NICE Ltd: Seeking Value While Riding The AI WaveKey Rationale:
Profitable technology firm with a track record of commercializing AI. World leader in two industries primed for significant growth, with a comprehensive suite of products and a treasure trove of historical data for AI training. Solid Growth profile and five-star valuation make it an ideal GARP investment.
Company Profile:
A tech powerhouse that’s quietly revolutionizing customer engagement and financial crime solutions. NICE Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud platforms for AI-driven digital business solutions worldwide. Nice is an enterprise software company that serves the customer engagement and financial crime and compliance markets. The company provides data analytics-based solutions through both a cloud platform and on-premises infrastructure. Within customer engagement, Nice's CXone platform delivers solutions focused on contact center software and workforce engagement management, or WEM. Contact center offerings include solutions for digital self-service, customer journey and experience optimization, and compliance. WEM products optimize call center efficiency, leveraging data and AI analytics for call volume forecasting and agent scheduling. Within financial crime and compliance, Nice offers risk and investigation management, fraud prevention, anti-money laundering, and compliance solutions. NICE Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Ra'anana, Israel.
Comments:
One of the best available Ex-U.S. stocks.
Narrow Moat, Exemplary Capital Allocation.
NICE’s long-term vision aligns with the AI revolution.
Recently beat on top-line and bottom-line estimates.
Recently announced a New $500 Million Share Buyback Plan.
5-Star Valuation on Morningstar, NICE is trading at a 36% discount.
Incessant selling is unwarranted and partially due to a CEO transition.
Multiple industry analysts rank NICE as a major player with the best technology.
Cloud Company with actual Profitable Growth, making NICE an intelligent investment in AI.
Publicly traded since 1996, NICE is not some hot new flash-in-the-pan AI IPO, it's got staying power.
CXone Mpower is the Ultimate CX-Aware AI Offering, Providing Continuous, Memory-Driven Human and AI Collaboration.
They are developing a moat around their AI offering due to the sheer scale of the number of transactions they perform each month.
Nice has strong user retention metrics, and cloud growth means greater recurring revenue.
Cincinnati Emergency Communication Center Leverages NICE to Improve Operations.
Italy’s Police Deploy NICE Inform at All Control Rooms Nationwide for Incident Intelligence.
Named the Leader In 2024 IDC MarketScape for Contact Center as a Service Report.
Named the Conversational Intelligence Market Leader in 2024 Opus Research Intelliview Report.
Recognized as Category Leader in the Chartis 2024 CLM Solutions for Corporate and Investment Banking Vendor Landscape Report
Proprietary Scores:
GreenBlue Cumulative Rank: 196/2982 (Lower = Better)
GreenBlue Current Rank: 509/2982 (Lower = Better)
GreenRed Current Rank: 348/499 (Lower = Better)
Gurufocus Score: 95/100 (Higher = Better)
Stellar Profitability, Growth, and Quality scores for a foreign company in GreenBlue (138, 488, and 233 out of 2982)
Competitors:
CRM, INTU, NOW, CDNS, SHOP, ROP, ADSK, DOCU, GWRE, TWLO, FIVN, RNG
Risks:
Foreign companies have embedded geopolitical risk.
Larger AI competitors eat their lunch. Microsoft's push into the contact center will increase competition.
Nice is undergoing a cloud transition, and the timing of legacy customer migration and degree of success on this front remains to be seen.
Prior personal investments in software application companies have been very risky. Failed investments include FIVN, RNG, and TWLO.
Foreign
How to avoid the loss of funds in the transaction?Regardless of experience, every trader needs a plan. The key factors that can help the transaction become safer, they are the necessary strategic minimum requirements to ensure stable income and avoid unpredictable losses.
Why Do Traders Fail?
Let's take a look at the top reasons why traders lose money:
Trading is a complex process. Trading strategies require discipline and precision. Even with the best ideas, some traders can forget to act systematically.
Traders can be reckless. They give up doing market analysis, don't bother with stop loss orders, and forget about the rules of risk management. These all lead to mistakes and bad deals.
So how to avoid the loss of funds in the transaction?
1 Don't build positions with huge volume
If you are unsure of market movements, focus on at most one or two trades in a session. In the case of a small order volume, it is more controllable to track and find out various opportunities.
Please note that some factors, such as slippage (the difference between the expected price of the order and the actual execution price of the order), are unsolvable and cannot be considered in advance before the transaction is opened).
2Using Stop Loss and Take Profit
To reduce the risk of losing your money, you can use a stop loss order. They protect you from losing more money than you can afford. As for take profit, the principle is similar -- it will automatically close the order when the price target is reached, thereby locking in the profit. Therefore, taking profit will help you get out of the market immediately when the market price is right, so as to maximize your profits.
