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NZD Approaches Key Supply Zone: A Potential Short OpportunityThe New Zealand dollar is approaching a critical supply area that has captured our attention, signaling a potential opportunity to set up a short position. This zone is key, and we are closely monitoring for a possible test of this area to confirm our bearish setup. However, it's important to note that the price may reverse before reaching this point of interest, as other correlated currencies against the U.S. Dollar (DXY) have already begun to show signs of reversal. This correlation between the New Zealand dollar and other currencies in relation to the U.S. Dollar strengthens the likelihood of a potential downturn before our targeted area is tested. As the DXY starts to gain momentum, the pressure on the New Zealand dollar could increase, leading to an earlier-than-expected reversal. Given these market dynamics, we are prepared to act quickly should the price show signs of turning before reaching our anticipated level. This situation highlights the importance of flexibility and vigilance in our trading strategy, as the interplay between correlated currencies can often signal shifts in market direction. ✅ Please share your thoughts about NZD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
CME:6N1!Short
by FOREXN1
1
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, EURJPY, GBPCAD, GBPNZD Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list. 1️⃣ EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸 EURUSD looks heavily overbought after a recent strong bullish rally. The price started a correctional movement and broke a solid rising trend line. I think that the pair will continue the correction to lower levels. 2️⃣ EURJPY daily time frame 🇪🇺🇯🇵 I see a classic bearish accumulation pattern - a descending triangle formation. Bearish breakout of the neckline of the pattern and a daily candle close below that will be an important event that will most likely trigger a strong bearish reaction. Alternatively, a bullish breakout of a trend line can be a strong bullish signal 3️⃣GBPCAD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇨🇦 The price formed an inverted cup & handle pattern after a test of a key daily horizontal resistance. A breakout of the neckline of the pattern signifies a highly probable continuation of a retracement from the underlined read area. 4️⃣ GBPNZD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇳🇿 I see a confirmed breakout of a neckline of a huge descending triangle formation. The broken structure and a falling trend line compose a contracting supply zone now. I will expect a bearish movement from that to lower structure levels. Do you agree with my market breakdown? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Short
by VasilyTrader
4
Can Gold’s Uptrend Survive Friday’s PCE Data? Can Gold’s Uptrend Survive Friday’s PCE Data? Gold prices slipped over 0.7% on Wednesday as the U.S. dollar rebounded, setting the stage for a pivotal close to the month with key inflation data on the horizon. Markets are bracing for the upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation. The PCE data, due on Friday, is expected to show a slight uptick, according to consensus estimates. If the U.S. economic data continues to show signs of weakness, it could bolster gold’s recent uptrend, fueling speculation that the Fed might consider a larger rate cut in September. Despite Wednesday's dip, gold's upward trajectory possibly remains largely intact. The metal briefly dipped below $2,500 but quickly rebounded. If prices remain above this level, the next significant resistance lies at the all-time high of $2,531.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
Why the EUR/USD Could be Overextended? The euro surged to its highest level in a year yesterday, marking a fourth consecutive day of gains, before turning red. This rally suggests growing market confidence that the eurozone may avoid a hard landing. Recent data supports this sentiment: final inflation figures for July show core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, holding steady at 2.9%—unchanged from May and June. But the U.S. dollar is also weakening amid expectations that the Federal Reserve will initiate a series of interest rate cuts, potentially beginning in September. However, it's not just the Fed eyeing September rate cuts and this might mean that the EURUSD is a little overextended. Eurozone policymakers have downplayed concerns over persistently high inflation, with minutes from the July meeting revealing an "open mind" towards rate cuts at the September meeting. Markets now anticipate a roughly 90% chance of a 25-basis-point cut next month, with the possibility of another cut by December.
