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Fibonacci Retracement

GOLD → Ahead of ATH. How can price react to resistance?FX:XAUUSD is updating its highs and is gradually approaching ATH. Before the last spurt consolidation or correction may be formed, but chances of reaching ATH are quite high. Gold price continues its bull run amid uncertainty in Trump's trade policy and expectation of PMI data in the US. Market participants are seeking protection in gold due to global growth fears related to trade conflicts and rate policy. The hawkish stance of the Bank of Japan and dollar weakness also support the metal. However, a pullback is possible on Friday due to profit taking ahead of US GDP data and the Fed decision. Technically, there is a strong resistance zone at 2790 - istric high ahead. A false break of the resistance may trigger a profit-taking and subsequent correction. Resistance levels: 2790 Support levels: 2770, 2762, 2750 Before reaching the ATH, the price may form a retest of the support at 2762. But, the main focus is on the historical maximum. The chance of reaching the target is very high, but watch the price reaction to the resistance. False breakdown may provoke a deep correction. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
GOLD → The bulls are fighting for 2750. ATH is close!FX:XAUUSD is in a bull run phase due to rising risks. The price is testing new highs and trying to consolidate above key resistance. Trump's speech is ahead and high volatility should be expected. Gold price is consolidating in the bullish zone after breaking through the three-top resistance. Traders are analyzing the impact of President Trump's tariff policies, which have caused uncertainty in the markets and weakened demand for the dollar and bonds. Meanwhile, support for gold prices is provided by optimism from China's measures to stimulate stock markets. Investors' attention is focused on US economic data, including weekly jobless claims and Friday's PMI from S&P Global, which could affect expectations for a Fed rate cut. Weak statistics will reinforce forecasts of two rate cuts this year, which supports interest in gold. Technically, the focus is on 2750. If bulls hold their defenses above this zone, gold could head towards ATH. Resistance levels: 2750, 2762 Support levels: 0.5 fibo, 2732 Bullish trend, high risks, politics. Lots of reasons that support the metal. But, today is Trump's speech, and this man knows how to make noise in the market. High volatility is possible. But, in general, gold looks as if it is ready to go up, perhaps it can even renew ATH Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
GBPJPY → The CBJ has raised rates. What's in store for the pair?FX:GBPJPY experienced an attempt to break through resistance and rise, but failed to realize the intention as traders do not believe in bullish movement due to the actions of the Central Bank of Japan The Central Bank of Japan raised the rate by 0.25% to the highest since 2008. The bank sees accelerating inflation, a slowing economy and is likely to raise the rate further if inflation continues to rise. Fundamentally, the situation may trigger a fall in the currency pair, but it may be restrained due to the Pound's strength against the Dollar. Nevertheless, I assess the situation regarding a false break of resistance from the technical part, and from the fundamental part from the Japanese action, as they are targeting the medium term. Resistance levels: 193.00 Support levels: 192.00, 190.55 Another attempt to retest resistance before a further drop is possible. Traders are starting to build up longs on the Yen, which may lead to a bearish correction of the currency pair. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
DOT/USDT 4H Interval ChartHello everyone, let's look at the 4H DOT to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is bouncing off the local downtrend line, only when it breaks out of it upwards will it be able to move towards the next two trend lines. Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face: T1 = 6.67 USD T2 = 7.05 USD Т3 = 7.32 USD Т4 = 7.65 USD Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall: SL1 = 6.22 USD SL2 = 5.99 USD SL3 = 5.56 USD Considering the STOCH indicator we can see how we are again going below the lower boundary, which could potentially indicate an upcoming attempt to change the price direction.
