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Forex-trading-signals

Trader's DiaryHello everyone Today we will talk about what most traders avoid and underestimate - Trader's Diary. Traders believe that the Trader's Diary is a waste of time, but in fact the Trader's Diary directly affects the trader's income. Why keep a trader's diary? If you keep a diary honestly and impartially, over time you will gain a lot of statistics of inputs, outputs and emotions experienced when trading. This is a useful database that will help identify weaknesses and recurring errors, helping to fix and not repeat them again. What should I write in diary? Date and time of the signal occurrence. The chart at the moment of entering the market , for clarity, you can make notes justifying the actions of the trader. If the work is done on graphical analysis, then markup is needed. The result of trading. Regardless of whether the trade is closed by take profit, stop or ahead of schedule manually, it is advisable to attach a chart. Comment. The trader's thoughts on entering/exiting the market are briefly indicated here. It is advisable to record emotions, for example, "the signal complies with the rules, but there is a feeling that it is not worth entering" or "the graph has not reached the Fibo level a little, the volume has been reduced". This is the necessary minimum. You can also add the following items to the report: Maximum drawdown as a percentage and in the deposit currency. Volume. The state of capital after the position is closed. The duration of keeping the transaction open. Losses due to swap, spread. How not to keep a journal The key violation of the rules when keeping a diary is a frivolous attitude towards it. If you keep a journal only to comply with a formality, then it will not be of any use. With this attitude, important information concerning psychology and emotions is guaranteed to be missed. If a trader is lazy, does not accompany transactions with illustrations of the state of the market, forgets to make part of the transactions, the value of the report decreases. Analysis of trade and your emotions at the entrance When analyzing trading, the most difficult thing is to give your actions a sober assessment. If, for example, you put out a limit order in violation of the strategy rules, and this caused a loss, you do not need to explain your blunder by external factors. That is why it is extremely important at the time of entry to indicate not only the technical characteristics of the transaction, but also emotions. Nobody will control the correctness of keeping a diary, you need to learn this yourself. As for the analysis, after accumulating an array of statistics, first of all look for emotional losing trades. This is one of the most common mistakes of traders. I recommend starting the optimization of trading with this. Resume A trader's diary is a tool that indirectly affects the results of trading. It teaches you to work in a measured manner with a clear assessment of each entry point. Keeping a diary allows you to eliminate the emotional component from trading over time, and thereby improve results. I recommend getting used to keeping a journal from the very beginning, entering information on all transactions into it. Regular analysis will show weaknesses in trading, it remains only to eliminate them and continue trading. To facilitate the task, you can use auxiliary services that collect an array of statistics in automatic mode.
Education
by DeGRAM
4
TOP 5 CURRENCIESHello! Today we will discuss the five most popular currencies. Currently, there are 180 currencies in active circulation in the world. Most of the transactions made in the foreign exchange market are made using only about half a dozen of these currencies. If you are familiar with the Pareto principle, then it applies very well in the real world. This article will provide you with an overview of the currencies currently dominating the foreign exchange market. The five most traded currencies in Forex are listed below, with reasons for their popularity: * US dollar: The dominance of the US dollar as a currency is undeniable. In truth, this currency has no serious competition. Such popularity is due to the long-term stability of the government and the economic dynamism of the United States. It has a very stable value due to the fact that it is not greatly affected by inflation over a long period of time. Many foreign governments literally hold on to dollars as a reserve currency, mainly because that currency is used for international transactions. Needless to say, the US dollar is on a pedestal and its status as a currency is unparalleled – or rather, not yet. * Euro: The US dollar as the main currency definitely needs a second currency. Surprisingly, this currency is one of the youngest, and it is considered the official currency from Finland to Portugal and from Slovakia to Slovenia. The Euro is the next most traded currency among all currencies in the world. Currently, there are about 500 million people in Africa and Europe who use this currency for trade. The value of the euro is likely to increase over time. *Japanese yen: The Japanese yen has become so important nowadays because its value has tripled. Because of this, Japanese firms have taken advantage to acquire several procurement-related positions from many institutions in the United States. Through these developments, the yen has gradually become one of the most important currencies used in the foreign exchange market. * British pound: The pound sterling has lost some of its glory. Decades ago, it was the second most widely used currency, but with the decline of the British Empire and the rise of the euro, the pound fell by the wayside. Today, the pound is used in only 6% of all foreign exchange transactions. If you're wondering why the pound suddenly dropped to number four, the best answer is that it's in a relative vacuum. The United Kingdom government has fixed its price against the dollar, and this is not good, because it no longer reflects the real value of the currency. * Australian dollar: This currency was created in 1966 as a replacement for the now obsolete Australian pound. Since then, it has become one of the most popular reserve currencies circulating throughout Oceania and the Asia-Pacific region. Gradually, it has become one of the most preferred currencies for trading. conclusions In the 21st century, foreign exchange is moving towards diversity. Investors pay attention to the stability and volatility of the currency. In addition, the reputation of the economy and the security of the state matter in the selection process. Finally, another factor that is taken into account is the extent to which the currency is used. Due to the high volatility, trading these pairs is faster, which can help you quickly win big or lose everything quickly. Good luck! Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Education
by Lingrid
41
