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Fibonacci Retracement

I know what's NEXT for Bitcoin!I recently shared two thoughts on Bitcoin price action to come.. In one of them I call for a retrace to 85K or lower, in the other I call for a new ATH. I know this might be a bit confusing so let's shed some more light on it. Here you see BTC on the 1W Timeframe. I am using the Dynamic Fib Retracement indicator to do some trend analysis based on Fibonacci. The blue colored zone/band is the golden pocket as calculated by the indicator from pivot highs/lows within a certain lookback range. The lines are the 0.236 (Preliminary), 0.382 (Secondary) and 0.5 (Median) Fibonacci retracement lines calculated in the same way. The purple line is the 1.618 retracement line (aka the ''Target Line''). Now you understand this I can explain my thought process: Scenario A (Bullish) If price can manage to get back above the blue preliminary fib line and hold that range (around $98,550), I am convinced we see a new ATH for Bitcoin. The purple target line suggests the target for that would be around $117,000+ USD per BTC. Scenario B (Bearish) If price cannot get back above the blue preliminary fib line and finds resistance in that range around $98,550, I am convinced we see a bigger retracement for Bitcoin. The blue zone/band suggests the target for that would be around 80-83K USD per BTC as of right now, but this golden pocket band will slightly adjust higher so lets say $85,000 per Bitcoin. Do you agree or do you have other ideas? Let me know!
by poolsideliquidity
$BTC/USD We'll need some Bulls to step up here...I'm seeing this Green Daily candle push it's way up and out of the "Demand Zone", while running into some expected resistance from a recent downtrend line (Red), a couple High Volume Shelves, and some Fib levels that coincided with recent price action & short-term reversals (Within the Red Circle or Elipse, and Horizontal shaded Rectangle slightly above)... What do you think... Will we follow the Blue Arrow to the upside? Or does it need some more "Timeout" at these levels, or perhaps down towards $80's...?
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by StrongLikeBull
GOLD → The market is nervous ahead of NFP. What's next?$FXCM:XAUUSD continues its strong upward movement, but along with the growth there are growing risks of a strong fall. NFP is ahead, and the situation is quite tense.... Fundamentally the situation is confusing, the main nuance is Trump's policy and the hawkish stance of the Fed, which creates pressure on the market, but gold, as we see, is rising due to the growing economic and geopolitical risks associated with Trump's policy, the crisis in the Middle East, Eastern Europe and economic problems in China. NFP is ahead, which creates additional risks: either an aggressive rise or a breakdown of strong support and the formation of a strong downward momentum. A weaker NFP may bring back expectations of an aggressive Fed rate cut, causing a broad correction in the US dollar, which could favor gold. Conversely, an upside surprise in NFP and wage inflation data could reinforce hawkish Fed rate hikes. Resistance levels: 2678, channel, 2693 Support levels: 2675, 2671, 2665 Technically, a strong bullish structure is forming. A break of resistance and favorable news could strengthen the rise to 2700. But, there is an additional scenario: Break of support of the rising structure or 2665 - 2671 may provoke capitulation and fall to 2655 - 2640. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
26
AUDUSD → Trigger breakdown will trigger a fallFX:AUDUSD is approaching the trigger that can provoke a strong fall. Against the backdrop of a strong and rising dollar, the Aussie doesn't stand a chance yet. The price is testing the level from the weekly timeframe, the breakdown of which will open the way to the abyss. There is no support until 0.54-0.55. Based on Trump's policy, the Fed's stance and the potential of the Australian dollar we can say that the odds are generally quite high that the price will continue its decline in the medium term expectation. Technically, on 4H the price is approaching the level of 0.6179. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming in relation to the level. I do not exclude an attempt to retest the local resistance before further breakout, but the general technical and fundamental situation hints at a decline. Resistance levels: 0.6199, 0.622, 0.6274 Support levels: 0.6179 Downward channel, retest of support after false breakdown of resistance (deceptive maneuver before a strong fall). Emphasis on the trigger at 0.6179. Breakdown and price consolidation below the level will trigger a fall Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
