EURJPY → Consolidation before further declineEURJPY is forming a downtrend. The price is bouncing off the channel resistance and has approached strong support, the breakout of which may trigger further decline
Global EURJPY is in a neutral trend, but locally, due to economic nuances, the euro is weakening against the Japanese yen
There are two key zones on the chart - resistance at 159.112 against which a false breakdown can be formed before the price continues its decline. And support at 158.45 - support of the pre-breakdown consolidation and at the same time a strong level, the break of which will open the way to 156.29.
Resistance levels: 159.11, 160.16, 160.9
Support levels: 156.29
Technically, the situation is weak and hints that in the short term the bears could overcome the key support, which could trigger a bearish momentum
Regards R. Linda!
Fibonacci Retracement
FTM/USD 8H possible correction?Hello everyone, let's look at the 8H FTM to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has broken out of the local downtrend line, which it is currently moving above.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = $0.75
T2 = $0.86
Т3 = $1.02
Т4 = $1.19
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = $0.60
SL2 = $0.49
SL3 = $0.42
SL4 = $0.32
It is worth looking at the RSI indicator, which shows how strongly we have broken out of the upper limit of the range, moreover, here we can see how we have touched the level of 81, at which price rebounds were previously visible.
SOL on the Slide: Is a Bounce from $150 in the Cards?Solana has been in a downtrend for over 30 days after reaching its ATH at $295.83. For the past two weeks, SOL was stuck in a trading range that formed a descending triangle (a bearish pattern) which eventually broke down, confirming the downtrend. Additionally, SOL lost its yearly support level at $189.31. Where is SOL heading next? Let's find out!
Key Support Zone
Our main long opportunity is around the $150 level, where several confluences align:
Fibonacci Levels:
The 0.5 fib retracement of the entire 5-wave structure sits at $151.92.
The 0.786 fib retracement from the 5th wave is at $149.77.
A fib extension 1.618 of the descending triangle is at $148.65, which is very close to the $150 mark.
Volume Profile:
The Point of Control (POC), highlighted by the red horizontal ray, is around $144, adding another layer of support.
Trade Setup
Currently waiting for SOL to reach the support zone between $152 and $144. An alarm is set when price nears these levels for a long opportunity.
GBPNZD / looks good to buy Given the overall market direction, which remains extremely bullish across multiple timeframes, this trade has a high probability of continuing its upward trajectory.
Looking specifically at the 4-hour timeframe, price initially made a strong push to the downside, retested a key area of interest, yet ultimately closed above critical levels—including the monthly and weekly pivots, Fibonacci levels, and the 50-period moving average—forming a high-confluence zone.
With recent signs of exhaustion, price may once again retest the previous 4-hour resistance zone, as its identified on the chart.
GOLD → Bullish trend, but the price depends on the newsFX:XAUUSD bounces off previously tested trend support and gives a chance for possible upside. Economic risks are still high and gold as a safe haven is in demand
Investors are cautious ahead of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia where they will discuss a possible end to the conflict in Ukraine.
Weak risk appetite is supporting the dollar, also helped by comments from Fed officials. They express concern about inflation and call for caution in cutting rates. The attention of market participants is directed to the upcoming speeches of the Fed members and the publication of the minutes of the January meeting
Technically, the price broke 2905 in the Asian session, at the moment this area plays an important role as support. The first target is 2922, the second target is 2938
Resistance levels: 2922, 2938
Support levels: 2905, 2893
The most likely scenario is a retest of support amid the global uptrend, as liquidity below 2905 is still of interest to the market. But, the price may continue to rise due to imbalance from the bullish side. A breakout and consolidation of the price above 2915 may also trigger a rise.
Regards R. Linda!
JUP in Danger: Are We in for a Crash?JUP has been on a four-day downtrend, and it's starting to show its bearish side. The token has lost its yearly open, which was a major support level. Let’s break down the key support and resistance to see what the chart is telling us.
Support & Resistance
Resistance:
Yearly Open & Monthly Level: JUP has dropped below the yearly open at $0.8169 and the monthly level at $0.7427
Support:
Long-Term Range & Liquidity: JUP has been trading within a range for over 300 days, with a significant amount of liquidity below the low at $0.6328 from 5 July 2024.
