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FOMC

GBP/USD - 1.30 Break I've been monitoring Cable closely, waiting for a clean break above the 1.30 resistance level. Since the start of the month, no solid entry has presented itself, but the bulls seem to be gaining momentum as time progresses. The chart is shaping up well, with 1.30 acting as a key resistance level. We've already seen multiple rejections this month, with price coming within 10 pips before reversing sharply. If we get a confirmed breakout above 1.30, I'll be watching for a retest to establish it as support before entering a long position. The target is set at the psychological level of 1.325, aiming for a 3:1 risk-to-reward.
Long
by InvestorJordan
Gold Forecast: Key Levels Above $3,000Gold remains persistent in targeting its inverted head and shoulders pattern on the daily timeframe, eyeing the 3,040-resistance. However, monthly overbought conditions—seen in 2024, 2020, and 2011—raise caution for potential sharp reversals. • In 2011, an overbought RSI led to a nearly 900-point retracement • In 2020, a similar overbought condition resulted in a nearly 450-point decline • In November 2024, another overbought reading triggered a nearly 250-point drop • Now, gold has once again reached these overbought levels, raising caution for a potential momentum recharge. Key Events: 🔹Israel-Gaza tensions escalate as the 2-month ceasefire ends 🔹Trump and Putin negotiate a ceasefire with #Ukraine 🔹The US Dollar weakens amid trade war risks, with focus on Wednesday’s FOMC for the long-term outlook Key Levels: 🔺Above 3,040: The trend could extend to 3,080 🔻Below 3,040: A reversal may test 3,000, 2,955, 2,930, and 2,900 - Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
ES Futures Market Outlook & Key LevelsCME_MINI:ES1! As we discussed in last week’s TradingView blog, the ES futures are currently undergoing a 10% correction. You can access the full context through the link here. Rollover Notice: Today marks the rollover of ES futures to the June 2025 contract. The rollover adjustment using Friday’s settlement prices for ESH2025 and ESM2025 is +52.25. To map out the new levels for ESM2025, simply add +52.25 to the levels on ESH2025. Note: TradingView will roll over the continuous ES1! chart on Tuesday, March 18, 2025. Key Events This Week: This week, all eyes will be on the FOMC rate decision , FOMC press conference , and the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP ), which includes the Fed’s dot plot, inflation expectations, and growth forecasts for the next two years. This release will set the tone for market movements, at least until the clarity of the looming reciprocal tariffs deadline on April 2, 2025. Key Levels to Watch: • Bullish LIS / Yearly Open 2025: 5,949.25 • Key Level to Reclaim: 5,795 - 5,805 • Resistance Zone: 5,704.50 - 5,719.75 • Bearish LIS / Mid Range 2024: 5,574.50 • 2024-YTD mCVAL: 5,449.25 • 2022 CVAH: 5,280.25 Market Scenarios: Scenario 1: Fed Support ("Fed Put") The Fed is widely expected to hold rates steady this week. However, markets are forward-looking, so the key focus will be on the updated SEP forecast and the Fed’s press conference. A dovish stance and flexibility to support the US economy, including rate cut expectations moving to the May/June meetings, will drive sentiment. This would imply markets pricing in more rate cuts throughout 2025. The CME Fedwatch tool is a useful resource for tracking Fed fund probabilities and comparing these with the dot plot projections. Scenario 2: Trade War 2.0 If the Fed remains in a "wait and see" mode, maintaining a restrictive stance while uncertainties surrounding Trade War 2.0 persist, markets may face heightened volatility. The combination of a restrictive Fed policy and geopolitical tensions could act as a double whammy for markets.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by EdgeClear
Dow Holds Steady Above 41,000Unlike the Nasdaq and SP500, Dow did not trace the full potential of its double top formation between 2024 and 2025 peaks, yet in a similar manner to the US indices, it rebounded from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the May 2024-Jan 2025 uptrend, coinciding with oversold levels on the 3-Day RSI previously seen in October 2023. The Dow’s rebound from the 40,660 low aligns with the bottom end of the duplicated channel of its respected up-trend between May 2024 and Jan 2025, strengthening positive rebound opportunities in tandem with the broader market sentiment. Should the Dow hold above the 41,000-mark, levels 41,700, 42,600, and 43,400 may come back to play. From the downside, a clean close back below the 40,600-mark can extend losses in the direction of the double top formation’s target, aligning with possible support levels at 40,200, 39,500, and 38,700. Key Events to Watch: - Trade war Developments - FOMC Meeting on Wednesday Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:US30
by FOREXcom
