Flag
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) short term outlook is bullishNVDA is currently consolidating within a bullish flag pattern, as indicated on the chart. A breakout above the current consolidation zone is likely before the price can move towards the $127 resistance level. If the stock breaks out of the flag with strong volume, it would confirm a continuation of the recent bullish trend. Once the breakout occurs, the next target would be $127, where the descending triangle's resistance comes into play. However, a failure to break out of the flag pattern could lead to a pullback towards $105 support. The stock's proximity to its 50-day moving average adds significance to this area. Monitoring the breakout from the flag pattern is key for confirming the next upward move.
XAUUSD Flag Breakout Mastery – 100 Pips in Just Hours!You executed a fantastic trade on XAUUSD, capturing a solid 100 pips in 3.5 hours. However, there were additional techniques you could have employed to potentially capture more of the overall move:
Higher Time Frame Confluence: Ensuring the overall trend aligns with the smaller time frame breakout can give you confidence to hold for bigger moves.
Trailing Stop Strategy: This could have helped you lock in profits while giving the trade room to continue further.
Recognizing Momentum: The impulsive nature of the move post-breakout was an indication to hold the trade longer. Momentum trading often provides an opportunity for a bigger run.
Extended Targets: using Fibonacci extensions could have encouraged you to hold for additional profit.
Complete Trade Walkthrough
1. Entry Analysis:
Pattern Recognition & Confluence:
Descending Flag (Bullish): You identified and entered at the top of a descending flag, which is a continuation pattern in a bullish market. The breakout from this flag confirmed the upward momentum, making this a high-probability trade.
Confluence Factors:
Breakout Confirmation: Price broke through the descending resistance line, signaling a continuation of the bullish trend.
Support Zone: The prior lows acted as strong support, providing additional confidence that the price would move higher after the breakout.
This was an excellent, well-timed entry based on price structure. You entered right as the market broke out of the flag, aligning with a momentum-based strategy.
2. Price Action (PA) Analysis:
Impulse and Correction Structure:
Impulse Move: After the breakout, price made an impulsive leg upwards, which you capitalized on. This impulsive move is common following a flag pattern breakout, and the price shot up quickly, reflecting a strong buying pressure.
Correction: You entered just before the impulsive leg, after a period of corrective consolidation, which validated your timing. Once price pushed up, there was a brief consolidation before continuing the uptrend.
Momentum Continuation: Price made higher highs after your exit, indicating that momentum was still intact.
The price action displayed clear continuation signals following the breakout, suggesting that the market was still trending upwards.
3. Trade Management:
Time in the Trade:
You were in this trade for 3.5 hours, which aligns with the short-term nature of this flag breakout. However, the trade ran further, reaching up to 350 pips.
Profit Targeting:
Initial Take Profit (100 pips): You wisely took 100 pips as price approached a prior high. However, the fact that price continued upwards suggests that you might have captured more pips using alternative techniques.
Exit Consideration:
100 Pips Exit: While exiting at a previous high is logical, the lack of signs of reversal (e.g., no strong bearish candles or rejection at key resistance levels) indicated there was still room for the move to extend. The price continuing upward shows that the bullish momentum was strong, and you could have held on for a larger move.
Stop-Loss Placement:
You didn’t mention your stop-loss, but if you placed it below the structure of the flag (and adjusted it accordingly), this would have allowed you to reduce risk and hold for a longer run.
4. Potential Improvements:
Higher Time Frame Analysis (HTF Confluence):
HTF Context: Had you zoomed out to a higher time frame (1H or 4H), you may have seen that the breakout was part of a larger bullish trend, indicating there was potential for the move to continue beyond the 100-pip target.
Price Momentum: The momentum post-breakout on smaller time frames was strong. Checking the HTF would have given more confidence that this wasn’t just a short-term spike, but rather part of a more significant trend.
Trailing Stop Strategy:
Trailing Stops: Once your trade was 100 pips in profit, instead of closing the position entirely, you could have moved your stop-loss up to lock in some profits. This way, you could ride the larger move while managing risk.
Example: After 100 pips, trail your stop just below the previous consolidation or a key structure (e.g., 50 pips back), allowing the trade to breathe and move further in your favor.
Extended Profit Targeting:
Fibonacci Extensions: By using Fibonacci extensions, you could have projected extended profit targets beyond the initial 100 pips. Typically, a flag breakout can lead to an impulse equal to the size of the flagpole, offering more opportunities to scale out of the trade gradually.
Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.On the above 4 day chart price action has corrected over 90% since 2021 without the aid of share splits. A number of reasons now exist to consider a bullish outlook.
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Money flow index trend reversal (not shown here)
3) Short Interest 24.47%
Who remains short after a 90% correction?
Gamestop had a similar short interest of 28% back in the day of early 2021 before it got squeezed.
4) No share splits since the downtrend. True.
5) The bull flag breakout forecasts a 160% move to $9
Is it possible price action continues downtrend? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: <= 6%
Timeframe for long: This month
Return: 150%
NZDCHF: Buying After Breakout 🇳🇿🇨🇭
NZDCHF may continue growing after a confirmed violation
of an intraday/daily horizontal resistance.
As a confirmation, the price also broke a resistance line of a bullish
flag pattern on an hourly time frame after a test of a broken structure.
Goals: 0.530 / 0.531
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Bullish Flag Pattern Breakout in EICHERMOTStock Name: EICHERMOT
Timeframe: 1 Hour
The chart shows the formation of a Bullish Flag Pattern, indicating a continuation of the previous uptrend.
Key elements are:
Flag Pole: The initial strong upward move, forming the base of the bullish pattern.
Flag Resistance: The upper boundary of the flag pattern, highlighting the short-term consolidation.
