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Fibonacci Retracement

HYPE — How to Combine Fibonacci, VWAP and Market StructureAfter an explosive +392% rally in just 70 days — from $9.298 to a peak of $45.8 — HYPE has entered a consolidation range as expected. Structurally, this appears to be a 5-wave impulse now transitioning into a corrective ABC pattern. Based on current structure, we may now be forming wave B. What’s Unfolding Now? A potential Head & Shoulders pattern is developing, with price currently working on the right shoulder. The $40 mark stands out as a key resistance — both technically and psychologically: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the down move sits at $40.108 Structural resistance from prior highs Ideal area for a short rejection 🎯 Short Setup: Entry: Laddered short between 0.618 ($40.108) and 0.786 ($42.611) Stop-Loss: Above $44 (after rejection adjust to entry) Target: $28–$27 zone R:R potential: 1:3 up to 1:9 depending on entry quality 📍 Why $28–$27 Is Key Support: 0.5 Fibonacci retracement of entire +392% rally sits at $27.549 Anchored VWAP from the rally origin ($9.298) aligns around this zone Weekly & Monthly S/R convergence VAH (Value Area High) 0.618 Fibonacci Speed Fan also aligns as dynamic support Fair Value Gap (FVG) lies in this region Weekly 21 EMA at $28.05/Weekly 21 SMA at $24.10 — both key moving averages providing layered support and trend structure 📐 Bonus Confluence Insight: If this is indeed wave B, then projecting a 0.786/1.0 Trend-Based Fib Extension from wave A aligns well with the 0.5 fib retracement at $27.5. 📚 Educational Insight: Stacking confluences such as Fibonacci retracements, anchored VWAPs, volume zones, EMA/SMA levels, and harmonic structures helps identify high-probability zones where smart money is likely to act. These levels become even more powerful when they align across multiple tools and timeframes. Always confirm with price action. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
Short
by SiDec
18
BITCOIN → Pause for consolidation before growth. 115K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT focus on the structure on D1. The market is forming local resistance and consolidation after growth. The fundamental background is positive. BTC is following the SP500 The market is recovering in line with the stock market (SP500, NQ) after the de-escalation of the situation in the Middle East. The fall in the DXY is also providing support. Technically, the focus is on the consolidation phase after the distribution triggered by a false breakout of 100K. The price stopped before the resistance at 108100 and rolled back to 106500, confirming the boundaries of the local trading range, the essence of which is a pause for a breather before a possible continuation of growth. The structure on D1 is compression towards resistance. The trigger is 108100, and a breakout of this level could trigger distribution towards 110500 and ATH. Despite the fact that the market is under a cascade of resistance (resistance: 108100, 110400, 11900 (ATH)), an important nuance is that after strong growth, the price moved into accumulation in the 100K-110K range on D1-W1, and there are no reasons for a decline yet. Resistance levels: 108100, 108900, 110400 Support levels: 106500, 104650 If the market structure within 106500 - 108100 remains unchanged and BTC continues to storm the consolidation resistance in the “compression to level” format and stick to the level, the chances of a breakout will increase. I do not rule out the possibility of a pullback to 106500, 105650 before a possible rise to ATH. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
29
BTC/USD 1DHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC chart to USD, in this situation we can see how the 3rd peak formed us and we are currently fighting to maintain the price or a potential output up if we do not see a try to break out, you can expect a stronger relief. However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face: T1 = 108376 $ T2 = 110473 $ Т3 = 112061 $ Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = 105444 $ SL2 = 103637 $ SL3 = 100644 $ SL4 = 98285 Looking at the RSI indicator, we see As we entered the upper part of the indicator again, however, there is still a place to try to grow.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
1
