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Fibonacci Retracement

GOLD → Consolidation before the news. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD is not going to turn around. The level of economic risks is still at a high level and the price may continue to rise, but after the end of consolidation. Gold is back to a record $3,246 despite calm markets. Lower US bond yields and a pause in capital withdrawals are supporting demand for protective assets. Uncertainty around Trump's tariff policy and expectations of a Fed rate cut are driving prices higher. Additional support is provided by inflows into Chinese ETFs and expectations of Chinese GDP data. Further gold movement depends on headlines on tariffs and Fed rhetoric. Technically, the focus is on consolidation 3244 - 3187 and internal support level 3208. Resistance levels: 3244, 3270 Support levels: 3208, 3187 The market is likely to be in consolidation until tomorrow, when important economic reports will be published. But nevertheless, there could be strong movements intraday due to various factors. I expect to see a retest of support at 3208 or 3187 before further upside. But, consolidation near 3244, breakout and consolidation above the level may give a chance for growth Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
2
GOLD → Countertrend correction. What to do in this case?FX:XAUUSD , after a bull run, bumps into strong limit resistance at 3244 and enters a correction phase, which is generally a logical maneuver amid strong gains. Gold corrects from Friday's record $3,245 and moves back to $3,200 amid improving market sentiment and progress in trade talks. The price pared gains after a strong weekly rally, reacting to U.S. concessions on tariffs on Chinese electronics and China's pledges to boost economic stimulus. Additional influences come from the dialog between the US and Iran, as well as the anticipation of China's GDP and trade data for March. Despite the pullback, downside may be limited due to ongoing uncertainty. Technically, it is worth looking at the 3187 - 3167 conglomerate of support, which can stop (temporarily or even turn the price upward) a strong and sharp decline, as the fundamental backdrop within the tariff war is still tense. Resistance levels: 3244, 3270 Support levels: 3187, 3174, 3167 The rally is temporarily halted, but there is no talk of a trend reversal, as the tariff war fire is still burning, Trump or Xi Jinping may add to the fire.... Within the framework of counter-trend correction, the emphasis is on the support of 3187, 3174, 3167 from which we can trade a false breakdown and catch the price rebound. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
15
SOL Bulls Strike Back — But Is It Sustainable?Solana continues to respect technicals with precision — after a +42.9% move from the $95 low, we're now at a pivotal moment in price structure. Let’s break down what’s happening and where the high-probability setups lie. 📍 Key Bounce Zone – Golden Pocket Confluence Local Low: $95.26 Golden Pocket Zone (0.618–0.666): $97.09–$94.82 This area acted as a major demand zone, with price sharply rebounding. First Volume Spike: Followed by retracement into Golden Pocket Zone at $102. Second Volume Spike: Occurred right after touching Anchored VWAP ($108.21) from the $95.26 low, which added beautiful confluence with the Golden Pocket Zone – a secondary high-conviction long entry. 📈 Rally to Resistance – Short-Term Climax After the anchored VWAP retest, SOL rallied into the key resistance zone aligned with the 0.786 Fib retracement from the previous down move — a historically reactive level and a prime profit-taking zone. Monthly 21 EMA ($135.83) and the monthly 21 SMA ($133) — both key dynamic resistance zones. Low-volume retest of that key high suggests buyer exhaustion, not continuation — a classic setup for a short-term reversal. 🧭 Current Market Structure Current Price Action: Trading above both the weekly open ($128.38) and the monthly open ($124.54). This forms a critical S/R zone between $124–$128, now acting as a potential battleground for bulls and bears. As long as price stays above this zone, momentum remains with the bulls. 🔍 What to Watch Next – Reclaim or Reject? Key Support to Watch: $125 (psychological level) and monthly open at $124.54 – This zone is likely to be liquidity-hunted. Expect a sweep of this low, look for the reaction. Daily Support Confluence: currently at 21 EMA: $123.77 & 21 SMA: $123.27 1.) 📈 Scenario A – Bullish Reclaim: If SOL sweeps the low and shows strong buying reaction (bullish engulfing candle, volume spike), it sets up a potential long opportunity towards the weekly open, to watch for the next reaction. 2.) 📉 Scenario B – Failed Hold: If there's no bullish reaction at $124–$125, expect further downside. First target = $122 Second target = $120.65 🎯 Tactical Game Plan Bulls: Watch for reaction at $124–$125 – potential scalp long with tight SL. Confirmation on volume expansion and break of $128.38 for continuation. Re-enter long after clean retest of weekly open from above. Bears: Short setup possible if weekly/monthly open is broken and retested as resistance. First TP = $122, second TP = $120.65.
