BTC/USDT 1HInterval Chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1H BTC to USDT chart, as we can see the price is moving in an upward trend channel, defined by white lines.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future that we can include:
T1 = $67,339
T2 = $68,015
T3 = $68,493
AND
T4 = $69,168
Now let's move on to the stop loss in case of further market declines:
SL1 = $66,722
SL2 = $66,186
SL3 = $65,836
SL4 = $65,370
AND
SL4 = $65,370
Looking at the RSI indicator, we can see a movement towards the middle of the range, which still leaves room for a price increase, and when we look at the STOCH indicator, we can also see room for an upward movement.
Fibonacci Retracement
3 Best Fibonacci Tools For Forex Trading
Hey traders,
In this article, we will discuss 3 classic Fibonacci tools you must know for trading different financial markets.
1️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement
Fib.Retracement is my favorite fib.tool. It is aimed to identify strong horizontal support and resistance levels within the impulse leg .
We draw this tool based on the high and low of the impulse (from wick to wick) and it shows us POTENTIALLY strong structure levels determined by Fibonacci numbers .
Common Fib.Retracement levels are: 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786 .
Once one of the levels is reached, wait for a confirmation before you open a trading positions.
Above is the example of an application of a fibonacci retracement tool based on a bearish impulse leg on EURUSD.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Extension
Fib.Extension indicates strong horizontal support and resistance levels beyond the impulse . Similar to Fib.Retracement tool, Fib.Extension is drawn relying on impulse's high and low (from wick to wick) and it shows POTENTIALLY strong structure levels where the consequent impulses may complete based on Fibonacci number.
Common Fib.Extension levels are: 1.272, 1.414, 1.618 .
Once one of the levels is reached, wait for a confirmation before you open a trading positions.
Above is the example of fibonacci extension tool based on USDJPY based on a bullish impulse leg.
3️⃣ Fibonacci Channel
Fib.Channel shows strong vertical supports and resistances (trend lines) within the channel . The tool is drawn based on the trend line of a valid parallel channel (based on wicks) and it shows POTENTIALLY strong trend lines from where the market may retrace .
The trend lines within Fib.Channel rest on 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786 Fib.Levels .
Once one of the levels is reached, wait for a confirmation before you open a trading positions.
Above is the example of a fibonacci channel on USDCHF.
Remember that Fibonacci's are simply tools in a toolbox. In order to use them properly, you need to build a trading system around them, test it and confirm its efficiency.
Bitcoin - Life time opportunity, buy now, new ATH soon!Bitcoin is forming this bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, and we have a lifetime opportunity to buy Bitcoin at the bottom of the flag. What's more, we have a long-term trendline starting in October 2023, which is another reason to buy Bitcoin in confluence with multiple technical indicators. A lot of people are calling for Bitcoin winter, but I don't think so. I see the recent price action as a great buying opportunity on the other side.
It is always important to do an Elliott Wave technical analysis to see the full picture. From my point of view, Bitcoin has formed and completed the WXYXZ triple-three corrective pattern inside this bullish flag. What you want to do as a trader is trade a breakout above the flag or buy at the bottom of the flag, potentially trading a breakout of the last Z wave.
Another reason why I think Bitcoin is bottoming out is the chart of Ethereum. This is probably one of the best indicators for Bitcoin, so we cannot miss doing analysis on it. You can check out my analysis of ETH in one of my previous posts, but I can tell you now that the crash was pretty strong (more than 30%) and we are in a bull market, so we definitely want to buy the DIP and prepare for another huge wave to the upside.
Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Bitcoin - new ATH soon. Best time to buy nowBitcoin looks very strong at this moment. We can see that the price is breaking out of the descending parallel channel on the daily chart. The price is above the channel and has already retested the downward-sloping trendline. We should see a strong pump from the current price.
Why is bitcoin pumping? From a technical perspective, it's pretty easy to say. Take a look at the previous price action. We have a false breakout below the key levels; it was a bear trap created by market makers to get as much liquidity as possible for their huge orders, as they cannot simply do so whenever they want.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, there is nothing bearish at this moment. I see that the corrective pattern WXYXZ has been completed, and we are starting a brand new impulse wave to the upside. The next target is around 71k because we have his important red trendline, so make sure you are aware of it.
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
GOLD → Consolidation above 2380 will cause a rise to 2400FX:XAUUSD is consolidating above the important for the market level of 2378. Bulls are trying to keep the defense above this zone in order to continue growth on the background of weak dollar.