8
Mastering Fibonacci in TradingMastering Fibonacci in Trading Unlock the secrets of Fibonacci and its applications in trading. Learn how to utilize this powerful tool to find optimal entry and exit points, manage risks, and enhance your trading strategies. What is Fibonacci? The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones. The sequence begins as follows: The sequence is named after the Italian mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci, who introduced it to Western mathematics in his book Liber Abaci in 1202. One of the fascinating properties of this sequence is the ratio between successive numbers, which converges to approximately 1.618—known as the Golden Ratio . The Golden Ratio and Its Significance The Golden Ratio (1.618) and its inverse (0.618) appear frequently in nature, art, architecture, and financial markets. In trading, these ratios, along with derivatives like 0.382 and 0.786, are used to identify potential support and resistance levels. How Fibonacci Became a Trading Tool Traders and analysts observed that price movements often respect Fibonacci levels, retracing or extending along these key points. This led to the creation of Fibonacci-based tools, such as: Fibonacci Retracement : Used to identify potential reversal levels during pullbacks. Fibonacci Extension : Helps forecast profit-taking levels during trends. Fibonacci Arcs, Fans, and Time Zones : Advanced tools for multi-dimensional analysis. Using Fibonacci in Trading Step 1: Identifying the Swing High and Swing Low Select a clear price movement, either an uptrend or a downtrend, and mark the highest point (swing high) and lowest point (swing low). Step 2: Applying Fibonacci Retracement Using the Fibonacci tool on platforms like TradingView, draw from the swing low to the swing high (for uptrends) or from the swing high to the swing low (for downtrends). Key levels to monitor are: 0.236 (23.6%) 0.382 (38.2%) 0.5 (50%) 0.618 (61.8%) 0.786 (78.6%) These levels often act as support or resistance zones. ICT Optimal Trade Entry Zone Fibonacci retracement levels have been widely used by traders, from traditional to Smart Money concepts. While technical analysis has evolved, traditional tools like Fibonacci retracement levels still hold their relevance. A modern adaptation of this is the ICT Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) concept. The Fibonacci level range from 62% (0.618) to 79% (0.786) is known as the Optimal Trade Entry Zone . This zone is critical for identifying high-probability reversal points during retracements. Bullish Setup : In an uptrend, the OTE zone provides a favorable entry point when the price pulls back to this area, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish trend. Bearish Setup : In a downtrend, the OTE zone serves as a resistance area where the price is likely to reverse and continue its downward trajectory. The Golden Pocket The zone between the 0.618 and 0.650 levels is also referred to as the "Golden Pocket," emphasizing its importance as a high-probability area for price reversals or trend continuation. Combining Fibonacci with Other Tools Fibonacci works best when combined with other technical analysis tools: Candlestick Patterns : Confirmation signals for reversals or continuations. Trendlines : Validate key Fibonacci levels. Volume Analysis : Assess the strength of price movements near Fibonacci levels. ICT Strategies : Use concepts like mitigation blocks or liquidity voids to refine entry points in the OTE zone. Practical Applications Scalping: Use Fibonacci on shorter timeframes to identify intraday opportunities. Swing Trading: Combine Fibonacci retracements with trend analysis for multi-day trades. Long-Term Investing: Employ Fibonacci on weekly or monthly charts to identify major turning points. Conclusion Fibonacci tools are essential for any trader looking to enhance their market analysis. By mastering these tools, including the ICT Optimal Trade Entry concept, you can: Identify optimal entry and exit points. Manage risks more effectively. Gain deeper insights into market behavior. Start experimenting with Fibonacci today on TradingView and discover how it can transform your trading strategy!
