2Y yield - 45 degrees, break-outs and break-downs. Using 45 degree angles for 2Y yield (or inflation barometer) and stock market (faang). Pretty useful.
Bolts show where break downs of inflation are and where inflation is rising.
45 degrees show the strongest trend. You dont even need to use RSI. all must equal
FNGU
FNGD retrace to $8.50 before target of $10.51, coil/fakeout/pumpFNGD to go back down to $8.50 before target of $10.51 Nxt
I'm expecting a little retracement back to $8.51 with buy limits set from 8.88 down to 8.51
Take Profits at $10.17 and $10.51
Expect to retrace again and coil up. People will be talking about bears taking over, but the Santa rally will cheer bulls up and give them hope... meanwhile we are playing both sides.
Into 2024:
Due to everything going on and how much this market has tripped everyone up and out, I expect a double fakey to occur. FNGD will appear to be pumping (bears winning on FNGU and S&P) then the bulls will appear to take control and the descending triangle on the S&P will appear to have a breakout to the upside only to fail.
People will say its due to a news event, but the Operator/Fed is planning this. Equities will retreat to safety of Bonds. S&P will Fall, and lay off employees, people will beg for the Fed to cut rates and when they do Bonds will explode then Gold then after Equities and Crypto Capitulation we will rebuild on the scorched earth.
BUY BUY BUY WHEN THERE IS BLOOD IN THE STREETS IN MARCH/APRIL 2024!
SPLK popped on earnings. Can it continue? SPLK had a very impressive beat on earnings and traders responded with buying pressure
to push price up more than 15%. The question now is whether SPLK can sustain the
new interest or will it fade or drop. My analysis is that best on the short term volume
profile compared with the longer term is that there was a lot of trading at the top as
new but late buyers competed with short sellers on price and so the price rise stalled.
As a result I see price consolidated here and suspect that short sellers will push price
down from here. I will have SPLK on watch for a stock short trade and put options as
it is apparent that traders overreacted to the earnings beat. Price is still above the
POC line on the stort term volume profile. Once it drops below, I will look for a short
entry on the 3-15 minute time frames.
FNGU- Technology Titans CounterTrend LONG on ReversalFNGU on the 4H chart is in a trend down within a parallel channel. The previous trend down
from the top of the channel to the bottom was 29% while the counter counter-trend up from
the bottom of channel to the top was 18% over 7 days. Presenly the trend down from the
upper channel is confirmed by the two RS lines near to the 50 level and the Awesome Oscillator
with a down going signal. Trade plan - I will trade FNGU short ( or FNGD long ) until it is at
the bottom of the channel. Upon reaching it and mindful of a fake breakdown. I will watch for
reversal signs on a lower TF and upon finding them in the MACD or Bollinger Bands or VWAP
bands I will close the trade and so long instead.
MRVL fell after earnings beat & recovery REVERSALMRVL a technology stock beholden to the ebbs and tides of both the general markets
and the leaders of the tech sector fell on a mild earnings beat this is to say traders were
disappointed and responded with a 16% sell off from the pre-earnings run up.
I see MRVL potentially suitable for a retracement of half of the 16%. On the 30- minute
chart using both pivots as well as near and intermediate volume profiles I have marked
out important levels upside from the current market. Accordinly, there are three targets
I will close 50% of the position at the first 30% at the second and the remaining 20% at the
third. I see this as an 8-10% overall profit in a swing trade of about a week duration. If
the tech sector recovers next week from this current week, the profit could well be higher.
ARK - Cathie Wood flagship ETF rising again LONGARKK double topped about July 19 and July 31st then downtrend until Fri Aug 18th,
On this past trading day, the technology market moved higher lead by TSLA and NVDA.
ARK reversed and started the retracement of the trend down. I see ARK targeting
45 in the mid Fibonacci levels and potentially beyond that to 47.8 being the base level
of the double top. The stop loss is the pivot low on Friday as ARKK awaits a momentum
boosting cross over the mean anchored VWAP. The two TF RS indicator shows the lower TF in
green well over the 50 levels with the high TF black line lagging.
The ZL MACD shows more confirmation. ARKK looks good to enter now. I will zoom from the 2H
to the 30 minutes to find an optimal entry. I may take a large stock position and supplement it
with a single put option for insurance against downside potential. I seek a 12-14 ROI on the
stock trade and some multiples of that on a 2 to 3 week put option.
QQQ pulled back to support for LONGWithout regard to market noise, newsand other rumblings on the 1H chart with
two sets of anchored VWAP bands overlaid QQQ hit the upper bands about
about July 19th. On the retracement of about 35%, price is now in the range of
the mean VWAP line of the short-duration anchored VWAP and the first upper
line of the longer duration anchored VWAP. IT is also slightly above the interval
volume profile's POC line. That is to say there is tripel support and confluence
My analysis is the QQQ will rise in the upcoming week. I will take a long trade
targeting 378 (40%) 386.5 ( 40%) and 392 (205) - I may take a position in SQQQ
call options for insurance and risk mitigation on the trade. I see a resumption of
the bull run for technology and this trade will test that vision.