NAS100 - Stock Market Enters Downtrend?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, we can look for further buying opportunities in Nasdaq. A break of the channel ceiling will also continue the short-term upward trend in Nasdaq. According to EPFR data reported by Bank of America, investors withdrew $2.8 billion from equity funds last week, marking the largest outflow of the year so far. Meanwhile, U.S. government bonds saw an inflow of $6.4 billion, the biggest weekly increase since August. Scott Basnett, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, stated in an interview that there are no guarantees to prevent an economic recession. He welcomed the decline in stock markets, viewing it as a sign of a healthy market. Analysts believe this shift in tone—unusual for a Treasury Secretary who typically reassures economic strength—suggests an effort to prepare the public for a possible recession. According to data from the Polymarket betting platform, the probability of a U.S. recession in 2025 is currently estimated at 41%. Reuters reports that American households are increasingly pessimistic about the economic outlook. However, the Federal Reserve may be reluctant to respond aggressively to a weakening economy, given growing concerns that the Trump administration’s trade policies could further fuel inflation. These concerns were reflected in financial markets on Friday, as the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment survey showed a decline in consumer confidence for March. Additionally, consumers now expect inflation to reach 3.9% over the next five years, the highest level in more than 30 years. In an interview with Breitbart, Basnett emphasized the need to remain vigilant against persistent Biden-era inflation and expressed support for deregulation to lower costs. He also stressed that while tackling inflation, the government must also address affordability concerns. Additionally, he backed interest rate cuts to help reduce housing costs and auto loan payments. This week will be packed with major economic events, creating a high-risk environment for precious metals traders amid ongoing geopolitical developments during Trump’s second term. Central banks are back in the spotlight, as several key monetary institutions are set to announce their policy decisions in the coming days: • Tuesday: Bank of Japan • Wednesday: Federal Reserve • Thursday: Swiss National Bank & Bank of England Furthermore, a series of macroeconomic data releases could influence market sentiment, including: • Monday: Retail sales & Empire State Manufacturing Index • Tuesday: Housing starts & building permits • Thursday: Weekly jobless claims, existing home sales & Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged in its upcoming meeting. Market participants will closely watch the Fed’s updated economic projections and Jerome Powell’s press conference for insights into future monetary policy. According to a Bloomberg survey, economists anticipate two rate cuts by the Fed this year, likely starting in September. However, despite declining stock indices and rising recession concerns, Powell is expected to maintain a cautious stance, avoiding any rushed rate cuts. While consumer and business confidence has weakened, the Federal Reserve has limited flexibility to lower rates due to persistently high inflation indicators.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
17/03/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $85,306.40 Last weeks low: $76,622.98 Midpoint: $80,964.69 It's FOMC week again! Last week it was CPI week and inflation numbers came in under forecast signaling the Tradfi market sell-off and implementation of tariffs have at least had a positive impact on the consumer price index, a 2.8% print 0.1% lower than forecast. As this relates to FOMC the forecast is a non mover with interest rates staying at 4.5%. However this does not necessarily mean that FOMC will be a non event in terms of the markets, volatility is always expected and with a suspected Trump insider opening a $380m 40x short position on BTC with a liquidation price of $86,600. I expect this price to be hit at some point this week purely because CT is targeting this account that has had a perfect 8/8 trade record to stop hunt it, I think FOMC could proved the volatility to do it. The general structure of BTC as a whole despite this stop hunt narrative is bearish, after losing $91k support and a retest confirming the level as new resistance structurally it makes sense to revisit FWB:73K to retest it as support. This would be horrible for the broader altcoin market that has suffered greatly so far this year but it would eliminate the need to fill the FVG in the future. This week I am keeping a close eye on that stop hunt and FOMC as I feel that will dictate if we retest $91K or $73K.
by ProR35
2
A Bounce For Palantir?Granted that tech stocks are clearly hostage to macro at present (Trump v. Powell), a few are poised to rebound strongly should events permit. Palantir is one of them. With support above the 50% of the move from the 8/5 low to the ATH, with good fundamentals, and a narrative that remains compelling (AI), Palantir may well continue its run if the results of next week's FOMC meeting are at all tolerable to equities markets. Palantir has today broken the regression from the ATH to the Lower Low 3/10. Where stochastics stand, I can see a brief pullback to the low 80s Monday followed by a strong end of week. A daily close above 91--or, better yet, 98--would confirm for me Palantir's return to price discovery. Any buys in the low 80's, I'd stop just under the 50% (at about 72).
