GOLD → Growing economic risks increase interest ↑FX:XAUUSD rallied aggressively due to high interest driven by rapidly rising economic risks, mainly related to Trump's tariffs. For selling, the risk is very high, with the stock and cryptocurrency market declines only adding to the interest in the metal
Markets are taking refuge in defensive assets amid WSJ reports of Trump's possible tariff hike of up to 20% for most US trading partners. This could trigger inflationary pressures and stagflation, weakening the dollar and bond yields, which supports the gold price.
This week all eyes are on Trump's speech on Wednesday, PMI, NonFarm Payrolls and Powell's speech
Technically, it is not worth selling now as it is high risk, and for buying we should wait for a correction to key support levels
Resistance levels: 3127
Support levels: 3103, 3091, 3085
We are not talking about any trend reversal now. It is worth waiting for a local correction or consolidation, the market will mark important levels, liquidity zones or imbalances against which you can build a trading strategy. Gold will continue to grow because of the strongly increasing risks.
Regards R. Linda!
Fibonacci Retracement
USDJPY → Key Level Retest. Attempt to change the trend FX:USDJPY in the correction phase is retesting the previously broken boundary of the downtrend. The market is trying to break the trend on the background of the dollar correction
The dollar is having a rather difficult life because of economic and geopolitical nuances regarding the USA, as well as high inflation. Against this background, the index may continue a deeper correction, as the rhetoric of interest rate cuts may be prolonged, which may put pressure on the markets.
The currency pair tried to overcome the downtrend resistance earlier and succeeded, but this is not enough for a trend change, it needs confirmation.
Support levels: 148.92, 148.21
Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95
If the bulls hold the defense above 148.92 - 149.5, we have a good chance to catch a trend change. It will be the readiness to go to the resistance of 150.16 range, and the breakout of this level and price fixation above it will be the confirmation of the trend change
Regards R. Linda!
BTC - Lots of options going into the new week!In this BTCUSDT 4-hour chart analysis on Bybit, we see price action reaching a crucial decision point. Key Fibonacci retracement levels, a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and the Golden Pocket zone indicate potential movements ahead. Will BTC break down, retrace to fill the imbalance, or rally toward the golden pocket? Let’s analyze the key levels.
Key Observations:
🔹 Golden Pocket Resistance: The highlighted yellow zone marks the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement of the greater downtrend, a well-known high-probability reversal area. If BTC reaches this level, we could see strong resistance.
🔹 Fair Value Gap (FVG): The blue zone represents an unfilled imbalance left behind during the recent downward move. If BTC retraces, it could fill this gap before deciding on the next direction.
🔹 0.618 - 0.65 Fib Support: The price is currently hovering near a local golden pocket support area. A strong reaction here could trigger a bullish move. However, failure to hold this level could send BTC lower.
Potential Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish Breakout: BTC bounces from the current level, fills the FVG, and continues upward to test the golden pocket resistance. A breakout above this zone could confirm a bullish trend shift.
2️⃣ Short-Term FVG Fill & Rejection: BTC moves up to fill the FVG but faces selling pressure, leading to another bearish move before a larger decision point.
3️⃣ Bearish Breakdown: BTC fails to hold the local support and breaks downward, continuing the broader downtrend toward lower liquidity zones.
What’s Your Prediction?
Which scenario do you think is most likely—1️⃣ Bullish Breakout, 2️⃣ FVG Fill & Rejection, or 3️⃣ Bearish Breakdown? Comment below and let’s discuss! 🚀📉📊
GOLD → Correction after a false breakout. A reversal?FX:XAUUSD is forming a false break of the channel resistance within the rally, we should wait for a correction, but not for a trend reversal. Let's see what we can expect from the price in the short and medium term.
Gold is reacting to market turmoil over Trump's tariff plans. Investors are looking for protection ahead of the possible imposition of new duties from April 2, boosting demand for the metal
Fears of a trade war and a slowing global economy are supporting gold despite positive US GDP data. PCE data and tariff updates will be key catalysts for further movement. Higher inflation could dampen the rally, while weak data will reinforce bets on a Fed rate cut, helping gold to rally further.
