DXY: Deep Dive Analysis And Its Impact on Other Assets✨Welcome to my channel. Here, we conduct a daily analysis of crypto projects and forex pairs.
📅 Today's Analysis : Today, we'll be diving into the Forex market and analyzing the DXY index.
🔄 Previous Analysis Recap : In our last analysis, we reviewed this index in the weekly and monthly timeframes, incorporating fundamental analysis based on US interest rates and economic conditions. We noted that if support at 100.883 is broken, the price might start a downward movement. Today, we'll delve into the weekly, daily, and 4-hour timeframes to examine the smaller cycles and waves of this index.
📰 News Overview : Let's start with significant US news. The most noteworthy event is the incident involving Donald Trump, the Republican representative, who luckily survived. This incident has swayed many votes towards Trump, and positive discussions about him are trending on social media. This happened on a Sunday, so its impact on the Forex market was limited, but it immediately influenced the crypto market. Given Trump's support for crypto, Bitcoin saw a 2% upward candle and continued a short-term upward trend.
On the other hand, the situation for Democrats isn't looking good. Joe Biden, their representative, seems unlikely to win based on his debate performances. The general sentiment on social media favors Trump, and with the power of media, it seems likely that Trump will be the next US president. If Trump wins, we might see growth in the crypto market due to his supportive stance.
📅 Weekly Timeframe [/b
In this timeframe, after a significant price rise, the correction began, and the price dropped from the 113.305 peak to the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 100.883. It has since formed a long-term range between 100.883 and 106.630 since late 2022. Within this range, there's a symmetrical triangle pattern, and we are in the last third of the triangle with reduced price fluctuations between 104.039 and 106.121.
🎯 If the price gains downward momentum, our target can be 100.883. If it breaks the 106.121 resistance, the price will enter a strong supply zone between 106.121 and 106.630. For more details on this zone, we should move to the daily timeframe.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In this timeframe, I've adjusted the support and resistance levels for more precision. The supply zone between 106.338 and 107.017 is crucial because the price faked out below the trendline once and bounced back up from the 100.883 static support, indicating a strong upward trend. However, it failed to penetrate this supply zone and was rejected at 106.338 without reaching the main resistance at 107.017.
📉 Last week's candle closed below the trendline, but I don't consider this breakout valid yet as it could be another fake-out, with the price bouncing from the nearest support and resuming its upward movement. I'll wait to see if the 104.039 support holds before confirming the trendline break. If this support breaks and the price stabilizes below it, a downward wave may begin, targeting 102.668 and then 100.883.
📈 If the price bounces back up from 104.039, the nearest resistance is at 106.338, a very strong supply zone.
🧩 Given the fundamental conditions and the break of 38.71 support in the RSI oscillator, a price decline seems more likely, but nothing is certain. If I see bullish signs and confirmations according to my trading strategy, I will adjust my view. The market is always changing, and one should not be biased towards a previous analysis.
📅 4-Hour Timeframe: This timeframe is too noisy for detailed analysis, so I'll focus on triggers and key points.
📈 If the price stabilizes above 104.524 and forms a higher high and low, we might see a Failure Swing pattern, indicating a trend change per Dow Theory. If this pattern completes, we can consider the market bullish in the 4-hour timeframe. Breaking the 50 level in RSI could provide additional confirmation.
⚡️ Next resistances are 105.162 and 106.121.
📉 For a bearish scenario, the 4-hour trigger aligns with the daily, and a break below 104.039 would suggest a downward move.
🔍 Let's look at the DXY's impact on Gold and Bitcoin.
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
If the USD strengthens, Bitcoin might see another correction wave to the 56k and 47k levels. If the USD weakens, new ATHs for Bitcoin could be on the horizon.
🧲 Given Bitcoin's strong upward momentum and the visible curved trendline, we can target 130k for Bitcoin if the USD's value drops.
🥇 Gold Analysis
Gold has significant upward momentum and is currently recording new ATHs. If the DXY declines further, gold could target $2800.
🔑If the DXY strengthens, gold might correct to around $2000, but this seems unlikely as gold typically has minor corrections and maintains a long-term upward trend.
⚠️Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Fibonacci Extension
TRIP.com / Beginning of Up Trend Stock Beginning of the trend Stock, breaking the Wyckoff accumulation Phase
and has Volume Profile Normal Distribution Support
The volume from Accumulation Phase has not yet been sold out. It can continue with accumulated volume with first target at 261.8 Fibonacci Retracement and cluster with 161.8 of Fibonacci Extension.
