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Fibonacci Retracement

BITCOIN → The “90K” door opened a corridor to $75,000BINANCE:BTCUSD is changing its market structure to bearish after the 90K breakout. A deeper correction is forming and in my opinion this is a logical and technically correct structure for a healthy market I think it is a wrong siutation when the market is only going up and solely due to buying (injecting huge amount of funds on a HYIP). A bitcoin correction or even a trend reversal can bring a drop of life to this market. Fundamentally, traders have not waited for any active support for cryptocurrencies from the US as stated in Trump's election campaign. Crypto exchange hacks, scam coins and bitcoin dominance are negatively affecting altcoins. Bitcoin's current decline and possible drop to 75-73K could give fundamentally valuable altcoins a chance, provided the flagging dominance index also starts to decline. As the simultaneous flow of funds from bitcoin to altcoins and bitcoin's rise from strong support could renew the chances of an altcoin season Resistance levels: 88150, 90700 Support levels: 75К, 73570, 66830 A small correction to resistance 88.1 - 90.7 is possible before price starts its decline. BTC may try to go deeper, but based on the situation with the market imbalance, lack of driver and support, the price may descend in the medium term and reach the zone of interest and liquidity 75-73.5K. Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
62
Possible CHOCH - Sell to Buy / EURJPYCurrently EUR/JPY has managed to pushed itself all the way back into last week Medium Risk Zone (ORANGE) . Personally I believe that the zone from last week won't be as strong as it used to be so there are also possibilities where EUR/JPY will use the zones from last week and bounce off. This means that there is a chance that EUR/JPY will touch Medium Risk Zone (ORANGE) retrace for a little bit into the High Risk Zone (ORANGE) and from then on bounce off to its respective structure. <--- Scenario 1 If EUR/JPY does not follow the first idea then I would prepare myself to buy at a more lower price which is in our Medium risk Zone (WHITE) & Low Risk zone (WHITE). I will only BUY if there are signs of reversals or at least a CHOCH in the smaller timeframe within these areas of interest.
Long
by ilyasmuzaffar
BTC/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC chart for USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves in the local channel of the downward tendu in which we currently see a strong reflection and a quick return price around the upper border of the channel. However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face: T1 = 94020 $ T2 = 97698 $ Т3 = 102865 $ T4 = 109520 $ Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = 91130 $ SL2 = 88503 $ SL3 = 84723 $ SL4 = 81673 $ Looking at the MacD indicator, you can see that despite S
by cryptodailyuk
Price at a Crossroads: Will It Break or Drop?After a strong breakout from a falling wedge and handle pattern on Wednesday, Nov 6, 2024, price surged to an All-Time High of 109,358.01. However, a retracement followed, with the formation of a double top pattern leading to a breakdown below the neckline at 91,809.11, sending prices tumbling to 78,167.81, perfectly aligning with the golden ratio (50% Fibonacci level). From there, buyers stepped in, pushing the price back up to the 38.2% Fibonacci level, but strong resistance led to two rejections and the formation of three consecutive doji candles, signalling market indecision. What’s Next? 🔹 Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 38.2% could lead to a neckline retest 91,809.11. 🔹 Bearish Scenario: If rejection holds, the double top projection targets is 74,279.20, with further downside towards 61.8% or 66%, aligning with the daily trendline. 📢 Risk Management Reminder: The market is at a critical level—manage your risk wisely! Set stop losses, use proper position sizing, and avoid over-leveraging. Patience and discipline are key!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by SpicyPips
2
