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The velocity of money is plunging so let's make some coin off itHardly surprising though, this has taken place whenever GDP contracts & unemployment increases as it certainly will this year. I think one would suspect that this could lead to risk of deflationary effects - which I know sounds odd when one thinks and sees first hand the rampant money printing and radical expansion of money supply, and inflation increasing. I am still heavily biased towards inflation arising over the next few years, with rates eventually rising to combat inflation - but I do want to be on the lookout for any hints as swiftly as possible that my ideology may be wrong.
I suspect this drop within the velocity of money is especially pronounced in hospitality industries, restaurants, hotels, aerospace, airlines, tourist destinations - where capital is not being exchanged as freely. We also have unemployment up so some individuals simply are being much more wary of purchasing wants, with potential needs still needing to be met on the horizon.
I think mfg's as well have had supply issues coupled with demand issues, with inventories only now ramping back up. With the low demand, and low supply this is a sour recipe that creates less opportunities for transactions, again hurting the velocity of money.
What does all of this mean? I think one needs to carefully weigh the proper strategies in the event inflation or deflation where to occur. In the event of the dreaded stagflation again, the writing will be more clear if that is to occur, but again we need to plan accordingly and develop strategies for each.
A simple strategy I am doing even outside of the fixed income corporate debt/Div yield strategies etc is within actual real estate.
If one were to acquire a home in this environment and inflationary affects play out, you essentially get to double dip on the inflationary affects in a favorable manner. the devaluation of the dollar will be an effect of the inflation. What does this mean for your mortgage?
The dollar amount of the debt side of the mortgage will decrease in value, relative to the purchasing power of the dollars within the debt. The debt itself gets eroded away from inflation. Very favorable if you have debt.
We want equity with debt of course though. And much more equity relative to the volume of debt. The equity of the home will actually be continuing to rise because the value of dollars continuing to loose value will require more dollars to purchase the same amount of equity - meaning the equity increases in terms of dollars.
So inflation will result in the loan decreasing in a dollar weighted comparison, while the equity in the home will increase because of the dollar's devaluation.
Equity relative to a home is one thing, but this comparison can be made with equities (stocks) as well, but I think the home comparison may be helpful in getting my logic communicated clearly.
Again, this does not mean to go wild longing equities - just like you do not want to go wild and start buying junk houses in the middle of Antarctica
We need to be tacticians with finesse
***If you have a great strategy please be sure to share it with me.***
#DCBBANK #DCB #BANK #NIFTY #BANKNIFTY #BANKING #INVEST #EQUITY#DCBBANK has reached its long-long time support cushion.
Expect a quick pickup from here.
RSI in over sold zone.
This is not passive investment.
Active Investment. As moving averages are far.
Risky But Expect a great return of 30%.
Charts show a bullish hammer. Trend reversal expected.
Stop Loss will be at 53 as the stock follows the sector, and sector indices are in falling trends.
High Return / Risk.
USDWTI H4 - Long Trade SetupUSDWTI H4 - Manic market behaviour off the back of Powell's talk earlier on today, nice break and retest here on western texas, looks like we could be gearing up for the next move upside, effectively looking to push that H4/D1 channel resistance. Manage to find support even after the USD volatility.
#MFSL #FINANCIAL #FINANCE #BANKNIFTY #NIFTY #LOAN #INTEREST #NSE#MFSL
Max Financial Services Ltd.
CMP: 618.6
BUY @ 580
Target: 676
SL: 561
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USDWTI H4 - Long Trade SetupUSDWTI H4 - Looking for a break above the previous high (white line indicated), fresh highs would then be set and resistance would have been broken, failing this, as mentioned in the technical rundown video, we may see a correction back down to the recently broken resistance for more of a major retest rather than yesterdays wick retest.
$10 Entry for FIIIU: Forum Merger's Third MergerRight now for FIIIU, I think as a $10 entry for a blank check merger, this may be a good one. Overall, I'm bullish on the entry price and think once more details are built on the speculation, this can garnish higher support levels and momentum. That being said, please proceed with caution and do your own due diligence. Everything I say is on an opinion based basis. Invest at your own risk.