GOLD → Local bearish trend. Retest of support.FX:XAUUSD is technically looking a little weak. Support is being retested amid de-escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East. Interest in the metal is waning. On Friday, gold remains under pressure ahead of data on the core PCE index, a key inflation indicator for the Fed. If inflation turns out to be higher than expected, this could strengthen expectations of a rate cut as early as July, supporting gold. The probability of a July cut is currently estimated at 21%, and 75% for September. Amid dollar volatility caused by rumors of a possible Fed chair replacement and trade negotiations with the EU and China, traders remain cautious, awaiting clarity on inflation and monetary policy Technically, before falling, gold may form a correction to 3320 (liquidity capture). Resistance levels: 3320, 3336, 3347 Support levels: 3293, 3271 If the fundamental background remains unchanged and gold continues to decline towards support at 3293 and break through this level, the breakout could lead to a fall to 3271. However, I do not rule out the possibility that after a sharp decline, a correction to 3320 could form before the fall. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
USDCHF → Hunting for liquidity before the fallFX:USDCHF , against the backdrop of the falling dollar and the exit from consolidation, is forming another ‘bos’, which only confirms the market sentiment. The fall of the dollar only increases pressure on the currency pair. The price has broken out of consolidation and is trading below the key level. USDCHF has broken through a fairly strong support level, which only confirms the bearish market structure. A correction is forming ahead of a possible decline (liquidity capture). Resistance levels: 0.803, 0.8042 Support levels: 0.798, 0.79 Fundamentally and technically, the currency pair looks weak. The decline may continue after the liquidity capture phase and a retest of resistance. A false breakout of resistance will be a strong signal. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
10
XAU/USD – Bullish Reversal in Motion? Watch the Breakout ZoneGold just gave us a critical reaction off a key confluence zone — and bulls might finally be waking up. Here's the breakdown: 🔹 Falling Wedge Breakout:
Price respected the wedge support beautifully around the 0.382-0.5 Fib retracement and has now closed above the upper descending trendline. The falling wedge is a bullish reversal pattern, and we may be witnessing the early stages of a trend shift. 🔹 EMAs Realignment Pending:
Price is now testing the 20 and 50 EMAs — a clean break and close above them would likely trigger algorithmic momentum back into bullish continuation, especially if we see a flip of the 0.382 Fib at $3,324 as support. 🔹 Upside Targets: * TP1: $3,372 (0.236 Fib) * TP2: $3,450 (previous structure high) * TP3: $3,539 (full range expansion) 🔹 Invalidation Below:
A break back inside the wedge and below $3,285 would invalidate the bullish bias and likely open the path to deeper correction toward $3,251 or even $3,217. 📌 Key Insight:
The best trades aren’t about prediction — they’re about preparation. This setup is all about reacting to price as it confirms. Let the market tell you when it’s ready to move, then strike with confidence and precision. 💡 Watching for bullish retest + volume confirmation before entering long.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WrightWayInvestments
SOL/USD🔹 Trend direction Current short-term trend: down Price below key moving averages: SMA50 (green) ≈ 154.84 SMA200 (blue) ≈ 168.79 Price ≈ 142.49 – below both, confirming weakness. 🔹 Supports and resistances (key levels) ✅ Supports: 142.00–143.50 – current level where price is struggling (multiple price reactions). 131.00 – strong support, last low (June 18). 119.00 / 116.00 / 113.00 – next supports from previous consolidations. 95.61 – deep support if market breaks down. ❌ Resistances: 148.00–150.00 – local resistance, coinciding with the red SMA (short-term resistance). 154.84 – resistance (SMA50). 162.00 – resistance (SMA200). 183.00 – main resistance from the May peak. 218.55 – very strong resistance from March. 🔹 Technical indicators 📉 MACD: MACD line < signal, negative histogram → bearish signal. No signs of bullish strength. 📉 RSI: RSI ≈ 41.31 – close to the oversold zone, but not there yet (below 30). RSI trend also downward. 🔹 Formations and trend lines Broken support line after the April-May bullish structure (white trend line). The previous bearish trend line (yellow) was broken in April, but the momentum did not hold. A lower high and lower low may be forming now – a classic bearish structure. 🔹 Potential scenarios 🔻 Bearish: Breakout of 142 → test of 131 → possible drop to 119/116. Staying below SMA50 and MACD still negative = high chance of continuing declines. 🔼 Bullish: Recovery of 148–150 needed → only then a chance to test 154 and SMA50. RSI close to oversold = possible local technical bounce, but not reversing the trend. 📌 Conclusions / Summary General trend: Bearish (down). Sentiment: Negative, no confirmed signals of strength. If level 142 breaks - next test will be at 131. A strong breakout above 150-154 is needed to talk about a change in structure.