The energy to continue the move is gone, so I am waiting for a correction to the imbalance zone or to 0.7 Fibo to accumulate potential. The price may consolidate in the zone of 3050 - 3075 before it continues its growth
Resistance levels: 3075, 3085, 3095
Support levels: 3059, 3055
The correction after a strong rally can be quite deep. The imbalance zone 3066 - 3063 and liquidity zone 3057 play an important role. False breakdown of support may resume growth.
Regards R. Linda!
HBAR Bulls Nowhere in Sight – Where’s the Bottom?HBAR had an incredible bull run from November 2024 to mid-January 2025, rallying for 74 days and gaining +865%, moving from $0.0416 to a high of $0.40139. However, since then, the market has reversed, entering a 73 day downtrend and dropping -58% from its peak.
Now, the big question is: where is HBAR heading next? Let’s break down the key resistance and support levels and map out potential high-probability trade setups.
Current Market Structure – Bears in Control
HBAR is trading at $0.16765, just below a key low at $0.17721, which it must reclaim to show any bullish strength. Several critical resistance levels lie ahead:
🔴 $0.18 - $0.20 Zone: Previously strong support, now acting as resistance
🔴 Weekly Level at $0.18375 – A significant resistance zone
🔴 Monthly Open at $0.21352 – Bulls must reclaim this to regain momentum
🔴 Weekly 21 EMA at $0.20 & 21 SMA at $0.2348 – Price is trading below both, a bearish sign
🔴 200 EMA/SMA Lost – Another bearish indicator
🔴 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement at $0.17904 – This level was lost, further confirming the bearish trend
📉 Conclusion: As long as price remains under $0.18-$0.20, the trend remains bearish, and there is no sign of reversal yet.
Where Could HBAR Go Next? Finding the Next Support Levels
If HBAR fails to reclaim the key resistance levels, price could continue dropping toward the next major support zone. Here’s where the next support zone is:
🟢 0.786 Fibonacci Retracement at $0.1186 – A key potential target
🟢 Weekly Support at $0.1259 – Close to the 0.786 Fib level, adding confluence
🟢 Monthly Support at $0.1145 – Further strengthening this zone
🟢 Log Scale 0.5 Fib Retracement at $0.12923 – From the full bull run, adding another layer of support
🟢 21 Monthly EMA at $0.132 & 21 Monthly SMA at $0.1079 – These levels align perfectly with the other supports
🟢 Fib Channel Lower Support (April 4th - 9th) – If price drops to $0.12 during this time window, it aligns with the lower channel support line
📉 Conclusion: A strong support zone lies between $0.132 - $0.1079, where buyers could step in for a potential bounce.
Potential Trade Setups
📌 Long Setup (High Probability Reversal Zone)
Entry: DCA around $0.12
Stop Loss: Below $0.098
Target: $0.166
Potential Gain: +40%
R:R Ratio: 2:1 or better
🔹 If price regains $0.18-$0.20, we can look for long opportunities.
📌 Short Setup (For Those Already Shorting from Higher Levels)
Take Profit Target: Between $0.14 - $0.12
Stop Loss: Above $0.20
Market Outlook
With HBAR currently in a bearish trend, we have clearly defined key support and resistance zones and potential trade setups. The next few weeks will be crucial, as price either reclaims $0.18-$0.20 (bullish case) or drops further toward $0.12 (where a strong bounce could happen).
📢 Patience is key! Let the setup come to you and don’t force trades. Always manage risk properly.
What are your thoughts on HBAR’s next move? Leave a comment below! 🚀
SOL/USD 4H ChartHi everyone, let's look at the 4H SOL to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price broke out from the local uptrend line at the bottom.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face:
T1 = 131 USD
T2 = 136 USD
Т3 = 145 USD
Т4 = 151 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 122 USD
SL2 = 115 USD
SL3 = 107 USD
If we look at the RSI indicator we can see how the indicator has dynamically gone up despite the price not moving much, but here we can see that there is still room for a potential attempt to grow.