NASDAQ:PLTRLong
by sean78808
1
Rate Cuts Are NOT BullishRate cuts in the US have never been bullish for equity markets in macro cycles. The idea that rates coming down from 5% to 4% suddenly making people more creditworthy is a farce because rates never move in anything other than large timeframe tides. These tides reflect growth/inflation expectations, not borrowing costs. Were Jerome Powell to suddenly become very dovish at the next FOMC meeting it would be a clear signal that the SHTF protocol is in full effect. Powell is more likely to talk away the negative GDP prints as demand shocks due to tariffs/trade deficit imbalances while waiting for more data to make a decision. Labor market has been declining as well but he doesn't want to make a panic decision and also probably feels no personal loyalty to help President Trump out. Historical average for US inflation is about 3.2% with the 2% target meaning deflation is a possible problem incoming. Current US inflation rate is about 3% which is well inline with the historical average. Powell will never say it but so far his mission has been accomplished. He may cut rates at the back end of the year if necessary but as of this post he has no reason to.
TVC:US02Y
by CrashoutCapital
GBP/USD: Bullish Short-Term Move Towards Liquidity at 1.2700📊 Market Structure & Key Levels GBP/USD is currently trading around 1.2650, sitting at a key demand zone while maintaining a bullish structure on the 4H timeframe. The pair has been showing signs of accumulation and could be setting up for a liquidity grab towards 1.2700 - 1.2708 before any potential reaction. 🔍 Trade Setup: Bullish Bias Towards Liquidity Pool BUY Entry Zone: 1.2640 - 1.2650 Target 1 (TP1): 1.2690 (Minor Liquidity Grab) Target 2 (TP2): 1.2700 - 1.2708 (Institutional Resistance) Stop Loss (SL): 1.2625 (Below Demand Zone & Fibonacci Support) 📈 Why Take This Trade? ✔️ Bullish Structure Intact – Price is above key moving averages (6 EMA, 24 EMA, 72 EMA), and the Supertrend remains bullish. ✔️ Institutional Liquidity at 1.2700+ – Major market players have orders sitting above this level, making it a prime target. ✔️ Demand Zone & Fibonacci Support – Price is reacting from 1.2640-1.2650, aligning with Fibonacci retracement and historical demand zones. ✔️ Order Flow Confirms Strength – Market depth shows strong buy-side interest at current levels, supporting a push higher. 📰 High-Impact News to Watch ⚠️ Fed Chair Powell Testimony (Feb 27, 2025) – Powell's remarks on inflation and future rate hikes could bring volatility to GBP/USD. Any hints of a hawkish Fed stance may strengthen the USD, leading to potential pullbacks. ⚠️ UK GDP Data (Feb 29, 2025) – A weaker-than-expected print could weigh on GBP, while a positive surprise might fuel further upside. 📌 Final Thoughts: Trade Smart & Manage Risk! I’m keeping a close eye on the reaction at 1.2700-1.2708. Bulls have the upper hand, and liquidity above should get taken. Let’s see how price action unfolds! 🔥 What’s your bias? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🔥
Long
by LDForex_
2
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.19.2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: 🇺🇸🗣️ President Trump's Address: At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, February 18, President Trump is scheduled to deliver a speech that may provide insights into upcoming policy directions. 📱🍏 Apple Product Launch: Apple CEO Tim Cook has announced a new product launch set for February 19, 2025. Speculations suggest it could be the iPhone SE 4, featuring a 6.1-inch OLED display and an A18 chip with Apple Intelligence. 📊 Key Data Releases: 🏠 Housing Starts (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 1.390M; Previous: 1.499M. 📄 FOMC Meeting Minutes (2:00 PM ET): Detailed insights into the Federal Reserve's policy discussions from the January meeting. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Critical 4.50% level being tested ahead of Trump speech and FOMCThe US10-year yield closed the week marginally higher at 4.48% after a busy week of events which saw the DXY stumble by 1.2% despite US CPI rising for the 4th consecutive month coupled with a rather hawkish yet upbeat testimony before congress from Fed chair Powell, which in my opinion was all dollar positive. US CPI for the month of January came in hotter than expected at 3.0% yoy, up from 2.9% in December. Additionally, on top of Powell’s comments regarding the strength of the US economy, the ISM Manufacturing PMI completely shattered expectations after coming in stronger than expected at 50.9 for the month of January. The US10-year yield is currently testing the 50-day MA level of 4.52% as well as the blue support range between 4.45% and 4.50%. A break below 4.40% will however force me to invalidate my series of ideas on the US10-year yield calling for a move higher towards 5.00%. A break below 4.40% will allow bond bulls to pull the yield lower onto the 61.8% Fibo retracement at 4.30% and the 200-day MA at 3.69%.
