GBP/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the GBP/USD with the target of 1.344 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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Forex
AUD/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.636 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BITCOIN BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 105,952.89
Target Level: 102,605.64
Stop Loss: 108,184.39
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
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EUR/CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the EUR/CHF with the target of 0.938 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GBP/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/CHF pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 3H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.094 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Mechanical rangesMany traders will talk about things like "Smart Money Concepts" (SMC) and think they have found something new.
The truth is, everything in trading stems back to Liquidity.
There is no "Algo" nobody is out to get you specifically. The market is always right, where you position yourself is your own choice.
I have written several posts on mechanical trading, recorded a number of streams. The more mechanical you can make the process, the less the emotions have a chance to kick your ass.
Let me give you a very simple method of being able to identify the ranges. Ignore the timeframes as this will work on any of them, on most instruments. (I say most, as some behave differently due to how it attracts liquidity). Lets assume high end crypto such as Bitcoin (BTC) and of course Forex in the general sense, stocks, commodities etc.
This is simple - only 2 rules.
You start by zooming out and giving yourself a general feel for the trend.
Let's say this looks to be an uptrend - we now need to understand the rules.
An opposing candle can simply be defined by a different colour. If the trend is up (Green) and we see a red candle - then it's an opposing candle.
The inverse is true, if we are down and the trend is Red. Then a Green candle would be opposing.
This is only half of the story. The second rule is a pullback candle or even a sequence of candles. This simply means either the very same opposing candle that doesn't make a new high or low (depending on the trend up not making fresh highs or down not taking new lows).
In this image, you can see we have in one candle both an opposing and pullback in one candle. This means we can now mark the high of the range. Working backwards to identify the swing range low.
This easy method means I can draw a range exactly the same and mechanically every single time.
Giving me a mechanical range.
We could then get a lot more technical by looking for liquidity, 50% of the range or places such as supply or demand areas.
But these are all for other posts.
For now, getting a range on the higher timeframes means you can work down and down into a timeframe you are likely to want to trade on.
These ranges will give clues to draws and runs of liquidity.
This will also help identify changes in the character and fresh breaks of structure.
Here's another post I posted on the mechanical structures and techniques.
More in the next post.
Have a great week!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Bearish momentum to meet support on USDCAD: Looking for a bounceEvening, just wanted to share what I’m seeing on the USDCAD chart
Price on USDCAD has been in clear bearish momentum, but we’re now approaching a strong support zone, that’s held firm multiple times before, as I marked it on my chart. Price is approaching the zone again and I am taking it into account for a potential bounce.
I’ll be watching for bullish confirmation as usual requirement before entering. If that support holds, I’m targeting 1.38400 , totally achievable if momentum shifts.
BUT, if this zone breaks with momentum, I’ll reassess it and stay flexible.
💡 Reminder: Patience is power, no entry until price shows me something worth reacting to. This is not financial advice.
Gold Pullback After Rally – Key Risk Zone at 3,340 in FocusHello dear traders, this is Lucas speaking!
After a prolonged period of accumulation, gold broke out and approached the key area around 3,400. However, the price quickly reversed as liquidity failed to follow through. The rally was sharply sold off, partly due to investor uncertainty amid a cloudy global economic outlook.
From my perspective, the market is reacting with surprising caution to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Although reports have emerged about U.S. airstrikes targeting Iran’s nuclear facilities, gold has failed to respond strongly—suggesting that investors are awaiting clearer economic signals such as PMI data from the U.S. and Eurozone, GDP figures, and the upcoming Fed statement.
This "half-hearted" environment has somewhat weakened gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset, especially as Iran has yet to retaliate in any decisive way. As such, the market’s current focus remains a delicate balance between geopolitics and macroeconomic data.
From a technical standpoint, gold is currently trading above the 3,340–3,350 zone, which is considered a key buy area. A retest of liquidity may be underway, and if buyers can defend this zone, a move back toward 3,400 is very much on the table. On the flip side, if the reaction around 3,340 is weak and support breaks down further, a decline toward 3,300 could become likely. However, if we see a false break followed by a strong rebound and breakout of the bullish structure, that would serve as an early signal for another upward leg.
Warm regards,
Lucas_Reid
ETH BUY BIASEthereum (ETH/USD) – Weekly Chart Summary
• Current Price: ~$2,250
• Trend: Bearish structure with lower highs and lower lows
• Key Zones:
• Support (Demand): $1,800–$2,000 and $1,400–$1,700
• Resistance: $2,800–$3,600 (liquidity zone)
• 200-Week MA: Acting as dynamic support near current levels
• Outlook: Potential drop into demand zones, followed by a strong bullish reversal targeting the $3,200–$3,600 region
• Risk: Failure to hold $1,800 could trigger deeper losses
📈 Bias: Wait for price to reach key demand zones before entering long positions.
SDJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISUSDJPY has successfully broken out of the symmetrical triangle structure that has been forming since early April, with today’s daily candle showing strong bullish momentum above the resistance zone around 147.500. The breakout is clean and backed by volume, which suggests that bulls are in full control. Price action is respecting the trendline structure and has now confirmed a fresh higher high, setting the stage for the next bullish leg. My immediate upside target for this move stands at 157.900.
Fundamentally, the divergence between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan continues to widen. The Fed remains hawkish with inflation still sticky in the US and interest rate cuts being pushed further out. In contrast, the Bank of Japan remains ultra-dovish, with no major policy tightening in sight and continued yield curve control. This policy mismatch is keeping the Yen under consistent selling pressure. Additionally, Japan's core inflation slipped again this week, further reducing the probability of any BOJ rate hike this quarter.
The technical breakout aligns perfectly with the macro narrative. A strong bullish candle breaking structure on the daily suggests momentum will likely continue. With no strong resistance until the 157.900 area, this setup offers a high-conviction long opportunity. Traders should watch for minor pullbacks toward 147.000–146.800 as potential re-entry or add-on zones.
With rising US bond yields, weak Japanese fundamentals, and breakout confirmation on the chart, USDJPY is now well-positioned for a continuation rally. This is a trend-following setup with solid fundamentals and momentum confirmation—ideal conditions for a profitable move in the current forex environment.
U
Market Analysis: USD/CAD Breaks HigherMarket Analysis: USD/CAD Breaks Higher
USD/CAD is rising and might aim for more gains above the 1.3765 resistance.
Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today
- USD/CAD is showing positive signs above the 1.3720 support zone.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 1.3740 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/CAD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CAD at FXOpen, the pair formed a strong support base above the 1.3540 level. The US Dollar started a fresh increase above the 1.3600 resistance against the Canadian Dollar.
The bulls pushed the pair above the 1.3640 and 1.3700 levels. The pair cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and climbed above 1.3750. A high was formed at 1.3766 and the pair is now consolidating.
Initial support is near the 1.3740 level. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at 1.3740. The next major support is near the 1.3710 level or the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3539 swing low to the 1.3766 high.
The main support sits near the 1.3650 zone on the USD/CAD chart. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level.
A downside break below the 1.3650 level could push the pair further lower. The next major support is near the 1.3595 support zone, below which the pair might visit 1.3540.
If there is another increase, the pair might face resistance near the 1.3765 level. A clear upside break above 1.3765 could start another steady increase. The next major resistance is the 1.3800 level. A close above the 1.3800 level might send the pair toward the 1.3880 level. Any more gains could open the doors for a test of the 1.4000 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: GBP/USD Dips Below SupportMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Dips Below Support
GBP/USD started a fresh decline below the 1.3620 zone.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound started another decline from the 1.3620 resistance zone.
- There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at 1.3460 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to continue higher above the 1.3620 resistance zone. The British Pound started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.3550 support zone against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis.
The pair even traded below 1.3500 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 1.3380 level. There was a recovery wave above the 1.3450 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3622 swing high to the 1.3382 low.
However, the bears were active near the 1.3500 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level. As a result, there was a fresh bearish reaction below a connecting bullish trend line with support at 1.3460.
Initial support on the GBP/USD chart sits at 1.3380. The next major support is at 1.3350, below which there is a risk of another sharp decline. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward 1.3200.
Immediate resistance on the upside is near 1.3440. The first major resistance is near the 1.3500 zone. The main hurdle sits at 1.3530. A close above the 1.3530 resistance might spark a steady upward move. The next major resistance is near the 1.3565 zone. Any more gains could lead the pair toward the 1.3620 resistance in the near term.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Cup of the Morning for DXYThe TVC:DXY seems to be forming a Cup and Handle Pattern on the 1Hr Chart!
Cup and Handle pattern is considered a strong Reversal Pattern where we should expect Bullishness for the USD.
After the 2nd or Equal High to the 1st was formed, Price made a Retracement to the 38.2% Fibonacci level and found Support to the begin forming the "Handle" or Consolidation Phase of the Pattern.
Price must Break and Close above the "Brim" or Equal Highs of the Cup @ 99.113 to Confirm the pattern!
Once confirmed, we can then look for price on DXY to rise up to the next level of Resistance in the 99.6 area!
EUR/AUD ShortEUR/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- 1H impulse down below area of interest.
- If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
CHFJPYCHFJPY price has a chance to adjust to 180.517-181.169 level. If the price cannot break through 181.169 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Gold in a Tug of War – Consolidation or Comeback?After a quiet trading week, XAUUSD is hovering around 3,368 USD, trapped between hawkish central bank policies and prolonged geopolitical tension in the Middle East.
