Basic Technical and COT Analysis on AUDUSD ShortAUDUSD Short Late/Re-entry
Price has come back down to the last swing low/base made before what was essentially a two week bull run. We have broken past this area and come back to retest it.
When price came back to retest this key zone, we saw it touch the 61.8% fib retracement level.
Non-Commercial traders, as can be seen through COT filings, are a majority short AUDUSD.
128,816 short positions are currently held by Non-Coms vs 49,640 longs.
Latest COT filings do show a slight increase in Net Positions (Longs-Shorts) compared to the previous. Possibly due to profit taking by Non-Commercials.
Commercial Traders, who are in most cases contrarian to price, are a majority long.
Commercials have 129,292 long positions open vs 39,515 shorts.
My original entry was around 0.65491 on the 21st of Feb close. My SL was at 0.66249, just above what was then the swing high, but have now moved to 0.66008, just above the latest swing high.
Fibonnacci
Shiba Inu: Bull Run Price Target (0.000145)Overview
In the last couple months my attitude towards crypto has gone from swing trading it to just holding it, especially with the much anticipated Bitcoin halving event approaching next month. In the past, strong crypto bull rallies occurred within the months following the halving events which leads me to believe that our favorite cryptocurrencies could be hitting record highs by the end of 2024.
Shiba Inu Price Target
If the bull market continues then a price target near 0.00014559 appears to be a healthy time to take profits. I found this price level through the use of Fibonacci retracement levels. However, Shiba Inu has been around longer than the attached TradingView chart suggests so the correct Fibonacci levels may vary. To make up for the lack of historical price data, I put the bottom Fibonacci level as close to zero as possible.
There are several key areas of resistance that Shiba will need to push through before a price target near 0.00015 can be considered practical. I believe that if the token's value can exceed its 61.8% Fib Level at 0.00005570 with growing volume then the target may only be a few months away. At the 0.00015 price level the market cap for Shiba Inu will be around $82.5 billion so as this price level is approached it would be wise to reassess market sentiments so as to avoid pulling out too soon.
It is my opinion that a $250 billion dollar market cap is not unreasonable for a successful token, but it is a bit of a stretch and holding too long could result in losing unrealized profits if the market cools. At the $250 billion market cap, Shiba Inu's price would be around $0.00045.
Technical Indicators
Volume on the 1D chart supports bullish momentum as the breakout is occurring alongside significant, increasing volume and the On-Balance Volume indicator reveals that buying pressure has surpassed prior highs.
CheckDot CDT/USDPossible great buy zone for CheckDot for long term hold. This insurance projects marketcap is ONLY 1,4 Million. I think this project is vastly underated. I'm looking for 20-100x for this hold in a few years. Patience is needed.
If price breaks the 200EMA zone, I'll take my calculated risk and wait for next big opportunity around 13 cents OR buy back if price gets back on top of the 200EMA zone.
As long as we have a DEFI which is has crazy amount of hacks, insurance will play a big part I believe.
Last year 2022 investors lost 3,8 BILLION due to crypto hacking.. That's a ridiculous amount.
Remember as this is a really small marketcap crypto it is quite illiquid.
Lets also check few things from weekly and monthly charts
W for a win - Good risk to reward - 2x - 3x Wayfair is not as big as it was but technically it's one of the heavily shorted name.
As the midcap/small caps started running, W has good entry here.
Started a long position yesterday. will add once I've enough cushion on pullbacks.
Stop loss - 45
Target #1 - 80, 89 then 100
Target #2 - 125
Target #3 - 148
U - Unity + Apple Vision Pro, Can do the magic ?Unity got everyone’s attention when Apple announced its partnership with Unity to develop its VR glasses ‘Vision Pro’.
Apple is releasing ‘Vision Pro’ on Feb 2nd, and it’s not a coincidence this 3rd Wave aligning with its release date.
Started a starter position, but best entry would be around 30.
Stop loss - 24
Long Entry - around 30
Target #1 - 40
Target #2 - 55
Target #3 - 64, after a pullback to 50
A top in $NVDA? I know it is very brave of me to call a top in NASDAQ:NVDA here with all is going on in AI right now. But I can only analyse what the market is telling me right now.
And the market is telling me that a top might be in place. And here are 5 reasons why :
1. Fibonacci golden ratio on a weekly timeframe we are almost there. We see how the golden ratio it's splitting the 5 waves impulse up.
Even in Wave 5 we have a Fibonacci Golden ratio. This time is 0.618/0.382. They all point out to the same zone.
2. Bearish divergence between the price and MACD- Histogram and MACD lines
3.Kangaroo tail
The last bar is a sign of worry for the bulls.
4. Outside upper channel line
5. Quite a gap to the value zone. Which on a daily is between $675-$716.
and as bonus reason Steve Weiss just bought NASDAQ:NVDA
Of course there are a few reasons for the bulls as well. and NASDAQ:NVDA could go to the Moon.
What do you think. Bull or bear here?
Legal Disclaimer: The information presented in this analysis is solely for informational and educational purpose and does not serve as financial advice.
USOIL - 30min - Short Entry - Fib - RSI ImplicationsIn USOIL - Crude Oil, we can spot a Bullish divergence but the trend in going bearish with clear HL & LL. With my experience, it is not a valid Divergence.
