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Fibonacci Retracement

GOLD → It all depends on NFP and Powell....FX:XAUUSD got shaken by 600 pips on both sides. Technically, after such a move the price may go into consolidation, but the near-term outlook will depend on NFP and Powell. Gold hit a high of 3168 and went into correction. President Trump's imposed duties on imports from China (up to 54%) and other countries caused a sharp drop in the dollar and bond yields, reinforcing expectations of a Fed rate cut. Traders turned to profit-taking, which led to a correction. Now the market is waiting for the NFP report and Powell's speech. Weak data may return the upward momentum to gold, especially if the dovish rate expectations are confirmed. However, volatility may persist after the publication, given the impact of Friday's flows and Powell's speech Resistance levels: 3107, 3116, 3135 Support levels: 3086, 3067, 3055 Technically, it is difficult to determine a clear place from where to expect a move as there is news ahead (NFP, Powell's speech). But based on the falling dollar and high economic risks, we can bet on the continuation of the price growth from one of the mentioned support levels: 3086, 3067, 3055. Exit from the channel and consolidation of the price above 3110 - 3116 will again attract increased interest in buying Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
26
EURGBP → False break of liquidity zone (resistance)FX:EURGBP within the distribution (news background) tests resistance 0.84616 and liquidity zone, but without the possibility of continued growth the price forms a false breakout The dollar index falls amid Trump's introduction of new tariffs, which generally provokes a rally in the whole market. But before NFP, the market shifts to profit-taking because of the growing risks. There are quite important news ahead, which may provoke high volatility. Technically, after a strong move, the currency pair forms a false resistance breakout and consolidates in the selling zone. If the bears keep the price below 0.84616, in the short term we should wait for a correction to 0.5 fibo or to the fvg zone. Resistance levels: 0.84600 Support levels: 0.8427, 0.8396 The situation is quite complicated due to unstable background, but technically we have a classic situation with a false breakout of strong resistance, and as we know, according to statistics, the strongest movements start after it (in relation to the trade of level breakout). Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
BTC Mid-Term Outlook: Key Levels & Wave StructureAs long as March lows hold, there remains a technical possibility for one more wave up toward the 130K resistance zone. However, given the corrective three-wave structure of the recovery (rather than an impulsive five-wave move), I am now leaning toward the mid-term top being in place at January highs. If price remains below last week’s high, my operative scenario favors one more leg down to the 64K–55K–51K macro support zone. If the downside scenario unfolds, it would still be technically valid for the entire corrective wave (2) to complete within the support zone mentioned, especially considering the underlying fundamental strength of the asset. Should price break above last week’s high in the coming weeks, the odds shift in favor of a renewed uptrend, potentially reclaiming ATH and targeting 130K. The super-macro structure that I'm following as an operative wave count, assumes multi-decades bullish cycle, with the next long-term expansion phase expected once price establishes a firm bottom in the discussed support zone: Wishing you successful trading & investing decisions. Thank you for your attention! PS: The wave structure of BTC, proposed in March 2024 idea, has fulfilled itself:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by artemfedorov
1
ADA - Bearish Reversal Setup from Fair Value Gap🚀 ADAUSDT - 1H Chart Analysis 🚀 📊 Current Market Structure: ADA is moving within a rising channel 📈, approaching a key resistance zone where a Fair Value Gap (FVG) is present. This area aligns with a significant Fibonacci retracement zone, making it a strong potential reversal point. 📌 Technical Insights: 🔹 Price is trading inside a well-defined bullish channel. 🔹 Approaching a major supply zone with previous reaction points. 🔹 Bearish rejection is expected in this area, leading to a potential drop. 📉 Trade Expectation: A reaction from the FVG could lead to a downward move, as highlighted by the red arrows. If price confirms a rejection, a bearish shift in structure could occur, offering short opportunities. ⚠️ Risk Management Tip: Always wait for confirmation before acting on a setup. Managing risk effectively is key to long-term success! 📢 What do you think? Will ADA respect the FVG or push higher? Share your thoughts! 💬📉🚀
Short
by Louigi_24
21
GOLD → Correction. Liquidity is the target. News aheadFX:XAUUSD on the background of yesterday's news reaches the target of 3166 and enters the phase of deep correction on the background of profit-taking. The level of economic risks is still high Despite the pullback, the gold price retains much of its recent record high, thanks to rising risks of a global trade war and a US recession. Gold corrects from record $3,168 but remains strong amid trade and recession risks. The correction is due to the following nuances: Profit taking ahead of key US jobs data. Waiting for jobless claims and services PMI. But, Trump's new tariffs, a weaker dollar and lower bond yields are driving gold buying. Resistance levels: 3116, 3135 Support levels: 3107, 3097 Against the background of high economic risks, falling dollar index, gold still has chances to continue its growth. False breakdown of support may give such a chance. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
GOLD → Consolidation. News. False breakdown. Growth?FX:XAUUSD and TVC:DXY in consolidation ahead of important news and Trump's speech. Economic risks are rising and the future outlook depends on fundamental data... Trade tensions support gold demand. Trump may impose global tariffs of up to 20% which will increase risks to the economy. Investors are piling into gold in anticipation, pushing its price to a record $3,150 A key factor is the details of the tariffs. If tariffs are softer than expected, gold could fall to intermediate support zones. If the trade war escalates, the rise could continue beyond 3150 Economic risks are rising and gold may test 3107 - 3100 support before rising further. Technically, 3100 - 3107 is a zone of interest and liquidity. If bulls hold the support, gold will continue to rise. Otherwise, gold may form a correction towards 3075 - 3065 Resistance levels: 3126, 3135, 3147 Support levels: 3107, 3100, 3091 The price is correcting to consolidation support in the moment. A strong and sharp fall is fraught with the risk of a liquidity grab and a false breakdown. In this case, gold may strengthen to one of the key resistances. But the further and medium-term development of events depends on the evening news.... Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
