EURUSD → Consolidation “flag”. Willingness to go below...FX:EURUSD is forming a consolidation in the “flag” format, the purpose of which, in the current situation, is to accumulate the potential for continuation of the trend... Fundamental background is still negative.
On D1 we can clearly see the consolidation below the key level of 1.0600 after a strong fall. There is no proper and logical reaction in the form of a pullback. Accordingly, based on this we can conclude that the dynamics and strength of the buyer is not enough to reverse the local situation.
The dollar is starting the recovery phase again, which may put pressure on the euro.
Technically, the emphasis on consolidation “flag”. The exit of the price from the boundaries of this channel will provoke further movement.
Resistance levels: 1.0606
Support levels: 1.0521, 1.044
It is not worth trading inside the flag. The exception is a retest of resistance. Opening an order is acceptable after a false breakout.
But, the emphasis is on 1.052. Breakout and fixing of the price below this zone can strengthen the fall
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
FLAG
BTCUSD | 95K Target 1:1 Move | BullishThis will be the first big trade at the start of the exponential cycle we're about to witness for the 5th time in BTC history.
Considering the descending broadening wedge pattern, a 1:1 move into the pattern gives a price target of roughly $95k.
It can also been seen as a flag pattern which also reads a $95k impulse target as seen below:
If you want to look at more longer-term targets and analysis of CRYPTOCAP:BTC , I've attached 3 of the charts I've made which will satisfy that long term bullish outlook.
Best of luck to you all out there involved in this space and remember, manage your risk appropriately.
GOLD → Market confirms downtrendFX:XAUUSD is testing resistance of a key descending channel. Bears continue to resist based on important fundamental aspects of the global economy
Fears of further geopolitical escalation between Russia and Ukraine are likely to subside a bit. In addition, the Fed speech will help determine the U.S. central bank's future path on interest rates. Attention is focused on the December rate meeting....
Technically, the gold confirms the downtrend channel, so we have a key trend to follow in our trading decisions.
A false breakdown of the local resistance at 2627 is forming. Consolidation of the price below this zone may provoke further decline
Resistance levels: 2627, 2643
Support levels: 2694, 2560
Another resistance retest is possible. It will be possible to talk about buying after the price will be able to break 2643 and consolidate above this zone (additional scenario). But in priority I consider further decline from 2627 or from the channel resistance
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Consolidation before the continuation of the fallFX:NZDUSD amid bearish rally is not going to pull back, forming consolidation in front of 0.5894 with the purpose of continuing the fall...
Last week the price tested the key support at 0.585, closing below the level, hinting that the market is ready to go further.
The strong rise in the dollar is extremely negative for the forex market. The excitement has not subsided yet and most likely the current movements may get a continuation.
Since we have a downtrend, we should prioritize selling from strong resistance zones or supports. Focus on the key range.
Resistance levels: 0.5864, 0.588, 0.5912
Support levels: 0.584
Accordingly, I do not exclude the fact that the market may test the resistance in the format of a false breakdown and further fall. But, since we are close to the support now and the price is forming a pre-breakdown accumulation, we should consider a breakdown of the support in the first place
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:NZDUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD--> Buyers stop believing in gold. Are the bears coming?OANDA:XAUUSD rose, but remained below $2,600 early on Monday, snapping a six-day losing streak. Geopolitical risks favored the safe-haven metal amid reduced demand for the US Dollar.
However, expectations of a less aggressive Fed rate cut and rising US Treasury yields are likely to limit further gains for XAU.
Attention is now focused on the upcoming speech by Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, as there are no major economic releases due on Monday. Geopolitical developments will also be closely watched to see if they have any significant impact on the safe-haven asset.
Technically, Gold is forming a smooth and calm move towards new highs after a false breakout near $2,575. Notably, an uptrend is emerging on the H1 timeframe.
A pullback to the imbalance zone or local resistance level may form before the news as traders try to recover losses. However, I predict that after this correction, the price will likely continue its downtrend.
