Up or DownAs we can see in the chart, on December 24th, Bitcoin's price reached its climax, moving cleanly without further structures to follow. Since then, the price has formed micro-structures and is now attempting to create a much larger one that would allow it to advance—a megaphone pattern (D).
If this megaphone were completed with an upward move today, it could catapult the price above $149K. With each passing day, the potential price target increases. However, to form the full megaphone, a base had to be established, which is what we are seeing now. On December 24th, a structure was formed that facilitates a return to the $107K level and also helps determine the price range where the megaphone's base (C) could be finalized, between $86K and $77.6K.
Today, a bull flag (B) has formed within a falling wedge (A), and the price movements align with this pattern, which aims to return to the apex before continuing the upward move. However, even if the price surges due to the bull flag breakout, I believe it might retrace again to continue building the base of the megaphone, which is quite broad.
FLAG
OMUSDT → Flag (correction) before the rally BINANCE:OMUSDT still looks quite interesting. Consolidation in the flag format is forming within the bullish trend. The structure looks strong especially against the background of a weak altcoin market
Bitcoin after Trump's speech yesterday was able to overcome local resistance and entered the buying zone. If the price can hold above 96.5 - 97K and continue its growth, some altcoins may have a bullish driver, which could push them up in general, including the already strong OMUSDT
Technically, the focus is on the local descending flag channel, within which there are two key supports 7.324, 7.213. A false breakdown could trigger a continuation of the upside.
Resistance levels: 7.755
Support levels: 7.324, 7.213
The trigger for growth continuation in our case is the channel border and resistance at 7.755. At the moment, we are still far from this zone and the coin is heading towards the support. A retest of the liquidity zone may end with a bullish impulse.
Regards R. Linda!
Bearish Flag & Quasimodo Patterns—Is EURUSD Set to Drop?First, let's have a Fundamental Analysis of EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ).
The EURUSD rate is influenced by several key fundamental factors :
1. Divergent Economic Indicators :
United States : Recent data indicates a robust labor market, with job growth maintaining momentum. This strength supports the U.S. dollar, as investors anticipate potential monetary policy tightening by the Federal Reserve to manage inflationary pressures.
Eurozone : Conversely, the Eurozone faces economic challenges, including unexpected inflation acceleration and declining industrial production, particularly in Germany. These factors may constrain the European Central Bank's (ECB) ability to adjust interest rates, potentially weakening the euro.
2. Central Bank Policies :
Federal Reserve (Fed) : The Fed's recent communications suggest a cautious approach to interest rate adjustments, balancing economic growth with inflation control. The prospect of maintaining or increasing rates could further bolster the U.S. dollar.
European Central Bank (ECB) : The ECB is grappling with rising inflation amidst a struggling economy. This scenario complicates policy decisions, as increasing rates to combat inflation might hinder economic recovery, thereby exerting downward pressure on the euro.
3. Geopolitical Developments :
The U.S. administration's recent tariff threats have introduced uncertainties in global trade. Such actions typically lead investors to seek safe-haven assets, benefiting the U.S. dollar due to its perceived stability.
In summary, the EURUSD is currently experiencing downward pressure , driven by stronger U.S. economic performance, proactive Federal Reserve policies, and geopolitical factors favoring the U.S. dollar. Conversely, the Eurozone's economic difficulties and the ECB's constrained policy options contribute to a weaker euro. These dynamics suggest a potential continuation of the EURUSD's bearish trend in the near term .
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Now, let's analyze the EURUSD chart in terms of Technical Analysis .
EURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.039-$1.033) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , 100_SMA(4-hour) , Monthly Pivot Point , and Resistance lines . Each of these items is considered a good resistance for EURUSD .
In terms of Price Action , if we look at the EURUSD chart in the 1-hour time frame , we can see the Bearish Quasimodo Pattern , which is one of the reasons for EURUSD's fall .
Educational Note : The Bearish Quasimodo Pattern is a price action reversal pattern that signals a potential downtrend. It forms when the price creates a higher high (HH) followed by a lower low (LL) and a lower high (LH), breaking the market structure.
From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that EURUSD has managed to form a Bearish Flag Continuation Pattern . It is a good sign for the continuation of the downward trend of EURUSD .