Forex Trader Career: Pros and consForex trading, which is often perceived as an easy career for making money, is actually quite difficult, although very exciting. Due to high liquidity, round-the-clock schedule and easy accessibility, Forex trading has become a popular profession, especially for people with financial education. Being your own boss and comfortably earning money using a laptop/mobile phone when it's convenient for you is sufficient motivation for both young graduates and experienced professionals to consider Forex trading as a career. Advantages of a Forex trader's career There are several advantages that a career as a forex trader, also known as a currency trader, gives. They include: Low costs Forex trading can have very low costs (brokerage services and commissions). In reality, there are no commissions – most forex brokers profit from trading stocks or other securities, where the brokerage structure varies greatly, and the trader must take into account such commissions. Suitable for different trading styles In the foreign exchange market, work all day, which allows transactions in its convenience, which is very beneficial for short-term traders who, as a rule, take positions for a shorter period of time (say, a few minutes to several hours). Few traders make trades outside of business hours. For example, daylight time in Australia is night time for the east coast of the USA. A trader from the United States can trade Australian dollars during business hours in the United States, since no significant developments are expected and prices for the Australian dollar are in a stable range during such non-business hours. Such traders use trading strategies with large volumes and low profits. They are trying to make a profit on a relatively stable duration of low volatility and compensate for this with large volumes of transactions. Traders can also open long-term positions, which can last from several days to several weeks. Thus, Forex trading is very convenient. High liquidity Compared to any other financial markets, the forex market has the greatest amount of price manipulation and price anomalies, thereby providing narrower spreads, which leads to more efficient pricing. There is no need to worry about high volatility during the opening and closing hours or about stagnant price ranges in the afternoon, which are typical for stock markets. If no major events are expected, similar price patterns (high, medium or low volatility) can be observed throughout continuous trading. There is no central exchange or regulator Since it is an over-the-counter market operating worldwide, there is no central exchange or regulator for the forex market. Central banks of various countries from time to time intervene as necessary, but these are rare events that occur in extreme conditions. Most of these developments are already perceived and evaluated by the market. Such a decentralized and deregulated market helps to avoid sudden surprises. Compare this to stock markets, where a company can suddenly declare dividends or report huge losses, which will lead to huge price changes. Such deregulation also helps to reduce costs. Orders are placed directly with the broker, who executes them independently. Another advantage of deregulated markets is the ability to open short positions, which is prohibited for some security classes in other markets. Volatility is a trader's friend Major currencies often exhibit strong price fluctuations. If trades are placed wisely, high volatility opens up huge opportunities for profit. Variety of pairs for trading There are 28 major currency pairs involving eight major currencies. The criteria for choosing a pair can be a convenient time, the structure of volatility or economic development. A forex trader who loves volatility can easily switch from one currency pair to another. Low capital requirements Due to the narrow spreads in points, it is easy to start trading on the foreign exchange market with a small initial capital. Without additional capital, it may be impossible to trade in other markets (for example, in the stock, futures or options markets). The availability of margin trading with a high leverage ratio (up to 50 to 1) is the cherry on the cake for Forex transactions. Although trading with such a high margin comes with its own risks, it also makes it easier to get more potential profits with limited capital. Ease of entry There are hundreds of fundamental analysis for long-term forex trading, which gives traders with different levels of experience a huge choice for quick entry into forex trading. Disadvantages of a Forex trader's career Lack of transparency Due to the deregulated nature of the forex market, which is dominated by brokers, they actually trade against professionals. Working with brokers means that the forex market may not be completely transparent. A trader may not have any control over how his trading order is executed, may not get the best price, or may have limited views of trading quotes provided only by his chosen broker. A simple solution is to deal only with regulated brokers that fall under the competence of broker regulators. The market may not be under the control of regulators, but the activity of brokers is under control. Comprehensive pricing process Forex rates depend on many factors, primarily global politics or economics, which can be difficult to analyze information and obtain reliable conclusions for trading. Most of the trading in the foreign exchange market takes place using technical indicators, which is the main reason for the high volatility in the foreign exchange markets. Incorrect technical assessment will lead to a loss. High risk, high leverage Forex trading is available with a high leverage, which means that it is possible to make a profit/loss many times exceeding the trading capital. Forex markets allow a leverage of 50:1, so you need to have only $ 1 to open a currency position worth $ 50. While a trader can benefit from leverage, the loss increases. Forex trading can easily turn into a nightmare with losses if a person does not have a clear knowledge of leverage, an effective capital allocation scheme and strong control over emotions (for example, willingness to reduce losses). Independent learning In the stock market, a trader can seek professional help from portfolio managers, trading consultants and account managers. Forex traders are completely on their own, with almost no help. Disciplined and continuous self-study is a prerequisite throughout your trading career. Most beginners leave at the initial stage, primarily due to losses incurred due to limited knowledge about Forex trading and improper trading. High volatility Having no control over macroeconomic and geopolitical events, it is easy to incur huge losses in an extremely volatile foreign exchange market. If something goes wrong with a certain stock, shareholders can put pressure on management to initiate the necessary changes, or they can turn to regulatory authorities. Forex traders have nowhere to go. For example, when Iceland went bankrupt, traders owning the Icelandic crown could only watch. Round-the-clock markets make it difficult to regularly monitor prices and volatility. The best approach is to set strict stop losses for all Forex trades and trade systematically using a well-planned approach. conclusion Forex trading has many pros and cons. You can easily earn large sums and just as easily lose them. The market has a great history, and you can learn how to make a profit on forex. The main question is whether everything that the market is ready to give is suitable for you?