Education
by BigBeluga
23
Wave C Correction, are we ready to reverse? Currently we are in Wave C correction, the last wave of correction in this 12345abc structure. We got support at a YELLOW support trend line that started since Nov. Currently Wave C is in between 0.5 to 0.618 FIB Extension of Wave A. Ideally I'd like to see Wave C correct to at least to 0.618 Extension of Wave A. So if the yellow support line fail, we will see if it hold the 0.618 extension of Wave A Level Or what's after that would be 0.786 extension of Wave A, or a 0.618 retracement of the previous 12345 Impulse wave patter. Fundamental can play into the Fib level I mentioned, we can have a slow chop down to those level until US president take office and announce his plan to improve the country's economic outlook. To simplify what I mentioned above, here is our support target for entry (trade at your own risk) $3110.96 (0.618 extension of Wave A). $3029.16 (0.618 retracement of the 12345 Impulse Wave Structure). $2942.10 (0.786 extension of Wave A). $2735.29 (0.786 retracement of the 12345 Impulse Wave Structure). $2727 (1.0 extension of Wave A) Happy trading, don't catch the falling knife.
by polarity
1
GOLD → Resistance retest before falling FX:XAUUSD is consolidating and deliberately approaching the resistance 2667. The upward market structure is focused on a breakout of the resistance. But the other question is whether the breakout will happen, because the sticks in the form of economic data have been in the wheels for a long time now Based on the market behavior, we can assume that before the possible fall there may be a liquidity grab and a retest of the key resistance, as buyers became more cautious after the discouraging data on inflation in China and hawkish Fed meeting minutes. To be honest, gold's current rise is not clear to me as there is no reason for it except for Trump's tariff plans towards multiple countries. Fundamental data is negative, there is no new news from hot spots, the dollar is rising, global inflation is rising, the Fed has become hawkish, there are so many nuances providing resistance to the metal. Resistance levels: 2667, 2675 Support levels: ascending line, 2656 Technically the structure is bullish and in the short term I am waiting for an attempt to break the resistance 2667. In this case a retest of the zones of interest 2675, channel resistance or 2692 from which a correction can be formed is possible. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
3
GBPUSD → Consolidation in the selling zone held by bearsFX:GBPUSD made an attempt to grow, but could not overcome the bears' pressure zone. The reasons for the growth are the dollar correction, which was short-lived. The main trend is not broken. On D1 the price after breaking through the key support at 1.25 tested it already as resistance within the correction. A false breakout of resistance is formed and price consolidation in the selling zone. The sharp impulse was related to the dollar, which fell after Trump's comments on rumors related to his policy. The dollar returned to the upside creating another bout of pressure on GBP. Technically, the main trend is bearish. The price is in the selling zone and bears are not ready to give up their positions. The risk of trend change may come after the breakout of 1.26, but it is too early to talk about it... Resistance levels: 1.2575, 1.26 Support levels: 1.2488, 1.2449 The price is trying to consolidate in the selling zone, which generally indicates which way the market intends to go. Bears are increasing pressure and if they keep the price below 1.2488 - 1.2449, we will see a fall in the short and medium term. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
Why I think UNI can be bullish despite the bearish pattern!BINANCE:UNIUSDT UNI is in a bearish pattern(Descending triangle!) but I think the price will increase cause I see some bullish stuff going on: 1-Bullish divergence on MACD 2-0.618 (61.8%) of the Fibonacci retracement shows a positive reaction for UNI so this might be a turning back point for it! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly. 👉 Follow me for daily updates, 💬 Comment and like to share your thoughts, 📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources! Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
Long
by CRYPTONIC_trend
Astral: Attempting to Catch the Bottom!🚀 Astral: Attempting to Catch the Bottom! 🚀 Current Market Price: 1822 Stop Loss: 1700 Targets: 1920, 2020 Astral is positioned at a long-term support level and the critical 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. These levels are historically strong zones for potential bounces, making it an exciting opportunity for bottom-fishing. 📈 Strategy: Create positions in a staggered manner to minimize risk. Momentum could accelerate above 2164, which is the 61.8% level from the bounce point. 📉 Disclaimer: As a non-SEBI registered analyst, I recommend conducting thorough research or seeking advice from financial professionals before making investment decisions. #Astral #TechnicalAnalysis #FibonacciLevels #SupportZone #InvestmentOpportunities #MarketMomentum
NSE:ASTRALLong
by satyam15
EID Parry: At All-Time High, Breaking New Ground!🚀 EID Parry: At All-Time High, Breaking New Ground! 🚀 Current Market Price: 878 Stop Loss: 790 Target: 1020 In the midst of a volatile market, EID Parry is reaching all-time highs, signaling strong momentum. The stock is breaking out of a 4-month range, and with market sentiment turning bullish, this breakout could open doors to new targets. 📈 Strategy: Consider going long as the breakout sustains. Manage your risk with a stop loss at 790. 📉 Disclaimer: As a non-SEBI registered analyst, I recommend conducting thorough research or seeking advice from financial professionals before making investment decisions. #EIDParry #MarketMomentum #BreakoutTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestmentOpportunities #AllTimeHigh
