FTT: trade in renge📊Analysis by AhmadArz:
🔍Entry: 1.84
🛑Stop Loss: 1.72
🎯Take Profit: 1.95-2.05
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Fintech
Is PYPL ready for recovery?n the daily chart PYPL is at its six-month lows sitting on the support /demand zone after recent
earnings which were helpful in showing earnings and revenues holding up. Upside to resistance
is about 25%. The volume profile shows heavy volumes at both the current price and at $75
Any upward price action would likely experience volatility at $7 5 as that is where a large
a number of institutional traders are situated. This is also approximately where the mean long
term anchored VWAP is extending. The MACD indicator's lines have crossed under the histogram
which is now green and positive. They are approaching the horizontal zero line. Trading volumes
have increased since the last earnings and so shares are being accumulated which usually
results in prices rising gradually over time.
I see this as an excellent long trade setup targeting first $ 75 and then $87 just under the
resistance zone with a stop loss in or under the support.
PYPL falls into deep oversold zone LONGPYPL on the 30-minute chart over the past week fell 10 %, Based on the anchored
VWAP bands as well as the volume profile it is in deep oversold territory potentially
as a reaction to the stablecoin plan. Volumes are relatively hig while the ZL MACD
has had a line cross under a flipping histogram. I see this as an excellent long
swing trade setup targeting the mean VWAP or the POC line as the first target for 50%
of the trade and 25% each targeting the upper VWAP lines. I will take a combination
of a number of stocks and a put option 2-3 months out for some trade risk insurance.
Ripple Partners With Egypt’s CIB For Cross-Border PaymentsRipple has now expedited its global expansion spree by strengthening its presence in Egypt by collaborating with the CIB.
Ripple, a leading blockchain solutions provider, has recently initiated a collaboration with Egypt’s Commercial International Bank (CIB). It is a pivotal milestone for the company as it expanded its foothold in the Egyptian market. This comes after Ripple announced that it’ll enhance its U.S. presence, indicating significant efforts by the organization to expedite global expansion.
Ripple Partners With Egypt’s CIB
According to the latest Egypt Fintech 2024 report by Shehata & Partners Law Firm, CIB is poised to revolutionize cross-border payments via the partnership with Ripple. However, the bank aims to leverage the opportunity to improve efficiency in remittance services globally.
This marks a significant shift, as CIB becomes the first major Egyptian bank, beyond the National Bank of Egypt (NBE), to publicly announce its partnership with Ripple. Moreover, it is expected to be a great opportunity for the company to utilize CRYPTOCAP:XRP for cross-border payments. While NBE had previously teamed up with LuLu Exchange, CIB’s foray underscores a broader adoption trend within Egypt’s financial sector.
While details regarding the extent of CIB’s integration of Ripple’s technology remain undisclosed, industry observers anticipate a transformative impact on the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of cross-border transactions. As Egypt embraces blockchain innovation, CIB’s partnership with Ripple sets the stage for a new era of seamless international remittances, paving the way for increased XRP adoption.
Egypt’s Blockchain Evolution
Egypt’s blockchain landscape continues to flourish with groundbreaking initiatives. Innovations such as an NFT Art Generator empower users to create unique digital collectibles, while TOURISTOKEN revolutionizes tourism payments and rewards. This dynamic ecosystem reflects Egypt’s commitment to blockchain’s potential.
RDFN fintech penny stock pre-earnings LONGOn the RDFN shows the trend up after a massive earnings beat and then the fade down into
this past week. Price is presently situated at the 0.5 Fib level of the retracement of that
trend up. Time is presently at the 0.38 Fib time zone extending from the trend up.
The dual TF RSI shows the lines jumping over the 50 level in the past couple of days.
The ADX indicator shows the ADX+ crossing over ADX- with the ADX+ now over the 20 threshold.
I see RDFN as set for a pre-earnings momentum trade and will also take call options for
the Feb 16 expiration the day after the report ( Striking $8 & 8.5). Of interest, a rate cut
may be getting baked into RDFN.
