FLAG
S&P500 - neutral for nowI know there are a lot of fear out there now for a possible bear market this year. We had a severe plunge in the US markets that started on 5th Jan till it hit a near term bottom on 24th Jan, chopped around the low for a few days before making a strong rebound that lasted almost a week.
Since then the markets has started to loose some grounds again. However it looks like a bull flag is forming right now and there is a chance the market could continue to rebound further in the coming days.
Whether we are still in topping process remains to be seen, it could still be 3-6 months of flip flopping and huge volatility before the picture becomes clearer. However, with the 50day moving average still above the 200 day moving average for all 3 indices (ie we don't have a "death cross" yet), I will not be overly bearish just yet and may also look for short term long (or short) opportunities. I would prefer to stay nimble and shorter term for now.
Stay safe.
Disclaimer: TA is about improving our odds of a successful trade (not a guarantee). This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is NOT a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Thank you.
AFRM - Battle of flagsBroke downtrend and rallied hard on news from the lows and got pulled back from the supply, just to come right back today. Constructive volume suggests bullish continuation is likely.
Anything above 51, should be good spot to go long.
As a side note, AFRM in my opinion is pulling in new partners in retail at incredible pace. Even if their bottomline numbers are below target, I expect them to blow away with new clients.
THORChain (RUNE) Buy ZoneTHORChain (RUNE) Buy Zone
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BIAS
Mid-Term : Bullish
Risk : Medium
On 4 hours timeframe, THORChain is currently forming a lower time frame bull-flag above its second to local high support of $3.9 zone. The buying pressure and the bullish momentum is extreme, which will very likely break to the upside any second.
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$RUNE/USDT LONG SETUP
Leverage : x3 - x5
Entry Price : 3.8 - 4.1
TP 1 : 4.26
TP 2 : 4.43
TP 3 : 4.67
TP 4 : 4.95
TP 5 : 5.25
TP 6 : 5.52
TP 7 : 5.85
TP 8 : 6.375
Stop Loss : 3.295
*Maximum 3% of Portfolio.
*Unload 12.5% at each TP. Whenever TP 2 hits, Move stop loss to entry.
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PYPL Breaking Down through Support Today I am discussing Paypal Stock which has been drastically sold off around 40% from highs! I do think this is crazy, and oversold. BUT, I am going to analyze stocks appropriately and without any bias.
PYPL as shown on the Daily Chart has been breaking down through this Range it has been trading in of where I have a Rectangle shape Drawn.
PYPL just closed underneath that rectangle 2 days in a row, and even rejected off that bottom of the Rectangle on Friday. That shows Strong Resistance at that level.
PYPL also broke its Support from its previous breakdown @ the $179.20 area (White Line)
PYPL has 1 wick left from the candle on Jan. 10th and then of course further back supports.
But I think the range it is breaking out of now, is something to note down of not being a small break down. The reason I am saying this is because PYPL has now been in the sideways trading for around 2 and a half months. PYPL is now ready to make a bigger move, but here it seems that bigger move may be to the downside.
Here are EXTRA Reasons why PYPL is a good SHORT idea here.
TTM_SQUEEZE - Squeezing (red dots) indicating big movement of momentum coming. + Momentum Switching to Bearish.
Broke Down and even retested the Rectangle range.
Broke Previous Breakdown support.
GAP to fill at the GREEN Rectangle ($130s) area.
A lot of stocks like to always fill the gaps... and I know its a stretch to say hence it is a long time ago, but with bearish momentum this stock could easily fill that gap.
Some contradicting indicators to this SHORT idea
TTM_SQUEEZE (WEEKLY) - WEEKLY Still showing weakness, but appears to be wearing out, and fading to the bull-side.
WEEKLY moving average cloud.
Still some more key levels to be breaking
I hope you guys enjoyed this idea! Share it if you liked it!
If I do play this I will be looking in to Liquidated March & or April Puts near the $140 strike price.
✅GOLD RISKY SHORT🔥
✅ GOLD has formed a bearish flag pattern
And is retesting a horizontal resistance level
So I am naturally expecting a move down
And a retest of the target below
But we need to wait for the bearish breakout
For the confirmation of our idea
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Hitting ~28k$ very soonBTC does look like its forming a bearflag. Could potentially hit the big resistance at ~40k$ before breaking out of this channel to the downside.
Pricetarget of this bearflag is at ~28,1k$ which would automatically mean we hit also the golden ratio.
This would be the best target to reach to be able to reverse the market and continue with the bull market.
To the guys who are familiar with elliott waves:
In my opinion wave C should be finished quite clearly once we hit the 40k$ and come down to 28k$ then.
