NASDAQ:TLT chart mapping/analysis. Note: TradingView chart dividend adjusted. Price action bouncing off Golden Pocket (66% Fib) support Heavy trading volume = institutional activity (ie positioning?) Rejection wicks on previous weekly candles = selling pressure still present (correlation with long-end yields holding strength) Looking for re-test of...
NASDAQ:TLT chart mapping/analysis for med-long term swing trade strategies.
The TLT has been mostly chopping sideways for the last 4 months, and while it is still directionless, it has been able to stay above it's cycle lows and not roll over to retest them. This consolidation is looking more and more healthy and if we can finally get some closes above 109, this could finally initiate a second leg higher to those Q2 2022 levels. Started...
It's pretty much all about Fibonacci today - the market has recent peaked at around 4.24 and is in the process of eroding a key convergence of support at 3.25/3.32 (lows since January, the 55-week ma and the 2018 high). These are looking vulnerable and failure will imply a deeper corrective move lower towards 3.00 and potentially 2.80ish - the 38.2% retracement of...
Just wanted to highlight the falling wedge pattern on the bund (#reversal) that we noted on Friday will complete on a close above 137.25, however given the move this morning we will just go with it. It offers an approximate 147 upside measured target. Near term #resistance is 140.63/85 - the 23.6% retracement of the move down from December 2021, the June 2022 low...
A significant loss of downside momentum depicted by the #divergence of the weekly and month #RSI AND a potential falling wedge suggests that market should be closely monitored for signs of #reversal. #fixedincome #technicalanalysis #trading #investing Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to...
10x.....from a low 0.31% in March to 3.48% currently. With Fed speak not being understood by the market....the technicals might. The 10 year yield s are all set to usher the new year at higher levels.
The talk of economists these days seem to be "Cash is King" (esp USD) vs "Cash is Trash". While it's true that a lot of people are liquidating their assets now in favor of dollars, given that our economies are interconnected more now than ever before, this might only last for a very short period of time. While the market is likely to go into panic mode soon (the...
10yr keep an eye Got a H&S formation, keep an eye if we break down further there are key support areas IF this continues further. However, we are at key support and don't forget month end. Have a great weekend 🎉 TJ
Since the January of 2021, UK Gilt futures has been trending down sharply. One of the main reason why I always enjoy trading bond market is that its trend is very clear and also persistant. The price often follows a textbook style of breakouts and retracements, occurring at clear support and resistance levels. Recently, the price has made a new low and aims to...
10yr - Key area, you can even look at Bunds - Support lower HT = ST Movement.
As usual, Russian local corp bonds are less sensitive to momentum than sovs (OFZ). On price charts you can see that in spite of correction in OFZ corp index moved less. Investors should be more careful in local corps selection paying more attention to spread values.
I've been bullish this ETF for a little while and it has been consolidating and building nicely. There is another bullish break of a flag - still looking for 38.50 target initially. Been paid a nice cheeky monthly dividend while we wait.
When economy faces drag lending and borrowing of USD tightens. Investors expect higher yield for taking more risk causing the spread to widen, and liquidity to increase this also shows expectations of future default risk. High yield spreads- option adjusted have bottomed and are now starting to slowly trend upwards. This is showing the market is not really worried...
In a world where everything seems expensive the BB bond still seems Attractive in comparison to BBB rates corporate debt. The BB continues to offer a nice spread 143 BP spread over its BBB relative. Now with that in mind one must remember recently for the first time ever HY (high yield) corporate debt now yields below the rate of inflation, however with the FED...
Idea for TLT: - Short downtrend which retested median line high. - PT: 112 GLHF - DPT
Idea for IEF: - Short the downtrend, Head and Shoulders likely. - TP1: 108 - PT: 100 GLHF - DPT
HBRD vs. FLOT, Australian All Ordinaries XAO