Long
by cryptodailyuk
USDJPY → Japan's central bank is about to raise ratesFX:USDJPY cannot continue its uptrend yet. Rumors about possible actions from the central bank of Japan will appear. The dollar in the meantime continues to rise.... 158.46 is a rather strong resistance formed by the bears, who continue to put pressure on the market. This week, we expect active actions from the Central Bank of Japan, namely - raising interest rates. In general, this phenomenon is quite rare, but it can support the currency pair very well. If the Japanese decide to take such actions, the currency pair may continue the correction from 0.5 - 0.7 fibo. Priority targets in this case may be the zones of interest at 153.24, 151.94. Resistance levels: 156.56, 157.22 Support levels: 155.1 Price fixing below 0.5 Fibo or below 155.95 may provoke aggressive selling. The decision on rates in Japan will take place on Friday, until then the price may be in consolidation.... Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
Bitcoin TA Alert: Perfect $97K Long Setup Incoming?Bitcoin remains range-bound between $107K and $100K as we approach the weekend. Let’s break down the current key levels and trade setups based on the data available. Support and Long Setup The GETTEX:97K level emerges as a strong support zone for a long trade setup: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low to high aligns perfectly at GETTEX:97K The POC (Point of Control) from the 70-day trading range also sits at this level, adding confluence If the price reaches GETTEX:97K by Sunday or Monday, the trendline support will further strengthen this zone A laddered long position can be placed around GETTEX:97K , with: Stop-loss: Below $93K Take Profit: around $113K Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 4:1 - an attractive trade setup Resistance and Short Setup For the short trade setup, the current price around $106K offers an opportunity: Enter a short trade targeting the GETTEX:97K level Stop-loss: Above the all-time high (ATH) at $107K Take Profit (TP): GETTEX:97K R:R: 2:1 - reasonable given the tight risk management
Long
by SiDec
XLMUSDT → Attempt to change the local trendBINANCE:XLMUSDT is entering the correction phase after attempting to forge an uptrend. Price is breaking support due to the change in market nastreonium and bitcoin correction. Bitcoin is moving into a correction, which is generally creating pressure for the already weak altcoin market. The reason is disappointment from the cryptocurrency community due to the lack of hints about cryptocurrencies in the new President Trump's speech. The market is trying to digest this fact as part of a correction. XLM is technically breaking the ascending support inside the global descending channel, meaning that the pressure on the market from the bears is still present. Support levels: 0.4177, 0.3896 Resistance levels: 0.460, 0.4955 The focus is on the previously broken channel boundary and the support level at 0.4177. The price may still test the previously broken channel boundary before falling further. But, a breakdown and consolidation of the price below 0.4177 may provoke sales. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
5
Will Trump continue to increase Solana?Hi all, let's look at the 1W SOL to USDT chart, as you know there is a lot of confusion about Solana, because Trump announced that he is considering it for the US reserve. However, here we can see how the price is moving in a specific uptrend channel, in its upper limit which so far has not been able to be positively broken. Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price must face: T1 = 265 USD T2 = 291 USD T3 = 324 USD Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall: SL1 = 247 USD SL2 = 236 USD SL3 = 220 USD SL4 = 200 USD Looking at the STOCH indicator, we can see that we have bounced off the middle of the range, which has given rise to the current increases, and there is still room for the price to go higher, but considering that any event related to Trump can have a major impact on the market, one should be extremely careful.
COINBASE:SOLUSD
by cryptodailyuk
S&P ES Long setup target 6129 / Calls SPY target 605Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures CME_MINI:ES1! has already found support at the Fib level 78.6% (6020.50) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (Jan 17) has closed above retracement Fib level 78.6%. My Down Fib guides me to look for ES1! to eventually go up to hit first target at Fib level 127.2% (6129.00). CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 127.2% (6129.00), Target 2 at 161.8% (6206.00) and Target 3 at 178.6 (6243.50) Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (5983.00). Option Traders : My SPY AMEX:SPY chart Down Fib shows price to go up to Target 1 at 127.2% (605), Target 2 at 161.8% (613) and Target 3 at 178.6 (616) Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (592).
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by rose_excellence
GOLD → bulls are aiming for ATH. The odds are high...FX:XAUUSD is in a rally phase aiming for ATH. Based on geopolitical data, we have a pretty good chance. The focus is on 2750. From this point the northbound train can continue its journey. Trump's policies are putting quite a bit of pressure on geopolitics due to creating trade problems for major nations like China, EU, Canada, BRICS countries. Chinese Vice Premier Ding Xuexian has warned of the negative effects of a trade war, which has further increased demand for safe havens like gold and the US dollar. Gold is also facing pressure because of the Fed, but the dollar correction is becoming another driver for the metal. Technically, the price is trying to consolidate above a rather important level. 2749. If the bulls manage to keep the defense above 2750, the metal may continue its growth in the short and medium term Resistance levels: 2759 Support levels: 2750, 2737, 2732 Emphasis on 2750. If the bulls keep this area under their control, the gold will go higher. But, I do not exclude a retest of 0.5 Fibo liquidity zone or 2732 before further growth. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
