Potential Long Position for GBP/AUD_Trade Plan 2017.06.29
Legend for price level, trend line, and rectangle:
Dark Gray > Weekly Level
Blue > Daily Level
Red > H4 / H1 Level
Green > M15 / M5 Level
Yellow > M1 Level
D1 and H4 are both showing the overall trend is still down with price still moving below MA200.
However, for the last 2 days, price bounce back up after rejected from major D1 support area 1.66845 - 1.67683.
In H1, price starts to form Higher High and Higher Low formation, the initiation of possible uptrend.
Trade Plan 1:
If price pull back to the confluences of support area around 1.68992 - 1.69240 (previous resistance turns to support, Fibo Ret 50% - 61.8%) and rejected up, can consider to long the market to follow the potential trend reversal to the upside.
With Stop Loss 49 pips and Target Profit 130 pips, the potential trade offers 2.65 Reward-To-Risk Ratio.
Since the major trend is still down in higher timeframe, keep in alert if price reversing back down below support area 1.68992 - 1.69240 massively, this Trade Setup may be invalidated.
Followthetrend
Potential Long Position for AUD/USD_Trade Plan 2017.06.27
Legend for price level, trend line, and rectangle:
Dark Gray > Weekly Level
Blue > Daily Level
Red > H4 / H1 Level
Green > M15 / M5 Level
Yellow > M1 Level
D1 and H4 are both showing the overall trend is still up with price is still moving above MA200 and major D1 support area 0.74921 - 0.75145.
Currently, in H1, price coming back up above MA200 and breaks above resistance area 0.75649 - 0.7576.
Thus, the overall market bias is up in all the above timeframes.
Trade Plan 1:
If price pull back to previous resistance area turns to support 0.75649 - 0.7576 (confluenced with MA200 and area between Fibo Ret 38.2% - 50%) and rejected up, long the market.
With Stop Loss 15 pips and Target Profit 45 pips, the potential trade offers 3.00 Reward-To-Risk Ratio.
Keep in alert if price going back down below MA200 massively, the trade setup would be invalidated.
Follow the trend! (GBPAUD analysis)Hi guys,
few days ago we managed to get more than a hundred pips from shorting this pair. Now the situation has changed, since we came back to previous structure and started consolidating right at the trendline retest. Besides, the zone we're on is a daily structure that could push price up, according to the major trend.
The RSI divergence down on the bottom additionally confirm our view, along with the psychological number 1,6500.
I'm buying with stops below the lows, and targets as illustrated above.
If you want to ask questions or share your view, feel free to comment beneath.
Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
USDCHF 4hour fib long-weekly ascending channel
-weekly higher low made
-weekly counter trend line broken
-4hr ascending channel
-4hr fib found support at 61.80% level however there is a chance of further retracement before going long
-4hr target 1 - 127.20%.
-4hr target 2 looks very likely as it has confluences with upper channel boundary to make new higher high.
What Is Next For SPY ???The SPY gapped down on Friday morning and then proceeded lower all day. Monday morning brought renewed optimism as the SPY gapped down again but this time reversed and closed a little under the highs of Friday. Notice that the SPY traded as low as 212.25ish and as high as 217ish. Lets focus on that range and what has happened since.
The triangle and horizontal lines are meant to point out the high & low of Friday & Monday AND to show the downward progression of the highs of each of the days since Friday 9/9. This includes today Monday 9/19. Last Thursday again brought renewed optimism but look where the top of the daily candle stopped. Right on the hypotenuse of the triangle. Now look at today 9/19. The SPY opened the day up about 10ish points. Optimism was in the air. After the markets opened they proceeded higher, for a while. How long? Just long enough for the high of today to reach the hypotenuse of the triangle again. Then it was all down hill from there.
Some traders, or analysts, or technicians will tell you "they think the market is headed ________". I am reminding you that any of us could guess what the market will do next. I would much prefer to follow the SPY out of the triangle. Will it go up through the hypotenuse? Will it go down through the horizontal bottom? No one knows. But when it leaves this triangle, you should consider following it out.
Don't let these choppy markets get you down. Stay focused! You may have to be nimble. You may have to be flexible enough to change directions. Just don't get locked into a belief about which way the market will go from here.
Good luck to you!
Trade what you see... Not what you wish, hope, feel, or...
The downtrend is your friend until the price moves above it...
How to recognise a trend. Silver example.Follow the money! And your trading will be easier and smooth. You want to start buying in an accumulation area and keep adding to your position as soon as a new uptrend starts to develop.
Remember not to sell too early! You want to keep at least a decent amount of your initial position to keep riding the uptrend until it is over.
That's the difference between good profits or life changing fortunes... patience to hold your winning positions, and confidence to close your losses early.