BTC Scaling Strategy: Trade Like a Pro with Precision EntriesIf you’re new to trading, this guide will walk you through a scaling in and out strategy. We’ll cover: Risk management – protecting your capital. Entry points – how to build your position gradually. Exit points – how to lock in profits while leaving room for further gains. Maximising profit – using a small runner to capture additional upside. By the end, you'll understand: ✅ How to enter trades at optimal levels ✅ How to take profits gradually ✅ How to manage risk so you don’t blow your account BTC Market Analysis Bitcoin has been trading in a tight range for over 100 days near the 100K mark. For 22 consecutive days, bulls have tried to break above 100K, but as the price nears this level, bears consistently rejected the move. Currently, BTC broke below our critical support level at 90K confirming a breakdown in market structure. Adding fuel to the bearish fire, Bitcoin has slipped below the weekly 21 EMA (89,503) and SMA (90,437). With the bears now in control, the critical question emerges: Where will Bitcoin find its next foothold? Let’s map the high-probability support zones and strategic entry points for the next potential long opportunity. Using Fibonacci analysis: Fib Speed Fan: With a low of 49K and an ATH of 109,588 (from March), the 0.618 trend line projects support between about 78K and 82K. Anchored VWAP: When anchored from 49K, the VWAP support is around 81.7K. Negative Fibonacci Retracement: From the ATH down to the current low at 91,231, the –0.618 level is at about 79,886. Fib Extension & Retracement: Additional levels lie around 79,466 (1.618 extension) and 79,230 (0.5 retracement). Moving Averages: The 233 EMA/SMA currently ranges between roughly 83K and 78.5K. These indicators converge to form a robust support zone between approximately 83K and 78K. For a more detailed breakdown, please check my previous Bitcoin analysis, where I conducted a deeper examination. Step 1: Understanding Risk Management (The Golden Rule) Before placing a trade, you must decide: 📌 How much you’re willing to lose (risk per trade) 📌 Where you’ll enter and exit (never place a trade without a plan) How Much Should You Risk? Always risk no more than 1–2% of your total account on a single trade. Example (for a $100K Account): 1% Risk = $1,000 max loss 2% Risk = $2,000 max loss For this trade, we plan to risk about $1,366, which is approximately 1.37% of a $100K account. This disciplined approach protects your capital over the long run. Step 2: Where Do We Enter the Trade? (Scaling In) Instead of going all-in at one price, we break our $30,000 investment into 10 smaller entries and exits. This method reduces risk and often achieves a better average entry price. 💡 Why? Because no one can time the exact bottom! Spreading entries reduces risk and gets a better average entry price. www.tradingview.com BTC Buy (Entry) Levels We will buy BTC as it falls from $83,050 down to $78,050 using the following allocation percentages: Entry # Price (BTC) % of Position Amount Invested ($) BTC Acquired 1 83,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 83,050 = 0.018072 2 82,550 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,550 = 0.018181 3 82,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,050 = 0.018278 4 81,550 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,550 = 0.029430 5 81,050 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,050 = 0.029606 6 80,550 10% $3,000 3,000 ÷ 80,550 = 0.037234 7 80,050 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 80,050 = 0.044974 8 79,550 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 79,550 = 0.045275 9 79,050 15% $4,500 4,500 ÷ 79,050 = 0.056956 10 78,050 20% $6,000 6,000 ÷ 78,050 = 0.076352 Total Investment: $30,000 Total BTC Acquired: 0.018072 + 0.018181 + 0.018278 + 0.029430 + 0.029606 + 0.037234 + 0.044974 + 0.045275 + 0.056956 + 0.076352 ≈ 0.37436 BTC Average Entry Price: $80,150 Stop Loss: Set at $76,500 Risk per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650 Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (~1.37% of $100K) Step 3: Where Do We Exit the Trade? (Scaling Out) We exit gradually as BTC rises between $86,950 and $91,450. The exit percentages are as follows: Exit # Price (BTC) % of Position BTC Sold Proceeds ($) 1 86,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 86,950 = $1,628.10 2 87,450 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 87,450 = $1,637.03 3 87,950 8% 0.029949 0.029949 × 87,950 = $2,638.15 4 88,450 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 88,450 = $3,976.39 5 88,950 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 88,950 = $4,664.19 6 89,450 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 89,450 = $4,691.19 7 89,950 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 89,950 = $4,047.12 8 90,450 10% 0.037436 0.037436 × 90,450 = $3,388.20 9 90,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 90,950 = $1,705.71 10 91,450 15% 0.056154 0.056154 × 91,450 = $5,137.68 Total BTC Sold: 0.018718×3 + 0.029949 + 0.044924×2 + 0.052420×2 + 0.037436 + 0.056154 = 0.374381 BTC (matches our total acquired ~0.37436 BTC)≈ $33,488.26 Profit on the Trade: Total Proceeds – Total Investment = $33,488.26 – $30,000 = +$3,488.26 Return on the Trade: $3,488.26/$30,000×100≈11.63% On Overall Account: For a $100K account, $3,488 represents a gain of about 3.49% if fully realised on this trade. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Risk = $1,366; Reward = $3,488; Ratio ≈ $3,488 / $1,366 ≈ 2.55:1 Step 4: Profit & Risk Summary Metric – Per Trade - Based on $100K Account Total Investment - $30,000 - $30,000 (30%) Risk (Stop Loss) - $1,366 (4.6%) - $1,366(1.37%) Profit (Closed) - $3,488 (11.63%) - $3,488 (3.49%) Profit + Runner - $4,311.18 (14.37%) - $4,311.18 (4.31%) Risk-to-Reward Ratio Calculation: If Stop Loss Hits ($76,500): Average Entry Price: $80,150 Loss per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650 Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account) If BTC Reaches Our Exit Targets: Total Proceeds: ≈ $33,488 Profit: $33,488 – $30,000 = $3,488 Profit Percentage on Trade: ~11.63% Overall Account Impact: ~3.49% gain on a $100K account Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~2.55:1 Step 5: The Power of Scaling In & Out Capital Protection: You risk only about $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account), protecting your capital even during a series of losses. Optimised Entry: Scaling in from $83,050 to $78,050 yields an average entry of about $80,150—significantly lower than the top price. Profit Locking: Scaling out from $86,950 to $91,450 allows you to lock in profits at multiple levels, ensuring you capture gains along the way. Healthy R:R: With a risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 2.55:1, your potential reward significantly outweighs your risk. Discipline & Consistency: This structured approach minimises emotional trading and helps you stick to your plan. Optional Note: While this guide fully closes the trade, leaving a small portion (15%) open (runner) is an option if BTC continues to rally. Step 6: Final Pre-Trade Checklist 🔹 Support & Resistance: Is BTC trading near a strong support zone? 🔹 Technical Indicators: Is BTC holding above key moving averages (e.g., 21 EMA/SMA)? 🔹 Risk Management: Are you only risking 1–2% of your total account? 🔹 Trade Plan: Are you scaling in and out instead of going all-in? Are your entry levels and exit levels clearly defined? 🔹 Market Confirmation: Do volume, candlestick patterns, and order flow support your trade setup? Conclusion ✅ We protect our money by limiting risk ✅ We enter trades gradually (scaling in) ✅ We take profits at multiple levels (scaling out) ✅ We fully close the trade or leave some BTC open to ride the trend higher Final Tips: Common Mistakes to Avoid 👉 Overleveraging – 10x leverage + 2% risk = 20% account risk! 👉 Ignoring Volatility – Tight stops on Bitcoin often trigger early exits. 👉 Never trade based on emotions. Stick to your plan, adhere strictly to your risk management rules, and let your disciplined strategy work in your favour.
Long
by SiDec
1
NMR with potential for growthHello everyone, let's look at the NMR chart in hand at USDT, taking into account the 1W interval. As we can see, the prices are moving under the designated inheritance trend line, and what is more, you can see here when we entered a strong support zone from $ 11 to $ 7, which can potentially be a good shopping zone for Long position. In a situation where BTC stabilizes at the current price or the valuation increases again, we can see an interesting increase on NMR. It is worth considering several output levels like T1 = 12.36 $ T2 = 14.98 $ T3 = 19.59 $ T4 = 22.77 $ T5 = $ 26.74 Looking at the RSI indicator, you can see the traffic below the lower limit, which may also indicate a potentially upcoming growth movement.
