Get started

Fibonnacci

$REGN LongThis is just my observation, but not an advice. Technical: REGN touched its two strong trendline since 2020 and 2021. REGN reached the 50% correction since 2020. REGN is oversold daily and weekly. A significant divergence is observable on daily chart. Price touched SMA 200. Fundamental: P/E: 16.9x (moderate undervalue) Since last ATH NASDAQ:REGN has come up with wide ranges of successful clinical trial outcomes. Nonetheless, prices dropped due to competitive pressures on Eylea. Last week, after significant clinical trial results of Odronextamab and Poze-Cemdi, the market moved up. However, the price slid after the BoA's PT revision. Analyst sentiments: 17 buy, 7 buy, 1 sell (BoA) The long possibility is high from now on.
NASDAQ:REGNLong
by jack_the_real_trader
AAVE/USDT 4-Hour Chart Analysis- Trend Analysis: The AAVE/USDT pair is currently in an uptrend, as indicated by the series of higher highs and higher lows. The price has recently broken above several key resistance levels, now acting as support. - Support Levels: $344.42: Previous resistance turned support after the breakout. ~$332.81: Fibonacci retracement level at 0.236. ~$323.56: Fibonacci retracement level at 0.382, which has also acted as support in the past. - Resistance Levels: ~$389.06: Current price level, acting as immediate resistance. ~$397.51: Next psychological resistance, slightly above the current price. - Fibonacci Retracement Levels: The chart shows Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent swing low at $246.10 to the swing high at $397.51. Key levels include: 0.236 at $332.81 0.382 at $323.56 0.5 at $315.06 0.618 at $306.23 0.786 at $293.42 - Volume: There's a noticeable increase in volume during the uptrend, indicating strong buying interest. Volume spikes are particularly evident at breakout points. - Moving Averages: The chart includes moving averages, which are not explicitly labeled but seem to be guiding the price action, with the price staying above these averages during the uptrend. - Strategy: -- For Buyers: Consider buying on pullbacks to the support levels, especially if the price holds above the $344.42 mark. Keep an eye on the volume for confirmation of buying interest. -- For Sellers: Wait for a clear break below the $344.42 support to target lower levels, possibly aiming for the Fibonacci retracement levels as potential targets. - Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders below key support levels for long positions to manage risk. For short positions, set stop-losses above resistance levels to protect against unexpected breakouts. - Outlook: Bullish if the price maintains above $344.42, with potential targets at $397.51 and beyond. Bearish if the price breaks below $344.42, with initial support at $332.81 and further potential downside to $323.56. Note : This analysis is based on current market conditions and should not be considered as financial advice. Always do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions. This text provides a detailed analysis of the AAVE/USDT chart, focusing on key technical levels, trends, and potential strategies for traders, which can be useful for those looking at this chart on TradingView or similar platforms.
by Alireza-Abedi
#XRP/USDT 12h / Elliott-Fibonacci-Financial ChannelAccording to Elliott Wave theory, the price rose during the impulsive first wave and corrected in the second wave as an ABC zigzag to the 0.382 Fibonacci level. This aligns with Elliott's rules, suggesting that the correction of the fourth wave will likely be at 0.5 - 0.618. Based on the impulse of the first wave, the target for the third wave is 4.25, followed by a correction within the fourth wave. Using Fibonacci projections by shifting the grid from the start of the first wave impulse to the end of the second wave, the target for the third wave aligns with Fibonacci 1.618 (5.82). Without shifting the Fibonacci grid, the target for the third wave at Fibonacci 1.618 is 4.40. To confirm this scenario, the price must break above the peak of the descending financial channel. Successful trades!
