we form a flag or wedge up here as we consolidate then run to 121,676.00usd then the bull run will start....that will trigger the retail into the space.
Example of how to use the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool
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There was a question about how to select the selection point when using the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool, so I will take the time to explain the method I use.
Since it is my method, it may be different from your method.
-
Before that, I will explain the difference from the general Fibonacci retracement tool.
The Fibonacci retracement tool uses the Fibonacci ratio as the ratio to be retracement within the selected range.
Therefore, the low and high points are likely to be the selection points.
The reason I say it is likely is because the lowest and highest points are different depending on which time frame chart it was drawn on.
Therefore, in order to use a chart tool that specifies a selection point like this, you must basically understand the arrangement of candles.
If you understand the arrangement of candles, you can draw the support and resistance points that make up it and determine the importance of those support and resistance points.
The HA-MS indicator that I am using is a more objective version of this.
Unlike the published HA-MS indicator, several have been added.
I do not plan to disclose the formulas of these added indicators yet.
However, if you share my ideas, you can use them normally at any time.
The selection point for using the current Fibonacci retracement tool is the point that the fingers are pointing to.
In other words, the 1st finger is the low point, and the 2nd finger is the high point.
One question may arise here.
Why is it the position of the 1st finger?
The reason is that it is the starting point of the current wave.
Therefore, you can find out the retracement ratio in the current rising wave.
In fact, it is not recommended to use the Fibonacci ratio as support and resistance.
This is because it is better to use the Fibonacci ratio to check how much wave is being reached and how much movement is being shown in chart analysis.
However, the Fibonacci ratio can be usefully used when the ATH or ATL is updated.
-
If the Fibonacci Retracement tool was a chart tool that found out the retracement ratio in the current wave, the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool can be said to be a chart tool that found out the extension ratio of the wave.
Therefore, while the Fibonacci Retracement tool requires you to specify two selection points, the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool requires you to specify three selection points.
That's how important it is to understand the arrangement of the candles.
The chart above is an example of drawing to find out the extension ratio of an uptrend
The chart above is an example of drawing to find out the extension ratio of a downtrend
Do you understand how the selection points are specified by looking at the example chart?
-
The chart above is the chart when the 1st finger point is selected.
The chart above is the chart when the 1-1 hand point is selected.
When drawing on a lower time frame chart, you should be careful about which point to select when the arrangement of the candles is ambiguous.
Examples include the 1st finger and the 1-1 finger.
It may be difficult to select 1-1 and 1 depending on whether they are interpreted as small waves or not.
The lower the time frame chart, the more difficult this selection becomes.
Therefore, it is recommended to draw on a higher time frame chart if possible.
The reason is that the Fibonacci ratio is a chart tool used to analyze charts.
In other words, it is not drawn for trading.
In order to trade, you trade based on whether there is support or resistance at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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BTC new all time highsOn going FIBonacci price targets of BTCUSD.
112,750 1st target, new all time high.
Resistance likely @ previous 108k all time high.
:: See chart for predictive price path.
--- Mid - Late Feburary price price prediction.
::: Speculative assumption on current BTC price action. :::
***Newest local low and price action suggest the new local low bottom with continuation to the up side.
108k should stabilize - followed by 112,750 new ATH target.
Airtel Vs (TTML, MTNL, IDEA) - Pre-Rally Vs Post-RallyHere’s an assertive revision of your content:
---
**Why Airtel Dragged While TTML, MTNL, and IDEA Blasted?**
The government’s consideration of waiving 50% interest and 100% penalties on AGR dues created a buzz, and certain "gurus" began hyping a potential rally in **Bharti Airtel**, a fundamentally strong telecom stock compared to **TTML**, **MTNL**, and **Vodafone Idea**.
**But the market did the exact opposite.**
TTML (+16.5%), MTNL (+10.5%), and IDEA (+9.11%) soared, while Airtel struggled below 1%. The question is **why?**
**The Answer: The Importance of Technical Structures, Supports, and Resistances.**
Market participants often assume that fundamentals drive prices. This is the **biggest myth.** Fundamentals (valuations, PE ratios, book value, order books, quarterly results) can create momentum but never dictate its **direction.** Supports and resistances are the **primary drivers** of price movement. Relying solely on fundamentals is like pressing the accelerator while trying to reverse park—damages are inevitable.
Now, let’s review the technical factors behind the explosive moves in TTML, MTNL, and IDEA compared to Airtel’s stagnation.
