USD/JPY Bearish Continuation📉 Trend Analysis:
The chart shows a breakdown from an ascending channel, indicating a potential bearish reversal after an extended uptrend.
Price has formed a descending channel, reinforcing the short-term bearish structure.
🔍 Key Levels:
Sell Zone: Around 0.0066848 - 0.0066919, acting as resistance.
First Target: Around 0.006490, a strong support area.
Second Target: Around 0.0065692, marking a deeper level of bearish continuation.
Final Target: Around 0.0064632, a critical demand zone.
📌 Trade Plan:
Look for sell entries on a possible pullback to the resistance zone.
Confirmation through rejection candles or continuation patterns could strengthen the bearish case.
⚠ Risk Management:
Stop loss above the previous resistance around 0.0067184.
Take profits gradually at key support zones.
Flag
GBP/USD Bullish Channel – Buy Opportunity! Overview:
The British Pound (GBP) against the US Dollar (USD) is currently trading within an ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe. The price is approaching a key buy zone at the lower trendline, presenting a potential long opportunity if bullish momentum continues.
Key Market Structure Analysis:
🔹 Uptrend in Progress: GBP/USD has been forming higher highs and higher lows inside a well-defined rising channel.
🔹 Support Zone: A potential buy entry is around 1.2925, aligning with the lower boundary of the channel.
🔹 Target Projection: If the price bounces from support, the next key resistance target is 1.3085.
Potential Trade Setup:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
A retest and bounce from 1.2925 could trigger a buy setup.
Upside target:
🎯 1.3085 – Key resistance level within the channel.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Invalidation):
A break below 1.2925 could invalidate the bullish setup and signal a deeper retracement.
Below the channel support, price might target the 1.2600 region as the next demand zone.
Final Thoughts:
GBP/USD remains in a strong uptrend, with the lower channel support acting as a key decision point. If bulls defend this level, we could see further upside momentum. However, a breakdown of the structure could shift the sentiment.
Will GBP/USD continue its bullish momentum? Share your thoughts below!
Potential Bearish Flag in Super MicroSuper Micro Computer has bounced since November, but some traders may expect further downside.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the major slide that began last May. SMCI’s spike in February stalled at a 50 percent retracement of that move. The maker of AI servers also tried and failed to clear its 200-day simple moving average (SMA).
Those signals may confirm the longer-term trend is moving lower.
Next, the small rising channel so far in March could be viewed as a bearish flag.
Third, SMCI has tried to hold support at its 50-day SMA but yesterday closed under it.
Fourth, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has remained below the 21-day EMA. MACD is falling as well. Both of those patterns may reflect short-term bearish trends.
Finally, SMCI is one of the most active underliers in the options market. (TradeStation data shows it averaging more than 800,000 contracts per day in the last month.) That could help traders position for moves with calls and puts.
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Technical Analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – March 19, 2025, 15-MTrend Identification:
Gold has been in a strong uptrend, as indicated by the 200-period moving average (blue line) sloping upwards.
However, the price is now rejecting key resistance levels around $3,032–$3,035, signaling possible consolidation or a short-term pullback.
A potential trend shift is forming, with price attempting to break out of its rising channel.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $3,032–$3,035 (recent highs and POC zone).
Major Resistance: $3,050–$3,070 (next psychological and technical resistance).
Immediate Support: $3,020 (lower boundary of the descending channel).
Key Support: $3,010 (previous breakout zone & strong demand area).
Chart Patterns & Market Structure:
The ascending channel broke down, leading to a shift in short-term momentum.
A descending channel (red) is forming, suggesting potential for further downside in the short term.
Volume Profile (VPVR) shows a concentration of liquidity at $3,032–$3,035, indicating a strong supply zone where sellers are active.
Trade Setup & Risk Management:
📈 Bullish Trade Setup (Bounce from Key Support Zone)
Entry: Buy near $3,010–$3,015 if price stabilizes.
Stop-Loss: Below $3,000 (psychological and structural support).
Target 1: $3,032 (POC & resistance).
Target 2: $3,050–$3,070 (major resistance).
