GBP-USD Massive Swing Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the
Pair made a massive
Bullish breakout of the
Key horizontal level
Of 1.3444 and went
Further up which reinforces
Our bullish bias and after
A potential pullback we
Will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Next week
Buy!
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Forex-trading
GBPAUD: Important Breakout 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD broke and closed above a significant falling trend line on a daily.
The next strong resistance is 2.1 level.
It will most likely be the next goal for the buyers.
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Market target 1. Support Area Assumption
Disruption: The highlighted support area is relatively narrow and based on a few candles. On a 1-hour chart, this might not provide a strong enough foundation for a meaningful bounce. The price has tested this level multiple times, suggesting weakening support rather than strength.
2. Target Projection
Disruption: The target area is drawn without showing how it was calculated—no Fibonacci level, previous resistance, or volume zone is referenced. Without clear technical justification, the target level appears speculative.
3. Pattern Expectation (Bounce Prediction)
Disruption: The blue arrow suggests a bullish reversal, but volume is declining, and there’s no strong bullish candle yet to confirm the move. In fact, multiple lower highs suggest bearish pressure.
4. Ignoring Bearish Continuation
Disruption: The red arrow suggesting a drop isn't emphasized as strongly as the bullish path. However, repeated testing of the support with no significant bounce increases the risk of a breakdown. Also, if macroeconomic conditions or broader crypto sentiment is bearish, this chart setup could break down easily.
5. Lack of Context
Disruption: The chart analysis is isolated to a short timeframe (1 hour). Without higher timeframe confluence (e.g., 4H, Daily), any short-term pattern can easily be a false signal.
NZD_CAD LONG SIGNAL|
✅NZD_CAD is going down to
Retest a horizontal support of 0.8160
Which makes me locally bullish biased
And I think that we will see a rebound
And a move up from the level
So we can go long wit the
TP of 0.8206 and the SL of 0.8152
LONG🚀
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USD_CHF CORRECTION AHEAD|SHORT|
✅USD_CHF is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 0.8328
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 0.8260
SHORT🔥
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Market falls downward
1. Resistance Zone May Be Weak
Observation: A red rectangle marks a resistance area.
Disruption: This "resistance" level is based on a short-term bounce and may not have strong historical confluence. It lacks multiple rejections to establish it as a true resistance zone.
---
2. Overemphasis on Bearish Bias
Observation: Two bearish paths (blue and yellow) dominate the projection, indicating an expected drop.
Disruption: This may be prematurely bearish. There's no confirmation of rejection yet—no strong bearish candlestick pattern (like a shooting star, engulfing, or evening star) is visible in that zone.
---
3. Lack of Bullish Consideration
Observation: A small green arrow is shown but not given much weight.
Disruption: The recent candles show higher lows, indicating potential bullish pressure. If price breaks above the marked zone, it may trigger a short squeeze rally.
---
4. Volume Misalignment
Observation: Volume spikes during the bounce, especially on the green candles.
Disruption: Rising volume on a recovery typically supports continuation upward. This analysis ignores the bullish volume context and instead forecasts reversal.
---
5. No Higher Timeframe Confluence
Observation: 1-hour chart used in isolation.
Disruption: A strong bearish or bullish direction on the 4H or Daily chart would validate or invalidate this local setup. Without it, the trade thesis lacks broader context.
Artavion Analysts Forecast Bitcoin to Reach $100,000 by End of MThe analytical company Artavion has released an updated forecast for the price of Bitcoin (BTC) by the end of May 2025. According to the experts, amid sustained institutional demand and limited supply following the recent halving, the price of the leading cryptocurrency could reach $100,000 in the coming days.
Key Growth Drivers
Analysts highlight several factors contributing to Bitcoin's price growth:
📈 Institutional Demand: Ongoing accumulation by investment funds and banks through spot ETFs approved in the U.S. and Asia.
⛏ Reduced Supply: The April halving has decreased miner rewards, limiting daily BTC issuance.
