OPUSDT → There's still a chance for an alt seasonBINANCE:OPUSDT is showing positive momentum relative to what bitcoin has put up this night. The coin is in consolidation and testing trend resistance
The main reason for the lack of an altcoin season is bitcoin's huge dominance of the cryptocurrency market. The fall of BTC (open channel to 75K) and further growth after the formation of an intermediate bottom in the 75-80K zone may reduce the dominance phase, which in general will give a chance to the altcoin market, which is going through bad times.
I like OP in the fact that it is not falling in the wake of the flagship, but stands in consolidation, where we have clear boundaries for strategy formation. Focus on resistance: 1.212.
Resistance levels: 1.212
Support levels: 1.044, 0.983
Thus, a break of the resistance at 1.212 could trigger a rally and an attempt to change the trend.
It may happen after correction to 0.5 fibo, or after formation of pre-breakdown consolidation on H1-H4.
The structure of the setup will be broken if the coin starts to break 1.044-0.983.
Regards R. Linda!
Fibonacci Retracement
DOT/USDT 4H chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 4H Dot chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves in the local growth trend channel. However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face:
T1 = $ 4.93
T2 = $ 5.40
Т3 = $ 5.87
T4 = $ 6.18
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 4.65 $
SL2 = 4.19 $
SL3 = $ 3,74
SL4 = $ 3.39
Looking at the RSI indicator, you can see the traffic above the upper limit of the range in the place where the price relief could be observed earlier.
EUR/JPY – High-Probability Short Setup 1️⃣ Market Overview – Bearish Bias Confirmation
EUR/JPY remains in a strong downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the price is retracing into a critical Fibonacci resistance zone, making this a prime opportunity to short the pair in line with institutional sentiment and seasonality trends.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels – Identifying Key Resistance
The Fibonacci retracement is drawn from the most recent bearish impulse.
Resistance Zone: 0.5 (156.888) to 0.786 (157.107) – a high-probability rejection area.
If price fails to break above this zone, a continuation to the downside is expected.
Prime Seasonality Insights – Historical Data Supports the Short Bias
📊 Seasonality trends over 15 years indicate that EUR/JPY historically declines in late February and early March.
🔻 February seasonality performance: -0.7% average return
🔻 Next 3-5 day forecast: Bearish probabilities (-0.06% to -0.21%)
🔻 Seasonality prediction candles show a short-term retracement, followed by downside continuation.
💡 This aligns with the technical setup, reinforcing a short bias.
4️⃣ Retail Sentiment – Smart Money Edge
🚨 79% of retail traders are LONG on EUR/JPY – a contrarian signal for a short trade.
🔻 Institutions (Smart Money) are aggressively shorting EUR/JPY, as seen in COT data.
🔻 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report shows increased institutional short positioning.
🔻 Retail traders trapped in longs will likely get stopped out, fueling further downside.
5️⃣ Technical Confirmation – Trendline & Indicators
✅ Price is below all major EMAs (6, 24, 72, 288) on the 4-hour chart.
✅ Supertrend remains bearish on the 4-hour timeframe.
✅ A downward sloping trendline aligns with the Fibonacci resistance zone.
💡 I will wait for confirmation (rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle) before entering a short position.
6️⃣ Conclusion – Trade Plan for EUR/JPY
🔹 Bias: Bearish due to downtrend, Fibonacci resistance, seasonality, and institutional short positioning.
🔹 Trade Setup:
Sell EUR/JPY at 156.88 - 157.10 (Upon rejection)
Stop Loss: Above 157.26
Take Profit Targets: 156.30, 156.04, 156.00
🔹 Key Confirmation: Retail traders are trapped in longs, seasonality supports further downside, and institutions are short.
🚀 This is a prime example of how combining Seasonality, Smart Money Positioning, and Technicals can create a powerful trade setup.
📌 What’s your outlook on EUR/JPY? Let’s discuss in the comments!
GOLD → Shaking. Going into flat. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is moving from a local bullish trend to a flat state. Bulls are still protecting strong risk zones. What to expect from the metal next?
Investors are returning to safe-haven assets due to uncertainty over Trump's tariffs and weak U.S. economic data.
Gold pulled back from a record $2,956 on Tuesday on profit taking and due to a drop in Chinese imports. However, a weak U.S. consumer confidence index helped the price recover.