Interesting Simetry in $AMZNStarting from the 5th of August 2024 every time NASDAQ:AMZN reaches an important Fibonacci level retraces around 7%, then moves higher. Once it reached 0.618, the Fibonacci level corrected by 6.86% in 5 days and then moved higher. We have another wave up followed by another correction this time 7.62% in 9 days. And again another wave up followed by a correction of 7.51% in 10 days to Fibonacci level 1 Once it reached 1.618 Fib level retraced to 1.382 Fib level Correcting 7.24% in 18 days this time.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by WavesInvesting
EURUSD → An attempt to change the trend could be successfulFX:EURUSD gets a chance for a bullish run. The currency pair breaks the prolonged downtrend and consolidates for a chance to continue the upward movement The global trend is downtrend and at the moment it is too early to talk about a change of trend, as the price is under pressure from the strong resistance at 1.044. BUT! A pre-breakout base is forming around this area, so if the dollar continues its corrective course, EURUSD will have a chance to confirm the trend change. If the bulls are able to overcome 1.0448 and consolidate above this level, we will have a chance to rise to 1.06 and possibly higher.... Resistance levels: 1.0448, 1.0607 Support levels: 1.033, 1.0222 Technically, the focus is on the nearest trigger at 1.0448. A breakout and consolidation of the price above this zone may provide a convenient entry point to open long positions. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
QQQ vs S&P500Today we are looking at a ratio chart from TradFi. We are plotting the ratio of Nasdaq100 vs S&P 500. Even if both charts observed separately tell us the same story. That we are in a bullish uptrend on the daily chart for the past 1 year. But the ratio chart clearly shows Nasdaq100 peaked out relative to S&P 500 on Aug 2024 just prior to the unravelling of Yen carry trade. Since then, the ratio has not broken to the upside and registered an ATH even if the tech stocks have been doing exceptionally well recently. The ratio of QQQ vs SPX is within a local uptrend but still within the upward sloping Fib Retracement level between 0 and 0.618. The tech heavy QQQ can and will claim leadership once we break out of the range in the upward sloping Fib retracement level and break above the 0.618 levels.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by RabishankarBiswal
GOLD → A very strong uptrend may get its continuationFX:XAUUSD is rising due to high geopolitical and political risks. A strong bullish trend is forming, within which the price tests the strong resistance 2726 and draws a false break of the resistance... The rise is shaping up more on the back of Trump's threats on tariffs, adding to the risk-negative sentiment in the markets. Trump has proposed imposing tariffs on Mexico and Canada, as well as the EU and China, if a trade agreement is not reached. These threats are supporting demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. However, the strengthening dollar and expectations of Fed rate cuts are limiting further upside for gold. Trading in the coming days will depend on the general market atmosphere and Trump's tariff discussions. Technically, a false break of such a strong resistance could temporarily slow the growth and move the price into correction or consolidation, but there are nuances of technical... Resistance levels: 2721, 2726, 2761 Support levels: 2703, 2697, 2690 At the moment it is worth paying attention to 0.5 fibo (2717) and 0.7-0.79 fibo. These are quite strong and important liquidity zones that can stop the correction and bring gold back to the uptrend. A retest of the local high of 2726 - 2732 will hint at the readiness of the metal to go even higher. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
SUI → The coin is coming out of an uptrend. Capitulation?BINANCE:SUIUSDT is breaking the bullish structure and testing a trigger that could trigger a strong fall. Yesterday's speech by President Trump Disappointed the cryptocurrency community. The main question is whether a correction is possible? A correction is possible and there are several reasons for that: bitcoin is making a false breakout and generally hinting at a possible price correction after Trump's post-inauguration speech yesterday, where not a word was said about cryptocurrency. Some felt cheated. But, in this context, actions are important, if Trump moves to fulfill his promises, we may have a bullish driver. At the moment, technically, the price is leaving the uptrend and testing the 4.250 trigger. It is a strong enough level, a break of which could make the bulls panic, which could lead to capitulation and price decline. Resistance levels: 4.489, 4.84, 5.12 Support levels: 4.25, 4.00 A retest of the resistance or the previously broken channel boundary is possible, but a break below 4.25 may trigger a fall. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming around this level. Watch the coin! Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