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): ~1:3
📉 Bearish Trade Setup (Short from Resistance Zone)
Entry: Sell near $3,032–$3,035 if rejection occurs.
Stop-Loss: Above $3,040.
Target 1: $3,020 (mid-level support).
Target 2: $3,010 (key demand zone).
RRR: ~1:2
Risk Management & Position Sizing:
Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade to manage exposure.
Adjust position size based on stop-loss distance to maintain a consistent risk profile.
Watch for volume confirmation before entering trades for better accuracy.
Technical Analysis of DAX Index (March 13, 2025, 15-Minute ChartTrend Identification:
The price action is moving within a rising channel (highlighted in purple), indicating a potential short-term bullish trend.
The 200-period moving average (maroon line) is above the price action, suggesting a larger timeframe bearish bias, but price is attempting to reclaim higher levels.
The Point of Control (POC) at 22,658.69 indicates the area of highest traded volume and a key decision zone.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 22,720 (upper boundary of the rising channel).
Major Resistance: 22,800 (previous swing high).
Immediate Support: 22,560 (lower boundary of the channel).
Key Support: 22,440 (recent swing low and potential reversal area).
Chart Patterns & Market Structure:
The price recently bounced from the lower boundary of the channel, suggesting buying pressure at support.
A Volume Profile (VPVR) shows strong volume concentration around 22,658, reinforcing it as a key pivot zone.
The recent sharp rejection from the lows aligns with potential bullish continuation, targeting the upper channel boundary.
Trade Setup & Risk Management:
📈 Bullish Trade Setup (Trend Continuation)
Entry: Buy near 22,600–22,620 on minor pullbacks.
Stop-Loss: Below 22,540 (previous swing low).
Target 1: 22,720 (upper channel boundary).
Target 2: 22,800 (major resistance zone).
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): ~1:2.5
📉 Bearish Trade Setup (Reversal Play)
Entry: Sell near 22,720–22,740 if price rejects resistance with strong bearish candles.
Stop-Loss: Above 22,780.
Target 1: 22,600 (POC and key support).
Target 2: 22,440 (lower channel boundary).
RRR: ~1:2
Risk Management & Position Sizing:
Risk 1-2% of capital per trade to maintain disciplined exposure.
Adjust position size based on stop-loss distance to keep risk consistent.
Monitor volume dynamics for confirmation of trade direction.
EUR/AUD (Euro to Australian Dollar) bullish setup **EUR/AUD (Euro to Australian Dollar)
### **Key Observations:**
1. **Bullish Flag Formation:**
- A **bullish flag** pattern has been identified in the chart.
- This pattern typically indicates a continuation of the upward trend after a brief consolidation.
2. **Breakout & Target:**
- The price has broken out of the bullish flag and is heading toward the projected **target** level.
- The target level is marked above the **1.71600** region.
3. **Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):**
- **7-period EMA** (purple) at **1.71457**.
- **21-period EMA** (pink) at **1.71340**.
- **50-period EMA** (yellow) at **1.71264**.
- The price is currently trading **above all three EMAs**, indicating a bullish trend.
4. **Volume Confirmation:**
- An increase in volume is visible during the breakout, which supports the validity of the bullish flag breakout.
5. **Current Price Action:**
- The price is currently around **1.71542**, moving upwards after breaking resistance.
### **Analysis & Outlook:**
- **Bullish Bias:** The breakout of the bullish flag with strong volume suggests a continued upward move.
- **Key Support Levels:** 1.71264 (50 EMA), 1.71340 (21 EMA).
- **Key Resistance Levels:** 1.71600 (Target level), further resistance might be around **1.7200**.
This chart suggests a bullish momentum in **EUR/AUD**, with traders likely aiming for the target area after the breakout.
Orbs to provide a 20x?Welcome back dearest reader!
Today we will analyse another project called Orbs. Looking at their website the fundamentals look great! But other than that, the chart also looks fantastic!
When looking at past performance its clear orbs has been in a massive flag formation since march 2021, it has broken out in october 2023 and has just now touched a very important support zone! Expecting upside momentum from here untill august.