Strategy Buy on dip at 368 - 390 for buy set 1 and if the price drops to 368, there is still buy set 2 at prices 330-355 by waiting for Reversal Pattern.
Trading in your plan with your faith,
C.Goii Super Trader
Bitcoin's Parabolic Potential & MANA's Key Levels Revealed📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. We are focusing on the crypto market, where we've seen an upward move, and Bitcoin is at a critical and exciting position. The coin I'll be analyzing today is MANA.
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
🔍 Bitcoin Technical Analysis
In the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin has started to correct after reaching the 59323 support level and has now created a bullish structure in this timeframe, reaching the 63700 resistance level. A correction to 0.382 of this upward wave has been made, creating a box between 36700 and 62634.
🧲 Trend Line Analysis
Additionally, there is a curved trend line supporting the price. Since this line is curved, it could trigger a parabolic movement in the market. Conversely, if this trend line breaks, we might witness another sharp drop in the market.
📊 Volume Analysis
The market volume is ranging and is neither converging with buyers nor sellers. The direction will likely depend on which side increases its volume.
📈 Long Position Strategy
Long Position: We can enter a long position with a break above 63700, targeting 64530 as the first target. A riskier trigger is at 63122. RSI stabilization above the 55.87 resistance can act as confirmation for these positions.
📉 Short Position Strategy
Short Position: For a short position, first wait for a candle to stabilize below the curved trend line and activate the 62634 trigger. The second trigger is breaking the trend line at 62168. The RSI confirmation trigger is at 40.72.
🔍 MANA Analysis
🗂 Project Overview
Decentraland is a crypto and metaverse project where everyone can buy land and introduce their projects to others. The native token of this platform is MANA, and all transactions on this platform are conducted using this token.
🧲 Trend Line Analysis
In the 4-hour timeframe, this coin has started a downward trend from 0.4832 and dropped to the 0.3170 support level. After reaching this support, it corrected up to 0.236 and created a range box. This coin also has an upward curved trend line that could trigger a parabolic movement in the coin.
📈 Long Position Strategy
Long Position: Stabilizing the candle above the 0.236 area could push the price upward, creating bullish momentum to move towards the 0.5 Fibonacci area, which coincides with 0.3896. For this position, buying volume must enter the market, and the RSI trigger is at 59.26.
📉 Short Position Strategy
Short Position: For a short position, first wait for the curved trend line to break. For additional confirmation, we have two triggers: the first is at 0.3287, and the second is at 0.3170. If these levels break, we can expect the price to move down to 0.2792 based on Fibonacci Extension. Personally, I would open a position with a break below 0.3170 only if the selling volume increases and the RSI is below 50. Otherwise, I will wait for a break below 0.2792.
📝 Conclusion
In conclusion, both Bitcoin and MANA are showing critical levels that could determine their next major moves. Bitcoin's parabolic potential hinges on its curved trend line support, while MANA's future depends on its range and trend line dynamics. Keep an eye on the volume and RSI confirmations for better entry points.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
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Gold Analysis in Forex Market📅 Let's get into today's analysis. I've decided to focus more on Forex analyses, and today we're analyzing gold with the main timeframe being daily. I'll be looking at the chart solely from a technical analysis perspective.
🔍 In the daily timeframe, as you can see, after breaking the 2075 resistance level, bullish momentum entered the market, and we managed to move up to the 2425 resistance level. After this sharp upward movement, the market entered a correction phase and corrected down to 2289. Currently, the price is ranging between the 0.236 Fibonacci level and the 2425 resistance. I believe that until the SMA99 reaches the price, new bullish momentum could enter the market, and you can confirm this momentum by a break above 2425. If the candle closes below the 0.236 Fibonacci level, we might move down to the Golden Zone of Fibonacci, which lies between 0.5 and 0.618.
🧩 There is also a minor trend line that the price has reacted to three times so far, which could be a key determinant for future price movements.
🧲 Regarding the SMA99, it has the property of creating significant distances when the market is trending. However, it eventually acts like a black hole, pulling the price towards it. This is happening after the rejection at 2425, and I believe the price will range until it meets the SMA99. Additionally, this SMA acts as a support and resistance level, potentially supporting the price once it reaches it and pushing the price upward.
📈 For a long position on the daily timeframe, it seems appropriate to wait for a break of the trend line and a confirmation above the 2425 area. The target for this move, based on Fibonacci extension, could be 2759. However, this target is quite high, and if the price aims to reach it, it will likely be a long-term move.
