SQ: Sell Zone is 170 -176SQ is forming a leading diagonal off the lows. The bottom is in for the near term, and price should head up to the sell zone at the 170-176 region. After that, price will pull back for 4-8 weeks to about the 110-120 level before beginning the big move up during W-3. Since W-3 topped at the 1.0 extension, I am targeting the 1.382 extension for W-5.
Fintech
StoneCo (4H) - short term Bullcase // could it fill the GAP ?Hello traders (and some investors ?),
As you could notice, most of high-growth and tech stocks are in bear market for last several months.
While huge part of them formed abc corrective waves down. StoneCo formed impulsive wave (of 5 subwaves) DOWN =that´s not good sign because impulsive waves are never alone.
So my thesis how to play this stock is this.:
- You can see there is a GAP around 27-29usd which is around 0.238 retracement. (possible 140% gains).
Fundamentals:
-- there is huge risk, as it is Emerging market in Brazil.
- A lot of competitors(like NU bank) with much bigger backing (Berkshoire invested in both, also Softbank, ...)
++ StoneCo grow very fast in terms of AMU and revenue.
+/- management hired some advisors which could help to restruturalize business (and also increase expenses :( )...
+/- Stone aquired some businesses which was very good step, but I really dont understand why they bought stake in Banco inter (AT THE TOP !!) = seriously guys, they should consider hiring at least average trader / Technical analyst for this kind of aquisitions / investments...
+/- stock price correlates highly with other Groth/tech stocks (check my Fintech/ecommerce analysis ... seems like Stoneco correlates more with Chines market than SaP).
So fundamentally its 50/50 and depending on many variables = long term it could be nice investment if you are willing going to the moon or to zero....
Right now I´m not willing take so big risk to hold it forever, so my target is around 28 usd. if we form wave C of correction UP, I will sell everything and watch from side.
Take care, strade safe and enjoy the ride. ;)
DLocal $DLO is giving signs of recoveryNASDAQ:DLO is one of the new hot growth stocks that is in everyones radar. The good thing is that as it has been beating up for the las few months, it may be a good play.
Since December the MACD is been signaling a bullish divergnece. Now, after a good double-bottom it seems that the price has made a pause making a handle. This volatility compresion with low volume is the perfect signal for an explosive move. And that move may be upward.
Still growth stocks haven't been working so I would play very safe. Start with a buy at $34.50 with a small position and then add up as the price maintains the bullish move. Also, beware of the support and resistance zones.
CHINA BIG DIP analysis + TENCENT (e-commerce, fintech, gaming)Hello Traders, Investors and Speculants :),
You probably heard about Tencent holdings investment group.: These days you can hear some Fundamental analysis about Naspers / Prosus tranfer (spin-off) from South Africa exchange to Amsterdam.
Many super-investors (value investors) like Guy Spier / Mohnish Pabrai are most likely increasing their position in Tencent directly or via Prosus shares.
++ others are buying CHina stocks // Charlie Munger = BABA, Ray Dalio increasing positions, Nitin Saigal fully invested in China ...).
So Why would you need another analysis if they are alredy buying?
This thread will be purely my opinion about oportunity for Buying into Tencent and many China located gigants + why I think, we are near the temporary bottom of correction = of Wave A !!
If you look at biggest China companies, almost all of them reached All-Time-High from November 2020 till February 2020 = Potential TOP of China growth-tech bubble.
(this time it could be e-commerce, finTech, Gaming companies + Crypto of course...)
Lets take a look at few of them, this thread will continue in comments so stay tuned.
TENCENT as one of biggest Chinese companies (acting more like ETF based on around 700 holdings).
AliBABA
KWEB - China internet ETF
MEITUAN (Btw biggest Tencent position)
SEA Limited:
NIO:
Whats interesting even some Non-China Fintech companies reached their ATH around this time like StoneCo (Brazil).:
SOuth America - Mercado Libre - MELI:
While in the US, Covid related restrictions and fear of investors was probably slightly delayed by several Months:
is still near thSPX, AMZN, and other FAANG ggants are still near ATHs, some of the FinTech and e-commerce companies start to fall.
PAYPAL:
SQuare:
Conclusion + Investment Thesis:
1) Be very carefull with catching the falling knife. Wait for pure Buy signals and signals of reversal at least at 3D/1W charts. Also consider buying only with very good RRRatio + clear setup.
2) China could be very good oportunity for short term BUY-LONG setups when you will be able to count all subwaves of Wave A but still be very carefull. (Around 1-3 months from now).
3) US and western - world conutries will probably continue to fall in dozens of % DOWN. (US is delayed, it could take around 3-6 months to reach bottom and point of maximum fear of retail and small VC investors.)
Patience folks, patience.