POC: The volume profile shows the POC sitting at around $0.5, marking an attractive entry point for a long position.
Fibonacci Confluence: The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level falls just below the key low at $0.431 (a level last seen on 12 February 2024), offering a great long trade setup.
Long Trade Opportunity:
Alarms are set, let's see if JUP drops to these key support levels. If it does, we could have a solid long setup on our hands.
BTC/USDT 1D Chart Reviev/Are we approaching a new upward moveme?Hello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is locally below the downtrend line and currently following the downtrend we are approaching the main uptrend line which is a strong support for the price.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face:
T1 = 98948USD
T2 = 101357USD
Т3 = 103727USD
Т4 = 107100USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
Currently we can see how the price is holding in a strong support zone from the level of $94450 to the level of $92683, however if we exit this zone below it it is worth considering a stoploss at these levels.
SL1 = 89791USD
SL2 = 85213USD
It is worth paying attention to the RSI indicator where we can see a break of the support line, which gives a strong reaction, and we can see how we are approaching the lower limit of the range, and what is more, we can see that currently we are lower on the indicator, but the price remains at a similar level or even slightly higher, which can positively affect the potential price rebound, giving a greater increase.
CAKEUSDT → False breakout of resistance. Return to the trendBINANCE:CAKEUSDT is forming a false breakdown of key resistance as part of a bullish rally. Further altcoin decline may be influenced by bitcoin's decline, the flagship looks rather weak
Technically, the move in Cake looks like a counter-trend maneuver to gather liquidity before a further, possible fall. The altcoin market is weak and most coins continue to look for a bottom, while bitcoin is consolidating but with a hint of a decline to 91-90K.
CAKEUSDT is focusing on 2.6144 - 2.7288. If the bears keep the price below these zones, the coin could head down in the short to medium term
Resistance levels: 2.6144, 2.7288, 2.2964
Support levels: 2.420, 2.0634
Statistically, a false breakdown provokes the strongest movements, often even trend changes. In this case, it is a counter-trend movement and if the price reverses locally, the coin will be under the pressure of the trend again. A price fixing below 2.6144 may strengthen the fall to 2.42, 2.06, 1.04.
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Consolidation. Shake-out before growth to 110KBINANCE:BTCUSD is consolidating both locally and globally. The market lacks drivers, but at the same time, big players continue to keep the coin from falling further
Bitcoin is in consolidation or in a localized correction due to Trump putting cryptocurrencies on the back burner. No supportive executive orders have been issued, except that there is a little noise around the federal reserve, but only from the states and that is in question what assets will fill this fund, confiscated or still politicians will start buying BTC. As for the global economy regarding bitcoin, a lull has been forming lately. Except for SOL and DOGE, for which the SEC has already started accepting applications to launch ETFs.
Technically, I'm keeping an eye on local consolidation: 94800 - 98400. A breakout of resistance could give hope to the market and in that case bitcoin could strengthen to 102 - 107K
Resistance levels: 98.4, 100.2, 102.7
Support levels: 94.8, 91.3
But, based on the general technical situation, there is a huge pool of liquidity in the 91-90K zone and before further growth the price may test this zone and form a false breakdown before the market returns to active buying.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin Seasonality - Best Month (October) and Best Day (Monday)It's very important for every Bitcoin trader to know its seasonality because this will significantly increase the probability of successful trades. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years, and I successfully use seasonality patterns to predict Bitcoin price movements. For example, you don't want to go long on Bitcoin during August or September; that's probably a very bad idea. The biggest market crashes usually happen in September. But you definitely want to go long in October or April, as these months are the most promising. Knowledge of these patterns will give you an advantage over standard retail traders. Every trade matters.
