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Fibonnacci

XAUUSD Analysis: Gold Awaits a Breakout From Downtrend (H4)Currently, gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD XAUUSD) is trading around 2331. On the H4 timeframe, gold remains in a high-efficiency downtrend. However, the market is awaiting a catalyst to trigger a breakout and escape the current stagnation. A critical support area to watch is around 3310 - 3312, where we see a clear battle between buyers and sellers, as reflected on the H4 candles. This zone could determine the next move for gold. XAUUSD Intraday Trading Strategy SELL XAUUSD Entry: 3368 - 3370 Stoploss: 3378 Take Profit 1: 3360 Take Profit 2: 3355 Take Profit 3: 3350 BUY XAUUSD Entry: 3310 - 3312 Stoploss: 3306 Take Profit 1: 3316 Take Profit 2: 3320 Take Profit 3: 3330 Important Notes -Always set a Stoploss to protect your capital in all trading situations. -Prioritize trading upon confirmed signals within the analyzed price zones.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
3
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry Fundamental — Trend is observed from an impulse run’s lowest/highest point and projected outwards in symmetrical fibonacci retracement via price/time from the first reversal candle to the end of the rally, creating crosshairs. These ‘crosshairs’ visually represent the trending ‘price distribution projection’ in price/time symmetry. Using this concept, I draw a ‘projection trend line’ from the bottom or top of the impulse run thru the projected 78.6% price/time retracement value, to identify the price distribution structure in a linear form. Now to introduce my STOP LOSS TRIANGLE. This is a concept of decaying price and time as an underlying move towards our theoretical projection, where if the underlying enters our built faded cross-section, the SL is triggered to avoid sideways consolidation and decaying contract premiums. This ‘right’ triangle that is ‘sclene’ by nature is created by taking the furthest projection in price/time symmetry (78.6%) and drawing a vertically placed straight line to the highest/lowest point in the rally previously identified. Here, I create a ‘right triangle’ by turning 90 degrees towards my final point, which is made by the nearest projection in price/time symmetry (38.2%). In its entirety, this forms the stop loss triangle
SP:SPX
by splitmyIVandmelt
2
BTC/USDTRight now, BTC is at a crossroads. We've completed the weekly Fibonacci retracement and returned to the main trading zone. It's crucial to hold the key level at 94,400. If we succeed, the next target is 99–100K for BTC. At that point, we should watch for a local correction — we likely won't break through 100K on the first attempt. Altcoins should also catch up accordingly. Finally, everything looks nice locally, and it's a good time to start building strong swing positions
Long
by BITRAF_CRYPTO
Godshield Icon Entries on Gold market Hey fam, someone’s asking if I’m going short on the gold market right now or waiting for confirmation at $3,300, and I’m here to spill the tea on my XAU/USD M30 strategy. I’ve been hunting gold all week, balancing my trades with my passions like curating scents at Icon Collections Store, and I’m ready to dive into this setup. Let’s break it down with my checklist, share my thoughts, and make this interactive—grab a smoothie from Tastequest.com and let’s talk!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by godshieldufford
OIL – Bearish Setup at FVG + Golden Pocket ConfluenceThis 4H chart of Crude Oil Futures highlights a clean bearish setup forming as price approaches a confluence zone of imbalance and premium pricing. After a sharp downward move, the current rally appears to be a retracement into areas of interest for potential distribution. --- 1. Context & Market Structure: - The market experienced a significant bearish move, breaking multiple support levels with conviction. - Price is currently retracing upward, creating the possibility of a lower high in line with bearish market structure. - The ongoing move looks corrective, setting up a potential return to the dominant trend. --- 2. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) & Key Supply Zones: - Two FVGs are identified on the chart — both marked as areas where price moved too quickly, leaving inefficiencies behind. - The lower FVG overlaps with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci golden pocket zone, providing a strong confluence for potential rejection. - The upper FVG aligns with the 0.786 level, representing deeper premium pricing and added confluence for distribution. --- 3. Fibonacci Confluence Zones: - 0.618–0.65 zone: Coincides with the lower FVG — this is the first area to watch for rejection. - 0.786 level: Aligns with the upper FVG, making it an extended zone for bearish entries if price pushes higher. - These Fibonacci levels serve as key retracement zones within the context of bearish continuation. --- 4. Anticipated Move: - The red arrow illustrates the projected path: price reaching into the FVG and golden pocket confluence, then rejecting to the downside. - The inefficiencies above act as supply zones where institutional selling may occur. - The lower purple level (0.28) is a potential magnet for price if the retracement completes and bearish momentum resumes. --- 5. Trade Idea Narrative: - This is a classic bearish setup where price retraces into premium and inefficiency zones during a downtrend. - The ideal reaction would involve a shift in lower timeframe structure once the price hits the golden pocket + FVG zone. - Patience and confirmation are key — watching for rejection patterns or breakdowns within the FVG before commitment. --- Summary: Crude Oil is retracing after a sharp drop and is approaching a high-probability reversal zone, where a Fair Value Gap overlaps with the golden pocket. This setup provides a strong narrative for potential bearish continuation, supported by structure, imbalance, and Fibonacci confluence.