FIb retracement value 0.382 is valid because after LL it retest that value and now it will go down.
Ethereum's Breakthrough: Navigating the Bull Run and BeyondEthereum's Breakthrough: Navigating the Bull Run and Beyond
In this idea post, we delve into Ethereum's promising signs of a bullish future based on its recent technical achievements and market dynamics. Ethereum, a cornerstone of blockchain innovation, has shown remarkable resilience and growth potential. This analysis focuses on Ethereum's breakthrough in breaching the Fibonacci golden zone, the formation of bull season support through trendline analysis, a strong bounce from its weekly moving average (MA), and the implications of the ETHBTC valuation.
Breaching the Fibonacci Golden Zone
Ethereum's recent price action includes a significant move above the Fibonacci golden zone, a pivotal area identified by traders for its potential market reversal implications. This achievement is a clear bullish indicator, suggesting Ethereum's momentum for sustained upward movement. The golden zone, located between the 0.618 and 0.65 retracement levels, is crucial for identifying support and resistance levels that can predict future price movements.
BINANCE:ETHUSD.P Has tested golden zone retracement and broken above
Bull Season Support Formation
Through trendline analysis, we observe the formation of a bull season support for Ethereum, indicating a strong foundation for potential future price increases. This pattern, marked by consecutive higher lows, reflects growing buyer interest and market confidence in Ethereum's value proposition and its underlying technology's capabilities.
BINANCE:ETHUSD Has formed its Potential Bull Season Channel and right now is trying to break above the Midline
Strong Bounce from Weekly MA
Ethereum's vigorous recovery from its weekly moving average underscores significant buying pressure and investor confidence. This bounce from the weekly MA highlights the market's responsiveness to Ethereum at current price levels, suggesting a bullish sentiment and a potential shortage that could propel prices even higher.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD Ran 20%-50% at each test of the weekly MA
Upward Adjustment of Long-Term Targets
Given these positive technical indicators, the long-term price targets for Ethereum are being revised upwards. This optimistic reassessment stems from Ethereum's technical strengths, foundational role in the burgeoning DeFi and NFT markets, and its overall market performance, which hint at a much higher valuation potential than initially anticipated.
ETHBTC Valuation: A Buying Opportunity?
Despite the overall bullish outlook, Ethereum's valuation relative to Bitcoin (ETHBTC) is currently under pressure, indicating that Ethereum may be undervalued compared to Bitcoin. This underperformance in the ETHBTC ratio might present an attractive entry point for investors, signaling that Ethereum, at its current price relative to Bitcoin, could offer significant upside potential.
BINANCE:ETHBTC Indicates Strong Bounce on Mega Support
Concluding Thoughts
Ethereum's journey through the cryptocurrency landscape is marked by continuous innovation and a steadfast position at the forefront of the blockchain revolution. The analysis of its technical indicators and market dynamics paints a bullish picture for its long-term price trajectory. While the ETHBTC valuation suggests Ethereum is currently undervalued relative to Bitcoin, it also underscores a potential opportunity for growth.
Investors and enthusiasts watching Ethereum's progress will find these insights crucial for understanding its market position and future potential. As always, it's important to approach investment decisions with caution, armed with thorough research and a clear understanding of market risks.
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Disclaimer: This idea post is for informational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and unpredictable. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
TSLA - I’m a believer, Are you ?TSLA has been hammered while rest of the MAG7 doing wonders.
IMO, soon or later Elon matters gonna settle.
and Tesla gonna showcase their AI potential to the world.
Technicals says 300 on the cards.
I’ve a starter position in commons and gonna add more as it moves up or pullbacks.
Gonna supplement with TSLL, TSLY and day-trade with weekly calls.
Long - Low 180-190s would be optimal.
Stop Loss - 174
Target #1 - 220
Target #2 - 280
Target #3 - 300
$S&P500 - Will just RIP Higher for the next the couple weeksSP:SPX AMEX:SPY
There's just almost zero technical resistance right now, just boring fibonacci levels.. Other than some new news event...
I have a hunch, only a hunch, that this market is "baking in" a Trump elected Presidency. Tin Foil hat conspiracy, but I'm starting to think that. Call me crazy, but the 5, 7, and 10 years US trees yield curves have been trickling higher.
I believe that everything is going to crashing down soon, but it keeps creeping & popping, popping & lockin, higher. I think it's Trump affect or something.
GOLD, STALEMATEBefore any serious GOLD buy or sell, I think the yellow metal price must break out of the current 100 pips ranging zone (2027-2038). Here again, the Fundamentals for Tuesday (Jolt Job Openings and CB Consumer Confidence) will be key. Currently the market is neither a bearish nor bullish. It is a stalemate market, I think.
$DWAC is Skyrocketing along w Trump poll #’s This is Trump’s SPAC that IPO’d back Oct 2021.
Based on the the 1st two days of trading, the Fibonacci levels don’t lie.
So here’s my thesis.. Since Trumps landslide victory in Iowa primary, this stock has been on a tear, up 240%.. and i have some info that the past week is only the start.
Tonight is the New Hampshire primary and i have a hunch that not only beat Nicky Haley, but this stock will CONTINUE TO MOON into SUPER TUESDAY primaries.
$442 is not an unreasonable price target based on its action.
This may very well be the Gamestop of 2024. NASDAQ:DWAC