Gold's rise is being held back by a strengthening dollar and bond yields, but trade war fears are supporting demand for the metal
Resistance levels: 2921, 2929, 2942
Support levels: 2905, 2888
Thus, we are forming a flat (sideways range). There is a possibility for a decline, for example, to retest the support 2905 - 2888 before further growth. Or growth and breakdown of resistance.
If the bulls can enter the 2921-2929 zone and keep the defense above this zone, the metal may return to growth.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Pre-break consolidation against 1.053FX:EURUSD continues to form bullish hints for a possible continuation of growth. There is strong resistance ahead and the market is forming a pre-breakdown consolidation
The dollar continues its correction amid economic data, the country's politics and hints from Trump and Powell of a possible rate cut soon.
The euro is benefiting from the dollar's decline, but how long will it last, especially amid the tariff war between the U.S. and Europe?
Technically, at the moment, the chart indicates a bullish outlook. Within the local uptrend, an ascending triangle is forming, which generally indicates bullish interest in the market. The focus is on the pattern base - resistance at 1.053.
Support levels: 1.045, 1.040
Resistance levels: 1.053
If the dollar continues its downward course, the currency pair has all chances to grow.
A retest of the trend support (false breakout) before the resistance breakout is possible.
Breakout and consolidation of the price above 1.053 may provoke growth.
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Testing $88K - $90K. False or true breakdown?BINANCE:BTCUSD enters the risk zone and forms a false breakdown of the key support zone. All eyes are on the bulls, whether they can keep their defense on the market or not....
On D1 - W1 price in global consolidation after strong growth. The focus is on 90-91K, a zone that is a strong support for the global trend. A false breakout is forming at the moment.
On the Local timeframe H1 - H4 the price is testing the local channel support, as well as the risk zone 89400.
If the bulls can keep the defense above 89400 - 90K, bitcoin may strengthen. The primary target in this case could be 94K
Support levels: 91280, 89400
Resistance levels: 94800, 99200
Statistically, the strongest dvjeniyas are formed after a false breakdown. But there is another question here, what kind of breakout will be - true or false.
In our case, we need to wait for confirmation, namely, for the price to consolidate above the key zones and levels. Emphasis on 89400, 90000, 91300
Regards R. Linda!
$NIO Short-term play; touched the .618 fib-retracement level.For the short term, I see NIO rising further on wave 3-5.
Additionally, I see a bull flag playing out.
It could even propel us out of this pattern.
But if it breaks out, can NIO also push through this larger resistance line?
And this one?
All I see is confluence.
Good luck to all.
GOLD → Bullish structure. Emphasis on 2955FX:XAUUSD is still in consolidation, but the flat is gradually changing into an ascending triangle structure, which further explains the bullish interest in the market.
Gold price is consolidating near the record high of $2,956. Investors took a pause before a possible continuation of gains amid renewed trade war fears over Trump's statements on tariffs and controls on exports of Nvidia chips to China.
Weak risk sentiment and a rising dollar are holding back gold, but lower bond yields and expectations of Fed policy easing are supporting prices.
Gold will remain influenced by tariff negotiations and US consumer confidence data in the coming days
Resistance levels: 2940, 2954.5
Support levels: 2930.7, 2921
Local resistance at 2940 is ahead. If the bulls are able to consolidate above this area, we should wait for the growth and the retest of 2954.5.
2954.5 is a trigger, the breakdown of which will provoke the continuation of the bull rally.
But before that the consolidation between 2954 and 2940 may be formed. I don't exclude the flat support retest before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Price is in consolidation and getting ready to go to $3KFX:XAUUSD is preparing to continue its growth. Consolidation is forming against strong resistance. The dollar in the correction phase continues to update the lows....
Gold is consolidating near 2945-2955, remaining cautious due to Trump's tariff threats and waiting for US inflation data. Which technically increases the chances of continued gains.
Optimism in the markets is supported by upcoming US-Russia talks on Ukraine, new Chinese measures and the victory of conservatives in Germany.
Weak dollar and expectations of Fed rate cuts support gold, but rising risk appetite reduces its attractiveness
Resistance levels: 2946.5, 2954.5
Support levels: 2935, 2921
Technically, the focus is on 2946.5. If the bulls are able to break this level, the resistance ahead at 2954.5 will not seem so strong. In this case, the price will continue its growth to 2969 - 3K
But, before further growth, as gold is still in consolidation, the price may test the liquidity zone 2935 - 2921.
Regards R. Linda!