DENT - Potential Price Reversal at Golden Pocket and FVG ZoneIn this TradingView chart for the DENT/USDT perpetual contract on the 4-hour timeframe, the current price action is being analyzed with a focus on key Fibonacci and market structure levels that indicate potential price movement. Below is an extensive description of the setup:
1. Golden Pocket Support Zone:
- Highlighted in yellow, this area represents the golden pocket derived from a significant upward trend. The golden pocket, located between the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels, is known as a high-probability reversal zone.
- The price recently reacted off this level, signaling potential bullish interest in the zone.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
- The blue zone above current price action highlights an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) left behind during the prior downtrend. This area, located near 0.00078, may act as a potential liquidity target if the price begins to retrace upward.
- The Fibonacci retracement is also drawn, intersecting with this zone, reinforcing its significance as a key resistance area.
3. Potential Scenarios:
- Bullish Retracement: The green path anticipates a short-term upward move where the price may climb toward the FVG resistance zone. This move could align with traders looking to target the imbalance created by previous price action.
- Bearish Continuation: The red arrow outlines the scenario where price, after testing the FVG, resumes its downward trajectory, breaking through the golden pocket and continuing its bearish trend.
4. Technical Overview:
- The chart shows clear evidence of a prior bearish trend, with current price action suggesting a temporary pause or reversal. Traders should monitor price behavior around the golden pocket and FVG zones for confirmation of either scenario.
- Breakdowns below the golden pocket could indicate further downside momentum, while breakouts above the FVG might suggest a shift in market sentiment.
This setup provides a roadmap for potential price action and highlights critical levels for traders to watch for entry, exit, and risk management.
BITCOIN → Break of the bullish structure. Moving to 78-68KBINANCE:BTCUSD has been slowly recovering for the last two weeks, but failed to overcome the resistance. The bears held the trend. The price is breaking the local bullish structure and preparing for a strong fall.
Bitcoin's fundamental background is weak, expectations were not met by the crypto summits, nor by any major announcements or hints of a crypto reserve. The crypto community still didn't get what they expected from Trump. The strong drop was triggered by the SP500 index falling, driven by rising inflation, reduced consumer pressure and new trade tariffs. These factors have contributed to increased uncertainty in the markets, prompting investors to move to safer assets such as gold and government bonds
Technically, the price has been in consolidation (correction channel) for two weeks and after breaking the support of the figure, the price entered the realization phase within the global downtrend.
Resistance levels: 85300, 86350, 89400
Support levels: 83600, 81270, 79980, 78100
Emphasis on the support at 83600. The price fixing under this zone may provoke further fall to 80-78K. But I do not exclude the fact that a small correction to the zone of interest is possible (to capture liquidity) before a further fall to the previously identified key zones of interest.
Regards R. Linda!
MEWUSDT → False breakout of resistance after distributionBINANCE:MEWUSDT.P in the distribution phase is testing a strong resistance and liquidity zone against which it makes a false breakout.
Regarding the current situation, we should pay attention to several key levels - support and upper resistance. A retest of 0.00300 - 0.00312 is possible, the target of which could be another liquidity zone, before MEW continues its fall according to the current local and global trend, which have a common direction on the background of weak bitcoin and weak cryptocurrency market.
Resistance levels: 0.002793, 0.003, 0.00312
Support levels: 0.002696
The key support area plays the role of 0.002696, which are trying to contain the market. Below this line is a free zone and there are no levels that can prevent the movement. Thus, the breakdown and consolidation of the price under 0.026969 can provoke a strong impulse towards the zones of interest 0.00222, 0.002
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD - Key FVG Zones and Potential Market MovesThis EURUSD 4-hour chart highlights critical Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) that could serve as key decision points for price action. The chart illustrates a confluence of factors:
1. Upper FVG Zone:
Located near the 0.618-0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, this area represents a potential supply zone. Price reaching this level could either result in a bearish rejection or continuation upwards, depending on momentum and market sentiment.
2. Lower FVG Zone:
A well-defined demand zone in the 1.07000-1.07500 range, serving as a key support area where buyers may step in if the price retraces.