Long
by WoWAcEDuDe
Possible entry points for $NASDAQ:QUBT NASDAQ:QUBT appears to be going through some consolidation after a quick runup. I can see a couple of entry points. The first is to fill a gap in volume established above $5.15 support. My suggested entry target would be ~$5.45. This is the riskier of the two entry points, as you're buying as the stock is falling. See December 3rd as an example, where it retraced to the Fibonacci .5 The more conservative entry point is after the stock breaks out of consolidation. My criteria for that is that it closes ABOVE the recent highs accompanied by higher volume. I would set an alert closing above $7.90 to evaluate.
NASDAQ:QUBTLong
by dzygadlo
1
Is Solana Gearing Up for Another Rally?Since early October 2023, Solana has experienced an impressive 1,000% growth, reaching its peak on March 18, 2024. Following this significant rally, the price entered a corrective rectangle pattern, retracing 50% of the previous wave and preparing for the next upward move. After breaking out of the corrective pattern and achieving notable growth, Solana has now formed a zigzag corrective pattern. The price retraced from the 38.2% Fibonacci level, which aligns with the March 18, 2024 peak. Additionally, the price has shown a positive reaction to the midline of the ascending channel. Given this structure, it is expected that Solana will continue its upward trend and touch the upper boundary of the ascending channel. If you found this (SOL) analysis helpful, let us know by hitting the like button! 💙 Where do you think Solana is headed next? 🚀 Drop your predictions and insights in the comments section below! 👇
Long
by Market-Analyzer
AVAX/USD Fibonacci targets Avax has to hold the blue level to retest the previous local high. Breaking it will set us flying towards the red targets . The current chart shows the most important Fibonacci targets. Grey: Resistance/support, decisive prices. A dump/pump can happen at these levels, but is not a main target Red: Main target to take profits or potentially enter shorts Green: Buy or rebounce expected Red box: resitance are, mainly caused by the 1.618-1.65 fib level Green box: Support level, mainly 0.618-0.65 fib Breaking each target gets us to the next one.
BINANCE:AVAXUSD
by DCCryptoacademy
Moon bois, FOMO and gamblers will shit their pants!Middle term view of NVDA price action if correction continuous (based on fib levels) 1) Over all market is overvalued as well as NVDA stock; 2) everyhing priced in already; 3) Lot's of moonbois fomo and gamblers are in which is main bearish signal; 4) we have uncertainty about Trump, he's an as=hole and everybody knows it; 5) geopolitical problems and wars around the world; 6) Bearish divergence on weekly TM; 7) No volume, pure pump by MM's; 8) Fakeout previous ATH; Just a little food for thought, make decision yourself wish you lucky and all the best
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by besikmurjikneli
2
XAUUSD Forecast Dec 2024Hi all Traders! In the XAUUSD H4 chart, it is observed that after breaking the support zone, the price is currently in a correction phase and pulling back towards low level fibonacci or continue to above. Considering the price structure and hit fibo 50%, it is expected that after reaching the identified resistance area, the price will resume its downward movement and target lower levels or after rejection in fibo 61.8% will be uptrend and then continue to downtrend. Key Points: Forecast 1 : Sell Entry 1 : Consider entering a Short Limit position around Fibs 50% with price of 2663.27, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 2560.75 Sell Entry 2 : Consider entering a Short Limit position around Fibs -0.382% with price of 2765.78, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 2516.35 Buy Entry : Consider entering a Long Limit position around Fibs 1.382% with price of 2560.75, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 2765.78 Forecast 2 : Sell Entry 1 : Consider entering a Short Limit position around Fibs -0.382% with price of 2765.78, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 2516.35 Buy Entry : Consider entering a Long Limit position around Fibs 61.8% with price of 2649.55, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 2765.78 Forecast 3 : Sell Entry : Consider entering a Short Limit position around Fibs 50% with price of 2663.27, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 2516.35 like and share your thoughts in the comments thank you
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by traderkarbitan