MARKETSCOM:OILShort
by Louigi_24
35
Perfect Range Clear Tradable Levels To Watch!Sometimes you just have to zoom out and look at which levels will produce the highest probability trade. if those levels do not get reached, then we should not trade them. Lets see if price gets to these levels tomorrow and if so we know how to position ourselves. Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade. Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT. Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below! This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Navitility
Gold – Potential Bearish Continuation After Lower High FormationMarket Context: Gold has shown strong bullish momentum in recent sessions, but the current price structure hints at potential exhaustion. After forming a possible lower high near the $3,220 zone, price action has started to roll over, and the market may now be transitioning into a distribution phase. Technical Breakdown: - The chart shows a clear uptrend leading into the $3,220 region, followed by a rejection and initial breakdown. - A lower low has already been printed, signaling a potential change in character (CHOCH) from bullish to bearish. - A Fair Value Gap (FVG) has been left behind on the move down, sitting between approximately $3,160–$3,180. This area could act as a supply zone if price attempts a retracement. Bearish Scenario Development: Price is expected to retrace back into the FVG (imbalance), where selling pressure may reappear. This area also aligns roughly with a 0.28 Fibonacci level from the recent impulse down — a common retracement point for corrective moves in a shifting market. Should this retracement hold and show rejection (e.g., wick rejections, bearish engulfing, displacement), the market could resume downward movement, continuing the developing bearish trend. The next potential liquidity target sits around the $3,060–$3,040 zone, aligning with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement of the prior bullish move. Key Technical Levels: - Supply/FVG zone: ~$3,160–$3,180 - Current resistance region: ~$3,220 (prior swing high) - Potential demand zone: ~$3,060–$3,040 (0.618–0.65 retracement) - Deeper retracement zone: ~$3,000 (0.786 level and prior structure confluence) What to Look For: - If price retraces into the FVG and shows weakness, this could confirm the lower high and continuation of the bearish leg. - A clean break of the $3,060 level would further validate the bearish bias, likely drawing price toward deeper retracement zones. - If, however, price reclaims and holds above the FVG zone, the bias may shift back to bullish, and a reevaluation would be necessary. Conclusion: Gold is currently setting up a possible bearish continuation following a lower low and signs of exhaustion. The upcoming reaction to the FVG zone will be crucial. If the market respects this supply region, it could offer a clean move toward the $3,060 area and possibly lower. As always, let price confirm before acting—structure and reaction at key zones remain vital in this unfolding setup.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Louigi_24
48
SOL Bulls Strike Back — But Is It Sustainable?Solana continues to respect technicals with precision — after a +42.9% move from the $95 low, we're now at a pivotal moment in price structure. Let’s break down what’s happening and where the high-probability setups lie. 📍 Key Bounce Zone – Golden Pocket Confluence Local Low: $95.26 Golden Pocket Zone (0.618–0.666): $97.09–$94.82 This area acted as a major demand zone, with price sharply rebounding. First Volume Spike: Followed by retracement into Golden Pocket Zone at $102. Second Volume Spike: Occurred right after touching Anchored VWAP ($108.21) from the $95.26 low, which added beautiful confluence with the Golden Pocket Zone – a secondary high-conviction long entry. 📈 Rally to Resistance – Short-Term Climax After the anchored VWAP retest, SOL rallied into the key resistance zone aligned with the 0.786 Fib retracement from the previous down move — a historically reactive level and a prime profit-taking zone. Monthly 21 EMA ($135.83) and the monthly 21 SMA ($133) — both key dynamic resistance zones. Low-volume retest of that key high suggests buyer exhaustion, not continuation — a classic setup for a short-term reversal. 🧭 Current Market Structure Current Price Action: Trading above both the weekly open ($128.38) and the monthly open ($124.54). This forms a critical S/R zone between $124–$128, now acting as a potential battleground for bulls and bears. As long as price stays above this zone, momentum remains with the bulls. 🔍 What to Watch Next – Reclaim or Reject? Key Support to Watch: $125 (psychological level) and monthly open at $124.54 – This zone is likely to be liquidity-hunted. Expect a sweep of this low, look for the reaction. Daily Support Confluence: currently at 21 EMA: $123.77 & 21 SMA: $123.27 1.) 📈 Scenario A – Bullish Reclaim: If SOL sweeps the low and shows strong buying reaction (bullish engulfing candle, volume spike), it sets up a potential long opportunity towards the weekly open, to watch for the next reaction. 2.) 📉 Scenario B – Failed Hold: If there's no bullish reaction at $124–$125, expect further downside. First target = $122 Second target = $120.65 🎯 Tactical Game Plan Bulls: Watch for reaction at $124–$125 – potential scalp long with tight SL. Confirmation on volume expansion and break of $128.38 for continuation. Re-enter long after clean retest of weekly open from above. Bears: Short setup possible if weekly/monthly open is broken and retested as resistance. First TP = $122, second TP = $120.65.