---
### **TTML**
On the **monthly chart**, TTML formed a **bullish flag pattern**, breaking out in **July 2024**. However, the lack of momentum in the telecom sector kept it range-bound until now.
**Key Points:**
1. A **77% correction** from its all-time high (ATH) formed the flag.
2. Sideways consolidation since March 2024 created a **strong base**.
3. This base aligned with the **Fib 0.618 retracement** from the previous high.
TTML was primed for a move. The AGR news provided the necessary trigger, leading to the much-anticipated breakout.
---
### **MTNL**
The **monthly chart** of MTNL shows a **multi-decade bullish inverted head and shoulders pattern**. After breaking out, the stock faced resistance at ₹103 and retraced **58.5%**, aligning perfectly with the breakout zone and the **Fib 0.618 retracement level.**
**Why the Rally?**
MTNL’s bounce was overdue, and the AGR news acted as a catalyst, triggering the massive move.
---
### **IDEA**
Vodafone Idea, the weakest of the group, also surged 10% (hitting an intraday high of 15% before closing at 9.11%). Despite its struggles, IDEA displayed critical technical alignments:
1. A **65.54% correction** from its previous high.
2. Support at the **Fib 0.786 retracement** level.
3. A bounce from the **bottom of a rising parallel channel**.
Though IDEA lacked the fundamental strength of TTML and MTNL, it still rallied due to the technical setup.
---
### **Bharti Airtel: Why Didn’t It Rally?**
**Quarterly Chart** (Right):
1. Airtel has been traveling within a **multi-decade parallel channel**.
2. After consolidating for 13 years, it broke out in **October 2018**, delivering **613% returns** since then.
3. The stock reached an **extended Fibonacci target (Fib 2.618)**—an exhaustion zone.
**Weekly Chart** (Left):
1. Airtel corrected only **15%** from its ATH.
2. It is still in a **lower high-lower low (LH-LL)** bearish formation.
3. The price was at a critical juncture of **two resistances**:
- The **falling trendline** from ATH.
- A **weekly resistance** at ₹1640.
**Verdict:**
Airtel had already rallied significantly before the news and was in an exhaustion phase. Strong resistances at current levels obstructed its movement.
---
### **Key Takeaways:**
- TTML, MTNL, and IDEA rallied because they **completed major corrections, formed strong bases, and awaited a trigger.**
- Airtel, having already rallied, was in a consolidation phase with significant resistance levels.
**Conclusion:**
Blindly trading based on news or fundamentals without considering technicals is a recipe for disaster. Fundamentals may create momentum, but the **direction** is always governed by supports and resistances.
A sector-wide news event will not trigger the same momentum across all stocks unless their **technical structures** align. Always combine fundamentals with technical analysis for informed decision-making.
**Disclaimer:**
With over **3 years of teaching experience** in the stock market, including **Technical Analysis**, **Behavioral Analysis**, **Advanced Patterns**, **Emotional Management**, and **News-based Trading**, we are dedicated to educating, not advising on buy/sell decisions.
We are **NOT SEBI Registered** and do not provide specific **Buy/Sell recommendations or calls**. Our primary goal is to deliver **detailed analysis** on how to review charts and offer multi-timeframe perspectives purely for **educational purposes**.
We strongly recommend that our followers **"Learn to Ride the Tide, Regardless of Its Side."**
**Important:** Always consult with a **financial advisor** before making any investment decisions.
If you appreciate our detailed analysis, we encourage you to **rate, like, boost, and share your feedback**.
**- Team Stocks-n-Trends**
Bitcoin - Roadmap 2025 to 2026 (Best plan)This analysis is all you need for 2025 and 2026 from the long-term perspective. Bitcoin is currently in the final stage of the bullish cycle that started in 2022 (15,632 USDT) and is predicted to end in 2025 (around 125,000 USDT). This was a pretty good investment, but if you are jumping in right now, you will most likely get hurt in 2025 and 2026. Let's take a look at history to see what we can expect in the next few years.
Bitcoin crashed by 84% (in 2018) and 77% (in 2021). These are the classic bear market crises that Bitcoin experiences every 3–4 years. It's because we have halving events (reducing rewards for miners in BTC) every 4 years from a fundamental perspective. You may know that Bitcoin is highly volatile. History is telling us that in 2025/2026 a huge bear market and crisis are ahead.