Education
by DeGRAM
5
TRAILING STOPWhat is trailing stop? A trailing stop is a modification of a typical stop order that can be set to a specific percentage or dollar amount of the current market price. A trailing stop is designed to protect profits by allowing the trade to remain open and continue to make a profit as long as the price moves in the investor's favor. The order closes the trade if the price changes direction by the specified percentage or dollar amount. Understanding the trailing stop Trailing stops only move in one direction because they are designed to lock in profits or limit losses. If a trailing stop loss of 10% is added to a long position, a sell trade will be placed if the price drops 10% from its post-buy peak price. The trailing stop moves up only after a new high has been established. Once a trailing stop has moved up, it cannot go back down. A trailing stop is more flexible than a fixed stop loss because it automatically tracks the direction of a stock's price and does not require manual reset like a fixed stop loss. Trailing Stop Trading The key to successfully using a trailing stop is to set it at a level that is neither too narrow nor too wide. Setting a trailing stop loss that is too tight can mean that the trailing stop is triggered by normal daily market movement, and thus there is no room for the trade to move in the trader's direction. A stop loss that is too short will usually result in a losing trade, albeit a small one. A trailing stop that is too large does not work in normal market movements, but it means that the trader is taking on the risk of unnecessarily large losses or forgoing more profit than he needs. Although trailing stops lock in profits and limit losses, setting the ideal trailing stop distance is difficult. There is no perfect distance because markets and the way stocks move are constantly changing. Despite this, trailing stops are effective tools and, like every other method, there are pros and cons here. Real world example Let's say you bought Alphabet Inc. (historically pulls back 5-8% before moving up again). These previous moves can help set the percentage level that will be used for the trailing stop. Choosing 3% or even 5% can be too difficult. Even minor retracements tend to move more, meaning the trade is likely to be stopped out by a trailing stop before the price can move higher. Choosing a trailing stop of 20% is overkill. Based on recent trends, the average pullback is around 6%, with larger ones around 8%. A trailing stop loss of 10% to 12% is better. This gives the trading space room to move, but also quickly takes the trader out if the price drops more than 12%. A 10% to 12% drop is larger than a typical retracement, which means something more significant could be happening – basically, it could be a trend reversal, not just a pullback. Using a trailing stop of 10%, your broker will execute a sell order if the price drops 10% below your buy price. It's 900 dollars. If the price never rises above $1,000 after buying, your stop loss will remain at $900. If the price hits $1,010, your stop loss will move to $909, 10% below $1,010. If the share price rises to $1,250, your broker will execute a sell order if the price drops to $1,125. If the price starts to fall from $1250 and doesn't come back up, your trailing stop order remains at $1125 and if the price drops to that price the broker will place a sell order on your behalf. The ideal trailing stop loss will change over time. In more volatile periods, it is better to use a wider trailing stop. During quieter times or when the stock is very stable, a tighter trailing stop loss may be effective. However, once a trailing stop loss is set for an individual trade, it should be left as is. A common trading mistake is to increase the risk of a trade one time to avoid losses. This is called loss aversion and can quickly take a trading account down. Results Trailing stop is a very useful tool if you know how to use it. The tool can help you keep your profits on days when you can't follow the price and move the normal stop yourself. Adding such a useful tool will help improve your strategy and increase your profits. But do not forget about the correct setting of the trailing stop, the values ​​of which will be different for each instrument. To more accurately determine the values ​​for the trailing stop, it is worth knowing the average daily movement of the instrument, as in the example above. Good luck! Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Education
by Lingrid
5
FOREX TIMEFRAMESMost technical traders have come across the concept of multiple time frame analysis in their market education. However, it is a well established chart reader. Many market participants miss the larger trend, miss clear support and resistance levels, and miss entry and stop levels because they don't analyze the higher timeframes. Multiple Time Frame Analysis Multiple time frame analysis involves monitoring the same currency pair on different time frames. As a general rule, using three different periods gives a fairly broad view of the market, while using fewer can result in significant loss of data, and using more often provides overanalysis. When choosing three time frames, a simple strategy might be to follow the "rule of four". This means that you should first determine the medium-term period in which the trader is going to trade. From here, a shorter time frame should be chosen, which should be at least one-fourth of the interim period. Using the same calculation, the long-term timeframe must be at least four times larger than the intermediate one. In the long term, the current trend will be determined, in the short term, the ideal entry point, and the medium term will indicate how long you can hold the position and where the targets are. When choosing a range of three periods, be sure to select the correct timeframe. A long-term trader does not need to follow a minute chart, and a short-term trader does not need to follow a monthly one. Long term time frames With this method of studying charts, it is generally best to start with long-term time frames and move on to more detailed frequencies. Looking at the long term time frame, a dominant trend is established. Long-term price movement is influenced by fundamental data that a long-term trader should take into account in the analysis. It is important to consider interest rates, which are a major component in the pricing of exchange rates. Medium term time frames This is the most versatile of the three because at this level one can gain insight into both short and long term time frames. In fact, this level should be the most commonly used chart when planning a trade when a trade is active and when a position is approaching either its target profit or stop loss. Short term time frame As the smaller price action swings become clearer, the trader can better choose an attractive entry for a position whose direction is already determined by the higher frequency charts. Another consideration for this period is that the fundamentals again have a strong influence on the price movement on these charts, although in a very different way than for the higher time frames. Fundamental trends are no longer visible when the charts are below the four hour frequency. Instead, short-term time frames will react with increased volatility to the news. Often these jerky movements last for a very short time and as such are sometimes described as noise. Putting it all together When all three timeframes are combined to evaluate a currency pair, a trader will easily increase the chances of success for a trade, regardless of other rules applied to the strategy. Performing a downward analysis helps to trade with the trend. This alone reduces risk as there is a higher chance that the price action will eventually continue in the direction of the longer trend. Applying this theory, the level of confidence in a trade should be measured by how the time frames match up. For example, if the larger trend is up and the medium and short-term trends are moving down, cautious shorts should be entered with reasonable profit targets and stops. Alternatively, a trader can wait until the bearish wave ends on the smaller charts and try to go long at a good level when the three timeframes realign. Another obvious benefit of including multiple timeframes in trade analysis is the ability to identify support and resistance values, as well as strong entry and exit levels. The chances of a trade being successful are increased when it is tracked on a short-term chart due to the trader's ability to avoid bad entry prices, misplaced stops, and/or unreasonable targets. essence Using multiple timeframe analysis can greatly increase the chances of a successful trade. Unfortunately, many traders ignore the usefulness of this method when they start trading. As we have shown in this article, it may be time for many novice traders to return to this method, because it is the easiest way to know the direction of the trend and not go against it.