by cryptodailyuk
1
GOLD → Within range. Retest resistance at 3347FX:XAUUSD continues to correct after a false breakdown of support at 3300. Due to uncertainty, the price may remain in the range of 3300-3340 for some time. Gold is fluctuating amid a weak dollar and uncertainty over Fed rates. Gold is struggling to hold on after rebounding from weekly lows, despite the US dollar falling to multi-year lows. Pressure on the dollar has intensified due to Trump's criticism of the Fed and rumors of a possible replacement for Powell. However, gold is limited in its growth due to a pause in geopolitical tensions and hawkish signals from the Fed chair. Investors are awaiting key macro data from the US (e 12:30 GMT Durable goods orders, GDP, Initial Jobless Claims) and especially the PCE inflation report on Friday. Technically, the focus is on key areas of interest: 3300, 3306, 3340, 3347. Until strong news emerges, an intraday trading strategy should be considered. Resistance levels: 3347, 3357 Support levels: 3320, 3307, 3300 Technically, a false breakout of resistance at 3347 and a retest of the local liquidity zone at 3320-3307 are possible before growth continues for the reasons mentioned above. Targets could be 3347, 3364, 3372, and 3396. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
26
GBPUSD → Pre-breakout consolidation. One step away from a rallyFX:GBPUSD is trading in consolidation. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar index, the currency pair is testing resistance at 1.3632 but is not yet ready to bounce down. Against the backdrop of the dollar's decline due to fundamental reasons, the GBPUSD currency pair is strengthening. Technically, this could lead to the price breaking out of consolidation upwards. A pre-breakout base is forming relative to the upper boundary of consolidation. The price is compressing towards the level, volatility is decreasing, which in general could lead to a breakout of resistance - trigger 1.3632. The exit from consolidation may be accompanied by distribution. The liquidity zone with W1 can be considered as a target. Resistance levels: 1.3632, 1.3743 Support levels: 1.3593, 1.3508 The global and local trends are bullish. After growth, consolidation is forming. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, GBPUSD is testing resistance. The reaction to the false breakout of resistance is weak. The chances of a breakout are quite high. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
14
BTC/USD 1D Chart📊 1. Technical formation: Downtrend channel marked with orange lines Upper trend line (resistance): ~108,200 – 110,000 USD Lower trend line (support): ~98,455 – 97,000 USD ➡️ Such a formation usually ends with a breakout. The direction of the breakout will be key – currently, the price is testing the upper resistance line. 💵 2. Support and resistance levels 📈 Resistance: 108.202 – currently tested 112.037 – psychological level 114.816 – local top 📉 Support: 105.300 – SMA 50 + local support 103.424 – local lows 100.510 – key psychological support 98.455 – lower edge of the triangle 📉 3. Moving averages (SMA) SMA 50 (green): currently as dynamic support (~105.300) SMA 200 (blue): far below the price (~96.000), inactive in the short term SMA 20 (red): price broke through it upwards – a signal of bullish strength ➡️ A bullish crossover took place between SMA 20 and SMA 50 → bullish signal. 📉 4. MACD (Momentum) MACD line is approaching the intersection with the signal line from below. The histogram is becoming less and less red → a potential intersection and a bullish crossover signal may occur any day now. 📉 5. RSI (Relative Strength Index) Currently: 57.19 RSI is rising and approaching the overbought zone (70), but it is not overheated yet. Exceeding 60 would be a signal of further bullish strength. 🔍 6. Volume and context There is no volume marking on the candles, but: The current bullish candle is strong and breaks through the key averages (SMA 20, 50). This indicates buyer activity with technical support. 🟢 Bullish scenario (if a breakout occurs up) A breakout above 108.200 with a close of the daily candle could open the way to: 112.037 (next resistance) then even 114.816 🔴 Bearish scenario (false breakout) A rejection from 108.200 and a drop below 105.300 → a possible return to: 103.424 or even 98.455 (lower triangle line)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
STAR Health: Building Strength Quietly?STAR Health has shown a clear Wave (2) bottom and now appears to be in early stages of Wave (3). Price recently bounced from the 50–61.8% Fibonacci zone, retesting volume-supported levels around ₹425–₹430. If this impulse unfolds cleanly, bullish targets lie ahead: • Short-term: 506 • Extension: 562 (1.618 Fib) Volume support + structure suggests institutional interest is active. Fundamentals: • Market Cap: ~₹25,000 Cr • ROE: ~20%, Solvency Ratio: ~2.1x • P/E: ~45x | P/B: ~9.2x (Premium valuation due to sector position) • Promoter Holding: 58.28% (No pledging) • Strong DII & FII interest, rising institutional exposure STAR is India’s leading standalone health insurer with over 8 lakh agents, expanding presence, and structural demand tailwinds post-COVID. Long-term fundamentals support technical recovery. Keep on radar: Break and close above 440–₹445 can ignite further momentum. NOTE: This post is for educational purposes only not a buy/sell recommendation.
