Global Equities; The decline of rationality ...... and the rise of financial engineering - manifesting in a generational shift toward pure leverage.
"When they look back at this segment of history they will probably ask: What the hell were they thinking?!"
Reporter: "How is it possible that the DJIA loses 90% of it's value? ...
B.G.: "It is very simple, really. First, it loses 50% of it's value and then, 80% of the remainder." - Benjamin Graham, from a 1934 interview.
Financialcrises
Signs of a new recession?This is a simple Elliot Impulsive/ Correction Wave analysis of a hypothetical upcoming market recession based on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The crash is modeled after the 2007 - 2009 Sub-prime mortgage crisis.
This projection is based on the assumption that the ABC correction wave will drop lower then the (2) impulsive mark by -12.85%. The A B points are estimated based on a very illustrative (1) (3) (4) channel.
This concludes the C wave at 9000.
This is an extreme scenario on a very long term scale and is not intended to be a trading recommendation. Use it at your own discretion for reference purposes.
Deutsche Bank ($DBK): Weekly - Default Risk before year 2020 This is the real market risk, the most obvious contagion to date that will most likely cause the next financial crisis because of the amount of debt that the bank holds within the banking system when this stock moves down the market also follows.
Technically below that trendline and Deutsche Bank moves towards default and 0.11€