Short
by SiDec
7
ALCHUSDT → Rally to the liquidity zone. False breakout?BINANCE:ALCHUSDT.P is one of not many coins that looks strong amid the bearish cryptocurrency market. But how long will this energy last? There is strong resistance ahead.... A local pre-breakdown consolidation relative to the intraday level is forming. In general, this is the state of the market, ready to continue its growth within the distribution. Thus, the breakout of 0.1590 resistance will provoke the continuation of growth up to the liquidity zone at 0.177. But already at 0.177, due to the fact that it is an important and strong intermediate resistance level, we should expect a false breakout and a pullback, for example, to 0.159 or 0.5 fibo. Resistance levels: 0.159, 0.177, 0.23 Support levels: 0.1516, 0.5 fibo The distribution is already 53% since the breakout of the consolidation resistance. By the time the resistance is approached, it will be 77% and the market may use up all the accumulated potential, so liquidity above 0.177 is likely to stop the upward rally and turn the coin down. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
GBP/JPY - Resistance into fibonacci golden pocketGBP/JPY 1H Technical Analysis - Key Levels Price action shows clear resistance zones marked by Lift indicators at 0.28 , 0.08 , and 0.06 levels. The market appears slightly overbought with Lift readings of 0.01 to 0.05 , suggesting potential for pullback or consolidation. Key observations: - Resistance cluster between 0.06-0.28 may cap upside moves - Overbought conditions warrant caution for longs - Monitor Lift indicator for trend continuation signals Trading approach: Consider short opportunities near resistance with stops above 0.28 , or wait for pullback to support for long entries if momentum sustains. for more FX analysis. Comments welcome!
Short
by wdstrades
2
LINK’s Swing Setup Could Push Past $15LINK bounced right off the $10 mark, charging upward toward the monthly open before slamming into resistance around $13.25. But now what? Let’s break it down — because the next high-probability setup is taking shape, and it’s one you don’t want to miss. The Current Situation: LINK is: Below the Point of Control (POC) of this trading range (~$11.35). Below the monthly open at $13.5. Still in a bearish trend on the 4H, showing lower highs. Facing decent rejection from the monthly level. We’re currently trading below the weekly open at $12.62, now sitting right on the Value Area Low (VAL) at $12.36. That puts us in a precarious spot and sets the stage for the next move. Bearish, bearish, bearish. When bullish sir? Staying patient and waiting for a real shift in market structure is key. The Bearish Play: Liquidity Grab Incoming? There’s a liquidity pocket waiting below at $11.68, the most recent swing low. If LINK loses VAL and bearish pressure kicks in, this becomes the next logical target. But here's where things get interesting... The Bullish Setup: Confluence-Backed Long Opportunity This isn’t just any random support zone — there’s a perfect confluence stack forming: Swing low: $11.68 Daily support level: $11.45 Weekly support level: $11.28 POC of trading range: ~$11.35 0.618 Fibonacci retracement lands in this zone as well That’s four layers of support in one tight cluster. This is where we want to scale into longs. The Play: Scaling In Entry: Ladder long positions from $11.68 down to the 0.786 fib (near $11.2) Stop Loss: Below $10.35 for invalidation Target: 0.786 fib retracement of the previous downward wave at ~$14.5 R:R: Approx. 3:1, with a potential +30% gain The trend remains bearish but the chart is setting up a prime reversal zone. Patience is key here. 🔔 Set alerts. Watch for volume spikes. Look for SFPs or bullish engulfing candles etc. The next move on LINK could offer one of the best swing setups especially since this trade could extend past the $15 mark, putting you ahead of the curve. 💬 Found this helpful? Drop a like and comment below. Want TA on another coin? Let me know and I’ll break it down for you. Happy trading everyone! 💪

Long
by SiDec
3