Measured Moves: A Guide to Finding TargetsMeasured Moves: A Guide to Finding Targets Visualizing the boundaries of price movement helps anticipate potential swing points. The concept of measured moves offers a structured framework to estimate future price behavior, based on the observation that each swing move often mirrors the size of the previous one, assuming average price volatility remains consistent. While not exact, this approach provides a practical method to approximate the extension of a swing move. Background Determining profit targets across various methods and timeframes can be challenging. To address this, I reviewed the tactics of experienced traders and market research, noting key similarities and differences. Some traders relied more on discretion, while others used technical targets or predetermined risk-to-reward ratios. Levels of support and resistance (S/R) and the Fibonacci tool frequently appeared, though their application varied by trader. Based on current evidence, levels appear most relevant when tied to the highest and lowest swing points within the current price structure, for example in a range-bound market. In contrast, sporadic or subtle levels from historical movements seem no more significant than random points. The Fibonacci tool can provide value since measurements are based on actual price range; however, the related values have limited evidence to support them. To explore these ideas, I conducted measurements on over a thousand continuation setups to identify inherent or consistent patterns in swing moves. It’s important to emphasize that tools and indicators should never be used blindly. Trading requires self-leadership and critical thinking. The application of ideas without understanding their context or validity undermines the decision-making process and leads to inconsistent results. This concept formed the foundation for my analysis, ensuring that methods were tested rather than taken at face value. Definitions Trending price movement advances in steps, either upward or downward. This includes a stronger move followed by a weaker corrective move, also known as a retracement. When the corrective move is done and prices seem to resume the prevailing trend, we can use the prior move to estimate targets; this is known as a projection. For example, if a stock moves up by 10%, pauses, and subsequently makes another move, we can utilize that value to estimate the potential outcome. Well thats the idea.. Data Through manual measurements across various timeframes, price structures, and stock categories, I have gathered data on retracements and projections. However, this information should not be considered precise due to market randomness and inherent volatility. In fact, deviations—such as a notable failure to reach a target or overextensions—can indicate a potential structural change. As this study was conducted with a manual approach, there is a high risk of selection bias, which raises concerns about the methodology's reliability. However, it allows for a more discretionary perspective, enabling observations and discretion that might be overlooked in a purely automated analysis. To simplify the findings, the presented values below represent a combination of all the data. Retracement Tool In the context of price movements within a trend, specifically continuation setups, retracements typically fall between 20% and 50% of the prior move. While retracements beyond 50% are less common, this does not necessarily invalidate the setup. From my observations, two distinct patterns emerge. First, a shallow retracement where the stock consolidates within a narrow range, typically pulling back no more than 10% to 20% before continuing its trend. Second, a deeper retracement, often around 50%, followed by a nested move higher before a continuation. For those referencing commonly mentioned values (though not validated), levels such as 23.6%, 38.2%, 44.7%, and 50% align with this range. Additionally, 18% frequently appears as a notable breakout point. However, I strongly advise against relying on precise numbers with conviction due to the natural volatility and randomness inherent in the market. Instead, a more reliable approach is to maintain a broad perspective—for example, recognizing that retracements in the 20% to 50% range are common before a continuation. This approach allows flexibility and helps account for the variability in price action. Projection Tool When there is a swing move either upward or downward, we can utilize the preceding one of the same type for estimation. This approach can be used exclusively since it is applicable for retracements, projections, and range-bound markets as long as there has been a similar price event in recent time. In terms of projection, the most common range is between 60% and 120% of the prior move, with 70% to 100% being more prevalent. It is uncommon for a stock to exceed 130% of the preceding move. Frequently mentioned values in this context include 61.8% and 78.6% as one area, although these values are frequently surpassed. The next two commonly mentioned values are 88.6% and 100%, which are the most frequent and can be used effectively on their own. These values represent a complete measured move, as they closely mimic