SWING IDEA - PNB HOUSING FINANCEPNB Housing Finance , a prominent housing finance company in India, is exhibiting a promising swing trade setup supported by strong technical signals.
Reasons are listed below :
Breakout and Retest of 800 Zone : The stock previously broke a strong resistance at 800 and is now retesting it, showing potential for upward momentum.
Bullish Marubozu Candle : A strong bullish marubozu candle on the weekly timeframe indicates robust buying interest.
Golden Fibonacci Zone : The stock is bouncing back from a key Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a continuation of the uptrend.
50 EMA Support : Price action is well-supported by the 50 EMA on the weekly timeframe, affirming bullish sentiment.
Volume Spike : A significant increase in trading volumes highlights growing investor confidence.
Target - 1190 // 1380
Stoploss - weekly close below 825
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Fibonacci Retracement
GBPAUD BUTTERFLY PATTERN Harmonic Pattern Trading Strategy:
1. Combine patterns with 2-3 confirmations (e.g., MA, BB, RSI, Stoch) for increased accuracy.
2. Implement proper risk management.
3. Limit exposure to 3% of capital per trade.
4. Exercise caution: Not every Harmonic Pattern presents a good trading opportunity.
5. Conduct thorough diligence and analysis before trading.
Disciplined approach = Enhanced edge.
USDCHF SHARK PATTERNHarmonic Pattern Trading Strategy:
1. Combine patterns with 2-3 confirmations (e.g., MA, BB, RSI, Stoch) for increased accuracy.
2. Implement proper risk management.
3. Limit exposure to 3% of capital per trade.
4. Exercise caution: Not every Harmonic Pattern presents a good trading opportunity.
5. Conduct thorough diligence and analysis before trading.
Disciplined approach = Enhanced edge.
GBPUSD → False breakdown can cause growthGBPUSD is bumping into the support of the local descending channel after a rather strong fall. The fundamental background has changed a bit, which in general gives a chance to the forex market
On the weekly chart the price is testing the strong level of 1.211 against which a double bottom is formed on a global scale. But this does not indicate a change in the global trend, no, it is just a hint of a possible rebound, but we need to watch the price reaction to this area.
The PPI that was released yesterday slightly disappointed dollar buyers, which supported the forex market and we see a small correction.
CPI is ahead, which may also support the market
Resistance levels: 1.2217, 1.235, 1.2488
Support levels: 1.213
If the bulls keep the price above the nearest resistance at 1.2217, it will give the price a chance to strengthen to the nearest resistance or to the channel resistance.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → What could trigger a fall?FX:XAUUSD is forming a false breakdown of the key resistance and as a consequence - passes into the phase of realization of the bearish pattern “Wedge”. If the general background persists, the price will be able to update the lows....
On the back of upcoming inflation data (PPI and CPI), traders have reduced expectations of a Fed rate cut to one this year. Forecasts point to a rise in PPI, which could strengthen demand for the dollar and cause a correction in gold prices. However, the weak data has the potential to push gold to $2,705.
Additionally, markets are watching Trump's policies and the possible introduction of new US tariffs, which could affect the dynamics of gold. Despite inflation risks, the metal has corrected from a one-month high, remaining a key hedge against inflation.
Technically, we have a correction forming after a false breakdown. Quite an important phase in the market. If the bears can keep the price below 2675 - 2681, the decline will continue in the short to medium term.
Resistance levels: 2675, 2681, 2690
Support levels: 2667, 2656
At the moment the price is testing 0.5 fibo, on the background of the secondary retest the zone can be broken (I do not exclude a false breakout and consolidation below 0.5 fibo, which will also lead to a fall) and the price will head to the retest of the imbalance zone, which can put pressure on gold. The most likely scenario is a retest of the zone of interest 2675 - 2681 before further decline
Regards R. Linda!
