GOLD → Retest of resistance before possible decline to 2290FX:XAUUSD is forming the range of 2325 - 2290. In general, the market is bearish and the local bullish distribution that happened since the opening of the session may lead to a false breakdown and further decline
Today at 15:00 GMT Fed Monetary Policy Report. I think it is worth paying attention to the Fed comments.
As for Gold. All attention to the resistance area of 2315-2325. Most likely we should wait for a false breakdown, at the moment there is no potential to go up against a strong bear market. Against the background of the growth of the dollar index gold traders can strengthen the sales of gold. Consolidation of the price (after the false breakdown) below 2325 or below 2315 may lead the market down to 2300-2290.
Resistance levels: 2325, 2340
Support levels: 2315, 2305, 2291
Friday may end with the price testing the resistance and returning to the boundaries of the sideways range, i.e. to the flat state.
Regards R. Linda!
Fibonacci Retracement
EURUSD → The currency pair may lose up to 2.5% ↓FX:EURUSD is testing the 1.0884 resistance again after breaking the local channel. But it does not lead to success, as the bears are not letting the price up yet amid the complex fundamental environment.
Technically, the currency pair is under a strong resistance zone. The limit level of 1.0884, formed by a big seller, continues to have a negative impact on the price. EURUSD may test 1.0802 in the near future. It is necessary to monitor the price reaction to this area. A quick retest or consolidation could be a prerequisite for a downside breakout and further fall to the lower boundary of the global range at 1.0606
Resistance levels: 1.0884, 1.0942
Support levels: 1.0802, 1.0736
I expect that the bears will continue to dominate the market on the background of the expensive dollar, which may lead to the fact that the currency pair may lose up to 2.0-2.5% of its value.
Regards R. Linda!
SAIL - Reversal pattern in action!Monthly Time Frame:
Overview & Observation:
1. CHange in price structure from LL-LH to HH-HL
2. Good volume support
3. Bouncing from weekly demand and fib support zone.
4. Expected to continue to move higher.
5. Earnings are weak though!
Trade Plan:
1. Entry = cmp 154
2. Stop Loss = 10-12%
3. Target = 40%
- Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely!
- If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards,
Anubrata Ray
HERITAGE FOODS - multi-year breakout - Buy on Dips!Monthly Time Frame:
Overview & Observation:
1. Beautiful Double bottom formation and broke 7 years of resistance level in 1 shot shows strength in buying.
2. Good volume support
3. Earnings are strong.
Trade Plan:
1. It has already gone to targets for the structure it gave BO.
2. Wait for a retracement for buying.
- Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely!
- If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards,
Anubrata Ray
GOLD → Shakeout and false breakdown of 2325. PPI aheadFX:XAUUSD rises to 2340 on the back of yesterday's CPI and Powell's comments form a shakeup in the market and the price of the metal drops to 2308, forming a false breakdown of the key liquidity area of 2325.
Today the market is expecting PPI (MoM) and Initial Jobless Claims. Producer Price Index is expected to be lower than last period 0.1% instead of 0.4%, but it all depends on the actual data. Mind you, yesterday the market got a CPI of 3.3%, versus the expected 3.4%. But Powell did not say anything interesting in the change of views and still sticks to the hawkish side. Technically, gold is breaking local upside support and forming a consolidation below 2325. If the data is bullish for the dollar, gold could continue to fall towards 2290-2265.
Resistance levels: 2325, 2340
Support levels: 2305, 2291
Technically gold is showing weakness, but it reacts quite strongly to any small positive news. The whole emphasis on today's news, if the fundamental background remains negative, we will consider the targets below, if there are hints of a change in the background, we can consider price growth to 2340-2355.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD - last crash, then a new all time high! (buy here)GOLD is probably preparing for a last small crash to the main support of the expanding triangle in the major timeframe. This is a great opportunity to buy GOLD at the bottom of an expanding triangle because it is also in confluence with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. This Fibonacci level is very strong together with 0.618 because 0.618 + 0.382 = 1. You can buy gold here, or enter a long position on futures with leverage to increase your potential profit.
You probably know that I am very bullish on GOLD for the next few years and expect at least a double in price. After many years of sideways price action, GOLD finally broke out and made a significant new all time high. GOLD seems undervalued and should go higher.
It's always important to look at the Elliott Wave analysis, as it gives us a better understanding of the whole market structure. Where on the map are we currently? On the chart, you can see an impulse wave (12345) and after such move we can expect a corrective structure, such as ABC or WXY. Usually, you want to take a Fibonacci retracement of the previous impulse wave and look for 0.382 FIB or 0.618 FIB. I don't think GOLD will go all the way down to 2155, that would be pretty bearish after the previous breakout to a new all time high.