BTC/USDT 1h chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1H BTC chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves in the downward trend, the reflection from the downward trend line was currently visible. However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face:
T1 = 94661 $
T2 = 95162 $
Т3 = 95521 $
T4 = 95969 $
T5 = 97241 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 93804 $
SL2 = 93279 $
SL3 = 92421 $
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
How we stay below the lower range of the range, which may potentially indicate the end of the current relaxation.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trade Setup – Potential Long Opportunity ChartChart Overview:
A possible bullish retracement setup. The price has recently experienced a sharp decline, but a recovery is forming, suggesting a potential buying opportunity.
Key Trading Zones:
🔹 Entry Zones:
1st Entry: Around 95,790 USD, where the price is currently consolidating.
2nd Entry: Near 97,150 USD, an intermediate resistance level.
3rd Entry: Close to 97,678 - 98,205 USD, marking a stronger resistance area.
🔹 Stop Loss:
Placed above 99,000 USD to protect against further upside risk.
Trade Plan:
📌 Entry Strategy:
Buyers may step in near the current support zone (~95,790 USD) for a potential upside move.
If the price breaks above the 97,150 USD level, a further rally toward 98,205 USD could occur.
📌 Target Levels:
A possible short-term bullish retracement toward the entry zones (97,150 - 98,205 USD) before deciding further direction.
📌 Stop Loss Strategy:
If price moves above 99,000 USD, it invalidates the short-term bearish scenario.
Market Structure Analysis:
✅ Previous Strong Drop: Indicates sellers' control, but a retracement is expected.
✅ Potential Retracement Levels: Buyers may attempt to push BTC back into the entry zones.
✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade setup suggests a favorable risk-reward balance if price follows the expected path.
Final Thoughts:
Watch for confirmation of a bullish retracement before entering.
A break below 95,000 USD could invalidate the setup.
Manage risk properly and adjust stop losses accordingly.
📈 Trade carefully and monitor market conditions! 🚀
GBPUSD → Correction before bullish trend continuationFX:GBPUSD has been rising for the last month and a half as the market sentiment and the behavior of the dollar, which is gradually updating lows.
The tariff war by trump is just in full swing. The dollar continues its correction on the back of US politics as well as inflation data.
GBPUSD at this time is trading in the bullish zone, above the support at 1.262 - 1.2576. Thus, within the framework of the correction, which has been observed since the opening of the European session, the price may test the liquidity area before further growth.
Resistance levels: 1.2718, 1.2678
Support levels: 1.262, 1.2576
The local trend is bullish and the price is forming a local correction. In this case, it is worth looking for strong support zones with the purpose of rebound and continuation of growth. Targets in this case are intermediate highs: 1.2718, 1.2811
Regards R. Linda!
LTC/USDTHello everyone, let's look at the 4H LTC chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves in the local high -ranking channel in which we quickly saw the return to the lower border of the channel. However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face:
T1 = $ 129
T2 = $ 132
Т3 = $ 138
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = $ 125
SL2 = $ 121
SL3 = $ 118
SL4 = $ 114
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
As we entered the lower part of the range again, which may indicate a new growth movement, but here you can see the city so that any correction deepens.
XRP/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D XRP chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves under the downward trend line, but we can see some price stabilization, which can affect the potential change of trend.
However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face:
T1 = $ 2.57
T2 = $ 2.39
Т3 = 2.15 $
T4 = 1.76 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = $ 2.77
SL2 = $ 3.07
SL3 = 3.40 $
The MacD indicator shows how we are still in the downward trend, but here you can see some stabilization, which may indicate an attempt to return to the upward trend.
BITCOIN → Price is in consolidation, but there are bullish signsBINANCE:BTCUSD broke resistance and gave a 4% momentum, it is not enough yet, but we have triggers and key zones. Price is still in consolidation, but it is likely that spring may be close.
You may ask - why are there two scenarios here? Up↑ and down↓ (before growth) ?
Well, the price is in consolidation and we have no clear assumptions in which direction the price will go. But we have key levels and zones, price behavior relative to them will tell us where the price will go.
So, let's get to the bottom of it!
Fundamentally , there is a small but important nuance: This week Trump said: “I am done with the war against cryptocurrencies”.
Followed by almost $ 1bn dollars flowing into binance. Is someone getting ready for something?)
1) Technically, we have a trigger for further growth: $99000 - $99300 zone. If the bulls hold the price above the previously broken descending line, the price will head to attack the trigger in the medium term. A breakdown and price consolidation above 99K could trigger a rally.