TVC:US10Y
by Goose96
News TradingLet’s talk about news trading in Forex . While news trading is extremely lucrative it’s one of the most risky things a trader can do and experience. News and data cause extreme volatility in the market and as we always say “volatility can be your friend or your enemy” . Let’s take a deeper dive into news trading, which news and data affect the TVC:DXY precious metals such as OANDA:XAUUSD and other dollar related currency pairs. We will also cover having the right mindset for trading the news. 1. Understanding News Trading in Forex News trading is based on the idea that significant economic data releases and geopolitical events can cause sharp price fluctuations in forex markets. We as traders, aim to profit from these sudden price movements by positioning ourselves before or immediately after the news hits the market. However, due to market unpredictability, it requires a strategic plan, risk management, and quick decision making. 2. What to Do in News Trading 1. Know the Key Economic Events – Monitor economic calendars to stay updated on high-impact news releases. The most influential events include: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) – A report on U.S. job growth that heavily influences the U.S. dollar. Consumer Price Index (CPI) – Measures inflation, impacting interest rate decisions and currency valuation. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meetings – Determines U.S. monetary policy and interest rates, affecting global markets. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – A key indicator of economic growth, influencing currency strength. Central Bank Statements – Speeches by Fed Chair or ECB President can create large market moves. 2. Use an Economic Calendar – Websites like Forex Factory, Investing.com, or DailyFX provide real-time updates on economic events. 3. Understand Market Expectations vs. Reality – Markets often price in expectations before the news is released. If actual data deviates significantly from forecasts, a strong price movement may occur. 4. Trade with a Plan – Whether you are trading pre-news or post-news, have clear entry and exit strategies, stop-loss levels, and a defined risk-to-reward ratio. 5. Monitor Market Sentiment – Pay attention to how traders are reacting. Sentiment can drive price action more than the actual data. 6. Focus on Major Currency Pairs – News trading is most effective with liquid pairs like FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD , FX:USDJPY , and OANDA:USDCAD because they have tighter spreads and high volatility. 3. What NOT to Do in News Trading 1. Don’t Trade Without a Stop-Loss – Extreme volatility can cause sudden reversals. A stop-loss helps prevent catastrophic losses. 2. Avoid Overleveraging – Leverage magnifies profits but also increases risk. Many traders blow accounts due to excessive leverage. 3. Don’t Chase the Market – Prices may spike and reverse within seconds. Jumping in late can lead to losses. 4. Avoid Trading Without Understanding News Impact – Not all economic releases cause the same level of volatility. Study past reactions before trading. 5. Don’t Rely Solely on News Trading – Long-term success requires a balanced strategy incorporating technical analysis and risk management. 4. The Unpredictability of News Trading News trading is highly unpredictable. Even when a report meets expectations, market reactions can be erratic due to: Market Sentiment Shifts – Traders might focus on different aspects of a report than expected. Pre-Pricing Effects – If a news event was anticipated, the market might have already moved, causing a ‘buy the rumor, sell the news’ reaction. Liquidity Issues – Spreads widen during major news events, increasing trading costs and slippage. Unexpected Statements or Revisions – Central banks or government agencies can make last-minute statements that shake the market. 5. How News Affects Forex, Gold, and the U.S. Dollar 1. U.S. Dollar (USD) – The USD reacts strongly to NFP, CPI, FOMC statements, and GDP reports. Strong economic data strengthens the dollar, while weak data weakens it. 2. Gold (XAU/USD) – Gold is an inflation hedge and a safe-haven asset. It often moves inversely to the USD and rises during economic uncertainty. 3. Stock Market & Risk Sentiment – Positive economic news can boost stocks, while negative reports may trigger risk aversion, benefiting safe-haven currencies like JPY and CHF. 6. The Right Mindset for News Trading 1. Accept That Volatility is a Double-Edged Sword – Big moves can mean big profits, but also big losses. 2. Control Emotions – Fear and greed can lead to impulsive decisions. Stick to your strategy. 3. Risk Management is Key – Never risk more than a small percentage of your capital on a single trade. 4. Adaptability – Be prepared to change your approach if market conditions shift unexpectedly. 5. Patience and Experience Matter – The best traders wait for the right setups rather than forcing trades. Thank you for your support! FxPocket
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by FxPocket
4
