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Fibonacci Retracement

ETC/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D chart etc to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves in a slight side trend in which you can see the output sideways from the downward trend line. However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face: T1 = 22.25 $ T2 = = $ 25.63 Т3 = 28.48 $ T4 = 31.06 $ Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = 19.04 $ However, you can still see a strong support zone that strongly maintains the price from a larger decline zone from $ 17.11 to $ 15.82. Looking at the RSI indicator, you can see a return to the center of the range despite slight price movements on the chart, however, there is still room for a potential new growth movement.
by cryptodailyuk
1
Bitcoin Butterfly Harmonic Pattern – Multi-Fibonacci Confluence!A potential Bullish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern is developing, with point D yet to be completed. If price action reaches the harmonic completion zone, it could present a high-probability long opportunity near a stacked Fibonacci confluence zone. The D-leg aligns beautifully with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the entire 5-wave Elliott structure from the macro low at $15,476 to the all-time high of $109,588. A level that has acted as key support in the past. Multiple additional Fibonacci confirmations further strengthen this potential bullish reversal zone. Pattern Breakdown – Bullish Butterfly Formation The Butterfly Harmonic Pattern is a structured reversal setup, often forming at market extremes before trend shifts. 1️⃣ XA Leg – The initial impulse. 2️⃣ AB Leg – A retracement of 0.786 – 0.886 Fibonacci of XA. 3️⃣ BC Leg – A counter-trend move retracing 0.382 – 0.886 of AB. 4️⃣ CD Leg – The final move, typically extending 1.618 – 2.618 Fibonacci of XA. 📍 In this developing setup: ✅ B-point retraces 0.806 of XA → Butterfly pattern remains valid. ✅ C-point retraces 0.838 of AB → Strengthening structural alignment. ✅ D-leg projection target 1.695 XA extension, converging with multiple key Fibonacci levels. Fibonacci Confluence – Strong Potential Reversal Zone ($73,783.52 - $73,157) As price moves toward potential point D, multiple Fibonacci levels create a high-probability reversal area: 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the entire 5-wave Elliott structure ($73,637.22) Negative -0.236 Fibonacci retracement at $73,251.43 Negative -0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $73,157 Trend-based Fibonacci Extension 1:1 at $73,783.52 📍 Potential Reversal Zone: Between $73,783.52 and $73,157 Trade Setup – Waiting for Confirmation Since point D has not completed yet, we should wait for bullish confirmation signals in the reversal zone before entering. Entry Zone (if price reaches D): Between $73,783.52 and $73,157 Stop Loss: Below $73,157 (D-point invalidation) Take Profit: B-point resistance Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 3:1 if TP at B-point ⚠️ Key Reminder: 🚨 The pattern is not confirmed yet. A reaction in the potential reversal zone (e.g., bullish divergences, strong buying pressure, or reversal candlesticks) would strengthen the case for a long position. Are you watching this level for a potential reaction? Will point D complete? Let’s discuss in the comments! 🚀🔥
Short
by SiDec
2
Bitcoin: Mastering the Art of Resistance and SupportBitcoin recently broke below a 105‐day trading range, anchored by the critical 90K level. After the breakdown, it found support around 80K, prompting a sharp rebound back toward the previous range. This rebound, however, was short‐lived: BTC tested 95K, then quickly retraced, only to rally again toward 90K, where it trades at present. Overview of BTC’s 105‐Day Range Break and Retest: Yearly Open at $93,576: This is the single most important level to watch. Price currently sits below the yearly open, suggesting that, for now, bears hold the upper hand. If bulls cannot reclaim this threshold, the yearly candle remains vulnerable to turning red. 90K–95K Resistance Zone: With Bitcoin failing to sustain gains above 95K, this band becomes a natural focal point for potential short entries. Bears are expected to defend this region aggressively. The question: Where do we go next? Let’s break down both the resistance (short setup) and an upcoming support zone (long setup), incorporating a variety of confluences—from volume profiles and trend lines to Fibonacci retracements and pitchfork alignments. 