SHORT IDEA in BITCOINHello, fellow traders!
I’m sharing a short idea on BTC. Bitcoin has recently reached over 79,300, and I’m opening a short position with a stop-loss (SL) at 80,200 and a take-profit (TP) at 76,200.
While I agree with the overall bullish trend on BTC, it seems like the price is moving up a bit too quickly. I’m expecting a possible pullback to around 76K, with a further potential drop to the 72-73K range. Based on this, I’ve decided to open a short position.
Looking forward to hearing your thoughts on this trade!
Fixedrangevolumeprofile
KIRLOSBROS - Cup & Handle patternAll details are given on chart. If you like the analyses please do share it with your friends, like and follow me for more such interesting charts.
Disc - Am not a SEBI registered analyst. Please do your own analyses before taking position. Analysis provided on chart is only for educational purposes and not a trading recommendation.
Very Important Update!Price action is currently trapped between two key value areas. Until we reclaim the VAL above, i'm expecting lower prices to come, and the point of control below (yellow line) is the next target. CRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC
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Sweet spot to sell USD/JPYHopes of feds cutting rate is getting more credit across the market and we also have Powell about to speak in the morning.
If he further confirms what the rate cuts anticipation, then it's fair to expect a continuation of the USD/JPY dump . At the least we can take some profit at value area low and leave a runner for an expected lower low
30% Rise Incoming#Cardano has held price above the major VAL and weekly level for a few days. I'm expecting higher prices. The POC 30% away is the target.
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JASMY Key Areas To Look For A GREAT TradeAfter a reclaim of the previous week VAL, there a higher probability price moves up to the daily level $0.0303. That area is where I would look to short and the area I'm interested in longing is $0.0241
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Litecoin Has A Battle Ahead!! Lets Go LTC!There's always a few ways things can play out but I'm thinking something like this.
Bullish move to the upside breaking through the POC. There's a lot of resistance right above around $75. If Flipped we have another Major level, the Monthly and POC at $83 &$84 after that is flipped I would expect $105 to $$115.
Keep in mind we can dump to $62 first to test the untapped weekly.
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Volume Profiles Are Important! :)Price respects these value levels. They increase your trade potential exponentially.
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BONK LOOKS VERY BULLISH AFTER I SAW THIS!Played around with the #FRVP tool and loving it.
The red lines are the POC for the previous months.
You can clearly see where the highest amount of volume has been traded over the past 5 months.
We are now above it! This is very bullish for #BONK as long as we stay above it! #Memecoin
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40% Increase on the horizonLets keep it simple. We flipped the VAH into support and continue to build value above, next area to test is the VAL above 40% higher. A nice pump is incoming and keep in mind, if the crypto market is bullish so is Robinhood.
Stay focused.
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RUM Struggling & aims for $6.00If we start closing high time frame candles below $6.80, the target will be $6.00. It left behind a massive FVG & Single print with the buy side imbalance.
Stay focused.
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XRP 16% PUMP To Next Resistance.XRP has broken out of a downtrend which started in March. We manage to close a weekly and daily candle above the POC.
There's a daily level we have failed to close above, over the past 3 days.
Flip that level into support and I would target $0.62 next 16%
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THE ONLY TRADES I'M TAKING - KEY LEVELSI went ahead and marked out a few key levels that I am interested in trading in the next 24 hours.
WE CAN ALSO FLIP THE RESISTANCE INTO SUPPORT. If that happens a would be interested in a long on the retest,
Let me know your thoughts below.
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Heavy Market Drop: Bitcoin and UNI Analysis🔍Let's dive into today's analysis. The market experienced a significant drop, especially Bitcoin. Altcoins also fell, but since Bitcoin's dominance decreased, Bitcoin's drop was more substantial than that of altcoins. Today, I want to analyze UNI, which has dropped less than Bitcoin. But first, let's look at Bitcoin's analysis.
