Goldman Sachs Predicts China's Central Bank to Cut Reserve RequiGoldman Sachs analyst Hui Shan expects China's central bank to reduce the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) in the third and fourth quarters, aiming to manage the decline in long-term yields. This move comes in response to rising bond prices and weak aggregate demand. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is also focused on reducing financing costs for companies and households. Meanwhile, the yuan carry trade is under scrutiny as the Chinese currency strengthens against the dollar. Analysts are monitoring the potential risks and the impact on global markets.
Financialnews
Nikkei 225 Suffers Worst Decline Since 1987 Amid U.S. Economic CThe Nikkei 225 index in Japan plunged by 12.4%, marking its worst day since the 1987 "Black Monday" crash. The index closed at 31,458.42, shedding 4,451.28 points. The sell-off was triggered by concerns about the U.S. economy and followed a 5.8% drop on Friday. Major companies like Toyota, Honda, and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group saw significant declines. The Bank of Japan's interest rate hike and a stronger yen have further pressured the market. Investors now focus on upcoming trade data from China and Taiwan, and central bank decisions from Australia and India.
Bread Financial Holdings (BFH) AnalysisInvestor Confidence and Financial Targets:
Bread Financial Holdings NYSE:BFH is attracting investor interest after setting a medium-term ROTCE target in the low-to-mid 20% range, showing strong confidence in its business model.
Market Outlook and Analyst Expectations:
Analysts expect this to drive up valuation multiples, boosting the stock price. Improved credit sales and robust consumer spending, along with new partners and holiday spending, suggest a strong future for BFH.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on BFH above the $37.00-$38.00 range.
Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $56.00-$58.00, investors should consider Bread Financial's strategic financial targets and positive market trends as key drivers for potential stock growth.
📊💳 Keep an eye on Bread Financial Holdings for promising investment opportunities! #BFH #FinancialHoldings 📈🔍
Euro Rises After French Election; Yen Struggles Near 38-Year LowThe euro gained on Monday after France's snap election put the far-right in the lead, albeit with a smaller margin than expected. Marine Le Pen's National Rally performed worse than anticipated, easing fears of expansionary fiscal policies. The euro rose 0.4% to $1.0756, while the yen struggled near a 38-year low. The dollar index fell as U.S. inflation data bolstered expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. Other currencies, including sterling and the New Zealand dollar, saw modest gains.
Tesla's Robotaxi Event: Alphabet's Waymo Could Be the Real WinneTesla's upcoming Robotaxi event on Aug. 8 has the potential to spotlight Alphabet's Waymo division. While Tesla garners attention for its self-driving car ambitions, Alphabet's Waymo already operates autonomous taxis across the U.S. Analysts suggest that renewed interest in Waymo could significantly boost Alphabet's stock. The autonomous vehicle market is vast, with potential revenue in the billions. As both companies vie for a share, Wall Street sees self-driving cars as a trillion-dollar opportunity.
Paris Stock Exchange Set to Open Lower Amid Political UncertaintThe Paris Stock Exchange is expected to open lower on Monday following the European elections, which have raised concerns about the political landscape in Europe. The CAC 40 futures dropped 76.5 points to 7925 points at around 8:15 am, indicating a session start in the red. Markets are reacting to the rise of nationalist parties and French President Emmanuel Macron's announcement of the dissolution of the National Assembly and early legislative elections. If the far-right National Rally party wins, Macron could lose domestic control, adding uncertainty to the market. The CAC 40 dropped 2.4% at the open, leading European market losses, while the Frankfurt DAX and pan-European Stoxx 600 also retreated. The euro has dropped to its lowest level in nearly a month due to the political developments.
$EURUSD Bulls are Back once AGAIN? - LONGEURUSD Financial Review: Navigating Current Conditions and Projecting Trends"
Introduction:
The FX:EURUSD currency pair is currently poised for significant developments, with a projected bullish trend following a rapid correction. This analysis incorporates both trend and technical indicators, providing insights into the potential future movements of the pair.
Technical Analysis:
Our technical analysis, conducted on the 2-hour timeframe using the w.aritas.io indicator, reveals a convergence of probability bands, specifically the On-Balance Volume (OBV) and Relative Strength Index (RSI), as well as Money Flow with Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). This convergence signals a stabilized market with reduced asset volatility, indicative of an equilibrium state. Minor fluctuations may trigger a bullish momentum, attracting further MoneyFlow into the asset.
