A walk down Ford's EV evolutionNYSE:F
In regards to the chart - Leaving this here mainly as a visual in order to build upon a more expansive EV map throughout the year in 2022.
Continued information outside what is represented on the chart image:
A bit more history for those who are interested...time to step back to eh EV world in the 1800's......
Did you know Henry Ford was friends with Thomas Edison? Yes! In fact Mr. Ford was well aware that Thomas Edison had made an attempt to engineer battery technology for automobiles in the early 1900's. In 1884, Edison began a journey which was met with many denied patents and even lab explosions. He had discovered what was in essence early fuel cell technology based on the catalytic oxidation of carbon. By 1899 Edison, ONLY 4 years after the introduction of feasible gasoline based autos, his efforts were ramped up. Edison's belief was founded in the idea that EV technology could one day prove "more economical" than ICE counterparts. A battery with longer life, means to recharge, powerful enough to travel large distance, and light enough as to not be inefficient while supporting its own system.
1903- The newly established Edison Storage Battery Company was set to manufacture and sell "nickel-iron cells" and started to promote them for commercialization in transportation. This same year, Henry Ford made is 3rd attempt at starting a company - this time naming it Ford Motor Company.
1908 - Henry Ford introduces the Model T. Between 1908-1927 more than 15 million were produced. Was this poor timing on Edison's part to try and push EV tech on the world? The ICE age was born, America was captivated by the Model T. At this point in time ICE systems were much much more efficient than any EV tech that Edison had produced.
Remember when I said Ford and Edison were friends? Well, Ford had worked his way to the position of chief operating engineer of the Edison Illuminating Company. Yes, Ford worked for Edison. A shared passion for innovation was their link.
1914- In the year prior over 180,000 units sold of the Model T only to be beat in 14' by over 250,000. Even while experiencing WILD success with the Model T during this time the NY Times quoted Mr. Ford by saying “Within a year, I hope, we shall begin the manufacture of an electric automobile,” in January 1914. “The problem so far has been to build a storage battery of light weight which would operate for long distances without recharging.” This is the same ideal and principle Edison sought after to solve.
May 1914 - Mr. Ford said, “It’s coming.” And he was proclaiming an EV revolution in the works. “The electric automobile will be the family carriage of the future.” During this time Henry Ford’s wife Clara drove an 80-mile ranged 1914 Detroit Electric and was an early EV advocate.
When ICE systems started replacing hand-cranks with electric-starter devices, the EV world at this time was stricken of a key selling point: ease of use. Unlike ICE at the time that needed to be started with a hand-crank, battery-powered automobiles didn’t take a lot of muscle to operate. The culprit to this was GM's Charles Franklin Kettering as he created the first electric starter for the ICE system in 1912, thus negating a big sore thumb (the crank start) for the ICE makers.
After $1.5M investment into the EV idea by Ford, it was shelved until about the 1950's when battery technology was once again starting to be a focus of auto makers.
1960's - Environmentalism swept America. "Congress passed laws that served as significant precedents for future legislative action on pollution issues—for instance, the Clean Air Acts of 1963 and 1967, the Clean Water Act of 1960, and the Water Quality Act of 1965. During the 1960s, environmentalism became a mass social movement" . The Wall Street Journal reported in October 1966 that Ford Motor Co. made a “major breakthrough in battery research.” The company claimed that its new batteries – using sodium-sulfur chemistry instead of lead acid – could store 15 times more energy than before.
1968- Ford said that road testing of a new production electric car would begin. "Small motors might be mounted in the wheels." with its experimental all-electric Comuta minicar.
This EV tech gave the user four 12-volt batteries that provided about 40 miles of range topped at 35 miles per hour.
Environmentalism never died - it slowly grew as a movement until the 1990's and early 2000's when California really drove zero-emissions.
1999 - Fords invests $23 million to buy Think Global - a Norwegian EV company that had been around since 91'. After $100 million in battery development Ford began production of Think City - a 53 mile ranged lightweight 2 passenger car with a top speed of 55 mph. Unfortunately Ford gave this up in 2002 as they wanted to divert resources to the commercial end of the company.
1998-2002 - The EV ranger (and its coming back "rumors" after exciting) - this dream was crushed by the laxing of the California ZEV mandates. Most of these trucks (only 1500 produced) were destroyed by Ford and never got out to the publics hands.