The company!This company has no fundamental issues. It’s the second most important client for NASDAQ:NVDA , with the most efficient and modern cooling system available, supporting #Grok by #XAI by #ElonMusk. It suffered a setback due to rumors started by a hedge fund. Later, just before it could timely present its 10-K filing, an unprofessional auditor from Ernst and Young resigned, leading to another crisis. However, the company has stepped up, and, to top it off, all the VPs, along with the CEO, bought shares frantically.
Now, technically speaking, the structures are there, with a mega bull flag pattern that could take us back to the 90s.
Is it worth the wait?
I believe it is.
GOLD → A change in structure and a change in trend. CPI ahead!FX:XAUUSD is turning around. The daily session closes below 2604 and the breakdown of the global structure confirms the bearish nature of the market. The fight for the key 2600 zone continues...
Trump's tough policies could slow the Fed's easing cycle, the dollar would then continue to strengthen at the expense of gold... There is another Fed rate meeting in December and obviously the question is: either 0.25% or hold.
All eyes are on the CPI, the data will determine whether the Fed will continue its rate cut trajectory after December.
A downside surprise in CPI could reinforce dovish expectations for the Fed. Conversely, a stronger inflation report could trigger a change in the regulator's stance. Any reaction to the news could be short-lived as attention immediately shifts to Thursday, PPI and Powell's...
Resistance levels: 2616, 2626, 2637
! Key level: 2604
Support levels: 2590, 2569
The fight for 2604 continues, if the bears can keep the defense below this zone, we should expect a fall. But, there is a high probability of correction on the background of news volatility and retest of resistance 2626-2637 before the further fall
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Solana - We Will See A New All Time High!Solana ( CRYPTO:SOLUSD ) is preparing for an all time high breakout:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After dropping -95% in 2022, Solana then rallied an incredible +2.000% and retested the previous all time high. Then we saw a quite long term but tight consolidation and just two months ago, Solana retested the lower support again. It is just a matter of time until we will see a breakout.
Levels to watch: $120, $210
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BTC, very bullish outlookAs promised here is my interpretation of the Bitcoin chart using Elliot wave analysis.
The flag breakout is very close to the final confirmation with a break above 69400. We completed a first 1 - 2 setup at the 6th of September. The most likely case is, that we are in the third wave now, leading towards 80k, with a final target for this cycle around 88k.
If BTC will confirm this scenario tomorrow with a break above the mentioned 69400 level, there is no reason the test the flag again soon. First target is 73k to the the ATH.
GOLD → Buyers stop believing in gold ... Are the bears coming? FX:XAUUSD after Powell's support reaches a local high of 2710, but buyers do not let the price near the risk zone. The price is returning to the correction phase and preparing to update the local lows
The correction started after the strengthening of interest in the dollar, which is growing at the expense of gold because of Trump's victory. The excitement has not subsided yet, it may continue for a few weeks. The 0.25% cut in interest rates was slightly taken into account by the market, but still supported the metal, but short-term. The market is also disappointed with China, especially with the actions of the authorities towards the country's economy. In general, the fundamental background is negative and it is worth considering this information in your trading. Ahead of the US CPI, which will be published on Wednesday.
Technically, the price is turning around and intends to test the liquidity zones located at the bottom...
Resistance levels: 2680, 2685, 2700
Support levels: 2665, 2652, 2637
Emphasis on 2665. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming. If the price breaks this support, selling may intensify. I do not exclude one more attempt to retest the resistance, for example 2680-2685 before further falling. In general, both fundamentally and technically, the market feels the priority towards the bears...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
USDCHF → Realization and distribution phase. Target 0.900FX:USDCHF comes out of accumulation and changes the market phase to realization phase. On the background of the dollar growth, the reason for which is mainly the excitement about the presidential election in the U.S., the currency pair also has a potential for growth
On D1, buyers are forming a bottom and a strong reversal base, indicating the potential and further interests. The zones of interest, in our case, can serve as areas of local highs, behind which there is a liquidity zone and money, to which the MM is directed....
Technically, in the European session the price is breaking the resistance of local accumulation. The emphasis is on 0.8774. If the bulls hold the defense above this zone, we should expect a continuation of growth in the short to medium term.