Educational Note : The Bearish Flag Pattern is a continuation pattern that signals the continuation of a downtrend. It consists of a sharp downward move (flagpole) followed by a consolidation phase in a small upward-sloping channel (flag). A breakdown from the flag confirms the pattern, indicating further price decline.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , according to the volume of the previous movement, it seems that EURUSD is completing wave 4 , and it is possible that we are still in the main wave 3 even with a further fall.
I expect EURUS D to fall to at least the Support zone($1.0285-$1.0255) after entering the PRZ or after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel of the bearish flag pattern, and if this zone is broken , we should expect to fall to the next Support zone($1.0222-$1.0175) and Monthly Support(1) .
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.03700, we can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
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GOLD → Is $3000 still relevant? News aheadFX:XAUUSD has almost touched 2450 and without reaching the psychological target is smoothly flowing into correction with the purpose of respite and filling liquidity before the news and possible growth.
Gold is testing 2450 after Trump's new tariffs, keeping demand high. Investors are waiting for Powell's speech and U.S. inflation data, which may influence rate cut expectations and further dynamics of gold. Gold remains volatile on one side and bullish on the other side due to trade risks and Fed policy.
Technically, a correction is a logical scenario on the back of a strong market. The price cannot rise all the time, it needs energy, which is accumulated at the expense of sellers.
At the moment the emphasis is on such zones as: 2910, 0.5 fibo and 0.7 fibo.
Resistance levels: 2910, 2929
Support levels: 2898, 2882, 2870
Powell speaks tonight and tomorrow is the inflation data. High volatility is possible, but the general economic situation supports the metal.
Before further growth the price may test 2898, 2882. The target in the form of 2950 - 3000 remains relevant.
Regards R. Linda!
SOL → The coin may get a chance for growthBINANCE:SOLUSDT is testing trend support and at the same time bulls are trying to hold their defenses above the intermediate bottom and enter the buy zone.
SOL both fundamentally and technically has good potential. Bitcoin is consolidating at this time and it can give strong coins a chance.
Technically, solana tested the trend support with a touch and is trying to consolidate. I don't exclude the possibility of a false breakdown of the trend support before further growth, but at the moment the focus is on the resistance 200 - 203. If the bulls hold the defense above this area, the coin could strengthen to 245 - 270 - 290 in the medium term.
Resistance levels: 203, 200
Support levels: 188, trend
Emphasis on the local boundaries of the range. The market is struggling for the zone 200-205, bitcoin at this time is forming a local bullish momentum, which can also become a driver for the cryptocurrency market.
Regards R. Linda!
OMUSDT → Consolidation in a triangle before the rallyBINANCE:OMUSDT is a paranormal coin in this case, as it is one of the few projects that shows bullish dynamics while all altcoins are finding bottom after bottom.
Perhaps the situation partly depends on BINANCE:BTCUSD . If it starts to fall even deeper, nothing and no one will help here. But locally bitcoin is forming a resistance breakout and if the bulls hold this trend, the BINANCE:OMUSDT.P coin may have a bullish driver that can support the bullish movement.
At the moment, the focus is on the triangle (wedge) resistance and the base of the 5.6756 pattern. Two bullish scenarios should be considered: Growth after a resistance breakout or growth after a false breakdown of support.
Resistance levels: 5.9821, 6.30
Support levels: 5.75, 5.6756
At the moment, a consolidation within the triangle boundaries is being formed. But when the resistance is broken, the market may move to the realization phase and the impulse may be quite sharp. Ahead, beyond 6.3, there is no resistance...
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Price is susceptible to manipulation. Correction?FX:XAUUSD amid high risks of tariff wars and high inflation reaches a new ATH and trend resistance, but due to manipulation by politicians there is a possibility of a small correction.
Gold price is consolidating above $2,800 after an all-time high of $2,831, awaiting US employment data and Fed speeches. Volatility increased amid manipulations about Trump's tariff policy: first they set tariffs, then a few hours later they cancel them. In a word, “politicians”. Gold is going into correction after a false breakout of resistance of the ascending channel and on the news about temporary suspension of tariff increase by the USA. Overall gold is holding its ground as the Fed remains cautious on rate cuts.
Resistance levels: 2817, 2830
Support levels: 2811, 2801, 2790
If the price breaks 2811 and consolidates below this area, we should expect a correction to 2800 - 2790 in the short term, there is no hint of a trend change, growth may continue from the key support areas.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Buyers are serious about retesting ATHFX:XAUUSD on the background of yesterday's news played both ways. The dollar could not win from this situation, which as a whole favorably affects the price of metal. ATH as a target is still relevant.