Education
by DeGRAM
8
Forex scalpingHi all! Today I want to talk about scalping. What is scalping? Scalping is the style of buying or selling currency pairs over a short period of time in an attempt to make a series of quick profits. A forex scalper aims to make a large number of trades using the small price movements that are common throughout the day. Understanding Forex scalping Forex scalpers usually use leverage, which allows them to open larger positions, so that a small price change equals a solid profit. Forex scalping risks Like all trading styles, Forex scalping comes with risks. Even if you risk a small amount on a trade, taking many trades can mean a significant drawdown if many of those trades end up losing money. This is a viable system, but sometimes a trader cannot exit due to a five pip loss. The market can drop through the stop loss point and they end up with a loss of 20 pips. Thus, they lose four times more than they expected. Some of these slippage scenarios can quickly deplete an account. Special Considerations Forex scalpers require a trading account with tight spreads, low commissions and the ability to place orders at any price. If the spread or commissions are too high, or the price at which a trader can trade is too limited, the chances of a forex scalper being successful are greatly reduced. Who is scalping for? Scalping may not be suitable for all traders. The profitability of each position opened by the scalper is usually small, and the profit is achieved by adding up the profit from each closed small position. The scalper must be able to wait until his labor brings profit. To become a successful Forex scalper, you need endurance, attentiveness and discipline. Scalping requires a lot more time and attention from the trader compared to other trading styles such as swing trading or trend following. A typical scalper opens and closes dozens of positions during a typical trading day. For some, this may be an overwhelming task, creating too much psychological stress. Advantages and disadvantages of scalping The main advantages of scalping The potential profitability of the strategy, both within one trading day and in the long term. There is no need to wait for the next trend to form in the market. You can scalp in any situation: with the trend, against the trend, in the sideways (Flat). More simplified market analysis. With the help of technical analysis and indicators, a short-term trend is assessed, fundamental factors are taken into account selectively. Suitable for trading on small deposits. Thanks to leverage, even on a small account, you can open significant positions and make a profit. The disadvantages of scalping are Difficulty in choosing the right broker. Scalping requires favorable trading conditions – minimum spreads and commissions, no critical slippage. Not every broker will be able to provide such conditions. Increased risk associated with the use of high leverage. When using leverage, even a small movement of the market against a trader can bring serious losses, so in order not to drain the deposit, it is necessary to apply risk control rules. Large expenditures of time and constant psycho-emotional stress during the trading day. The scalper makes a large number of transactions and this requires constant monitoring of the market. Such active trading consumes a lot of energy and is fraught with possible "burnout" of the trader. Limitation on the number of used trading instruments. Not all trading tools are suitable for scalping. To reduce costs with a large number of transactions, assets with minimal spreads are selected. conclusions Scalping is perhaps the most difficult type of trading that requires maximum concentration and self-control. This is because it is difficult to predict the future movement of the market, especially the Forex market. It is worth spending a lot of time to gain enough experience and trade steadily in the plus. Learn, try and you will succeed! Good luck! Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
Education
by Lingrid
11
NFP REPORTSHello traders! Today I want to share with you interesting information that can bring you profit. Let's talk about NFP What is Nonfarm Payrolls? Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) is the number of new jobs in the non-farm sectors of the economy over the past month. The released figures show the dynamics of changes (increase, decrease) relative to the previous period. These statistics cover about 500 sectors of the economy: construction, trade, business services, transport, logistics, financial sector, medicine, tourism, and so on. The calculations do not take into account workers in the agricultural sector, non-profit organizations and self-employed citizens. A change in the NFP value of 100-200 thousand jobs will lead to strong volatility in the quotes of world currencies in pairs with the US dollar, gold and stock markets. Long-term reaction to the growth of non-farms is the weakening of the US dollar against a basket of major Forex currencies; The short-term reaction is unpredictable due to a sharp jump in the rate, leading to the triggering of many pending orders and an unpredictable exit and infusion of huge amounts of money into the markets in a short period of time. Position search An example of looking for a trade setup would be to use 30 pips. It is not unusual for the EUR/USD pair to advance 30 pips within the first few minutes of the release of the report. The larger the initial movement, the better for determining the direction of the pair's movement. After the initial big move, there is usually a price pullback that signals an entry point. Using one-minute price bars, traders draw a trendline from the high of the initial move to the high of the one-minute price retracement (if the initial move was up). They buy when the price breaks above the trend line. If the initial movement was downward, then a trend line is drawn from the low of the initial movement to the low of the price retracement using the same criteria. Traders enter into a short trade when the price breaks below the trend line. Some traders like to wait 5 price bars before plotting a trendline, while others may have experience telling them less or more is better. It also helps to place a stop loss in case the price bar chosen was not the actual price pullback low. If a trader is using the 5 price bar method, then a stop loss should be placed one pip below the low of that move if a long trade is taken. If a short trade was entered, then the stop loss should be placed one pip (plus the size of the spread) above the high formed on the movement of 5 price bars. Profit target To determine an exit position, or profit target, traders use the difference between the opening price and the initial move. The difference is divided in half. The target price is this number. For example, if the initial move was 115 pips, then the profit target would be 57.5 pips. Risk Only enter a trade if your profit potential is at least 1.5 times your trading risk. Ideally it should be 2x or more. In the examples above, the profit potential is about 3 times the trading risk. Don't forget about risk control. Do not risk more than 1% of your capital. Practice Before Using the Method It is impossible to describe how to trade all possible variations of the strategy that may arise. That is why it is recommended to use the strategy on a demo version before real trading. Understand the principles and the reasons why they exist, so that if conditions are slightly different on a given day, you can adapt and not be bombarded with questions. If a profit target seems too bold, use a 3:1 reward/risk ratio target. The goal is to place the target in a logical and reasonable place based on the trend and volatility. The profit target method helps with this, but it is only a guide and may need to be adjusted slightly depending on the conditions of the day. EUR/USD will not behave exactly the same after every NFP report, so it will take some practice to see how these trade setups play out and be fast enough to jump in and trade them. Practice the strategy on a demo account until you show total profit after trading at least five NFP reports. Only then can you consider trading this strategy with real money. conclusions News trading is not easy. During such a period, the price moves quickly. It is worth gaining enough experience to confidently trade on the news, so it is recommended to practice on a demo account. Control the risks, follow the strategy and the profit will come to you. Good luck!
