Ford (F) Stock Price Rises Following Trump's DecisionFord (F) Stock Price Rises Following Trump's Decision
The White House announced on Wednesday that automakers will receive a one-month exemption from tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada for vehicles that comply with the free trade agreement between these two countries and the United States.
White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt stated that this move came in response to a request from the heads of Ford Motor, General Motors, and Stellantis. The American Automotive Policy Council expressed gratitude to President Trump in a statement and noted that companies would work with the administration to boost vehicle production in the U.S. and expand exports.
This fundamental backdrop triggered a bullish momentum in the stock market for these automakers. In particular, Ford (F) shares rose by more than 6%, while the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) gained about 1.1%.
As shown in Ford (F) stock's price chart today, the stock has rebounded from a four-year low.
Technical Analysis of Ford (F) Stock Chart
As we noted in our February 7 analysis of Ford (F) stock, special attention should be paid to the level marked by the blue line. This area, around $9.65–$9.75, acted as support in 2023 and 2024 (indicated by arrows), preventing bears from pushing the price below the psychological threshold of $10 per share.
We also highlighted the "Trump factor" and the fact that the newly inaugurated president could drastically alter the landscape for the iconic American automaker by imposing tariffs on foreign car manufacturers. The impact of this price driver on Ford (F) shares is visible on the chart: a sharp upward reversal (marked by a curved arrow) indicates that the bears’ attempt to push the stock below its previous low has failed.
It is reasonable to assume that bulls now have the initiative. If they manage to push Ford (F) stock above the resistance of the blue line, this level could turn into future support.
Ford (F) Stock Price Forecasts
Analysts remain cautious in their assessments. They may believe that one month is too short a period to significantly alter supply chains and relocate production to the U.S., where, according to Trump's statements, no tariffs would be imposed.
According to TipRanks:
→ Only 4 out of 14 analysts recommend buying Ford (F) stock.
→ The average 12-month price forecast for Ford (F) is $10.76.
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FORD
F 5M Long Conservative Trend DayTrade Conservative Trend Trade
+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
Calculated affordable stop limit
1D T2 take profit
1H Trend
"+ long impulse
- before 1/2 correction
+ SOS test level"
1D Trend
"- short impulse
+ exhaustion volume
+ volumed TE / T1 level
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
+ test"
1M CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- unvolumed T1
+ support level
+ reverse volume approach
+ volumed manipulation"
1Y Trend
"+ long impulse
+ volumed T2 level
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test"
Ford 1D Investment Aggressive CounterTrend TradAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ exhaustion volume
+ 1/2 correction
Calculated affordable stop limit
Take profit:
1/3 to 1/2 Month Trend
1/3 to Month T2
1/3 to Year 1/2
Sell F Limit at $14.95 (Good 'til Canceled)
Sell F Limit at $11.57 (Good 'til Canceled)
Sell F Limit at $10.21 (Good 'til Canceled)
Monthly CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- unvolumed T1
+ support level
+ reverse volume approach
+ volumed manipulation"
Yearly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ volumed T2 level
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test"
Ford (F) Share Price Drops to a 4-Year LowFord (F) Share Price Drops to a 4-Year Low
As shown by the Ford (F) share price chart today, the price has fallen to $9.25 – its lowest level since early 2021.
This drop occurred following the publication of the quarterly earnings report on 5 February:
→ Earnings per share: Actual = $0.39, Expected = $0.34;
→ Gross revenue: Actual = $48.2bn, Expected = $47.4bn.
Despite the report exceeding expectations, investors were disappointed by the company’s weak forecasts for 2025.
The decline in Ford’s share price was further exacerbated when on 6 February, S&P Global Ratings announced that, according to their analysts:
→ Progress on cost reduction is slower than expected;
→ Price pressures are rising, and labour costs remain high;
→ Ford Motor Co.’s margin growth will be limited until 2026.
As a result, S&P revised its outlook for Ford’s debt rating from stable to negative, citing "weaker-than-expected profitability prospects."
Technical Analysis of Ford (F) Share Price Chart
A key focus is the $9.75 level, which acted as support in 2023 and 2024, preventing the bears from pushing the price below the psychological $10 per share mark.