Long
by cryptodailyuk
EURCHF → Bears increase pressure to lower the priceFX:EURCHF breaks trend support and overall bullish structure. The rising dollar is putting negative pressure on the forex markets The fundamental background for the Eurozone is extremely negative due to Trump's policy and the US in general, especially when it comes to the tariff war. The dollar is strengthening, which generally creates a negative background for the markets. Technically, after breaking the support of the uptrend, the bears are confirming their dominance by keeping the price in the selling zone. Resistance levels: 0.93807, 0.94179 Support levels: 0.93299, 0.92945 A retest of the reversal zone 0.9400 is possible, but at the moment we can focus our attention on 0.93800. Consolidation of the price under this level will provoke further sell-offs. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
End of hibernation for the bears?AMEX:SPY is at a pivotal point and could potentially be at the top of the bullish cycle that began in October 2022. If this prediction proves accurate, I think we could see a maximum low of $510 for this year. There are a couple of caveats, including one that will be a clear indicator of whether or not this wave count is accurate, which I will explain later. On the 1000R chart ($10), this uptrend was confirmed by Supertrend and volume activity. Volume drastically increased at the start of Wave (3) in March 2023 and did not taper off until the start of Wave (4) in July 2024. This was the strongest impulse in the trend, which is common for Wave 3. You can also see the ADX line of the DMI indicator (white line) was at its highest level during that period. Assuming Wave (5) is already complete, we can observe that the volume in Wave (3) was considerably less than Wave (5). Other observations supporting this wave count: - Wave (4) retracing into the territory of Wave 4 of (3) - Alternation in corrective patterns between Wave (2) and Wave (4); flat in (2) and straight down in (4) - Wave (5) extending to nearly 1.618 of (1) While the points I’ve made so far suggest that the market may be on the verge of a crash, the image gets more complicated when you take a closer look on the 250R chart ($2.50). I’ll start with what I’m counting as Wave 4 of (5). The price ended at ATH in Wave 3 and then corrected in an unmistakable five wave descending wedge pattern. This can only be a fourth wave of a larger impulse, so we can conclude with a fair amount of confidence that the wave that follows will be the last. Here is where things get interesting. The price moved from $575 on January 13th to a slightly higher ATH of $609.24 on January 24th before being rejected again. This uptrend unfolded in a typical bullish pattern and left a notable gap at $584, which is the only gap still left unfilled. The trend change is confirmed on the moving averages. Notice the serious drop in volume that followed as well. Despite the shift in volume, there are two issues I have with this wave count that are preventing me from calling this a confirmed correction: 1. Wave 5 of (5) was awfully short and only extended roughly $2 above the end of Wave 3 of (5). This does not break any rules, but it is unusual. 2. What I have labelled as Wave B of Wave (1) or (A) of the correction made a new ATH on Friday February 14th, which should invalidate this wave count since the end of Wave 5 of (5) should be the peak. The second point is why some may think that we are about to resume the larger bull trend, however there is a possibility that they are mistaken based off the PA on the actual index SP:SPX and futures CME_MINI:ES1! . On the SP:SPX chart, we can see that the index did not break the ATH at $6128.18 set on January 25th, and instead rejected at $6,127.24. CME_MINI:ES1! also failed to notch a new ATH on Friday and I have observed the price action create a nearly perfect bearish butterfly pattern. Also notice how the volume is significantly lower than in the uptrend that began on January 31st. So the question remains: are we at a tipping point or will the bulls regain control? Right now it’s unclear, but I will keep my bearish sentiment until SP:SPX makes a new ATH, which will invalidate this theory. Since only the ETF that tracks it only made a slightly higher high on low volume, I’m skeptical of the PA on AMEX:SPY at the moment. This is why I entered puts on Friday. If the trade plays out, I expect the price to quickly move to fill the gap at $584, which is still conveniently located at what I cam considering the 1.236 extension of Wave A, which is a common target extension in flat corrections. I will keep my puts open until this idea is invalidated, as the Wave C drop will likely be caused by a news event that could come at any time. Let me know if you guys are seeing the same thing or something different. Good luck to all!