But bitcoin's market capitalization is constantly rising, and big players are entering the market. That's to say there is no longer room for such massive crashes. I don't think we will see an 87% crash like in 2015 or 2021. But 60% is still very likely—this would bring the price of Bitcoin down from 125,000 to 50,000. If you buy now at 100,000 USDT, your investment may shrink by 50% in 2026. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years.
So where to take profit in 2025 and prepare for a massive crash? This is a pretty easy question because we have a long-term trendline (2017 -> 2021 -> 2025) on the linear scale. And yes, I don't use the LOG scale in this case. You want to sell at the touch of the trendline. The second option is to use the Fibonacci extension tool and look for the 1.618 FIB. I did it for you on this chart, and the level to sell is 122,069 USDT.
From the Elliott wave perspective, we are in the final wave (5). We can expect an ABC correction in 2025/2026 which would bring the price down to 50,000. I bring you this very strong technical data that you can use on your trading decisions.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Bull Flag on BTC Daily!!!The cryptocurrency market is once again at the edge of a seismic shift. Following the recent uptrend, Bitcoin (BTC) has established a formidable Bull Flag on the daily chart. By utilizing a trend-based Fibonacci extension on top of the current Bull Flag, we can identify the coveted 'golden pocket' positioned at $126,000, with the subsequent target level at an impressive $185,000.
If historical patterns hold true, this year is set to be another record-breaking period for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Investors and enthusiasts alike should prepare for a potentially parabolic movement. Fasten your seat belts, an exciting journey awaits.
Bitcoin is breaking down right now! (lifetime opportunity)Bitcoin is currently breaking down out of the head and shoulders pattern, as I expected in past weeks. The next support is 85k, and we can hit this support pretty quickly. Bitcoin is known for its huge volatility.
After we hit 85k, I expect Bitcoin to go up and retest the previous neckline of the HaS pattern, which is at around 91k! So you can make 2 trades in the short term. If you watch my posts, you know that 85k is a significant support level. It's the start of the FVG on the daily chart. Between 85k and 77k there is pretty much no price action. That means we can experience a huge flash crash. But let's be realistic: 85k is also a 20% correction from the ATH. Statistically, a 20% crash is when you want to put your buy orders.
1:1 FIB extension corresponds to the ABC correction. We are in Wave C of a corrective pattern.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
S&P ES Short setup target 5811 / Put SPY target 574Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures ( CME_MINI:ES1! ) has already found resistance at the Fib level 78.6% (6057.75) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (Jan 7) has closed below retracement Fib level 38.2% (5963.75). My Down Fib guides me to look for CME_MINI:ES1! to eventually go down to hit first target at Fib level -27.2% (5811.50).
S&P CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 5811.50, Target 2 at -61.8% (5731) and Target 3 at -78.6 (5691.75)
Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (5991.25).
Option Traders : My SPY AMEX:SPY chart (Down Fib from 602.48 to 580.50) shows price to go down to Target 1 at -27.2% (574.52), Target 2 at -61.8% (566.92) and Target 3 at -78.6 (563.22)
Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (591.50).
Nasdaq NQ Short setup target 20,677 / Puts XND target 205.18Fibonacci technical analysis: Nasdaq 100 E-mini Futures ( CME_MINI:NQ1! ) has already found resistance at the Fib level 78.6% (21,870) of my Down Fib. The January 8th Daily candle has closed below retracement Fib level 38.2% (21,414.50), and today’s Daily candle (Jan 8) has re-tested 38.2% resistance level further confirming sell signal. My Down Fib guides me to look for CME_MINI:NQ1! to eventually go down to hit first target at Fib level -27.2% (20,677).
Nasdaq CME_MINI:NQ1! – Target 1 at -27.2% (20,677), Target 2 at -61.8% (20,287) and Target 3 at -78.6 (20,097)
Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (21,547.50).
Option Traders : My NASDAQ:XND chart (Down Fib from 218.38 to 208.00) shows price to go down to Target 1 at -27.2% (205.18), Target 2 at -61.8% (201.59) and Target 3 at -78.6 (199.85)
Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (213.19).
GBPCAD Continuation SellOn the monthly, price has yet to reach the D extension. We had a shallow retracement on the monthly fib with a stall out at the 1.18 1.27 extension. We had weekly and daily rejection at 1.82XXX.