COINBASE #COIN suggests a cooling off period may occurCOIN is already quite significantly off it's highs
after NEARLY reaching a major Linear inverse Head and shoulders
we now have a lower timeframe Head and shoulders top that has nearly triggered
a warning sign that the crypto market needs a breather.
The target projects down to the initial neckline of the larger pattern.
Wow big moves!
Macro Monday 26~Global Indexes Breaking OutMacro Monday 26
Global Index’s Breaking Out
As its Christmas Eve I wanted to do an early release for tomorrow and share something positive and Christmassy but at the same time share something of value, so here is a look at some of the major global ETF index’s and how promising they appear towards the end of 2023. A clear sector stands out.
Vanguard Total World Stock Index ETF - AMEX:VT
In brief this Exchanged Traded Fund (ETF) seeks to track the performance of the FTSE Global All Cap Index (the “Index”) which consists of 99% stocks. The top three portfolio components consist of:
1. 61% in U.S. stocks – The top 5 holdings within this segment are Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia and Future on E-mini S&P Futures.
2. 7.6% stocks in the Eurozone
3. 6.1% stocks in Japan
The overall VT portfolio is typically weighted as follows: Cyclicals (34%), Sensitive (46%) and Defensive (20%). This ETF attempts to provide an economy weighted global ETF product by leveraging the worlds largest economy, the U.S. with some protection against downside risk with defensive and cyclical plays taking up over 50% of the portfolio exposure.
FYI – This index is extremely similar both on the chart and in price to the iShares MSCI ACWI ETF ( NASDAQ:ACWI ). This ETF aims to track the MSCI All Country World Index also. You can look this up and add it to your ticker list for a general sense of the direction of global markets much like the Vanguard Total World Stock Index ETF covered here today.
The Chart - chart features in heading of this article
Again, in brief you can see that we have a major breakout of a 3 year long pennant which is a bullish formation. We are also above the 200 day moving average which is slanting upwards (positive).
This Chart/ETF product gives a broad based view on the global economy at present however is obviously strongly reliant on the U.S. economy with 61% of the portfolio in U.S stocks so we will also have a look at a few other index’s that are looking positive at present.
iShares Global Energy ETF - AMEX:IXC
This index seeks to track the S&P Global Energy Sector Index and appears is primarily invested in the Oil and Gas sector. This index is designed to measure the performance of 52 companies in the global energy sector. The company sectors include the following:
1. Oil & Gas Exploration and Production Companies
2. Integrated Oil & Gas Companies
3. Oil Equipment, Services & Distribution
Integrated Oil and Gas makes up 53% of the portfolio, with Oil and Gas Exploration making up another 22%, and Oil and Gas Storage & transportation 10%. The remainder of the portfolio is other Oil & Gas equipment, services and derivatives.
The Chart
As you can see the chart is forming an ascending triangle and has made a series of higher lows due to upwards price pressure. Should this continue we should eventually have a breakout above the ascending triangle. We are now above the 200 day moving average however it has plateaued and thus we do not want to lose the $39.41 level which would mean we have lost our most recent higher low and would also confirm we have lost the diagonal support line. For now it is positive and we have price pushing higher with higher lows each month.
Global X FinTech ETF - NASDAQ:FINX
The Global X FinTech ETF (FINX) is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the performance of the Indxx Global FinTech Thematic Index. These are companies that are involved in the development and use of financial technology (FinTech).
The ETF seeks to provide exposure to companies at the forefront of financial technology innovation, including those involved in payment processing, digital banking, blockchain technology, peer-to-peer lending, and other disruptive financial services.
Interestingly, Coinbase Global NASDAQ:COIN is its largest holding at 9%, then Intuit Inc NASDAQ:INTU at 8% and Fiserv Inc NYSE:FI at 6%. Other notables are PayPal, Fidelity and Block which are all in the top 10 holdings making up about 4 – 5% of the portfolio each.
This is a fascinating little index that gives you exposure to some of the more established financial entities whilst also providing exposure to the trending innovative financial tech plays. One extra thing I like about this tracked Index is that it is 51% exposed to Information Technology but then you have c.40% in Financials, something people just cannot do without.
