USOIL Will Fall! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 79.103.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 74.465 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Forecast
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.028.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.020 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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CADJPY Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 108.412.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 106.334 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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AUDNZD Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDNZD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.105.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.108 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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SILVER BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
SILVER pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 2H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 30.135 area.
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EUR/JPY BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the EUR/JPY pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 163.892 level.
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EUR/CAD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so EUR-CAD is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 1.472.
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AUD/JPY BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/JPY pair is trading in a local downtrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 9H timeframe the pair is going down too. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 97.590 area.
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CADJPY: Market Sentiment & Forecast
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current CADJPY chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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NAS100USD Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 20,839.6.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 20,544.5 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GOLD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2,686.729.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 2,659.435.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURCAD Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for EURCAD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.478.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.461 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EURUSD Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.019.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.028 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the GOLD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 2,619.804.
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EUR/GBP BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR-GBP uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.834 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the EUR/GBP pair.
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USD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/CHF pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.878 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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AUD/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 2H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.613 area.
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USD/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so USD-JPY is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 156.837.
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Apple Inc. (AAPL) Comprehensive Market Analysis and StrategyGreetings traders and investors! Denis Mikheev here with an in-depth analysis of Apple Inc. (AAPL) using advanced tools from TheWaved™. Buckle up as we dive into the technical, fundamental, and price action analysis to forecast price movements and provide actionable trading strategies.
Current Market Overview
Apple’s current price stands at $235.43, approximately 9.48% below its absolute high of $260.10 reached on December 26, 2024. Despite this pullback, the stock shows strong resilience, supported by robust fundamentals and technical setups.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support Zones:
$228.75
$224.05
$217.13
Resistance Zones:
$237.05
$242.41
$244.67
Key Levels for Monitoring:
Powerful Resistance at $258.55
Critical Support at $217.55
Technical Indicators Analysis
Moving Averages (1-hour interval):
MA50: $238.39
MA100: $241.09
MA200: $247.59
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
1-hour RSI: 49.41 (neutral zone)
Daily RSI: 34.6 (oversold zone suggests potential reversal)
Volume Indicators:
MFI60 (Money Flow Index): 49.28 (neutral, no divergence noted).
Key Patterns and Historical Analysis
From recent pattern sequences:
January 13, 2025: Increased Sell Volumes with a 6.84% movement, indicating short-term bearish pressure.
January 10, 2025: Multiple “Sell Volumes Take Over” patterns with mixed buy and sell signals.
January 8, 2025: VSA Buy Pattern Extra suggests a medium-term bullish rebound pending confirmation.
These patterns align with a potential range-bound movement in the near term before a decisive breakout.
Price Action Analysis
Apple’s price action over the past week has formed a consolidative structure near key support levels. Observations include:
Lower highs and consistent testing of the $228.75 support.
A potential inverted head-and-shoulders pattern forming on the 1-hour chart, with a neckline at $237.05.
Price tightly correlates with the 50-day MA, suggesting a tug-of-war between bulls and bears.
Fundamental Insights
Apple’s upcoming quarterly results are projected to beat consensus estimates, driven by robust iPhone and service segment sales. Furthermore, macroeconomic conditions, such as softening interest rate hikes, could favor tech stocks in the medium term.
Trading Strategy
Short-Term Strategy:
Entry: Buy near $228.75 support level.
Stop Loss: $224.05 to minimize downside risk.
Targets:
$237.05
$242.41
Confirmation: Look for RSI divergence or a bullish engulfing candle.
Medium-Term Strategy:
Monitor breakout above $237.05 for long positions.
Resistance to Watch: $244.67 and $250.34.
Use trailing stops to secure profits.
Long-Term Strategy:
Accumulate near $217.13 if tested, considering its historical significance as a strong support level.
Target: $258.55 with a 6-12 month horizon.
Risk Management
Employ disciplined risk management:
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Maintain a minimum of 1:2.
Position Sizing: Limit exposure to 2% of your trading capital per trade.
Stop-Loss Placement: Use dynamic stop-loss levels based on ATR (Average True Range).
Market Outlook
1. Short-Term: Expect consolidation between $228.75 and $237.05, with potential for a breakout.
2. Medium-Term: A bullish continuation is likely if $242.41 resistance is cleared.
3. Long-Term: A test of the $258.55 resistance is probable, contingent on broader market sentiment.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement.
Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases.
Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray.
Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel.
How to Use Rays
Historical Analysis: On historical charts, observe how price interacted with rays. This helps evaluate how often levels defined by rays led to significant movement changes.
Real-Time Monitoring: By observing current price behavior relative to rays, you can highlight key points where scenarios such as reversal or continuation are likely.
Confirmation Tool: Rays do not replace other analysis methods but enhance them, adding a structured perspective on market behavior.
Conclusion
Apple remains a solid investment with clear technical setups and a favorable long-term outlook. Utilizing TheWaved™ tools, we’ve pinpointed actionable strategies to navigate its price movements effectively. Remember to follow your trading plan and adapt to market conditions.
For any queries or further clarifications, feel free to reach out via direct messages. All our professional-grade indicators are accessible via the link in our profile. Let’s trade smarter, not harder!
Stay disciplined and trade safely,
Denis Mikheev
TheWaved™