the magnitude of the prior move with some buffer. The last value, 127%, is also notable, but exceeding this level is less common. Application The simplest application of this information is to input the range of 80% to 100% into the projection tool. Then, measure a similar prior move to estimate the subsequent one. This is known as the measured move. There are no strict rules to follow—it’s more of an art. The key is to measure the most similar move in recent times. If the levels appear unclear or overly complicated, they likely are. The process should remain simple and combined with a discretionary perspective. Interestingly, using parallel channels follows the same principle, as they measure the range per swing and project average volatility. This can provide an alternative yet similar way to estimate price movement based on historical swings. The advantage of this method is its universal and adaptable nature for setting estimates. However, it requires a prior swing move and is most effective in continuation setups. Challenges arise when applying it to the start of a new move, exhaustion points, or structural changes, as these can distort short-term price action. For instance, referencing a prior uptrend to project a downtrend is unlikely to be effective due to the opposing asymmetry in swing moves. In some cases, measured moves from earlier periods can be referenced if the current range is similar. Additionally, higher timeframes take precedence over lower ones when determining projections. This is nothing more than a tool and should be used with a discretionary perspective, as with all indicators and drawing tools. The true edge lies elsewhere. Example Use 1. Structure: Identify an established trend or range and measure a clear swing move. 2. Measured Move: Apply the measurement to the subsequent move by duplicating the line to the next point or using a trend-based Fibonacci extension tool set to 100% of the prior swing. The first two points define the swing move. The third point is placed at the deepest part of the subsequent pullback or at the start of the new move. 3. Interpretation: While this is a simple tool, its effective use and contextual application require experience and practice. Remember, this process relies on approximation and discretionary judgment.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by StockLeave
12
EUR/JPY - Trade idea for the upcoming weekWhy did I choose this trade? Trend Analysis and Bias: -On the 4-hour (4H) chart, the price is in a downward correction but approaching a significant support area (Buy Zone) near 159.274, where I expect buyers to take control. -My bias for the upcoming week is bullish, based on the overall market structure and key technical confirmations. Key Structures and Confirmations: -Break of Structure (BOS): The price has shown bullish strength by breaking key resistance levels multiple times in the past, confirming that buyers are dominant. -Change of Character (CHoCH): After forming my Buy Zone, a clear CHoCH upwards occurred, providing another strong signal of buyer strength. -Liquidity Grab: There is significant liquidity just above my Buy Zone, which has already been filled. This is another strong indication that the price could reverse upward from this zone. -Fibonacci Confluence: I used the Fibonacci retracement tool to refine my Buy Zone. The Buy Zone aligns with the premium Fibonacci range, adding more confidence to the validity of this level. Additionally, I always draw Fibonacci from an area of accumulation that leads to a break of structure. In this case, the accumulation area aligns perfectly with the Buy Zone, making it even stronger. Volume and Imbalance: The previous strong imbalance candle (IMB) shows that the market might retrace upward to fill this gap, further supporting my bullish outlook. Psychological and Technical Levels: The price is approaching the 159.000 level, a psychologically significant number that often acts as a magnet for buyers and sellers. This level aligns closely with my Buy Zone, increasing the probability of a bullish reversal. Trade Plan Entry (Buy): 159.300, slightly above the Buy Zone, to capture the expected bullish reversal. Stop Loss: 158.800, placed below the Buy Zone and the most recent swing low to avoid potential stop hunts. Take Profit (TP): TP1: 161.000 – The nearest resistance level, where price could encounter selling pressure. TP2: 162.000 – A key resistance zone, ideal if bullish momentum continues strongly. Why do I anticipate this move? The Buy Zone is a strong support area, confirmed by Fibonacci confluence, bullish CHoCH, and prior liquidity being filled. The Fibonacci is drawn from an accumulation zone that led to a structure break, further reinforcing the Buy Zone’s significance. My bullish bias for the week aligns with these technical confirmations, suggesting that buyers will likely regain control at this level. A combination of liquidity grab, CHoCH, BOS, and imbalance zones adds additional layers of confidence to this trade idea. Disclaimer: This is solely a trading idea based on my personal analysis, knowledge, and thought process. This is NOT financial advice. Please conduct your own research and implement proper risk management. Trading carries significant risks, and you should never risk more than you can afford to lose. Tilen Safaric