The Chart
We have a breakout of a long running descending wedge. Price has fallen c. 65% from the highs made a series of lower lows and has now broken out of the wedge and strongly broken above the 200 day moving average. As I always say, an entry off the 200 DSAM is usually ideal but we have a long term potential change of direction here on the chart could be a signal for FinTech playing a major role over the coming decade in finance. This leads me to my last chart of the day.
Global X Blockchain ETF - NASDAQ:BKCH
The Global X Blockchain ETF ( NASDAQ:BKCH ) is an exchange-traded fund designed to track the performance of the Indxx Blockchain Index. This ) The ETF seeks to invest in companies positioned to benefit from the increased adoption of blockchain technology, including companies in digital asset mining, blockchain & digital asset transactions, blockchain applications, blockchain & digital asset hardware, and blockchain & digital asset integration.
Earlier this year I spotted a very promising opportunity in the Cleanspark Inc NASDAQ:CLSK Chart, I checked the major components of this ETF only to find CLSK as a top three holding making up 12% of the portfolio weighting in the ETF, this helped confirm my conviction to place a trade. Since investing and sharing the original chart this stock has increased >100%+. As I noted above, when you see large institutional indexes/or tracked indexes showing a lot of faith in a company and putting their money where their mouth is with these sorts of weightings, it can be a confirmation signal after finding a brilliant looking chart. Marathon Digital NASDAQ:MARA is the largest holding in the ETF at 17% and Coinbase comes at 2nd place at 14%. The remainder of the portfolio is collection of other blockchain related firms including PayPal, Block, Cipher Mining, Nvidia, Robinhood, Bakkt holdings, Galaxy Digital…I think you get the picture.
The Chart
This chart is very similar to the Fintech Chart however it has some subtle differences that make it a more favorable chart. The 200 DSMA is clearly on the ascend for a number of months and appears to have demonstrated itself as support. We have higher lows and now a higher high…. which says a lot. We also have the obvious breakout from the pennant. All in All this is beautiful looking chart however we should note that we had a strong pull back in summer 2023 and we could have another from the $60 level. If you are placing bids on this chart it should be for the long haul and as always, an ideal entry is off the 200 DSMA or your Dollar Cost Averaging for a long term hold.
These are a few of the charts that I track closely but rarely talk about, some of the major holdings in these stocks helped lead some of my investment decisions this year. If big money and funds are investing in a company or sector where the chart is also looking good, its was always an indication to me that money could be flowing towards these stocks, especially when making up such large positions within these large index funds.
If you enjoyed me covering index and the inferences drawn from them let me know and I’ll share some of the others I track.
Folks things are looking really good for the long term on all the above global indexes
Happy Christmas Everyone
PUKA
AMP providing good R:R for a 300-400% Bull Cycle Altcoin PumpAmp is an Ethereum token that aims to “collateralize payments on the Flexa Network, making them instant and secure.” If a BTC or ETH payment fails due to unconfirmed or long transaction times “the Amp collateral can instead be liquidated to cover losses” while the vendor receives payment in fiat, potentially providing greater assurances to both parties.
The Risk: Reward looks very good for bullish reversal out of the extreme bear channel.
Be disciplined and take profit whenever the Beta to Alpha pump has completed
Global Fintech Index to target 464 after crossing 280Weekly chart,
Global Fintech Index , will complete 2 chart patterns above 280
Then, the target will be 464, passing through a strong resistance level at 350
Very positive, the MACD indicator has crossed the signal and zero line upwards.
Note, that the index can swing between the GREEN and RED lines until crossing up the GREEN line.
Is the PayPal bottom finally in? My bet is yes.After an excruciating 82%+ drawdown from all-time highs made 2 years ago, PayPal is finally showing some signs of bottoming action following the company's recent earnings report.
The new CEO Alex Chriss has got all of the right talking points and focused on the right areas of the business. The true growth areas of the company are still in question, but from a value stand-point the stock trades at some of the cheapest levels in the company's history.
From a technical perspective, the stock is holding the recent earnings gap up and is starting to form higher highs and higher lows on the daily. A breakout up and over this $59 area should bring a fresh wave of momentum buyers as the stock attempts to reverse its longer-term downtrend.
