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FILUSDTPERP

Adapting for the Perfect Short Setup on CRYPTO30As CRYPTO30 consolidates, we’re nearing a potential short setup that echoes the ideal conditions from late August. Here's how I plan to approach this trade, focusing on volatility and Bollinger Band dynamics. Why the CRYPTO30 Index? The CRYPTO30 Index aggregates the price movements of the top 30 cryptocurrencies by market cap, providing a broad view of the overall crypto market. Using this index helps gauge general sentiment, as it reflects how the majority of leading cryptos are moving in tandem. By focusing on CRYPTO30, I can analyze the market's collective behavior, which often leads individual coins. This makes it a valuable tool for timing short positions, as large-scale sentiment changes are easier to spot in an index than in single assets. Previous Setup: The Perfect Short on August 25 On August 25, we encountered an ideal shorting opportunity as price and volatility reached overbought levels. The key signal was when the ATR% closed back inside the 2 standard deviation Bollinger Band, indicating volatility was contracting. This provided a low-risk, high-reward setup, as the market was primed for a pullback. Trade Exit Strategy For that August 25 trade, my exit criteria were straightforward: -20% Profit Target, or -ATR% closes back outside the 2 standard deviation high volatility (red) zone. This allowed me to maximize potential gains while protecting against expanding volatility, which could lead to an adverse market move. Current Market Outlook Now, volatility is compressing again, as indicated by the declining ATR%. My primary setup is waiting for the ATR% to close back inside the 2-stdev Bollinger Band. This would be the ideal short entry, as it signals overbought conditions with volatility contracting, similar to August 25. Adapted Short Entry Strategy However, if the market doesn’t give me that perfect entry and instead begins to reject from current levels, I’ll adapt. In this case, I’ll enter a short if the price closes inside the red Bollinger Band channel (2-3 standard deviations), signaling a potential overbought reversal. Adapted Exit Strategy For this adapted scenario, my exit strategy will also change. -I will exit the trade if: The price closes outside the red Bollinger Band channel before moving 2 standard deviations after entering it. This exit minimizes risk in case of a false breakout or quick market reversal. Indicators to Watch ATR Percentage & Bollinger Bands: I use an indicator that combines both ATR% and Bollinger Bands. I’m watching for ATR% to drop inside the 2-stdev band or for price rejection inside the red channel. Z-Score & Z-Score of RSI: These indicators help confirm overbought/oversold conditions, adding further confirmation to my short setup. Trading Plan Primary Short Entry (Ideal Setup): I’ll enter a short when the ATR% closes back inside the 2-stdev Bollinger Band, mimicking the August 25 trade for optimal risk-reward. Adapted Short Entry: If the market doesn’t provide the ideal setup, I’ll adapt and enter when the price closes inside the red Bollinger Band channel (2-3 standard deviations), indicating potential overbought conditions. Trade Exit Strategy -20% Profit Target: I’ll exit the trade at a 20% profit. -ATR% Breakout: Alternatively, if the ATR% closes outside the 2-stdev high volatility zone, I’ll exit to manage risk. -Adapted Scenario Exit: If the price closes outside the red Bollinger Band channel before moving 2 standard deviations after entry, I’ll exit to minimize risk from a false breakout. Risk Management -Stop Loss: My stop will be placed just above the Bollinger Band or near the entry point, depending on the setup, ensuring minimal risk. -Profit Target: I’ll aim for a mean reversion toward the middle Bollinger Band or secure profits at the 20% level. This strategy hinges on volatility compression and overbought conditions. My ideal short entry remains when ATR% closes back inside the 2-stdev Bollinger Band, but I’m ready to adapt and enter if the price closes inside the red Bollinger Band channel. I’ll manage exits based on either hitting a 20% profit, ATR% expanding, or the price closing outside the red Bollinger Band before moving 2 standard deviations. Why Trade High-Beta Coins on Bybit? When trading derivatives, high-beta coins (beta > 1.5) offer significant opportunities due to their higher volatility relative to the broader market. Beta is a measure of an asset's sensitivity to market movements. Coins with a beta above 1.5 tend to move more aggressively than the overall market, which can work in favor of a trader looking to capitalize on price fluctuations. For example: ARBUSDT , AVAXUSDT , FILUSDT , NEARUSDT , SOLUSDT , and TONUSDT are all coins with high beta values. Advantages of Trading High-Beta Coins Increased Volatility: High-beta coins tend to experience larger price swings compared to the market average. For derivative traders, this increased volatility translates into more profit opportunities when positioned correctly. Amplified Returns: When the market trends strongly, these coins will usually move with a higher magnitude, meaning the potential for gains is larger than with low-beta assets. Directional Bets: If you have a strong conviction on market direction (bullish or bearish), high-beta coins allow for bigger moves, enhancing profitability in derivative trades like futures or perpetual contracts. Hedge Opportunities: Traders can also use high-beta assets to hedge more stable positions or portfolios, as their exaggerated movements can offset losses elsewhere.