Despite safe-haven demand sparked by the Israel–Iran conflict, Fed, BOE, and SNB holding interest rates high conti
From a technical perspective, gold is struggling to break through the 3,385 USD confluence resistance zone. A rejection at this level could trigger a short-term pullback toward 3,330 USD or lower.
In my view, this is a healthy consolidation phase—not a reversal. Don’t underestimate the bulls. The long-term uptrenpullbacks may offer strate.
What about you—do you believe gold is gearing up for another rally? Drop your take below.
XAUUSD – Are the Bulls Back? Key Reversal Zone in PlayXAUUSD – Are the Bulls Back? Key Reversal Zone in Play
Gold has been consolidating in a tight range for several sessions, but both macro and technical indicators are pointing to a potential breakout. With volatility expected to rise, traders should keep a close eye on these high-probability zones.
🌍 Macro Overview – Is the Tide Turning for Gold?
📉 The Fed remains hawkish, but market sentiment has shifted, with over 65% probability priced in for a rate cut in September. This adds pressure on the dollar and offers upside potential for gold.
💸 10-year US Treasury yields are stabilizing, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold and reigniting interest from risk-averse investors.
⚠️ Ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East and Eastern Europe continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets.
🏦 Central banks, especially in China and India, are steadily increasing their gold reserves — a bullish long-term signal for the market.
📊 Technical Outlook – Watch the Fair Value Gap (FVG)
The 3325–3327 support zone aligns with an unfilled FVG on H1-H4 charts, providing a key area for bullish momentum to resume.
Sustained price action above this level may open a path toward 3360 and beyond.
Conversely, if price reaches the 3398–3400 resistance area and shows signs of exhaustion, it could trigger a short-term pullback.
✅ Trade Setup
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3327 – 3325
SL: 3320
TP Targets: 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3355 → 3360 →
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3398 – 3400
SL: 3405
TP Targets: 3395 → 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370 → 3360
⚠️ Final Thoughts
The gold market is approaching a decision point... With the PCE and US GDP data due this week, traders should expect a potential volatility spike.
Risk management remains key — wait for confirmation at key levels, stick to your plan, and don’t let emotions override discipline. This week could offer strong directional moves for gold, but only for those prepared.
NZDCAD: Confirmed Bearish Trap?! 🇳🇿🇨🇦
There is a high chance that NZDCAD will bounce
after a false violation of a significant daily support cluster.
A formation of a bullish imbalance candle on an hourly time frame
leaves a strong bullish clue.
Goal - 0.818
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP/NZD: The Great Liquidity Grab? (Long Trade Plan)"🏦💰 GBP/NZD BANK VAULT RAID: Bullish Heist in Progress! (Long Setup) 💰🏦
🚨 Overbought Trap? Or Trend Continuation? Here’s How to Loot Pips Safely! 🚨
🦸♂️ GREETINGS, MARKET MARAUDERS!
To all the Profit Pirates & Risk-Takers! 🌍💸
Using our 🔥Thief Trading Tactics🔥 (a ruthless combo of price action + liquidity grabs + macro triggers), we’re executing a bullish heist on GBP/NZD ("Sterling vs Kiwi")—this is not advice, just a strategic raid blueprint for those who trade like outlaws.
📈 THE HEIST PLAN (LONG ENTRY FOCUS)
🎯 Profit Zone: 2.28700 (or escape earlier if momentum stalls)
💥 High-Stakes Play: Overbought but squeezing higher—trap for bears.
🕵️♂️ Trap Spot: Where sellers get liquidated.
🔑 ENTRY RULES:
"The Vault’s Open!" – Swipe bullish loot on pullbacks (15-30min TF).
Buy Limit Orders near swing lows for better risk/reward.
Aggressive? Enter at market—but tighter stops.
📌 SET ALERTS! Don’t miss the breakout retest.
🛑 STOP LOSS (Escape Route):
Thief SL at recent swing low (2H timeframe).
⚠️ Warning: "Ignore this SL? Enjoy donating to the market."
🎯 TARGETS:
Main Take-Profit: 2.28700 (or trail partials).
Scalpers: Ride long waves only. Trailing SL = VIP exit pass.
📡 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works)
Before raiding, check:
✅ COT Data (Are funds long GBP/short NZD?)
✅ Rate Spreads (GBP vs NZD yield shifts)
✅ Commodity Correlations (Dairy prices? Risk mood?)
✅ Sentiment Extreme (Retail over-shorting?)
🚨 NEWS RISK ALERT
Avoid new trades during RBNZ/BOE speeches (unless you like volatility casinos).
Trailing stops = your bulletproof vest.
💣 BOOST THIS HEIST!
👍 Smash Like to fuel our next raid!