NZDJPY → Back in range, there's a chance to strengthenFX:NZDJPY is forming a false break of the range support and within the reversal pattern confirms the break of the bearish structure The fundamental background has been extremely unstable lately and depends on any harsh statements of politicians, mainly related to the trade war. But, technically, the pair is returning to the range on the background of local market recovery. A false breakdown of the range support is formed. The break of the bearish structure, the formation of the reversal pattern and the return to the trading range give chances for strengthening of the price. If the bulls hold the defense above 83.7 - 84.2, the currency pair may strengthen to 85.15 - 87.4 Resistance levels: 84.196, 86.15 Support levels: 83.79, 83.31, 82.21 Consolidation above the key support zone may allow the bulls to strengthen the price to the local zone of interest. Global trend is neutral, local trend is upward. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
ETH is fighting in the support zoneHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on ETH. When we enter the one-day interval, we can see how the ETH price moved in a strong downtrend channel. What's more, we can see that the price fell below the main uptrend line. As we can see, the price is currently fighting to break out on top in the support zone from $ 1690 to $ 1350, in a situation if this zone was broken, we could see another strong drop to the support area at $ 884 at the previous low after the bull run. On the other hand, if ETH gets wind in its sails again, it must first pass through the resistance zone from $ 1952 to $ 2100, while further on there is a very strong zone from $ 2500 to $ 2740. However, here, taking into account the one-day interval, the RSI indicator shows a breakout above the top of the border, which may affect the potential end of the current uptrend.
by cryptodailyuk
1
XRP - Choppy Market, Will We See $1.5 Again?After finishing the 5-wave structure in early 2025, XRP had a rough patch, trading between $3 and $2 and offering some pretty neat swing trade opportunities. Now, two months later, the big question is: will this range continue, or is a breakout on the horizon? Let’s break down the key levels and high-probability setups. Short Trade Setup Resistance Zone: The weekly level and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement are both around $2.5763 to $2.5792, aligning nicely with each other. The anchored VWAP from the all-time high at $3.4 adds extra resistance at about $2.63. Setup Details: A low-risk short trade can be considered at the weekly level, with a stop-loss set above both the anchored VWAP and the swing high. Target: The monthly open, aiming for an R:R of about 4:1. Support Backup: Additional support in this range comes from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (from a low at $1.9 to a high at $2.59), the weekly 21 SMA at $2.28, and a weekly level at $2.0942 just below the monthly open. This support between the weekly level at $2.0942 and the monthly open is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. If it holds, the bearish short setup stands; if it breaks, things could get tricky. Long Trade Setup When to Consider a Long: If the support zone mentioned above fails, look for a long trade opportunity at the swing low around $1.77. Support Confluence: Primary Support: The swing low at $1.77, with lots of liquidity around that area. Additional Layers: The monthly level at $1.5988. The weekly level at $1.5605 sits just below the monthly. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the 5-wave structure at $1.5351. Anchored VWAP from the low at $0.3823, aligning with the weekly level. And don’t forget the psychological level at $1.5. Setup Details: This long trade setup would offer an attractive R:R of roughly 6:1, targeting back to the monthly open for an approximate 33% gain, with a stop-loss placed below the $1.5 mark. XRP's current trading range has provided some good short and long trade setups, a long opportunity at the swing low ($1.77-$1.5) could be the next big play. Whether you lean towards short or long, finding these confluence zones helps in making more informed, high-probability trade decisions. If you found it helpful, please leave a like and a comment. Happy trading!