EUR/CAD Bullish Momentum Rising Channel Points to 1.5000 Target EUR/CAD is trading at approximately 1.4800. Your target price of 1.5000 indicates an anticipated upward movement of 200 pips, aligning with a bullish outlook within the context of a rising channel pattern. Technical analysis on the daily chart suggests a bullish bias, as EUR/CAD continues to trade within an ascending channel pattern. This pattern is characterized by higher highs and higher lows, indicating sustained upward momentum. The pair is approaching the upper boundary of this channel, suggesting potential for further gains toward your target price. On the 4-hour timeframe, EUR/CAD is trading within a rising channel as it approaches a confluence area. This consolidation pattern increases the likelihood of a bearish outcome, as traders can wait for the break and retest of the trendline support of the channel pattern to confirm a bearish entry. In summary, the EUR/CAD pair is exhibiting bullish momentum within a rising channel pattern, with technical indicators supporting a potential move toward the 1.5000 target. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as fundamental factors influencing the Euro and Canadian Dollar, to make informed trading decisions.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Gold's Parabolic Momentum After the FOMC CrashGold has entered full acceleration mode, displaying a textbook parabolic move following the recent FOMC-induced volatility. After an initial shakeout that saw weak hands liquidated, price has rebounded with unrelenting bullish momentum, carving out higher highs with surgical precision. This parabolic curve reflects strong institutional demand, as each shallow dip is aggressively bought up, confirming that buyers remain firmly in control. The angle of ascent is steepening, signaling that we may be entering the euphoric phase of this trend. Key levels to watch: 📈 If momentum sustains, the next logical targets could be previous key resistance zones or Fibonacci extension levels. 📉 A break of the parabolic curve could signal exhaustion and bring a deeper correction before the next leg up. Is gold setting up for a blow-off top, or does this rally have more fuel left? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥 #Gold #Momentum #FOMC #Trading
TVC:GOLDLong
by GiancarloZacc
TradeCityPro | ATOMUSDT the FOMC Meeting Results👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let's go together on the day that the FOMC meeting and Powell's speech were held a few minutes ago, let's take a look at the results and today's talks and analyze the altcoins on the daily time frame for you. 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Let's go together and take a look at Bitcoin, which did not have much of an impact on the interest rate news tonight and a few minutes ago, but Powell's speeches caused it to record a large but low time frame. As expected, the score and tonight's session also had a result that was predicted in advance and it can be said that it did not affect crypto and others much and its impact on the time frame was low, but it is likely that this Bitcoin trend will continue and let's go for a new move that will be accompanied by an increase in the possible dominance of Bitcoin The most important points of the FOMC press conference with Jerome Powell, Federal Reserve growth: Overall, the economy in 2024 was above 2% thanks to consumer spending , In the middle of last year, housing activity stabilized .The labor market is not a source of inflationary pressures! , In three meetings, we have reduced the interest rate by 100 basis points. Currently, monetary conditions are less restrictive and we are in no hurry to reduce it, if inflation moves towards the 2% target as expected, we will keep the interest rate unchanged for a longer period of time. 📈 Daily Timeframe In the daily time frame, the atom rejected from 10.322 and made a lower ceiling at 7.447. Currently, it is forming a lower ceiling and ceiling, but it has more than its daily box. Also, this move causes us to be in a falling wedge, which is bullish in nature and we usually fall into this pattern from a decline and after its trigger is activated, it sees a trend change forward and in any case it breaks from the floor. This pattern fails To buy again in the spot, you can break the trigger of this pattern at 6.266 and buy, but make sure that this pattern breaks and a higher ceiling and ceiling is recorded and we make our purchase at 7.44, the weekly box ceiling trigger. It is also 10.332 After the break of 5.675, if the market corrects, you can move up to the level of 4.923, but after the break of 3.907, I will remove myself and take my coins out of the stake and cash them out because I saw the possibility of a 30% drop and I will not be with it. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
3