AMEX:SPYShort
by ap769
3
XRP/USDT 8H chartHello everyone, let's look at the 8H XRP chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves in a local inheritance trend much lower than the trend line itself. However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face: T1 = $ 2.29 T2 = $ 2.39 Т3 = 2.50 $. T4 = $ 2.65 Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = $ 2.14 SL2 = $ 2 SL3 = 1.77 Looking at the RSI indicator, we see As we bounced again from the lower limit of the range, similarly to the MacD indicator with we go down and lower which in the coming time can end the correction.
by cryptodailyuk
Bitcoin Daily Chart Over the past seven days, Bitcoin experienced a significant decline, dropping 2,440 pips before finding support around the 78,261 level. This area acted as a key zone of interest due to multiple technical confluences aligning, ultimately halting further downside movement. As a result, we are now witnessing a reaction at this level. Looking ahead, I anticipate two potential scenarios. Bitcoin could revisit this support level, forming a double-bottom structure before initiating an upward push toward 91,500. Alternatively, it may first rally toward 91,500 before facing a rejection, leading to a corrective move down to approximately 71,500. If this pullback materializes and establishes a strong base, I expect Bitcoin to gain bullish momentum, eventually setting a new all-time high in the coming months. Daily Chart Total Crypto Cap There were multiple confluences to see an reaction at 2.6T.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ChartStrategist
1
GOLD → False breakdown and pullback before the fallFX:XAUUSD is updating lows within the framework of the changed local trend. The price is testing the liquidity zone of 2852. Possible rebound before further decline Gold traded near two-week lows below $2,900 in Asian markets on Friday, breaking an eight-week run of gains. The metal is being pressured by a strengthening U.S. dollar amid Trump's new tariff threats and the U.S. economy. Trump confirmed 25% tariffs on Mexican and Canadian goods from March 4 and an additional 10% on Chinese imports. Weak US GDP data (2.3% in Q4) and rising jobless claims also support the dollar. Traders are waiting for the PCE core price index data to gauge the Fed rate outlook and the impact on gold Resistance levels: 2869, 2877, 2885 Support levels: 2852, 2834 A false break of 2852 could trigger a pullback to the imbalance zone (2869-2877) or to the liquidity zone (2885) before a further decline. Fundamental and technical background is weak, gold may try to renew the low. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
11
USDJPY → A rebound following a rising dollarFX:USDJPY is growing following the dollar. A local reversal is being formed due to US politics and economy The price stops in the zone of 149.4 - 148.6 after a strong fall. Long-term consolidation is forming a reversal setup, the situation is also supported by the reversal and strengthening of the dollar. Against this background, the Japanese yen is losing positions. The focus is on the resistance 150.3, if the bulls can keep the defense above this zone, then in the short to medium term the price may strengthen to the trend resistance. Resistance levels 150.3, 150.95 Support levels: 149.4, 149.15 At the moment we have a downtrend and the potential for counter-trend correction. Everything depends on the dollar and the upcoming news. If the outcome is positive for us, the price may reach 152.3 Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
XRP- Golden Pocket or Death Drop? Critical XRP Decision ImminentCurrent market structure shows XRPUSD consolidating at a critical support zone around 2.17, where a confluence of factors could drive the next significant move. 📌 Key Zone: The 2.17 price range aligns with the Golden Pocket (61.8%-65% Fibonacci retracement) and a Fair Value Gap (FVG), creating a strong liquidity zone. This area has been tested several times, showing signs of demand and accumulation 🔍. 🟢 Bullish Scenario: If the Golden Pocket holds and price shows bullish confirmation with a Market Structure Shift (MSS) or an inverted FVG, the probability for a reversal increases. 🎯 Target: The first upside target would be the unfilled imbalance (FVG) between 2.36 and 2.39, offering a clean liquidity grab and potential continuation to higher levels. Entry Confirmation: ✅ MSS on lower timeframes (5M/15M) ✅ Inversion of bearish FVG ✅ Bullish candlestick patterns 🔴 Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the Golden Pocket without bullish confirmation, the next liquidity target lies at the 2.06 price range — a level where the market could sweep lows before a possible reversal. Entry Confirmation: ❌ Clean break and close below 2.17 ❌ Retest of the broken level as resistance ❌ Bearish order block formation ⚙️ Trade Plan: Wait for bullish or bearish confirmation Set alerts at 2.17 and 2.06 Always follow risk management 📊 This setup offers high R:R potential if executed with patience. Let price action dictate the move! What do YOU think? 👇 Will XRP hold this strong support or are we heading lower? __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment—I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