🇺🇸 Fed Policy Easing: Expectations of interest rate cuts are increasing demand for alternative assets, including crypto.
💼 Market Confidence: Growth in long-term holders and increasing BTC withdrawals from exchanges indicate a “HODLing” trend among investors.
Company Comment
"We are witnessing stable accumulation and a capital shift into digital assets. If markets avoid major shocks, Bitcoin has every chance to consolidate above $95,000 and briefly test the psychological barrier of $100,000," said Alexey Gurov, senior strategist at Artavion.
Potential Risks
Despite the optimistic outlook, analysts point out several risks that could impact the forecast:
📉 Unexpected macroeconomic data (e.g., rising inflation, stronger U.S. dollar);
⚠️ Regulatory actions from the SEC or other global bodies;
🌍 Escalation of geopolitical tensions, which could trigger risk-off sentiment.
Conclusion
Considering the current market environment and macroeconomic expectations, Artavion maintains a positive short-term outlook for Bitcoin through the end of May, while cautioning investors to remain aware of the sector’s inherent volatility and risk.
XAUUAD UPDATE 22-05-2025The chart you provided is a technical analysis for Gold (CFDs on Gold - US$/OZ) on a 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of what it shows:
1. Price Action:
The current price is around $3,331.56.
The price has recently entered a resistance zone (highlighted in yellow-red near the top).
2. Resistance Zones:
Upper resistance: Around $3,389 (top yellow box).
Immediate resistance: Around $3,330–$3,340 (where price is currently reacting).
3. Support Zone:
Lower support: Around $3,142–$3,160 (bottom yellow box).
4. Bearish Outlook (as indicated by the blue arrow):
The chart suggests a potential rejection from the current resistance zone.
A projected drop toward the lower support area is illustrated.
There’s a red-shaded box likely representing a stop-loss zone, implying a short trade setup with entry near the current level.
5. Volume: There’s a moderate rise in volume recently, which could support the momentum shift.
Conclusion: The chart analysis suggests a short setup expecting gold to fall from the current resistance zone to the support zone around $3,140, assuming price fails to break above resistance.
Would you like a technical analysis or trading plan based on this idea?
USD-CHF Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Of 0.8213 and we are already
Seeing a local rebound so
We are locally bullish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
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EUR-USD Potential Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 1.1300 which is confirmed
So now the price is consolidating
Above the new support
And after a potential retest
Of the support level we are
Likely to see a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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AUD_NZD WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅AUD_NZD made a bearish
Breakout then a retest of the
New resistance around 1.0867
From where we are already
Seeing a powerful pullback
So we are locally bearish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further move down
SHORT🔥
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CAD-JPY Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-JPY made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Of 103,431 and we are
Already seeing a bullish
Rebound so we will be
Expecting a further
Local bullish rebound
Buy!
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Market next move
Bearish Disruption to GBP/USD Analysis:
1. Support Weakness:
The price action within the red box shows multiple bearish candles, suggesting the zone is under pressure.
A break and close below this box could invalidate the bullish thesis.
2. Exhaustion Signals:
After a sharp rally, the market often consolidates or corrects. The current stall near 1.3400–1.3420 could indicate buying exhaustion.
The latest candle shows a strong bearish push into the support, hinting at potential for deeper decline.
3. Decreasing Volume:
Recent green candles had falling volume, which shows lack of conviction by buyers.
Meanwhile, red (bearish) candles show rising volume, signaling increased selling pressure.
4. Failed Breakout Setup:
If this bounce fails and price closes below 1.3380, this will form a false breakout or bull trap, triggering stop hunts and aggressive shorting.
5. Macroeconomic Headwinds:
GBP is sensitive to UK data and BoE policy. Any hawkish Fed or weak UK numbers may lead to a USD rebound, pushing GBP/USD lower.
USD/JPY Dips FurtherUSD/JPY Dips Further
USD/JPY declined below 144.50 and is currently consolidating losses.
Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today
- USD/JPY is trading in a bearish zone below the 146.10 and 144.90 levels.