21
FTM/USD 1D ChartHello everyone, let's look at the 1D FTM to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a descending triangle where we are approaching the moment of trying to choose the direction in which the price can go further. Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face: T1 = 0.66 USD T2 = 0.81 USD Т3 = 0.93 USD Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall: SL1 = 0.44 USD SL2 = 0.31 USD SL3 = 0.21 USD If we look at the MACD indicator we can see a return to a local downtrend, however we are still in a place where the trend can reverse and surprise us with growth.
CRYPTO:FTMUSD
by cryptodailyuk
BTC - Rejection from Fair Value Gap (FVG) Incoming?This 4-hour BTC/USDT chart highlights a key resistance zone where Bitcoin is approaching a Fair Value Gap (FVG) near the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level. Key Observations: 🔹 FVG Resistance: Price is nearing an area of unfilled liquidity, a common reversal zone. 🔹 Potential Rejection: A move into the FVG could trigger sell orders, leading to a downturn. 🔹 Bearish Outlook: If resistance holds, BTC may resume its downward movement, possibly targeting lower support levels. Will Bitcoin push through or face rejection? Let me know your thoughts! 🚀📉
by wdstrades
5
ADA - Bearish Rejection from Fair Value Gap (FVG)?This 4-hour chart of ADA/USDT shows price making a strong recovery after a significant drop. However, it is now approaching a key resistance area—a Fair Value Gap (FVG) near the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. Here’s the potential setup: 🔹 FVG Resistance: Price is entering a liquidity zone where sellers might step in. 🔹 Possible Double Top Formation: A rejection at this level could lead to a bearish reversal, forming a distribution pattern before dropping. 🔹 Bearish Continuation? If the FVG acts as resistance, ADA could resume its downtrend, targeting lower support zones. Will this resistance hold, or will ADA break through and continue higher? Drop your thoughts below! 🔥📉
Short
by wdstrades
3
GOLD → The rally is intensifying. Growth after false breakdownFX:XAUUSD is breaking upwards and is trying to consolidate above the previous high of 3127 as part of a correction. This would be an ideal support for the bulls. The rally, on the background of political and geopolitical problems only intensifies Tariff escalation pushes up gold demand. Trump rejected the idea of lowering tariffs and the Treasury Secretary named a list of 15 countries that fall under the new measures. This has caused the dollar to weaken and fears of stagflation to rise, boosting demand for gold as a protective asset. Central banks and investors continue to build positions in gold, but corrections are possible before the tariffs announcement on April 2 and the release of U.S. economic data Technically, we have a strong bullish trend, it is risky to sell, we are looking for strong areas or levels to buy. For example, if the price consolidates above 3127, or after a false breakdown of 3119 / 3111 Resistance levels: 3147, 3155, 3166 Support levels: 3127, 3119, 3111 Before the continuation of the growth there may be a correction to the key support areas to normalize the imbalance in the market as well as to capture the liquidity. Consolidation above the level after a false breakdown will be a good signal for growth. But! News ahead and high volatility is possible! Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
15
NZDUSD → Consolidation within the correctionFX:NZDUSD is forming a local correction on the background of the uptrend. The dollar has been consolidating and strengthening for the last week, which generally creates pressure on the forex market NZDUSD after a false break of the trend resistance, which also coincided with the stopping of the strong decline of the dollar, entered the correction phase. Locally, it is a downtrend, followed by consolidation, which in general forms a flag - a figure of continuation of the movement. The chart reveals strong levels that can be paid attention to. The dollar may continue its growth due to the US policy, which generally has a negative impact on the market. The price exit from the current consolidation may be accompanied by a strong impulse. Emphasis on 0.575 - 0.571. Resistance levels: 0.57426, 0.57674 Support levels: 0.571, 0.5684 After stopping at 0.571, the price is not pulling back, but forming consolidation on the background of the local downtrend. Most likely a big player lures the crowd to get to the imbalance zone or trend support at their expense. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
US100 - Weekend Gap Filled, What’s Next?The US100 1-hour chart shows that the weekend gap has been completely filled, and price is now approaching a critical Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. This level could act as a strong resistance or a point of continuation for the current bullish momentum. Here are two possible scenarios: ✅ Scenario 1: If price consolidates above the FVG and finds support, we could see a continuation towards the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level, pushing towards 19,800+. ❌ Scenario 2: A rejection at the FVG zone could signal a bearish reversal, leading to a move back down towards 19,200 or even lower. Which scenario do you think will play out? Let’s discuss! 🚀📉
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Louigi_24
22
DOGE/USDT 1D chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D Doge chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves over the downward trend line, but fights to stay over it. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price: T1 = 0.175 $ T2 = 0.184 $ Т3 = 0.199 $ T4 = 0.223 $ Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = 0.167 $ SL2 = 0.156 $ SL3 = 0.143 $ Looking at the RSI indicator, we see As we are approaching the center of the range again, but here the space for further continuation of growth is visible.