In the 2000's Toyota made a big splash with the Prius - a hybrid EV ICE system that captivated consumers. Ford's response after (sitting back and watching consumer reaction - this is key*) was to use the Focus platform for the fully EV car. "The EV variant, which went into production by 2011, used a 23 kilowatt-hour battery pack officially rated to provide 76 miles of range.
When it was introduced, the Focus Electric was the only pure EV that looked and drove like a so-called normal car."...."Even as Ford increased the size of the battery in 2017 to 33.5 kilowatt-hours – expanding its range to 115 miles – the Focus Electric was an also-ran. All told, Ford sold about 9,300 units before the company killed the Focus Electric (and most of its cars) in April 2018."
Fast forward through the hybrid era, we get to 2018 when Ford released an image for the first vehicle to be produced in the company’s new EV era. The profile of a Mustang-inspired 300-mile electric SUV was a huge step forward into the transition to EV by an ICE auto maker.
2019 - "DEARBORN, Mich., April 24, 2019 – Rivian today announced an equity investment of $500 million from Ford Motor Company. In addition to the investment, the companies have agreed to work together to develop an all-new, next-generation battery electric vehicle for Ford’s growing EV portfolio using Rivian’s skateboard platform."
TLDR:
Lets ask a question: Is Ford really as behind the curve to EV as we are led to believe? IMO ABSOLUTELY NOT. Ford, since DAY 1 has always known this era would come. It is not a surprise at all. In fact, I truly believe it a welcomed transition - a 120 year long process gives you A LOT of time to build ideas on.....
All sources are recorded and can be sent if requested ( I cannot post a list of all 22 hyperlinks here)
Fordmotorcompany
Ford seems to be finding a bottomFord Motor Company F
Areas of interest:
Consolidation:
1) $19-20.50
2) 17.52-18.59
Breakup at $21.50
Breakdown at $16.49
Recent overhead gap between $18.46-19.89
Reversal candles seem to be appearing in the lower consolidation zone (2) on the 3 day chart - almost looking like an inverted hammer but not enough wick to truly label them as such.
Indicators show us on the 3 DAY chart:
Currently trading below the 12 and 26 EMA
The 12 is above the 26 but appear to be attempting to cross soon if bears take control and push the stock price below consolidation 2 (listed above)
Currently trading above the 50 MA
The 50 MA recently has acted as support and seems to have help stabilize the stocks price into consolidation for the past 1.5 weeks of trading
Observations from a bull and bear side:
As a bull, I (obviously) want to see the 50 MA hold and to see divergence of the 12 and 26 EMA (to the upside) to shake any fears of a potential cross under (12 under 26). Recapturing $19 would be my first target. A break and hold of this level will signify an attempt by the buyers to send the price of Ford back to its consolidation zone. This is needed in order for Ford to breakout and create NEW structure. The previous attempt was rejected as the price moved too fast to levels not seen in 20 years. Remember, there is such thing as a 20 year bag holder. Employees, insiders, investors, retail, shorts, etc. A blue chip company like this needs to gradually climb, in stairstep manor, creating small consolidation periods where the market accepts small movements one at a time. That said, I would love to see Ford make use of its previous consolidation zone to prep for the next level. In my opinion, this would be $21.50-22.50.
As a bear, a break below the 50 MA while considering the breakdown level of $16.73 should be watched. A break below 16.49 would potentially send Ford down to it's PREVIOUS structure between $12.38-16.49. I want to highlight this only to prep for the potential this could happen -imo it is unlikely unless the entire market continues to slide further into a true recession/crash. For this fact alone, either selling covered calls at this breakdown level or buying puts would be a good way for Ford longs to fight against this scenario.
Most recent news - I will makes this as UNBIASED as possible:
1. (RUMOR) - "Ford is considering separating its electric vehicle business from its legacy operations, Bloomberg reported Friday."
www.thestreet.com
2. (Heavy Bullish Opinion Piece) - "The legacy automaker has copied from its great rival a method which makes it possible to have updated cars regularly and to reduce costs."
www.thestreet.com
3. (Bearish Facts, sorry Bulls) - "New Broncos Are Reportedly Sitting Undelivered Due to Chip Shortage"
www.roadandtrack.com
4. (Interesting way to approach safety) - "Ford’s latest road safety idea? In-car sounds of pedestrians and bike bells"
road.cc
5. (Counter to #1) - "“We have no plans to spin off our battery electric-vehicle business or our traditional ICE business.”
www.barrons.com
6. (Consumer Report top EV pick awarded to Ford) "Ford Mustang Mach-E Is Consumer Reports' EV Top Pick. The Tesla Model 3 won the award for the last two consecutive years."