Short
by SiDec
9
A Bitcoin Fib-Time Based Cycle (Concept #4)In this chart we see the 4th Fib-Time based concept for Bitcoin. We take a simple approach in this chart, in comparison to my other concepts which are linked below. I published this chart because the results suggested that we are currently in the DCA out phase and that it ends in 30 weeks, somewhere around Oct 2025. The placement of these fib times are in pre ATH peaks, that start from 2012 pre launch into 2013 ATH and they continue again into 2016 pre launch of 2017's ATH and so on. Without going to in-depth the signposts label DCA in and out phases. For 3 cycles they have been decently placed. However, we cannot discount that we do not need to repeat this pattern, we could be on the road to something very different. Although, the low in 2022 did fall within this period yet again. Importantly, this is not a price prediction or estimation, nor does it offer an overall bearish or bullish take. Although the outlook seems bullish (short-term), cycles can play out over the years, and we may not have seen Bitcoin's final cycle just yet. This is why this is an alternative concept to others I have been exploring. This merely presents a conceptual analysis of Bitcoin's time and cycles to date, highlighting key pivotal points worth watching for. Timing can be just as crucial as managing risk. Having a plan to correlate these factors allows you to spend less time watching charts and more time enjoying whatever you want. Key Takeaways: - It appears that in times to DCA out, the price exhausts towards the end of the signposts. Where as for times of DCA in, the price typically has made its low right from the start of the signpost. - Both zones are about a year in time, but the bear market extends much longer during the peak bullish periods. - We are currently reaching the 0.272 in a the next few weeks, which is the fib-time between where we are now. This could cause some volatility. This is purely a concept and not financial advice. I apologise for the resolution. A screenshot can be viewed here:
INDEX:BTCUSD
by LiquidMafia
Elliott Wave Analysis 🔹 Wave Structure: The chart shows a clear corrective structure unfolded, currently developing as a complex correction (likely WXY or an ABC): Wave A: Strong impulsive move to the downside Wave B: Ongoing corrective rally (possibly a flat or zigzag) Wave C (anticipated): Final downward leg yet to unfold 🟩 A green target box marks the potential end zone of the correction, aligning with a horizontal support level around 85.35. 📊 Indicators: 🔸 MACD: Currently showing a bullish crossover (MACD line above the signal line) → supports the idea of a temporary B-wave rally. Momentum is not very strong → another hint that the move might be corrective, not impulsive. Watch for a bearish crossover as a possible trigger for the start of Wave C. 🔸 RSI: RSI is recovering from lower levels, signaling short-term strength. No overbought condition yet → allows more room for the B-wave to extend. Key Watch: If RSI enters overbought territory while MACD turns down, it could mark the start of the C-wave drop. 🎯 Summary & Outlook: We are likely in the final phase of Wave B. Expectation: One last downward move in Wave C towards the green zone. That area could offer a strong long opportunity, but only after clear confirmation (e.g., divergence, impulsive reversal, rising volume). 📌 Potential Strategy: ❌ No long entries yet – risk of another drop in Wave C. 🔔 Set alerts around 85–60 – monitor for reversal signs. 📈 Upon confirmation: potential entry for the next larger impulsive wave.