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
🔍 We're analyzing Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. As you can see, after breaking 64,247, which was a trigger mentioned in previous analyses for short positions, the descending channel was broken from below. This can lead to two scenarios:
Trend Fatigue: The price may re-enter the channel.
Sharp Downtrend: The price may continue a sharp downtrend, which happened in this case with a 9% drop to the 58K low. It was then supported at 59,323 and is currently ranging around 61,300.
🔄 I hope you utilized the short triggers mentioned in previous analyses. Our triggers were 64,247 and 63,583, and with a break strategy, you could have easily taken a position with a risk-to-reward ratio of 5 to 20, depending on which trigger and stop-loss size you used.
📊 The selling volume in the market has increased significantly, and as the price takes a breather, the current buying volume is negligible compared to the selling volume during the downtrend, indicating the strength of the bearish trend.
📈 I am not recommending any long positions because it's illogical to open long positions when the market has such a strong bearish momentum.
📉 For short positions, we currently have the 59,323 trigger. If you want to enter earlier, you can use Dow Theory and open a short position whenever a lower low is made. I believe the price will wait for the SMA 99 to catch up since it's quite far from the current price.
📚 Bitcoin Dominance
Let's look at Bitcoin dominance. As I mentioned, Bitcoin's larger drop compared to altcoins is due to the decline in Bitcoin's dominance. This chart shows the percentage of money in the crypto market that is in Bitcoin.
🔑 Yesterday, with the break of 55.06%, Bitcoin dominance dropped, causing money to flow out of Bitcoin into altcoins. Part of this money became Tether, and part went into altcoins, causing both Bitcoin and altcoins to drop, but Bitcoin more so. Currently, dominance is ranging between 53.74% and 56.31%. With a break of the 55.06 trigger, it can move to the lower end of the range.
🦄 UNI Analysis
🔍 Now, let's analyze UNI. I've previously discussed the Uniswap project and its court case with the US in detail, so let's go straight to the chart.
🔄 In the previous analysis, I mentioned that you could open a long position with a break of 11.567, but a fake breakout occurred, and the price couldn't stabilize above this area. Subsequently, the price dropped past the POC fixed range volume profile and continued down to the 6.412 area. After a brief consolidation, it dropped again to the box low of 8.871.
📉 For shorts, the 8.871 trigger is very suitable, especially if Bitcoin dominance increases, making it a great short trigger. The target for this move could be 8.226, and after that, 6.768. A break of 26.35 in RSI could introduce bearish momentum into the market, making lower targets achievable.
📈 For longs, wait for the price to build a new structure. Until then, wait for a break of 10.82, which overlaps with the POC.
📝In conclusion, the market has shown a significant bearish movement, especially in Bitcoin, which has led to cautious market sentiment. For Bitcoin, short positions remain more favorable due to the strong bearish momentum. For UNI, the short trigger of 8.871 is a key level to watch, while long positions should be approached with caution, waiting for a more defined structure and stronger buying signals. Always ensure to manage risk and wait for clear triggers before entering positions.
ENS Analysis: Spot Purchase in a Bearish Market?🔍Let's dive into today's analysis. Today, I want to analyze the ENS coin in the weekly timeframe, which could present a suitable opportunity to add this coin to your spot portfolio.
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
📈 As usual, let's first look at Bitcoin. Bitcoin has finally lost the support at 64429, and new downward momentum has entered the market. Currently, the first obstacle for Bitcoin's decline is at 63292, but it doesn't seem likely to hold off the bearish momentum. Bitcoin will probably move towards the 60681 support.
⚠️ If it finds support at this level, we need the market to create a new structure for a long position. If you already have a position, it's advisable to secure profits. For short positions, you can open one upon breaking 63292.
⏳ In the short term, we are likely to wait for the SMA7 to reach the candles, bringing new momentum into the market. The next trigger for RSI confirmation is the 30 level. Once this level breaks, it can confirm the entry of bearish momentum, likely leading to sharp downward candles.