3. Projected Scenarios:
- Bullish Scenario (Green Path): If the price holds above the lower FVG and gains momentum, a push toward the upper FVG with potential breakout above could ensue, aiming for levels around 1.09000 and higher.
- Bearish Scenario (Red Path): A rejection from the upper FVG could lead to a retest of the lower zone, and if broken, may lead to further downside below 1.07000.
This analysis underscores the importance of monitoring these zones and the price action dynamics around them. Traders should be prepared for both scenarios while aligning their strategies with broader market context and risk management principles.
LAYERUSDT → Far retest of key resistance at 1.400BINANCE:LAYERUSDT.P is forming a realization within the uptrend. The coin is stronger than the market, but the initial reaction to the strong resistance at 1.400 may be in the form of a false breakout and a pullback to 1.275 or 0.5 fibo
Since the opening of the session, LAYERUSDT has passed the daily ATR, but after reaching the resistance, the coin may not have the potential to continue rising. Liquidity above the 1.400 level may hold this area and prevent the coin from breaking through this zone the first time around.
Bitcoin is testing trend resistance at this time and could likely form a rebound or a continuation of the decline, which could affect altcoins accordingly!
Resistance levels: 1.400
Support levels: 1.2932, 1.2747, 0.5 fibo
BUT ! Everything depends on the price reaction at 1.400. A sharp and distributive approach with 90% probability will end in a false breakout and correction to the mentioned targets.
But, if LAYER starts to slow down and consolidate in front of the level, an attempt of breakout and struggle above 1.400 is possible and further movement will depend on it.
Regards R. Linda!
XRP - Choppy Market, Will We See $1.5 Again?After finishing the 5-wave structure in early 2025, XRP had a rough patch, trading between $3 and $2 and offering some pretty neat swing trade opportunities. Now, two months later, the big question is: will this range continue, or is a breakout on the horizon? Let’s break down the key levels and high-probability setups.
Short Trade Setup
Resistance Zone:
The weekly level and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement are both around $2.5763 to $2.5792, aligning nicely with each other.
The anchored VWAP from the all-time high at $3.4 adds extra resistance at about $2.63.
Setup Details:
A low-risk short trade can be considered at the weekly level, with a stop-loss set above both the anchored VWAP and the swing high.
Target: The monthly open, aiming for an R:R of about 4:1.
Support Backup:
Additional support in this range comes from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (from a low at $1.9 to a high at $2.59), the weekly 21 SMA at $2.28, and a weekly level at $2.0942 just below the monthly open.
This support between the weekly level at $2.0942 and the monthly open is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. If it holds, the bearish short setup stands; if it breaks, things could get tricky.
Long Trade Setup
When to Consider a Long:
If the support zone mentioned above fails, look for a long trade opportunity at the swing low around $1.77.
Support Confluence:
Primary Support: The swing low at $1.77, with lots of liquidity around that area.
Additional Layers:
The monthly level at $1.5988.
The weekly level at $1.5605 sits just below the monthly.
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the 5-wave structure at $1.5351.
Anchored VWAP from the low at $0.3823, aligning with the weekly level.
And don’t forget the psychological level at $1.5.
Setup Details:
This long trade setup would offer an attractive R:R of roughly 6:1, targeting back to the monthly open for an approximate 33% gain, with a stop-loss placed below the $1.5 mark.
XRP's current trading range has provided some good short and long trade setups, a long opportunity at the swing low ($1.77-$1.5) could be the next big play. Whether you lean towards short or long, finding these confluence zones helps in making more informed, high-probability trade decisions.
If you found it helpful, please leave a like and a comment. Happy trading!
SUI Swing: The Art of Patience in TradingSUI has been playing nice with the technicals lately, giving us some really neat swing trade opportunities. Remember that short trade we talked about—from $3 down to around $2? Well, here's why that setup was a winner.
After that initial short trade, SUI bounced off $2 and then traded in a tight range between $2.5 and $2.2 for about two weeks. Then it broke higher to test the monthly open at $2.83—and it hit that level right on the dot. That’s where all the magic happens.