1. Resistance Analysis & Short Thesis 1.1. Double Top Target at $72,800 A double top pattern has formed, suggesting a measured‐move target near $72,800. While not a guaranteed endpoint, this target serves as an early directional clue. Price could still find support at higher levels, so we use this only as one piece of a larger puzzle. Double Top Pattern with $72,800 Target: 1.2. The 105‐Day Trading Range & Retest Bitcoin spent over 100 days ranging between roughly 90K and 105K. The downside break turned that prior range into a new resistance zone—specifically 90K–95K, with an even stronger cluster up to $96,418 (Point of Control from that range). Fixed Range Volume Profile: The POC (Point of Control) from this 105‐day period lies at $96,418.05, further extending our resistance zone. Price retesting anywhere between 90K and the POC around 96K sets up potential short entries. Fixed Range Volume Profile Showing POC at $96,418.05: Stop Loss Guidance: Given the possibility of wicks or “stop hunts,” a safer invalidation point sits above 98K. That buffer allows the trade room to breathe without prematurely stopping out on minor spikes. 1.3. Daily & Weekly Moving Averages In addition to the above factors, both the daily 21 EMA/SMA and the weekly 21 EMA/SMA are converging in the 90-92K region, acting as additional resistance. 1.4. Bearish Trend Line & Pitchfork Alignment Bearish Trend Line: Connecting the all‐time high at $109,588 and the swing high at $106,457.44 yields a downward sloping line. This trend line has already acted as resistance near 100K on February 21. Pitchfork (Modified Schiff): Anchoring from the all‐time high (109,588) to the swing low (97,777.77) and back up to 106,457.44 confirms the same bearish trajectory, aligning neatly with the trend line around 95K. Bearish Trend Line & Pitchfork Convergence Around 95K: 1.5. Monthly Order Block & Fibonacci Confluence Monthly Order Block: Spanning from the yearly open (93,576) up to the POC (~96,418), this monthly order block forms a substantial supply zone. Price often gravitates toward the median line of an order block, which sits near 94–95K. Fibonacci Retracement (0.786): From the swing high at 99,475 (Feb 21) down to the low at 78,258.52, the 0.786 retracement is at 94,934.67—almost exactly the median line of the monthly order block. Monthly Order Block, Median Line, and 0.786 Fib at ~94,934.67: When price rallies swiftly to the 0.786 for the first time, it often presents an ideal short entry—especially under a confluence of bearish signals: 2. Short Trade Setup: Laddering In & Out 2.1. Scaling In (Entries) We allocate $25,000 (from a $100,000 account) and ladder our entries from 89,736 up to 96,206: Short Trade Laddered Entries: Stop Loss: $97,560 (slightly below the higher “breathing room” area of 98K). Max Risk: Approximately $1,028.16 (about 4.11% of the GETTEX:25K position, or 1.03% of the $100k account). 2.2. Scaling Out (Exits) We plan to take profits in increments as price drops, aiming for an average exit around $79,822.10: Potential Profit: Approximately $3,704.16 on a $25,000 position, which is +14.82% (or +3.70% of the $100k account). Risk‐to‐Reward Ratio: 3.60, an attractive R:R for a swing trade. 3. Support Analysis & Long Thesis Having addressed the downside retest and short scenario, let’s turn to potential support where Bitcoin might reverse for a long trade. 3.1. Double Top Target & 5‐Wave Structure The double top projected target near $72,800 aligns with a broader Elliott Wave possibility, where BTC may have completed a 5‐wave structure from the low at $15,476 to the all‐time high at $109,588. A typical Fibonacci retracement of this 5‐wave move suggests the 0.382 level at $73,637.22, which sits near a notable swing high of $73,777—coincidence? 