EURCAD BEARISH BAT PATTERN Harmonic Pattern Trading Strategy:
1. Combine patterns with 2-3 confirmations (e.g., MA, BB, RSI, Stoch) for increased accuracy.
2. Implement proper risk management.
3. Limit exposure to 3% of capital per trade.
4. Exercise caution: Not every Harmonic Pattern presents a good trading opportunity.
5. Conduct thorough diligence and analysis before trading.
Disciplined approach = Enhanced edge.
ETC/USDT - 1W interval Chart Hello everyone, I invite you to review the ETC pair to USDT chart, taking into account the interval of one weekend.
As we can see, the price is currently in the support zone from the level of $25.60 to the level of $24.27, but if the zone is broken, we still have visible support at the level of $21.85 and then we can see a drop to the level of $17.55.
Looking the other way, when the trend reverses, the important resistance level is $29.35, then the resistance level is $33.30, and the next significant level is $36.26.
S&P ES Short setup target 5811 / Put SPY target 574Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures ( CME_MINI:ES1! ) has already found resistance at the Fib level 78.6% (6057.75) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (Jan 7) has closed below retracement Fib level 38.2% (5963.75). My Down Fib guides me to look for CME_MINI:ES1! to eventually go down to hit first target at Fib level -27.2% (5811.50).
S&P CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 5811.50, Target 2 at -61.8% (5731) and Target 3 at -78.6 (5691.75)
Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (5991.25).
Option Traders : My SPY AMEX:SPY chart (Down Fib from 602.48 to 580.50) shows price to go down to Target 1 at -27.2% (574.52), Target 2 at -61.8% (566.92) and Target 3 at -78.6 (563.22)
Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (591.50).
Nasdaq NQ Short setup target 20,677 / Puts XND target 205.18Fibonacci technical analysis: Nasdaq 100 E-mini Futures ( CME_MINI:NQ1! ) has already found resistance at the Fib level 78.6% (21,870) of my Down Fib. The January 8th Daily candle has closed below retracement Fib level 38.2% (21,414.50), and today’s Daily candle (Jan 8) has re-tested 38.2% resistance level further confirming sell signal. My Down Fib guides me to look for CME_MINI:NQ1! to eventually go down to hit first target at Fib level -27.2% (20,677).
Nasdaq CME_MINI:NQ1! – Target 1 at -27.2% (20,677), Target 2 at -61.8% (20,287) and Target 3 at -78.6 (20,097)
Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (21,547.50).
Option Traders : My NASDAQ:XND chart (Down Fib from 218.38 to 208.00) shows price to go down to Target 1 at -27.2% (205.18), Target 2 at -61.8% (201.59) and Target 3 at -78.6 (199.85)
Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (213.19).
GOLD → False or true resistance breakout?FX:XAUUSD is trying to consolidate above the previously broken boundary of the ascending channel and symmetrical triangle. The struggle that has not ended creates risks for both buyers and sellers.
Economic problems in China and Trump's policy risk continue to support gold.
Inflation expectations are rising amid rising oil prices and the outlook for trade policy in the US. Friday's NFP report showed strong employment growth, making it less likely that the Fed will significantly cut interest rates in 2025
Traders' attention is also focused on CPI data to be released on Wednesday and its impact on future Fed policy.
Resistance levels: 2690, 2700
Support levels: 2685, 2678, 2665
At the moment, the price is in consolidation above previously broken resistance.
If there is no bullish momentum and the price makes a false break of the channel resistance, in that case gold may go down to 2678 - 2665.
BUT, a break of the local downside resistance could trigger buying and upside to targets: 2700
Regards R. Linda!
EURCAD BUTTERFLY PATTERNHarmonic Pattern Trading Strategy:
1. Combine patterns with 2-3 confirmations (e.g., MA, BB, RSI, Stoch) for increased accuracy.
2. Implement proper risk management.
3. Limit exposure to 3% of capital per trade.
4. Exercise caution: Not every Harmonic Pattern presents a good trading opportunity.
5. Conduct thorough diligence and analysis before trading.
Disciplined approach = Enhanced edge.