Target: 0.40$
Stoploss: 0.0145$
SILVER (XAGUSD): Bullish Continuation Ahead
Silver formed a strong bullish pattern on a 4H.
I see a bullish flag with a candle close above its resistance line.
I think that the market is going to continue rising.
Next resistance 34.2
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NIFTY Flag BreakoutNIFTY...Finally after a long time has given a good AD ratio...Flat was forming now broke out...see chart...tgt calculated and marked on the chart....Good momentum also exists...Also note if the tgt is achieved ..then on a larger time frame a larger pattern will be broken..But we will come to that once that is achieved..Now we wait for this tgt to be achieved.
The last opportunity If you did not take the January 17th post serious when BABA was 84 dollars, you have to be brave enough to pull the trigger after a 75% move in 2 months.
But most people will sit and wait for a big correction to get involved while they don’t think in the past 4 weeks when market was correcting, BABA stayed flat and as soon as selling pressure decreased, BABA break above the resi.
GBPUSD: UP After the News 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD looks bullish after the release of the US news.
I see a bullish breakout of a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern.
The price is going to retest the current high first - 1.2987,
and continue growing to 1.3 level then.
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Gold (XAU) Eyes Breakout from Bull Flag Pattern TechnicalGold (XAU) is consolidating in a tight range (2,900–2,903) following a bullish flag pole formation, signaling potential continuation of the uptrend. Key levels to watch:
- Breakout Resistance: 2,903.31 (flag upper boundary). A close above targets 3,000.00 (psychological resistance).
- Support Zone: 2,900–2,880. A breakdown here may invalidate the pattern.
Technical Rationale: The bull flag pattern suggests accumulation after a sharp rally, with the RSI-neutral price action (+0.03%) indicating balanced momentum. The flag’s proximity to yearly highs reinforces bullish bias if breakout occurs.
Fundamental Catalyst: Macro risks (rate cut expectations, geopolitical tensions) could amplify safe-haven demand, aligning with the technical setup.
Action: Monitor for volume-backed breakout above 2,903.31 for long entries. Tight stop-loss advised below 2,880.
Risk Disclaimer: Trade with managed risk; patterns may fail amid shifting macro drivers.
NZDCAD: Strong Bullish Signals 🇳🇿🇨🇦
I see 2 strong price action confirmations on NZDCAD:
the price broke a resistance line of a bullish flag
and then formed a confirmed change of character CHoCH on a 4H.
I think that the market will continue a bullish rally.
Next resistance - 0.83
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Bullish Pullback (Bullish Flag) or Trend Reversal**EUR/CAD (4H) Chart Pattern Analysis** 📊
Based on the **4-hour chart**, here’s a breakdown of the **current market structure and potential trade setups**:
**🔍 Chart Pattern: Bullish Pullback or Trend Reversal?**
- **Trend:** The market has been in a **strong uptrend**, with price consistently trading above the **50 EMA (yellow line)**.
- **Recent Pullback:** The price has retraced slightly after making a **higher high**, but it is still respecting the **21 EMA (purple line)** and **50 EMA (yellow line)**.
- **Possible Pattern Formation:**
- **Bullish Flag:** If the price consolidates and breaks above **1.5700**, we could see **continuation to new highs**.
- **Double Top Reversal:** If the price fails to break above resistance and drops below **1.5525**, the trend might reverse.
**📈 Bullish Scenario (Trend Continuation)**
✅ **Entry:** Buy on break and close above **1.5700**
✅ **Stop Loss (SL):** Below **1.5620** (recent support)
✅ **Take Profit (TP):**
- **TP1:** 1.5750
- **TP2:** 1.5800
- **TP3:** 1.5850 (extended target)
📌 **Confirmation Needed:**
- Strong bullish candle closing above **7 EMA & 21 EMA**
- Volume increase on breakout
---
**📉 Bearish Scenario (Trend Reversal)**
❌ **Entry:** Sell if price drops below **1.5525**
❌ **Stop Loss (SL):** Above **1.5650**
❌ **Take Profit (TP):**
- **TP1:** 1.5480
- **TP2:** 1.5400
- **TP3:** 1.5350 (major demand zone)
📌 **Confirmation Needed:**
- **Break of 50 EMA** with strong bearish momentum
- Increased selling volume
---
**📊 Summary**
🔹 **Trend is still bullish**, but price needs to hold above 21 & 50 EMA for continuation.