Average return by Month (%)
January: +5.1%
February: +12.1%
March: +4.8%
April: +18.7%
May: +14.2%
June: +4.4%
July: +6.1%
August: -3.1%
September: -8.4%
October: +22.2%
November: +17.9%
December: +7.3%
Average return by Weekday (%)
Monday: +0.63%
Tuesday: +0.18%
Wednesday: +0.54%
Thursday: +0.40%
Friday: +0.37%
Saturday: +0.45%
Sunday: +0.10%
Currently I am bullish on Bitcoin as the price is in an uptrend and the bear market is not confirmed; I expect Bitcoin to hit 115k probably at the end of February/March. What I also expect is an alt season - alt season is starting right now! So it's time to buy some altcoins. Ethereum should outperform BTC in the next weeks as well.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BNX Breakdown: The Next Trade SetupBNX has recently been testing a key resistance zone around the $1 level. After hitting the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $1.10, the market shifted into a downtrend. Let's analyse where our next trade opportunity might arise.
Market Structure & Confluence Zones
$1 to $1.1: BNX encountered robust resistance between $1 and $1.1, where the 0.618 Fib retracement aligns perfectly with the fib speed fan (0.618-0.65). Additionally, the anchored VWAP taken from the high at $1.1 aligns beautifully with the $1 mark, adding another robust layer of resistance. This convergence reinforces the strength of this zone and signals potential continuation of the downtrend.
Recent price action shows that BNX has repeatedly bounced off the 0.618/0.666 levels during small downward corrections.
Moving Averages on the 1-Hour Chart: The 21 EMA/SMA on the 1-hour timeframe is clustering between $0.97 and $1, providing additional confirmation of the resistance and offering an ideal entry region for short trades.
Primary Short Trade Setup
Given the multiple confluences around the resistance zone, our main focus is a short trade with a well-defined laddering strategy:
Entry Strategy (Laddering): Initiate short positions with staggered entries between $0.97 and $1.019. This dollar-cost averaging (DCA) approach allows for flexibility and optimises your entry as price tests the resistance zone.
Stop Loss (SL): Place your stop loss around $1.0375, just above the Point of Control (POC) or the previous high in this range to effectively manage risk.
Target: Aim for a profit target at $0.8. This target is supported by multiple technical indicators.
Risk/Reward Ratio: With these levels, you are looking at an approximate risk/reward ratio of 4:1 or better, depending on your specific DCA weighting.
Confirmation: As always, await confirmation through order flow analysis and the appearance of rejection candles at key levels before entering the trade.
GOLD → Price is confirming the flat. Emphasis on 2905FX:XAUUSD within the 2% correction that happened on Valentine's Day confirmed that one should not fall in love with the market. Technically the market is still bullish, the price is inside the range of 2880 - 2940
Investors are waiting for the meeting between Trump and Putin, which may influence the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and reduce geopolitical risks.
Additional support for gold is provided by expectations of Fed rate cuts after weak US retail sales data. At the same time, the markets are watching the escalation of the tariff confrontation between the US and the EU. High volatility is possible in the coming days due to holidays in the USA and speeches of the Fed representatives
The key figure is the ascending support, relative to which a false breakdown and the range of 2880 - 2940 is formed. If the price holds in the buying zone, under the bullish support, we can still see the growth.
Resistance levels: 2904.7, 2922.6
Support levels: 2893, 2880
A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming around 2904.7. If the resistance is broken and the bulls can keep the defense above this zone, the gold may continue its strengthening. I do not exclude a retest of the support at 2893 - 2880 before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
USDCHF → Struggle for the 0.900 zone. Trend change?FX:USDCHF earlier broke the uptrend when the fundamental background changed and the dollar went into correction. A set-up appears on the chart, which can strengthen the maneuver
Fundamentally, the situation is complicated because of the tariff war, which was organized by Trump, and European countries are reciprocating. Economic risks are on the rise. In addition, after Trump and Powell's hints about possible rate cuts, the dollar went into correction, which has a favorable impact on forex.
Technically, the 0.9000 level plays an important role as it is quite a strong zone. If the bears are able to keep the price below this mark, in the selling zone, it will be a confirmation of the trend change and the price will be able to head down.
Resistance levels: 0.9000, 0.9045, 0.9065
Support levels: 0.89157
I do not exclude the fact that the price may return to the range and test 0.5 Fibo, but the technical and fundamental background hints at a possible decline. Emphasis on 0.900.
Regards R. Linda!