3Use reasonable leverage
By setting a wider and reasonable stop loss, smaller leverage will allow each trade to have more breathing room, thereby avoiding higher capital losses. High leverage will blow up your trading account faster when the market trend goes against your expectations, because a larger lot size will make you face higher losses.
4. Pay attention to important news
The market can change its trend at any time due to news or even rumors. Staying informed is key. All traders need to follow up all kinds of news throughout the trading hours. Let's say you realize that a news release will affect the direction of your position, but you're not sure which direction it will be. In such cases, you should provide maximum protection for the position you open (set stop loss, take profit, and in extreme cases, close the position before the release of the expected news).
5 Don’t Trade During Low Liquidity Hours
You need to be aware that illiquid trading instruments tend to have wider bid-ask spreads, higher volatility and, thus, higher risk for the trader. Therefore, trading in a cycle with little liquidity will face the possibility of high capital losses.
6 View multiple metrics
It is best to make your long/short decision based on several technical indicators. Indicators and other tools in technical analysis need to corroborate each other. Combine two or three different types of indicators. Your trading strategy can also rely on candlestick and trend chart patterns, as well as the use of golden section tools. In this way, the system will provide you with signals with a high probability of success. If you use such a strategy, combined with a stop loss and the correct risk/reward ratio, then you can avoid losing money in your trades.
7 Control Your Emotions
The most successful trading comes from confidence and calm. Your fear of losing money, or your desire to make money with your trading instruments in the precarious state of big news, can get in the way. Make sure you keep your emotions in check and use tools like stop loss and take profit orders to make objective trading decisions.
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USOIL:I think it will fall first and then rise
Dear trader, I think crude oil will fall first and then rise, what do you think?
Crude oil has been in a fluctuating upward trend recently, and it is possible to end the wide fluctuations that lasted for more than two months. The main trend is still low bullish mentality trading
At present, you can go short first, and then go long
The specific strategy is: buy short around 75, tp73.5-74
After going flat, buy long positions near 73.5, TP75-76
If you agree with my point of view, welcome to follow
TVC:USOIL BLACKBULL:USOIL.F FX:USOILSPOT
AUDUSD Potential for Bullish Momentum | 28th Sept 2022On the H4 chart, prices are moving in a strong descending trend. To add confluence to this, the price is below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bear market. Looking for a possible buy entry at 0.63713 where the 1.272% Fibonacci extension line is. Stop loss will be at 0.61631 where the 1.618 Fibonacci extension line is. Take profit will be at 0.66812 where the 100% Fibonacci line and previous swing low are.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USDJPY Potential for Bullish Continuation | 28th Sept 2022On the H4 chart, prices are moving in an ascending manner hence we are bullish biased. Price is also above the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bullish market. Expecting the price to react strongly to the 145 key level, we are looking for a pullback buy entry at 142.623 where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 140.345 where the previous swing low is. Take profit will be at 147.070 where the -27.2% Fibonacci expansion line is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Global Markets Falling Off A CliffChina, Europe, Asia, Africa could see a -10% to -22% collapse over the next 60+ days if consumers shift assets away from risks associated with the current COVID & debt/credit issues plaguing foreign markets. China, in particular, could be on the cusp of a "Great Recession". This could drive other foreign markets deeper into trouble in early 2022.
My opinion is the US markets may see some extended downside price volatility, but may quickly recover and trend higher if these global crisis events are somewhat isolated and contained. Certainly, traders need to be prepared for extreme volatility over the next 90+ days.
I believe China is in far worse shape than many people currently believe. These debt/credit issues are entrenched in finance/banking in China/Asia. I believe the more mature Asian economies could be headed for complete debt collapse over the next 2+ years.
Pay attention. Follow my research.
EURUSD Long Term ForecastI am anticipating a strong move higher over the next 5-10 years.
Ideally I want to see us break clearly through this resistance but already it looks quite clear we have bottomed by looking at previous history.
We are bouncing from monthly demand imbalance and we are now running into local highs where we generally see some volatility/pullbacks but longer term I believe we will overcome this and break higher.
Long bias Ninja's.
Fade the dollar move, long the Mexican Peso. The dollar has recently broken out against a variety of EMFX crosses. Interestingly, the picture is not the same in the G10 space. With the 10Y yield breaking higher, the narrative is that foreign investors are suddenly attracted to US yield and the dollar receives a bid as a result. We believe it is simply due to rapid growth and inflation expectations changing in the US to the upside. This is bullish to the equity market and bullish risk in general. Add to the cocktail the mix of monetary and fiscal policy in most of the world, and you have tailwinds that will send EM markets higher. Banxico recently cut rates citing soft inflation, however, the majority of Mexico data remains rate-of-change positive. Technically, the dollar reached the 200day exponential moving average and broke out from the prior downtrend. We are fading this as a "fake" breakout. Moreover, we wouldn't be surprised to see dealers hedging gamma above the 20.50 level, causing the slight overshoot. We enter long MXNUSD at 20.80, with a stop at 21, targeting a return to 19.54, where we will book most of the position, and keep SOME in case we see a follow-through downside break.