🔹 **Key Level:** **1.5700 for bullish breakout** OR **1.5525 for bearish reversal**.
🔹 **Wait for confirmation before entering a trade!**
USD/CHF: Bearish Trend Pauses, but Breakdown Risks RemainThe strong bearish trend for USD/CHF stalled this week, with buying support emerging beneath .8774, continuing the pattern seen in December. The net result has been a grind higher before running into resistance at .8854, forming what resembles a bear flag on the charts. That should put traders on alert for a potential downside break and resumption of the bearish trend.
Indicators like RSI (14) and MACD are providing mixed signals on price momentum, with the former trending higher while the latter remains below the signal line. However, the modest RSI (14) uptrend looks vulnerable, mirroring the unconvincing price action.
If the price breaks down from the bear flag, immediate levels of note include .8774, .8711, and .8617, the latter being a more substantial support level. On the topside, a break of .8854 would put .8920 and .8966 on the radar for bulls.
The price is hanging around the 200-day moving average like a bad smell this week, but having traded through it on multiple occasions like it didn’t exist, it shouldn’t be a major consideration for traders.
Good luck!
DS
Tellor (TRB) a hidden gem, will previous price action repeat?Hello again dear reader for a another analysis.
From August to December 2023 TRB has seen a MASSIVE move of 7000% gains over the course of just 126 days. Since then it has corrected a whopping 96%!
There is now a reason to be bullish on this coin. Looking at the drawn structure we can see multiple important touch zones described with the letters ''A till F'' (NOT ELLIOT). It is quite possible price action might correct further till 19$ where a big support zone lies, but there is no guarantee that ''will'' happen.
Target: 1200$ (M-cap of 3B which is very achievable)
Stoploss: 15$
I aim to keep analysis simple and easy to understand. Any questions of requests for analysis feel free to ask!
Rustle
Silver (XAG/USD) Technical Analysis – March 13, 2025 (15-Min Cha1. Trend Identification
Short-Term Uptrend Developing:
The price is trading above the 200-period moving average (blue line), indicating bullish momentum.
The Point of Control (POC) at 33.017 suggests a key liquidity zone where buyers have been active.
Key Resistance Levels in Focus:
The price is currently struggling near 33.043, with the next resistance at 33.259 (higher POC level).
A break above 33.259 could trigger a further rally.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: 33.000 - 33.017 (POC, psychological level).
Immediate Resistance: 33.259 (higher POC, recent high).
Upside Target: 33.500 - 33.600 (upper channel projection).
Downside Risk: 32.900 - 32.800 (lower channel support).
3. Volume Analysis
Last 120 Bars: Up Vol > Down Vol by +26.82%, indicating strong buyer dominance.
Last 60 Bars: Up Vol > Down Vol by +41.46%, further confirming short-term bullish strength.
Interpretation:
Buyers are clearly in control, but the resistance at 33.259 needs to be breached for a strong continuation.
If price pulls back to 33.017 and finds support, it may provide a better entry point.
4. Chart Patterns & Projections
Bullish Continuation Scenario:
If price breaks above 33.259, it is likely to rally toward 33.500 - 33.600 (upper trend channel).
Bearish Pullback Scenario:
A failure to break 33.259 could lead to a retracement toward 32.900 - 32.800.
Trade Setups & Risk Management
1. Long Trade Setup (Bullish Scenario)
Entry: Buy above 33.259 (breakout confirmation) or on a pullback to 33.017 (strong support).
Stop-Loss: Below 32.900 (recent low & lower channel boundary).
Targets:
First Target: 33.400
Final Target: 33.600 (upper channel resistance).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 or better.
2. Short Trade Setup (Bearish Pullback Scenario)
Entry: Sell below 33.000 (breakdown confirmation).
Stop-Loss: Above 33.100 (recent consolidation zone).