Buying gold at current levels is definitely a good idea, but if you want better price and timing, I would take the 0.382 FIB. This will also increase your risk-to-reward ratio.
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Will BTC hold up for collection?Hello everyone, let's take a look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour time frame. As we can see, the price remains at the upper limit of the downtrend channel
Let's start by determining the support line and as you can see, the first support on which the price is based is $66,150, if the support is broken, the next support is $62,510, then at $59,824, and then the fourth very strong support at the lower border of the channel at $56,532 .
Looking the other way, there is significant resistance at $68,248, and then just above the downtrend channel, there is a strong resistance zone from $72,012 to $74,000.
There is a visible downward trend on the RSI indicator, and each rebound gives room for another price drop, while on the STOCH indicator we remain at the lower limit, which should help maintain the price.
GOLD → CPI and FED. What to expect from the market? FX:XAUUSD is stopping after correction, traders are afraid to make premature decisions as news is ahead. A consolidation below 2315 is forming.
False break of support leads the price to retest 2310-2315, after which traders take a breather before the news.
All eyes remain on the upcoming big events, CPI and Fed. Key US CPI data will help shape the Fed's view on interest rates, which will significantly impact the value of the US dollar and gold prices in the near term. The market is expecting neutral (no change) data, which could generally keep the same fundamental backdrop. But, all eyes are on the actual data as the market is still confused by last Friday's higher NFP than expected.
Nevertheless, any initial reaction to the US CPI data may be temporary as gold traders will quickly switch to the FOMC & FED meeting.
Resistance levels: 2315, 2325, 2354
Support levels: 2305, 2291, 2267
Technically and fundamentally, gold is weak at the moment. On the background of high volatility, the price may try to break through 2325 and test the liquidity area of 2335-2345, then move to the decline phase, if the fundamental background is suitable for this. Risks of further decline are quite high, but the coming news can both strengthen this decline and break the market structure.
Regards R. Linda!
INJUSDT → Interested buyer. Ready to rise to 43.0?BINANCE:INJUSDT looks stronger than bitcoin and the crypto market. Against the background of the general decline, the coin is growing and this is a rather strong premise.
The price may return to the range of 29.0 - 43.0.
On D1, a pre-breakout setup is forming regarding the 29.2-29.45 area. If the price can consolidate above this area, then further traders will open bullish potential, the target of which could be a rise towards resistance (intra-range movement). The coin looks green in the red market and it means that someone is interested in it (big player). On the overall negative fundamental background there is a risk that the coin will go down, but for now I am looking out for further upside.
*The long scenario will be broken if the price closes below yesterday's opening.
Resistance levels: 33.62, 43.4
Support levels: 29.21, 29.85
The potential is there. It can be realized if the bulls hold the defense above the key support area.
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Strong fundamentals and interest lead us to $80KBINANCE:BTCUSD reaches a strong $71500 liquidity zone as strong ETH-ETF related news is released. A trap from the market maker catches the crowd off guard and now the market is ready to move on
Toretically, the correction wave ends after the false breakdown of resistance and liquidity zone 71500. Bulls successfully hold the defense above the support 67241. Liquidation of part of traders, liquidity capture below the zone increases chances for further growth. The market holds the course towards the global resistance 73679.
Fundamentally and technically BTC looks strongly bullish, the general market background is also strong, which generally supports the theory of further growth with the possibility of ATH update. The fifth wave may be completed in the area of the current ATH, or, on the background of increased interest, may find its target area at 1.236 fibo - $81.980.
Resistance levels: 71572, 73679
Support levels: 67241, 64545
The area of 67250 - 64500 is currently an intermediate bottom, in this place, relative to the whole range, the largest amount of the asset was purchased. We are waiting for a retest of 71572 with the possibility of further breakout and growth to the previously outlined targets
CME:BTC1! CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
Regards R. Linda!
Pulse of an Asset via Fibonacci: AAPL at ATH Impulse Redux"Impulse" is a surge that creates "Ripples", like a pebble into water.
"Impulse Redux" is returning of wave to the original source of energy.
"Impulse Core" is the zone of maximum energy, in the Golden Pocket.
Are the sellers still there? Enough to absorb the buying power?
Reaction at Impulse is worth observing closely to gauge energy.
Rejection is expected on at least first approach if not several.
Part of my ongoing series to collect examples of my Methodology: (click links below)
Chapter 1: Introduction and numerous Examples
Chapter 2: Detailed views and Wave Analysis
Chapter 3: The Dreaded 9.618: Murderer of Moves
Chapter 4: Impulse Redux: Return to Birth place <= Current Example
Chapter 5: Golden Growth: Parabolic Expansions
Chapter 6: Give me a ping Vasili: one Ping only
.
