Still think the fundamentals for bitcoin are incredibly bullish: Miners: Outflows - Bearish Miners still depositing to exchanges - Bearish BTC Whales: Reserves Increasing - Bullish Transferring BTC off exchanges - Bullish Institutions: Still a narrative of corporations acquiring BTC in leu of traditional treasury assets - like treasuries ...
Hey there, thanks for reading my idea! This isn't financial advice. Remember to do your own DD. Investing is risky. This is connected to my "Feeling Overextended?" idea which can be found here . An important metric to watch when determining whether a recession is imminent is the inversion of the Treasury bonds yield curve. Most specifically, the 3-month, 2-year...
Thought I published this yesterday, was thinking that the gaps on this might get filled. Not overly optimistic about a run down to 20.35, let alone the one below 20, compromising with an order for a few. Tiny starter position at 20.55 for 14 shares, might just say screw it, we may get get some more bearishness tomorrow or the next week, but as we close in on the...
Do all gaps get filled? No, but sometimes it pays to have an order or two in, especially when the market is as it is - overvalued. PCI seems like a relatively decent instrument to harvest dividends over the long-term, but...as always, I want a better price. Not being overly ambitious in trying for the second gap, tiny position planned, but as always, I like to try...
Pouca gente sabe, mas analisando as curvas de juros futuros é possível fazer trade com renda fixa. Em 2020 as oportunidades foram muitas!
Risk appetite is back on the menu and YYY is primed for more upward momentum in the current market environment. It currently yields over 11% and the fact that it is up today on the record date is very bullish. It's rare to have a fixed income product act like equity, so might as well capitalize. *P/L targets on chart -personal analysis, not investment advice,...
FED FUND CONDOR AUG 20-OCT 20 VS NOV 20 - JAN 21
US10y : Series on Bonds - Sept 20th 2019(7-8 minute read) For the past couple of month yield curves, particularly the 10 year vs the short term maturities have been a popular topic in the mainstream media, mostly because of the yield curve inversion . This analysis aims to provide a well detailed approach to some of the crucial factors regarding the US...
ZN1! : Series on Bonds - Sept 20th 2019(4-5 minute read) This is a two part analysis on the US 10 year Treasury note , the second part analyses the yield. In my opinion, technical analysis is somewhat (okay-ish) effective in analysing bond price action, especially to bonds with longer maturities. This is because they are priced in terms of private...
LIBOR OIS SPREAD ED SEP 2020 - FF OCT 2020
FED INTEREST RATES( FRED ) - Extension(PART 2) to the US (SPX) Sectors Technical Analysis Series - 18th of August 2019 (9-10 Minute Read) Everyone complains about the FED rates. That's our only job, it seems . Judging by his tweets, no one has been more eager to express their dissatisfaction, than Pres. Trump (bit' of sarcasm) . This is Part 2 - of an ...
The whole world was glued to twitter waiting for an update on the trade war from President Trump. However what they received was rather anticlimactic: a tweet about saying we don't need to rush a trade deal, which was later deleted. It is likely the markets will interpret this as a risk-off event, since they were really expecting more clarification. Currently,...
Bonds have been gradually overbought owing to a slew of risk off factors including global economic fears, and the trade war. At this point, we may be due for a corrective phase by the end of the week. There is a representative from China flying in, so this may provide a much needed respite from the doom and gloom. The Kovach Momentum Indicators suggest that...
FED FUNDS CONDOR AUG19-OCT19 vs NOV19-JAN19 (FFQ2019-FFV2019)*100-(FFX2019-FFF2020)*100