Long term picture, I see the potential for a sell down to 1.580XX. Shorter term (4HR), I see two possibilities, price could begin to retrace from current 4HR level 1.759XX or push down to the second Weekly level at 1.749XX and retrace back up to the 38.2 1.776X where we have 4HR resistance. The retracement up could be tradeable.
For this leg of price, I see the potential for a sell to 1.739X with further downside potential to 1.716XX. At 1.7166X I think it will be time to re-evaluate once we see how price reacts at this level.
Mastering Fibonacci in TradingMastering Fibonacci in Trading
Unlock the secrets of Fibonacci and its applications in trading. Learn how to utilize this powerful tool to find optimal entry and exit points, manage risks, and enhance your trading strategies.
What is Fibonacci?
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones. The sequence begins as follows:
The sequence is named after the Italian mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci, who introduced it to Western mathematics in his book Liber Abaci in 1202. One of the fascinating properties of this sequence is the ratio between successive numbers, which converges to approximately 1.618—known as the Golden Ratio .
The Golden Ratio and Its Significance
The Golden Ratio (1.618) and its inverse (0.618) appear frequently in nature, art, architecture, and financial markets. In trading, these ratios, along with derivatives like 0.382 and 0.786, are used to identify potential support and resistance levels.
How Fibonacci Became a Trading Tool
Traders and analysts observed that price movements often respect Fibonacci levels, retracing or extending along these key points. This led to the creation of Fibonacci-based tools, such as:
Fibonacci Retracement : Used to identify potential reversal levels during pullbacks.
Fibonacci Extension : Helps forecast profit-taking levels during trends.
Fibonacci Arcs, Fans, and Time Zones : Advanced tools for multi-dimensional analysis.
Using Fibonacci in Trading
Step 1: Identifying the Swing High and Swing Low
Select a clear price movement, either an uptrend or a downtrend, and mark the highest point (swing high) and lowest point (swing low).
Step 2: Applying Fibonacci Retracement
Using the Fibonacci tool on platforms like TradingView, draw from the swing low to the swing high (for uptrends) or from the swing high to the swing low (for downtrends). Key levels to monitor are:
0.236 (23.6%)
0.382 (38.2%)
0.5 (50%)
0.618 (61.8%)
0.786 (78.6%)
These levels often act as support or resistance zones.
ICT Optimal Trade Entry Zone
Fibonacci retracement levels have been widely used by traders, from traditional to Smart Money concepts. While technical analysis has evolved, traditional tools like Fibonacci retracement levels still hold their relevance. A modern adaptation of this is the ICT Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) concept.
The Fibonacci level range from 62% (0.618) to 79% (0.786) is known as the Optimal Trade Entry Zone . This zone is critical for identifying high-probability reversal points during retracements.
Bullish Setup : In an uptrend, the OTE zone provides a favorable entry point when the price pulls back to this area, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish trend.
Bearish Setup : In a downtrend, the OTE zone serves as a resistance area where the price is likely to reverse and continue its downward trajectory.
The Golden Pocket
The zone between the 0.618 and 0.650 levels is also referred to as the "Golden Pocket," emphasizing its importance as a high-probability area for price reversals or trend continuation.
Combining Fibonacci with Other Tools
Fibonacci works best when combined with other technical analysis tools:
Candlestick Patterns : Confirmation signals for reversals or continuations.
Trendlines : Validate key Fibonacci levels.
Volume Analysis : Assess the strength of price movements near Fibonacci levels.
ICT Strategies : Use concepts like mitigation blocks or liquidity voids to refine entry points in the OTE zone.
Practical Applications
Scalping: Use Fibonacci on shorter timeframes to identify intraday opportunities.
Swing Trading: Combine Fibonacci retracements with trend analysis for multi-day trades.
Long-Term Investing: Employ Fibonacci on weekly or monthly charts to identify major turning points.
Conclusion
Fibonacci tools are essential for any trader looking to enhance their market analysis. By mastering these tools, including the ICT Optimal Trade Entry concept, you can:
Identify optimal entry and exit points.
Manage risks more effectively.
Gain deeper insights into market behavior.
Start experimenting with Fibonacci today on TradingView and discover how it can transform your trading strategy!
Wave C Correction, are we ready to reverse? Currently we are in Wave C correction, the last wave of correction in this 12345abc structure.
We got support at a YELLOW support trend line that started since Nov.
Currently Wave C is in between 0.5 to 0.618 FIB Extension of Wave A.
Ideally I'd like to see Wave C correct to at least to 0.618 Extension of Wave A.