#LTMAQ #LATAM Airlines is ready to FlyI believe that LATAM Airlines is a great buy here. It has been showing some upward momentum lately and is poised to make gains as the entire Airline industry recovers. If you want to buy value this is it! My first target is roughly $8.00
AADR MA MACD Histogram just turned positiveThis is a Bullish indicator signaling AADR's price could rise from here. Traders may explore going long the stock or buying call options. I identified 56 similar cases where AADR's MACD histogram became positive, and 45 of them led to successful outcomes. Odds of Success: 80%.
Triple Head (H&S) Completed - Gold Will Now Descend Into ChannelI already made a small joke about this head and shoulders looking more like a triple head in my previous analysis, and even though it did not play out very cleanly, we can see the right shoulder has been completed. The top ($1722) was slightly lower than you might have expected ($1740), but we are seeing a new downtrend starting now.
I expect the price to follow this downtrend for a while. A lot of people have put their money into gold as a safe investment, but will be slowly pulling it out of gold and into the stock markets again as the economy seems to recover from the Corona crisis.
The price did open with a bullish momentum, so keep your stop loss tight around the 1725 level. It could be great for your risk reward that the price has increased a little bit so you can short from a higher level. Don't wait too long before you enter this trade as your risk reward will reduce as it lowers more.
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- Trading Guru
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Disclaimer!
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only!
USDRUB POTENTIAL LONG! (RUSSIAN RUBLE) USDRUB POTENTIAL LONG
OK SO I USUALLY DON'T TRADE THIS PAIR BUT I WANTED TO THROW A COUPLE EXOTIC PAIRS INTO MY ANALYSIS FOR THIS WEEK. OK SO IF YOU TAKE A LOOK AT THIS PAIR YOU CAN SEE SOMETHING PRETTY SIGNIFICANT THAT JUST RECENTLY HAPPENED TO LEAD TO THIS ANALYSIS. IF YOU TAKE A LOOK JUST IN LAST COUPLE DAYS YOU CAN SEE A LARGE REJECTION TO THE DOWNSIDE AND BUYERS COMING IN TO PUSH PRICE WAY BACK UP ACTUALLY CLOSING PRICE FOR THE DAY ABOVE THE RECENT STRUCTURE SUPPORT. THIS DISPLAYS THAT THE BUYERS ARE VERY INTERESTED IN BUYING THIS PAIR (REASON DOESN'T MATTER TOO MUCH). SO WE CAN SEE THAT THEY ARE INTERESTED IN TAKING PRICE TO THE UPSIDE AND THAT THE SELLER DIDN'T HAVE ENOUGH CONTROL TO STOP THIS REJECTION TO HAPPEN; DISPLAYING BUYER CONTROL. NOW EVEN THOUGH PRICE ISN'T UP-TRENDING THE REJECTION, MOMENTUM, AND COMBINED WITH STRUCTURE, DISPLAYS A GOOD POTENTIAL BUY OPPORTUNITY. LOOK FOR CONTINUED BUYER MOMENTUM (INTEREST) AND GOOD RISK/REWARD RATIO!
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USDJPY EXTENDED OUTLOOK (SHORT) USDJPY SHORT
AS YOU CAN SEE ON THIS CHART I MORE SPECIFICALLY PAINT OUT A PICTURE THAT THE MARKET IS SHOWING ME ITS STARTING TO FORM. YOU CAN SEE THAT THE BIG PICTURE IS A SELLER THAT CAUSED A VERY SIGNIFICANT DROP IN PRICE FOR MONTHS. PRICE HAS BEEN RECOVERING IN A PULLBACK LONGER THAN IT TOOK TO DROP! MARKET HAD DISPLAYED A PEAK IN THE PULLBACK BY BUYERS DYING OUT AND SELLERS COMING IN. MARKET IS SHOWING A NOW LOWER HIGH (LH) AND LOWER LOW (LL) SEQUENCE. KEEP AN EYE ON THIS PAIR FOR WHAT THE NEAR FUTURE MAY HOLD!
USDCHF POTENTIAL SHORT OPPORTUNITY (4H & 1D)USDCHF POTENTIAL SHORT OPPORTUNITY.