5‐Wave Structure & 0.382 Fib Retracement at ~$73,637: 3.2. Monthly Bullish Order Block & Further Fib Confluence Monthly Bullish Order Block: Located around $71,280, historically a place where buyers have stepped in. Fib Retracement (49K to 109K): The 0.618 retracement lands at $72,144.62, adding further confluence around the 72–73K zone. Taken together, we begin to see a support band forming between $73,777 and $71,280. Monthly Bullish Order Block & 0.618 Fib ~$72,144.62: 3.3. Fib Speed Fan & Bullish Trend Line Fib Speed Fan (0.7): On higher timeframes, the 0.7 fan lines up with the same 71–73K region if BTC dips this month. Bullish Trend Line: Connecting the lows at 49K and 52,550 also aligns with this zone, reinforcing the idea that a cluster of support awaits if price slides that far. Bullish Trend Line & Fib Speed Fan ~$71–73K: 3.4. Potential Long Trade Setup Entry Range: Ladder in from 76K down to 71K (or adjust according to personal risk appetite within that 73–71K zone). Stop Loss: Below 70K, providing sufficient buffer. Target: At least the monthly open ($84,350), or higher if momentum supports a stronger bounce. Risk‐to‐Reward (R:R): Aim for 2:1 or better, depending on exact entries and the final target. 4. Summary Short Trade: Resistance Zone: 90K–95K, extending up to $96,418 (POC) and with the daily/weekly 21 EMA/SMA acting as additional resistance in the 90-92K region, plus a stop‐hunt buffer above 98K. Laddered Entry: GETTEX:25K allocated, averaging around $93,706, with a stop near $97,560. Scaling Out: Average exit near $79,822, netting a +14.82% gain on the position (+3.70% on account). R:R: 3.60—solid for a swing setup. Long Trade: Support Zone: Between $73,777 and $71,280, with multiple Fibonacci and structural confluences. Laddered Entry: Potential DCA from around 76K down to 71K, with a stop under 70K. Target: At least $84,350 (monthly open), likely offering a 2:1 or better risk‐to‐reward. Sharp moves up or down have been the norm lately, often gravitating to the 0.786 fib retracement on each leg, so remain vigilant for sudden volatility. Ultimately, flexibility is key. If Bitcoin reclaims the yearly open at $93,576 and pushes decisively above 95–98K, the bearish case weakens. Conversely, a significant drop below 80K brings the deeper support zone near 73–71K into sharper focus. Always be prepared for shifts in market conditions—confirm each setup with multiple indicators and chart patterns before entering any trade. Stay up to date with evolving market dynamics and adjust your strategy accordingly. Happy trading! P.S. If you have any coin requests, feel free to share them in the comments. I will be selecting one or two for the next technical analysis.
Short
by SiDec
8
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of NFP. What can happen?FX:XAUUSD is heading for resistance after a false breakdown of 2895. The market continues to test 2926 with the aim to break this zone. There is news ahead and the risks of increased volatility are growing. Markets remain jittery over Trump's tariff plans, which supported gold demand. Trade tensions and mixed U.S. jobs data are adding to inflation risks, which could weaken the dollar. All eyes are on the NFP report. Based on the analysis of the last few reports, a rough conclusion is that on average in the first 15 minutes, weak data led gold to rise 60 points and strong data led gold to fall 50 points However, other factors such as inflation and data revisions may dampen the market reaction. The final effect depends on investors' assessment of the Fed's future policy. Resistance levels: 2926, 2942 Support levels: 2912.5, 2909.5, 2895 Before the news, the price may test 2926 with a false breakout (MM trap for liquidity) and roll back to the nearest support. But further prospects depend on the news. Gold is in consolidation 2926 - 2895. On the background of possible weak data gold may overcome 2926 and accelerate to ATH. Strong data may provoke profit taking and correction to 2895 - 2875 Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
AUDUSD → Retest of the imbalance zone before growth FX:AUDUSD on the back of strong dollar decline has all chances for further growth, but today, Friday, the risks are quite high, as NFP is ahead... The currency pair is forming a local uptrend, in tandem with the falling dollar the Aussie may continue its strengthening course. On the 4H a local correction to the imbalance zone is forming, where a rather strong support line 0.63 is just passing. The price is forming a false breakout and after capturing liquidity is trying to consolidate higher. If the bulls can keep the defense above 0.63 - 0.633, the price will be able to continue the growth phase in the short and medium term. Support levels: 0.63, 0.6255 Resistance levels: 0.633, 0.6363 Consolidation above 0.63, subsequent rise and consolidation above 0.633 is an ideal scenario that could confirm the bulls' intentions to go higher. But, NFP and other news are ahead. Risks are rising and we should expect high volatility in the markets Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