Education
by DeGRAM
3
GOLD PRICEHello! In difficult times, investors become interested in gold, as has been done for a long time. But what factors affect the price of gold? Let's try to find out today. Reserves of the Central Bank Central banks hold fiat currency, but gold is also held in reserve. Ever since the US went off the gold standard, central banks have been building up their gold holdings. Overall, governments bought a total of 650 tons of gold in 2019, down from the 656 tons bought in 2018, and still at 50-year highs. US dollar value The strength of the dollar affects the price of gold. If the dollar is strong, then the price of gold is usually low. If the dollar is weak, the price of gold rises. As a result, gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. As inflation rises, so does the price of gold. Global demand for jewelry and industry In 2019, jewelry accounted for more than half of the demand for gold, which was equal to 440 tons. In addition, 7.5% of demand is related to technology and industry, where gold is used to make equipment. These directions, their growth or decline, strongly influence the price of gold. Welfare Protection In times of crisis, gold has always been considered a "safe haven" for investors' funds. Time passes and gold is still being used, and even the arrival of bitcoin has not changed the situation much. When the expected or actual yields of bonds, stocks and real estate fall, interest in investing in gold may increase, causing its price to rise. In addition, it is believed that gold provides protection during periods of political instability. Investment demand In addition to the central bank, gold is owned by exchange-traded funds that issue shares available for purchase and sale to investors. SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) is the largest holding over 1,078 tons of gold in March 2021. In general, gold purchases from various investment vehicles in 2019 amounted to 1271.7 tons, which is more than 29%. of the total demand for gold. Gold production Major players in global gold mining include China, South Africa, the US, Australia, Russia and Peru. The production of gold in the world affects the price of gold, which is another example of supply and demand being met. The mine's gold production was approximately 3,260 tons in 2018, up from 2,500 in 2010. Every year it is more and more difficult to mine gold, and this also affects the price. conclusions Gold, after several centuries, is still used not only as jewelry, but also for investment. Every year, the price of production is growing, banks are accumulating gold in their reserves, crises and other factors are raising the price of gold. Using the data, you can predict the rise or fall of prices. In any case, nothing more expensive than information has yet been invented. Good luck! Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
Education
by Lingrid
11
8 MYTHS ABOUT TECHNICAL ANALYSISThere are many people and many opinions in the market. There are those who criticize technical analysis, calling it superficial and even useless. There are those who consider technical analysis (TA) the holy grail that can bring huge profits. Today we will try to debunk 8 myths about technical analysis. myths 1. TA is for short-term trading or day trading only. Many people think that TA is only suitable for short-term and computer-driven trading, such as day trading and high frequency trades. The history of TA actually goes back long before computers were invented, and many famous and profitable traders use it for long-term trading. Technical analysis is used by traders on all timeframes, from minutes to weeks and months. 2. Only individual traders use technical analysis. In fact, investment banks have dedicated trading teams that use technical analysis. High-frequency trading, which covers a significant portion of the trading volume of stock exchanges, relies heavily on technical concepts. 3. TA has a low success rate. To debunk this myth, all you have to do is read Masters of the Market: Interviews with Top Traders by Jack D. Schwager, which quotes many traders who profit solely from technical analysis. Traders with many years of experience have been making profits using technical analysis for more than a century. 4. Technical analysis is fast and easy. Novice traders open trades based on a simple TA, but this is not enough to be profitable at a distance. Success depends on continued study, practice, good money management and discipline. Technical analysis is just a tool, just one piece of the puzzle. 5. Ready-made technical analysis software can help traders make money easily. There are a lot of advertisements on the Internet that promise to give you a program for a small amount that will do everything for you and bring you profit - in fact, this is a scam. There are programs and indicators that can help you trade, but no program will give you guaranteed profits. 6. Technical indicators can be applied to all markets. Most often, yes, TA can be applied in all markets, but there are exceptions. Different asset classes move in their own way, with their own characteristics, and a trader must be able to adjust his TA for a particular asset. Don't make the mistake of applying technical indicators designed for one asset class to another. 7. Technical analysis can give very accurate price predictions. Beginning traders expect to see 100% accurate signals and accurate profit prices, reversals and so on from TA. This is simply impossible. Most often, TA helps to find the zone where the price can go, where it can reverse from and this is not a specific point, this is a zone and experienced traders understand this. 8. The winning percentage in technical analysis should be higher. If the first trader out of 5 made 4 profitable trades, and the second trader out of 5 made 1, who is more successful? You need to get more information to give an answer, it may be that the first trader earned $ 10 in 4 trades, but at the same time he lost $ 80 in one and then he will be in the red, and the second trader lost $ 40 in 4 trades , while in one transaction he earned $ 100. The right trading structure ensures profitability even with a small number of winners. It is not necessary to have many profitable trades, it is enough that the profit covers losses and something else remains, and sometimes one trade is enough for this. essence Technical analysis is not the holy grail, it will not give you 100% profit. It does not suit everyone and you need to study it before you understand whether it suits you or not. You need to gain enough experience to learn how to use technical analysis correctly. When used correctly, TA can give you a real opportunity for trading success. Good luck!