Resistance levels: 0.887, 0.892
Support levels: 0.8774, 0.8748, 0.871
Accordingly, the key support at the moment is 0.8774 and it is from it we expect the continuation of growth. Formation of a false breakout is not excluded. In this case, after correction to the local 0.8748, the growth may continue
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDCHF ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → ATH Retest. Next $2800 or reversal? FX:XAUUSD is going to 2800 or??? The price is testing the ATH and does not show signs of reversal. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming around 2758. Will there be another update of the highs?
Traders remain cautious ahead of Thursday's PCE release followed by jobless claims and NFP.
Profit-taking risks are increasing in both DXY and gold. It all depends on pre-news sentiment (background) as well as actual data.
The overall environment is complicated due to the US presidential race.
Gold is supported by the Middle East conflict, as well as hopes for more stimulus in the Chinese markets and economy.
Technically, gold is returning to the ATH, forming a pre-breakdown consolidation, hinting that there may be breakout attempts for further gains. Accordingly, as we are testing the ATH, we need to be ready for all eventualities!
Resistance levels: 2758, 2775
Support levels: 2745, 2728, 2724
Price has been in consolidation near resistance 2758 for the last 8 hours. It is gaining potential. Consequently:
1) If there will be an attempt to break through 2758 with the subsequent holding of the defense by the bulls above this area, then in the short term we should count on the continuation of growth to 2775-2800
2) IF a false breakout is formed and the price comes back down, forms consolidation below 2745, then further gold may go down to support before further growth.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
WLD → The bottom in the coin is formed. Readiness... BINANCE:WLDUSDT is confidently trading within the ascending channel. Bulls are aggressively guarding the area of ascending support. At the moment, the price is changing the local market structure into a bullish one, which may become a prerequisite for further growth
The focus is on the 2.053 zone, which divides the market plane into bullish and bearish. After forming a rebound and consolidation, the price breaks the resistance and tries to consolidate above the level, which, at the moment, is already acting as support.
If the bulls are able to hold their defenses above this area, the coin can easily reach the mentioned targets on the background of the rising bitcoin, which can have a favorable impact.
Support levels: 2.053, 1.883, 1.787
Resistance levels: 2.325, 2.533
Technically, we have a bullish trend and resistance breakout, which can be considered as a buyer's willingness to go higher.
Accordingly, the strong zone of 2.053 may provide strong support for the price
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:WLDUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
NZDJPY → Consolidation before breakout and distributionFX:NZDJPY is forming a pre-breakdown consolidation amid the weakening of the Japanese national currency. There is a chance to get out of the accumulation...
The potential, if the bulls hold the victory and go outside the channel, is quite high. Above 92.00 there is a free way to 94.4 - 98.87, there is no resistance that can prevent the movement.
BUT, for this to happen, the buyers need to be able to utilize their potential.
On H4, a global range of 91.9 - 86.5 is forming. But, more remarkable is that a strong consolidation is forming near the upper boundary of the channel, hinting at a possible upside realization.
Resistance levels: 91.975
Support levels: 90.788, 90.03
Technically, there is no pullback at all from the resistance at 91.97. Accumulation before distribution is forming. A break of 91.97, which may happen soon, may trigger a strong bullish momentum
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:NZDJPY ;)
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → False Breakout & Bearish Engulfment ↓ BINANCE:BTCUSD entered a strong buying zone (68900) within the rally. BUT, the expected growth did not happen, the bulls could not realize the potential. A bearish engulfment of the last three bars is formed and actually - a false breakdown of the descending resistance...
The growth formed from 59K is partly connected with the election race in the USA, economic revival in China, as well as economic news. But apparently, this energy is not yet enough for the price to easily overcome 68-69K with a target of retesting 71-73. The resistance zone of 68.4-69.4 is putting pressure. Buyers are taking profits, while bears, seeing the strong resistance zone, are trying to resist.
The structure will break down if the price breaks 69400
At the moment, we see a bearish engulfment forming relative to the previous three bars, and this is a strong enough signal. Consolidation below resistance is forming, a small correction may be formed, the first target of which may be 65K, then 61-58-57.