Gold is recovering after leaving the correction channel. The price is once again near its highs (ATH), within the current move the price could quite possibly renew it if the fundamental background does not change next week.
At the moment, the main objective of the bulls is to consolidate above 2378-2385 in order to go higher: to 2400 and then to 2430-2450.
Support levels: 2378, 2371
Resistance levels: 2400, 2418
Within the current trend we may see a continuation of the trend. There is no strong news on Friday, so the movements may be calm. I am waiting for the resumption of growth from 2378, or from the channel support.
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Why did it drop to 60K? When do we expect 75K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT has been showing bullish prospects all week and has been consolidating above key zones, preparing to go higher, but on Friday the market changed to bearish and there is a reason for that.
BTC lost 3.3% on Friday and is currently painting a bearish picture. There are two reasons for this:
Inflation related news, basically proving that inflation is still high at 3.3-3.5%
Expiration of contracts for 1.15 billion. Put / Call ratio amounted to 0.64. Maximum pain point at the 62000 level. Liquidation of huge volume and consequently bearish momentum.
Technically, everyone is interested in one important question - when will the correction end?
Bitcoin continues to consolidate and collect liquidity at the expense of buyers. The market can test the key zones: 59300, 56500 and even there is a probability of testing 52900. But, the growth needs reasons and traders are still in the waiting phase.
The confirmation of the end of the correction, at the moment, will be the breakthrough of 64500-67500 and price consolidation above these zones. In this case, the global sentiment will change to a strong bullish one
Resistance levels: 61500, 64500, 67250
Support levels: 59300, 56500
Consolidation continues and at the moment the price is heading towards support. A false breakdown of one of these areas is possible before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
Alikze → LINA | Pullback is broken into the swingtime D1 and W1, after supporting in the green box area and breaking the swing and pullback, it is now ready to continue growing and has the ability to move to the specified areas. The most important resistance in the weekly time is the range of 0.012210, the breaking of which and its high stabilization will continue the upward trend until the area of the weekly supply zone.
🟩Sup:0.009155
⛳️Tp 1:0.012210
⛳️ Tp2 :0.012980 - 0.013730
⛳️ Tp3 :0.027460 - 0.030520
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GME: Continues To Hold the Bullish 0.886 Position and 200-SMAThis is a little bit of an update and reminder that GME is still holding above the 0.886 retrace and the 200-month Simple Moving Average with Hidden Bullish Divergence within a Falling Wedge. We've held this level for months and it still appears that it can Bullishly Breakout of the wedge at any time, which should lead to some extreme upside between $60, all the way up to 134.77. But given how long it's been I'd say on a shorter term timeframe basis, just to be safe, $25 would be the first profit taking target.
It is also worth noting that on the monthly GME confirmed a Bullish Morning Star after the test of the 200-Month Moving Average.
📈 Bitcoin Analysis: Market Decision-Making Point 🧐🔍Bitcoin is at a critical juncture that could signify either the start of a new upward trend or a rejection at resistance levels. As the most popular coin in the market, Bitcoin needs no introduction. Even a single day of activity in the market would make one familiar with Bitcoin and its significance.
🧩Let's dive into the analysis and explore the potential scenarios. We will analyze the 4-hour time frame, focusing on futures trading.
📚Bitcoin is currently within a large range box between $73,300 and $60,976. Recently, there was a false breakout below this range, but buyers regained control, pushing the price back into the box. This indicates strong buying pressure, as sellers failed to maintain lower prices despite initial bearish momentum. Recently, buyers broke through the $64,637 resistance and are now facing a stronger resistance at $66,828.
🎲Despite approaching this resistance, the market shows signs of trend weakness, as indicated by the red candles and decreasing bullish momentum. After reaching the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, coinciding with a pullback to $64,637, the price rebounded, yet the green candles lack the volume to sustain a strong bullish trend.
🔫Rejection from $66,828: If the price gets rejected at this level, we could see another pullback to the 0.382 retracement level and potentially a deeper correction to the 0.618 level, a significant Fibonacci retracement level that has previously acted as support.
Curved Ascending Trendline: Although an ascending trendline is present, it’s less reliable due to its formation within a range and having only two touches. Nonetheless, it will be monitored for reactions.