📉 For a short position, breaking below 2289 serves as a good trigger. If the price stabilizes below this level, it might move down to the area between 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels. This position is quite risky as the High Wave Cycle for gold is bullish, and this move in the Low Wave Cycle could be filled with noise.
For shorter-term positions, it's better to look at the 4-hour timeframe. In this timeframe, we have a long-term range box and a significant support area at the 0.236 Fibonacci level on the daily chart. There’s no need to extend the analysis here; I’ll just discuss the entry triggers.
📈 For long positions, we have three different triggers. The first trigger is at 2338, which is the riskiest one with a target of 2365. The next trigger is at 2365 with a target of 2439. The final trigger is at 2439.
📉 For short positions, there's a very risky position with a trigger at 2320, and the second trigger is the break of the support area.
♟ Now, let me explain how I personally trade with each trigger. For the long trigger at 2338, I open positions in lower timeframes such as the 1-hour chart and set a small stop loss to quickly reach a risk-reward ratio of 2, which is my first target, with minimal risk. For the 2365 trigger, I open a position with normal risk and a regular stop loss size. For the 2439 trigger, I open a position with a larger stop loss because the trigger is at an all-time high (ATH) and represents a very strong supply zone. For short positions, I do not open any until the price stabilizes below the support area.
📝In summary, gold is currently in a ranging phase between the 0.236 Fibonacci level and the 2425 resistance level. Depending on the break above 2425 or below 2289, there are opportunities for long or short positions, respectively. For those trading in shorter timeframes, key entry triggers and careful risk management are essential to navigate the market effectively.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
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Nifty Higher Highs! Nifty has been seen gone bonkers and making swift moments upwards, without giving any breather to option writers. India VIX too marching along nifty(as suggested in previous post).
Here in this study, on the left, I highlight the fund managers' chart or Quarterly Chart of Nifty. With help of #Elliot wave principles, I have marked the #Fibonacci Extension level on the lifetime chart of Nifty. Interestingly, Fibonacci levels have acted as major #Resistances. We have see big corrections only at these levels. We had expected Nifty to spend some more time at 2.6 Fib levels or 18000. But, Nifty has surpassed this 2.6 Fib Level and now heading towards 3.6 Level or ~24250. Before that I do not foresee any major correction! Note how Quarterly 50 EMA as been the lifeline or rock solid #support, even in time of distress.
On the right, is the post-covid rise of Nifty on Monthly time-frame. I have plotted EMAs and MACD. Very beautifully price has mostly been above monthly 5 EMA to continue its upwards journey. Monthly 13 EMA and 26 EMA have acted like good support, ideal for swing entries. Currently price has broken out of the 2023 #Flag&Pole pattern. Zooming towards the next Target ~24250.
Here I would like to draw your attention on #MACD. The rise after the covid-fall had given us positive crossover. And it is only now that we are getting a positive crossover which has now sustained with the flag breakout and aiming upwards. Isn't it a great confirmation.
It is buy on dips all the way, provided you get those dips now ;-)
Note: Current Monthly candle is still a running candle. It can even close at lower levels or turn negative. So is the case with the Quarterly candle. But this will not change our view. Our view will still be bullish towards our next target ~24250, just that the momentum might get slow and that we might take more time to reach our target.
Market Insights: Navigating Bitcoin and DYDX📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. The market continues to range, and Bitcoin had a fake breakout yesterday, returning to its range box. Today, it might finally find a suitable condition for a long position. Today's altcoin focus is DYDX, which presents a good shorting opportunity.
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
🔄 As usual, I'm analyzing Bitcoin in the 1-hour timeframe. We had a short entry trigger at 60718, but after breaking this level, the price couldn't continue its downtrend and returned to its range box. If you entered on very low timeframes like 15 minutes, you probably hit a risk-to-reward ratio of 2 and hit your target. However, if you entered in the 1-hour timeframe like me, you would have hit your stop loss, which happened to me as well.
🔍 Now, let's find today's trading triggers. After the fake breakout, we can say the first sign of buyers entering the market was seen. However, it's Saturday, and the volume is very low, so we can't say that buyers are showing a weak trend. I think it's better to stay away from the market today and tomorrow due to low volume, but we should check the market every few hours because we might miss a sharp move.
📈 For a long position, I personally will wait for the 62168 trigger, as it will likely take some time for the price to reach it. By then, the weekend will be over, and the market will have more logical volume. If the trigger breaks quickly before the weekend ends, we can conclude the market has momentum, making it viable to open a position.