All attention is focused on the US GDP data for Q4. Slowdown in economic growth may increase interest in gold as a protective asset, especially against the background of possible trade tariffs of Trump and ambiguous reports of techno-giants. The Fed kept the rate, but tightened the rhetoric, which temporarily weakened gold, but the weak dollar and understanding of economic risks helped the metal to partially recover.
Technically, the rebound from the support of the ascending channel is forming, the price is passing resistance levels on its way.
Resistance levels: 2784, 2790
Support levels: 2771, 2766
Technically, from these support zones we should continue to wait for the growth towards 2790. But, based on the manner of price approach to the historical maximum, there is a probability of a small correction from 2790, after which the market will show either readiness to go even higher, or to form a deeper correction.
Regards R. Linda!
When you're Dancing on the ceiling; Short then LongWe recently broke-out of a trading range, to the Upside. Short now for Temporary Profits, or, Wait for the price to follow the grey line I drew in illustrating the likely Anticipated move. Buy long, at-or-near the Pullback (top Dashed line).
Should go (up) Down Upppp!
For your added Confidence, i recommend Waiting for a Bullish Candle After the retest to Pullback Level; you Want to See a Green candle after touching that Dashed line.
Big XRP bullish move formingBYBIT:XRPUSDT has formed a (remarkably equaliteral) triangle flag pattern since breaking out of the parallel channel flag*. Given the previous 25% move upwards (i.e. the flagpole), text book technical analysis theory states that there is another upwards move imminent. This is a good opportunity for a medium term (approx. one month long) bullish swing trade.
A few things to note:
*The breakout move from the parallel flag channel was a text book move upwards where it moved outside of the channel (breakout move), then returned back to the resistance line of the parallel channel, which became support, and then continued the move upwards. This provided a very good entry opportunity upon the return move once the daily candlestick showed proved that resistance line is a now a line of support (i.e. the candlestick is of a dragonfly shape) - you enter on the dragonfly share confirmation
The triangle flag pattern is running out of room. i.e. the move is expected to come soon (this coming week) as the candlesticks are getting smaller and smaller in size, following, broadly speaking, the triangles lines of support and resistance, and there are not many days left until the candlesticks will naturally move out of the triangle.
The market psychology behind this is that the buyers who made a profit on the recent flagpole are now selling, with newer, bullish buyers entering the market. The price which the sellers are willing to sell and and buyers willing to purchase at is getting closer and closer, which usually means the continuation of the trend as there are more buyers (in this case) than sellers (i.e. people are willing to buy at a price closer and closer to the sellers ask price and sellers don't have to drop their prices as much to entire people to buy)
This is consistent with the optimistic and bullish sentiment for the economy in generally, stock market and crypto since Trump's election victory with Trump having recently announced that he would prefer lower interest rates i.e. The chart formation is showing that there are still more bulls than bears.
Risk to this move are that the RSI is overbought (which in this case can be ignored as it has been overbought for a few months and the nature of the indicator is that in a bullish market it remains at an overbought level regularly) and that the crypto market is prone to large gyrations on rumours and even minor US governmental policy announcements.
GOLD → The bulls are fighting for 2750. ATH is close!FX:XAUUSD is in a bull run phase due to rising risks. The price is testing new highs and trying to consolidate above key resistance. Trump's speech is ahead and high volatility should be expected.
Gold price is consolidating in the bullish zone after breaking through the three-top resistance. Traders are analyzing the impact of President Trump's tariff policies, which have caused uncertainty in the markets and weakened demand for the dollar and bonds. Meanwhile, support for gold prices is provided by optimism from China's measures to stimulate stock markets.
Investors' attention is focused on US economic data, including weekly jobless claims and Friday's PMI from S&P Global, which could affect expectations for a Fed rate cut. Weak statistics will reinforce forecasts of two rate cuts this year, which supports interest in gold.
Technically, the focus is on 2750. If bulls hold their defenses above this zone, gold could head towards ATH.
Resistance levels: 2750, 2762
Support levels: 0.5 fibo, 2732
Bullish trend, high risks, politics. Lots of reasons that support the metal. But, today is Trump's speech, and this man knows how to make noise in the market. High volatility is possible. But, in general, gold looks as if it is ready to go up, perhaps it can even renew ATH
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Correction before further flight to 112-120KBINANCE:BTCUSD surprises everyone again with this week's rally. After retesting the panic and risk zone, when many started selling, the price turned around and flew 18% in a few days....