BTC/USD 1D Chart ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. When we enter the one-day interval, we can see how the BTC price is moving in the formed downtrend channel in which we are again approaching its upper limit. Here you can see how the current rebound has approached the resistance zone from $ 92,851 to $ 95,975, which the price cannot break through, only when we exit it upwards will the path open towards resistance at $ 99,903. Looking the other way, we can see that in the first place we have a significant support zone from $ 93,477 to $ 79,907, which currently manages to keep the price from larger declines. However, when the zone is broken, we can see the price going down to the level of $ 75,354. On the MACD indicator we can observe a fight to return to the upward trend in which we have a lot of room for price increases, while on the RSI indicator we are approaching the middle of the range which still gives room for growth, however, at this level we could previously see a reaction, which is something to watch out for.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
1
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of Friday's NFP. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD stops and forms consolidation within the range 2926 - 2894.9. A false break of support may bring the market back to its senses amid the bearish dollar rally A weaker dollar and expectations of Fed policy easing are supporting demand for the metal despite a pause in Trump's tariff measures. Traders are waiting for key NFP data that could determine the future trajectory of the dollar and Fed policy. For today, all eyes are on Initial Jobless Claims. Technically, gold within the 2926 - 2894 range is looking to test the liquidity zone on the support side as there is an unfilled fvg below 2894.9. Against the backdrop of gold's bullish trend and falling dollar, the chances of a rebound are quite high Resistance levels: 2926, 2942 Support levels: 2894.9, 2878.7 Price may test the daily low or fvg, form a false breakdown of one of the mentioned support zones and continue to rise after capturing liquidity within the global uptrend Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
USDJPY → Readiness to break the daily support levelFX:USDJPY is testing strong key support at 148.64 for a breakdown. A falling dollar could affect further movement The falling dollar is supporting the Japanese Yen, thus we may see the currency pair falling. The price is trying to break the support of the daily level. A pre-breakdown consolidation of 150.3 - 148.64 is formed relative to this support. The last retest of the level ended with a small false breakdown, indicating that there is no one to defend the support anymore, there was no reaction except for another local consolidation, the purpose of which is to accumulate the potential to break the support. Resistance levels: 150.3, 150.95 Support levels: 148.64, 147.17 The focus is on the level of 148.64 concerning which the market is struggling. The bulls have little chance to hold this level, as the dollar's fall exerts quite a lot of pressure. The breakdown and fixing of the price below 148.64 may provoke a fall to 147 - 144. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
Will SOL start growing now that Trump has announced the reserve?Hi everyone, let's look at the 1D SOL to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in an ascending channel where it is currently struggling to stay in the lower part of the channel. Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face: T1 = 172.96 USD T2 = 202.57 USD Т3 = 223.84 USD Т4 = 250.58 USD Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall: SL1 = 139.90 USD SL2 = 114.89 USD SL3 = 94.76 USD SL4 = 74.35 USD It is worth looking at the MACD indicator where we can see how low we have gone much lower than during the previous declines, which could potentially indicate that the price will try to go up if the ongoing bullish trend is maintained.