🪄With the current momentum favoring buyers, a breakout above $66,828 would be an entry signal for long positions, aiming for a target of $73,305. However, since we are in a low wave cycle (LWC) with a ranging high wave cycle (HWC), quick profit-taking is advisable. The best-case scenario would be to risk-free positions at a 2:1 or 3:1 risk-reward ratio, hoping the HWC also turns bullish.The primary long trigger is at $73,305. Breaking this level could introduce new bullish momentum and potentially mark the start of a bull run.
📉 If the SMA25 reaches the candles and the price continues to range, a break below $64,637 could be an opportunity for a high-risk short position with quick profit-taking.
The significant short trigger is at $60,976, breaking which could start a new bearish trend, delaying the bull run by several months.
📊Always monitor volume as no trend can sustain with volume divergence. The best and most extended trends are those with increasing volume during trend phases and decreasing volume during corrections.
📝Bitcoin is currently at a crucial decision point. The market's next move will likely define the short-term trend, either confirming bullish momentum with a breakout or indicating a potential reversal. Proper risk management and attention to volume trends are crucial for successful trading. I hope this analysis provides valuable insights for your trading decisions.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
AUD-USD | 4H | TECHNICAL CHARTHello traders, FX:AUDUSD I have determined the formation target on the chart. I wish everyone success.
Like and comment if you find value in our analysis.
Feel free to post your ideas and questions at the comments section.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Good luck
XLMUSD: Sitting Just Below The All-Time 0.886 RetraceXLM is trading just below the all-time Linear-Scale 0.886 Fibonacci Retrace after Bullishly breaking out of a Falling Wedge in what seems to be a part of a much bigger Cup with Handle pattern that can be seen in the Log Scale chart. If the Full Logarithmic Target is reached we will see XLM make a move towards $23.35 in the near future which aligns with both the measured move of the Cup with Handle and the 1.618-1.902 Fibonacci Extension Zone.
LCID's vwap bounced after pullback LONGLCID trended up 40% from late June and then over 2-3 days completed a standard
Fib 0.5 retracement before bouncing off a longterm anchored mean VWAP and
reversing. The reversal is supported by the two time frame RSI indicator showing
the lower TF RSI crossing above the higher TF RSI and both of them approaching
the 50 level. The zero lag MACD shows the lines crossed under the histogram and
are now approaching the horizontal zero line. The relative rigor indicator shows
a line cross while the values were negative and now approach to the horizontal
zero line in parallel. Overall I conclude that LCID is set up for a long entry.
AUDCAD | Short H4 | Market Exec | Similar to NZDCADTechnical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 timeframe
- Price action is at a Supply Zone and has another Consolidation Zone nearby it
- Price action is at the top of a channel resistance
- Targeting the 50% Fibo retracement
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Same setup as the NZDCAD trade I just posted as well
- AUD has a RBA event risk if this trade is taken
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 0.9030 - 0.9060
SL @ 0.9093
TP 1 @ 0.8983 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 0.8921
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.14 (Depending on Entry Level)
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Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
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Alikze → ETC | Completing wave B correctiveIn time D1, with an ascent in the form of three waves, it is out of density with several spike candles. According to the type of behavior and structure, if the current correction moves in the form of three waves, two scenarios can be considered for it.
The first scenario: the upward corrective movement will continue to the $28 area and then to the $25 area as a higher correction and will not touch the previous floor, which, if supported, will have the ability to grow to the specified area of the supply zone.
Second scenario: the correction to $28 continues and then the C wave correction should break the $25 area and at least the bottom of the spike candle will continue.
🟩Sup:25$
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GBPJPY Strong Reversal & GBPUSD UpdateThe Japanese Yen(D) is going through the B to C leg of its correction, which we saw in the yen pairs in the last 24 hours. The GBP/JPY is our pick for a long trade because it has a more technical-bullish outlook than most other yen pairs.
More info in the video.
GBP/USD
The cable broke higher yesterday above 1.2634 , the limit for any downtrend continuation. The violation of this point invalidated the expected downtrend continuation trade.
We must wait for the price to conclude the current rally before we can act on a new position in the cable.
52,838 and 06 cents: BTC most likely Retrace Target almost hereUpdate to my ongoing analysis of this bull run.
Correction proceeding exactly per plans.
We are nearing some key levels to watch.
The bottom should be pretty close to here.
$ 56,265 - 56,799 is the minimum expected.
$ 52,838 - 53,659 is best Guess and Ideal target.
$ 48,090 - 48,750 is the Overshoot (backboard).
.