insideevs.com
7. (DON'T count out NASCAR, man) www.nascar.com
8. (New turbocharged inline-4 SUV) - www.motorauthority.com
9. (Not sure how this will play out, probably BAD PR tbh) - "Ford says it's working with unvaccinated salaried employees before rolling out unpaid leave plan"
www.wxyz.com
10. (Ford building new plants) -
www.autonews.com
11. (Fords push to EV and battery solutions) - "Ford, Volvo join Redwood in EV battery recycling push in California" www.reuters.com
Ford's Rent is DueThe RSI is showing a clear bearish divergence on the RSI. As we see on the daily, there are three lower highs on the RSI combined with higher highs in price action. This is bearish. We also see overextensions on the weekly and monthly RSI. Moving averages have not been catching up which suggests there will at least be a correction to them and they will be tested as support levels. Volume indicates that Ford is going to tank though because there is a high amount of selling pressure at these levels. Even though Ford is green, earnings are around the corner and my guess is that even if there is a beat there will nonetheless be a tank. Any good news has been priced in. Bad news would tank the stock even more. In short, RSI suggests a major downtrend beginning shortly. Volume spikes support this idea. Moving averages also suggest a correction is coming. Ford has failed to overcome a 24.95 price level as well on the shorter timeframes. Let's also remember how overextended the broader market is and how tethered it has become to the indexes doing well. All of the indexes have been recovering a little bit but that does not mean Ford will do well. DYODD. This is only my idea not financial advice.
Also: this is pretty much just TA. I did not look at Ford's financials but I imagine they're not doing great because most car companies are not very good financially. Demand for cars is probably not going to be good. There's too much hype in the auto space and the cost to transition to EVs will be immense. Tesla did not just switch the lights on and neither will Ford.
I anticipate a bounce at a large consolidation level. That is the horizontal line.
Ford Also Driving Lower?Ford - Short Term - We look to Sell at 19.84 (stop at 21.31)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Closed above the 20-day MA. The medium term bias remains bearish. Previous support, now becomes resistance at 20.00.
Our profit targets will be 16.17 and 13.62
Resistance: 20.00 / 25.00 / 30.00
Support: 16.00 / 12.50 / 10.00
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Ford is Breaking Out!Ford is breaking out! I bought some $13 Calls a week or two ago for .07 a contract and am currently up over 600%.
On this weekly chart you can see the breakout from a long bear trend. I am experimenting with the harmonics so let me know where I messed up, but I'm think I'm pretty close and that this is a valid projection. My target for Ford is $21.90 by August 2024 lol.
On the 4hr you can see the gap that I think will fill as we back test support. If this happens I will look to add to my current position and open some new positions with a longer expiry.
I am LONG Ford! Owhoooo!
EV or ICE?Looking at some of the remarks Cathie has made lately... EVs are only 2% of $F sales. Can $F make a full switch to EV over ICE in the next 5-10 years? Results? I would think we'd see the same explosive growth $F saw in the 80s. The initial reaction to the stock price so far on the promise $F is taking EV seriously and potentially its future has me feeling great about my position i started in 2018 and will be holding for a long time.
Bullish so long as 24.27 is support.My preference: Bullish push towards 26.28.
My pivot point is: 24.47.
Alternative scenario: Below 24.47 Look for 23.76 and 23.34.
Comment:
RSI is above its neutrality area at 50.
MACD is positive and below its signal line.
Price could pull back in the short term.
Ford Motor is trading under its 20 period moving average but above its 50 period moving average.
Stay vigilant
Andanced_Analyst
Ford Analysis 09.01.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
1/9/22 FFord Motor Co ( NYSE:F )
Sector: Consumer Durables (Motor Vehicles)
Market Capitalization: 97.668B
Current Price: $24.44
Breakout price: $24.90
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $23.35-$21.75
Price Target: $25.80-$26.70 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 41-45d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $F 3/18/22 25c
Trade price as of publish date: $1.82/contract
Strong resistance at 21 for $F #FF has had quite the run up last year, and making big changes to their product line up. Recently there has been rejections of F once hitting about 21/share. There have been several rejections which makes me think, this needs a bit of consolidation or heavy buy volume to break 21/share.
NFA.
Ford Consolidating after a few days of stepping upNYSE:F Taking a nice stair step up to the 21 range. The smaller moves with consolidation afterwards is a healthy bullish signal to me. The market really needs to soak up volume in the 20-21 range in order to break above 21.50 and hold in the long run.