Education
by DeGRAM
7
Forex Fundamental AnalysisHello! Today I want to talk about a topic that is rarely discussed, but important at the same time - fundamental analysis of the forex market. News, GDP, interest rates - all this affects the market and everyone needs to be able to understand this. What is fundamental analysis Forex fundamental analysis is a way of analyzing a currency, making predictions based on data that is not directly related to price charts. There are two types of influence of fundamental indicators on the price : Short term. Fundamental information has an impact on the market within minutes or hours. Long term. Fundamental factors, the impact of which on currencies lasts from 3-6 months. Used for strategic positions. Several basic levels are used for conducting FA. The level of the national economy. Comprehensive analytics of economic and political indicators of the country. Industry. The volumes of supply and demand, prices, technologies, as well as production parameters are studied. Individual currency level. Financial statements, management technologies, business strategies, competitive environment are assessed. The classical scheme of fundamental analysis looks like this : An analysis of global financial markets, the presence of signs of a crisis and force majeure events, an examination of the situation in the economy and politics of the leading world powers is carried out. Economic indicators and the general level of stability of the region (industry), the analyzed currency or other instrument are assessed. The degree of influence of regional and world economic indicators on the dynamics of the selected financial instrument in the short and medium term is determined. Main fundamental factors When using FA directly to open trading positions, the following points will be decisive (in descending order of importance) : Interest rates of central banks (CB). Macroeconomic indicators. Force majeure situations, market rumors, news. Central bank rates According to the theory of macroeconomics, increasing interest rates cause currencies to rise in price, while falling interest rates make them cheaper. However, there are situations in the Forex market in which a decrease in the rate becomes the reason for the strengthening of the currency. Foreign exchange market interventions Currency interventions are an important tool in the analysis. Central Banks resort to such a measure very rarely, but you should not ignore this phenomenon. Macroeconomic indicators For any country without exception, there are data of constant importance: the level of GDP; inflation rate; trade balance. These reports are expected by the market. The approach of their publication dates gives rise to a lot of rumors that fuel the trading frenzy. Such an environment often creates situations in which the release of specific numbers does not cause almost any reaction, since the market has already beaten them in advance. However, as FA practice shows, this happens only when the existing trend is not subject to change. In the case when the published data differ significantly from the forecast, the market response can be very violent. This is especially true of the moment of the general reversal of the current trend. Important macroeconomic indicators In simple words, a macroeconomic indicator is expected news, showing up-to-date data on the main indices of the financial and economic state of the state. The advantage is that each trader can know in advance the moment of release of any data from the economic calendar. These indicators affect the rate in the short term and are suitable for trading on medium and short term timeframes. Types of macroeconomic indicators Trade balance. This indicator reflects the volume of exported goods to imported ones. A positive balance is called when exports are higher than imports. Assumes a strengthening of the exchange rate, due to the fact that rising exports increase the demand for the national currency of the exporting region. Discount rate of the National Bank. On its basis, interest rates on deposits and loans are formed. When the national bank rate rises, the currency strengthens; when it falls, it weakens. Gross domestic product. The volume of GDP is obtained by summing up the entire range of services and goods that were produced in the country per capita. However, an increase in GDP always leads to the strengthening of the national currency against other currencies. Inflation. The growth of this indicator leads to the depreciation of the national currency. Unemployment Rate. As a rule, an increase in the indicator is followed by a decrease in output, an increase in inflation and a negative change in the trade balance. For this reason, the data on unemployment has a strong pressure on currencies, and an increase in the figure causes a depreciation. Macroeconomic indicators One of the most common mistakes in trading is trying to trade on weak news. Therefore, you need to understand which data pertains to you. Macroeconomic indicators One of the most common mistakes in trading is trying to trade on weak news. Therefore, you need to understand which of the data are important. Important market data includes : money supply; balance of payments deficit (Balance of Payment Deficit); trade balance deficit (Balance of Trade Deficit); unemployment rate (Unemployment Rate); a significant fall or rise in the rate of inflation (Rate of Inflation); fluctuations in the volume of GDP; change in key rates; emergencies (natural disasters, unexpected events in politics or Second stage of analysis An assessment of the numbers predicted in the calendar for future data. Analysis of the market reaction to this event. This is done in order to understand the price behavior at the news release. For example, when the exchange rate of a currency dependent on news is growing steadily even before the release of figures and at the same time positive data is predicted, one should not expect sharp fluctuations in the exchange rate at the time of the release of the information. And if the forecast turns out to be wrong, then the market can react with a powerful reversal of the current trend. Decision-making. There are two options for entering a trade. The first is to use the situation to open an order on the current trend before the release of the news with constant trailing stops to protect the position. The second is to wait for the release of the data and make trading decisions according to the situation. Results Fundamental indicators certainly affect the price, but each in its own way. It is worth remembering this and not running to open a position just by seeing some news. Analyze, try to understand the possible reaction of the market to the news. Use all the information, be objective and then you will be better than most. Good luck! Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
Education
by Lingrid
45