Previous plots and logic that lead us here (click the links):
- 73k Top Call no one expected
- Retrace Roadmap of Support zones
- 52.8k imagined but not believed
- Impulse Redux confirms the targets
BNB 4HInterval Chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 4H BNB to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a sideways trend channel, staying below the local downtrend line.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future that we can include:
T1 = USD 579.2 at which the price struggles
T2 = $605.9
T3 = $623.6
AND
T4 = $648.3
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case of further market declines:
SL1 = $570.1
SL2 = $539.4
SL3 = $518.2
AND
SL4 = $491.50
Bitcoin - Ultimate bottom will be here, but now 13% crash!The price action of Bitcoin is relatively boring on the higher time frames, why is that? The answer to this question may be that summer is almost here, and statistically, Bitcoin has been going sideways pretty much every summer. Usually, the fun begins in August/September, when the volatility comes into the market.
What can we expect from Bitcoin in the following weeks? I am expecting a 13% crash because we need to hit the major red trendline on the daily chart. This trendline should hold the price of Bitcoin to the end of the bull market, so you want to buy every touch of it! We also have a 200-daily moving average that is currently pretty much at the same price as the mentioned trendline. The 200-MA is considered a strong dynamic support or resistance from huge institutions and hedge funds, so you definitely want to keep an eye on it.
The price of Bitcoin is inside the bullish flag pattern, as you can see on the chart. This is a pretty strong confluence with the trendline to buy cheaper Bitcoin. Right now, I am bearish and expecting lower prices in the next few days and weeks. The bulls still need to show more strength before I can turn bullish. The best option seems to be to be patient and buy at the touch of the major red trendline! You can also place a high-leverage trade here if you trade futures.
Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
EUR/USD Update: Short Position Addition OpportunityDescription:
Looking to add to my short position on EUR/USD at 1.0772 with a take profit target set at 1.0664. This trade aligns with my bearish outlook on the pair, with the TP level strategically placed just below the monthly open. Stop loss set at 1.0801.
Trade Details:
Entry: Short at 1.0772
Take Profit: 1.0664
Stop Loss: 1.0801
Analysis:
The EUR/USD pair has been exhibiting weakness in recent sessions, with bearish momentum potentially continuing. Fundamental factors such as economic data releases and geopolitical tensions are contributing to the downside pressure on the Euro. Additionally, technical analysis suggests that the pair is facing resistance at key levels, further supporting the bearish bias.
Moreover, I anticipate the European Central Bank (ECB) to cut interest rates in their June meeting to stimulate the Eurozone economy, while the United States Federal Reserve might adopt a more hawkish stance later in the year, possibly considering interest rate hikes in response to strong economic indicators and inflationary pressures.
GOLD → How can the price react to the NEWS on inflation?FX:XAUUSD earlier returned to the range after a false breakdown of resistance. The market is now fading as it is in the waiting phase for Powell's speech as well as the rest of the inflation news.
Traders are waiting for PPI ( ECONOMICS:USPPIMM ) today as well as tomorrow's CPI ( ECONOMICS:USIRYY ) . Earlier, the market discussed the interest rate cut as well as inflation, which continues to remain at a rather high level, which does not please the Fed. Traders are expecting inflation to drop from 3.5 to 3.4. This is possible, but it is still very high relative to what Powell, who will also speak today, is expecting.
Gold may react strongly to the news as economic factors are unpredictable. It will be necessary to follow the actual data and not to trade before the news.
Resistance levels: 2352, 2363, 2378
Support levels: 2328, 2306, 2295
Fundamentally it is still very bad, inflation is high, rate cuts are not expected, in general this scenario lays further strengthening of the dollar. In such a case, gold may continue to correct to the lows.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Retest of downtrend resistance amid weak $FX:EURUSD is heading towards trend resistance with interest. This is also supported by the weak dollar, which is standing still. But, the currency pair is still in a bearish trend
Buyers are trying to strengthen the euro. On D1 a consolidation format of movement is formed. In this case, the pair may test the trend resistance, but it will be difficult to break it the first time, because the dollar will continue to rise in price for some time due to the actions of regulators, which will affect the euro.
Resistance levels: 1.0802, 1.0864
Support levels: 1.0736, 1.0703
At the moment there is a probability of a retest of the resistance area, but the bears can give strong resistance to the buyers' interests, which in general can be reflected as a pullback from the upper boundary of the trend.
Regards R. Linda!