- There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 144.25 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a steady decline from well above the 146.00 zone. The US Dollar gained bearish momentum below the 145.00 support against the Japanese Yen.
The pair even settled below the 144.50 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a spike below 144.00 and the pair traded as low as 143.72. It is now consolidating losses with a bearish angle. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 146.10 swing high to the 143.42 low at 144.25.
There is also a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 144.25. The first major resistance is near the 144.90 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 146.10 swing high to the 143.42 low.
If there is a close above the 144.90 level and the hourly RSI moves above 50, the pair could rise toward 145.50. The next major resistance is near 146.10, above which the pair could test 147.50 in the coming days.
On the downside, the first major support is near 143.70. The next major support is near the 143.20 level. If there is a close below 143.20, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 142.00 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EUR_USD BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅EUR_USD made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 1.1287 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
After a potential local
Retest of the new support
LONG🚀
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AUD-CAD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CAD will soon hit
A horizontal support level
Of 0.8888 after a sharp
Fall down but its a strong
Support so we will be
Expecting a rebound and
A local move up
Buy!
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GBP-CAD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CAD is trading in a local
Uptrend and the pair made a
Breakout and a retest of the
Key horizontal level of 1.8600
Which is now a support and
We are seeing a bullish rebound
From the new support already
So we are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a further
Bullish continuation
Buy!
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GBP_NZD WILL GROW|LONG|
✅GBP_NZD has retested a key support level of 2.2520
And as the pair is already making a bullish rebound
A move up to retest the supply level above at 2.2600 is likely
LONG🚀
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Market next move 1. Over-Reliance on Support Zone
The analysis heavily leans on the assumption that the support zone (marked with the purple "Support" label) will hold.
However, this support has already been tested multiple times, which weakens its strength.
A break below this zone could trigger significant stop-loss hunting, leading to a bearish breakdown instead of a bullish reversal.
2. Volume Analysis Suggests Weak Momentum
The recent bounce lacks strong volume. This suggests that buying interest is not convincing at this level.
Without volume confirmation, any bullish move is less likely to sustain.
3. Lower Highs Pattern
Despite small rallies, the chart is forming lower highs, which is typically a bearish signal.
This hints at seller dominance, and the yellow bullish projection might be overly optimistic.
4. Resistance Overhead
The price is approaching a short-term resistance zone (red box), which has rejected the price previously.
Without a clear breakout above that, the bullish case is speculative.
5. Fundamental Factors Unaccounted
The chart doesn’t account for macro factors like U.S. dollar strength, interest rates, or geopolitical influences that often affect gold.
If the dollar strengthens, gold may drop, breaking the support.
Market next move Bearish Disruption Analysis:
1. Range Weakness and Exhaustion Risk:
The price has been ranging within a tight zone, and repeated tests of the support line near 3,215–3,218 show weakening buyer pressure.
If bulls were strong, we might have already seen a breakout with momentum. Instead, there's sideways choppiness, suggesting indecision or exhaustion.
2. Lower Highs Forming:
Despite a flat support zone, price is forming lower highs, a bearish signal. Sellers are stepping in earlier on each bounce, tightening the range from the top.
3. Volume Depletion:
Volume is gradually dropping during this consolidation. If a breakout happens without a volume surge, it risks becoming a false breakout.
4. Liquidity Sweep Possibility:
Market makers might push price below the support zone (~3,215) to trigger stop-losses and accumulate orders before a potential real breakout. This would trap late buyers who enter early.
5. Bearish Scenario Path:
If price breaks below 3,215 and closes under that on decent volume, expect a move to the next demand zone near 3,200 or lower.
Downside target could be around 3,180–3,190, where the previous demand base formed on May 15.
GBP-AUD Double Top Pattern! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Level of 2.0820, then
Established a double-top
Pattern and is now going
Down so we are locally
Bearish biased which
Means that we will be
Expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
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USD-CHF Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF made a retest of
The horizontal support level
Of 0.8318 from where we
Are already seeing a bullish
Rebound so we are locally
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.