ENS Analysis
🌐 Now, let's move on to ENS (Ethereum Name Service). I've previously explained this project in past analyses. ENS stands for Ethereum Name Service, which assigns a domain to your wallet to make asset transfers easier, similar to how a domain makes website navigation easier compared to using an IP address.
Weekly Time Frame
📅 In the weekly timeframe, as you can see, there's a very strong bullish candle. If it can close above the 26.39 resistance, it indicates that buyers have substantial power in this coin. After starting its upward movement and reaching the 26.39 resistance, it corrected to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, forming an accumulation zone. The POC Volume Fixed Range overlaps with this zone, pushing the price back up towards the 26.39 resistance. The buying volume has increased significantly over the past weeks, and now it is ready for a substantial upward movement. The SMA7 is also supporting the price well, maintaining the momentum in this coin.
🎯 The target for this movement can be, firstly, the 1 Fibonacci extension at 44.87 and, secondly, the 1.618 level at 93.98. These targets can be easily reached if sufficient volume enters this coin. Breaking 66.25 in RSI can provide the necessary momentum for the price to move towards these levels.
🚫 If a candle closes below 20.58, the bullish scenario fails, and a new structure is needed to consider buying this coin.
ENS/BTC Analysis
🪄 Now, let's explore why I'm recommending buying this coin for spot purchases in a bearish market. This chart shows ENS/BTC, the ratio of ENS to BTC. As you can see, it is breaking the resistance at 0.0003473 and can move up to 0.0005745. The SMA25 is also supporting the price well, bringing momentum into the market. The targets for this upward movement are 0.0005745 and 0.0010319.
📝In summary, despite the overall bearish momentum in the market, ENS presents a strong opportunity for spot purchase. The technical indicators and volume trends suggest a potential upward movement. If key resistance levels are broken and the RSI supports the trend, significant gains could be achieved. However, caution is advised, and it's important to watch for key support levels to avoid potential losses.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
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MATIC IS AT CRUCIAL SUPPORTMatic is trading at a crucial support level and needs some buyers to come in or we can move much lower. Great area to DCA and hold if you believe in this company long term.
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CHAINLINK AT MAJOR SUPPORTWe have came down to a massive support level and I expect to see a reaction at this level leading to a bounce higher.
Lets see how this all plays out.
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PEPE HOLDING LEVEL AND AIMS HIGHERWe can see that pepe has tapped the high timeframe level below and has managed to closed the last few 4hr candles above the POC. This is bullish and i expect an attempt to do a full value rotation.
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BONK IS AT SUPPORTBONK is trading at the major support level. If we can keep trading above this level, there's a big chance we can have a nice move to the upside.
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KAVA Analysis: Navigating the Range🔍Bitcoin's dominance is creating market uncertainty, resulting in low volatility for many altcoins, including KAVA. KAVA is a project within the Cosmos ecosystem, known for its significant staking activity, leading to smoother price movements.
📆 Coin of the Day: KAVA
About the Project
KAVA is a project within the Cosmos ecosystem, known for its significant staking activity which leads to lower volatility and smoother price movements.
🧩 Technical Analysis
4-Hour Timeframe
This analysis focuses on futures trading, examining different scenarios.
♟ Support and Resistance: KAVA has primary support at 0.6216 and primary resistance at 0.7036. The major resistance level is at 0.7725, while a significant support level is at 0.6216. The market is currently ranging between 0.7036 and 0.6495, making it challenging to trade within this range due to the fixed range volume profile.
📉 Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 0.6216, the next bearish target is 0.5572. This level becomes significant for confirming a new bearish phase.
📈 Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above 0.7036, we can look for a target at 0.7725. Confirmation of bullish momentum would be crucial for entering a long position.
📊Volume Analysis
The volume is currently ranging with a slight sell momentum. Significant buy volume is needed to break the resistance levels, and increased sell volume is required to break the support levels.
