Forecast
EURUSD: Bullish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
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US30 Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for US30.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 45,015.5.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 46,667.3 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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USOIL Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 72.49.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 74.21 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GBPJPY Will Go Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 191.954.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 192.882 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPAUD Will Go Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.994.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.958 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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BITCOIN BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the BITCOIN pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 98,358 level.
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EUR/CHF SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so EUR-CHF is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 0.942.
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EUR/AUD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on EUR/AUD, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 1.648.
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EUR/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/JPY is trending down which is obvious from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a beautiful trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 159.900.
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CAD/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so CAD/JPY is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 106.752.
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DXY Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 107.470.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 109.002 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD Is Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2,777.61.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 2,730.88.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDCHF Is Going Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 0.908.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 0.922 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USOIL BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
USOIL pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously falling on the 9H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 76.57 because the pair is oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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EUR/CAD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
EUR/CAD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.465 area.
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EUR/GBP BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 0.846 level area with our long trade on EUR/GBP which is based on the fact that the pair is oversold on the BB band scale and is also approaching a support line below thus going us a good entry option.
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USD/CHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the USD/CHF pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 0.902 level.
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30.01.25 Morning ForecastNothing on main watch for me today! A lot of pairs need some development in forming their structures. It's in these times where we need to be able to take a step back, understand it is not a time to be aggressive and stay patient for when entries next shape up.
We have some USD and EUR news today to be aware of, but nothing major.
Catch you guys tomorrow!
2025 S&P500 Forecast Guess by Tim WestI included 2024's guess that I posted here in January last year which turned out to be quite accurate in terms of "action" and "direction". The volatility the market saw with wild swings back and forth was outlined on here as we reached the clusters of guesses from Wall Street estimates.
This is an old technique that I learned from Ken Fisher of Fisher Investments and from Forbes Magazine. His wise and witty insights were the foundation of my investment strategy when I started investing in the mid 1980's.
Basically, when you see what the "market expectations" are for a market like the FOREXCOM:SPX500 or S&P500 Index, you can then figure out what needs to happen to get the market to their estimates and realize the market will go to somewhere else other than their guesses.
With 2024 showing a majority of "less than historical average" forecasts and more downside forecasts, it was quite clear that the market could easily outpace or outperform those forecasts.
Now that 2025 shows that analysts are looking for an average year or more, I think it is safe to say that we won't get an average year.
We now have a rising US dollar, which hurts overseas earnings. We also have higher energy prices which also hurts earnings. And yet we have plenty of cash on the sidelines as everyone who missed the rally is hoping to buy on a decline and others are just happy to earn 5% on their cash balances thanks to an ultra-tight Fed (compared to the last 20 years).
So, I expect more of the same that we have seen in January and I also expect sharp declines if we get any moves above the highs and up towards 6500 on the SPX.