ETC/USDT 1H Chart ReviewHi everyone, let's look at the 1h ETC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has fallen below the uptrend line, and what's more we can see the first attempt to return above the trend line, however we can see the place that rejected the price.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face:
T1 = 20.79 USD
T2 = 21.09 USD
Т3 = 21.60 USD
Т4 = 21.95 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 20.19 USD
SL2 = 19.73 USD
SL3 = 19.26 USD
SL4 = 18.90 USD
On the Stoch RSI indicator we can see how the energy is decreasing and staying in the lower part of the range, keeping the price from a bigger drop for now.
Overall Market Structure XAUUSD1. Overall Market Structure
The market is currently in a strong bullish trend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
A retracement is occurring around the $2900 - $2927 zone, which could be a Liquidity Grab before the next move.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
$2927 - $2942 (Key Fibonacci 0.236 - 0.0 level), which has already triggered a reaction from sellers.
Support Zones:
$2870 - $2890 (Fibonacci 0.786) – A critical area where buyers may step in.
$2779 (Support from the previous week) – If a deeper correction occurs, this could act as a liquidity area for long positions.
3. Liquidity & Key RTM Zones
Liquidity was grabbed above $2942, indicating potential sell-side orders.
A retracement towards $2890 - $2902 (important FLIP zone) could determine the next direction.
Smart Money might manipulate price around these levels to trap retail traders before a strong move.
4. Possible Scenarios for Next Week
Bullish Scenario:
If price holds above $2890 - $2902, we could see a push towards $2942 - $2960.
A breakout above $2942 could extend the bullish rally to $3000 and beyond.
Bearish (Deeper Retracement) Scenario:
If $2890 support fails, the price could drop to $2779 - $2760, where buyers might step in.
5. Conclusion & Trading Strategy
📌 If $2890 - $2902 holds as support, expect further upside momentum.
📌 If this support breaks, a deeper retracement to $2779 - $2760 is possible.
📌 Watch for liquidity grabs and confirmation signals before entering a trade.
❗ Recommendation: Monitor price reaction at $2890 before making trading decisions. If buyers defend this level, long positions could be favorable.
SOL/USDT 4H Chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 4H SOL to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has moved sideways from the downtrend line, while currently we see movement in the triangle marked with blue lines, in which we are also approaching the exit, and therefore the price should take the direction of movement.
Let's start by defining the goals for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = 206 USD
T2 = 224 USD
Т3 = 239 USD
Т4 = 255 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 192 USD
SL2 = 174 USD
SL3 = 160 USD
SL4 = 146 USD
When we look at the RSI indicator, we can see how energy is approaching the lower limit of the range and here we can see that we often had descents significantly below the lower range, but we are approaching the zone where we could previously observe price rebounds.
Best Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Levels for Trading
In this short article, you will learn the best Fibonacci extension and retracement levels for trading Forex and Gold.
I will share with you correct settings for Fibonacci tools and show you how to use & draw Fibonacci's properly on TradingView.
Best Fibonacci Retracement Levels
First, let's discuss Fibonacci retracement levels.
Here are the default settings for Fibonacci retracement tool on TradingView.
We will need to modify that a bit.
We should keep 0; 0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0,786; 1 levels
0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0,786 will be the best retracement levels for Forex & Gold trading.
How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement Levels Properly
In order to draw fib.retracement levels properly, you should correctly identify a price action leg.
You should underline that from its lowest low to its highest high, taking into consideration the wicks of the candlesticks.
Fibonacci Retracement of a bullish price action leg will be applied from its low to its high.
1.0 Fibonacci level should lie on the lowest lie, 0 - on the highest high.
Fibonacci Retracement of a bearish price action leg will be applied from its high to its low.
Best Fibonacci Extension Levels
Above, you can find default Fib.extension settings on TradingView.
We will need to remove all the retracement levels; 2,618; 3,618; 4,236 and add 1,272; 1,414 levels.
1,272; 1,414; 1,618 will be the best Fibonacci Extension levels for trading Gold and Forex.
How to Draw Fibonacci Extension Levels Properly
Start with correct identification of a price action leg.
Draw the Fib.Extension levels of a bearish price movement from its high to its low .