Boeing is ready for next leg up to $200On December 10, 2024, we had a look at the weekly chart of NYSE:BA Boeing and it was a very good opportunity to get into this stock. Since then, we made over 20% in under one month. After consolidating for nearly three weeks, we may have another chance to get in for the next leg up to $200. The only thing to worry about are the earnings on January 28. Those could have a huge impact on the stock price, but chances are the impact will be positive. Since 2024 was a very challenging year for Boeing with lower net orders booked compared to Airbus the comparisons are much easier to beat than it is for Airbus. Boeing experienced a decline in various metrics last year. The company recorded 569 gross orders, representing a 61% decrease compared to the previous year. Cancellations increased by 50 units, mainly due to the anticipated cancellation of 135 jets ordered by Jet Airways. Net orders fell by 71% to 377 orders, and the net order value also decreased by 71% to $33 billion. This reduction in orders is attributed to the uncertainty surrounding Boeing's production schedule, which makes it less attractive for airplane orders. Deliveries fell by 34% to 348, and the delivery value decreased by 35% to $26.1 billion due to the grounding of the Boeing 737 MAX 9 and a subsequent strike. If we assume no further crashes or problems with Boeing aircrafts the numbers are easier to beat, and we come from a very low base. In addition, most analysts are quite conservative right now. Looking at the technical setup we just bounced from the 0.382 fib from the current upward movement. Below the fib we have another support at around $160 as well as a resistance at $200 with an open gap. Assuming no surprises during the earnings we’re up for another leg up to $200 (15% ROI). Target Zones $198-200 Support Zones $165 $160
NYSE:BALong
by LGNDRY-Capital
1
PEPE Deep dive before pumping? To what price?CRYPTOCAP:PEPE Script: A potential deep dive might be on the horizon before the next pump. Right now, it’s forming a structure that looks a lot like the pattern we saw from March to May, which I’ve marked as points 1 to 7. Both of these structures showed up after breaking out from the near-end of a symmetrical triangle. Currently, we’re sitting at point 6. Using Fibonacci retracement, we can estimate how deep the dip might go. Last time, it reached Fib 1.618. If history repeats itself, PEPE could pull back to around 0.00009485. This potential drawback would also break the uptrend line, which could shake market confidence and flush out weaker hands—perfect for accumulating liquidity to fuel a future price surge. I’ve already set a buy order at this level, just in case this scenario plays out. Of course, this is just one potential script among many. I’ll share more as they unfold. Follow me for more insights and updates! 😊
CRYPTO:PEPEUSD
by Harold_123
Interpretation of support and resistance points and Fib ratios Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- There was a change in the chart while I was writing the idea. Therefore, please refer to the chart attached below. ------------------------------------------------- (TRUMPUSDT.P 1D chart) Since the chart was created not long ago, it is practically impossible to analyze it. However, I will take the time to explain it as an extension of the explanation of Fibonacci ratios. - (1D chart) You can check the retracement ratio using the Fibonacci retracement tool on the 1D chart. (30m chart) You can check the Fibonacci ratio on the 30m chart and analyze the chart. However, I think the Fibonacci ratio is a chart tool for chart analysis, so in order to trade, you need to draw support and resistance points by the arrangement of candles. As I mentioned earlier, since the chart is created not long ago, you can select support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, so even if you draw support and resistance lines, their role is likely to be weak. Therefore, I think it is better to trade these coins (tokens) in short-term transactions such as scalping or day trading. If the trading period is long, the psychological burden is likely to increase, which can lead to incorrect trading. - The HA-MS indicator was activated to indicate support and resistance points. If you activate the Fibonacci ratio drawn on the 1D chart, it is as follows. You can see that the maximum range we can trade is 28.0-70.654. If we go outside this range, a new wave will be created, so new support and resistance points are needed. At this time, a chart tool that can help interpret the chart is the Trend-Based Fib Extension. - Since the HA-Low indicator was formed at the 40.245 point, we can see that the low point has been formed. Therefore, if it shows support near the HA-Low indicator, it is a time to buy (LONG). Since it has currently fallen below the HA-Low indicator, it is highly likely that it will update the latest low, so it was possible to enter a sell (SHORT) position when it fell from the HA-Low indicator. As the price falls, I think it is better not to make a new transaction until the HA-Low indicator is newly created or the existing HA-Low indicator rises and shows support. If it is supported by the HA-Low indicator and rises, - 46.618 - 63.882-70654 You should check for support in the above section. If it is not supported, it is a time to sell in parts. In my chart, the MS-Signal indicator is an important indicator in terms of trend. Therefore, in order to turn into an uptrend, the price must be maintained above the MS-Signal indicator. - (12h chart) The current chart is so new that it is virtually impossible to see the trend. If you want to draw with the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool, the largest time frame chart you can draw is the 12h chart. The point where the finger points is the selection point. (30m chart) The chart above is drawn with the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool. The circles marked on the far right correspond to important support and resistance zones. When interpreting Fibonacci ratios, the 0, 0.5, 0.618, and 1 ratios can be interpreted as key ratios. Therefore, if it falls below 1, it may fall to around 1.618 (2.198), so caution is required when trading. The 0.618 (35.663) ~ 0.5 (39.612) section can be interpreted as an important support and resistance section. Since the HA-Low indicator is formed within this section, it can be interpreted that the role of support and resistance is emphasized. Even if the Fibonacci ratio is drawn in this way, it can be helpful in setting the timing of trading only when it is interpreted in accordance with the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Otherwise, it is likely that your subjective thoughts will be included and the transaction will proceed in the wrong direction. - The support and resistance points must be drawn by looking at the arrangement of candles on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts to be activated as support and resistance points. The support and resistance points drawn on the time frame chart below may have a weak role, so caution is required when trading. In that sense, I hope you understand the content of this idea as how to comprehensively interpret the Fibonacci ratio and support and resistance points. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Example of how to use the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- There was a question about how to select the selection point when using the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool, so I will take the time to explain the method I use. Since it is my method, it may be different from your method. - Before that, I will explain the difference from the general Fibonacci retracement tool. The Fibonacci retracement tool uses the Fibonacci ratio as the ratio to be retracement within the selected range. Therefore, the low and high points are likely to be the selection points. The reason I say it is likely is because the lowest and highest points are different depending on which time frame chart it was drawn on. Therefore, in order to use a chart tool that specifies a selection point like this, you must basically understand the arrangement of candles. If you understand the arrangement of candles, you can draw the support and resistance points that make up it and determine the importance of those support and resistance points. The HA-MS indicator that I am using is a more objective version of this. Unlike the published HA-MS indicator, several have been added. I do not plan to disclose the formulas of these added indicators yet. However, if you share my ideas, you can use them normally at any time. The selection point for using the current Fibonacci retracement tool is the point that the fingers are pointing to. In other words, the 1st finger is the low point, and the 2nd finger is the high point. One question may arise here. Why is it the position of the 1st finger? The reason is that it is the starting point of the current wave. Therefore, you can find out the retracement ratio in the current rising wave. In fact, it is not recommended to use the Fibonacci ratio as support and resistance. This is because it is better to use the Fibonacci ratio to check how much wave is being reached and how much movement is being shown in chart analysis. However, the Fibonacci ratio can be usefully used when the ATH or ATL is updated. - If the Fibonacci Retracement tool was a chart tool that found out the retracement ratio in the current wave, the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool can be said to be a chart tool that found out the extension ratio of the wave. Therefore, while the Fibonacci Retracement tool requires you to specify two selection points, the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool requires you to specify three selection points. That's how important it is to understand the arrangement of the candles. The chart above is an example of drawing to find out the extension ratio of an uptrend The chart above is an example of drawing to find out the extension ratio of a downtrend Do you understand how the selection points are specified by looking at the example chart? - The chart above is the chart when the 1st finger point is selected. The chart above is the chart when the 1-1 hand point is selected. When drawing on a lower time frame chart, you should be careful about which point to select when the arrangement of the candles is ambiguous. Examples include the 1st finger and the 1-1 finger. It may be difficult to select 1-1 and 1 depending on whether they are interpreted as small waves or not. The lower the time frame chart, the more difficult this selection becomes. Therefore, it is recommended to draw on a higher time frame chart if possible. The reason is that the Fibonacci ratio is a chart tool used to analyze charts. In other words, it is not drawn for trading. In order to trade, you trade based on whether there is support or resistance at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by readCrypto
7
Will ETH take the direction of growth?Hi everyone, let's look at the 1D ETH to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a downtrend channel, currently there is no indication of which direction it will go. Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face: T1 = 3357 USD T2 = 3502 USD Т3 = 3600 USD Т4 = 3729 USD Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall: SL1 = 3211 USD SL2 = 3016 USD SL3 = 2877 USD SL4 = 2704 USD If we look at the MA indicator we can see how the blue line has entered above the orange one, which indicates the entry into a temporary uptrend, where the price may try to continue to grow.
INDEX:ETHUSD
by cryptodailyuk
Total2 Market Cap vs BTC Market CapToday we are looking at ratio charts. We plot the ratio of Total 2 Market Cap (Total Crypto Market Cap excluding BTC) to BTC Market CAP. This ratio chart is making new lower highs this BTC Halving cycle. There seems to be no bounce from the lows and Alt coin season seems to be elusive. As we move towards the end of the halving cycle there is very little time left for this Alt season. To reach the previous cycle highs of 1.5 in the chart the Alt Coins have to more than double from here and BTC must remain at this price for the rest of the cycle. For this the total Crypto market cap must reach almost 5 trillion USD, which remains unlikely. A better estimate will be the ratio of Total 2 Market Cap vs BTC Market Cap ratio reaches 1.09 which will be 0.618 Fib retracement level. This 0.618 fib retracement repeats in many instances. The same is true for BTC.D. What do you think?
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
by RabishankarBiswal