👨💻 Trading Positions
🪄Long Position
Primary Entry Trigger: Break above 0.7036
Strategy: Open a position on the break of 0.7036 and wait for confirmation from the price to set the target at 0.7725. Consider taking partial profits at 0.7725 and adjusting stop loss to entry.
💣Short Position
Primary Entry Trigger: Break below 0.6216
Strategy: Open a position on the break of 0.6216 as this is a very critical level in the market. Target the next support at 0.5572. Adjust stop loss based on price action.
📝 Summary: KAVA is currently ranging within key support at 0.6216 and resistances at 0.7036 and 0.7725. Traders should watch for breaks of these critical levels to open positions. The fixed range volume profile indicates significant trading activity between 0.7036 and 0.6495, making trading within this range challenging. Long positions should be considered above 0.7036, while short positions should be considered below 0.6216. Always keep an eye on Bitcoin's market conditions as it significantly influences KAVA's price action.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
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📈GAL Coin Analysis: Potential Long and Short Opportunities💎🔍Today is Monday, and as mentioned yesterday, the market tends to experience reduced volatility on holidays, making it advisable to refrain from opening new positions and take a break instead. Despite the minor fluctuations seen in the market today, none of the triggers were activated for initiating positions due to the limited volatility.
⚡️In today's analysis, we will focus on GAL coin, associated with the project Galexe, a decentralized platform facilitating interactions between projects and their communities, enabling distribution of airdrops, rewards, or NFTs seamlessly. The GAL coin has experienced a significant uptrend, especially driven by its growing website and collaborations with new projects. Currently, on the weekly timeframe, GAL is consolidating, while on the 4-hour timeframe, a downward trend is evident.
⏳In the daily timeframe, a descending trendline indicates a bearish bias, but considering the bullish nature of GAL on the weekly timeframe, a new uptrend may be underway, potentially impacting even the daily and weekly structures positively. The trigger for confirming this trendline is at 3.872, which may take considerable time to materialize.
📈From another perspective, recent candles breached the support at 3.33 but failed to establish below it. Following a brief consolidation around 3.124, the price reversed upwards, indicating a possible fakeout of the support. Typically, after a fakeout, re-entering the range can lead to a move towards the range high. Therefore, we can consider seeking long positions. The primary resistance for initiating this new uptrend is at 4.829, although the current price range is between 3.33 and 3.872. Since the support at 3.33 has been faked, and the price returned within the range, we can expect it to reach 3.872. Hence, a reliable trigger for long positions is at 3.447, which coincides with the POC (Point of Control) in the fixed range volume profile, suggesting significant selling pressure in that area. If buyers manage to absorb the selling pressure and establish above this level, it indicates their strength, providing an opportunity to join the uptrend.
✨Moreover, the breakout of the RSI resistance at 54.49 can further confirm the bullish momentum. However, it's essential to note the low volume of the bullish candles, indicating weak buying pressure. Therefore, entering long positions requires caution due to the high-risk nature of the trade. It's advisable to enter smaller timeframes like 1-hour or 15-minute charts with a tight stop-loss and aim for a quick risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
📉For short positions, the bearish trend offers a more straightforward approach. The weakening bullish momentum is evident from the decreasing size of the upward candles, indicating diminishing buying pressure. A critical level for short positions is at 3.447, where a small range box formation on lower timeframes can provide a favorable entry point. Managing short positions can be approached in two ways: setting a small stop-loss with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2 or 3, or waiting for the breakdown of the support at 3.124, depending on the market conditions.
📝In conclusion, GAL coin presents potential opportunities for both long and short positions, but traders must exercise caution and adapt their strategies according to the market dynamics.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2
📈MANA Analysis: Identifying Entry Points❗️🔍Today presents an opportune moment for opening positions as the market structure offers potential entry points upon breaking support or resistance lines. Bitcoin's rejection from $64,437 yesterday prompted altcoins to establish lower resistance levels. One such altcoin is MANA, representing the Decentraland project, which, despite previous bullish rallies, now offers a favorable entry opportunity. While the project's fundamentals are significant, our focus lies solely on pinpointing entry points for futures trading.
