Fibonacci Retracement
Will SOL start growing now that Trump has announced the reserve?Hi everyone, let's look at the 1D SOL to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in an ascending channel where it is currently struggling to stay in the lower part of the channel.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face:
T1 = 172.96 USD
T2 = 202.57 USD
Т3 = 223.84 USD
Т4 = 250.58 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 139.90 USD
SL2 = 114.89 USD
SL3 = 94.76 USD
SL4 = 74.35 USD
It is worth looking at the MACD indicator where we can see how low we have gone much lower than during the previous declines, which could potentially indicate that the price will try to go up if the ongoing bullish trend is maintained.
BTC & ES1! (S&P500 Futures) CorrelationBitcoin and the S&P500 are still showing correlation.
S&P500 Futures (ES1! ticker) has a gap about 3% lower.
I think we need to fill this gap (resulting in a bounce) for BTC to start moving with greater strength to the upside.
The gap is also in the range of the 0.5 Fib retracement (50% of that range).
This could see BTC come back to the lower 80k's region before we completely put in the local bottom.
GOLD → Consolidation v. 2921. Ready for a breakthroughFX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen on the background of growing economic risks and also on the background of aggressive fall of dollar. The metal is at resistance at 2921 and is preparing to go even higher....
The dollar breaks the bullish structure on the background of comments of the U.S. Ministry of Finance on the reduction of rates. The verbal intervention as manipulation is affecting the markets quite aggressively. Further decline in gold is unlikely due to trade war risks and expectations of soft Fed policy.Additional impetus to gold may be given by weak ADP employment data and PMI data
Gold has two important liquidity zones. 2913 and 2903, the closest area has already been tested (liquidity zone reached) and now all eyes are on 2920.7. If it holds, gold will return to 2913-2903 support, if resistance is broken, momentum will be formed.
Resistance levels: 2920.66, 2942, 2954
Support levels: 2913, 2903, (0.5) fibo)
Gold is testing 2913.34 at the moment, a rebound is forming due to the liquidity collected. In the short term, the focus is on 2920.7. Breaking the level and fixing the price above the trigger will most likely provoke the continuation of growth to 2942-2954
Regards R. Linda!
CAKEUSDT → False breakout of resistance. Return to the trendBINANCE:CAKEUSDT is forming a false breakdown of key resistance as part of a bullish rally. Further altcoin decline may be influenced by bitcoin's decline, the flagship looks rather weak
Technically, the move in Cake looks like a counter-trend maneuver to gather liquidity before a further, possible fall. The altcoin market is weak and most coins continue to look for a bottom, while bitcoin is consolidating but with a hint of a decline to 91-90K.
CAKEUSDT is focusing on 2.6144 - 2.7288. If the bears keep the price below these zones, the coin could head down in the short to medium term
Resistance levels: 2.6144, 2.7288, 2.2964
Support levels: 2.420, 2.0634
Statistically, a false breakdown provokes the strongest movements, often even trend changes. In this case, it is a counter-trend movement and if the price reverses locally, the coin will be under the pressure of the trend again. A price fixing below 2.6144 may strengthen the fall to 2.42, 2.06, 1.04.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Correction before bullish trend continuationFX:GBPUSD has been rising for the last month and a half as the market sentiment and the behavior of the dollar, which is gradually updating lows.
The tariff war by trump is just in full swing. The dollar continues its correction on the back of US politics as well as inflation data.
GBPUSD at this time is trading in the bullish zone, above the support at 1.262 - 1.2576. Thus, within the framework of the correction, which has been observed since the opening of the European session, the price may test the liquidity area before further growth.
Resistance levels: 1.2718, 1.2678
Support levels: 1.262, 1.2576
The local trend is bullish and the price is forming a local correction. In this case, it is worth looking for strong support zones with the purpose of rebound and continuation of growth. Targets in this case are intermediate highs: 1.2718, 1.2811
Regards R. Linda!
AARTI INDUSTRIES : Potential Bounce From Long Term Support!!🚀 Aarti Industries: Potential Bounce from Long-Term Support! 🚀
📍 CMP: ₹466
📉 Stop Loss: ₹385
🎯 Target: ₹530 | ₹660
🔹 Key Insights:
✅ Fibonacci Support at 61.8% on the long-term chart.
✅ Sector Strength: Specialty chemicals & CDMO sector showing positive momentum.
