Btcusd weekly chart (btcusd)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis
1. Potential Continuation Above Resistance (95,300)
The current analysis assumes rejection at 95,300 and a drop toward 78,118. However, a strong breakout above 95,300 could trigger a rally toward 100,000 or higher.
If Bitcoin consolidates above 95,300, it may act as a new support, rather than a rejection zone.
2. Volume Confirmation on the Breakout
The price surged significantly (+9.09%), suggesting strong bullish momentum.
Instead of expecting an immediate rejection, watch for high volume confirming a potential continuation upward.
3. Higher Low Formation Instead of a Drop
The chart expects a fall back to 78,118, but the price may form a higher low around 85,000 – 88,000 before resuming the uptrend.
A retracement to this range (not all the way down to 78,118) would still be healthy in a bull market.
4. Market Sentiment Shift
The sharp upward movement suggests buying pressure rather than an exhaustion move.
If 95,300 is tested again and breaks, it could lead to a parabolic move instead of a reversal
Forex
USOIL Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 69.92
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 69.38
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
QQQ On The Rise! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
QQQ looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 508.17 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 520.29
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZD/USD Bullish Setup with EMA Cross & Strong SupportNZD/USD Bullish Trade Setup Analysis
Trade Parameters:
Entry: Buy at 0.56000
Stop Loss: 0.55500 (-50 pips)
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 0.56350 (+35 pips)
TP2: 0.56700 (+70 pips)
TP3: 0.57000 (+100 pips)
Technical Analysis:
EMA7 Crossover EMA21 & EMA50:
The short-term EMA (7-period) crossing above the medium-term EMA (21-period) and long-term EMA (50-period) signals a potential bullish trend formation.
EMA21 Approaching EMA50:
This suggests that the momentum is shifting towards an extended uptrend.
Support Level at 0.55850:
This key level serves as a safety net, meaning if price respects this support, the uptrend remains valid.
Risk Management & Considerations:
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
TP1: 0.7:1 (risking 50 pips to gain 35 pips – not ideal for RRR but useful for partial profit-taking).
TP2: 1.4:1 (better RRR, a reasonable target).
TP3: 2:1 (strong RRR, allowing for a more profitable trade).
Trade Management :
If the price reaches TP1 (0.56350), consider moving the SL to breakeven to protect your capital.
Be cautious of economic news that could impact NZD/USD (like RBNZ statements, U.S. inflation data, or employment reports).
Conclusion:
This trade is based on a developing bullish trend, confirmed by EMA crossovers and a strong support zone at 0.55700. Proper risk management is essential to protect capital, and adjusting the stop loss as price moves in favor can maximize gains. 🚀
EUR/USD: Bulls Are Fading – Will the Bears Take Over?As the new trading session begins, EUR/USD continues to follow its previous trend. The pair is moving exactly as anticipated, currently testing the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels.
The previous bullish channel has been broken, signaling a potential shift in momentum. Selling pressure remains strong, fueled by the weaker ISM Manufacturing PMI, which has increased USD volatility but hasn’t been enough to change overall market sentiment.
From my perspective, the bears are still in control, and I’m betting on their dominance to persist. What about you? Do you agree with my outlook?
Gold price analysis March 3💥Fundamental Analysis
European leaders are drafting a peace plan to present to Washington, raising hopes for a resolution to the conflict.
This optimism has pushed the Euro (EUR) to rise sharply, putting pressure on the US Dollar (USD) and pulling gold prices back up. In addition, the USD continued to weaken as China's manufacturing PMI data beat expectations, indicating an improvement in the global economy.
The cryptocurrency market also recorded a strong recovery after former President Donald Trump directed the establishment of a Strategic Reserve of cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana and Cardano. This further increased pressure on the USD, helping gold regain momentum after two days of downward correction last week.
💥Technical Analysis
Gold prices are recovering towards resistance at 2890. Last week's old bottom support at 2836 is also important at the moment. These two zones are considered as two notable price zones, closing above these two zones is confirmation of strong trend continuation. 2782 is considered as Gold's weekly support zone. 2916 acts as the only barrier before Gold moves to the next ATH.
Note the important price zones for BUY and SELL signals
Could the price drop from here?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 151.18
1st Support: 147.17
1st Resistance: 154.79
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support.
Pivot: 0.9043
1st Support: 0.8906
1st Resistance: 0.9171
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.2501
1st Support: 1.2328
1st Resistance: 1.2858
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold prices are said to be negative in the short termWorld gold prices recovered slightly amid a decline in the US dollar. At 9:45 a.m. on March 3, the US Dollar Index, which measures the greenback's fluctuations against six major currencies, stood at 107.130 points (down 0.4%).
Gold prices will continue to decrease. “There is no reason to think that this profit-taking correction will not last for a while longer. But we need to remember that so far gold has only fallen less than 4% from its peak, after rising 12% this year.”