SOFI Bounce?Looks like wave C of this downtrend could be a double three. If that is the case it should bounce next week if the overall market is decent. Looking for 10-11$ short term. If it ends up being a triple three which is very likely considering I think the overall market (see SPY chart) might bounce early next week and then is extremely bearish, SOFI will go lower than the ATL it set this week. Looking for a bounce this week though.
SoFI close to the SPAC priceSoFi gained approval and started SoFi Bank operations after the end of 2021.
With the Super Bowl played at SoFi Stadium they gained a lot of brand awareness.
In the chart we can se a massive bullish divergence.
My short term price target is the $14.15 resistance.
Bank of America targets $17 for SOFI shares.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SQ - Back to pre-covid levelscatching a falling sword only brings hurt...no reason whatsoever to bottom fish at this level...if 100 is taken out, next level is way down.
If you are a believer (aka LT investor) you might want to dip your toes a little. There is a good support at 100 and structurally, company is not worse than what it was pre-covid.
FUTU - tight range above all daily moving averages
Holding all moving averages on daily ++
Selling volume is lower than average ++
hasn't made new low since Dec 13 +++
Hasn't made new high since Jan 20 --
Overall weakness in chinese names -
Takeaway: once price moves over 50 on volume, this will push to 65 and higher. Patience for now.
SoFi: A Catalyst Saturated Fintech About To Drive Rapid GrowthSoFi has been beaten down, manipulated and ridiculed due to its SPAC origins… without even taking into perspective of the fast growth ahead of it.
The biggest reason that SoFi hasn’t seen rapid growth so far is due to the Biden Administration Extending Student Loan Pause Through May 1, 2022. I firmly expect this to be the last extension.
“The Department will continue its work to transition borrowers smoothly back into repayment…”
When this ends in combination with SoFi recently getting its bank charter approved… Revenue and Profit Projections will be updated to the positive.
SoFi has already started rolling out new features for members such as Margin trading, a 1.00% APY on both checking and savings (Market Leading) APY). More to come…
I highly expect SoFi’s upcoming earnings to be solid with an incredibly positive guidance ahead of it.
Many Major Analysts support this outlook with current ratings and price targets.
My Opinion:
$25+ is very realistic within the short term (2-4 months)
$35-$45 by end of the year with continued expansion in provided products as well as operations through CONUS & Internationally.
(Not a licensed financial advisor)
HOOD Robinhood: 4H Chart ReviewHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 4H linear scale chart for Robinhood Markets, Inc (HOOD).
The chart is self-explanatory. Price has a nice short term move up, however RSI just broke the support line, with the potential of a move down in price. Please read the chart for all the notes.
Included in the chart: Trend line, Support and Resistance Lines, RSI, MFI, Stochastic RSI, Volume, Parallel Channel, Median Line.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
I have a bunch of additional recent charts below on cryptocurrencies to review. Check them out!
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
SQ Block Inc: 1D Chart ReviewHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1D linear scale chart for Block, Inc. (SQ).
The chart is self-explanatory. The price is in a descending broadening wedge and making an attempt to break out of the wedge. If price gets rejected it could fall into the Support Areas. RSI is at the S/R line and has potential to bounce off of it. If RSI breaks down, expect the price to continue falling down. Price is below the EMA Ribbons and SMA (50 and 200).
Included in the chart: Trend line, Support and Resistance Lines, RSI, MFI, Descending Broadening Wedge, Fibonacci Retracement, Death Cross, Simple Moving Average, Exponential Moving Average, Volume.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
I have additional charts below on cryptocurrencies, stocks and more to review. Check them out!
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
SOFI Becomes a National BankToday, SoFi Technologies ( NASDAQ:SOFI ) announced that the company received regulatory approval to become a National Bank. This is a massive achievement for SOFI. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Federal Reserve have approved SOFI's applications to become a Bank Holding Company through its proposed acquisition of Golden Pacific Bancorp and operate its bank subsidiary as SoFi Bank , National Association.
SOFI expects the acquisition of Golden Pacific Bancorp to close in February 2022, subject to the remaining customary closing conditions.
“This incredible milestone elevates our ability to help even more people get their money right and realize their ambitions,” said Anthony Noto, CEO of SoFi. “With a national bank charter, not only will we be able to lend at even more competitive interest rates and provide our members with a high-yielding interest in checking and savings, but it will also enhance our financial products and services to ensure they efficiently meet the needs of our members, business partners, and communities across the country while continuing to uphold a high bar of regulatory standards and compliance. This important step allows us to add to our broad suite of financial products and services to better be there for our members during the major financial moments in their lives and all of the moments in between. I’m incredibly proud of our team and excited about the opportunities ahead to help even more people achieve financial independence.”
