GOLD → The US election and how does XAUUSD depend on it?FX:XAUUSD is waiting for strong news. The price continues to test and even update local lows, but in the next 1-2 days you need to be careful as high volatility is expected.
The main issue on the agenda is the US presidential election. High volatility is expected. Until last week, markets were pricing in a Trump victory (his policies on immigration, tax cuts and tariffs will put upward pressure on inflation, bond yields and the US dollar). But on Monday, the situation showed a slightly different picture, with the odds of a Harris victory (opposite, successor, policies) rising
In addition, expectations of a less aggressive easing cycle from the Fed are also supporting the dollar.
Also, markets are taking into account the ongoing Middle East conflict between Israel and Iran.
Technically, the emphasis of the flat boundaries. While the price is trading inside, but most likely an attempt to get out of the accumulation will be formed....
Resistance levels: 2745, 2758
Support levels: 2731, 2724, 2713
Technically, gold continues to test support with the aim of retesting deeper liquidity zones below. But the risks are quite high right now. Gold is still feeling the support, so there could be unpredictable market reactions depending on the outcome!
Regards R. Linda!
Fibonacci Retracement
Sonata Software Ltd. (NSE: SONATSOFTW)The daily chart of Sonata Software shows a notable consolidation phase after a strong uptrend earlier this year, which peaked around ₹837. The stock has been trading within a descending triangle pattern, a sign of ongoing consolidation with potential for a breakout in either direction. Here’s a closer look at key levels and technical indicators:
1.Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The stock has retraced to key Fibonacci levels, finding temporary support near the 0.236 level around ₹563 and facing resistance near the 0.382 level around ₹615. These levels are crucial as the stock approaches a breakout or breakdown point.
2.Trendline Analysis:
Two converging trendlines form a descending triangle, indicating potential price compression. A breakout above the upper trendline or a breakdown below the lower trendline could signal the next trend direction. Traders should watch for a breakout above ₹615-₹620 or a breakdown below ₹563.
3.Volume and Momentum:
Volume has been gradually decreasing during this consolidation, which typically precedes a breakout. If there’s a spike in volume with a breakout, it could confirm the direction.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is around 47, showing neutral momentum but with room for movement in either direction. A rise above 50 could indicate bullish momentum.
3.Key Support and Resistance:
Support: Major support is around ₹563 (0.236 Fibonacci level) and ₹479 (100% retracement).
Resistance: Immediate resistance stands at ₹615, with stronger resistance around ₹658 (0.5 Fibonacci level) and ₹700.
Outlook:
Given the current pattern, Sonata Software is approaching a decisive moment. A breakout above ₹615-₹620 with strong volume could push the stock towards ₹658 and beyond. Conversely, a breakdown below ₹563 might lead to further downside.
Note: Keep an eye on broader market conditions as well, as they can influence breakout strength and follow-through.
Birlasoft Ltd - Technical Analysis and Potential Trade IdeasPrice Structure and Fibonacci Analysis:
Birlasoft's stock is currently in a descending triangle pattern, with price approaching a critical support level around ₹523, which aligns with the 0% Fibonacci retracement level from the recent peak of ₹859.55.
The Fibonacci levels on this chart highlight major retracement zones:
23.6% Fibonacci level at ₹602.60 served as previous support but has now turned into resistance.
The 50% level at ₹691.35 and the 61.8% level at ₹731.05 acted as strong resistance levels during past retracements.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
The stock has a key support zone around ₹523, which has been tested multiple times (green arrows on the chart), indicating a possible demand zone.
If this level fails, there is further support around ₹512.40 and a long-term support zone near ₹476.30.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance is seen near the 23.6% Fibonacci level at ₹602.60, where previous breakdowns occurred.
A descending trendline (marked with red arrows) indicates continuous selling pressure around this level.
Volume Profile Analysis:
The Volume Profile on the right shows a high-volume node around ₹570-₹600, suggesting strong historical trading interest in this area.
If the price breaks out of the descending triangle pattern, this zone could act as an initial resistance on a potential upward move.
Technical Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is near the oversold region, which could indicate a potential rebound if buying interest emerges at the support levels.
Volume Trends: A noticeable increase in selling volume has been observed during the recent downtrend, highlighting persistent selling pressure.
Trading Ideas and Strategy:
Bullish Scenario:
A bounce from the ₹523 support level, accompanied by a volume spike, could present a buying opportunity for a short-term recovery to ₹602.60 or higher.
Confirmation of a reversal at this level could open the path towards ₹651.70 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement), where further resistance is expected.
Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below ₹523, especially with high volume, could lead to further downside toward ₹512.40 or even the long-term support at ₹476.30.
Traders may consider short positions below ₹523, targeting lower support levels with proper risk management.