$XAUTUST Chart Analysis of Price Prediction 2025 see more chartBITFINEX:XAUTUST Chart Analysis of Price Prediction 2025 see more chart... Gold price flat lines above $2,760 level as traders keenly await FOMC decision Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD nears $2,750 as Fed’s decision looms From a technical perspective, the recent breakout through the $2,720-2,725 horizontal barrier and positive oscillators on the daily chart suggest that the path of least resistance for the Gold price remains to the upside. A subsequent move above the $2,772-2,773 area will reaffirm the constructive outlook and lift the XAU/USD beyond the $2,786 area, or the highest level since October 2024 touched last Friday, towards the all-time peak, near the $2,790 zone. Some follow-through buying, leading to a strength beyond the $2,800 mark, will be seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders and pave the way for an extension of a well-established uptrend witnessed over the past month or so. XAU/USD Current price: $2,753.60 The Federal Reserve will likely keep rates on hold in today’s monetary policy meeting. The United States will publish the preliminary estimate of the Q4 GDP on Thursday. XAU/USD could extend its slide in the near term amid prevalent US Dollar demand. Gold is under modest selling pressure on Wednesday as caution rules ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy announcement. The United States (US) central bank is widely anticipated to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged after trimming 25 basis points (bps) and settling it at 4.25%-4.5% in December. Support levels: 2,747.20 2,734.60 2,716.50 Resistance levels: 2,764.85 2,777.30 2,789.95 Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
Long
by SUBROOFFICIAL
THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. Ok team, a simple one for this FOMC as we're expecting a bit of a curveball which is going to make it difficult to hold trades. For that reason, we have plotted the extreme key levels on the charts, anything intra-day and immediate support and resistance has been removed as it’s simply irrelevant if we see aggressive volume. We have the level below which is also the order region 2730-40, a spike there with rejection can give this the momentum it needs to break upside and attack that 2800 level which is ideally what we want to see if they’re going to attempt it. We’ll be waiting higher however for them to complete the move and confirm a reversal, only then will we want to attempt the short trade back down using the red boxes. Below the order region is the key level 2710-03, a push down there with a confirmed rejection and reversal, we’ll decide on whether to long or not back up using the red boxes level to level. We’ve done well on the KOG Report, we’ve shorted, we’ve longed and we’ve closed nicely on the bias level targets this week. We’re suggesting our traders take it easy, instil some patience and discipline, wait for them to take the price to where they want, then hunt the trade. RED BOXES: Break above 2762 for 2775, 2782, 2790 and 2810 in extension of the move Break below 2740 for 2730, 2720, 2710 and 2698 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
14
EURUSD: First red day into the new weekHello traders and welcome back to my channel, as always don't forget to support my work with a like and comment, and follow me for more updates and markets templates! I always repeat it in every post I share, my analysis are not a forecast and/or prediction regarding where the market can go, I'm not interested in gambling, neither in knowing the direction of any market. My goal in trading is to extract money from it, I wouldn't care much about anything else. What I draw (lines, arrows) are not directional move, but the current setup I'm looking for, in the day, so do not be surprised if I go long on tomorrow :) Thanks for understanding and hope this can give more value to your analysis as well. Let's start! EURUSD may start an interesting process, we can see all the week breaking down potentially going to complete the 2 weeks pump and dump, or in the week itself, this market can setup for a weekly dump and pump, starting from Monday. For a better understanding let's analyse day by day to see the logic behind each possible move during the week. Starting from the last week we can see almost all the week trending higher, the first lower low into the LOD happened on Thursday, which is currently a potential anchor point for a pump and dump into this current bearish scenario! Monday, the opening range of the week pushed a little bit higher, breaking out and quickly dumping back down. Tuesday opening, the market kept going lower, breaking through the LOD (Monday low) going in consolidation till the end of the day, triggering breakout short traders and closing the day in breakout. Today, the market went lower and looks like still dumping with a great momentum. Now.. let's talk about the thesis. 1. Bearish: this market can easily stop the traders long form the last Thursday, considering a great bullish move from that level, eventually reversing during the upcoming days or keep going lower, who know, we may see this market completing 2 week pump and dump scenario, back into the previous weekly low. 2. Bullish: although today I'm not interested in counter trending this market, I don't exclude a potential dump and pump in the current week if the market will start consolidating around the previous Thursday low, not gonna happen today but we can see such a scenario by the end of the week. Remember, today FOMC, I don't think I would like to expose my capital in a such a dangerous volatile market! Entry criteria: As I said, currently I'm not interested in counter trending such a strong down move market, at least not today and not before news release. I can think about a scalp short if the market will retest at least the current high of session, consolidating around that level for 30 to 45min before to see a potential 25+ pip scalp in the session. However, during the upcoming days we can certainly see better opportunities, but I decided to share it, because EURUSD look pretty clean to me! Gianni