by cryptodailyuk
BITCOIN | 4H | KEY POINTS Hey traders, what's up I've marked the key levels for Bitcoin on the chart. Right now, it's holding within the 4-hour supply and demand zone. But if this level breaks, I expect Bitcoin to drop all the way down to around $78K. For spot buyers, there’s no real risk at the moment. But if you're trading on margin and currently in the red, be extra cautious. The market will liquidate you first, then move on its way. Big thanks to everyone supporting my analysis with likes I will provide continuous updates under this analysis.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by TraderTilki
2
GOLD → Growing economic risks increase interest ↑FX:XAUUSD rallied aggressively due to high interest driven by rapidly rising economic risks, mainly related to Trump's tariffs. For selling, the risk is very high, with the stock and cryptocurrency market declines only adding to the interest in the metal Markets are taking refuge in defensive assets amid WSJ reports of Trump's possible tariff hike of up to 20% for most US trading partners. This could trigger inflationary pressures and stagflation, weakening the dollar and bond yields, which supports the gold price. This week all eyes are on Trump's speech on Wednesday, PMI, NonFarm Payrolls and Powell's speech Technically, it is not worth selling now as it is high risk, and for buying we should wait for a correction to key support levels Resistance levels: 3127 Support levels: 3103, 3091, 3085 We are not talking about any trend reversal now. It is worth waiting for a local correction or consolidation, the market will mark important levels, liquidity zones or imbalances against which you can build a trading strategy. Gold will continue to grow because of the strongly increasing risks. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
5
USDJPY → Key Level Retest. Attempt to change the trend FX:USDJPY in the correction phase is retesting the previously broken boundary of the downtrend. The market is trying to break the trend on the background of the dollar correction The dollar is having a rather difficult life because of economic and geopolitical nuances regarding the USA, as well as high inflation. Against this background, the index may continue a deeper correction, as the rhetoric of interest rate cuts may be prolonged, which may put pressure on the markets. The currency pair tried to overcome the downtrend resistance earlier and succeeded, but this is not enough for a trend change, it needs confirmation. Support levels: 148.92, 148.21 Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95 If the bulls hold the defense above 148.92 - 149.5, we have a good chance to catch a trend change. It will be the readiness to go to the resistance of 150.16 range, and the breakout of this level and price fixation above it will be the confirmation of the trend change Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
BTC - Lots of options going into the new week!In this BTCUSDT 4-hour chart analysis on Bybit, we see price action reaching a crucial decision point. Key Fibonacci retracement levels, a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and the Golden Pocket zone indicate potential movements ahead. Will BTC break down, retrace to fill the imbalance, or rally toward the golden pocket? Let’s analyze the key levels. Key Observations: 🔹 Golden Pocket Resistance: The highlighted yellow zone marks the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement of the greater downtrend, a well-known high-probability reversal area. If BTC reaches this level, we could see strong resistance. 🔹 Fair Value Gap (FVG): The blue zone represents an unfilled imbalance left behind during the recent downward move. If BTC retraces, it could fill this gap before deciding on the next direction. 🔹 0.618 - 0.65 Fib Support: The price is currently hovering near a local golden pocket support area. A strong reaction here could trigger a bullish move. However, failure to hold this level could send BTC lower. Potential Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bullish Breakout: BTC bounces from the current level, fills the FVG, and continues upward to test the golden pocket resistance. A breakout above this zone could confirm a bullish trend shift. 2️⃣ Short-Term FVG Fill & Rejection: BTC moves up to fill the FVG but faces selling pressure, leading to another bearish move before a larger decision point. 3️⃣ Bearish Breakdown: BTC fails to hold the local support and breaks downward, continuing the broader downtrend toward lower liquidity zones. What’s Your Prediction? Which scenario do you think is most likely—1️⃣ Bullish Breakout, 2️⃣ FVG Fill & Rejection, or 3️⃣ Bearish Breakdown? Comment below and let’s discuss! 🚀📉📊