FORD has broken 10 years resistance - Long to the moonFord is breaking out from 10 years resistance. It represents a good buying opportunity at a reasonable price.
The company is focusing on EV and represents a good long-term investment.
We have used Aspen Trading Support & Resistance Levels in this idea. These levels are invite only and can be accessed through url in my profile information.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for information purpose only and does not constitute any investment advice.
Ford Breaking Out of Consolidation? Fib Levels Explained!F
Fords most recent 1 month consolidation as seen below:
In this video I review the fib levels that were respected throughout the trading day on Friday Dec 10th, 2021. Ford has now attempted a breakout of consolidation and has witnessed an increase in trading volume and bullish call volume. I would like to focus on the TA portion of Fridays bull run, specifically the fib levels and noting that the .618, .382, and .286 were mostly used upon retracement.
F TECHNICAL ANALYSIS bullish flag pattern on the daily chart.
i got caught in a bad play earlier in the week due to being impatient.
when it breaks, it can run up to the 23.50 level.
if it breaks the flag pattern towards the downside it can run down to fill the previous gap.
gap level
-15.75 - 16.50
feel free to give feedback and/or advice on anything.
Ford continues to sit in ConsolidationNYSE:F Ford continues to sit in Consolidation and is working itself into 2 different patterns: A Falling Wedge and a Bull Flag (Parallel Channel). Volume has been decreasing this week, but the options chain is heating up on Ford. Ford has been on the Hot Chains list on Unusual Whales this week, and continues to be a hot buy. Bullish on Ford (Still)
(F) Ford sitting in consolidation, looking to break a wedge. Scenario 1: The pivot trend continue with a break out of consolidation and out of its current wedge.
Scenario 2: The wedge breaks down and finds support on the prior trend
Scenario 3: Consolidation continues and the wedge is broken to meet support and continue on a bull run
Scenario 4: Wedge breaks down, support is broken, and a reversal in trend is confirmed.
Important Trend Line!Money Makers!
Rivian has finally been launched on the NYSE. This trend line shown will be very important over the next few days, especially when we're able to use options. If it breaks below, that will be one of the first bearish signs and I'm sure there's a lot of bears waiting to take advantage. This project is currently backed by Amazon & Ford. With that being said with the pettiness between Elon and Jeff. I wouldn't be surprised if this project keep moving higher. Tesla is currently 10x Rivians price and I'm sure Jeff wants to catch up but that's just my opinion.
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It's all about Market structure, Area of value, and Entry Trigger.
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This is not financial advice.
Ford is turning around. FIt appears like Wave 5 of a major impulse has finished growing. We are looking for a turnaround confirm, and are trading off what we see as Wave 5 first. If that falls, more short positions may be placed by us in that instance. Bearish outlook for this one.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
Ford Motor Co. (F) Overall Macro Trends & Bullish Case for ATHsThis a fairly long video on Ford Motor Company NYSE:F and the overall macro trends I see in its market. I am long on Ford and this is my bullish case-video and DD. I hope you enjoy! NYSE:F . This is also my first voice over video, so please be kind and let me know if there is ANYTHING you disagree with on the charting aspect of the video or otherwise.
Identified:
1. Falling Wedge
2. Ascending Rising Channel
3. Ascending Broadening Wedge
4. Levels of Support
5. Levels of Resistance
6. Breakout Zones
7. Overall Options-Chain Sentiment
Tools Used:
1. Trading View
2. Google
3. Unusual Whales
4. www.ford.com
5. My brain
Indicators Used:
1. Weekly Candles to find levels of support and resistance - keeping it simple
Could Ford be on the verge of a breakout? How is Ford fitting itself into the EV future? What does the big money say about Ford?
After careful study of Ford NYSE:F I have come to a bullish conclusion that this stock is getting very close to all time highs. There are 3 major overall macro BULLISH patterns at play that I have highlighted in my video.
1. Falling Wedge
2. Ascending Rising Channel
3. Ascending Broadening Wedge
NYSE:F
We are possibly about to enter into a breakout zone with NYSE:F as a Broadening Wedge breakout is forming right now. This Broadening Wedge breakout could propel Ford out of its Ascending Channel, which itself was used to thrust Ford out of its Falling Wedge. This is my mind is BULLISH. Please watch the video for more details on my case of Ford reaching new ATH and when that could potentially happen. Any feedback is greatly welcomed!
I am long on Ford F