10
Bitcoin Breaks Key Support: Is $72K the Next Target?Bitcoin has officially broken below the $91,000 support level, a key structural low that previously acted as a strong base for price action. This breakdown is significant, as it signals a shift in market sentiment and opens the door for a potential retest of lower price levels. The first major area of interest now lies in the green Fair Value Gap (FVG) at the $80,000 level. This region represents an imbalance that has yet to be fully filled, making it a likely point of support where buyers could step in. However, the strength of this level will be critical to monitor if bulls fail to defend it, we could see an even deeper correction. 🚨 Why Is $72K an Important Level? If Bitcoin fails to hold above the $80,000 FVG, the next major target would be the red Fair Value Gap around $72,000, which also aligns with the golden pocket retracement zone (between the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci levels). This area is a strong draw on liquidity, meaning that large players in the market could be targeting this level to accumulate Bitcoin at a discount. Historically, golden pocket regions often act as high-probability reversal zones, but if sentiment remains weak, we could even see a deeper correction towards lower Fibonacci retracement levels, such as the 0.786 zone at around $64,000. 🔥 Key Factors Driving Bitcoin’s Recent Drop Several major events and macroeconomic factors are currently weighing on Bitcoin’s price action: 📉 Loss of Trump-Driven Crypto Euphoria Bitcoin and the broader crypto market initially surged on speculation that Donald Trump’s return to the political spotlight would lead to favorable regulations for the industry. However, recent developments have dampened this optimism. Policy details remain unclear, and investors are beginning to question whether the market got ahead of itself. 🔓 Major Crypto Security Concerns A recent record-breaking $1.5 billion hack on crypto exchange Bybit has raised security fears across the industry. This has led to increased outflows from centralized exchanges as investors rush to secure their assets, adding sell pressure to the market. ⚖️ Regulatory Uncertainty & SEC Scrutiny The SEC has formed a new task force focused on digital assets, signaling more regulatory oversight in the near future. While some see this as a step toward legitimizing crypto, others fear it could bring stricter enforcement actions, particularly against DeFi platforms and stablecoins. 📊 Declining On-Chain Metrics & Miner Sell-offs On-chain data suggests that miners have been selling Bitcoin at an increased rate, likely to cover operational costs as mining difficulty continues to rise. This has added additional downward pressure on price. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch Moving Forward ✅ $80,000 (Green FVG) → First major support zone ✅ $72,000 (Red FVG & Golden Pocket) → Strong liquidity draw if $80K fails 🚨 Below $72,000 → Potential retracement toward the 64K-65K region 📢 Final Thoughts: What’s Next for Bitcoin? Bitcoin is at a critical inflection point whether we hold $80K or drop toward $72K will determine the next major trend. The current breakdown suggests more downside in the short term, but these lower levels could offer an excellent buying opportunity for long-term investors. With upcoming regulatory decisions, macroeconomic uncertainty, and potential geopolitical factors, traders should remain cautious and watch key support levels closely. 👉 Are you buying the dip, or do you think Bitcoin has further to fall? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀📉
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by TehThomas
6
NVDA: Fibonacci cluster support and 200MA at 126.5. NASDAQ:NVDA : Fibonacci Cluster Support at 126.5 Sets Up Potential 10% Rally to 140 Looking at NVIDIA's technical setup, I've identified a critical support zone that could launch NASDAQ:NVDA toward a significant target if it holds. Technical Analysis The current price action shows NVIDIA testing a key support zone consisting of: - Fibonacci cluster at 126.5 - 200 Moving Average support If this support zone holds, I'm targeting the next Fibonacci cluster at 140, representing approximately a 10.7% upside potential. Entry Strategy I'm monitoring two potential entry scenarios: Aggressive Entry (15-minute chart): - Wait for 8 EMA to cross above 34 EMA - Price must break above the most recent swing high - Entry on confirmation of this break Conservative Entry (30-minute chart): - Same criteria as above but on the 30-minute timeframe - Provides more reliable signals with fewer false breakouts Risk Management Stop Loss: Place stops below the 126.5 Fibonacci/200 MA support zone (approximately 124-125) Profit Target: First target at the 140 Fibonacci cluster Conflicting Indicators My analysis shows mixed signals that require caution: 1. My WillVall indicator on the