Conclusion:
Birlasoft is currently at a critical juncture. Traders should keep an eye on the ₹523 support level for potential bullish setups or watch for a breakdown below this level to consider bearish trades. This analysis highlights both opportunities and risks, depending on the upcoming price action around these crucial levels.
Bitcoin's Squeeze in price is building momentum upwards
I hope you are well this Sunday.
If you have been following my Bitcoin thread this weekend, you will know that price has further to fall, if the Bitcoin market is to tank downwards. What I am saying is that we are in a squeeze moving price down and up which contracts price and causes the squeeze effect, which quite frankly is needed in circumstances where volumes are again low this weekend.
But this squeeze is building momentum in the Bitcoin tank.
Bitcoin price has recently tested the level just under 69000 which is a big support level. Unfortunately some Stop Losses would've been triggered and price has taken the liquidity and moved higher. I never like to promote a stop loss level to someone, but I think it's reckless if I do not in circumstances where price tanks.
Please take a look at a recently Daily Chart of Bitcoin. I present Fib Levels & Fib EMA's 8,13,21,55. Both are supportive of price to move higher from current levels. 69,000 and thereabouts is the support zone and I think this level will hold.
SOLANA → Resistance retest. Will there be a reaction?BINANCE:SOLUSDT , after a strong growth, bumps into the conglomerate of resistances formed on D1-W1. It can be assumed that there is not enough potential to break through this area at the moment....
There is a clear resistance of the sideways range with gradually narrowing borders on the chart. This is a consolidation, which is most likely not over yet. The market continues to accumulate potential before further strong movement.
The price reacts very aggressively to the resistance of the figure every time: the retest is followed by a strong decline to the lower boundary.
The actual retest ends with a false breakout and the formation of a reversal pattern and the trigger of the 173.00 zone. Accordingly, if the SOL continues to decline, which leads to a breakdown of support, the market may enter a sell-off phase.
Resistance levels: 183.4, 188.3
Support levels: 173.0, 159.1
I don't exclude that on the background of bitcoin's active growth SOL may make another attempt of a bull run, for example, to 188.4-188.3. But liquidity formed above this zone will not let the price up the first time.
At the moment the focus is on 173.0. A breakdown and consolidation below this area will activate a sell-off...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★
BINANCE:SOLUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Alikze »» FTM | Triple Top - 4H🔍 Technical analysis: Triple Top - 4H
- In the analysis presented in the weekly time frame , after the formation of a reversal top pattern, the first target and the 1.272 Fibo area were touched. After that, it faced a selling pressure in the Fibo area of 1.272.
- Further on in the daily analysis , it was pointed out that due to the selling pressure in the middle of the ascending channel, it can face the demand again with the pullback to the broken structure and the Buyer Zone, otherwise, with the continuation of the selling pressure, it can reach the bottom of the ascending channel. also touch
- But in the 4-hour time frame, due to a triple top pattern in the Fibo range of 1.272, it faced selling pressure and has led to the continuation of the correction to the bottom of the ascending channel in the 4-hour time frame.
- According to the behavior and structure, it can make a modification to the Order Block area with pullback to the red box area.
💎 In addition, in case of selling pressure, correction can continue up to the 0.3906 area, and in case of demand, it can increase to the 0.62 area.
💎 In addition, if it can break the red box area, it can retest the middle range of the channel and Fibo 1.272.
»»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support.
Best Regards,❤️
Alikze.
»»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
BINANCE:FTMUSDT
Will Kasia stay in the support zone?Hello everyone, let's take a look at the Kaspa chart in USDT pair, taking into account the time frame of one day. you can see here how the price has returned to the very important support zone from $0.177 to $0.0931, this is a very important zone because it is the last place of support before a strong price drop.
You can see here how the price is struggling to maintain the level in the triangle, from which we can see candles that are trying to pay off the triangle with the bottom, then the last support line is visible.
Looking the other way, when the price starts to rise again, first of all you can see the resistance at the level of $0.144, then the level at the price of $0.168 will be important, and then the very important resistance at the price of $0.208, which previously turned out to be the price peak.
GOLD → Background Change. Is it time for a correction?FX:XAUUSD is facing profit-taking and a strong correction after Thursday's news. From ATH, the metal is down 2% for the day. Today is an equally busy news day!
The stock and futures market declined quite a bit in yesterday's session. Most likely a reaction to rising inflation..... The data was quite unexpected. The election race is on the agenda. The main question is the pace of easing under this or that president.... At the moment the focus is on the NFP report, which will be released later Friday. It is expected that the economy added 109K new jobs in October and the unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.1%.