One week old idea: BITCOIN → Retest of key support. What can happen?
There could be several factors behind the gains that have been forged over the past 3 days:
New reports point to increased activity from major players, including institutional investors,
Trump's upcoming inauguration, the crypto community is expecting the new president to take active steps. And overall, the bullish three-day run is a combination of macroeconomic factors, technical breakdown and fundamental confidence in the future of cryptocurrencies. All of this created a strong bullish momentum that attracted new buyers and increased institutional investor interest.
From a technical perspective, the 100K and 102.5K area plays an important role for me. If the bulls can keep the price above this zone, the growth will continue in the medium term.
Support levels: 102.5K, 100K
Resistance levels: 103.6K, 105.7K, 107.5K
Technically, at the moment, a pre-breakdown situation is forming on H1 against the support at 102.8. Accordingly, bitcoin may form a correction to both 100K and 97.5K. But, if the fall will quickly recover or the bulls will keep the defense above 100-102.5K, then further we can count on growth up to 108-112K.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Resistance retest before falling FX:XAUUSD is consolidating and deliberately approaching the resistance 2667. The upward market structure is focused on a breakout of the resistance. But the other question is whether the breakout will happen, because the sticks in the form of economic data have been in the wheels for a long time now
Based on the market behavior, we can assume that before the possible fall there may be a liquidity grab and a retest of the key resistance, as buyers became more cautious after the discouraging data on inflation in China and hawkish Fed meeting minutes.
To be honest, gold's current rise is not clear to me as there is no reason for it except for Trump's tariff plans towards multiple countries. Fundamental data is negative, there is no new news from hot spots, the dollar is rising, global inflation is rising, the Fed has become hawkish, there are so many nuances providing resistance to the metal.
Resistance levels: 2667, 2675
Support levels: ascending line, 2656
Technically the structure is bullish and in the short term I am waiting for an attempt to break the resistance 2667. In this case a retest of the zones of interest 2675, channel resistance or 2692 from which a correction can be formed is possible.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The calm before the storm. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating above 2645 and trying to test the strong resistance of 2664. Downside risks are quite high and it may happen after liquidity capture.
Gold has high risks due to yesterday's favorable data in the US. Hawkish expectations for the Fed, strong economic data put the dollar back on the northbound train. Markets priced in a 35% chance of a Fed interest rate cut this month.
Trump takes office on Jan. 20 and his proposed tariffs and protectionist policies are seen as inflationary, requiring higher interest rates and a stronger U.S. dollar. If risk aversion intensifies amid renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East or Trump's tariff threats, that could send gold higher
A symmetrical triangle is forming on D1, which confuses everyone - where will the price go? And all because the technical situation is neutral.
Resistance levels: 2664, 2674
Support levels: 2645, 2632.
False breakdown of resistance can provoke a fall to the strong support, the border of the triangle. Gold is growing reluctantly and slowly, as if something is in the way, and the risks and pressure are increasing.
BUT! If the price goes to 2664, it is important to watch the price reaction to this level: consolidation above the level may provoke further growth to 2674. Similarly with the support of 2645
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → Consolidation before continuing growthFX:USDJPY is consolidating after strong growth. A promising dollar and weak japanese central bank policy form a medium-term bullish potential in the currency pair
The currency pair returns almost all of the strong fall associated with last year's course of rate cuts in the U.S., rate hikes in Japan and interventions that were actively conducted by the Central Bank of Japan. What was the outcome of all the actions? It was all in vain. The price turned around and almost approached 162.0.
At the moment the emphasis is on consolidation, which has been forming for several weeks. We have clear boundaries, trend and strong levels to use in our trading.
Resistance levels: 158.1
Support levels: 156.74, 155.88
The trigger for me is the resistance at 158.1. A breakout and price consolidation above this level will be a confirmation that we are ready to move further towards ATH. I do not exclude the fact that now the price may not be let in and the currency pair will form a correction to the consolidation support before further growth
Regards R. Linda!
XRP long swing trade opportunity emergingBYBIT:XRPUSDT is in a flag pattern, bullish from the previous move. Technical analysis theory says that statistically, this chart pattern provides a higher probability of a future bullish price move than a bearish one.