So if the yellow support line fail, we will see if it hold the 0.618 extension of Wave A Level
Or what's after that would be 0.786 extension of Wave A, or a 0.618 retracement of the previous 12345 Impulse wave patter.
Fundamental can play into the Fib level I mentioned, we can have a slow chop down to those level until US president take office and announce his plan to improve the country's economic outlook.
To simplify what I mentioned above, here is our support target for entry (trade at your own risk)
$3110.96 (0.618 extension of Wave A).
$3029.16 (0.618 retracement of the 12345 Impulse Wave Structure).
$2942.10 (0.786 extension of Wave A).
$2735.29 (0.786 retracement of the 12345 Impulse Wave Structure).
$2727 (1.0 extension of Wave A)
Happy trading, don't catch the falling knife.
Bitcoin - Why is everyone wrong about the upcoming moveEveryone is turning very bullish again on BTC and altcoins. I really don't think it will be that easy; the whales need liquidity and make money before pushing the price higher. From a technical perspective, there is no confirmation of an uptrend, but let's take a look at the details.
First of all, let's take a look at the huge ascending channel. The price respects both trendlines very precisely. On 17. December, Bitcoin hit the top of the channel and got rejected from it. It would definitely make sense if the price now retests the middle of the channel, which is currently at around 85k.
Second, we still have a completely unfilled and untested FVG (Fair Value GAP) on the daily chart. This GAP is between 85k and 77k. This price action should be tested.
Third, we have a pretty significant head-and-shoulders reversal pattern at the top of the trend. This pattern looks pretty solid, there is a lot of liquidity below it. All stop losses from traders and liquidations on the futures market. If you see multiple swing lows next to each other, you may be pretty sure that the price will go here and sweep the liquidity.
Fourth, from the Elliott Wave perspective, we have finished wave (3) of an impulse wave larger degree. We should make an ABC correction, so I think we are in wave (4). After we finish this correction, we start wave (5). This will bring the price of Bitcoin to an all-time high. I expect Bitcoin to hit around 125k.
Fifth, let's take a look at the RSI indicator. On the daily chart, there is clearly a downtrend. The line makes lower lows and lower highs. Also, we can see a bearish divergence. This is not an uptrend, but a downtrend.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BTC Pump Stalls: Here's Why & Here's Where Price Can Go NextAs I stated in my earlier analysis, rejections come from predictable levels, so it shouldn't come as a surprise that, today's pump ran into resistance at the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. The big question now is: What comes next?
Once Bitcoin bulls regain momentum, push past this resistance, and return to price discovery with new all-time highs, the next levels of resistance are just as predictable.
Key Levels to Watch:
110K – Psychological Resistance, but don't expect it to hold
Why it Matters: Round numbers like 110K often act as psychological barriers where traders take profits.
122.5K – Measured Move from the Cup & Handle
Why it Matters: This technical target aligns with the bullish Cup & Handle pattern currently playing out. It’s a critical level to watch, though it may not hold as the final cycle top.
Lifetime Channel
Why it Matters: If Bitcoin continues climbing, the lower end of the Lifetime Channel becomes a likely candidate for the next major resistance. I consider this to be the “glass ceiling” on price discovery. If BTC bulls can reclaim that channel, 7 figure BTC becomes a realistic target in the next 10 years.
Fibonacci Extensions
Targets to Watch: The 2.618, 3.618, and 4.618 Fib levels represent technical resistance zones. I personally view those last 2 upper Fib levels as lower probability extremes, but I never rule anything out of the Wild West of Crypto. The exact level this cycle tops at depends on the timing and the specific factors that are influencing price action at that time.
My Take: Where Does the Cycle Top Live?
While 122.5K is a key target, the cycle top could extend closer to the 150K range, with a possibility of testing the Lifetime Channel or higher Fibonacci levels. The market will ultimately decide, but understanding these predictable levels can help traders stay ahead of the curve.
Up Only Doesn't Exist: While I am MACRO bullish on BTC and it's fun to talk about massive upside targets, don't allow yourself to buy into the so called "up only" narrative. Somewhere along the way, there will be one or more deep corrections in the 20% - 50% range. Don't let that correction become your liquidation event!
What’s Your Cycle Top Target?
Where do you think Bitcoin’s bull run will peak, and why? Let me know in the comments.
