$FNMA/$FMCC Riding On Momentum From 2 Catalysts;Long Road AheadBoth Fannie Mae ( FNMA ) and Freddie Mac ( FMCC ) are rocking and rolling. Mnuchin's interview paired with the court of appeals' move against the Gov't have sparked more interest here. This is great and another potential catalyst today could add fuel to the fire.
HOWEVER, is there a motion likely before the election? I think the jury is still out on that front. We've got the election year to think about as well. My guess is short term momentum and hopefully, it retraces back to a higher support than its previous resistance range.
" So, are FMCC stock and FNMA stock penny stocks to buy or should you avoid them like the plague? In my opinion, there still needs to be some diligence had right now and don’t throw caution to the wind either...Should a Democrat beat the current incumbent, this whole “to do” may be scrapped entirely. Even though things are exciting now, make sure to keep tabs on the underlying risks and learn how to manage should those materialize...At the end of the day, if an overhaul does happen, Congress will lead negotiations. All these points mentioned would be up for discussion. Some of the more conservative ideas would most likely get taken out of the running. So, keep in mind that there are many unknowns, still. The fact of the matter is that these two penny stocks will remain under close scrutiny for the foreseeable future; this week being the next potential milestone to keep an eye on. "
Source - The Best Penny Stocks To Buy This Month? FMCC & FNMA
FMCC
Does FNMA Have Enough juice To Keep Going?At this point FNMA might not be all speculation.
"This latest plan is to return the two back to private hands. But as part of the plan, there would be a Treasury backstop in place. But this hasn’t come without pushback. Senate Banking Committee Senator Sherrod Brown has issues with this plan. The concern stems from possible risks that could arise by giving up control." - PennyStocks.com, 2 Penny Stocks To Buy Or Avoid This Month: FNMA & FMCC
I think the government angle is something to pay attention to right now, personally. The closer a decision comes, the less "technical" and the more "headline" risk will play a factor.
Wild theory for #FMCCI have a wild theory about Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. There is a lot of speculation for both companies since the housing bubble crash. I think fear will drive the price down to as low as $1.00 - $1.75 range. Once the Blue Print is revealed I think it will shoot back up. It could also gradually climb back up depending on how the news sells the overhaul. Let's see what happens.
$FMCC Bull Flag Before Earnings?Prior to this initial price surge, the White house released comments about their intentions to deliver a solution to the GSE reform (Re-privatizing Freddie & Fannie). Both Mortgage giants have been forwarding their profits to the U.S. Treasury and delivering handsome returns since 2008, after they were bailed out by the U.S. Government during the crisis. Now, investors/traders are banking on Freddie Mac & Fannie Mae being released from conservatorship and once again delivering profits to shareholders. Could be an extremely lucrative opportunity if the White House follows through on behalf of shareholders!
Not 100% certain of my EW count, but clearly FMCC has established an uptrend with significant and sustaining volume as OBV has leveled off since the breakout.
Looks to me like a 5 wave impulse movement followed by something along the lines of a running triangle correction, ultimately taking the shape of a bull flag.
COINCIDENTALLY: The apex of this triangle just so happens to fall on Freddie Mac's earnings date.
End of day trading suggests buyers were looking to sneak in positions before earnings are announced, as the OBV broke out of its upper diagonal resistance, possibly alluding to expectations of a positive forecast.
(I am still delving into the fundamentals of EW theory, so I am not yet confident in my count. However, I figured I might as well play around with it now and tweak it as necessary moving forward.)