Long
by SiDec
3
Will BTC emerge from the descending channel on top?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. On the one-day interval, you can see how the price is moving in the downtrend channel in which there is again a fight with the upper boundary of the channel. At this stage, you can also see how the EMA Cross 50/200, they have come very close but still indicate the maintenance of a long-term upward trend. Here you can see how the price has currently bounced off the resistance zone from $ 86,503 to $ 87,934. Only an upper exit from this zone will open the way towards the second important zone at the levels of $ 93,959 to $ 96,142, and then we have visible strong resistance around $ 101,800. Looking the other way, you can see that in the event of further declines, we have support at $ 80,550, then you can see an important zone that previously maintained the price decline from $ 74,340 to $ 71,380, in a situation where this zone is broken, we can see a quick decline to around $ 65,360. The MACD indicator shows an attempt to switch to an upward trend, it is worth watching whether there is enough energy for further movement.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
GOLD → Price is consolidating, but to what end? Growth?FX:XAUUSD continues on its way as part of a strong rally. Price is testing strong resistance and there is a good chance of a new high as the trade war escalation intensifies. Against the backdrop of the bull run, there is no need to think about selling! Gold is trading near all-time highs above $3,200 on Friday, posting a weekly gain of about 5.5%. Rising prices are fueled by concerns over U.S. financial stability and the possible resignation of the Fed chief, adding to pressure on the dollar. Expectations of recession and Fed rate cuts are increasing amid escalating trade war with China, after the US imposed tariffs of 145% and Beijing retaliated - China raised tariffs to 125%. Inflation in March came in below expectations, reinforcing forecasts for a rate cut. Focus is on further trade talks and China's response Resistance levels: 3219.5 Support levels: 3197, 3187, 3167 Emphasis on the local range: 3219 - 3187. Breakdown and price consolidation above the resistance will provoke rally continuation. But I do not rule out a correction to accumulate energy before the continuation of growth. In this case gold may test 3197 (0.7f), or support of 3187 range. But we should be aware of the fact of unpredictability: If the US and China sit down for negotiations, the situation may change dramatically. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
BITCOIN → Testing trend resistance. Will there be a breakout?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is approaching trend resistance and most likely it may test the liquidity zone and risk zone for sellers (liquidity hunt ?), but does the market have the potential to support the upside? Bitcoin is strengthening and channel resistance may not stop this growth. Based on the nature of price movement (smooth, gradual, consolidating), bitcoin may test liquidity 84.7K - 88.8K. But it is too early to talk about further growth On W1, the price is in a trading range (consolidation) between the previously broken global consolidation support and the current support. Short bodies, long shadows speak about consolidation. Also worth noting are the relatively long tails to the downside and the weak market reaction... Fundamentally, the cryptocurrency market (community as a whole) for the past week did not get anything positive as from the very beginning of this year, the growth can be attributed to the 90-day technical break by Trump, but there are a number of nuances: - the fire has not yet been put out - just because they gave a 90-day break doesn't mean everything is fine. It's just a head start for the U.S. to prepare for the situation more thoroughly - The escalating conflict between the U.S. and China has investors looking for less risky assets like gold. Cryptocurrencies are definitely not on that list. - Rumors of a US interest rate cut are likely to provide support as well. Resistance levels: 84700, 88800 Support levels: 78200, 73-74К, 66500 I would not hurry with conclusions about further growth. Growth could be considered if bitcoin overcomes 88800 and consolidates above this zone. But a sharp approach or a false breakout of one of the mentioned liquidity zones may provoke a reversal and fall. Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
22
LTC/USDT 1W ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on LTC. When we enter the one-week interval, we can see how the price is struggling to return above the upward trend lines. Here you can see how the current rebound is going towards resistance at $ 82.82, then resistance is visible at $ 95, but an important resistance point will be around $ 115. Looking the other way, you can see that the price has gone below the support level at $ 70, however, we could see a quick rebound, in a situation where the price continues to go down, the next very strong support is around $ 50. It is worth looking at the RSI indicator, which shows another descent in the week interval to the level where we could previously see strong price rebounds, which could potentially repeat itself.
by cryptodailyuk
1
BIG BIG weekI think 7 FED speakers, A lot of tension in the markets, tops mean polarisation, considering reflexivity theory extreme volatility will ensue. A lot of people might think the -0.786 ATH we got before the holidays is the top. I think they are mistaken as seen in the analysis below. There is still legroom for higher, this is a big bet on my part. I have a few contracts on the mag7 (GOOGL, TSLA and META) focusing on GOOGL since they seem to be in the same headwind as S&P Let's see how this plays out
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by Osmanomics