Flag Support: The lower boundary of the flag, providing support during the consolidation phase.
Targets:
Initial Target: 5010+ (marked as the first breakout target)
Target 2: 5080+
Final Projected Target: 5150+
Stop Loss: Below 4850
If the price sustains above the breakout level, the bullish rally could continue, with potential to hit the projected targets. Conversely, any downside risk exists if the price falls below 4850, triggering the stop loss.
Bear Flag w/Confirmed Bearish Break - EGHere I have EUR/GBP on the Daily Chart!
Price gave a Bearish Break to the Ascending Channel which confirms we are seeing a Bearish Flag.
-The Volume behind the Candle that Broke the Ascending Channel signifies that it was a Strong and Valid Break
Being a Continuation Pattern, I suspect we will see Price Retest the Break of the Ascending Channel and continue Downward!
-Looking for a retest in the ( .8430 - .8435 )
Indicators:
- Price trading Below 200 EMA
- RSI Below 50
- BBTrend Printing Strong Red Bars
- Volume showing Bears accumulating
ATH prediction for this bull cycle: a Btc at $340k?- Each cycle (bullrun + bear market) makes a bullflag. So we can basically determine the target of the flag (orange arrows).
- So the cycle of 2014 (cycle 1) gave a target of $64 k, and this target has been hit during the cycle 3 (2021). On the monthly closing.
- What is interesting is that we needed 2 cycles to hit the target.
- If this pattern does the same thing, we can predict an ATH for this cycle (#4) with the bullflag #2. And the target is $340 k for Btc.
- An interesting is that, for the next bullrun (#5, 2028-2029), the target of the ATH is $270 k only (grey arrow)... This could be the first time the previous ATH won't be broken.
NZDUSD-BULLISHNZDUSD is in bullish trend making HH HL and breaking resistances at 1H time frame, following continuation bullish flag pattern. Harmonic Pattern ABCD also confirms the upward trend while divergence is synced with chart.
Strategy 1
TREND Bullish
DIVERGENCE Yes(synced)
REVERSAL PATTERN No
CONTINUATION PATTERN Bullish Flag
HARMONICS AB=CD
Trade Plan
EP 0.62031
SL 0.61806
TP1 0.62250
TP2 0.62470
Risk 0.2%
BTC Bear Flag Short IdeaBTC recently had a failed shorter term bull flag breakout attempt, but it held $57.7k. However, there's a nice looking bear flag forming here and it has broken below. I'll be looking for shorts on a retest or on another rally if we never get a retest. We still have demand shortly below and the critical $57.7k area.
First downside target from there is around $52-$50k which is a previous swing low along with prior support/demand. Final target will be the flag pole target around GETTEX:46K if $50k gives. I think if $50k gives it's not going to be pretty, but I'd still take profit at GETTEX:46K and reassess if it hit. First upside target is supply around $60k followed by the previous double top at FWB:65K if bulls manage to save it from this downside bear flag break.
MarketBreakdown | USDCAD EURNZD, GBPCAD, GBPCHF
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ USDCAD daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇦
The pair is currently consolidating within a horizontal range on a daily.
I am waiting for a breakout of a one of the boundaries of the range
to confirm the future direction of the market.
I think that the price may keep coiling before the FED rate decision on Wednesday.
2️⃣ EURNZD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇳🇿
Similarly to USDCAD, EURNZD is also in a deep consolidation.
The pair trades in sideways for many days, perfectly respecting the same
horizontal resistance and support.
Our trigger and the signal will be its breakout.
3️⃣ GBPCAD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇨🇦
We see a violation of a significant daily horizontal resistance and a formation of a new year's high.
It indicates a clear strength of the buyers and a highly probable further bullish continuation.
I will look for a retest of a broken structure to buy from there.
4️⃣ GBPCHF daily time frame 🇬🇧🇨🇭
I see a confirmed breakout of a resistance line of a falling parallel channel.
With a high probability, the price will go up after its retest.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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EURUSD: Very Bullish Pattern🔵The EURUSD has been in a bullish trend for the long term, with a new higher high set in August followed by a correctional movement.
A bullish flag pattern has formed, leading to a minor bearish trend. However, the pair has started to rise again since last week.
If the resistance of the flag is broken by the bulls, it could lead to a trend-following movement. The next target is 1.1200.
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #3 | NFLX Bull FlagThird bull flag in a row, they're everywhere right now. This one is a little different than RKT and Silver IMO because it's a tech stock. I'm not convinced tech is going to be bullish after this week, but if NFLX breaks out of this bull flag and makes a new ATH I'd have to expect more upside after.
This started developing during the first week of August so it may take some time to hit the final target, but it'll be a blue sky setup. I'd be targeting 800, which is near the flag pole length from the breakout point and is a psychological whole number.
BITCOIN VS U.S. DOLLAR! BULL RUN??Hey everyone!
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Understanding the Inverse Correlation
As you correctly noted, Bitcoin (BTC) and the US Dollar Index (DXY) often exhibit an inverse relationship. When DXY weakens, BTC tends to appreciate, and vice versa.
Analyzing Recent Trends
DXY Breakdown: DXY is currently showing signs of a bearish breakdown from a symmetrical triangle on the weekly timeframe. This suggests potential further weakness in the US Dollar.
BTC Bull Flag: Bitcoin is forming a bullish flag pattern on the weekly timeframe, indicating potential upward momentum.
Potential Outlook
The combined analysis of both DXY and BTC suggests a favorable environment for Bitcoin. A breakout from the bullish flag, coupled with a weakening US Dollar, could lead to significant gains in the coming months.
What are your thoughts on BTC's and the U.S. Dollar Index's current price action? Do you see a bullish pattern in BTC? Share your analysis in the comments below!