GOLD → Paranormal growth on the back of strong NFP...FX:XAUUSD is rising with the dollar and strong NFP data. Those who shouted that the metal is ceasing to play the safe haven function are very much mistaken :)
The surprise of rising NFP data and rising gold, which is not specific in this context, surprised the market quite a lot. After all, rising data points to a more hawkish stance of the Fed and generally medium-term policy in the US. But based on the environment, we can say that gold is rising because of the risks of the policy of Trump, whose inauguration will be held on January 20.
Now all eyes are on the US Inflation data. The upcoming week, will be quite interesting.
Technically: GOLD is breaking the consolidation resistance (symmetrical triangle) and is trying to consolidate above this boundary. Most likely, the struggle will continue and the price may test the previously broken figure boundary or liquidity zone 2675 - 2664, which will determine the further development of events.
Resistance levels: 2698, 2721, 2750
Support levels: 2675, 2665
The situation is quite unstable, as there are too many factors putting pressure on the prices.
Accordingly: if after the retest the bulls are able to keep the price above 2680-2690, the growth may continue in the mid-term ( till January 20 approximately ).
But! If the bullish structure will be broken and bears will start to keep the price below 2680, it can provoke correction to 2665, 2650.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Last chance to sell here, then DOOM (must see)Bitcoin is short-term bullish, but expect doom. With me, you always have a plan. Stay updated. What is the plan now? Of course we want to make a profit in the next few days and weeks. I will share with you my plan. But first, let's take a look at the massive crash that happened in the past few days. I warned you about that crash in my previous analysis.
The crash was very steep and strong, and I see an impulse wave. After each impulse wave, there is an ABC, ABCDE, or a complex correction. You want to look for strong levels on the way up to short Bitcoin or potentially exit your longs (sell Bitcoin) if you haven't already. On the chart, you can see 3 strong levels that Bitcoin will probably hit in the next few days.
Keep in mind that there is also a huge unfilled FVG on this 1h chart, and usually the price wants to return at least to the end of the FVG. Why is bitcoin short-term bullish? We can see multiple green candles in a row, which is a strong price action suggesting a continuation after a pullback.
Where can bitcoin rise to? The first resistance is the first order block after the FVG. Next, a 200 moving average is displayed on the 1h chart. This moving average is used by huge institutions and hedge funds, so you definitely want to be aware of it. After that, we have the end of the FVG. So in conclusion, there is a strong resistance around 97k. But what if Bitcoin wants to go a little bit higher? Yes, this is really possible, because after an impulse wave, we look for the 0.618 FIB retracement. This is exactly at 98323. You really don't want to go long here, but short.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
DOT/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D DOT to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a local uptrend channel where the price is moving at its lower boundary.
Let's start, however, by defining the goals for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = $7
T2 = $7.35
T3 = $7.92
T4 = $8.86
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $6.47
SL2 = $6.24
SL3 = $5.86
SL4 = $5.58
Looking at the STOCH indicator, we can see that we are moving along the lower boundary, which may indicate an upcoming upward movement in price.
GBPCAD Continuation SellOn the monthly, price has yet to reach the D extension. We had a shallow retracement on the monthly fib with a stall out at the 1.18 1.27 extension. We had weekly and daily rejection at 1.82XXX.
Long term picture, I see the potential for a sell down to 1.580XX. Shorter term (4HR), I see two possibilities, price could begin to retrace from current 4HR level 1.759XX or push down to the second Weekly level at 1.749XX and retrace back up to the 38.2 1.776X where we have 4HR resistance. The retracement up could be tradeable.
For this leg of price, I see the potential for a sell to 1.739X with further downside potential to 1.716XX. At 1.7166X I think it will be time to re-evaluate once we see how price reacts at this level.
I know what's NEXT for Bitcoin!I recently shared two thoughts on Bitcoin price action to come..
In one of them I call for a retrace to 85K or lower, in the other I call for a new ATH. I know this might be a bit confusing so let's shed some more light on it.
Here you see BTC on the 1W Timeframe. I am using the Dynamic Fib Retracement indicator to do some trend analysis based on Fibonacci.