However, the recent price drop with a large bearish gap seems to have changed the situation, and now the $9.75 level may switch from support to resistance.
This suggests that the Ford (F) share price could continue to develop within the emerging (as shown by the red lines) descending channel.
Should You Buy Ford (F) Shares?
Analysts are cautious in their assessments. According to TipRanks:
→ Only 2 out of 12 analysts recommend buying Ford (F) shares;
→ The average 12-month price target for Ford (F) shares is $10.52.
However, the “Trump factor” should not be overlooked. The newly elected president could significantly alter the situation for the iconic US automaker, potentially by imposing tariffs on imports from other countries. The implementation of the economic support measures promised by Trump during his campaign may prove effective and support Ford’s share price in the coming years.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Ford (F): Struggling to Reclaim ResistanceFord was unable to flip its resistance and is now back trading near the support level, with the situation becoming increasingly precarious. NYSE:F has closely followed the Elliott wave count until recently, but now signs of weakness are emerging. If the $9.4 support level is lost, it will invalidate the previous wave count.
Analysts remain pessimistic about Ford’s outlook due to persistent challenges. The company faces potential pricing pressures on internal combustion engine vehicles and continued struggles in the electric vehicle market amid an ongoing price war. Additionally, possible tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico under Donald Trump’s policies could further complicate the situation.
At this point, we do not see any compelling opportunities in the current market for $F. A long opportunity may arise only if Ford manages to reclaim the significant resistance level. Until then, the risk-to-reward ratio does not justify any immediate action.
TESLA 300 AFTER EARNINGS ? 3 STRONG REASONS !!
Strong EV Market Position:
Tesla’s electric vehicles (EVs) remain popular, with the Model Y and Model 3 ranking among the top-selling vehicles in the U.S. in 2023. Even as legacy automakers enter the market, Tesla’s success suggests continued consumer preference for its vehicles.
Cybertruck:
Tesla’s long-awaited Cybertruck could be a game-changer. Pickup trucks have high gross profit margins, and if Tesla prices the Cybertruck right, it could boost their overall profitability1.
Regulatory Credits and Rebates: As Europe tightens regulations on internal combustion engine (ICE) cars, Tesla may receive more regulatory credits (from competitors like Fiat) going forward.
Full Self-Driving (FSD) Technology: Analysts estimate that Tesla’s FSD technology could potentially raise earnings per share by $1-$2 annually through the end of the decade.
Ford (F): Eyeing Earnings for Potential Resistance FlipFord is set to release its earnings report in a few hours, and analysts generally anticipate that results will meet or slightly exceed consensus expectations. Currently, Ford is trading around a significant resistance level, and a breakout above this level could mark an important shift, opening the door for further gains. Our outlook remains bullish, with expectations that Ford will fill the large gap visible on the chart in the coming months.
Recent analyst targets align with our view, with ratings from Barclays, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley averaging around $13 for Ford stock. This target range corresponds well with our technical analysis, reinforcing our approach to Ford.
However, we’re holding off on any immediate action until after the earnings report to avoid an unpredictable reaction. We’ll be monitoring the market’s response closely, avoiding impulsive moves, as the true direction often becomes clearer after the initial post-earnings volatility.
Until then, patience remains crucial—trade the plan, stay disciplined, and seize the opportunity when it aligns with our setup.
Large Daily FVG between ~12-13.6Good chance this will get filled considering how large it is, and considering that most daily fair value gaps on Ford have been filled in recent history.
A long play into $12.5-13 seems reasonable here.
Not trading this one myself, just noticing it and saving the idea to see how it plays out, I primarily trade spot, not options.
Example of prior gaps getting filled on the daily below:
Ford (F): Waiting for the right moment after recent bounceAfter being stopped out at break-even with profits already taken on NYSE:F , we are now observing the chart again. We're pleased that we didn't buy any shares as the anticipated bounce did not materialize. However, Ford did bounce almost exactly at point X, which is where wave 2 should not have dropped below—it briefly wicked under before pumping back up. This is something we can respect, as we haven't been stuck below the designated level for an extended time.