📉 For a short position, 60718 is still suitable, but if the price revisits and reacts to this level again, it will be even more suitable for a short. I'm not focusing much on Bitcoin short positions because DYDX has a better trigger for shorting today compared to Bitcoin.
💱 DYDX Analysis
🗂 Let's move on to DYDX. There's no need to explain the project in detail because I covered it fully in previous analyses. However, to give a brief summary, DYDX is a decentralized platform where you can open positions. For more details, you can check out past analyses. If you want a comprehensive analysis of DYDX covering all timeframes and a detailed project explanation, let me know in the comments, and I'll do that for you.
🔍 In the 4-hour timeframe, as you can see, there's a downtrend starting from the break of 1.935 down to 1.306. Drawing a Fibonacci retracement, we see it corrected up to 0.382 and formed a range box between 1.1306 and 1.505. On a smaller scale, there's a smaller range box between 1.434 and 1.343.
📈 For a long position, we can enter after breaking 1.434, aiming for 1.505. The next trigger is breaking 1.505, which could move the price towards 0.618. The final target for this position is 1.794.
📉 For a short position, we have two triggers: 1.343 and 1.306. If the price makes another downward move, it can reach 1.030, a level indicated by the Fibonacci extension.
📊 For all triggers, note that volume should increase in the direction of the position you want to open. Otherwise, we have a divergence, and the trend can't be trusted.
🧩 Regarding RSI, there's an ascending triangle. If the trendline of this triangle or the 57.16 resistance breaks, it confirms the activation of this pattern, providing a confirmation for the position you want to open. The trendline break trigger is 36.71.
📝Both Bitcoin and DYDX are at pivotal points. Bitcoin's low weekend volume suggests caution, while DYDX presents clear short and long opportunities based on the triggers discussed. Monitor volume closely and ensure confirmations through RSI patterns to make well-informed trading decisions.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Bitcoin - Ultimate 2025 target + Name your coinBitcoin should bounce soon from the 62,400 level and continue in the bull market to an all-time high. Why 62,400? All details are in my previous analysis in the related section down below.
Critical news:
Looking at AI-generated images and listening to AI music causes internal mental bleeding. Regulations on AI will follow. Bad news for AI crypto coins? (Source: X).
Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy Acquires 11.9K More Bitcoin for $786M. The company now holds 226,331 bitcoins worth just shy of $15 billion. The company's bitcoins were purchased at an average price of $36,798 each. (Source: CoinDesk).
To establish the ultimate profit target for the whole bull run, we need to use the Fibonacci extension and Elliott Wave theory. Throw away all Fibonacci levels on Bitcoin and use only following that works: 0.382, 0.500, 0.618, 1.000, 1.382, 1.618, 2.000, 2.382, 2.618, 3.000 etc......First, we need to make an Elliott Wave count, and after that, we can use the Fibonacci extension tool. As per my Elliott Wave count, we are in the final wave (5) of the whole bull cycle. That means we are in an impulse wave (1)(2)(3)(4)(5) and finishing the fifth wave. In general, to establish the profit target for wave (5), we need to use the Fibonacci extension tool from the start of the bull market, to wave (3), to wave (4). Usually, we want to target the 0.382 fib extension or the 0.618 fib extension. But in this case, it seems to be too low, so I am targeting a 1:1 FIB extension because of the wave (2) look. This gives us a profit target of 114,853.
Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Also, name your coin in the comment section and I will tell you my opinion + TA. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
DXY Weekly Analysis and Its Impact on Forex PairsLet's dive into today's analysis. Today, I want to share a Forex analysis with you, focusing on the DXY index. The timeframe for this analysis is weekly, but we'll also take a look at other timeframes.
🧲 Long-Term Support
First, let's examine the curved trend line on the monthly timeframe, which has been significant since 2008, acting like a magnet attracting the price. This trend line is a crucial support for the dollar and has kept the overall trend of the dollar bullish for years.
🔑 Key Resistance Levels
Additionally, in this timeframe, if we apply a Fibonacci extension from the previous wave, we see that the top of this wave, which corresponds to 113.7, has completed at the 1 level. If this peak is breached, we could move up to 1.618, which is 131. However, there's a significant resistance at 119.76.
📰 Interest Rates and Economic Outlook
Given that the US interest rate is already high, it's unlikely to increase further beyond 5.5% as it could harm the US economy in the long term. On the other hand, inflation has reached 3.25%, nearing the 2% target. Therefore, there's no reason to raise interest rates further. If they start reducing the interest rates, we could see an uptrend in stock markets like crypto and renowned global stocks such as Apple, Microsoft, Tesla, etc. If this happens, the DXY trend will turn bearish and could potentially drop back to the 89.59 support.