EURJPY H4 - Long Trade SetupEURJPY H4 - Strong rally to break this S/R zone marked in red, still over an hour to go until we see a close. But a retest of the counter trendline support/local support would be a good intersection point to try and catch a bid.
LONG EURUSD ANALYSISHello Traders and Investors as you can see its CLEAR as the SUN in SUMMER
EUR/USD in the next 5-7 years
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CADJPY H4 - Long Trade SetupCADJPY H4 - Finally broken the neckline resistance we were following last week, solid break of 80.300, now looking for a retest of this region to jump in with a long position
#PAYC LONG-TERM INVESTMENT IDEA From 200$ up To 520$ #PAYC LONG-TERM INVESTMENT IDEA From 200$ up To 520$
CADJPY H4 - Long Trade SetupCADJPY H4 - Been a bit of a slow pair this week. Failed to break much above 80.300 this week, this being the key price (neckline) to break. 80.000 keeps holding as support which is good, so be interesting to see if CAD retail sales spurs on CADJPY upside... Data up in 20 minutes!
AUDJPY D1 - Short SetupAUDJPY D1 - Video Analysis coming through on this one in a second, but could be something we look to swing next week.
GBPAUD H4 - Short SetupGBPAUD H4 - Still trading between the S/R range, approaching resistance at the moment, may want to look for reversals to then trade back down to support. 30 minutes until H4 close. Selling from resistance was calculated at just under 1:3 yesterday, ultimately depends on entries etc.
YFI - DeFi world is crazyTotally madness, YFI token price is almost like BTC. Thanks to Yearn Finance and a lot of yield farmers token price is mooning. I thought it was overvalued at $4000 but I don't even know what to think now. Call me crazy but I think this bubble may continue to inflate while liquidity in Yearn Finance pools continue to grow.
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Information is just for educational purposes, never financial advice. Always do your own research.
ETH run still not over. Short term target $470ETH run still not over
Levels,
White=Monthly
Purple= Weekly
Red=Daily
The monthly level at the bottom of the crash at 360 broken and closed above.
Monthly level from the top of the first wave at 419. Not yet closed above on the weekly but if you go to the daily chart, its rejected off that level perfectly with a long tail.
If we can see a weekly close above 420, the next monthly target is $831.
The next weekly targets are $470 and $555.
With the hype building around DeFi and mainstream adoption, this is definitely not out of the cards + The Stock market is closed on weekends to gamble stimulus money.
At the moment, it's run up too hard and expect some consolidation before running up again.
MACD rising on the weekly as well.
Bullish moving averages
I hold ETH. Perhaps, not enough.
$XRO:ASX - XERO LIMITED - Up 115% for the yearXERO has been a great little runner over the last 12 months on the ASX and starting to look like challenging the $90 mark and then onto $100 with any luck. RSI still indicates plenty of value left and it is such an embedded finance / accounting system across most small businesses in Australia that it could well be worth a look.
Xero Ltd. engages in providing online business solutions for small businesses and their advisors. The company founded by Rodney Kenneth Drury and Hamish Edwards on July 6, 2006 and is headquartered in Wellington, New Zealand.
AUDCAD H4 - Short Trade SetupAUDCAD H4 - Haven't yet seen a retest of our 'zone' but I'll keep an eye on, and watch the resistance zone incase we do pullback a little for a full retest before seeing CAD strength again.
DXY H4 - Short SetupDXY H4 - As annotated, ideally want to see rejections before that previous high at around 93.80, this should compliment some of the structure we are watching, UJ, GU etc.
NZDCAD H4 - Long Trade SetupNZDCAD H4 - 0.88 would be a nice zone to find support and a double bottom bounce, key psychological number, big S/R zone, second test would be for the second leg double bottom. Nice tight stops too, so very lucrative RR setup.