Technically, gold is coming back under the strong 2760 level, this was confirmed by a retest early in the European session. The market may be interested in the imbalance zone and the approximate area of 0.5-0.7 fibo...
Resistance levels: 2758, 2771, 2789
Support levels: 2745, 2738, 2728
The fundamental background is changing and it is reflected in gold. The outflow of investments may continue. If the negative background intensifies, gold may fall lower after resistance retest, e.g. to 2724-2713. But, unpredictable data will renew interest in the metal, which may return to the range of 2760 - 2790
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Confirmation of a trend change. The Bear ZoneFX:GBPUSD confirms the bearish market structure. The fundamnetal factor is favorable for further decline. Since the opening of the session, the price has been testing the previously broken boundary. The market is not ready to resist the sellers yet
On the background of difficult situation in the west, the course of interest rate cuts in the UK, a pool of sell orders is forming in the zone 1.315 - 1.300. Buyers are turning around.
On Monday, in the Asian session, the retest of the previously broken trend support ended with a downward impulse, which confirms the bearish mood in the market. GBPUSD confirms the price exit from the channel.
It is possible that another retest is possible, as the dollar is forming a short-term correction, but it does not change the general essence of it
Resistance levels: 1.3044, 1.3068
Support levels: 1.300, 1.2975, 1.2938
The trigger for the continuation of the fall will be the breakdown of 1.3000 and further consolidation of the price below this zone. Additional scenario: retest of 1.3063 - 1.3075 before further fall
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
ETHEREUM → Price can't break the bearish trend. False breakoutBINANCE:ETHUSD is facing selloffs. Technically, ETH is showing weakness on the background of growing sales. Any growth attempts are aggressively sold off. The price continues to test the support, which only increases the chances of a breakdown
Accumulation is narrowing. Ethereum is unable to leave the downtrend. The pressure formed by the bears is only getting stronger. Earlier there was a growth attempt, which became unsuccessful, after a false breakdown of the intermediate resistance 2717. The bears did not let anyone near 2817. On the background of yesterday's fall, associated with bitcoin correction in the 67K - 65K zone, the price tested the consolidation support and is forming a false breakdown.
From October 22: BITCOIN → False Breakout & Bearish Engulfment ↓
If the price does not start active growth, but returns to the support and starts to enter the risk zone, it can provoke the activation of orders and a strong impulse to 2100-1900.
Resistance levels: 2562, 2728, 2764
Support levels: 2392, 2318, 2111
It is not excluded that the price may return to the triangle resistance or 2728, but there are no hints for now. Emphasize on 2562 and 2392, two important zones from which a strong fall can be formed
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Bearish Divergence in AUD/JPY: Short Opportunities Now.In the 1-hour timeframe for AUD/JPY , there’s a bearish divergence, with strong support just above and several high-volume zones at lower price levels. For now, I see good short opportunities at a premium price, while later on, the golden Fibonacci area could provide a great entry point for long positions once the price reaches that level. FX:AUDJPY
GOLD → The calm before the storm. News ahead... FX:XAUUSD is at a strong resistance of 2790. Traders are getting nervous before the news. Risks as well as the price are rising. PCE, Initial Jobless Claims, Chicago PMI are ahead.
Traders have taken a wait-and-see stance ahead of the news. PCE along with NFP on Friday should give an insight into the Fed's interest rate outlook. Against the backdrop of a steady US labor market, a 0.25% cut is the most likely scenario. The metal is holding back any fall that could be seen as a correction due to election uncertainty. There is not much time left. As well as news from China and the escalated conflict in the Middle East.
Technically gold is in a range, the chart indicates stronger levels and liquidity zones. The most probable scenario is a retest of one of the support zones and further growth after liquidity capture. Targets in such a case could be 2789-2800.
Support levels: 2771, 2758, 2745
Resistance levels: 2789, 2800
It is not excluded that there may be a strong shakeout on the background of the news. Market behavior at the moment will depend on the actual data. The reaction may be extremely aggressive.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★
FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
DOGE/USDT chart review 1D I invite you to take a quick look at the chart of DOGE in pair with USDT, taking into account the time frame of one day. As we can see, when the price left the downtrend lines, it gained energy for new increases.
But you can see here that the 0.618 Fib level turned out to be a strong resistance at the $0.176 level, only when it is overcome we can see the resistance at the $0.2 level, and then the $0.234 level will be important.
Looking the other way, first of all you need to take into account the level of $0.146 as support, then the level of $0.123 is important, and then visible support is at the price of $0.089.
When we look at the RSI indicator, we will see a reflection from the upper limit, but the large rebound resulted in a slight downward price movement on the chart, which translated into a strong upward movement.
GOLD → Risks are rising and so is the price. News ahead! FX:XAUUSD updates ATH to 2790. This is probably not the limit, but the risks, like the price, are rising ahead of strong news and the US election race.