2) But, chances of reaching 90-91K before rising are still high. If the price continues to test 94.8 - 95K and gradually push through this zone, everything will become obvious. In this case we will wait for a retest of 90K and further growth.
Resistance levels: 99200, 102700
Support levels: 94800, 91280, 90К
On the daily and weekly timeframe we can see that the price is forming a strong consolidation after a strong growth. Globally, this is a positive sign for a continuation of growth, but locally, inside the range, set-ups can be both short and long.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Retest of trend support before the NEWS FX:XAUUSD is forming a false breakdown of the lower boundary of consolidation and support of the uptrend within the correction. Traders are waiting for S&P Global PMI indices in the US.
The gold price has rolled back from the record $2,955, but still retains chances for growth continuation. The decline is due to profit taking as traders prepare for the release of the S&P Global PMI indices in the US.
The PMI data may affect the expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates. Nevertheless, a possible price drop on the back of strong PMI data could be short-lived if Trump's new tariff plans reignite demand for safe-haven assets.
While gold may continue to correct, any drawdowns are likely to be seen as a near-term buying opportunity
Resistance levels: 2933, 2939, 2946, 2955
Support levels: 2924, trend support
A false breakdown of the uptrend support is forming. If the bulls hold their defenses above the key area, gold may continue its rise in the short to medium term. But, the short-term outlook depends on the news
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → Retest of key resistance before fallingFX:USDJPY breaks the bullish structure of the market. Dolla in the correction phase has a favorable impact on the market. The currency pair is forming a retest of the previously broken trendline after a strong impulse
The yen reached a 10-week high on Thursday, causing the USDJPY pair to fall to 149.5. Investors are looking for safe-haven assets due to increased trade tensions caused by Donald Trump's aggressive tariff policy.
The Japanese currency received additional support due to expectations of an interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan, which will increase its attractiveness for investors
For now, the focus is on the 0.5 fibo resistance zone, 150.95, and previously broken upside support
Support levels: 149.5, 148.64
Resistance levels: 150.95, 151.4
Most likely, before a possible fall, the price will be able to test the previously broken support, and now it is resistance 150.95 - 151.4. False breakdown of the key Fibo zones may provoke further fall.
Regards R. Linda!
OMUSDT → Flag (correction) before the rally BINANCE:OMUSDT still looks quite interesting. Consolidation in the flag format is forming within the bullish trend. The structure looks strong especially against the background of a weak altcoin market
Bitcoin after Trump's speech yesterday was able to overcome local resistance and entered the buying zone. If the price can hold above 96.5 - 97K and continue its growth, some altcoins may have a bullish driver, which could push them up in general, including the already strong OMUSDT
Technically, the focus is on the local descending flag channel, within which there are two key supports 7.324, 7.213. A false breakdown could trigger a continuation of the upside.
Resistance levels: 7.755
Support levels: 7.324, 7.213
The trigger for growth continuation in our case is the channel border and resistance at 7.755. At the moment, we are still far from this zone and the coin is heading towards the support. A retest of the liquidity zone may end with a bullish impulse.
Regards R. Linda!
LINK/USDT 1W chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1W link to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves under the downward trend line, but we can see some price stabilization, which can affect the potential change of trend. However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face:
T1 = 19.20 $
T2 = = $ 21.67
Т3 = $ 25
T4 = $ 27.65
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = $ 16.82
SL2 = $ 14.90
SL3 = 12.73 $
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see the descent below the lower limit of the range, which may also indicate
GOLD → Updated to the max. Growth may continueFX:XAUUSD updates its high to 2955, entering a clear zone where nothing prevents the price from continuing its rise. Economic risks and the dollar correction are still supporting the price of the metal
Investors are seeking refuge in gold amid Trump's threats to impose another tariffs as early as next month.
Markets remain under pressure due to a lack of support from China and tensions between the US and EU over peace talks with Russia without Ukraine.
Although the Fed meeting minutes have gone unreported, investors remain focused on tariff negotiations, expecting gold prices to rise further amid market uncertainty
Technically, the strong bullish trend and rally continues. Focus on key levels and local range 2955 - 2946
Resistance levels: 2955
Support levels: 2946, 2938
The price is pinned at 2955, the next trigger, the breakdown of which will provoke the continuation of growth. But before that the gold may test the support zone 2946 - 2938. The growth may continue after a false breakdown of support.
Regards R. Linda!