NSE:STARHEALTHLong
by iVishalPal
USD/CHF – Rejection at Key Fib Confluence, Bearish Continuation We’re seeing a beautiful textbook rejection off the 0.79Fib zone (0.8200), precisely where price tapped into a previous structure break and minor supply block. Price surged into the red zone, wicked just above the 200 EMA, and was instantly met with heavy sell-side pressure — a strong signal of institutional distribution. 📌 Technical Confluences at Play: Price failed to break the 200 EMA cleanly — acting as dynamic resistance. 0.79 Fib levels aligning with prior supply. Rising wedge structure broken to the downside. Entry candle printing a solid engulfing rejection — institutional footprint. 📉 Target Zone: Primary TP sits at the 0.236 Fib level (0.8101), but the full measured move of this wedge gives us a final downside target near 0.8038, with intermediate stops at key Fibs. Invalidation above 0.82294 🧠 Trader’s Insight: “Patience is power. You don’t chase moves, you position for moments.” Let the market come to your zone of interest, validate your thesis, and then strike with precision. The best trades come from areas where multiple confirmations stack in your favor. 📉 Trade Plan: Entry: 0.81933 rejection zone TP1: 0.8130 TP2: 0.8101 Final TP: 0.8038 SL: Above 0.82294 (tight invalidation) @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments
Short
by WrightWayInvestments
5
SOONUSDT → The coin that gets killed...BINANCE:SOONUSDT.P is under pressure. The coin looks extremely weak against the backdrop of a bullish market, with key support ahead, separating traders from the panic zone and a sharp decline This coin is being killed. The price is gradually consolidating and compressing before support - the trigger is 0.2332. Against the backdrop of the overall decline that the market has experienced after a slight impulse from 0.2332, shocks are forming with the aim of capturing liquidity (red check marks). This generally indicates that large players are gathering a bearish position. A breakout of the risk zone will trigger panic and distribution. Against the backdrop of growth in Bitcoin and the top 10 cryptocurrencies (bull market), the SOON coin is gradually declining and contracting towards key support, which could be broken accompanied by strong sell-offs. Resistance levels: 0.2478, 0.25777 Support levels: 0.2332 If the coin continues to contract towards the 0.2332 support and form a pre-breakdown consolidation, there will be little chance of survival. In the short and medium term, I expect prices to fall. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
GBPAUD → Countertrend liquidity captureFX:GBPAUD is forming a countertrend correction within a global uptrend and testing the support level with W1-D1, forming a false breakdown... Against the backdrop of the dollar's correction, GBP/XXX pairs are strengthening. On the weekly timeframe, GBPAUD is forming a retest of support at 1.067 (false breakdown) within an upward bullish trend. Unable to continue falling, the price returns above 1.0673 and consolidates in the buying zone. A breakdown of the structure will confirm the bullish sentiment. Support levels: 2.0673 Resistance levels: 2.0785, 2.0852 If the bulls manage to hold their ground above the 2.067 support level within the current structure, the currency pair will have a good chance of returning to the bullish trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
EURAUD → Breakout and consolidation above key supportOANDA:EURAUD is trying to consolidate above the key support zone of 1.76 - 1.77. Within the uptrend, bulls have a fairly good chance. The market continues to break of structure, confirming the bullish sentiment on the chart. A correction is forming from 1.7882. Before rising, the price may test support. The currency pair is supported by its own bullish trend and the falling dollar (especially against the backdrop of economic problems with the USD (DXY)). Technically, the currency pair looks quite positive. After the formation of another ‘bos’, we are seeing a correction to the Fibonacci zone of 0.7 and support at 1.7696. If, during the retest, the bulls manage to hold their ground above the key support level, growth may continue in the medium term. Support levels: 1.7696, 1.7629, 1.7463 Resistance levels: 1.7882, 1.7988 Locally, a reversal pattern is forming relative to the specified zone (as part of a correction). We need to wait for confirmation (price consolidation above the level). The potential within the bullish trend is quite large, and in the medium and long term, the price may test 1.85. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