NSE:EIDPARRYLong
by satyam15
BTC - Head & Shoulder forming, 74k to 77k price projectionAfter hitting all time highs, BTC has been bouncing in a range, trying to break free and forming possibly a head and shoulder pattern. If BTC breaks through 91,400 and head and shoulder pattern plays out, on the basis of the measured distance between head and neckline, BTC is likely to test 77k or 74k. BTC could test 77k because: - the measured distance between head and neckline in % terms will take BTC to 77k - if we use trend based fib tool to project BTC price, 77k is a fib level of 50% BTC could test 74k because: - the measured distance between head and neckline in $ terms will take BTC to 74k - there is strong support zone around 74k region Remember technicals are all probabilities, price negate head and shoulder pattern to test all time highs.
by I_M_Shoaib
BITCOIN → Retest of key support. What can happen?BINANCE:BTCUSD continues to form a consolidation, this could continue until Trump's inauguration. Price is approaching a key support level and a liquidity zone that harbors both crowd fear and huge potential. On W1, price is trying to consolidate above the global rising line playing the role of support. Buyers can aggressively defend this area because if this area is lost, price could very easily and quickly descend to 72-75K. Bitcoin has moved into a local correction due to economic data, but the global fundamental picture is quite positive (thanks to Trump and community interest). Levels in the 91K - 89K - 86K zone are attracting the attention of major players as these are psychologically important and historically strong buying zones, especially against the backdrop of a strong bullish trend. The current flat and consolidation boundaries may persist as traders and the community wait for Trump's inauguration and his active actions, and the economic data had only a temporary impact. Resistance levels: SMA, 99.5K, 102.5K Support levels: 91.7K, 89.3K, 86.7K A false break of support can provoke quite a violent reaction. After such a strong fall, I expect a rebound rather than a breakdown. I do not exclude a retest of 89-86K before further growth. Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
4
BTC Weekly Advanced Detailed Analysis & Prediction with DataThe chart demonstrates a strong bullish order flow in the 4-hour timeframe, with price consistently respecting Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and showing a sharp reaction to imbalanced zones. This behavior reflects the active involvement of institutional or "smart money" participants, who are driving the market higher from key demand zones. The recent structural movements highlight a well-defined trend continuation, with the price eyeing significant liquidity levels as the next targets. The levels of 99,850 and 102,787 stand out as critical liquidity zones for the week. These areas represent potential clusters of stop-loss orders and other liquidity pools that price often gravitates toward during trending markets. When The price approaches these levels, we may see a liquidity grab followed by either continued bullish movement or a short-term reversal. The bullish bias remains intact, reinforced by a solid rejection and reversal seen at the 92,279 level, where smart money activity was most evident. This region not only acted as a turning point but also established itself as a major structural support. Given the Monday session dynamics, a minor retracement is expected as traders take profits or the market rebalances slightly. However, any pullback is likely to respect local Fair Value Gaps or untested order blocks within the 96,000–98,000 range. Such pullbacks would provide opportunities for bulls to re-enter the market, aligning with the broader trend. With clear higher highs and higher lows, signaling sustained bullish momentum unless a breakdown below 96,000 occurs, which would challenge this narrative. When the price edges closer to the 99,850 liquidity zone, market participants should watch for signs of momentum continuation or exhaustion. Increasing volume alongside upward price action will confirm the strength of the trend, while divergence in volume could signal potential weakening. Similarly, the 102,787 level represents an upper target that may prompt profit-taking or consolidation before further directional clarity emerges. The 92,279 level, where the smart money reversal occurred, continues to be a pivotal support zone. If the price sees a deeper retracement, this level is expected to act as a strong demand area due to its significance in shifting market sentiment. Traders should also monitor minor untested order blocks that price may respect intraday, providing opportunities for strategic entries or short-term trades. The market is navigating a bullish environment, driven by institutional demand and liquidity-seeking behavior. The immediate focus lies on the liquidity zones at 99,850 and 102,787, with pullbacks offering opportunities to align with the prevailing trend. However, a sustained breakdown below 96,000 would warrant caution as it could signal a potential shift in the current bullish structure. This week's price action is poised to deliver significant insights into the strength and continuation of the ongoing momentum.
