F/TSLA Beta Hedge , Just took a small starter in this trade .I think that there is a good possibility that , with Farley at the helm at Ford , which has also recently broken out of a 20 year base and just on Friday ( Dec 10th, 2021) broke out of a smaller base too, that we will likely begin to see F outperform TSLA . I am not saying that TSLA is going to capitulate or anything like that , but I am betting that Ford is going to become a pretty notable challenger for EV dominance and give TSLA a run for its leader status in the industry .
I think that TSLA is going to have some difficulties keeping the same levels of growth up we have seen in its former years and whereas Ford is just getting started in the EV sector really and that is currently not priced in well to it's share price. So, I personally believe that the market is very inefficient in pricing Fords true value but that it eventually will correct this inefficiency .
I could be wrong but even if I am , this trade probably has a pretty low probability of loss overall .
I like the market caps vs share price of the two .
TSLA - $ 966.55 per share with a cap of 979 billion .
F - $ 20.68 per share with a cap of 89 billion .
Ford is a sleeping giant here . Also , I really like Farley too and that's a big part of why I have high hopes for Fords future .
Nothing against Musk either :) This is about making money though and I think it's a trade that has potential for profit greater than loss .
If this goes the way I am hoping I will add when it shows us some more strength in the highlighted area on the chart .
FORD
Which pattern could be more effective?At the first glance, You may find both patterns correct and justify both!
But adding ATR to the chart may reveal the hidden truth!
ATR only measures volatility and not the direction of an asset's price.
Pattern 1: Broadening Formation or Megaphone
What Is a Broadening Formation?
A broadening formation is a price chart pattern identified by technical analysts. It is characterized by increasing price volatility and diagrammed as two diverging trend lines, one rising and one falling. It usually occurs after a significant rise, or fall, in the action of security prices. It is identified on a chart by a series of higher pivot highs and lower pivot lows.
Pattern 2: Corrction/consolidation
In this situation, we expect lower changes in ATR readings!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
Reference Articles:
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Is Ford (F) going for another run for ATH?The Friday's candle broke the channel was a very bullish one with a high volume. The TTM Squeeze is also about to get out of the squeeze which will trigger another high. (I used the "real licensed" TTM Squeeze in another platform) Ford has a chance to run $27.
PS: I am not a financial advisor. This is only for education and entertainment purposes.
$F beginning to outperform peersF compared to the etf CARZ which represents the overall auto industry has broken with strength a long downward trend in the performance of F in comparison to the industry and it has done so with gusto. I believe this trend in Ford's outperformance will continue.
F-150 Lightning will be one of the number one selling EV's. Ford sold 780,000 F150's in 2020 alone despite the supply chain/chip issues and pandemic. It's going to be a monster of a profit puppy.
There also appears to be an emerging golden cross on the 1-month chart.
Ford Breaking Out of Consolidation? Fib Levels Explained!F
Fords most recent 1 month consolidation as seen below:
In this video I review the fib levels that were respected throughout the trading day on Friday Dec 10th, 2021. Ford has now attempted a breakout of consolidation and has witnessed an increase in trading volume and bullish call volume. I would like to focus on the TA portion of Fridays bull run, specifically the fib levels and noting that the .618, .382, and .286 were mostly used upon retracement.
FORD Megaphone pattern!The price may reflect the random disagreement between investors
Megaphone patterns show higher volatility is coming!
A broadening formation is a price chart pattern identified by technical analysts. It is characterized by increasing price volatility and diagrammed as two diverging trend lines, one rising and one falling. It usually occurs after a significant rise, or fall, in the action of security prices. It is identified on a chart by a series of higher pivot highs and lower pivot lows.
Broadening formations are generally bearish for most long-term investors and trend traders since they are characterized by rising volatility without a clear move in a single direction. However, they are good news for swing traders and day traders, who attempt to profit from volatility rather than relying on directional movements in a market. These traders rely on technical analysis techniques, such as trendlines or technical indicators, to quickly enter and exit trades that capitalize on short-term movements. The trendlines help them anticipate turning points where they are able to profit from trading decisions if they time the trade successfully or to cut their losses short if the price moves against their position.
Keep it on your watchlist for Options day trading!
ou can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
F! Swing trade F is looking great. Breaking consolidation. We can see ATH and a great move ahead.
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F TECHNICAL ANALYSIS bullish flag pattern on the daily chart.
i got caught in a bad play earlier in the week due to being impatient.
when it breaks, it can run up to the 23.50 level.
if it breaks the flag pattern towards the downside it can run down to fill the previous gap.
gap level
-15.75 - 16.50
feel free to give feedback and/or advice on anything.
Ford continues to sit in ConsolidationNYSE:F Ford continues to sit in Consolidation and is working itself into 2 different patterns: A Falling Wedge and a Bull Flag (Parallel Channel). Volume has been decreasing this week, but the options chain is heating up on Ford. Ford has been on the Hot Chains list on Unusual Whales this week, and continues to be a hot buy. Bullish on Ford (Still)
Where is Ford heading? It’s consolidating between $19 and 20.50 for awhile. It’s indecisive right now but going long looks more likely with the 50 and 100 trend continuing on a bullish track. Lots of support below. RSI current 59 with 50 also a support. Momentum is good. Risk even if it drops it won’t be much. So look for the breakout above $20.50 with high volume. Breakdown will happen if it goes below $18.50.
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$F Analysis & Key Levels $F Analysis & Key Levels
Sure, F might go up a little more… but from a technical standpoint it has a higher probability of hitting the lower levels outlined… If target 1 is hit I will be looking to start a position…
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I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you. Check out my ideas, but also do your own due diligence.
I am not a bull. I am not a bear. I just see what I see in the charts and I don’t pay too much attention to the noise in the news.
Very often you have to look at my charts from the perspective of where I’m looking to sell puts. But I also do open positions still once in a while.
If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can.
Have fun, y’all!!
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Ford Analysis 21.11.2021Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
🟢 Idea about FordAfter gaining 60% in less than two months, the instrument is not allowed to roll back. Buyers are "sitting" in the action. The instrument is approaching the local maximum with the closing of the daily candles at the rising highs; in general, it looks long. Entry from the low of the last daily candle at $ 19.5, stop at $ 19.14, risk 2%.
Target 8% (speculative).
NOT IRR.
(F) Ford sitting in consolidation, looking to break a wedge. Scenario 1: The pivot trend continue with a break out of consolidation and out of its current wedge.
Scenario 2: The wedge breaks down and finds support on the prior trend
Scenario 3: Consolidation continues and the wedge is broken to meet support and continue on a bull run
Scenario 4: Wedge breaks down, support is broken, and a reversal in trend is confirmed.
Ford is Bearish. FDivergence, Elliott flat in progress, negative momentum and fractally correcting.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!