Draw the Fib.Extension levels of a bullish price movement from its low to its high.
I apply the fibonacci levels that we discussed for more than 9 years.
They proved its efficiency and strength in trading different financial markets. Learn to combine Fibonacci levels with other technical analysis tools to make nice money in trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GOLD → ATH retest - 2942. A step away from a breakoutFX:XAUUSD is testing ATH, which generally increases the chances of growth continuation. The 3000 target is getting closer and closer. Retail sales data is ahead
Metal is consolidating after the rally, remaining in an uptrend. Supported by Trump's tariff plans and expectations of Fed easing. PPI data reinforced dovish sentiment, weakening the dollar and bond yields.
Markets reacted to the delay in tariffs and comments from Trump and Powell on the need to cut interest rates (without specific dates), which supported gold. Ahead is possible profit taking and the impact of US retail sales data
Resistance levels: 2942.6, 2950
Support levels: 2929, 2922, 2908
Emphasis on key supports. There is a possibility of support retest before further growth. If this does not happen and the price heads towards ATH, the scenario for a pullback to the support at 2929-2922 before further growth will remain
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Attempting a trend change. 1.257 - triggerFX:GBPUSD is trying to take a chance for a trend change amid the dollar correction. The price is testing consolidation resistance for a breakout
On the daily timeframe, the price is consolidating above the previously broken trendline and the attempt to break the resistance is generally indicative of the market sentiment. A dollar correction could favor the pound if the index breaks 107 and heads towards 106-105.
Technically, the focus is on 1.257, a key resistance trigger. A break and price consolidation above this zone could trigger a rally.
Resistance levels: 1.2575, 1. 2718
Support levels: 1.250, 1.2377
I do not exclude the possibility of a retest of 1.250 support in order to accumulate liquidity before further growth. The dollar is likely to continue its correction after Trump's and Powell's comments on rate cuts
Regards R. Linda!
BNB - will there be enough time for further growth in this cycleHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BNB. When we enter the one-month interval, we can see how the price, after a long period of bearishness, turned into an upward trend in which it came out on top of the long-term downward trend line. Currently, we can see the movement along the upward trend line, which is also a support line for declines.
Here we can see how the price is currently based on support at $ 670, however, if this support is broken, we can then see the price quickly descending again to the area of a strong support zone from $ 540 to $ 460.
Looking the other way, we can see that when the trend reverses, we first have a resistance zone from $ 744 to $ 810, only when we come out on top of this zone can we see further movement towards $ 893, which may open the way towards another strong resistance in the area of $ 1134.
The RSI indicator shows that we are staying above the upper limit, which could potentially indicate an approaching larger rebound, but before that we may still see an attempt at growth so that the indicator reaches its previous highs.
GBPJPY | 15M | SELL LIMIT ORDER Don't forget to press like if you want to receive updates of this analysis. 🚀
SIGNAL ALERT
SELL LIMIT ORDER - GBPJPY ( OANDA:GBPJPY ) | 193,450 OR 192,146
🟢TP1: 192,000
🟢TP2: 191,840
🟢TP3: 190,753
🔴SL: 193,559
RISK REWARD - 1,51
Thanks to everyone who supports my analysis with likes.🫡
GOLD → The northbound train is ready to move onFX:XAUUSD is back in trend after a news (inflation) shakeout. The northbound train can continue its journey from station 2908. Initial Jobless Claims and PPI ahead
Prices are supported by uncertainty around Trump's tariffs and US economic data. The Fed remains hawkish due to rising inflation, which raised bond yields and briefly drove the gold price down to $2,865. However, buyers quickly returned, driving the price back up again. The market is waiting for PPI data that could influence Fed policy, but the decline in gold prices is likely to be limited due to trade risks
The price is consolidating in the buying zone relative to the important 2900 - 2908 point. If bulls hold their defenses above 2908, gold could update ATH in the medium term
Resistance levels: 2920, 2929, 2942
Support levels: 2908, 2902
Emphasis on key levels. Gold may test 2908 support before rising further. Also the emphasis is on 2918 - 2920. A price consolidation above this zone will also support the price
Regards R. Linda!