📅 Weekly Timeframe Analysis
In the weekly timeframe, the curved trend line is also evident, and the price is near this trend. Drawing Fibonacci from the previous wave shows that the price has bounced back from the 0.5 level, overlapping with the old support at 101.195, and has created a range box between this area and the 0.236 level at 106.723, forming since late 2022.
📈 If 106.723 is breached, we could target 113.701 and the next target at 119.76. However, due to anticipated rate cuts, I believe the USD will remain bearish and won't go beyond 113.
📉 For a decline, if 101.195 breaks and the Federal Reserve starts lowering rates, we could expect a drop to the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels, which are 98.023 and 94.374, respectively.
🔎 RSI Indicator
The RSI is ranging between 66.02 and 34.17. Given that FOMO is less powerful in the Forex market compared to crypto, if we reach either of these numbers, it might be time to take profits as the trend could weaken.
💵 Impact on EURUSD and USDCAD
🇪🇺 EUR/USD
If the DXY drops, we might see the EUR/USD break the 1.1064 resistance, and even move towards 1.1205, and then target 1.16588 and 1.22423. However, 1.22423 seems distant and unrealistic given Europe's current strength.
In case of a DXY increase, the EUR/USD could head towards the historical low of 0.96801 after breaking 1.05195, though it's likely to find support sooner.
🇨🇦 USD/CAD
For USD/CAD, a rising DXY could push it to 1.43687 after breaking 1.38713. Conversely, if the DXY drops, the trend line might break, and after breaking 1.31457, it could move towards 1.20374.
📝 Conclusion
In summary, the DXY index is at a critical juncture with significant supports and resistances on both the monthly and weekly timeframes. Anticipated changes in US interest rates could significantly impact its trend. While the USD may see some strength in the short term, a long-term bearish trend seems likely, particularly if interest rates begin to decrease. This will, in turn, affect major Forex pairs like EUR/USD and USD/CAD, with potential bullish moves in EUR/USD and bearish moves in USD/CAD depending on the DXY's movement. Always remember to conduct thorough research and apply sound risk management in your trading strategies.
IMX Analysis: Daily Review and Bitcoin Update🔍Let's dive into today's analysis. Today, we're focusing on the IMX coin, examining it in the daily timeframe. But before we get into that, as usual, let's review the daily Bitcoin analysis and provide an update on yesterday's analysis in the 1-hour timeframe.
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
1-Hour Timeframe
Bitcoin analysis is in the 1-hour timeframe. As mentioned yesterday, the market needs to establish a new structure. Given that today is Saturday and market volume is low, it is advisable not to open any positions today and tomorrow.
📈 After the recent drop, we saw a slight upward movement with very low volume, which appears to be a pullback to 64530, overlapping with the middle line of the descending channel. If selling volume enters the market simultaneously with a rejection from this area, despite it being Saturday, I might open my position with less risk. The target for this position could be the channel's bottom or 63343.
🔑 Breaking 44.53 can be a good confirmation for this risky short position.
⚠️ Currently, I don't have a trigger for a long position and won't open one until buying volume enters the market. If you want to open a long position, breaking 64530 could be suitable, but I don't recommend opening a position with this trigger, and I won't either.
🎮 IMX Analysis
🔫Overview
IMX operates in the field of crypto games, providing infrastructure for other projects. It allows both game creation and gameplay within its ecosystem, making it a comprehensive platform for enthusiasts of crypto games and play-to-earn models.
📅Daily Timeframe
Looking at the chart in the daily timeframe, the first thing that stands out is the head and shoulders pattern, with its trigger already activated. This pattern emerged from the coin's upward movement from 0.4915 to 3.6567, with the trigger appearing at the 0.382 level. Upon breaking this trigger, we can aim for the targets indicated in the chart.
🎯 The first target is the 1 Fibonacci extension point on the downside, overlapping with the 1.2463 support, forming a strong area. The second target is an extremely strong area for several reasons: it is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension point and one of the most important support levels for this coin. Additionally, it is the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement point and the first target of the head and shoulders pattern.
🔻 Currently, the trend for this coin appears bearish. Breaking 23.75 in RSI can introduce more downward momentum into the market. However, for a long or spot purchase, I'll wait until the price moves above the 1.7739 area and RSI breaks 39.60. Only then will I consider a long position.