From a technical perspective, the plan is clear, but Ford is highly impacted by the current political climate, as car companies are in the spotlight right now. Despite this, we are planning for a push upwards after the recent dip. Ideally, we should not revisit the $9.64 level or, even better, avoid the wave (ii) level. Multiple levels need to be flipped for us to be confident that there's enough strength for future success. We've marked the "Ideal Entry Point" with a green dot, and it should be clear what we want to see.
For now, we're standing on the sidelines, letting it develop and play out. If our scenario unfolds as anticipated, we can capitalize on it.
Plan the trade and trade the plan.
F - Ford: a Buy Now After Declining 23% in a Month? Yes, yes !
Price-To-Earnings ratio (10x) is below the US market (17x)
Earnings are forecast to grow 16% per year
Trading at good value compared to peers and industry
Ford Pro, the company's commercial vehicle division, showed strength with a 15.1% operating margin, driven by high demand for Super Duty trucks and Transit vans. Plans to increase production capacity by 100,000 units by 2026 further support future growth. Additionally, Ford’s focus on software technology and services positions it well in the evolving automotive landscape. This dip presents a potential buying opportunity as Ford continues to innovate and expand.
Ford: Quality Woes and EV Struggles Send Shares PlungingFord Motor Company is currently navigating a challenging operational landscape marked by significant headwinds. The company's financial performance has been notably impacted by a confluence of factors, with quality issues and the electrification transition posing the most substantial challenges.
A surge in warranty costs, primarily related to older vehicle models, has eroded profitability. Concurrently, the Model E division, responsible for Ford's electric vehicle initiatives, has incurred substantial losses. The competitive intensity within the EV market, coupled with evolving consumer preferences, has exacerbated these challenges. While the Ford Pro segment, focused on commercial vehicles, exhibits growth potential, its current contribution is insufficient to offset the negative impact of the other divisions.
To restore financial health and regain investor confidence, Ford must implement a comprehensive strategic overhaul. This necessitates a concerted effort to enhance quality control, accelerate EV development while mitigating costs, and optimize operational efficiency across the entire organization. The company's ability to successfully navigate this complex environment will be instrumental in determining its long-term competitive position and market share.
Crucially, Ford must balance the need to address immediate challenges with a forward-looking perspective. The company's strategic direction will need to encompass both short-term cost reduction measures and long-term investments in emerging technologies and market segments.
FORD - ICE predominates EV falters LONGFord has scaled back its EV ambitions in consideration of the marketplace while TSLA drops
its price in the Eurozone and falls into less than first place in the China EV market. Ford's
F-150 truck continues to dominate GM and the others in North America.
On the 4H chart, first a price uptrend and then retrace to the 0.5 Fib level and a reverse into
a new trend up. A pair of EMAs shows an impending golden cross also suggested by
the zero lag MACD. The two RSI lines ( 60 minutes and 480 minutes fast and slow) are
rising and about to cross the 50 level.
I see this as a long entry for Ford. Targets based on major pivots in 2023 are 13 and 14.25
FORD intends to be back at $20 soon!FORD weekly data is conveying massive accumulation at the current price range. Net buy volume this past few days / weeks has been on the weighty side.
Expect some significant price shift to the upside with target of X2 easily at $20.
$10-12 price level has been a major order block where buyers converge. This area has been tested many times and prices keeps reversing to the upside.
Spotted at 12.0
TAYOR.
Safeguard capital always.
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 17- Ford Motors - (5th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing Ford Motors (F), starting from the 4-Month chart.
- R2F
Ford a Fake Dump- just for fun and training.
- i play some stocks when i am bored.
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Trading Parts
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Buy Zone : 9.50 ish
Rebuy Zone : 9.00$
Sell Zones : 14$ to 15$
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PS : Now it's week-end so wait for the GAP before entering any position.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Ford Reduces Prices of F-150 Lightning by $5,500Ford Motor Company (NYSE: NYSE:F ) has recently taken steps to increase demand for its electric vehicles (EVs) by reducing the prices of certain F-150 Lightning trims by up to $5,500. The latest round of price cuts applies to the F-150 Lightning's mid-level variants and came into effect on April 5, 2024. According to a report by CarsDirect, the starting prices of the Lightning Pro Standard Range and Lightning Platinum Extended Range variants remained unchanged at $54,995 and $84,995, respectively.