I recently acquired a long position for my longer-term investments portfolio and am looking for higher prices over the next several quarters and full year. (disclosure: long)
I’d Like to Be, Under the $SELong term buys from here down to a possible gap fill (low 30's from 2019-2020 pre pump to 300s) have a great R:R if you have a long enough time horizon. Company is putting in the money now to have effortless positive earnings/share in the future. Hard to ignore at these levels with the CEO still so heavily invested and holding strong. Long term price target > $100 and willing to hold for 5+ years to possibly see >200 and a run to ATH for a 10x. Buying anything barring new information.
LNWY- a fintech company announces stock repurchase LONGLendway had a big start to the week with the after-effects of the repurchase
program driving stock price higher. On the 15-minute chart- the abrupt change
in momentum from a peak on Friday at the lunch hour into a low in the pre-market
on Monday with a V-shaped move down and up again and then a monster move
from there and a fade after that. LNWY seems to have moved into a parallel channel
with a trend slope/ angle of about 25% the ZL MACD shows a line cross under the histogram
which went red to green. I will take a long trade here. the stop loss is under the new
trend line at 4.45 while the final target is at the top of the upper resistance trend line at
7.25. An initial target is set about halfway in between them at 6.00 This is a stock with
high current volatility given the intention to buy back 400.000 shares in a relatively low float
environment. ( www.stocktitan.net ) I anticipate high profile
with a relatively low risk. There are no options available to either hedge or amplify risk.
AFRM Can it continue the move after earnings ?AFRM jumped about 27% from a decent earnings beat on Thursday August 24th.
It is now sitting in the tip of a bullish pennant pattern and at the POC line of the
volume profile. The dual time frame RS indicator suggests strength is above 50
after the close of the week fade. The MACD lines crossing and above the horizontal
.
zero suggests this is simply a rest in bullish momentum Price is above then mean VWAP
and tracking one standard deviation above it. My trade plan is long or short depending
on how price moves off the POC line. I have drawn entry levels for a market or buy stop
order. The stop loss would be the opposite blue line. Targets start out at 19.5 and upside from
there.
PYPL | Buy the Fear!!! | LONGPayPal Holdings, Inc. operates a technology platform that enables digital payments on behalf of merchants and consumers worldwide. The company provides payment solutions under the PayPal, PayPal Credit, Braintree, Venmo, Xoom, PayPal Zettle, Hyperwallet, PayPal Honey, and Paidy names. Its payments platform allows consumers to send and receive payments in approximately 200 markets and in approximately 150 currencies, withdraw funds to their bank accounts in 56 currencies, and hold balances in their PayPal accounts in 25 currencies. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
$MQ reversal play 👁🗨️*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
This afternoon my team purchased shares of FinTech company Marqeta $MQ at $4 per share.
Our Entry: $4.00
Take Profit: unclear (we will use the fib-tool to determine a good take profit)
Stop Loss: $3.75
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
Paypal - Going Long In a Bear Market?Paypal is an antiquated business model. The problem is, the Federal Reserve just launched FedNow, which is like a bank-to-bank Central Bank Digital Currency.
Most CBDCs will come in the future, and they will target retail/consumers, and Paypal will no longer be useful for transferring money.
In Canada, where I am, Paypal is already primarily worthless, because the company that handles debit card payments, Interac, set up, many, many years ago, a service that allows us to send money to each other from our banks via email.
Both people and businesses use it extensively. It's fast, easy, instant, and free, so why bother with Paypal?
CBDCs are a problem for humanity, because they are the collar, leash, and chains that enable Party West's implementation of their favourite role model, the Chinese Communist Party, who deployed full scale social credit under the guise of "Zero COVID."
The CCP and its 24-year persecution against the Falun Dafa spiritual believers launched by former Chairman Jiang Zemin on July 20, 1999, are something absolutely essential for mankind to reject, oppose, and eliminate.
They aren't things for you to rack your brains thinking about importing so that stimmies can be collected from a central authority.
If you want a future, we need to return to mankind's traditions, human, divinely imparted tradition and culture, and dispose of the garbage that is Marxism, atheism, the Theory of Evolution, and the doctrine of struggle.