📝 In summary, while the current market sentiment for both Bitcoin and IMX is bearish, careful observation of key levels and triggers can present potential trading opportunities. For Bitcoin, caution is advised with low market volume over the weekend. For IMX, the head and shoulders pattern indicates possible downward targets, but significant levels must be watched for potential reversal signals. Always wait for volume confirmation to avoid false moves and optimize your trading decisions.
Bitcoin - historical bull trap! + Name your altcoinMake sure you prepare for this huge historical bullish trap on Bitcoin. Why? First, look at the price action. We have a bullish flag, that's what everyone sees. The market makers count every cent on their accounts, and this is a pretty good opportunity for them to make a lot of money by trapping retail traders. What will a typical retail trader do in this situation? Probably buy/long BTC at around 71k to 75k. That's where the whales step in and start selling, sending BTC back to 63k!
Why 63k? This is a strong support because we have an unfilled FVGAP + Point of control (POC) of the previous market structure. I really don't see any bullish sentiment during the summer season, as statistically, Bitcoin has been going sideways.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, we are in wave 5 of the first impulse wave, which is of course very bullish for the long-term, but buying at the end of wave 5 is probably not a good idea. What successful traders generally do is wait for an ABC corrective pattern to form before buying.
In the comment section, name your altcoin, and I will make a technical analysis for you and my opinion! Please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
ETHEREUM ETF Can SEND $ETH to $7300The Bitcoin etf
Basically doubled the price of #BTC
from the lows post etf trading to our recent peak in March
A similar outcome and performance for Ethereum
Would send #ETH to the 1.618 Fib extension
This would be epic for altcoins, memecoins and DEFI
what do you think
do you agree?
Pulse of an Asset via Fibonacci: AAPL at ATH Impulse Redux"Impulse" is a surge that creates "Ripples", like a pebble into water.
"Impulse Redux" is returning of wave to the original source of energy.
"Impulse Core" is the zone of maximum energy, in the Golden Pocket.
Are the sellers still there? Enough to absorb the buying power?
Reaction at Impulse is worth observing closely to gauge energy.
Rejection is expected on at least first approach if not several.
Part of my ongoing series to collect examples of my Methodology: (click links below)
Chapter 1: Introduction and numerous Examples
Chapter 2: Detailed views and Wave Analysis
Chapter 3: The Dreaded 9.618: Murderer of Moves
Chapter 4: Impulse Redux: Return to Birth place <= Current Example
Chapter 5: Golden Growth: Parabolic Expansions
Chapter 6: Give me a ping Vasili: one Ping only
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Ordered Chaos
every Wave is born from Impulse,
like a Pebble into Water.
every Pebble bears its own Ripples,
gilded of Ratio Golden.
every Ripple behaves as its forerunner,
setting the Pulse.
each line Gains its Gravity.
each line Tried and Tested.
each line Poised to Reflect.
every Asset Class behaves this way.
every Time Frame displays its ripples.
every Brain Chord rings these rhythms.
He who Understands will be Humble.
He who Grasps will observe the Order.
He who Ignores will behold only Chaos.
Ordered Chaos
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want to Learn a little More?
can you Spend a few Moments?
click the Links under Related.
GOLD - Starting another wave up to 2720 (+17%)GOLD is in a strong bull market, that's for sure. The key to success is to trade with a trend to increase the probability of your decisions. GOLD is likely to make a multiyear bull market and can double or triple in price in a few years.
Of course, if you hold GOLD, that's very smart for the upcoming years. But right now, we need to take a look at short-term opportunities for swing and day traders. What I generally recommend is to trade with the bullish trend and employ only long-term strategies. Avoid shorting GOLD in general. As you can see on my chart, we have an ascending parallel channel, and the price is near its dynamic support upward-sloping trendline. What we want to do here is enter a long position.
Also, my Elliott Wave count suggests that GOLD is going to make another 2 huge waves to the upside in the following few weeks. Always start making your Elliott Wave count from the bottom of the trend. This trend started on October 5, 2023. If you see something like (1)(2)(1)(2) at the start of a trend, it is called an Elliott Wave nest, a strong bullish setup. This occurs very often on the stock market and in Bitcoin, so make sure you learn this technique. Overall, I am very bullish on GOLD and if you trade futures, you can make good money with leverage.
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Bitcoin - 300,000 USD by 2025, here is why!There is almost no doubt that Bitcoin will continue in the bull market in 2024/2025. After the ETF approval, Bitcoin is going up as institutional investors gain confidence in this type of investment. But what all people want to know is when to sell Bitcoin and prepare for the next bear market. Bitcoin's bear markets are very devastating, and the usual correction is around 80% - 70% from the peak. That's why it's good to time a good exit point if you are a trader. If you are a hodler, then you probably have your bitcoin in a Trezor hardware wallet and you don't care about volatility, even though it's not nice to see that your portfolio is down by 70%.