by GianniPichichero
11
27/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $109,555.48 Last weeks low: $99,643.66 Midpoint: $104,599.57 A new Bitcoin ATH as President Trumps second term officially begins! Just shy of $110K with a much tighter range of $10k from range low to high leaves Bitcoin in a very interesting place going into what has been called the first "pro-crypto" administration. Now the weekly close is an interesting one as there is a clear sell-off that has continued at time of writing bringing the price down below the weekly low. This has been a common theme in recent weeks as either a bearish SFP of the weekly high early in the week resulting in a sell-off for the remaining days. Or the opposite were a sweep of the weekly low early on results in a recover rally for the rest of the week. As of right now the later is in play but what is causing this sell-off this time? The AI issue: The recent headlines have been that the US wants to win the AI war and be the dominant force in what is possibly the most important product of the future. OpenAI, Grok, Meta etc all have AI products and services and the US government hope that by backing these companies the US can be the victors of this race. However, the game has changed with the release of "DeepSeek R1" a chinese AI competitor with some remarkable attributes that has the US stock market very worried as reflected in the pre-market. DeepSeek R1 was reportedly built for $6m, now this is a Chinese company and therefor any numbers should be taken with a pinch of salt but OpenAI has raised $17.9B for ChatGPT and many now see DeepSeek as a superior product in many ways: - Less GPU intensive due to a more efficient and streamlined model, this is mainly why NVIDIA pre-market is down 11% at time of writing, investors are seeing that perhaps US companies have overblown the demand for GPU's as the product they are making is not optimised in comparison. - Considerably cheaper due to this streamlined approach, personally this is a symptom of how America has been operating as a nation since the pandemic, a severe lack of efficiency made up for by throwing insane amounts of capital at the problem with no thought as to where the money comes from (printed via QE & tax payer funding). DeepSeek just proved why Trumps planned approach of getting value for money and increasing efficiency is a winning formula, anything else is unsustainable. - Open source code, we would expect the company called OpenAI that was founded on the basis of transparency and the mission to do good as a non-profit would be the product that has publicly available code, but no that would be DeepSeek... This further compounds just how out of touch the US based AI companies have got, the quest for revenue has taken over as the mission goal, which in the case of AI is very dangerous. To conclude the AI problem, the Chinese AI product is cheaper, more efficient and more transparent that current US based products and that is why indirectly BTC took a tumble. On the data news this week FOMC is on Wednesday, the forecast is for interest rates to remain unchanged however the volatility of FOMC often leads to interesting price action, this could be another reason for the sell-off as de-risking takes place. For this week I am looking at using the chaos to find goo d long entries, I still think that Feb-March looks good until I have reason to think otherwise. Weekly low is a key S/R level that will determine by bias in the short term until then. TL;DR - DeepSeek R1 worrying investors of US AI companies as the Chinese AI product is far cheaper, more efficient and more transparent. US stocks down on pre-market. - FOMC midweek, first of Trump admin, volatility expected. - Weekly low key S/R level for BTC
by ProR35
Huge Earnings and Economic Surprises Ahead!🚨 Weekly Preview: Big Earnings and Economic News 🚨 Get ready for an action-packed week as we dive into major corporate earnings reports and crucial economic updates! 📊💼 🔍 Earnings Highlights: Tech giants like Apple, Microsoft, and Tesla are set to release their quarterly results. Also, goliaths such as Visa, Mastercard, ASML and more! 📈 Economic Indicators to Watch: Inflation rates 📉 GDP Growth 📊 Federal Reserve policy decisions 💵 Stay tuned for in-depth analysis and insights on how these events could shape market trends and investor sentiment. Don't miss out on the key information that could impact your financial decisions! 📅📢
NYSE:NOWLong
by RonnieV29
3