GOLD → Declining interest. Retest of supportFX:XAUUSD experienced significant volatility toward the end of the US trading session. This was due to developments in the Middle East. The de-escalation of the situation is leading to a decline in interest in the metal. The announced ceasefire between Iran and Israel has reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, while falling oil prices have reduced its appeal as a hedge against inflation. Gold is supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut in July. The focus is on Fed Chair Powell's testimony before Congress and further developments in the Middle East. Technically, the price confirms the local bearish structure. A continued assault on the 3340 support level could trigger a further decline. Support levels: 3343-3340, 3320 Resistance levels: 3360, 3366 Focus on the trading range (consolidation) 3340 - 3400. De-escalation of the conflict in the Middle East may lead to a decline in interest in gold as a hedge asset, which may cause the price to break down of consolidation. If the retest of 3340 continues, the price will begin to contract before the level, in which case the chances of a breakdown and decline will only increase. The target will be the liquidity zone of 3320 - 3306 Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
38
GBPJPY → Assault on the resistance 196.400FX:GBPJPY under the pressure of the bull market breaks through the resistance with the aim of possible continuation of growth and retest of the liquidity zone Against the background of the dollar growth, the Japanese yen is losing value, which in general may provide support for the currency pair GBPJPY The currency pair, after a false breakout of the key resistance and a small correction, technically, the bullish structure has not broken. The price returns to the resistance at 196.400 and breaks it. If the bulls hold their defenses above the level, we can expect a rise Resistance levels: 196.400, 198.24 Support levels: 195.94, 195.45 Consolidation above 196.400, retest and break of 196.93 may trigger continuation of the growth. Zones of interest 198.24, 198.94 Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
JINDAL STEEL: Leading Diagonal Starting?JINDAL STEEL & POWER appears to be constructing an initial impulsive advance that may very well be taking the form of a Leading Diagonal. The advance from the 770 lows has so far developed into a structure where Wave 4 has overlapped with Wave 1 territory, suggesting that a classical impulse structure may not be applicable here. Instead, the price action fits neatly within the characteristics of a leading diagonal pattern, which allows such overlaps. Wave 1 terminated at 923.80 followed by a corrective pullback into Wave 2 at 833.60. The subsequent rise into Wave 3 reached 985.80, which completed near the 100% extension of Wave 1, supporting the diagonal scenario where extensions are often limited. This was followed by a clear a-b-c correction into Wave 4, which found support at 882.65. Notably, the c-leg of Wave 4 reached close to 1.618 times the length of Wave a, adding further symmetry to this structure. The current advance may therefore represent Wave 5 of this diagonal, projecting towards the 1036 to 1131 region of Fibonacci extensions. However, since leading diagonals typically signal the start of a larger structure, this entire formation could well be unfolding as either the first leg of a higher degree impulse (Wave 1) or as an initial Wave A of a larger correction. The labeling is thus kept open as "1/a" to reflect both possibilities at this stage. The invalidation level for the current bullish scenario remains at 882.65, below which this entire leading diagonal interpretation would require reassessment. Until then, the bias remains upwards as the final leg of this structure seeks completion. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:JINDALSTELLong
by WaveXplorer
A Step-by-step Guide to One of the Chart Analysis MethodHello Friends, Welcome to RK_Chaarts, Today we're going to learn step-by-step guide to one of the chart analysis Method by analyzing a chart of " Varun Beverages Ltd. (VBL) " to identify a trend change opportunity.(Educational Post). Let's get started! Applying Elliott Wave Theory First, we can see that the bottom formed in March 2025 is likely a Wave ((4)) in Black as a bottom, marked as such on the chart. From there, Wave 5 should move upwards. Looking at the daily timeframe, we can see that price gone up in five sub-divisions of Wave (1) in Blue of Wave ((5)) in Black have completed, marked as Red 1-2-3-4-5, that means blue intermediate Wave (1) has ended, and Wave (2) has begun, which is unfolded in corrective nature marked as WXY in Red of Wave (2) in Blue. According to the wave principle, Wave (2) should not retrace more than 100% of Wave (1), which started from the 419.65 bottom. Therefore, 419.65 becomes our invalidation level. If the price moves below this level, it would invalidate our Wave (2) principle. Assuming our wave counts are correct, the upward movement is in the five sub-divisions, and the downward movement is in the three sub-divisions. Definitely, the conviction is increasing that we have correctly identified Waves (1) and (2). Shown in chart image below Tweezers at Bottom Now, we can see that Wave 2 has retraced more than 70% and has formed a Tweezer candlestick pattern at the bottom. A bearish candle was followed by a