XRP/USD BULL FLAGS + FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT & EXTENSION XRP/USD Looks to be forming another Bull Flag. Last 2 Bull Flags (shown here with Green lines for the Flags and Blue lines as poles/pointers) ended in nice run-ups...
Fib Retrace on Daily shows price action pulled right back into the Golden Pocket after hitting most recent ATH. Met strong support at Golden Pocket as expected, so I'd expect it to remain bullish as long as it remains above $1.8.
To the upside, the Fib Extension shows Golden Pocket right at Prev ATH (obviously, since the retrace pulled back into Golden pocket on downside move), so this may be a strong resistance/rejection level, before XRP can breakthrough and run up to what I see as it's next important level - at $3.5.
What are your thoughts here?
XLM - 1hr Chart TA by GrokAI
Given the 1-hour chart of XLM/USD, here's an in-depth technical analysis:
Price Action & Trend Analysis:
Current Price: $0.449910 USD, showing a recent test of lower levels after a peak near $0.49.
Trend: The price has been in a downward trend but seems to be finding support around the $0.45 level. This could be a pivot point for either a bounce back or a breakdown.
Moving Averages:
200-period SMA (Simple Moving Average): The price is trading below this long-term average, indicating a bearish sentiment over a longer time frame.
50-period SMA: The price has also dipped below this shorter-term average, reinforcing the bearish outlook in the short term.
Volume:
The volume appears subdued, suggesting a lack of strong buying or selling pressure. This might indicate consolidation or a wait for a market catalyst.
Fibonacci Retracement:
The chart shows Fibonacci retracement levels from a recent swing low to high. Key levels to watch:
0.382 at $0.41841100: This could be a strong support level if the price continues to decline.
0.5 at $0.43855500: A test of this level could indicate further resistance or support, depending on price action.
Indicators:
Stochastic RSI: Positioned below 50, indicating a potential bearish phase or preparation for a bounce if it turns upwards.
MACD: While not visible in the provided image, typically, if the MACD line were below the signal line, it would suggest bearish momentum. Conversely, a crossover above the signal line would be bullish.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): At 45.57, it's neutral but shows a bearish divergence (price makes higher highs while RSI makes lower highs), which could precede a price drop if support doesn't hold.
Support and Resistance:
Support: Around $0.418 (0.382 Fib level). If broken, the next support could be lower, around previous lows or psychological levels.
Resistance: Near current price levels and above at $0.462 (0.5 Fib level).
Strategy:
For Sellers: Consider entering on a confirmed break below $0.418 with stops just above this level to manage risk.
For Buyers: Look for bullish signals or a clear reversal pattern forming near the $0.418 support, with stops below this level.
Market Sentiment:
Given the bearish signals from moving averages and RSI divergence, the market might be leaning towards further downside unless supported by volume increase or positive news.
Final Thoughts:
Always watch for volume spikes which could confirm the current trend or indicate a reversal.
Keep an eye on global crypto market sentiment, as XLM often correlates with broader market movements.
Use additional tools like trend lines, chart patterns, or other indicators for confirmation before making trading decisions.
This analysis provides a snapshot based on the given chart. Always combine technical analysis with fundamental analysis and risk management for the best trading outcomes.
Bitcoin - Final Crash! Prepare to buy, new ATH soon.Bitcoin is ready for the final crash to around 85k! This is an excellent buying opportunity on the spot market, or you can use leverage on futures. I expect Bitcoin to hit 125k in 2025.
85k is a strong support because it's the start of the FVG (Fair Value GAP). It's the first major point and major support on this chart. Expect a strong rebound from this level. It's possible that Bitcoin will go a little bit lower to 83,842. This is also significant support because it's the 1:1 FIB extension from wave A to wave B. Bitcoin always reacts to this FIB extension; it's the most popular.
After we complete the C wave, we are ready to start a new impulse wave and start a new bull market. Also, I expect an altseason to kick in; for example, Ethereum should overpower Bitcoin. The Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) chart is on a strong resistance.
I think the plan is clear; 2025 will be very successful! Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GBPAUD BuyI believe we are still in an uptrend to 2.16XXX.
On the lower timeframe, price had so much momentum to the upside, we did not have a fibonacci retracement of at least 38.2. Price stalled out at the 1.18 and 1.27 D extension and sold to the 61.8 level.
I believe the 4HR fib is still active and needs to complete.
I think our next stop is 2.063XX to finish out the current sequence.
4HR and Daily stochastic are in the buy zones.