To determine the exit point, we need to use technical analysis on a weekly/monthly scale. In the chart, you can see price action in recent years and all these swings during previous bear markets. We can draw a massive ascending parallel channel and take a look at the market cycles. Selling at the top of the upward-sloping trendline is definitely a good idea, but will Bitcoin offer this opportunity? Sometimes markets turn bearish just before key levels.
From a time perspective, October or September 2025 seems like the right time to sell Bitcoin and go into fiat or stable coins. Then buy again, cheaper after the crash. The 2021 peak is a strong level, and Bitcoin should never go below this level. I think Bitcoin volatility should decrease, and we should not see tremendous crashes anymore, but a 50% or 60% crash is something that is definitely very likely. Forget about 80% or 90% of the crashes that happened in 2015 or 2018.
This chart is a representation of the logarithmic scale. If you switch to a classic linear scale, we get a target for the whole bull market of only around 130,000 USD. I will do a linear scale representation in one of the next analyses, so make sure you follow my account so you don't miss this very important analysis!
Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
GOLD - Will double in price in a few years! (cup and handle)GOLD is at its all-time high levels and will continue in the price discovery action. Why? On the chart, you can see a cap and handle formation that is currently breaking out on the monthly chart. This is a huge event for gold, and therefore the price can double in a few years from now. Does it mean that we will see a multi-year bull market? Definitely yes. This cup and handle formation is fully confirmed. The monthly candle closed above the neckline of this pattern with a bullish engulfing candle.
How to trade? If you are an investor, simply buy gold and hold, you can expect a pretty good and reliable return in a few years. If you are a swing trader, I recommend trading with the trend and going for buy/long only strategies. Do not short gold on futures, as it will lower the probability of success. And if you are a day trader, also focus on long-only strategies, and you can potentially short GOLD, but only with limit orders that you put above the current price. Avoid trading bearish breakouts, as they tend to take liquidity (stop losses) and reverse.
What is the profit target for gold in 2026 or 2030? There is no historical price action, so to determine our profit targets, we need to use the Fibonacci extension tool and Elliott Wave theory with simple trendlines. On the chart, you see my Fibonacci projection (wave 1 -> wave 2). Usually, the market tends to react to the 1.0 extension, the 1.618 FIB extension, and the 2.0 extension. These are strong levels, but only for a short-term bounce. As my title says, I am expecting a huge bull market, so do not forget to follow my account to stay updated!
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
XAUUSD (GOLD) | 4H | TECHNICAL CHART | 0.618 LONG |Hello traders, I have determined the formation target on the chart. I wish everyone success.
Like and comment if you find value in our analysis.
Feel free to post your ideas and questions at the comments section.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Good luck
NZD-USD | 30M LONG | TECHNICAL CHARTHello traders, I have determined the formation target on the chart. I wish everyone success.
Like and comment if you find value in our analysis.
Feel free to post your ideas and questions at the comments section.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Good luck
New ATH after Range Shakeout ???Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a bullish pattern that suggests a potential breakout to new all-time highs (ATH). The formation of a horizontal accumulation range and a recent bullish engulfing pattern indicate a strong possibility for significant upward price movement.
Horizontal Accumulation Range:
BTC has been trading within a defined horizontal range on the daily chart for an extended period. This consolidation phase suggests that supply and demand have reached an equilibrium, creating a potential launchpad for a breakout.
Bullish Engulfing Pattern:
Recently, BTC formed a bullish engulfing pattern, where a bullish candlestick completely engulfs the preceding bearish candlestick. This pattern is a strong reversal signal, indicating a potential shift in momentum to the upside.
Anticipated Breakout and ATH Target:
Based on the horizontal accumulation range and the bullish engulfing pattern, I anticipate a breakout from the range and a surge towards new ATHs. The initial target for the breakout is the previous ATH of around $73,000, with the potential to extend further towards $80,000 or even higher.
Potential Retest and Support:
While a bullish breakout seems imminent, a potential retest to the 62,000 support level could occur before the continuation of the uptrend. This retest, if it happens, would provide an opportunity for new buyers to enter the market and reinforce the bullish momentum.
Overall Bullish Outlook:
The combination of the horizontal accumulation range, the bullish engulfing pattern, and the overall market sentiment suggests a strong bullish outlook for BTC. While there may be short-term pullbacks, the longer-term trend appears to be favoring the bulls.