🎯In line with my preferred strategy, the classic technical analysis approach of identifying breakouts serves as the cornerstone. Personally, I've found this strategy combined with prudent capital management to be remarkably effective. However, it's crucial to acknowledge that each trader must develop their own tailored strategy, as no two traders' nuances can be identical.
📉For a short position, the breakout below the POC fixed range volume profile, while overlapping with short-term support, could provide a low-risk entry. Nonetheless, the primary entry point remains at $0.4056. If entering a position following the POC breakdown, I recommend aiming for risk-to-reward ratios of 2 or 3, aligning with previous analyses' emphasis on lower ratios until major triggers for long or short positions emerge.
📈Patience is key for a long position, waiting for the breakout of the descending trendline and activation of the trigger at $0.4557. In this scenario, a short-term scalp position can be taken. However, refrain from expecting high risk-to-reward ratios until breaking out of the primary box, focusing on ratios of around 2-3 until $0.4977 is surpassed.
🎲Maintaining minimal exposure within the $0.4056 to $0.4977 range is advisable. When entering positions, particularly during the breakdown of major triggers, closing positions upon signs of price reversal is prudent. In case of box breakdowns, the initial low-risk target is $0.3325, followed by $0.5662. However, it's paramount to exercise patience and observe price signals before closing positions post-trigger breakdown.
💥While RSI may not be applicable in a ranging market, it can serve as a helpful tool for setting targets and securing profits. Avoid closing positions if major triggers are breached and RSI enters overbought or oversold territory, as significant price movements may follow.
📊During position entry, monitor candlestick volumes, ensuring alignment with the intended position direction, and avoid entry during divergence.
📝In conclusion, today's analysis underscores the importance of a strategic approach tailored to individual trading styles. By adhering to well-defined entry and risk management protocols, traders can navigate market fluctuations effectively.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2
📈MATIC Analysis: Waiting for Box Breakout in 4-Hour Timeframe🚀🔍Today's market saw a notable rebound from a crucial support level, reaffirming the buying opportunity for investors keen on sustaining prices above this support. As emphasized in previous analyses, the breach of this support and subsequent consolidation below it would likely signal a bearish trend, making position opening challenging until proximity to this support.
⚡️Currently, Bitcoin has undergone a minor upward correction, with altcoins also nearing the upper bounds of their respective boxes. The coin under scrutiny today is Matic (MATIC), with analysis focused on the 4-hour timeframe. Matic is currently confined within a box ranging from 0.6449 to 0.7491.
🔔Utilizing the volume fixed range profile indicator reveals balanced volumes within the box, suggesting a prudent approach of waiting for a breakout before considering positions. Therefore, the entry point for a long position is at 0.7491, while for a short position, it's at 0.6449.
📈For long positions, consider targeting the area around 0.8685, a strong supply zone where price rejection may occur. Conversely, for short positions, 0.5057 serves as a suitable target, offering robust support and aligning with the 1 Fibonacci extension.
✅However, the optimal exit strategy entails waiting for a trend reversal before exiting the position. This advanced approach necessitates a deep understanding of market dynamics and significant trading experience.
📊Additionally, dwindling volumes indicate waning trader interest within this range. When traders, especially those with significant trading volumes, are disinterested, it's prudent for others to refrain from trading.
💎For RSI confirmation, breaking above 64.27 could serve as a signal for long positions. However, given the market's lack of momentum, reliance solely on momentum indicators like RSI may not be advisable.
📝In conclusion, exercising patience for a breakout from the current box range is prudent for Matic traders, with strategic entry and exit points crucial for successful trading amid prevailing market conditions.