Meanwhile, the starting prices of the F-150 Lightning XLT Standard Range and Lariat Extended Range were reduced by $2,000 and $2,500, respectively. The starting price of the F-150 Lightning Flash Extended Range was substantially reduced by $5,500, bringing the new starting price of the F-150 Lightning Flash trim to $67,995, which is closer to its launch price of $69,995.
The F-150 Lightning Flash trim offers a target EPA range of 320 miles, a 15.5-inch touchscreen, a B&O sound system with HD radio and speakers, and a wireless charging pad, making it a value for money. Additionally, the F-150 Lightning, with a manufacturer's suggested retail price below $80,000, is eligible for the full $7,500 federal tax credit in the United States.
In the first quarter of 2024, Ford (NYSE: NYSE:F ) sold 20,233 EVs in the United States, marking an 86% year-over-year increase. Sales of Ford's Mach-E rose 77% year over year, making it the second-best-selling electric SUV in the United States. The F-150 Lightning remained the best-selling electric pickup in the United States, with sales of 7,743 units.
The sales of EVs gained momentum after the automaker reduced prices of the Mach-E by up to $8,100 in February. Additionally, it offered substantial incentives on the F-150 Lightning. In January, Ford announced the prices of the F-150 Lightning for the model year 2024, increasing the prices of most trims from $2,000 to $7,500. The starting price of the F-150 Lightning Pro rose from $5,500 to $54,995.
Despite the increase in EV sales in the first quarter of 2024, the automaker announced a reduction in its workforce by one-third at its Rouge EV Center, where the F-150 Lightning is manufactured. The recent round of price cuts followed the launch of Ford's new 2024 Mustang Mach-E, which boasts better range, rapid charging, and quicker acceleration.
Technical Outlook
Despite the reduction in prices of the F-150 Lightning, Ford Motors (NYSE: NYSE:F ) is still trading slightly beneath the 200-day Moving Average (MA) with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 45.48 indicating low buying momentum from the bulls.
Ford Stock Analysis : A Long-Term PerspectiveIn our exploration of the stock market, we don't limit our analysis to just short-term charts; we delve into the longer horizon as well.
Ford has particularly caught our attention. Our initial entry into Ford was at $10.30, a point which, upon reviewing the broader picture, appears to have been very close to the bottom—hopefully, the lowest point it will maintain. Any movement below this could potentially signal a fall towards the $4 mark, akin to the levels seen during the pandemic.
Assuming we've indeed hit the bottom, a conservative projection sees Ford climbing to at least $45 over a multi-year span. This bold assumption is reinforced by the structure observed on the 2-hour chart, showcasing a Wave (i), Wave 8ii), as well as Wave (iii)and Wave (iv). Our entry at Wave (iv) has proven strategic, with Ford's price appreciating by approximately 7.5% since then.
Believing in Ford's further potential, we plan to adjust our stop-loss just below the pivot point at Wave (iv), setting it at $10.79. We'll provide updates on our take profit targets as they are achieved, closely monitoring the stock for optimal exit points.
GM may be pivoting down SHORTGM on the weekly chart has ascended to the top of the high volume area of the long term
volume profile. The predictive algorithm forecasts a bounce down from that level. The
MACD indicator shows lines crossing over the histogram while the RSI lines are in the 60s
about the same level as the market pivot in 2022. The Supply / Demand indicator has the lines
with zero slopes ( flat) and ready for a reversal. Fundamentally, GM is challenged by the
dynamic between EVs and hybrids moving foward and federal mandates on fleet production
efficiency quota. I will take a short trade here along with Ford.
F Bearish Bias Again SHORTFORD ( F) on a weekly chart is in a falling wedge pattern. Fundamentally, it is challenged
by the EV vs hybrid dynamic, weak EV sales and the federal slowly ramping up MPG
requirements as potentially rising gasoline prices affecting consumer decisions away from the
gas consuming F-150 where the profits are the highest. Unless F can breakout of the falling
wedge, price could compress further in the wedge with a move down as far as 9.
At present F is testing the upper resistance descending trendline. The predictive algorithm
suggests it will be rejected and fall. I am entering a short trade here for a long term swing.