AAPL Buy Long on Pullback?AAPL has been rock solid this year as illustrated by the daily chart. It is no
surprise that AAPL is Warren Buffets's biggest holding. The earnings were a
top line beat with revenue flat. New iPhone sales are off. The TSLA idea
of dropping price to boost demand and trying to maintain margins will
come into effect. The dip this week is remarkable given the range of those
red candles. Based on VWAP bands, AAPL is overbought and overvalued but
not badly so. Price has dropped under the longest moving average (HMA140)/
This is a small pullback I will use the opportunity to purchase a call option
striking over the money at $205 for mid-November as an intermediate
term veto that AAPL will march consistently higher. Because of this pullback
the options contract will be a bit cheaper and easier from which to achieve
a realized profit.
FNGU- the leaders of the pack will come back first LONGFNGU is triple leveraged ETF of the titans of the NASDAQ; I expect it to come back front
of volatility in the market quickly as its constituents are the leaders here. I hope to exploit this
for 10% before COB for the trading week in the next two days.. A volume profile and mean
anchored VWAP using metrics employed by institutions and those executing with blocks
of voume. Analysis and target levels are on the chart for pureposeful brevity. Trade on !
TQQQ reversal shows early tech market recovery LONGOn the 15 minute chart TQQQ took a dive down through some relative volume voids
shown on the volume profile into a double bottom also showing a transition from
high relative selling volume into some decent buying volume . I can conclude that TQQQ
is in early reversal and will head the other direction through the same volume void which
could allow for a rapid ascent. While I made profit on SQQQ today, for tomorrow I
aspire to make money on TQQQ. I love volatility just as I loved yo-yos as a kid many years
ago. The concept of converting kinetic energy into potential energy has analogies in the
markets - coiling to store momentum and the triggering to unleash it. The chart shows
pertinent levels of the trade plan. As a bottom feeding grinder I am looking for 4% of range for
tomorrow .
BULZ - Technology ETF ( AI revolution )LONGBULZ is a 3X leveraged version of the Cathie Wood ETFs. As shows on the
2H chart BULZ broke out of the fair value channel of the anchored VWAP bands
in bullish momentum Not a coincidence. In three months it has gained over 110%
or 35% per month compounded. The MACD indicator shows the lines peaking over
the histogram a cross of them is pending. The mass index indicator shows a signal
into the reversal zone and falling as if about to trigger. This is a VWAP breakout
at its best. It jumped 7 % in one day and now needs a pullback reset.
My trading plan is simple. I will watch for a pullback to the blue line one standard
deviation above the mean VWAP. I expect a bounce off that dynamic support. The trade
will be a long-duration one until the technology sector cools off. Any future pullbacks to
the blue VWAP will have an incremental add to the position. Any pops in price over the second
VWAP line above the mean ( a line not visible here) will be used to signal a sell of a portion
of the position. All in all, this will compound realized profits while underway.
Is it time to short the big banks with BNKD again?As shown on the 4H chart BNKD, a triple leveraged ETF inverse to big bank stocks has had
ups and downs reflecting the chaos in the banking system with some failures and federal support
or takeovers. Online banks are thriving while some smaller regional banks are challenged with
a portfolio of bonds and treasuries bearing low yields. Price is presently at the same level
as the high of December 22 and low of April 23. This level is acting as support also allowing for
a narrow stop loss for a long trade. Price is below the high volume area of the long term
volume profile which equates to the fair value area. Accordingly, BNKD is oversold and
discounted below fair value into the undervalued range. It is below the mean anchored VWAP
line and in the area of one standard deviation below that line. The zero-lag MACD shows an
early impending cross of the lines under the histogram another suggestion of a reversal
I will take a long trade with the stop loss directly below the horizontal support line by
$ 0.25 while the first target just below the confluence of the POC line and the mean VWAP
@ $.13.90 while the final target is $ 15.60 near the top of the high volume area. I see this
as a safe long trade with a high R:R and profit potential.
FNGU Retracement for first half of AprilGreat run up so far, looks like there should be a healthy pullback this week. Look out for the $94-95 Level for support. Stop Loss around $93, if FNGU gets below that it could retrace all the way to $80 which is another good buy zone. I'm long on this stock and not looking to invest in its inverse (FNGD) unless FNGU drops below $93
Not financial advice
[stock] MicroSectors FANG 3X ETF - FNGU - one word - WOW!MicroSectors FANG 3X ETF - For the buy and hold investor - So you don't think it is possible for an ETF to move 10 - 25% quickly with the market? Then try researching 3X ETFs. Add MicroSectors FANG index 3X ETF - FNGU - and the inverse FNGD to your watch list. Edutainment Purposes Only!
Potential bear flag for FNGU - maybe 45% downside? FNGU is a 3x leveraged fang etf.
We've had a small consolidation (flag) but now we've started moving downward again (potential bear flag pattern).
Bear flag price target of roughly $15 would mean a 45% fall from current price.
Price target lines up with support levels of around $15 which we bounced off of multiple times in September 2020.
We also recently crossed below the 50d MA on the 4H.