Long
by wolfchemist
1
BTCUSDT - CRYPTO | 4H | DOWNHey guys, Yesterday, there was a lot of manipulation in BINANCE:BTCUSDT , causing many people to take losses due to the actions of market movers. However, I’m hopeful about the day Trump takes the presidential seat. Please, don’t panic right now—those who act out of panic tend to experience consistent losses. I’ve marked the key points on the chart. If you’d like to see more of these analyses, don’t forget to hit the like button. Much love and respect to all of you, my dear followers! 🙌📊✨
Short
by TraderTilki
4
BTC/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a local downtrend channel where the price bounced from the upper border of the channel and quickly started to recover. Let's now start by defining a stop-loss in case of further declines in the market and you can see how the price rebounded from the first support at the level: SL1 = $94285 SL2 = $92209 SL3 = $89,541 SL4 = $85,924 Let's now move on to defining the goals for the near future that the price must face: T1 = $97131 T2 = $100036 T3 = $103179 T4 = $105491 Looking at the RSI indicator, we see that there is still room to continue the recovery, and such a situation could bring the price to around $89,000.
by cryptodailyuk
GOLD → The calm before the storm. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating above 2645 and trying to test the strong resistance of 2664. Downside risks are quite high and it may happen after liquidity capture. Gold has high risks due to yesterday's favorable data in the US. Hawkish expectations for the Fed, strong economic data put the dollar back on the northbound train. Markets priced in a 35% chance of a Fed interest rate cut this month. Trump takes office on Jan. 20 and his proposed tariffs and protectionist policies are seen as inflationary, requiring higher interest rates and a stronger U.S. dollar. If risk aversion intensifies amid renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East or Trump's tariff threats, that could send gold higher A symmetrical triangle is forming on D1, which confuses everyone - where will the price go? And all because the technical situation is neutral. Resistance levels: 2664, 2674 Support levels: 2645, 2632. False breakdown of resistance can provoke a fall to the strong support, the border of the triangle. Gold is growing reluctantly and slowly, as if something is in the way, and the risks and pressure are increasing. BUT! If the price goes to 2664, it is important to watch the price reaction to this level: consolidation above the level may provoke further growth to 2674. Similarly with the support of 2645 Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
6
GOLD → Price buyback, local bull characterFX:XAUUSD is in a narrow channel, in consolidation, which complicates intraday movement, but nevertheless traders have a chance for possible growth. There is a lot of important news ahead that may give traders a chance. Despite the strong intraday movement in gold, we can say that the price is standing still in the range of 2600 - 2660. Quite a difficult place for the price due to the huge density of volumes, levels, tails... Traders are refraining from new directional bets ahead of the release of crucial data on ISM Services PMI and JOLTS job openings in the US. After a strong fall the price was bought back and returned to resistance 2648 - 2650, most likely further struggle will be for this area. The falling dollar broke the support line, thus giving an advantage to gold. Gold and the dollar are already starting to feel Trump's power and are reacting to his statements as quickly as they did during the last period of his presidency.... Resistance levels: 2649, 2664, 2674 Support levels: 2632, 2610 Until the price leaves the channel 2600 - 2665, most of the movements will not be very clean (nature of price movement inside consolidation). At the moment the emphasis is on 2649. If the bulls will keep the defense above this zone, then in the short term the price may show growth to the local maximum Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14