Why This Short Trade Worked
Fibonacci Confluence: When you draw a Fibonacci from the high at $3 to the low at $1.9626, the 0.786 level comes in at about $2.778. This is right near the monthly open, and we know that price tends to reverse between the 0.618 and 0.786 zones.
Trading Range POC: The $2.8 area was our previous point of control, so it adds extra weight as a resistance level.
Anchored VWAP: The VWAP from the high at $3.8999 sits just above the monthly open at around $2.855, giving us another nod that this level is important.
Fib Speed Resistance Fan: Even the speed resistance fan at the 0.618 level lines up with the $2.8 zone.
All these factors lined up to form a solid resistance area. That’s why short entries between $2.778 and $2.855 made sense.
Trade Setup Recap
Short Trade:
Entry Zone: $2.778 to $2.855
Target: The bullish order block at about $2.4745, which also lines up with the 0.618 fib retracement from the low at $2.2358 and the high at $2.8309
Risk-to-Reward: This setup gave us a risk-to-reward of 4:1 or even better, depending on where you set your stop-loss.
There’s also a possible long trade at the bullish order block, but that one’s only for when you see the confirmation.
Wrapping It Up
The takeaway? Confluence is your best friend. Waiting for that high-probability setup can really pay off. Let the trade come to you, don’t force it, and stay calm and focused.
Thanks for reading this SUI analysis. If you liked it, please leave a like and drop a comment. Happy trading!
BTC/USD 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC chart to USD, in this situation we can see how the price moves in the downward trend channel, in which we turn back at the top edge of the channel. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = 87100 $
T2 = 89945 $
Т3 = 93556 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 81739 $
SL2 = 77307 $
SL3 = 74353 $
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
As we came again to the center of the range at which we could again experience the price of price.
OIL - Potential Reversal Zone at Key Fibonacci levelThe Crude Oil Futures (4H) chart highlights a potential bearish scenario as price action approaches a critical resistance area. The highlighted zone, which is a strong resistance, coincides with the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels, which are often key areas for price reversals. Additionally, the rising wedge formation signals a potential loss of bullish momentum, typically a bearish continuation or reversal pattern.
The price has made several attempts to push higher, but the presence of multiple confluences, including the resistance levels around $70.50, suggests that the bullish rally might be facing exhaustion. If a reversal occurs from this zone, it could lead to a significant drop, potentially targeting the $66.50 region or even lower, aligning with previous structural supports and liquidity zones.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmations, such as a strong rejection candle, a break of the rising wedge structure, or increased selling volume.
Key levels to watch:
- Resistance Zone: $70.50 - $71.00 (Fib 0.618-0.65 and strong resistance)
- Support Targets: $68.00 and $66.50
This setup requires patience and confirmation before taking action. Always trade with proper risk management!
LTC/USDT: at important resistance Until the price closes below 100, the current trend structure suggests a one more leg down toward the 76–70 macro support zone.
However, if the price successfully clears the 100 resistance level - rising and closing above it with strong volume - the odds will shift in favor of a correction ending and the potential start of a new uptrend toward the 210–270 macro resistance zone.
Macro-structure:
Thank you for your attention!
Britannia: FMCG Bounce in Play?🚀 Britannia: FMCG Bounce in Play? 🚀
📉 Current Market Price (CMP): ₹4845
🔒 Stop Loss: ₹4690
📈 Targets: ₹5045 | ₹5232
📊 Why Britannia Looks Promising:
🔹 Sector Rotation Insight:
After a strong run in Nifty, Banking, and IT sectors, FMCG appears primed for a potential bounce—and Britannia stands out as a top pick for this move.
🔹 Technical Setup:
The stock is holding key support levels, presenting a low-risk, high-reward opportunity for a short-term bounce.
💡 Strategy & Risk Management:
🔒 Stop Loss: Maintain a strict stop loss at ₹4690 to limit downside risk and protect capital.
📈 Staggered Entry: With the recent market rally, adopt a phased entry approach to mitigate volatility and enhance risk management.