weekly chart shows a potential buy opportunity at current prices, BUT it needs to change direction and move above the 15 level before confirming a long-term entry 2. Multiple timeframe squeeze indicators (Weekly, 4D, 3D, 2D) are currently in squeeze with negative momentum, suggesting downside pressure 3. According to IBD Market School methodology, the market is showing signs of correction and the buy switch is currently OFF, indicating we should avoid new long positions Trade Plan Given the current market conditions and mixed signals: - Wait for confirmation of support at the 126.5 zone - Look for entry signal confirmation on preferred timeframe - Use smaller position size due to conflicting indicators - Set clear stop loss below support (124-125) - Target the 140 Fibonacci cluster for profit taking I'll remain patient and wait for clearer market conditions before committing significant capital to this trade. The technical setup is promising, but broader market conditions suggest caution.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradeVizion
Will BTC end the current correction at -24%? 1D ChartHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price came out of the downtrend channel to the top, which gave a dynamic price increase, and then a new channel was created, this time an uptrend from which we could see an exit from the bottom. In a situation where the exit from the channel confirmed the decrease by the height of the channel, we could see another price decrease. Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price must face: T1 = 90088 USD T2 = 95448 USD Т3 = 103291 USD Т4 = zone from 109435 USD to 115187 USD Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall: SL1 = 79108 USD SL2 = 72179 USD SL3 = 61983 USD When we look at the RSI indicator and the STOCH indicator, we can see that the energy is very much depleted and we are at the lower limit of the range, where previously we could often see a change in the price direction after such a situation.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by cryptodailyuk
GOLD → Retest of risk zone 2880. A pullback is possibleFX:XAUUSD is breaking the local trend and is testing the panic and risk zone of 2880 as part of the correction. A retest of this area will increase the chances of a trend change Gold is losing growth due to uncertainty of Trump's tariff plans and economic problems in the US. Contradictory statements from the president are supporting the dollar, while rising bond yields are holding back gold prices. Markets are waiting for US GDP data: if the figures are lower than forecast (2.3%), gold may rise. Fed speeches are also important, but the key will be Trump's statement, which may change the market sentiment Technically, locally we have a bearish market structure and in this case we expect the decline to continue after a small correction. Support levels: 2878, 2888 Resistance levels: 2890, 2907 False breakdown of the above support, after such a strong fall, may form a correction. Initially, the price may head towards 0.5 Fibo, after a small pullback we may test 0.7 Fibo. But then we will have to watch the price reaction. If the gold will go down, the focus will be on 2880. If the movement will be difficult and the price will start to test the resistance, then in this case, against the background of high risks, we can return to the growth phase. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
14
OPUSDT → There's still a chance for an alt seasonBINANCE:OPUSDT is showing positive momentum relative to what bitcoin has put up this night. The coin is in consolidation and testing trend resistance The main reason for the lack of an altcoin season is bitcoin's huge dominance of the cryptocurrency market. The fall of BTC (open channel to 75K) and further growth after the formation of an intermediate bottom in the 75-80K zone may reduce the dominance phase, which in general will give a chance to the altcoin market, which is going through bad times. I like OP in the fact that it is not falling in the wake of the flagship, but stands in consolidation, where we have clear boundaries for strategy formation. Focus on resistance: 1.212. Resistance levels: 1.212 Support levels: 1.044, 0.983 Thus, a break of the resistance at 1.212 could trigger a rally and an attempt to change the trend. It may happen after correction to 0.5 fibo, or after formation of pre-breakdown consolidation on H1-H4. The structure of the setup will be broken if the coin starts to break 1.044-0.983. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
DOT/USDT 4H chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 4H Dot chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves in the local growth trend channel. However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face: T1 = $ 4.93 T2 = $ 5.40 Т3 = $ 5.87 T4 = $ 6.18 Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = 4.65 $ SL2 = 4.19 $ SL3 = $ 3,74 SL4 = $ 3.39 Looking at the RSI indicator, you can see the traffic above the upper limit of the range in the place where the price relief could be observed earlier.