COINBASE:SOLUSDLong
by cryptodailyuk
GOLD → Consolidation v. 2921. Ready for a breakthroughFX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen on the background of growing economic risks and also on the background of aggressive fall of dollar. The metal is at resistance at 2921 and is preparing to go even higher.... The dollar breaks the bullish structure on the background of comments of the U.S. Ministry of Finance on the reduction of rates. The verbal intervention as manipulation is affecting the markets quite aggressively. Further decline in gold is unlikely due to trade war risks and expectations of soft Fed policy.Additional impetus to gold may be given by weak ADP employment data and PMI data Gold has two important liquidity zones. 2913 and 2903, the closest area has already been tested (liquidity zone reached) and now all eyes are on 2920.7. If it holds, gold will return to 2913-2903 support, if resistance is broken, momentum will be formed. Resistance levels: 2920.66, 2942, 2954 Support levels: 2913, 2903, (0.5) fibo) Gold is testing 2913.34 at the moment, a rebound is forming due to the liquidity collected. In the short term, the focus is on 2920.7. Breaking the level and fixing the price above the trigger will most likely provoke the continuation of growth to 2942-2954 Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
CAKEUSDT → False breakout of resistance. Return to the trendBINANCE:CAKEUSDT is forming a false breakdown of key resistance as part of a bullish rally. Further altcoin decline may be influenced by bitcoin's decline, the flagship looks rather weak Technically, the move in Cake looks like a counter-trend maneuver to gather liquidity before a further, possible fall. The altcoin market is weak and most coins continue to look for a bottom, while bitcoin is consolidating but with a hint of a decline to 91-90K. CAKEUSDT is focusing on 2.6144 - 2.7288. If the bears keep the price below these zones, the coin could head down in the short to medium term Resistance levels: 2.6144, 2.7288, 2.2964 Support levels: 2.420, 2.0634 Statistically, a false breakdown provokes the strongest movements, often even trend changes. In this case, it is a counter-trend movement and if the price reverses locally, the coin will be under the pressure of the trend again. A price fixing below 2.6144 may strengthen the fall to 2.42, 2.06, 1.04. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
11
GBPUSD → Correction before bullish trend continuationFX:GBPUSD has been rising for the last month and a half as the market sentiment and the behavior of the dollar, which is gradually updating lows. The tariff war by trump is just in full swing. The dollar continues its correction on the back of US politics as well as inflation data. GBPUSD at this time is trading in the bullish zone, above the support at 1.262 - 1.2576. Thus, within the framework of the correction, which has been observed since the opening of the European session, the price may test the liquidity area before further growth. Resistance levels: 1.2718, 1.2678 Support levels: 1.262, 1.2576 The local trend is bullish and the price is forming a local correction. In this case, it is worth looking for strong support zones with the purpose of rebound and continuation of growth. Targets in this case are intermediate highs: 1.2718, 1.2811 Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
AARTI INDUSTRIES : Potential Bounce From Long Term Support!!🚀 Aarti Industries: Potential Bounce from Long-Term Support! 🚀 📍 CMP: ₹466 📉 Stop Loss: ₹385 🎯 Target: ₹530 | ₹660 🔹 Key Insights: ✅ Fibonacci Support at 61.8% on the long-term chart. ✅ Sector Strength: Specialty chemicals & CDMO sector showing positive momentum. ✅ Strategy: Staggered entry to manage risk in a volatile market. ✅ Long-Term Swing Trade: Positioning for monthly gains. ⚠️ Risk Management: Stop loss is big—strict discipline is key! 📉 Disclaimer: As a non-SEBI registered analyst, I recommend conducting thorough research or seeking advice from financial professionals before making investment decisions. #AartiIndustries #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrading #InvestmentOpportunities #FibonacciSupport #SpecialtyChemicals
NSE:AARTIINDLong
by satyam15
XRP Weekly-Monthly Analysis / Retracement Levels for BuyWeekly - Monthly trend: Bearish Chart Pattern: Head & Shoulders (H&S) - Continuation Pattern Retracement Fib Price Levels: 0.00% (3.4000) 23.60% (2.6879) 38.20% (2.2474) 50.00% (1.8914) 61.80% (1.5353) 78.60% (1.0284) 100.00% (0.3827) Good prices for buy: 61.80% (1.5353) – Golden Zone / Golden Pocket 78.60% (1.0284) – Entry Zone Between 78.60% (1.0284) and 100.00% (0.3827) is the Risk Zone, which we have the Neckline of the ‘’ Quadruple Bottom Pattern ‘’ at the price range ‘’ 0.6291 – 0.7850 ‘’
COINBASE:XRPUSDLong
by JohnA97
5