by BlackBull_Markets
The Dark Side of Prop Trading: Factors Leading to Financial LossA few years ago, few people were familiar with prop trading, but it has gained popularity in recent years as an alternative to traditional PAMM accounts. With PAMM accounts, traders manage investors' funds but must first attract and convince these investors. In contrast, prop trading offers a more straightforward approach to fund management that initially appears more convenient. A trader pays a fee (up to $1,000) to enter a challenge, and if successful, can be granted up to $1 million in management funds. However, the reality is more complex. A study conducted in the United States revealed that many prop traders are dissatisfied with their experiences working with prop trading firms. 📍 The Performance Of Prop Traders: Results Of A 2023 Study A study conducted in 2023 examined the performance of prop traders by surveying 10 randomly selected prop trading firms in the United States. Additionally, the study included responses from 3,000 traders who had experienced varying degrees of success in their trading endeavors. The data was sourced from the website of the CFTC regulator, statistics from an investigation into a complaint against the prop firm MyForexFunds, and publicly available information about another prop firm FTMO. 📍 General Analysis Results The study revealed some striking insights regarding the performance of prop traders: ◾ Approximately 94% of traders fail to complete the challenges during the first or second phase, with only 6% successfully meeting the profitability and drawdown requirements. ◾ A significant 73% of traders who fail believe their outcomes are unjust, attributing their failures primarily to the prop firms rather than their own mistakes. Many contend that the firms manipulate results, undermining their chances of success. ◾ Of the small percentage 6% who do succeed in completing the challenge, an overwhelming 98% choose to sever their ties with the prop firms within the following six months. The failure rates at both the first and second phases of the challenges are approximately equal. This suggests that the stricter conditions imposed during the second phase do not significantly influence the overall outcome. Instead, it indicates that the mistakes and challenges encountered are consistent across both phases. Importantly, the survey revealed that inexperience is not a primary factor in the failure of the challenges. Over 80% of traders reported having prior trading experience, with many having actively traded on demo accounts for several months. These traders stated they understood the risks involved, were aware of their trading strategies, and had previously achieved positive results during their demo trading sessions. 📍 1. Reasons Cited By Prop Traders For Failing The Challenges ◾ Lack of Time (79%). Many traders feel pressured by high revenue targets set by prop firms, which often need to be achieved within a limited time period of just 1-2 months. Although, since 2023, almost all prop firms do not set such strict time limits. ◾ Technical Problems (61%). A significant number of traders reported encountering technical issues during the challenge process. Problems such as unreliable quotes, slow platform performance, and unexpected widening of spreads were commonly mentioned as major obstacles to their success. ◾ Violation of Risk Management (27%). A smaller but still notable proportion of traders admitted to breaching risk management rules. Common mistakes included engaging in high-risk gambling behavior, mismanaging leverage, and neglecting to set stop-loss orders. Some traders reported that their lack of understanding of the prop company's terms and conditions led to unintentional rule violations. Specifically, many were unclear about the guidelines surrounding practices such as copying trades, trading during news releases, and the use of trading advisors. This confusion contributed to their unsuccessful attempts in the challenges, emphasizing the importance of clear communication and thorough understanding of the rules set by the prop firms. 📍 2. Most Frequent Complaints From Traders About Prop Firms ◾ Non-Market Prices (92%). A staggering majority of traders reported issues with prices that do not reflect real market conditions. ◾ Order Execution Failures and Canceled Profitable Orders (73%). Many traders experienced problems with their orders not being executed as expected, particularly when they were set to generate profits. ◾ Slippage (67%). A significant number of traders reported encountering slippage, where their orders were filled at prices different from those expected. ◾ Technical Problems with the Trading Platform (52%). Technical glitches and issues with the trading platform were cited as major frustrations by more than half of the traders surveyed. ◾ Ambiguous Contract Conditions (45%). Many traders found the terms outlined in their contracts to be unclear, leading to confusion and misunderstandings. ◾ Insufficient Support Service (19%). A smaller proportion of traders expressed dissatisfaction with the lack of adequate assistance from customer support. ◾ Kicking Out from the Market Due to Non-Market Gaps (11%). Some traders noted instances where they felt they were unfairly removed from trading positions due to non-market gaps. ◾ Other Complaints (7%). A few traders reported additional issues not covered by the aforementioned categories. Traders often encounter hidden rules when working with prop firms, such as minimum holding periods for positions, strict limitations on the minimum length of stop-loss orders, and restrictions on the use of certain trading strategies. Additionally, many traders express concerns about the lack of transparency in the operations of prop firms. On average, over 50,000 traders attempt to pass these firms' challenges each year, but only about 6%, or around 3,000 traders, succeed. Once qualified, these traders are offered between $100,000 and $1 million of the firm's capital, which is sometimes claimed to be sourced from investors. However, there is little clarity regarding how these prop firms can amass such significant investor capital to support 3,000 traders annually. 📍 3. Main Difficulties Encountered By Prop Traders During The Challenge Phases ◾ Sharp Spread Widening and Violation of Maximum/Daily Drawdown Level Requirements (44%) ◾ Automatic Position Closures and Stopping of Challenges by the Company Due to Drawdown Violations (34%) ◾ Other Reasons (51%) It's important to note that traders could cite multiple reasons for their difficulties. The survey results indicate that many successful traders perceive prop firms as having a vested interest in creating obstacles to intentionally disadvantage traders. ◾ Difficulty of Challenge Conditions. 89% of traders described the challenge conditions as difficult, stating they were able to pass only due to their prior experience. ◾ Funding Amounts. 96% reported receiving an amount equivalent to their initial challenge deposit, typically ranging from $20,000 to $200,000. The anticipated funding of $1 to $2 million, as promised by the prop firm, is not accessible until at least one year of successful trading. ◾ Retention Rate. 98% of traders exited the program within six months. In theory, prop firms claim to offer the same trading conditions on a live account as they do during the challenge phases. Additionally, these firms are transparent about their model; traders often operate on demo accounts, while analysts copy their trades. A significant number of traders cited emotional burnout as a primary reason for leaving the prop firms. The tough conditions, restrictions on instrument use, and the risk of having their agreements terminated due to breaches create considerable emotional pressure. Once traders recover the costs associated with the challenge fees and their time, many choose to transition to independent trading, where they can set their own restrictions. 📍 CONCLUSION Prop trading presents several problems that diminish its appeal for novice traders. Many beginners struggle to pass the challenges, while seasoned professionals prefer the freedom of individual trading, free from the constraints typically found in prop trading. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
9