🔁 Share to recruit more trading bandits!
🤑 See you at the target, rebels!
⚖️ DISCLAIMER: Hypothetical scenario. Trade at your own risk.
#Forex #GBPNZD #TradingView #LiquidityGrab #TrendContinuation #ThiefTrading
💬 COMMENT: "Long already—or waiting for a deeper pullback?" 👇🔥
AUDNZD Breakout Retest – Ready for the Next Bullish Leg?
AUDNZD has broken out of a prolonged consolidation box, supported by a demand zone below. Price is currently retesting the breakout level, which often acts as a launchpad for the next move.
🧠 Key Observations:
🔷 Consolidation Breakout – Price cleanly broke above the consolidation range.
🔁 Retest in Progress – A potential bullish retest is unfolding at 1.0800 area.
🟦 Demand Zone below offers strong support around 1.0730–1.0750.
🎯 Target: 1.08750 (pre-identified resistance zone)
----------
📌 Trade Plan:
🎯 Take Profit (TP): 1.0875
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Below 1.0750 demand zone
🧭 Bias: Bullish
📊 Strategy: Breakout–Retest–Rally
GOLD recovers market overview, key outlookOANDA:XAUUSD is under downward pressure, and ended last week's trading session with a decline. With tensions in the Middle East easing slightly and the Federal Reserve giving a hawkish signal, the safe-haven demand in the gold market tends to weaken, and investors' profit-taking intentions increase, these are the main reasons why gold recorded a significant correction this week.
Gold prices fell last week as safe-haven demand weakened as tensions in the Middle East temporarily eased. President Trump said he would decide on military action against Iran in the next two weeks, a concession that helped ease fears of an escalation. Although Iran continued to launch missiles at Israel, the situation has not spread. However, the Middle East conflict remains risky and is unlikely to end completely.
Gold prices are under pressure due to the Fed's hawkish tone. Although the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, Chairman Powell warned of inflation risks, especially from Trump's new tax policies. At the same time, Mr. Chris Waller's statement showed that the possibility of a July interest rate cut also depends on the inflation situation, causing market expectations to decrease and negatively affecting gold - a non-interest-bearing asset.
Central banks and institutions maintain bullish medium- and long-term expectations
Despite short-term pressures, most institutions maintain positive medium-term expectations for gold. Goldman Sachs reiterated its target of $4,000/oz by 2025, while Citigroup believes gold could fall below $3,000/oz by 2026.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has once again bounced from the EMA21 and reached its initial upside target at the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement of $3,371, as noted in previous editions. For now, for gold to qualify for its next upside target at the raw price of $3,400, it needs to sustain price action above the 0.236% Fibonacci level, which means the 0.236% Fibonacci level is also the closest resistance at present.
Once gold breaks above the raw price point of $3,400, it will be in a position to continue its short-term rally with a target of around $3,435, rather than the all-time high of $3,500.
In terms of overall structure, gold still has a bullish outlook with the price channel as the main trend and RSI remaining above 50 and well away from the overbought zone, suggesting that there is still plenty of upside ahead.
In the case of a sell-off, if gold is sold below the EMA21, it could test the $3,320 support in the short term, more so the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level converging with the lower edge of the price channel. Therefore, early long positions may be considered in terms of volume as well as protection of open positions.
Finally, technically, gold is still trending with an overall bullish outlook, with notable positions listed as follows.
Support: $3,350 – $3,320 – $3,300
Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,435 – $3,500
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3406 - 3404⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3410
→Take Profit 1 3398
↨
→Take Profit 2 3392
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3312 - 3314⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3308
→Take Profit 1 3320
↨
→Take Profit 2 3326
Gold Slumps Sharply – Has the Rate-Cut Hope Faded?Gold prices are under intense selling pressure after the Bank of England, the Swiss National Bank, and the Federal Reserve all decided to keep interest rates elevated. This unified stance underscores persistent inflation concerns, driving up the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. As a result, investors rushed to take profits, sending XAUUSD down over 200 pips in just one session.
Adding fuel to the fire, the Fed’s latest monetary policy report to Congress warned that inflation could rise to 3% by year-end, higher than previous projections. Moreover, the Fed trimmed expectations for rate cuts in 2025 and beyond, signaling a longer road to policy easing.
🔎 What does this mean for gold's short-term outlook?
With high rates here to stay and the Fed's cautious stance, gold remains vulnerable to further downside in the near term. However, if upcoming U.S. economic data shows signs of significant weakness, gold may regain favor as a safe-haven asset.
At the time of writing, XAUUSD is trading around $3,347, a critical zone that may determine whether the current drop continues or finds a bottom.
Do you believe this dip will deepen—or is it a golden opportunity to buy the pullback? Share your thoughts below!