ACCELERATION OF A SMALL DEPOSITToday I want to talk about a topic that every novice trader has to face. Most beginner traders save up money to make the first deposit and very often this amount is too small for trading, but the broker gives you the opportunity to trade anyway, why is that? The fact is that the smaller the deposit, the easier it is to lose them, and the broker knows this. Therefore, for calm trading, you need an amount greater than $100 or $500. The optimal amount to start trading is $1000 What is the danger of a small deposit? Beginners can be anyone from a student to a businessman. And very often the initial funds will be small, because the reason people come to the market is to make money! A person invests $10, not because he is greedy, but because there are simply no more free funds. At the same time, the trader is already dreaming of millions, and his head begins to spin from such thoughts. As a result, deals are opened for $1, then for $2, and in the end all the money is lost. The market does not bring quick profits. It is also impossible to deposit the last money or money borrowed. All this will only lead to the drain of the deposit. 1000$? Why $1000 is considered the best start? This question can be answered by the rules of money management. Everyone remembers the rules of risk, let's say you decide not to risk more than 5% on each trade. When trading intraday, the position size is 20-50 pp., that is, when trading micro-lots of 0.01, the risk per trade will be $2-$5. Such a risk is acceptable for a $100 account, since then it will be 5%. When trading on daily timeframes, the average risk is even higher: 50-100 pp. (5-10 pp.). In this case, the account must be at least $200. As you can see, money management clearly indicates the minimum deposit size. This is when trading micro-lots. As a rule, traders use standard lots because they want to make quick money and it is very risky. Therefore, you should not start trading with $10 or $200. It is better to save and collect the required amount, or at least $500, and then it will be easier to trade. But what if you can't wait? How to disperse the deposit? There are a couple of rules: A trader must have a working trading strategy that has proven itself well on a demo account and on a real account; Comply with risk management rules; Provide a deposit amount of $200-$400. Subject to these conditions, you can “softly” disperse the deposit. Overclocking With a quick acceleration of the deposit, the risks increase, you must understand this. Here are three principles that make it possible: The risk per trade is set higher than in the classic MM, and can reach 10%; If the trade is unprofitable, the risks are not doubled; When the deposit is broken up to the set limit (for example, from $200 to $500), the trader returns to the previous risk of 5% and trades for several months in compliance with Money Management rules. Then you can repeat the "acceleration". pyramiding A popular way to accelerate a deposit is Pyramiding, the meaning of which is to add positions. Here's how it goes: You determine the main trend on the daily timeframe and open a position following the trend. Then wait for another signal indicating the continuation of the trend. If there is a signal, open another position along the trend. The protective stop-loss order of the first order is transferred to the opening level of the second order, that is, to breakeven. The size of the take profit on the second trade should be small, because the trend can change direction at any time. It is important to remember that this strategy only works if there is a trend, so a flat or correction should be avoided. Outcome Trading this way is very risky. The best way is to raise an amount equal to or greater than $1,000. Then trading will become less dangerous for you, since you can use the standard money management rules. Before dispersing the deposit, you must set yourself a goal, after reaching which, be ready to use the standard risk rules. Big risks are rewarded, but even they need to be taken with intelligence and control. Good luck!
Education
by DeGRAM
3
DROP IN TRADINGHello! Today I want to talk about drawdown in trading. This topic is very important because it is directly related to the possible loss of all capital. What is a drawdown? When trading, you can make profits as well as take losses. When you lose too much and the account decreases significantly, this is called a drawdown. Losses in trading are normal and should not be feared. But you should not lose too much, a minus of 15-20% is considered a moderate minus value, and these losses must be controlled. Drawdown (DrawDown, DD, drawdown) in the foreign exchange market is a temporary decrease in funds in the trading account as a result of opening a losing trade. In simple words, a drawdown is a trader's floating or real loss. Drawdown types In the Forex currency market, it is customary to classify the following types of drawdown: The current drawdown is a temporary drawdown associated with an open position, which is now in the red. The size of the initial deposit does not change until the position is closed. As a result, the position itself can be closed even in a plus, but if the position goes into a minus, you should think about the rules of money-management. Because a position not closed in time may end up with a margin call. A fixed drawdown is a position closed with a loss. This type of drawdown negatively affects the size of the deposit, reducing it. If money management is not used correctly, such transactions can significantly reduce your deposit, which is not recommended. Maximum drawdown - the maximum value of deposit losses for the entire trading period. It is calculated each time from the previous maximum deposit amount, and the largest value is selected. For example, there were three big minuses on the account: $300 with a $1000 deposit, $450 with a $2000 deposit and $200 with a $2500 deposit. The maximum drawdown here will be $450. Relative drawdown - the maximum decrease in the account relative to the initial deposit, expressed as a percentage. It is often used when analyzing a trading strategy in order to understand after what losses a trader should think about changing the strategy. For example, if the relative drawdown is 20%, then with an initial deposit of $1000, the speculator will understand that it is necessary to close deals and modify tactics when the current drawdown reaches $200. The absolute drawdown shows how much the balance has decreased relative to the initial value. These data are similar to the relative drawdown, but are expressed in the deposit currency. Why analyze losses? Each trader should know how much he is ready to lose and at what value he needs to change the strategy and start trading a little differently. The percentage of allowed drawdown is different for each trader, conservative traders try to minimize the maximum drawdown, more aggressive traders