Last year, in a key strategic step in SoFi’s path to obtaining a national bank charter, the company announced a definitive agreement by its subsidiary Social Finance to acquire Golden Pacific Bancorp and its wholly-owned subsidiary Golden Pacific Bank. SoFi plans to contribute $750 million in capital and pursue its national, digital business plan while maintaining Golden Pacific Bank's community bank business and footprint, including Golden Pacific Bank's current three physical branches. At the time of the announcement, SoFi submitted a revised business plan for Golden Pacific Bank to the OCC and an application to become a bank holding company and for a change of control to the Federal Reserve for approval. After completing the acquisition of Golden Pacific Bank, SoFi Technologies will become the parent company of SoFi Bank, National Association.
Over the past year, SOFI investors have been hit left, right, and center holding onto this highly volatile stock. In fact, the stock has continued to move towards all-time lows day after day. That being said, fundamentally, the business continues to perform very well. SOFI's guidance for Q4 2021 points towards SoFi reigniting revenue growth rates to 55% yr/yr growth. This gives investors reassurance during this turbulent time that SOFI is indeed still growing rapidly.
Right now, with SOFI's National Bank approval, this fintech stock's risk-reward profile is arguably the best it's ever been.
AFRM possible reversalWhat’s bullish:
- Filled the gap
- Bullish divergence
- Bounced off strong resistance line transforming into support line
- Bounced off strong support line since May
- Earnings approaching
What’s bearish:
- Still under 50ema
- Overall sentiment for Fintech is bearish at the moment
Me:
Hello started with stocks 1 year ago. After analyzing many charts I have accumulate more experience than a newb now I’m a newb+. Feel free to give me feedback
Omicron we didn’t like but let’s try to recoverThe latest covid variant has certainly thrown the market into panic and has caused several collapses including the recent transfer of value by this ETF.
In my previous analysis in November, my idea of increasing the price of ARKF was completely disregarded.
Despite everything it seems that institutional investors have not changed their tendency to reduce the SHORT positions that they had already started, the recent collapse seems to be due mostly to sales by professional investors.
Now a reversal of this wave of sales seems to have begun, so I expect a price rise again.
I’ll mediate the positions already in place, waiting for the ascent.
Upstart's Next RallyElliot Wave Analysis on $UPST:
1- Corrective Wave 2 should most likely be completed somewhere in the zone depicted on the chart
2- Wave 2 may not be complete before 17 Mar 2022
3- Wave A, the first leg down of Wave 2, is already stretched enough so the price should reverse to the upside sooner than later
4- Wave 3, which is usually the longest and strongest of all waves has a price target of $750 to $1130. A more accurate target can be estimated once Wave 2 is complete
5- A very rough estimate shows us that Wave 3 should be completed around mid-2024 yielding 5x to 8x if $UPST is purchased at today's price around $140
This is not financial advice, DYODD
Cheap Valuations for Fintech PSFERecent strategic partnerships and acquisitions, insider share buying, trading under a 2.0 P/S with ~ $1.5B annual revs and $120B transactional volume, and significant gaps to fill on the chart all make PSFE a no-brainer buy at these levels.
Just my personal opinion, not investment advice.
Paypal. Hammered as of late but is it time to buy the dip.Off more than 35% over the last few months and infact down on the year, this appears to be a dip that should be snapped up. The RSI has never been so oversold on multiple timeframes. The fisher is in extreme lows and with the price placed nicely on support. The recent fall has also made a bullish crab. Targets of 234 + 288 then will reassess.
$PKK Double Bottom Reversal PatternThis is where Technical Analysis and strong company fundamentals collide.
CSE:PKK has their strongest quarter incoming (Q4) which is expected to surpass 2020's revenue in it's entirety.
This, combined with a NASDAQ listing, and other unknown catalysts should result in powerful capital market results.
More on the double bottom pattern:
"The double bottom looks like the letter "W". The twice-touched low is considered a support level.
The double bottom pattern always follows a major or minor down trend in a particular security, and signals the reversal and the beginning of a potential uptrend. Consequently, the pattern should be validated by market fundamentals for the security itself, as well as the sector that the security belongs to, and the market in general. The fundamentals should reflect the characteristics of an upcoming reversal in market conditions. Also, volume should be closely monitored during the formation of the pattern. A spike in volume typically occurs during the two upward price movements in the pattern. These spikes in volume are a strong indication of upward price pressure and serve as further confirmation of a successful double bottom pattern."
IS $UPST READY FOR BREAKOUT?$UPST after a beautiful bull run now it is getting correction and need to breakout the falling wedge for reversal. Mentioned points in chart about reversal. Currently $UPST met the support $206 want here to create a base for reversal if it misses to hold next big level will be on $191 support level. Good earnings and good growth stock to be hold for long run but don’t chase it in down trend let it settle down and start making reversal.