SO IT HAS BEEN AWHILE SINCE I HAVE MADE A POST ON HERE AND ITS FOR GOOD REASON. THERE HASN'T BEEN MANY GREAT LOOKING SWING SETUPS! I HAVE BEEN PRIMARILY SCALP TRADING THE NY SESSIONS IN THE MORNING CATCHING MY PIPS THAT WAY. AS I WAS DOING MY PRE-MARKET ANALYSIS THE MARKET HAD SHOWN ME A DECENT LOOKING OPPORTUNITY ON USDCHF CURRENCY PAIR. AS YOU CAN SEE BASED ON HISTORICAL DATA THIS PAIR IS SITTING AT A VERY SIGNIFICANT PRICE LEVEL. THIS WAS THE LEVEL THAT BACK IN THE PAST FEW YEARS WAS AFFECTED BY CHF LEAVING THE UNION. THIS CAUSED A SHARP DROP IN THE CURRENCY VALUE AGAINST THE USD. PRICE HAS BEEN HOLDING AT THESE LEVELS FOR YEARS NOW SHOWING ME THERE IS STILL IN INTEREST AND MEMORY OF THAT PAIR DROPPING. GOING DOWN TO MY LOWER TIMEFRAME CHARTS CONFIRMED THE BIAS OF A POTENTIAL SHORT BASED ON MOMENTUM ALONG WITH THIS STRUCTURE. LETS TAKE A LOOK.
1D CHART:
*on this timeframe price is sitting at recent significant structure levels
*there had been a strong seller push on the daily leaving a bearish engulfing candle as well as its most recent candle leaving a large wick/rejection to the upside
4H CHART:
*on this timeframe this pair is displaying a failure to make new highs with signs of buyer momentum dying out
*sellers are stronger than the buyers and are causing a 100% rest for every up move
MY BIAS HAS BEEN CONFIRMED WITH THE PRICE ACTION THAT THE CHARTS ARE SHOWING ME. KEEP AN EYE ON THIS PAIR FOR GOOD ENTRY AND EXIT TARGETS. ALWAYS REMEMBER TO NEVER RISK MORE THAN 2% OF YOUR TRADING CAPITAL PER TRADE. NO TRADE IS EVER GUARANTEED TO GO IN THE DIRECTION YOU THINK.
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GBPJPY POTENTIAL SHORT (1D & 4H) GBPJPY POTENTIAL SHORT
When I had done my pre-market analysis this weekend I wasn't seeing anything that had showed me it could be a high probable trading setup. After watching some liquidity come into the market GBPJPY had caught my attention. GBPJPY is at structure highs on the 1D timeframe and has been showing strong signs of buyer exhaustion and seller strength/control. If you look at the 4H timeframe you can see every push up by the buyer is followed by a very strong push down by the seller. This indicates that the buyers are dying out and the sellers are taking control. It is failing to make new highs and is being followed by strong seller momentum. By the market doing so it shows me that the sellers are interested in selling price and the buyers are dying out. REMEMBER TO ALWAYS LET TO MARKET TELL YOU WHAT IT WANTS TO DO, NEVER TELL THE MARKET. At the end of the day if you want to be trading profitable, and probable setups you have to flow with what the market is telling you. So lets dive into this.
1D Chart:
*price is sitting at very significant structure around the 148.00 handle
*buyers have attempted to re-test highs but sellers smack down price with strength (showing control)
*buyer is dying out (bearish engulfing candle)
4H Chart:
*on this timeframe chart at the highs buyers are followed by stronger seller momentum (control)
*watch for a break and hold beneath the 4H ascending trend-line, so that all participants are on the same page (equating to larger move)
*watch for slight small weak reaction at trend line, break beneath, and a small re-test before dropping (if it does)
1H Chart:
*use this chart for precise entry based on momentum, structure, and good risk/reward
Keep an eye out! Cheers!
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EURUSD WATCH THIS PAIR (1D Chart) EURUSD WATCH THIS PAIR
I wanted to make a post on this pair because EURUSD has been in an interesting spot lately, or I should say a few spots. The market was displaying to me that it was due to the fact that many different people had their outlooks on this pair therefore it led to indecisiveness in this currency pair. If you look at this daily time frame here the 1.15500 handle has been very significant level for price action on this pair. Since May of 2018 (this year) price has been holding above those levels. On August 10th of this year it attempted to break those levels but price ran right back above structure showing us a fake out. This is where the market started showing signs of indecisiveness and hasn't been able to break above the 1.17500-1.17800 price area. THEN recently price dropped from the 1.17800 area down UNDER the 1.15500 level. SO based on what the market has recently been showing me is that price has come down BELOW the significant 1.15500 handle that it had been holding above and HAS NOT ran right back up yet. I want everyone to keep an eye on this pair because it's in a significant spot right now and if price holds beneath this level and shows us some strong seller interest then we may see a more long term drop on this pair. Keep an eye out on this pair and I will to continue giving updates throughout the week on it.
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