take risks much more often and in large volumes. Large companies keep the maximum loss in the region of 15-20%. Optimal drawdown size The optimal drawdown size varies depending on many factors: the type of strategy, the amount of the deposit, the psychology of the trader, the timeframe, and so on. Drawdown can be divided into three types: A drawdown of 15-20% is working and quite normal. It can be restored, and it does not make strong adjustments to the trading strategy. A drawdown of 21-35% is a dangerous level of losses that will require a reduction in the volume of the trade and recovery can be difficult. Closer to the 30% mark, it is important to think about modifying the trading strategy and review it for errors in the risk management system. A drawdown of 36-55% is an actual harbinger of a loss of a deposit. It is better to close orders and think about what led to such a drawdown, which was not closed forcibly earlier. Drawdown reduction Setting a stop loss - and its size should not exceed 5% of the total amount on the trader's account. Optimal leverage - the use of a large amount of leverage can lead not only to drawdowns, but also to draining the trader's deposit to almost zero. Refraining from trading in an unstable market - very often a trader, observing even the first two conditions, still manages to lose almost half of his own funds during one session. Therefore, if you have made several unsuccessful transactions in a row, then it is better to give up trading for today and do something else. Correct assessment of probable profit - one should not be greedy when placing a take profit, its size should always correspond to the market dynamics. conclusions Every trader who wants to consistently earn money in the market must understand how much he is ready to lose, while the trader must do everything not to lose all his capital. You can lose 15% per month and it will not be scary for a trader who follows a trading strategy, money management and monitor losses. As a result, such a trader can return the lost next month. But those who do not follow these rules, do not think about a drawdown, do not know how much they are ready to lose and how much they cannot lose, as a result, everyone loses. Losses are inevitable, but don't let the market take everything. Good luck! Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
Education
by Lingrid
10
TRADING MYTHSHello traders! There is a lot of information about trading on the Internet and it is sometimes difficult to understand what is true and what is fiction. Today we will try to sort out the most popular myths and understand what is really true and what is not. Work without rest You have to work hard, but don't overdo it. If you watch charts 24/7 or study hundreds of systems, you will simply go crazy. There will be a mess in your head, and most importantly, you will be tired. Improve your skills and discipline, keep a trading journal and analyze trades, and don't forget to rest. It's a matter of discipline Discipline is a very important skill for a trader. Through discipline, you can control your emotions and follow the rules. But do not think that one discipline is enough to be a profitable trader. If you are losing money over and over again, it may be because of your trading strategy. Analyze your trading and find your style. Point of entry The entry point is very important when making a new trade. The better the entry point, the less the price will go against you if you have analyzed everything correctly. However, there are other factors that play an important role in trading: position size, stop loss, trade management, etc. The entry point is just a part of the whole work. Did you know that even with random entry points, you can still be profitable if you think about stop losses, position size, and trade management? Profitability Trading is not a one day job. And do not expect that you will take a huge profit in an hour. The main task is to be profitable at a distance. Don't run for quick profits. Remember that the more positions you open, the more likely you are to lose. Engage in consistent profits that are different for different trading styles. For scalpers, consistent returns mean making a profit every quarter. For traders who trade daily charts, consistent returns will mean making a year's worth of profits. Determine the value of constant return for yourself and follow the plan. Trading is a risk Every day carries a variety of risks. You run the risk of being hit by a car or having an accident. But after a few driving lessons, the risk of getting into an accident decreases. It's the same with trading. Over time, you will become more experienced and will become better versed in trading, thereby reducing the risks. Everything in life comes with some risk, and your job is to keep all possible risks to a minimum. Leverage There are a lot of advertisements on the Internet for brokers who offer crazy leverage. Brokers say that you can make 100% profit from one position, but they don't say that you can lose everything. Leverage in inexperienced hands will result in the loss of the entire account. Always remember that leverage is a double-edged sword. It can increase both your gains and your losses. Grail Everyone wants to find it! But he is not. The Grail does not exist, and professional traders do not have any secret. To be profitable you must have experience, knowledge and discipline. This is what distinguishes professionals from beginners. You can make $100,000 out of $1000 You often see ads that say you can make $100,000 out of $1,000. It is unlikely that there will be at least one newcomer who is able to do this. Seeing such an advertisement, beginners think that it is possible to do it in one transaction. In trading, you need to have a lot of money to earn a lot. If you have a small initial capital, then you will not be able to earn a million dollars in the short term. In the early stages, think about how not to lose capital, and only when you learn this, you will understand how to make a profit consistently. Where will the market go? In the beginning, every trader wants to know exactly where the price will go. Essentially, it means knowing the future, which is impossible. No need to try to predict the future, in trading you will earn thanks to probabilities. You should study this topic and understand that you don't have to be right on every trade. You can be wrong more than half the time in determining future price action and still be profitable. It is enough not to lose more than you earn. Cut your losses and let your profits run. Conclusion The world is full of trading myths. There are gigabytes of information around and it is very difficult to understand what is true and what is fiction, what is really useful and what is not. Study the market, but don't believe everything you read. Listen to the best, but don't forget to think with your own head .
Education
by DeGRAM
4