Forex-analysis
head and shoulders formation????hello everyone!
im new here and i just wanted to share my analysis if anyone thinks its wrong or can be improved on please let me know!
ive established a support and resistance zone from 23ish july to now it acted as support for the initial 3 times until i broke through in september switching from support to resistance but only briefly before it becomes another valid support line for a potential head and shoulders formation.
so im guessing we wouldve be expecting a a heads and shoulders? can anyone vouch for this? ive been constantly reading through other peoples analysises and its pretty fun to see how others perceive these patterns!
happy trading!
USDCAD - DAY TRADE VIEW.USDCAD - Trading close to the tough resistance now, I am expecting a downfall, Start accumulating the trade size.
Approach should be a short sell at current price and short again near 1.34250 if comes.
Maintain Stop loss around 1.34580
Potential downside target 1.33700 - 1.33350
Follow the levels as mentioned.
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EURUSD Initial Targets Hit Potential Counter Trend ABCD PatternFX:EURUSD
Link to Related Idea Below...
Price Low EURUSD: $1.16514 Tested and Held at $1.1652 Locally!
As of the moment of publishing EURUSD Price: $1.1673
I break down the target prices for WXY & ABCD Patterns:
ABCD(revised) 1.618 Extension Target = $1.16507 (EURUSD Low=1.16514) Fractional miss; Target Considered Hit !
WXY "Y" 100% Extension = $1.16426 (Front Run?)
abc of ("X:Y") 138.2% Extension = $1.16462 (Front Run?)
AB-CD Counter Trend Potential Targets:
38.2% Retracement = $1.17889
50% Retracement = $1.18314
DOLLAR_YEN STRUCUTRE ANALYSIS|
(1) USD_JPY is trading in a range bound by outer resistance and support.
(2) As is is common for Yen pairs, there are multiple sub level.
(3) Most important one being inner resistance.
(4) The current triangle breakout direction will determine which border of the range will be tested.
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Gold running +11% on our Gold StrategySuper entry on Gold now running +11% based on 1% risk.
Hold until reverse signal, however we have suggested our members trial up their stop loss currently.
What is our Gold Strategy? - Script information shown below - and a link in the 'related ideas' section for a video introduction.
We are releasing this separate script file for trading Gold on the M15 time frame using our strategy. This can now run independently from the main file instead of changing parameters and saving as a template - thus making the use of these specific settings even easier for our traders.
You can see the back testing profitability shown below, although you can not use back testing to predict the future, both the volume of trades, net profit, win rate and draw down demonstrate a solid foundation and data to move forward from.
The strategy itself is explained in the 'Blue FX Strategy' but see below too for more info.
Our strategy will help you identify the current trend in the markets and highlight when this is changing. The strategy itself is based upon 4 indicators lining up in total confluence to increase the probability of the trade being a success.
Absolutely no technical analysis is needed to trade this - this is a trading tool and has solid back testing results trading in isolation - although you may also use to support your own trading - the choice is yours.
When a trade is valid - a Buy or Sell label will appear with the Entry price, SL and multiple TP's shown on the chart.
IMPORTANT note, the test results show and confirm that the most profitable exit strategy with these Gold settings is 'FT&SL' this means we enter the trade with a Stop Loss (SL) and simply hold and follow the trend (Follow Trend = FT ) until a reverse signal is printed.
In our supporting video (see related ideas) you can see the impact of changing this target between multiple TP's and the net effect on both win rate and overall net profitability.
The Lot size will also be displayed and this is based on the risk parameters you have set personally in the calculation section.
What is a Trading View Script?
A script is like an indicator but better, we can verify the success of our strategy by using Trading Views strategy tester function. As shown below and on the chart - you can see the 'Buy' and 'Close Buy' on the chart, supported by a live trading log showing you the entry, entry price date, volume and closing price.
This is a great function for numerous reasons; firstly, you know you are using a strategy that has provided a positive expectancy in back testing, secondly you can use this as a trading journal to support your trading too. This in itself can help you with your trading psychology - letting winning trades run is a prime example of this. Take confidence in the statistics and performance over time.
Ultimately, we believe we have saved YOU the need to firstly, find an edge and a strategy - and all of the time it takes to BACKTEST a strategy - to then find it may or may not work - and then you start again!
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Darren
Gold strategy M15 Launching today.A brief video explanation outline the push of our Gold strategy based on the M15 time frame.
Strong net profit performance on 70+ trades with sensible small draw down.
In the video I also explain how changing the profit targets affects the net profit and the win rate - as shown.
Regards
Darren
Gold H4 - Short SetupGold H4 - Mixed signals from gold at the moment, currently consolidating after a nice selloff on our H4 support region (H&S we marked y'day). We have had a couple of attempts to push higher, but seems we have formed a consolidation range (effectively our flag). Waiting to see if we crack below this 1928 region to set new lows and break support, from here on the retest of 1928 we could look to jump in short.
NZD/CAD DOWNWARD TREND
DAILY- DOWNWARD TREND
4HR- DOWNWARD TREND
1 HR- DOWNWARD TREND
This pair is currently in a downward trend and there are a few key support areas where you can feel free to take profit. Please don't forget about that risk management!!!
SL 0.89132
TP1 0.87821
TP2 0.86898
TP 3 0.85913
AUD/JPY BREAK OUT OF 2 YEAR TRENDLINE AUD/JPY BREAK OUT OF 2 YEAR TRENDLINE RESISTANCE & ASCENDING TRIANGLE
We can see the AUD/JPY pair close above the trend line resistance, after having a failed breakout previously, we are coming
back to attempt another breakout.
Looking closer, it is also playing towards the end of an ascending triangle, a potential retest of the trendline resistance turned support will
open up the entry to the long side.
V4 introduction .... lots of new additions!Improvements set below;
Trend filter using ADX
Specific parameters set into the code - detects the pair and TF to shown them automatically - our method has been solid YOY growth based on a fixed 0.01 lot size to gain consistent yearly consistent results
Trade volumes substantially reduced with a much higher win rate
No pull down menu when flicking between instruments - all done automatically
More TP options for testing
Smaller labels showing entry, SL and TP, etc
Lot sizes fixed
Filter for days of the week - some pairs hate specific days!
Back testing on all instruments
Filter for trading sessions
Great editions here, we hope you agree - please have a watch.
Regards
Darren