⚠️ Caution: The market has already experienced a significant move—position sizing should be adjusted carefully to maintain a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
📍 Outlook:
As FMCG gears up for a potential bounce, Britannia offers a timely swing trading opportunity with defined risk parameters and clear technical targets.
💬 Do you see FMCG leading the next market move? Share your insights below!
📅 Follow for more technical insights and actionable market updates.
📈 #Britannia #FMCG #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #InvestmentOpportunity
📉 Disclaimer: As a non-SEBI registered analyst, I encourage investors to conduct independent research or consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions.
GOLD → Consolidation forms a trigger. Rally?FX:XAUUSD continues to rise amid weakening dollar demand due to Trump's imposition of new tariffs. GDP and Initial Jobless Claims ahead
Gold is further supported by renewed concerns about a slowdown in the US economy due to trade duties. However, growth beyond ATH remains questionable due to geopolitical nuances.
The market focus shifts to macroeconomic data: the final US GDP for the fourth quarter and jobless claims will be released today. Also the attention will be drawn to the speeches of the Fed representatives, who earlier made it clear that they are in no hurry to cut rates due to inflation risks caused by Trump's tariff policy
Resistance levels: 3038, 3046, 3056
Support levels: 3033, 3025
The strong resistance is 3038. Breakdown and price consolidation above this level will provoke continuation of growth (there is a chance of ATH retest). But, since there is news ahead, gold may test the zone of interest and liquidity 3030-3025 before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Why is everyone wrong + Magic Moving AverageWe have so many warning signs that Bitcoin is going to crash significantly in 2025/2026. One of them is this magic 20-weekly moving average. As we can see, the price always respects this dynamic level, and if the price falls below it, it triggers a sell signal. On the other side, if the price rises above it, it triggers a buy signal. The price is currently below it, so this is a bearish signal.
The next bad signal is this Elliott Impulse wave. What we can see here is a perfect textbook impulse wave that has been completed. If you are an Elliott Wave trader, you already see that this is a big problem. After such a wave is complete, we are always looking for an ABC correction with a fibonacci retracement tool. Use only these 3 Fibo levels, others do not work properly! Specifically, 0.618 FIB, 0.500 and 0.382 FIB. Bitcoin loves the 0.618 FIB, so there is a pretty huge chance of going down to 32k. But expect a very strong bounce from the 0.382 FIB as well, which is at 52k. Set up your buy orders here, and thank me later!
What we can also see on the chart is an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 34k and 28k. Often the price loves to come back and test these important price actions. This is a great buying confluence with the 0.618 FIB because the FVG is inside this Fibo level.
The last thing I want to talk about is this huge blue ascending channel on the weekly chart. This is a representation of this whole uptrend (bull market). You may say that Bitcoin is bullish until this channel holds, yeah, but what we do here is we predict future price action and give you technical analysis. I am giving you this information in advance so you can prepare for the future!
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
AUDUSD 110 buy setup!!The current market structure shows a strong alignment for a potential upward movement, forming a double bottom at a significant support level. This pattern respects both the structural levels and Fibonacci retracement levels. With important news scheduled for release today at 8 PM, particularly positive developments for the dollar could influence market direction. Given the risk-to-reward ratio, it appears favorable to consider positioning for an upward trend.
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US100 - Bullish Continuation Inside Ascending ChannelThis TradingView post showcases a technical analysis of the US100 (Nasdaq 100 Index) on the 4-hour timeframe. The chart highlights a well-defined ascending channel, reflecting the current bullish structure. Price action is seen retracing after touching the upper boundary of the channel, moving towards a key region of interest labeled as "IFVG" (Imbalance Fair Value Gap), where potential demand is expected.
The analysis predicts a retracement to the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone, aligning with a confluence of support levels within the channel. A potential bullish reversal is anticipated at this level, aiming for a continuation towards new highs near the upper boundary of the channel. The green projection line illustrates the anticipated path of price action.
This setup combines channel dynamics, Fibonacci levels, and market structure concepts to identify a favorable trade opportunity.