PEPPERSTONE:CRYPTO30Short
by LordGiorgioCapital
FILUSDT: Price Ranging Inside the BoxFILUSDT technical analysis update FIL's price has been ranging within a box for the last 825 days, repeatedly testing both the support and resistance levels of the box. Recently, the price touched the box support again and is now slowly bouncing from it. We can expect a bullish move from the current support level. The price could potentially increase by 500%-1000% from the current level, making it a good time to accumulate some FIL. Regards hexa
Long
by HexaTrades
Filecoin FIL price, when will you come to life?)Such a dinosaur of the crypto market as #Filecoin, with the fundamentals and functionality that not only the crypto world but humanity as a whole needs, somehow looks extremely underestimated. Or maybe we don't understand something and the project is dead ❓) I would like to believe that this long accumulation of #FILUSDT in the range of $3-10 will eventually give a powerful upward move. At least to make #Fil worth $35, not even $235 like on ATH) By the way, a similar situation and accumulation was previously seen on the #LinkUSDT chart, check out how it worked 👇
by P_S_trade
9
FIL: trade in low cycle📊This price action analysis is from the analysis team of Ahmadarz Academy. 🚦In the four-hour time frame, I found a trading range formed by a bullish reaction with good volume candles from the bottom of this trading range. $5 support and $6.70 resistance 🔛According to this trend, I see the market as bullish, and I even expect it to go above the support ceiling of $6,800. Currently, we consider the risk-to-reward to be 4, which is the ceiling of the current trading range. 💎Entry strategy: To enter this trade, I tried to find the last trading range in the one-hour time frame and wait for it to break through the ceiling to give me confirmation of the ascent, and in the pullback, I try to check the first candlestick that confirmed my entry. and put a limit position on the same one in the upward direction. Entry and exit signal: ⬅️Entry: $6,095 🔴Stop Loss: $5,955 🟢Targets: $6.217 - $6.376 - $6.525 - $6.686 ⚠️Please note that this analysis is the opinion of the Ahmadarz Group team and is not an investment proposal, so follow the capital management because Ahmadarz Group is not responsible for your profits and losses. 🚀Please boost and💬 comment to share your thoughts with us!
Long
by ahmadarz
FIL buy with EZ7strategyAnalysis by EZ7strategy🎖️ 1. **Price Levels**: - In the chart, three important price levels for the digital asset FIL/USDT are indicated: - **First Support Level**: If the price reaches the first support level (5.442$), it may serve as an entry point for buying.SL=4.952$ - **Second Support Level**: Similarly, if the price reaches the second support level (4.072$), it can also be considered as an entry point for buying.SL=3.655$ - **Latest Buy Level**: This point is also designated as an entry point for buying (3.431$).SL=2.911$ 2. **Exit Points**: - Determining exit points from a trade requires more detailed analysis of the chart and market conditions. However, generally, exit points may be at resistance levels or when the price reaches specific points.
Long
by ehsancrypto72
📊#FIL may have completed a weekly level correction✔️🧠After we reached the first target at the weekly level, there was an adjustment corresponding to the cycle, which is very reasonable. Prices are now back within the weekly buy zone and have established a double bottom bull structure, so we have the opportunity to bounce back from here. ➡️If we can continue to break through the previous high, then our ideal target area can be seen at 16.771-21.233, so it is reasonable to hold some FIL from here.✔️ Let's see👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖and share it💬 💕 Follow me so you don't miss out on any signals and analyze 💯
Long
by wolf_king888
2
Filecoin FIL price will be able to restore its former greatness?Filecoin is "a dinosaur project" in the cryptocurrency market. And although the project is fundamentally strong and necessary for the development of not only the crypto market, the price of TSX:FIL still cannot get off its knees. We hope that buyers of #FILUSDT will not allow the price to fall below $5.70-6. This zone should be considered as a buying zone for medium- and long-term investments. Of course, if you believe in the prospects of #Filecoin and the possibility of FIL price rising to at least $23 _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
4