The blue colored zone/band is the golden pocket as calculated by the indicator from pivot highs/lows within a certain lookback range. The lines are the 0.236 (Preliminary), 0.382 (Secondary) and 0.5 (Median) Fibonacci retracement lines calculated in the same way. The purple line is the 1.618 retracement line (aka the ''Target Line'').
Now you understand this I can explain my thought process:
Scenario A (Bullish)
If price can manage to get back above the blue preliminary fib line and hold that range (around $98,550), I am convinced we see a new ATH for Bitcoin. The purple target line suggests the target for that would be around $117,000+ USD per BTC.
Scenario B (Bearish)
If price cannot get back above the blue preliminary fib line and finds resistance in that range around $98,550, I am convinced we see a bigger retracement for Bitcoin. The blue zone/band suggests the target for that would be around 80-83K USD per BTC as of right now, but this golden pocket band will slightly adjust higher so lets say $85,000 per Bitcoin.
Do you agree or do you have other ideas? Let me know!
$BTC/USD We'll need some Bulls to step up here...I'm seeing this Green Daily candle push it's way up and out of the "Demand Zone", while running into some expected resistance from a recent downtrend line (Red), a couple High Volume Shelves, and some Fib levels that coincided with recent price action & short-term reversals (Within the Red Circle or Elipse, and Horizontal shaded Rectangle slightly above)...
What do you think... Will we follow the Blue Arrow to the upside? Or does it need some more "Timeout" at these levels, or perhaps down towards $80's...?
GOLD → The market is nervous ahead of NFP. What's next?$FXCM:XAUUSD continues its strong upward movement, but along with the growth there are growing risks of a strong fall. NFP is ahead, and the situation is quite tense....
Fundamentally the situation is confusing, the main nuance is Trump's policy and the hawkish stance of the Fed, which creates pressure on the market, but gold, as we see, is rising due to the growing economic and geopolitical risks associated with Trump's policy, the crisis in the Middle East, Eastern Europe and economic problems in China.
NFP is ahead, which creates additional risks: either an aggressive rise or a breakdown of strong support and the formation of a strong downward momentum.
A weaker NFP may bring back expectations of an aggressive Fed rate cut, causing a broad correction in the US dollar, which could favor gold. Conversely, an upside surprise in NFP and wage inflation data could reinforce hawkish Fed rate hikes.
Resistance levels: 2678, channel, 2693
Support levels: 2675, 2671, 2665
Technically, a strong bullish structure is forming. A break of resistance and favorable news could strengthen the rise to 2700. But, there is an additional scenario: Break of support of the rising structure or 2665 - 2671 may provoke capitulation and fall to 2655 - 2640.
Regards R. Linda!
AUDUSD → Trigger breakdown will trigger a fallFX:AUDUSD is approaching the trigger that can provoke a strong fall. Against the backdrop of a strong and rising dollar, the Aussie doesn't stand a chance yet.
The price is testing the level from the weekly timeframe, the breakdown of which will open the way to the abyss. There is no support until 0.54-0.55. Based on Trump's policy, the Fed's stance and the potential of the Australian dollar we can say that the odds are generally quite high that the price will continue its decline in the medium term expectation.
Technically, on 4H the price is approaching the level of 0.6179. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming in relation to the level. I do not exclude an attempt to retest the local resistance before further breakout, but the general technical and fundamental situation hints at a decline.
Resistance levels: 0.6199, 0.622, 0.6274
Support levels: 0.6179
Downward channel, retest of support after false breakdown of resistance (deceptive maneuver before a strong fall). Emphasis on the trigger at 0.6179. Breakdown and price consolidation below the level will trigger a fall
Regards R. Linda!
LTC/USDT 12H chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 12h LTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in the local upward trend channel where the price has bounced off the lower border of the channel.
Let's start, however, by defining the goals for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = $105
T2 = $110
T3 = $117
T4 = $128
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $102
SL2 = $94
SL3 = $86
SL4 = $80