Targets:
First Target: 32.900
Final Target: 32.800 (lower channel support).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or better.
DAX Index Technical Analysis – March 12, 2025 (15-Min Chart)1. Trend Identification
Reversal to Bullish Momentum:
The price has broken above the 200-period moving average (red line), indicating a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
The Point of Control (POC) at 22,324.82 previously acted as strong support, from which price has bounced.
Volume Confirmation of Bullish Move:
The last 60 bars show an up-volume dominance of +32.10%, confirming that buyers are gaining control.
However, the 120-bar volume is still slightly negative (-1.71%), indicating lingering selling pressure.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: 22,500 - 22,550 (recent breakout zone).
Stronger Support: 22,324 (POC) – a critical level where buyers stepped in.
Immediate Resistance: 22,700 - 22,750 (local resistance zone).
Upside Target: 23,000 - 23,200 (upper trend channel projection).
3. Volume Analysis
Last 120 Bars: Up Vol < Down Vol by -1.71%, showing slight selling pressure.
Last 60 Bars: Up Vol > Down Vol by +32.10%, indicating strong short-term buying activity.
Interpretation:
Bullish Confirmation: Buyers have stepped in aggressively, pushing price above the 200-MA and key support zones.
Watch for Pullbacks: A retracement toward 22,500 - 22,550 could provide a better long entry before continuation.
4. Chart Patterns & Projections
Bullish Continuation Scenario: If price holds above 22,550, it is likely to move toward 23,000 - 23,200 within the ascending channel.
Bearish Pullback Scenario: If price fails to hold 22,500, a retracement to 22,324 or lower is possible.
Trade Setups & Risk Management
1. Long Trade Setup (Bullish Scenario)
Entry: Buy near 22,550 (pullback entry) or above 22,750 (breakout confirmation).
Stop-Loss: Below 22,500 (recent support).
Targets:
First Target: 22,900
Final Target: 23,200 (upper channel resistance).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 or better.
2. Short Trade Setup (Bearish Pullback Scenario)
Entry: Sell below 22,500 (breakdown confirmation).
Stop-Loss: Above 22,700.
Targets:
First Target: 22,400
Final Target: 22,324 (POC & key support).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or better.
US 100 Technical Analysis – March 12, 2025 (15-Min Chart)1. Trend Identification
Bearish Bias:
The price is trading below the 200-period moving average (red line), indicating overall bearish momentum.
The Point of Control (POC) at 19,449.24 represents a high liquidity area, acting as a strong resistance level.
Short-Term Consolidation:
The price is oscillating around 19,375, suggesting market indecision before a breakout or breakdown.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: 19,400 - 19,450 (POC and recent highs).
Immediate Support: 19,300 (lower consolidation boundary).
Stronger Support: 19,000 (psychological level & lower trend channel).
Upside Target: 19,500 - 19,600 (breakout scenario).
3. Volume Analysis
Last 120 Bars: Up Volume < Down Volume by -15.53%, indicating stronger selling pressure.
Last 60 Bars: Up Volume < Down Volume by -10.28%, reinforcing short-term bearish dominance.
Interpretation:
Bearish Sentiment Dominates: Selling pressure is higher, increasing the probability of a breakdown below 19,300.
If buyers regain control near 19,300, a bounce toward 19,450 is possible.
4. Chart Patterns & Projections
Bearish Breakdown Scenario: If price fails to hold 19,300, it could drop to 19,000 (blue channel projection).
Bullish Reversal Scenario: A breakout above 19,450 could trigger a move toward 19,500 - 19,600.
Trade Setups & Risk Management
1. Short Trade Setup (Bearish Breakdown)
Entry: Sell below 19,300 (confirmed breakdown).
Stop-Loss: Above 19,400 (previous resistance).
Targets:
First Target: 19,150 (mid-support).
Final Target: 19,000 (key support).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or better.
2. Long Trade Setup (Bullish Breakout)
Entry: Buy above 19,450 (confirmed breakout).
Stop-Loss: Below 19,375 (recent consolidation zone).
Targets:
First Target: 19,500 (local resistance).
Final Target: 19,600 (upper channel).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 or better.