by Louigi_24
45
GOLD → Correction after a false breakout. A reversal?FX:XAUUSD is forming a false break of the channel resistance within the rally, we should wait for a correction, but not for a trend reversal. Let's see what we can expect from the price in the short and medium term. Gold is reacting to market turmoil over Trump's tariff plans. Investors are looking for protection ahead of the possible imposition of new duties from April 2, boosting demand for the metal Fears of a trade war and a slowing global economy are supporting gold despite positive US GDP data. PCE data and tariff updates will be key catalysts for further movement. Higher inflation could dampen the rally, while weak data will reinforce bets on a Fed rate cut, helping gold to rally further. The energy to continue the move is gone, so I am waiting for a correction to the imbalance zone or to 0.7 Fibo to accumulate potential. The price may consolidate in the zone of 3050 - 3075 before it continues its growth Resistance levels: 3075, 3085, 3095 Support levels: 3059, 3055 The correction after a strong rally can be quite deep. The imbalance zone 3066 - 3063 and liquidity zone 3057 play an important role. False breakdown of support may resume growth. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
HBAR Bulls Nowhere in Sight – Where’s the Bottom?HBAR had an incredible bull run from November 2024 to mid-January 2025, rallying for 74 days and gaining +865%, moving from $0.0416 to a high of $0.40139. However, since then, the market has reversed, entering a 73 day downtrend and dropping -58% from its peak. Now, the big question is: where is HBAR heading next? Let’s break down the key resistance and support levels and map out potential high-probability trade setups. Current Market Structure – Bears in Control HBAR is trading at $0.16765, just below a key low at $0.17721, which it must reclaim to show any bullish strength. Several critical resistance levels lie ahead: 🔴 $0.18 - $0.20 Zone: Previously strong support, now acting as resistance 🔴 Weekly Level at $0.18375 – A significant resistance zone 🔴 Monthly Open at $0.21352 – Bulls must reclaim this to regain momentum 🔴 Weekly 21 EMA at $0.20 & 21 SMA at $0.2348 – Price is trading below both, a bearish sign 🔴 200 EMA/SMA Lost – Another bearish indicator 🔴 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement at $0.17904 – This level was lost, further confirming the bearish trend 📉 Conclusion: As long as price remains under $0.18-$0.20, the trend remains bearish, and there is no sign of reversal yet. Where Could HBAR Go Next? Finding the Next Support Levels If HBAR fails to reclaim the key resistance levels, price could continue dropping toward the next major support zone. Here’s where the next support zone is: 🟢 0.786 Fibonacci Retracement at $0.1186 – A key potential target 🟢 Weekly Support at $0.1259 – Close to the 0.786 Fib level, adding confluence 🟢 Monthly Support at $0.1145 – Further strengthening this zone 🟢 Log Scale 0.5 Fib Retracement at $0.12923 – From the full bull run, adding another layer of support 🟢 21 Monthly EMA at $0.132 & 21 Monthly SMA at $0.1079 – These levels align perfectly with the other supports 🟢 Fib Channel Lower Support (April 4th - 9th) – If price drops to $0.12 during this time window, it aligns with the lower channel support line 📉 Conclusion: A strong support zone lies between $0.132 - $0.1079, where buyers could step in for a potential bounce. Potential Trade Setups 📌 Long Setup (High Probability Reversal Zone) Entry: DCA around $0.12 Stop Loss: Below $0.098 Target: $0.166 Potential Gain: +40% R:R Ratio: 2:1 or better 🔹 If price regains $0.18-$0.20, we can look for long opportunities. 📌 Short Setup (For Those Already Shorting from Higher Levels) Take Profit Target: Between $0.14 - $0.12 Stop Loss: Above $0.20 Market Outlook With HBAR currently in a bearish trend, we have clearly defined key support and resistance zones and potential trade setups. The next few weeks will be crucial, as price either reclaims $0.18-$0.20 (bullish case) or drops further toward $0.12 (where a strong bounce could happen). 📢 Patience is key! Let the setup come to you and don’t force trades. Always manage risk properly. What are your thoughts on HBAR’s next move? Leave a comment below! 🚀
Long
by SiDec
6