Resistance levels: 68400, 69400, 71500
Support levels: 66500, 65000
After the false breakdown, the price consolidation is formed below the resistance, which indicates the pressure from the sellers. This may provoke further downward correction.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Buy USD/CAD Bullish Flag in H1The USD/CAD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 1.3825, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3860
2nd Support – 1.3875
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.3807. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
USDJPY → Attempting a trend change. Retest 149.0FX:USDJPY is testing range resistance in the rally phase caused by Friday's news - strong NFP report. The fundamental backdrop within the short-to-medium term is set...
From the opening of the session a small correction is forming, the aim of which may be a retest of the support or imbalance zone and consolidation of energy before a further breakout. The market structure is locally bullish on the background of the dollar growth. The Japanese authorities are still silent about their actions to strengthen the national currency (either they think about it or don't think about it :) ), so traders are increasing JPY sales in order to buy USD.
The first retest of the resistance at 149.4 failed (bounce). Emphasis on 0.5 fibo or 147.2 support from which the growth may resume...
Resistance levels: 147.38
Support levels: 147.5, 147.2, 146.15
On the chart there are preconditions for the change of the local trend to a bullish one, the fundamental background is favorable for this. If the bulls will keep the defense above the support and continue to test the resistance with a breakdown target, then in the short-term-senior perspective we can catch the forging of the impulse to 152.0.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDJPY ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Arabian Cement : Opportunity after breakout - Target 14Daily chart, the stock EGX:ARCC is trading in a descending channel, and a long flag chart pattern may be completed.
After crossing the Resistance line R, the target will be 12.
Closing above 11.3 for 2 days, the target will be 14 extending to 14.5
A new buy entry should be safer above 11.5 with the stop loss below 11.1
For an immediate entry, the Stop loss below SL line at 10.8 should be considered.
How to Identify and Trade Flag Patterns EffectivelyThe flag pattern is one of the most effective trading setups in the crypto market, known for its reliability and high probability of continuation in trending markets. Here’s a detailed overview of what a flag pattern is, how to identify it, and why it works so well in crypto trading.
What is a Flag Pattern?
A flag pattern appears as a brief consolidation following a strong price movement, resembling a rectangular shape. There are two main types of flag patterns: bull flags and bear flags.
Bull Flag: This pattern typically forms after a strong upward price movement (the flagpole), followed by a slight pullback or consolidation (the flag) before the price continues its upward trend. The flag usually slopes downward or moves sideways.
Example of Bullish Flag Pattern.
Bear Flag: Conversely, a bear flag occurs after a significant downward movement, followed by a consolidation that trends slightly upward, indicating a continuation of the downward trend once the price breaks down through the flag.
Example of Bearish Flag Pattern.
Identifying Flag Patterns
To identify a flag pattern, traders look for:
🏳️ Flagpole: This is the initial sharp price movement.
🏳️ Flag Formation: This should be a consolidation phase that lasts from 2-3 candles up to more than ten, depending on the timeframe.
🏳️ Volume Analysis: Ideally, the volume should be higher during the flagpole and lower during the flag consolidation. An increase in volume upon breakout is a strong confirmation of the continuation.
Here is the example chart for identifying the flag pattern:
Trading the Flag Pattern
To trade a flag pattern effectively, follow these steps:
📈 Entry: For a bull flag, consider entering the trade once the price breaks above the upper boundary of the flag. For a bear flag, enter on a break below the lower boundary.
📈 Stop Loss: Place your stop loss just below the flag (for bull flags) or above the flag (for bear flags).
📈 Profit Target: A common target is to measure the height of the flagpole and project that distance from the breakout point.
Example chart showing how to place a trade using the flag pattern:
Why It Works in Crypto Markets
The flag pattern is particularly effective in the crypto market for several reasons:
📊Volatility: Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile, which can create strong price movements leading to clear flag formations.
📈 Trend Continuation: Flags often appear in trending markets, where there’s a significant amount of bullish or bearish momentum.
🧠 Psychological Factors: Traders recognize these patterns, leading to increased buying or selling pressure at breakout points.
Example of Bullish and Bearish Flag Pattern:
Bullish Flag:
Bearish Flag:
Flag patterns are highly effective in crypto trading, offering clear signals for trend continuation. They are especially useful in volatile markets, providing reliable entry and exit points. By identifying strong momentum during the breakout and combining it with volume analysis, traders can use flag patterns to make well-informed, high-probability trades.