✅ Strategy: Staggered entry to manage risk in a volatile market.
✅ Long-Term Swing Trade: Positioning for monthly gains.
⚠️ Risk Management: Stop loss is big—strict discipline is key!
📉 Disclaimer: As a non-SEBI registered analyst, I recommend conducting thorough research or seeking advice from financial professionals before making investment decisions.
#AartiIndustries #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrading #InvestmentOpportunities #FibonacciSupport #SpecialtyChemicals
XRP Weekly-Monthly Analysis / Retracement Levels for BuyWeekly - Monthly trend: Bearish
Chart Pattern: Head & Shoulders (H&S) - Continuation Pattern
Retracement Fib Price Levels:
0.00% (3.4000)
23.60% (2.6879)
38.20% (2.2474)
50.00% (1.8914)
61.80% (1.5353)
78.60% (1.0284)
100.00% (0.3827)
Good prices for buy:
61.80% (1.5353) – Golden Zone / Golden Pocket
78.60% (1.0284) – Entry Zone
Between 78.60% (1.0284) and 100.00% (0.3827) is the Risk Zone, which we have the Neckline of the ‘’ Quadruple Bottom Pattern ‘’ at the price range ‘’ 0.6291 – 0.7850 ‘’
$SPOT the overvalued stock..Be real.. I’m an Apple Music/ Apple applications guy. This stock just seems a little too bloated for me. I’d like to see a retrace to that gap up, this market is volatile and this thing can move hardbody either direction. I’d take my chances with a short for about 50 days out, $560 is the target. I got a bearish rising wedge forming possibly here and some FIB retrace and Elliot Waves. Very expensive premiums as well. Have fun.
WsL
Morning Star formation on Daily TF but..Morning Star formation on Daily TF.
Monthly Closing above 29 would be a Positive Sign.
However, 28 - 29 can be a Good Support Zone.
28.50 should not be broken, otherwise further
Selling Pressure can be witnessed.
On the flip side, 32 - 32.50 is an Important Resistance.
However, only Morning Star formation is not enough, because
it is currently at Strong Resistance around 32 - 32.5, so
let it sustain this level.
Sustaining this level may give 2-4 riyals gain.
NVDA: Fibonacci cluster support and 200MA at 126.5. NASDAQ:NVDA : Fibonacci Cluster Support at 126.5 Sets Up Potential 10% Rally to 140
Looking at NVIDIA's technical setup, I've identified a critical support zone that could launch NASDAQ:NVDA toward a significant target if it holds.
Technical Analysis
The current price action shows NVIDIA testing a key support zone consisting of:
- Fibonacci cluster at 126.5
- 200 Moving Average support
If this support zone holds, I'm targeting the next Fibonacci cluster at 140, representing approximately a 10.7% upside potential.
Entry Strategy
I'm monitoring two potential entry scenarios:
Aggressive Entry (15-minute chart):
- Wait for 8 EMA to cross above 34 EMA
- Price must break above the most recent swing high
- Entry on confirmation of this break
Conservative Entry (30-minute chart):
- Same criteria as above but on the 30-minute timeframe
- Provides more reliable signals with fewer false breakouts
Risk Management
Stop Loss: Place stops below the 126.5 Fibonacci/200 MA support zone (approximately 124-125)
Profit Target: First target at the 140 Fibonacci cluster
Conflicting Indicators
My analysis shows mixed signals that require caution:
1. My WillVall indicator on the weekly chart shows a potential buy opportunity at current prices, BUT it needs to change direction and move above the 15 level before confirming a long-term entry
2. Multiple timeframe squeeze indicators (Weekly, 4D, 3D, 2D) are currently in squeeze with negative momentum, suggesting downside pressure
3. According to IBD Market School methodology, the market is showing signs of correction and the buy switch is currently OFF, indicating we should avoid new long positions
Trade Plan
Given the current market conditions and mixed signals:
- Wait for confirmation of support at the 126.5 zone
- Look for entry signal confirmation on preferred timeframe
- Use smaller position size due to conflicting indicators
- Set clear stop loss below support (124-125)
- Target the 140 Fibonacci cluster for profit taking
I'll remain patient and wait for clearer market conditions before committing significant capital to this trade. The technical setup is promising, but broader market conditions suggest caution.