The fact that Paypal is being replaced by CBDCs is awful evident on monthly candles, which give you absolutely no reason to believe there's going to be any kind of Meta/Tesla/NVDIA-style reversal of fortune.
But what's really notable about this stock, which I have criticized extensively on Twitter as not being a long, is the weekly bars, since April, actually indicate a long trade scalp is set up.
That scalp setup has not been present for even one second, until today's post market earnings dump back to $68.
The thesis is simple.
Since Paypal has filled ALL of the gap, and over a long period of time, it indicates for lower prices to come, some objectives over previous highs are most likely in order.
The most premium level for this to occur would be the January high at $88.
But a failure swing somewhere over $84 would also be a heck of a trade.
Where to long? Tomorrow's dump may be too early. The most perfect would be $65, under the flat bottom lows. But you may or may not get it.
The problem is, how long does it take Paypal to mark up into the $80s?
We don't have that much time to play with the JPM collar being long 4,200 SPX puts expiring September 29.
And the markets are looking like they intend perhaps one more upswing before doom, which I cover here:
SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg
In any event, markets correcting violently and VIX pushing highs hard may put a painful and abrupt end to rallies across all classes.
But it seems we may have a rally ahead.
And with all the factors combining, buying Paypal between Thursday and Friday in a price range between $68 and $65 is a trade.
If it doesn't go up, then the trade isn't confirmed. But you might have to wait at least a month to see if that comes true.
What you don't want to and can't see is the $58 low taken out.
When Paypal is done taking out short sellers who didn't take profit at $58 and want to ride to zero, I believe the next target is the $45 level.
And then this thing goes the way of Bed Bath and Beyond and Blockbuster.
Be careful. What lies ahead in the remainder of 2023 will be hard to navigate.
And 2024 might be an entirely unpleasant experience for all.
SOFI Swing Trade RecapSOFI as a fin tech company has been volatile. Besides the issues of student loan
forgiveness, the federal adjustments of the intrabank overnight rates and inflation
inparting the budgets of its customers, the landscape has landmines and its litterd
with signs of fiscal damage. Knowing it had upcoming earnings and perhaps some
greed competing against fear with traders. I took a trade and the closed it on
earnings. Here are the particulars.
!. the 30 minute bare chart is overlaid with a double set of Bollinger Bands. The settings are
not the default. If you want them, like the idea and then ask. A linear regression line with a
period of 28 is added. The volume is underneath. Finally a MACD indicator in a lower pane.
2. For the entry, on July 27, late in the session, price fell outside the lower bands and then
came back inside them after printing a red Doji bar and a little surge of selling volume
above the running mean. There it was a simple easy entry. Price crosses over the
regression line. MACD lines crossed under the histogram.
3. The swing trade progressed and price action progressed. On the mornings of the report
release traders were freaked out. Was the beat good enough ? Volatity was over the top.
after a bit of a drop, volume came into the trade in a big way and price followed the lead of
volume ( serious money flow). Price shot higher and got beyond those BB upper bands with
hugh volatility topping wicks. Once price got back inside the bands I exited.
4. This trade yielded more than 25% in 3 day pretty good for just a little effort. Of course stop
loss was moved every time a 2% rise occurred the stop loss was moved up 2.2% getting closer
and closer to price gradually.
5. Price dropped into a full pullback within a couple of hours. I would have liked to play
the downside but I was overextended on the number of trades I was managing.
6. As an afterthought, price is now doing what is called a lower bollinger band walk,
That is to say, it is increasingly at risk to reverse and start uptrending. Price is under the
middle BB and a little under the mean VWAP. It is begging to reverse. I am waiting for
an entry on that and the wait will not be long.
( By the way a certain someone, you are a smart trader and you will most certainly know
I uploaded this idea for you).
SQ WVAP Breakdown into Earnings LONGOn the 30- minute chart BLOCK ( SQ) broke down from a VWAP pop last week into
a drop this week to earnings which were a 7% beat on earnings. MACD lines are about
to cross. he lower RS line in green is showing bullish divergence while the mass index
signal is in the reversal zone looking to trigger with a fall. Finally the narrow range or
flat candlebars at the end of the price action show the reversal is impending.