Anticipated Bullish Boost:
We anticipate a bullish boost to commence as the pair approaches the critical zone around 1.08275 . Upon testing this zone, a light retracement is expected, followed by a resurgence of bullish momentum. This trend initially formed on October 16, 2023 , coinciding with positive movements in stocks and Treasury yields. Our projection suggests a continuation of this bullish trend towards our target profit zone, TP #2, around the 1.126 mark.
USD Strength and Economic Resilience:
In contrast to the EUR's projected bullish trend, we maintain the view that the USD is poised for broad strengthening into early 2024. This expectation is grounded in the economic resiliency of the United States and the Federal Reserve's cautious approach, with no imminent easing anticipated until the middle of the following year. These factors collectively position the Greenback favorably for the coming quarters.
JPY Weakness and Intervention Concerns:
Turning attention to the JPY, notable insights from Bloomberg.com highlight the potential for the yen to weaken by more than 10% due to the Bank of Japan's commitment to ultra-easy monetary policy. This contrasts with the Federal Reserve's tightening stance aimed at curbing inflation. The yen's potential decline, as suggested by Sakakibara, could reach levels near 160, prompting concerns of intervention by the Bank of Japan to mitigate its slide.
Additional Context:
For further context on the FX:USDJPY situation, readers are encouraged to explore the comprehensive analysis available at www.fxstreet.com This source provides valuable insights into the dynamics shaping the FX:USDJPY currency pair, offering a more detailed understanding of the factors influencing its movements.
Conclusion:
In summary, the FX:EURUSD pair is poised for a bullish trajectory , with technical indicators signaling a stabilized market. Concurrently, the USD is expected to strengthen, while the JPY faces potential weakness and intervention challenges. Traders and investors should remain vigilant, considering the nuanced interplay of global economic factors influencing currency markets.
Eur/Usd Repeating Same pattern as 2017, Continuation to Upside!Aas broken down from the video, the same pattern has repeated from 2017 were we had a nice push to upside, accumulation then continuation as price broke the previous higher high. so the same pattern is happen currently so we could expect a small pull back based on volume profile which acts as a strong POC for support before looking for long setup!!!
Follow me for more setup!!
Is it time to Buy or Sell Gold?As i broke down form the video Gold is at a key area of technical support and bottom channel where we could see price accumulate before potential move to the upside. Based also with vaccine optimism we could see a potential short term sell off as inflation keys in to push price father.
Follow me for more setup and Breakdown!!
The world is on the brink of a recession & the US back-pedaledFinancial markets faced a sharp surge in concern. The Fear Index (VIX) soared (+30%). The Argentine Peso lost the same amount of its value yesterday. It is all about the populists in Argentina. Well, it is quite interesting how many times you need to fail again and again to understand one thing - that is a bad idea. Tsipras and Greece again on the brink of default. Chavez and Venezuela. Johnson and the UK leave the EU. Trump and the USA wage war against the whole world.
Government of change in Italy and yellow vests in France, etc. - The list could be made even longer. But there is only one common denominator - the populists and the consequences that the country's economy pays for.
Therefore, the financial markets reaction to the news from Argentina is understandable. We know how this is going to end., preferring to discount in advance.
Not surprisingly, gold prices soared. Despite such a rapid asset value growth, we were waiting for a correction in gold this week, just needed a reason To.
Trump delays China duties. The duties delayed until Dec. 15. This is without a doubt a serious conciliatory step on the part of the United States. So, sales of gold today, in our opinion, are more than appropriate.
Returning to the world economy issue, triggered by a trade war. Singapore's GDP growth for 2019 to come in at 2% to 0.5%. The economy of Singapore, with its specifics, is almost ideally fit to be an early indicator of the world economy state. So the signal we have is alarming. Take for example yesterday’s data from the EU. The ZEW Institute's expectations index in August fell to minus 43.6 points. This is almost two times worse than the July value (minus 20.3) the lowest mark since 2011.
We continue to expect a decline in the dollar value. Logically, dollar devaluation is the only thing that could save the US economy from recessionary processes and keep Trump. So we recommend looking for points to sell the dollar.
First of all, we recommend selling it against the British pound, which yesterday unexpectedly received support from the UK labor market data: employment in June grew by + 115K (expected plus 60 K).
About the macroeconomic data, the block of inflation statistics from the UK will be published today. As well as GDP in the Eurozone.