Possible CHOCH - Sell to Buy / EURJPYCurrently EUR/JPY has managed to pushed itself all the way back into last week Medium Risk Zone (ORANGE) . Personally I believe that the zone from last week won't be as strong as it used to be so there are also possibilities where EUR/JPY will use the zones from last week and bounce off. This means that there is a chance that EUR/JPY will touch Medium Risk Zone (ORANGE) retrace for a little bit into the High Risk Zone (ORANGE) and from then on bounce off to its respective structure. <--- Scenario 1
If EUR/JPY does not follow the first idea then I would prepare myself to buy at a more lower price which is in our Medium risk Zone (WHITE) & Low Risk zone (WHITE). I will only BUY if there are signs of reversals or at least a CHOCH in the smaller timeframe within these areas of interest.
Price at a Crossroads: Will It Break or Drop?After a strong breakout from a falling wedge and handle pattern on Wednesday, Nov 6, 2024, price surged to an All-Time High of 109,358.01. However, a retracement followed, with the formation of a double top pattern leading to a breakdown below the neckline at 91,809.11, sending prices tumbling to 78,167.81, perfectly aligning with the golden ratio (50% Fibonacci level).
From there, buyers stepped in, pushing the price back up to the 38.2% Fibonacci level, but strong resistance led to two rejections and the formation of three consecutive doji candles, signalling market indecision.
What’s Next?
🔹 Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 38.2% could lead to a neckline retest 91,809.11.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If rejection holds, the double top projection targets is 74,279.20, with further downside towards 61.8% or 66%, aligning with the daily trendline.
📢 Risk Management Reminder:
The market is at a critical level—manage your risk wisely! Set stop losses, use proper position sizing, and avoid over-leveraging. Patience and discipline are key!
Bitcoin, Mind The Gap (85,720) The massive move initiated from Trumps tweet Sunday about the Crypto Strategic Reserve has left a massive gap on the Bitcoin Futures Chart. Gaps tend to get fill sooner rather than later, with a high 90% hit rate on gaps getting filled.
We could see a pullback this week to fill the gap with another run up following back above 90k to save the weekly close ... again.
We see confluence with the golden pocket (0.6128 - 0.65 Fib) here on that retracement and also the most amount of volume (VPVR) being traded there.
A final test of the demand below 90k, which if shown as support, will lead us back into the range of 90k to 110k.
ADA last chance to get in? Are you allocated into ADA? Why not? It just pumped almost 100% yesterday because of Trumos Twitter Tweet. Imagine what happens when the general public finds out this. Or will it never happen?
Was this your last chance to get in cheap?? We just touched the 78.6 fib... Are we going up?
GOLD → Local downtrend, price under bearish pressureFX:XAUUSD has been strengthening since Friday. Standard reaction to the false break of the support at 2834. Price is still in a selling zone and heading for resistance before a possible pullback to the downside.
The $ has strengthened strongly over the past week and looks poised to continue its rise, but it all depends on the tariff war, economic risks and regulatory policy in the US.
Markets are reacting to attempts to regulate the war in eastern Europe. Ahead are Fed statements and US economic data.
On 4H, gold is trading flat 2881 - 2834. Below 2881 gold is under bearish pressure (selling zone). But, due to the liquidity created in the 2878 - 2881 area, gold may test the area of interest before returning to the downside.
Resistance levels: 2869, 2877, 2881
Support levels: 2859, 2834
At the moment consolidation is forming below 2869 (0.5 fibo) after a false breakdown. If the bears keep the price under the level, the decline may start earlier. We also have another trigger - 2859. A breakdown of this support will trigger a sell-off and liquidation, which may lead to a fall to 2834.
Regards R. Linda!
EURCHF → Bears increase pressure to lower the priceFX:EURCHF breaks trend support and overall bullish structure. The rising dollar is putting negative pressure on the forex markets
The fundamental background for the Eurozone is extremely negative due to Trump's policy and the US in general, especially when it comes to the tariff war. The dollar is strengthening, which generally creates a negative background for the markets.
Technically, after breaking the support of the uptrend, the bears are confirming their dominance by keeping the price in the selling zone.
Resistance levels: 0.93807, 0.94179
Support levels: 0.93299, 0.92945
A retest of the reversal zone 0.9400 is possible, but at the moment we can focus our attention on 0.93800. Consolidation of the price under this level will provoke further sell-offs.
Regards R. Linda!