Long
by ElliotXSolana
NQ volatility likely to persist until retest of 13k buy zonechart shows it all...expect more volatility this month, likely a retest of 61.8 fib level at 15k & 78.6 fib levels (based on lows from 2023) near 13k before we finally run to the highs again into 2026! tariffs have similar impact as rate hikes...overall will be digested by markets just fine & we'll head back to the highs as fed sees more freedom to cut given those effects...very incentivized to prevent a "hard landing" economically without also boosting inflation too much, so this is all actually a good thing if you can see it :)
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by DaveTradesLive
LTC Targets $70: A High-Probability Reversal SetupLitecoin (LTC) has just broken below the critical $80 low, signaling that bearish pressure is firmly in control. Currently trading at $79—just beneath the swing low at $80—LTC is also sitting below the monthly open at $82.98. With the bears flexing their dominance, traders are left wondering: Where does the price head next? What’s the target for the bears, and where can bulls find an opportunity to re-enter the market? Let’s dive into the charts, pinpoint the key levels, and craft a plan that could turn this downturn into a golden opportunity. The Current Market Picture LTC’s recent breach of $80 confirms the bearish momentum that’s been brewing since its peak at $147.06 on December 5, 2024. Litecoin enjoyed a stellar 122-day bullish run, soaring +195% from $49.80 to high at $147.06. Now, we’re on the 122nd day of a downtrend—a poetic symmetry that hints at a potential turning point. The question is: where will this descent find its floor, and how can we position ourselves for what’s next? Support Zone: The $70 Fortress To identify a robust support zone, we need confluence—multiple technical factors aligning to form a level that’s tough to crack. Here’s what the chart reveals: Fibonacci Retracement: Using the Fib tool from the 2024 low at $49.80 to the high at $147.06, the 0.618 retracement at $86.95 has already been lost, turning our focus to the 0.786 level at $70.61. This deep retracement is a classic spot for reversals, making it a prime candidate for a support zone. Yearly Level: At $70.14, this pivot is nearly identical to the 0.786 Fib level, adding significant weight to the area. Volume Profile: The Point of Control (POC) from a 1.5-year trading range sits right around $70, just above the Fib level. This is the price with the highest traded volume over that period—a natural magnet for price action. Yearly Order Block: Visualized as a green channel, this order block reinforces the $70 zone, suggesting past institutional buying interest or significant support. Together, these factors create a $70 support zone that’s brimming with confluence. It’s not just a random level—it’s a fortress where bulls could mount a serious stand. Long Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: Use a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) approach to build your position. Start with small buys around $75, laddering down to $70, and increase your position size as price nears the core of the support zone. Aim for an average entry of $73/72. Stop Loss (SL): Set it below $68 to protect against a deeper breakdown while giving the trade room to breathe. Take Profit (TP): First Target: $80 (the swing low and monthly open not far off). Main Target: $100 (a key psychological and resistance zone). Risk-to-Reward (R:R): With an average entry at $73 and SL at $68, you’re risking $5 to gain $27 (to $100)—a stellar 5:1 R:R or better. This is a high-probability setup that rewards patience. Execution Tip: Watch for bullish signals in the $70-$75 range—candlestick pattern, volume spikes, or RSI divergence. This isn’t about chasing; it’s about precision. Resistance Zone: The $100 Battleground If bulls reclaim control and push LTC higher, the $100 psychological level looms as a major resistance zone. Here’s why it’s a HOTSPOT: Yearly Open: At $103.28, this level is close enough to $100 to bolster its significance. Anchored VWAP: Drawn from the 2024 low at $49.80, the VWAP currently sits around $102.4, adding another layer of resistance. Historical Context: The $100 mark has been a recurring battleground, with bulls and bears clashing repeatedly. It’s a price that carries weight. A rally to $100 wouldn’t just be a recovery—it’d be a statement. A clean break above could hint at a broader trend reversal, but until then, it’s a ceiling to respect. What’s Next? Bears vs. Bulls For now, the bears are driving LTC lower, with the break below $80 opening the door to the $70 support zone. That’s their likely target—a level where selling pressure could exhaust itself. For bulls, $70 isn’t just a floor; it’s a launchpad. The DCA long setup offers a low-risk, high-reward entry. Wrapping It Up Litecoin’s drop from $147.06 to $79 has been brutal, but the chart is screaming opportunity. The $70 zone—backed by Fibonacci, levels, volume, and order blocks—is where bulls could turn the tide. With a DCA entry at around $73/72, SL below $68, and a main target at $100, you’ve got a trade setup that could deliver a 5:1 payoff. Meanwhile, $100 stands as the bears’ next big test if momentum shifts. So, will you wait for LTC to hit $70 and strike, or watch the action unfold? The levels are clear—now it’s your move. Use this analysis to sharpen your edge, and let’s see where Litecoin takes us in the days, weeks, and months ahead. ________________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know, I’m here to break down the charts you want to see. Happy trading =)
Long
by SiDec
1
7 April Nifty50 important level trading zone #Nifty50 99% working trading plan 👆Gap up open 22920 above & 10m hold after positive trade target 23020, 23130 👆Gap up open 22920 below 10 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 22860, 22823, 22709 👆Gap down open 22862 above 15m hold after positive trade target 22918, 23018 👆Gap down open 22862 below 10 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 22818, 22709 ⚡big gapdown open 22709 above hold 1st positive trade view ⚡big Gapup opening 23020 below nigetive trade view Tep . Market new base hi carefully 📌For education purpose I'm not responsible your trade More education following me
NSE:NIFTY
by mayuraj_820
2
“Weak Demand Signals Potential for a Lower Low”Currently, the position of NCF1! or Newcastle Coal is within wave 5 of wave (C) of wave , indicating that Newcastle Coal remains vulnerable to further corrections toward the 86.55–96.15 range, as represented by the black labels. A similar pattern is observed in the red labels, where Newcastle Coal is also nearing the completion of wave (5) of wave . We observe continued pressure on coal demand due to weak consumption and oversupply, as many countries are increasingly investing in renewable energy sources amid slower global economic growth.