.
Ordered Chaos
every Wave is born from Impulse,
like a Pebble into Water.
every Pebble bears its own Ripples,
gilded of Ratio Golden.
every Ripple behaves as its forerunner,
setting the Pulse.
each line Gains its Gravity.
each line Tried and Tested.
each line Poised to Reflect.
every Asset Class behaves this way.
every Time Frame displays its ripples.
every Brain Chord rings these rhythms.
He who Understands will be Humble.
He who Grasps will observe the Order.
He who Ignores will behold only Chaos.
Ordered Chaos
.
.
.
want to Learn a little More?
can you Spend a few Moments?
click the Links under Related.
GOLD → Price range. Test of resistance before the news FX:XAUUSD is testing trend resistance. The struggle continues, but on the background of strong dollar the price can test the minimum or even update it. The news is coming and the market may go flat.
GOLD is testing the strong resistance area 2304 as well as the pullback level 2314.7, forming a new key resistance within the correction. The technical and fundamental background for gold is negative, in the mid-term we should expect a fall, but tomorrow we are waiting for news such as: CPI, FOMC and FED meeting, where obviously the overall inflation situation and the US interest rate will be discussed.
If we pay attention to D1, we can see that the dollar continues to grow in an uptrend, at tomorrow's speeches, the regulators may continue to support the dollar, which may have a negative impact on gold, which by then may test the liquidity area 2304-2314-2325 before a further possible fall.
Support levels: 2300, 2291, 2267
Resistance levels: 2304, 2314, 2325
Today the market may trade within the range of 2291 - 2325, the prospective direction can be discussed tomorrow (before the news), but within the intra-day I would expect a retest of resistance and a possible decline to support.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Negative fundamental backdrop could break the trend FX:GBPUSD is bumping into a strong limit resistance zone lined up by sellers. As the fundamental background changes, the bears are strengthening their positions. An impulsive downward movement is forming in the market
The opening session is formed with a gap on D1, in general this is rare in the forex market, but indicates potential. We are interested in the level of 1.271. A break of this area will be a trigger for a fall, because, in general, the short and medium-term outlook based on the fundamental background is predetermined.
Most likely, the first test of the support area will be followed by a bounce, but a retest of the support will strengthen the chances of a breakout and further decline to our target.
Resistance levels: 1.28
Support levels: 1.271, trend support
In the long term, we are waiting for a test of support and market reaction to the mentioned area. The local trend may be broken. Consolidation of the price in the selling zone will be the confirmation.
Regards R. Linda!
TRX Defies Market Trends: Key Levels and Strategic Insights🔍TRX (Tron) is showing unique behavior amidst market volatility. Here's a detailed analysis to guide your trading decisions.
📆Coin of the Day: TRX (Tron)
About the Project:
TRX is the native cryptocurrency of the Tron network, used for transaction fees on the TRC20 network. It is widely staked, contributing to its relatively stable price movements.
🧩Technical Analysis
4-Hour Timeframe
This analysis focuses on shorter-term trends, identifying critical levels and potential scenarios.
📉Support and Resistance:
Key Supports:
0.11569 (0.382 Fibonacci level) - recently established support after a breakout.
0.11494
0.11104
Key Resistances:
0.11873 (0.618 Fibonacci level)
0.12740 (major resistance and potential trigger for long positions)
📈Bullish Scenario:
Fibonacci Golden Zone: TRX is currently within a major supply zone, which overlaps with the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Breaking above this area could indicate strong bullish momentum.
Targets: Key resistance levels to watch are 0.11873, 0.12438, and 0.12740 (trigger for significant long positions).
📉Bearish Scenario:
Break Below Key Support: If TRX fails to maintain above 0.11569, it could signal a bearish reversal.
Targets: The next support levels are at 0.11494 and 0.11104.
📊Volume and RSI:
Volume Analysis: Recent volume spikes suggest increasing interest, which is critical for sustaining upward momentum.
RSI Analysis:
Current RSI: 61.50, indicating bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory.
💡Key Triggers:
For Long Positions:
Entry Trigger: Break and hold above 0.11873.
Strategy: Open a position on the hold of this level, targeting 0.12438 and 0.12740. Use tight stop-loss orders to manage risk.
For Short Positions:
Entry Trigger: Break and retest below 0.11569.
Strategy: Open a position if the price confirms a break below this level, targeting 0.11494 and 0.11104. Adjust stop-loss orders accordingly.