Bitcoin is ready to reach a new all time high! (Buy now)Bitcoin finally revealed its direction and its bullish. On the chart we can see 2 parallel channels. The first one is currently breaking out and there is no doubt that the second parallel channel will break as well. Next resistance is exactly at the top of the first parallel channel, I am expecting a pullback from this strong dynamic line.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, the WXYXZ corrective pattern is now confirmed, so this is also a very bullish sign for the next weeks and months! On the 1h chart I can spot a strong buying activity from whales, so this also adds to my bullish bias. When new all time-high? And what is the ultimate target for this bull run in 2024/2025? I will reveal my strong technical analysis in the next post, so make sure you follow my account!
Right now it's strongly recommended to trade with the bullish trend, that means only long strategies and do not short Bitcoin on the futures market. This will increase the probability of success for your trades. I am bullish as all bearish scenarios were invalidated.
3 Best Fibonacci Tools For Forex Trading
Hey traders,
In this article, we will discuss 3 classic Fibonacci tools you must know for trading different financial markets.
1️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement
Fib.Retracement is my favorite fib.tool. It is aimed to identify strong horizontal support and resistance levels within the impulse leg .
We draw this tool based on the high and low of the impulse (from wick to wick) and it shows us POTENTIALLY strong structure levels determined by Fibonacci numbers .
Common Fib.Retracement levels are: 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786 .
Once one of the levels is reached, wait for a confirmation before you open a trading positions.
Above is the example of an application of a fibonacci retracement tool based on a bearish impulse leg on EURUSD.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Extension
Fib.Extension indicates strong horizontal support and resistance levels beyond the impulse . Similar to Fib.Retracement tool, Fib.Extension is drawn relying on impulse's high and low (from wick to wick) and it shows POTENTIALLY strong structure levels where the consequent impulses may complete based on Fibonacci number.
Common Fib.Extension levels are: 1.272, 1.414, 1.618 .
Once one of the levels is reached, wait for a confirmation before you open a trading positions.
Above is the example of fibonacci extension tool based on USDJPY based on a bullish impulse leg.
3️⃣ Fibonacci Channel
Fib.Channel shows strong vertical supports and resistances (trend lines) within the channel . The tool is drawn based on the trend line of a valid parallel channel (based on wicks) and it shows POTENTIALLY strong trend lines from where the market may retrace .
The trend lines within Fib.Channel rest on 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786 Fib.Levels .
Once one of the levels is reached, wait for a confirmation before you open a trading positions.
Above is the example of a fibonacci channel on USDCHF.
Remember that Fibonacci's are simply tools in a toolbox. In order to use them properly, you need to build a trading system around them, test it and confirm its efficiency.
#Bitcoin [ Inverted Head And Shoulders - Short Squeeze Combo ] BTCUSD has printed an allbeit slanted yet very nice inverted head and shoulders that has retested and played out perfectly so far. The measured move coincides with multiple high time frame short liquidation levels (Not marked on this chart) with the biggest level being a 6 MONTH high volume liquidation level at $74,045. This strong of a #shortsqueeze could easily amplify the measured move, which I have extended, using the 150%-161.8% fib levels. The extension also lines right up with where all short liquidation levels end on the Coinglass heat map.
BTCUSD: Monthly BHG Confirmed; Now Targeting $146,000 - $174,000Bitcoin after bouncing from a Bullish Cypher PCZ and Breaking out of a Falling Wedge has back tested the wedge as support and has closed bullishly above the backtest and now we have a confirmed Break-Hook-and-Go on the monthly timeframe as well as Hidden Bullish Divergence on the MACD. If this is truly the bottom then I would think Bitcoin is likely to complete an AB=CD BAMM that will take it to a 1.618 Fibonacci Extension which sits at $173,805
GOLD - Buy after this pullback!Gold is extremely bullish and is expected to double its value in the next few years. We want to take advantage of this bull market and implement long-only strategies on futures. Right now, GOLD is breaking out of the descending channel, but I want to see a retest of it. The price broke out of this channel but created a fair value GAP. These GAPs tend to be filled sooner or later, so do not FOMO in and wait for a proper retest. Then we can open a leveraged trade with a high probability of success and a high risk-to-reward ratio.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, we have finished the WXYXZ corrective pattern, which is also great to see! We are starting a brand new impulse wave to the upside, so prepare your limit orders. It's time to buy gold again.
The next significant resistance is the previous ATH. I do not really see anything special that is worth mentioning. Take only the best opportunities with a high success rate.
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.