Please just correct me if I am wrong.
$FDX Weekly - what is the path of least resistance ? FDX weekly - is the shaded box "higher lows" and thus preparing for a rally to ATHs ? Or is the shaded box a Bear flag with a break down imminent.
Time will tell ... Looks oddly similar to APR-MAY 2019 price action
My bias is to the downside but will wait for confirmation - no trade for me ... yet
USD-JPY Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY is going up to retest a falling resistance
While trading in a small bear flag pattern
So I think that after the pair retests the resistance
We will see a breakout from the bear flag
And a move down to retest the horizontal support
Sell!
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EUR-USD Wait For Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD seems to be trading in the same
Bear flag pattern that can be found
In NZD-USD and AUD-USD pairs
And the price action looks bearish too
So we need to wait for the bearish breakout
Which will confirm out bias
Before going short!
Sell!
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See other ideas below too!
AUDUSD - DESCENDING PARALLEL CHANNEL
Good Afternoon People...
Today, I will be providing Technical Analysis for the AUDUSD
To begin I would like to provide a brief 'Top-Down' from the Monthly through to the H4
Although, being new to TradingView It is not possible for me to provide the necessary chart images for all the timeframes utilised.
Currently, I am only permitted to provide 1 chart image - Therefore, I will provide the Daily as I execute the majority of trades on this timeframe.
So, I am afraid you will have to use your imagination for the other timeframes - Unless you message me and I would be more than happy to provide :)
Now that's out the way - Lets get stuck in...
Looking at the Monthly Timeframe, I have marked out a Bearish Trendline - This connects the 2 highs
This particular Trendline is also respected on the Weekly Timeframe
Moving on to the Weekly - I have identified a Double-Top
What is quite compelling is that, this Double-Top met with the aforementioned Bearish Trendline and Horizontal Resistance
Now that's the type of confluence us traders are looking for right?
So, yeah - We have that, and the AUDUSD dropped in style - Printing Lower Lows/Highs for several weeks
Furthermore, we can see that price pushed through the 0.726 support zone and last week returned to the zone and rested with as Pin-Bar
With this bearish connotation in mind - I moved down to the Daily Timeframe and began to look for selling opportunities
Instantly, I identified a Descending Channel
Following this, I marked out additional S&R - identifying the confluence of the support @0.699
Price has recently bounced from this and began heading north
This being marked out as an Ascending Channel/Bear Flag - Which is also respected on the H4
Now this is where it becomes interesting and may I say exciting ....
For me - I have my eyes on the confluence of the multiple resistance at work @1.7316 [ Resistance of Horizontal Level, Descending Channel, Ascending Channel and not to forget the Weekly Pin ]
This is where I will be looking for short opportunities in the near future...
Alternatively - If price breaks down below the Ascending Channel/Bear Flag Support - I will still be looking for price to return to the confluence @1.7316 zone
Well that's about it for this one guys - I will be providing updates
And, if you need the Monthly, Weekly & H4 timeframe images - Let me know or just leave a comment for them and ill see what I can do
Thanks for tuning in - Its been a pleasure
NZD-USD Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD is trading in a downtrend in bear flag pattern
With the top of the flag facing the horizontal resistance
All of which makes me bearish on the pair
So I think that if we see a bearish breakout
Then the pair will fall further down
Sell!
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Kahoot!: Bearish Flag FormationKahoot! - Short Term - We look to Sell at 48.75 (stop at 54.80)
Prices are extending lower from the bearish flag/pennant formation. Continued downward momentum from 54.45 resulted in the pair posting net daily losses yesterday. The medium term bias remains bearish. The continuation lower in prices through support has been impressive with strong momentum and shows no signs of slowing. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 48.75 level.
Our profit targets will be 36.30 and 33.00
Resistance: 48.75 / 54.45 / 55.50
Support: 47.80 / 45.50 / 42.15
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TSLA : Looks Bearish on Macro ScaleThe fundamental analysis , for this equity asset the sentiment looks bullish, but the technical perspective looks bearish. the pattern in play is not yet completed for a bearish leg, the third torch is still prominent to be played out.
The confluence of this prominent bearish move is influence by H&S pattern.
PRAJ INDUSTRIES 1:4 MOMETUM TRADE NSE:PRAJIND Broke out from flag pole pattern after 500% momentum move. Strong volumes in the uptrend show increasing strength of the stock.
One can enter entire position at C.M.P in view of a momentum trade with a tight sl.
Targets: 450/500/565+
sl: below 360
Low risk high reward trade. Positional traders could opt for deeper sl below 330 levels.
Position size accordingly. HAPPY TRADING!