Given the previous large gyrations of the price while within the flag, and that the specific time of the expected bullish move is unknown, the trading opportunity is better suited to a swing trade than a margin one (as most margin trades have a tighter SL than a swing trade and a long flag might trigger the SL of a margin trade just because of the nature of the chart pattern)
The trading approach would be to await a move back to the bottom of the flag for entry, which will also be a level where the 50 DMA also provides some level of support, utilise a 2 day filter to ensure that the price move to the bottom does not precede the price falling out of the flag / pattern failure (as previous moved have tended to go below the flag bottom on the 1 day chart), and then enter.
The TP would be the size of flagpole (approx. 1.35 USDT). The SL would be when the price has closed below the 50 DMA or flag bottom (depending on risk appetite) with a 3 day filter.
Risks to this trade: The current price rise (bull run) of most stocks and crypto currently can be traced back to the election victory of Trump and the expectation that his policies will be favourable to crypto and US businesses. These policies have yet to be defined and it is unknown if they will actually become policies. Therefore, it is probable that any setback to Trump's attempt to either formulate/implement these policies, or perception of not intending to actually even have them will be seen by the market as extremely negative and will likely cause the prices to fall as dramatically as they have risen.
Note: The entry point for this trade can also be taken as an entry point for a next leg of a DCA purchase or a general buy and hold.
GOLD → Breaking the resistance level. Growing interestFX:XAUUSD enjoys interest despite the growing dollar. Geopolitical and economic crisis is the reason for seeking safe harbor. The price is breaking resistance and trying to renew local highs
On the first trading day of the new 2025, gold rose along with DXY amid escalating geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East and eastern Europe and rising tensions around the upcoming policies of Trump and the Fed.
Traders are awaiting US manufacturing PMI data from ISM and the Fed President's speech due later on Friday for more trade stimulus for the gold price.
Support levels: 2649, 2639
Resistance levels: 2675, 2690
A false breakdown of key support areas is possible. If after the false breakdown the bulls hold the defense above 2639 - 2649, gold may strengthen to 2675 - 2690 in the short term.
Regards R. Linda!
$NASDAQ:RGTI breaking out of a bullish flagNASDAQ:RGTI appears to be breaking out of a bullish flag with ~$14 Price Target (PT).
Awaiting confirmation on volume, but 100M shares have traded 2 hours into the trading day, which matches recent daily volume. Long story short... looks like there's going to be a lot of volume today.
As I get closer to the PT, I'll set up a trailing stop to help maximize profits/minimize loss.
Good luck!
UK100 (FTSE) Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:(Daily TF)
The ascending flag taking shape suggests we will soon see another leg higher.
While the price is above the support 7911.37, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 8485.05 breaks.
If the support at 7911.37 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 8385.30 on 12/09/2024, so more losses to support(s) 8083.43, 8007.24 and minimum to Major Support (7911.37) is expected.
Trading suggestion:
There is possibility of temporary retracement to suggested Trend Hunter Buy Zone (8007.24 to 7911.37). We wait during the retracement, until the price tests the zone, whether approaching, touching or entering the zone.
We would set buy orders based on Daily-Trading-Opportunities and expect to reach short-term targets.
Beginning of entry zone (8007.24)
Ending of entry zone (7911.37)
Take Profits:
8083.43
8183.03
8242.89
8380.25
8485.05
8664.21
8765.00
9000.00
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GOLD → Correction before further declineFX:XAUUSD is testing the zones of interest within the counter-trend correction after it managed to break a rather strong level earlier. The fundamental background is not very good, there is bearish pressure on the market.
The negative impact on gold is built around the hawkish stance of the Fed (inflation, Trump's future policy and the economic data of the last two weeks). The cycle of interest rate cuts may slow to 2 rate cuts for 2025.
Friday's correction is mainly due to PCE data, but I don't think it will change the global picture.
Towards the end of the year, it is logical to reduce liquidity in the markets, which could increase mispriced volatility in the market. Be careful!
The gold market is still supported by the conflict in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.
Technically, price is forming a flag after a strong decline. At the moment the price is inside the pattern and for trading it is worth paying attention to the boundaries of the local channel.
Resistance levels: 2620, 2631, 2640
Support levels: 2606, 2560
Emphasis on 2620. If the bears break the level and keep the defense below the level, it can generally increase the pressure, which will provoke the price drop.
But I do not rule out an attempt to break the channel resistance and retest 2640-2650 before a further fall.
Regards R. Linda!