👨💻Trading Positions
Long Position
Entry Trigger: Hold above 0.11873 with confirmation from RSI and volume.
Strategy: Open a position on the hold of this level, targeting 0.12438 and 0.12740. Use tight stop-loss orders to manage risk.
Short Position
Entry Trigger: Break and retest below 0.11569.
Strategy: Open a position if the price confirms a break below this level, targeting 0.11494 and 0.11104. Adjust stop-loss orders accordingly.
📝TRX is demonstrating unique resilience compared to the broader market trends. Traders should closely monitor key levels and volume to determine potential entries and exits. RSI and volume trends will provide additional insights into momentum shifts.
🧠💼Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
🫶If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
GOLD → Causes of the fall. Can gold fall even lower? 2265?FX:XAUUSD is making a new low and there are a number of reasons for that. The price after Friday's sell-offs is returning in the bearish trend boundaries, which determines the medium-term prospects for us
On D1, price is still in a global sideways range and support (global liquidity zone) is still untested. So why did gold fall? The market was negatively affected by the strengthening of the dollar, due to the positive NonFarm Payrolls for the US market, which generally forms a medium-term mood for the markets. Traders also moved to the bearish train on the background of news related to the suspension of global gold purchases by the Central Bank of China.
Technically, the continuation of the downtrend on H1 is most likely. On D1, a takeover is forming and Friday's close is practically at the minimum values (The movement, theoretically, is not over yet), but before that the market may test the lower boundary of the consolidation (the nearest resistance).
Resistance levels: 2315, 2325
Support levels: 2291, 2267
I expect local strengthening before the subsequent fall. Traders may try to buy back some of the decline (liquidity gathering) before further testing support with a view to breakout.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD is changing the trading plane. The path to 2300GOLD is changing the trading plane and is currently weaker than the market.
The price within the correction confirms the previously broken support (now resistance)
And bumps into the strong zone of 2359. The price is heading to 2332 on the background of the dollar growth.
The fall may continue after the news, which may also indicate support for the dollar.
The potential medium-term target is 2305.
FUBO "B" wave bottoming? First upside target 4.85USD?This is a followup idea on my previous one where we "idezied" the bottoming process, which so far has been manifested. So far I see it as a huge (A)(B)(C) forming to the upside, hence the choppiness, which overall LIKELY will stay as 3 wave structure hitting a several year upside target of between 22 - 84 USD, too soon to projectile anything more proper target. Can it be something even more bullish? Yes, but it has to proove a lot in the upcoming years. In that case it is LIKELY to be a huge overall diagonal.
What I lean towards is that we are in the huge white (A) wave, unfinished still, within that we likely to have a big ABC structure, in which the "A" wave likely completed, and we are in the "B" wave down. I have already removed the 0.382 and 0.5 fib retracement levels, generally we are reaching/has reached a very good risk/reward ratio already for the long term.
As this could be the b wave down, it is quiet tricky, morphing, wavecount changing and evolving, and likely to have more choppiness. Even it COULD undershoot as still be valid, hence I have carefully, but constantly scaling back-in for long
Next support levels to watch: 1.65-1.50
After that: 1.30-1.20 (less likely, but CAN happen)
After that: 1.16-1.05 (even less likely, but CAN happen)
Currently we are below all meaningfull moving averages (9/21/50/180&200 day MA's), but within support.
I have added a "bearish" route/count as well, for the very long term I am still bullish even in that scenario, however likely to have 1 or 2 more swingdowns deeper to complete the yellow route big wave 5, and THEN (assuming no banktrupcy) would have at least a very strong correction to the upside.
XAU-USD - GOLD | 4H | SHORT | TECHNICAL CHARTHello traders; FXOPEN:XAUUSD
I have determined the formation target on the chart. I wish everyone success.
Like and comment if you find value in our analysis.
Feel free to post your ideas and questions at the comments section.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Good luck
BNB/USDT 1HInterval Chart ReviewHello everyone, let's take a look at the BNB to USDT chart considering the one hour time frame. As we can see, the price is approaching the point of exiting the triangle, after the current recovery.
Let's start by determining the support line, as we can see, the price is based on a significant support at the level of $672, in case of breaking the support, the next support is $656, and then a very strong support at the level of $632.
Looking the other way, you can see the resistance at the price of $682, then there is a point at the price of $696, the third resistance is significant and has doubled the price increase at the level of $720, further resistance can be identified at the price of $736.
When we look at the RSi indicator, we will see that the energy is approaching the lower limit. We have a similar situation on the STOCH indicator, but here we are bouncing off the bottom of the mark, which slows down the decline.