by cryptodailyuk
EUR/JPY – High-Probability Short Setup 1️⃣ Market Overview – Bearish Bias Confirmation EUR/JPY remains in a strong downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the price is retracing into a critical Fibonacci resistance zone, making this a prime opportunity to short the pair in line with institutional sentiment and seasonality trends. 2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels – Identifying Key Resistance The Fibonacci retracement is drawn from the most recent bearish impulse. Resistance Zone: 0.5 (156.888) to 0.786 (157.107) – a high-probability rejection area. If price fails to break above this zone, a continuation to the downside is expected. Prime Seasonality Insights – Historical Data Supports the Short Bias 📊 Seasonality trends over 15 years indicate that EUR/JPY historically declines in late February and early March. 🔻 February seasonality performance: -0.7% average return 🔻 Next 3-5 day forecast: Bearish probabilities (-0.06% to -0.21%) 🔻 Seasonality prediction candles show a short-term retracement, followed by downside continuation. 💡 This aligns with the technical setup, reinforcing a short bias. 4️⃣ Retail Sentiment – Smart Money Edge 🚨 79% of retail traders are LONG on EUR/JPY – a contrarian signal for a short trade. 🔻 Institutions (Smart Money) are aggressively shorting EUR/JPY, as seen in COT data. 🔻 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report shows increased institutional short positioning. 🔻 Retail traders trapped in longs will likely get stopped out, fueling further downside. 5️⃣ Technical Confirmation – Trendline & Indicators ✅ Price is below all major EMAs (6, 24, 72, 288) on the 4-hour chart. ✅ Supertrend remains bearish on the 4-hour timeframe. ✅ A downward sloping trendline aligns with the Fibonacci resistance zone. 💡 I will wait for confirmation (rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle) before entering a short position. 6️⃣ Conclusion – Trade Plan for EUR/JPY 🔹 Bias: Bearish due to downtrend, Fibonacci resistance, seasonality, and institutional short positioning. 🔹 Trade Setup: Sell EUR/JPY at 156.88 - 157.10 (Upon rejection) Stop Loss: Above 157.26 Take Profit Targets: 156.30, 156.04, 156.00 🔹 Key Confirmation: Retail traders are trapped in longs, seasonality supports further downside, and institutions are short. 🚀 This is a prime example of how combining Seasonality, Smart Money Positioning, and Technicals can create a powerful trade setup. 📌 What’s your outlook on EUR/JPY? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Short
by LDForex_
GOLD → Shaking. Going into flat. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is moving from a local bullish trend to a flat state. Bulls are still protecting strong risk zones. What to expect from the metal next? Investors are returning to safe-haven assets due to uncertainty over Trump's tariffs and weak U.S. economic data. Gold pulled back from a record $2,956 on Tuesday on profit taking and due to a drop in Chinese imports. However, a weak U.S. consumer confidence index helped the price recover. Gold's rise is being held back by a strengthening dollar and bond yields, but trade war fears are supporting demand for the metal Resistance levels: 2921, 2929, 2942 Support levels: 2905, 2888 Thus, we are forming a flat (sideways range). There is a possibility for a decline, for example, to retest the support 2905 - 2888 before further growth. Or growth and breakdown of resistance. If the bulls can enter the 2921-2929 zone and keep the defense above this zone, the metal may return to growth. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
7