Long
by Safaric
4
$BTC1! Fib Simulation of Fractal (UPD)Perceiving the price action as a function of trading time justifies the quantitative approach in drawing geometric relationship between phases of cycles. Hence, it's safe for me to assume that market is a time fractal which has its own path regardless the collective opinions of the market participants. Logistic curve that reflects well the speed of information spreading made me ignore the voices of masses. The principle aligns with EMH - that the condition of the market is already reflected in the current price. Impulsive and corrective waves are governed by golden rule in one way or the other. That's why I used fibonacci channels to build predictive models which reflect the interconnectedness of composite fractals to the whole cycle. By measuring the extreme levels of historic wave, the derived fibonacci channels exposed the timing, size and probability levels of the next ones. In regular TA, people are wrongfully focused on covering their immediate expectations from the market, analyzing a narrow data range of the chart. Whereas, Fractal Analysis graphically shows how current price is interconnected with the entire history of fluctuations in a single probabilistic map. In this update I fused earlier discovered structures and boundaries to the chart Added more series of fib ratios derived from white triangle (src 0;1) Linear boundaries of macro-fractal: Implementation of fibs with big time Intervals: As violet Fibs: Other observations: We're in a big triangle derived by linear extension 2021 tops and Full cycle (COVID - 2022 LOWS) Source: Implementation: (On interactive chart it darkens till intersection)
CME:BTC1!
by fract
1
XAUUSD Bearish Reversal: Double Top and Golden Pocket Breakdown!OANDA:XAUUSD - 2Hr The analysis suggests the market is showing bearish signals, particularly after price rejected at key resistance zones during the Asian session. The Ascending Channel indicates an upward trend, but the breakdown from the channel signals that bullish momentum is weakening. Key Elements Driving the Short Trade: 1. Golden Pocket (0.5–0.618 Fib): The price has reached the Golden Pocket (between 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels), a strong reversal zone. Rejections in this zone often signal a potential change in trend, especially when combined with other bearish signals. 2. MML Major Resistance: The MML Major Resistance suggests that the market is encountering a significant obstacle, further validating the potential for a reversal. 3. Strong Resistance: The price is facing Strong Resistance at higher levels, which is causing the price to struggle and reject, confirming the reversal bias. 4. Double Top: The Double Top pattern at the Golden Pocket indicates that the price has attempted to break higher twice but failed, signaling weakness and a likely bearish shift. This pattern often leads to a trend reversal. 5. Price Gap: A Price Gap further confirms a shift in market sentiment, with a possible imbalance or sudden price movement that reinforces the bearish view. Current Price Action: During the Asian session, price broke down from the Ascending Channel, signaling a shift from an uptrend to a potential downtrend. The breakdown occurred near Equilibrium and the 50% Fib retracement, reinforcing the idea of a reversal as this is where price typically finds resistance in a trend. The Double Top at the Golden Pocket suggests a strong potential for a downward move as the price has failed to continue higher. Currently, the price is above a Strong Pivot Point, which is acting as support, potentially leading to a short-term pullback or consolidation before the bearish move continues. Interpretation: The combination of the Golden Pocket, Double Top, and rejection at key resistance levels gives a strong bearish signal. The ideal entry point would be after confirmation of price breaking below the Strong Pivot Point or failing to sustain above it, with a target near the next support or at Price Gap, as mentioned Price target. Place the stop loss just above the Double Top or near the Strong Resistance zone to limit risk in case the market reverses back up. In conclusion, the market is showing signs of a bearish reversal after rejection at multiple key levels, and the analysis points toward potential short opportunities with proper risk management. "Stick to Your Plan and Manage Risk, Happy Trading!"
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SpicyPips