ICEEUR:NCF1!Short
by herdityawicaksana
Altseason 2025 is upon us *A different take*Welcome back dearest reader, I've been covering some altcoins i'm bullish on, and a deeper dive into bitcoin dominance is key for their succes. Well the downfall of the dominance that is. On the chart: ~The fibonacci extension has shown gradual weakness throughout the cycles starting at the 1.618 then the 1, now the 0.786 is inbound. I expect it to be hit soon topping at around 66% dominance. We can see what happened next ''1'' ~MFI is hitting an oversold zone like never seen before on the 3 month ''2'' ~Stoch RSI is hitting an oversold zone and is bound to see a cross ''3'' Load up on your favourite alts and enjoy the ride. ~Rustle
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by Rustlingjimmies
1
EURUSD - Bearish Breakout or Bullish Rebound? Key LevelsThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart shows a bearish breakout from the rising channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum. Price is currently interacting with the Fair Value Gap (FVG), making this a critical decision point. Here are three possible scenarios: ✅ Scenario 1: If price reclaims the FVG and re-enters the bullish channel, we could see a rally toward the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level. ❌ Scenario 2: Price could reject at the FVG and continue its bearish momentum but remain above recent lows. 📉 Scenario 3: A stronger bearish continuation could push price further down, breaking through key support levels. Which scenario do you think will play out? Drop your predictions below! 🔥📊
by Louigi_24
14
$NIO Wyckoff Accumulation – Schematic #1 or #2 in PlayMy base case at the moment is Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic #2 , where the Secondary Test ( ST-B ) could mark the very bottom. This idea will be validated for me especially if we see interaction with the High Time Frame Channel projection. Green Zone: We have multiple levels of confluence around this zone: 0.786 Fibonacci Retracement from the 2020 low to the 2021 top MO – Monthly Open level Volume cluster from previous local consolidation Blue Zone: If price drops as low as VAL, I expect it to be just a quick, volatile wick breaching into the Blue Zone. High Time Frame Channel projection:
NYSE:NIOLong
by Bulltro
2
ETH - Bearish Reversal Expected from FVG ZoneIn this 1-hour chart analysis of ETHUSDT on Bybit, we observe a potential price reaction from a Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. The current downtrend has left an imbalance in the market, and price is retracing towards the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels , which align with the FVG area. Key Observations: 🔹 Market Structure: The price is in a bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows. 🔹 FVG & Fibonacci Confluence: A strong resistance zone is marked within the $1,980 - $2,000 range, coinciding with the Golden Pocket (0.618 - 0.65 Fib levels) . 🔹 Expected Price Action: - A bullish retracement ( green path ) into the FVG zone. - A rejection from this resistance area, leading to a continuation of the downtrend ( red paths ). - Potential targets for the drop are around $1,860 - $1,800 , aligning with previous liquidity zones. Trading Plan: 📌 Short Entry: Around $1,980 - $2,000 if rejection signs appear. 📌 Stop Loss: Above $2,020 to invalidate the bearish setup. 📌 Target: $1,860 - $1,800 based on historical support levels. This idea is based on market imbalance and liquidity dynamics , so watching for confirmation before entering a trade is crucial. 🚀🔍
by Louigi_24
19