Gold feels support for several reasons: stopping the rally in DXY (profit taking is possible), positive hints about the Chinese economy, escalating conflict in the Middle East. The dollar stops the rally and forms consolidation for the last few days, which is generally favorable for gold.
The metal is updating the highs and in the current conditions trading is quite simple: we trade either a breakdown of resistance in order to continue the movement, or search for strong support zones, where we can trade price pullbacks.
Today the Nonfarms from ADP, US GDP will be released. This is worth paying attention to. Weaker data can greatly increase volatility and provoke the continuation of metal growth. And vice versa.
Resistance levels: 2789, 2800
Support levels: 2777, 2771, 2758
Gold is in a local correction. Emphasis on strong support zones with the purpose of rebound and continuation of growth. But, we need to watch the news, there may be shake-ups, but the general background for gold is expected to remain favorable.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
EURJPY → Buyer pressure is mounting. Pre-breakout consolidationFX:EURJPY is forming quite an interesting situation on the background of inaction of the Japanese Central Bank (weakening of JPY exchange rate) as well as strengthening of EUR.
The currency pair has been in the realization phase for more than a week. Based on the general assumptions, we can assume that this is not the end and the growth may continue. An ascending triangle is being formed on H1 (pre-breakout consolidation) against the resistance at 166.065. Accordingly, this level is a trigger. Within the general technical and fundamental environment, we can conclude that the currency pair is preparing for the continuation of growth.
If the bulls are able to overcome 166.06 and keep the defense above this zone, we should expect the continuation of the growth in the short and medium term.
Resistance levels: 166.06, 166
Support levels: 165.68, 165.14, 164.95
The trend is bullish, buyers are actively defending the trend support. All market pressure is focused on the resistance. A break of the level may provoke a strong upward impulse
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURJPY ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Mastering Fibonacci ChannelsFibonacci Channel: A Tool for Identifying Potential Trend Levels
The Fibonacci Channel is a powerful technical analysis tool that advanced traders use to identify potential support and resistance levels within a trend. This tool is particularly useful in trending markets, such as Forex and equities, to gauge price movement and pinpoint strategic entry and exit points.
The Fibonacci Channel consists of a series of parallel lines plotted using Fibonacci ratios (such as 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, etc.). These lines help traders mark key areas within a price trend that could indicate a potential reversal or continuation.
How to Use the Fibonacci Channel
1. Identify Start and End Points: Begin by identifying the start and end points of a trend that you want to analyze.
2. Draw the Channel Lines: Next, draw a trendline between the two points. The Fibonacci levels are then plotted as parallel lines above and below this trendline, helping traders visualize potential levels for price to reach or retrace.
3. Interpret the Lines: The plotted Fibonacci levels act as potential areas of support and resistance, providing traders with strategic points for entry or exit. For example, price movement reaching the 0.618 level often suggests a high probability of either reversal or trend continuation.
Using the Fibonacci Channel allows you to take advantage of market psychology embedded in these ratios, helping you make more informed decisions in a trend-driven market.
Dow Jones IndustrialHello community,
A short daily analysis of the famous Dow Jones Industrial.
As long as we stay above the red line at 41832 points, there is not much to worry about.
However, if we break this level, it is another story.
I drew a Fibonacci, to have the levels.
The market is nervous with the Trump and Kamala duel.
The trend is still bullish, because we are above the simple average of the 200 periods!
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
► Thank you for boosting, commenting, subscribing!
GOLD → ATH Retest. Next $2800 or reversal? FX:XAUUSD is going to 2800 or??? The price is testing the ATH and does not show signs of reversal. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming around 2758. Will there be another update of the highs?
Traders remain cautious ahead of Thursday's PCE release followed by jobless claims and NFP.
Profit-taking risks are increasing in both DXY and gold. It all depends on pre-news sentiment (background) as well as actual data.
The overall environment is complicated due to the US presidential race.
Gold is supported by the Middle East conflict, as well as hopes for more stimulus in the Chinese markets and economy.
Technically, gold is returning to the ATH, forming a pre-breakdown consolidation, hinting that there may be breakout attempts for further gains. Accordingly, as we are testing the ATH, we need to be ready for all eventualities!
Resistance levels: 2758, 2775
Support levels: 2745, 2728, 2724
Price has been in consolidation near resistance 2758 for the last 8 hours. It is gaining potential. Consequently:
1) If there will be an attempt to break through 2758 with the subsequent holding of the defense by the bulls above this area, then in the short term we should count on the continuation of growth to 2775-2800
2) IF a false breakout is formed and the price comes back down, forms consolidation below 2745, then further gold may go down to support before further growth.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!