I see this as a fade into good earnings worthy of a reversal long and so I will take that trade.
SOFI vwap crossover earnings 2 days LONGOn Friday the 28th SOFI had a good day. I am looking for more of the same going
into earnings. It dropped through the middle VWAP bands and remarkably rebounded.
Great volatility to be exploited. Some consolidation at the +1 Standard Deviation band
is normal and healthy. SOFI as a financial technology has been honing its margins
in a challenging environment. I see a long trade here and will take it being careful
to take profits quickly and pay attention to the earnings release. A stock trade on an
the intraday basis is considered. A 1 % stop loss is good enough since price is sitting on
dynamic support. The target is 10.0, the pivot high of mid-July, This is 2.5% for a modest
quick trade with a risk of 1 for a reward of 2.5. Just a basic trade at a good entry.
SOFI channeling but rising LONGShown on a 15-minute chart, SOFI is seen slowly rising in a parallel channel
bounded by a pair of anchored VWAP bands - the first and second deviations
above the mean VWAP from anchors back in mid-June. Fundamentally, SOFI
has been challenged by another round of student loan forgiveness by our
President as well as the instability in the prime rates ongoing.
On the chart, price is near to the bottom support of the mean VWAP lines coming
back to them since rising above them about July 10th. The trend index indicator
is neutral having resolved a minor trend down. Price dropped today with the
bond auction fiasco and general market downturn. the RS indicator shows both
low and high time frame lines bounced from the lows and the lower time frame
green line now crossing over 50.
I see SOFI as ripe and ready for a long trade to exploit this dip and the overall
long trend in a slowly rising channel I will set a stop loss under VWAP at 8.97
and the target of 9.45 , the first standard deviation blue lines and the POC line of
the volume profile, and the secondary target of 9.95 below the second
deviation red lines . I see that as a buy the low dip and sell upon the reversion to
the mean.
Is SOFI a buy or a sell?SOFi in the past month as shown on the 4H chart has run up more than 80% and now appears
to be in a standard 50% Fibonacci retracement. Price has descended from two standard
deviations above the mean VWAP to a single deviation after a Doji reversal candle on
June 14th. The reversal was also marked by the RSI and the signal lines crossing at a
reading of 93 and then descending. The price volume trend indicator went from green
for increasing to a flat line and then red for decreasing. Overall, I believe that SOFI
has nearly completed a retracement. I will watch for RSI to rise above 20 and the PVT
to transition from red to green and the candles themselves for a bullish candle pattern
or formation in order to ascertain an optimal long entry. I will do this on a 5 or 15 minute
time frame chart to make the best assessment of that entry. My first target is $ 10.20
or just under the pivot high while the second target is $13.00 just under a support area a
year ago on the weekly chart. Fundamentally, I believe that the reactivation of student loan
repayments will have dramatic effects on SOFI's earnings.
SOFI in consolidation so can it continue bullishSOFI on the 2H chart is showing a massive bullish move of 30% in ten days. Most of the trading
volume was near to the present price and indicated by the POC line on the volume profile.
Price has not moved since most of the trades as there is now a consolidation phase more or less
in the style of the high tight bull flag pattern. The three pat indicator of RSI, momentum and
money flow index is red for momentum which went over 60 and then 80 and otherwise green.
Overall, the indicator is a bullish bias. The volume indicator interestingly shows most of the
the massive increase in volume is at the consolidation phase. This makes sense to me because in
a nearly parabolic up move without a pullback it is hard to find a decent entry. Many traders
including those based in large institutions will simply wait until a consolidation phase begins.
The price is in the upper VWAP bands showing buyer has successfully pushed against the
well-entrenched short sellers. The rise in price could force short sellers to buy to cover and
close. In doing so they would actually help entrench bullish momentum. I believe I will join
others in a long trade awaiting the next leg up. My stop loss is the mean VWAP +1 std dev while
the target will be mean VWAP +3 std dev. Fundamentally, I believe that the financial sector
including the fintech subsector are getting hot as technology is overextended.