bullish candle, both with a Tweezer-like shape, with the second candle being green. This could indicate a potential reversal. Moreover, the latest candle has also taken out the high of the previous two candles, showing follow-through. The price has also shown follow-through on the upside after that. So, this can be considered as the first sign that Wave 2 might be ending, marked by a significant Tweezer pattern at the bottom with a follow-through candle. Shown in chart image below Significant Breakout Pending Yet Secondly, from the top where Wave 1 ended, we've been considering the decline from around 560.50 as a resistance. We drew a resistance trend line, and if the price breaks out above it, we can say that the resistance trend line has been broken, indicating a breakout above the last fall's trend line, Which is not Broken yet. Shown in chart image below Dow Theory The Dow Theory states that when the price moves up, it forms a Higher High, Higher Low pattern, and when it moves down, it forms a Lower High, Lower Low pattern. Somehow, the Dow Theory also needs to change, as the last swing was forming a Lower High, Lower Low pattern. The last swing high was at 479, which we marked with a green arrow. If the price crosses above it, we can say that the price is now forming a Higher High pattern. This indicates that the Dow Theory is changing from a falling trend to a rising trend. Shown in chart image below Stop Loss Once the Dow Theory also changes, we can use the last swing low at 446.15 as our stop loss. However, this stop loss will only be valid after the Dow Theory changes; otherwise, the invalidation level will remain at 419. Shown in chart image below Projected Target of Wave (3) So, friends, we've applied the Elliott Wave principle, and there's been a significant retracement, all within the valid range, without violating any rules or triggering invalidation. There's limited room left on the downside, and then we have the Tweezer candlestick pattern, which is a significant sign. We're expecting a reversal from there, and the price has followed up with an upward move. What's left now is the breakout above the resistance trend line and a change in the Dow Theory. Once these two conditions are confirmed, all parameters will match, and we can add a position to our portfolio using the last swing low as our stop loss, instead of the invalidation level. This is how chart analysis is done for investment purposes. We've seen many signs in our favor, and yet we still use a stop loss to prevent significant losses in case the stock or market moves unexpectedly. This is what stop loss is all about - minimizing potential losses. We've also discussed the target projection based on Wave theory, 161.8% level, which we explained through an image. So, friends, I hope you've understood the entire conclusion and learned how to analyze charts using different methods, one of which we shared with you today. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:VBLEducation
by RK_Chaarts
27
Oil Price: Breakout or Fakeout? Watch This Zone Closely Technical Overview: The current price action is testing the upper boundary of a descending wedge, a bullish reversal pattern. The recent strong green candle indicates a potential breakout attempt, yet price is hovering near a critical resistance level at $74.20 (Fib 0.5). Key levels from the Fibonacci retracement are: 🔼 Resistance at $74.20 (0.5), then $78.16 (0.618) 🧲 Local support at $69.78 (0.382) 🛡️ Strong demand zone near $63.81 (0.236) if rejection occurs Structure + Patterns: Price has been compressing inside a falling wedge, which statistically resolves to the upside. The breakout candle broke above the 20 EMA and touched the upper wedge resistance — signaling a decision point. Volume is rising on bullish candles — initial confirmation of buyer interest, but not yet decisive. Scenarios to Watch Bullish Case: Break and close above $74.20 on higher volume → likely move toward $78–$86 resistance zone. Confirmation of wedge breakout could trigger trend reversal, aligning with bullish fib levels. Momentum could accelerate if macro factors support demand (see geopolitics below). Bearish Case: Failure to close above $74.20 = fakeout risk → price may reject down to $69.78 or even retest $63.81. Bearish rejection wick on the daily/4H would be an early signal. Macro & Geopolitical Factors to Monitor: Middle East Tensions: Any escalation (especially around Iran or shipping lanes) could spike oil due to supply fears. US Strategic Reserves & Elections: Moves to refill reserves or control inflation could support demand. China Demand Recovery: Data showing improved industrial output or stimulus from PBoC may strengthen global oil outlook. Final Thoughts: Price is at a pivot zone — breaking this wedge with strength could shift the short-to-midterm trend. Until then, this remains a "show me" breakout . Watch how the next 1–2 weekly candles close around the $74–$75 area to confirm direction.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by SheTradesHub