The fundamentals that drove gold demand over the past two years remain intact, so any possible decline to as low as $2,600 an ounce would be short-lived.”
In addition to strong demand from central banks, I also expect capital flows into gold ETFs to increase as interest rates fall, making gold more attractive to investors.
“However, this factor may be somewhat affected by speculators reducing their net buying positions in the gold futures market. Currently, the net buying position remains very high as concerns about lingering tariffs from the administration of US President Donald Trump cause investors to seek safe haven assets such as gold."
EURUSD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0373
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.0429
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Is the ZIP DIP OVER? Is it a suitable time to Buy?Is the Base solid enough to drive the price to 3 OR will it require a manipulation below the base to test key support "2"?
THIS IS ONLY AN IDEA AND COULD BE RIGHT...
For the Fundamental lovers:
Also keep in mind:
Dow Jones Newswires:
"Zip Price Target Raised 5.9% to A$3.60/Share by Ord Minnett"
Gold price today: The decline continues!Dear traders! What do you think about OANDA:XAUUSD – Buy or Sell?
Yesterday, gold continued its downward trend, dropping $27 from its highest point in the previous session at $2,885 per ounce. On March 1, gold closed the week negatively at $2,858 per ounce.
The main reason for this sharp decline in gold prices was the strengthening US dollar. The USD Index surged to 107.66, its highest level in the past 10 days, as financial markets grew concerned over the US administration's aggressive trade policies.
Specifically, former President Donald Trump confirmed a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, effective March 4. Additionally, he announced an extra 10% tariff on Chinese goods. This policy has fueled uncertainty in the market, pushing investors toward the USD as a safe-haven asset, which has negatively impacted gold.
Gold weekly chart should be read the caption Gold continues to correct lower amid the selloff in the US stock market as it tightens financial conditions when it’s this aggressive.
The problem here is that we got weaker economic data with increasing inflation expectations. The market might be fearing that in case we get a slowdown, the Fed might not be fast enough in cutting rates amid inflation remaining above target and uncomfortably high long-term inflation
Update gold today!Dear traders!
During the Asian session on Monday, gold is attracting some buyers, aiming for the $2,900 level. Geopolitical uncertainty surrounding the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to support the precious metal while putting pressure on the US dollar, further aiding gold’s short-term recovery.
However, from a technical perspective, gold remains below the EMA 34 and EMA 89, indicating that the bearish trend is still in control. The key resistance zone at $2,892 - $2,895 could be a crucial area where sellers re-enter the market. If gold fails to break above this level, we may see a renewed downward move, reinforcing the dominance of the bears.
Xauusd weekly charts gold big fall soon opportunity (XAUUSD) Alternative (Bullish) Analysis
1. Support Strength at 2820
The chart suggests that price may drop to 2820, but this area has shown strong support historically
Instead of further breakdown, a strong bounce from this level could lead to a bullish reversal.
2. Potential False Breakdown
The resistance at 2864 is marked as a selling zone, but if price breaks above it, it could trigger stop-losses for short positions, fueling a rally.
If price consolidates above 2864, it could invalidate the bearish projection.
3. Trend Line Reversal
The chart shows a downtrend, but if price breaks above the descending trend line, it would signal a trend reversal rather than continuation.
A bullish breakout above 2864 could target 2900+ levels.
4. Economic Events Impact
The economic events marked (likely U.S. data releases) could trigger volatility.
If these reports are weaker than expected, gold could rally as investors seek safe-haven assets.
Conclusion
While the original chart suggests a bearish move, there's a strong case for a bullish reversal if the support at 2820 holds and price breaches the 2864 resistance. Instead of shorting aggressively, traders should watch for confirmation signals before committing to a bearish or bullish bias
Gold Market Outlook: A Key Resistance AheadHello passionate traders, what are your thoughts on gold prices?
At the start of the trading session, gold is rebounding to recover from last week's losses. The precious metal has gained over 60 pips and is approaching the key resistance level of $2,873. This zone is crucial as sellers are eyeing this level for potential short positions.
This week, all eyes will be on February’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, set to be released on Friday morning. Other major events include the flash CPI estimate for the Eurozone and the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP Employment Report on Wednesday, the U.S. ISM Services PMI, and the weekly jobless claims data on Thursday.
Despite the sharp drop in gold prices, this is merely a normal retracement and nothing to be overly concerned about. From a technical standpoint, gold was overbought as investors attempted to push it toward the $3,000/oz mark. A bullish momentum is expected to return soon.
Wishing you all a fantastic trading day!
Best regards!
Gold Trade Setup: Breakout Above 2873 for Buy ### **📉📈 Gold (XAU/USD) Trade Analysis**
#### **📊 Current Market Situation:**
- **Gold Price:** **2867**
- **Trend Bias:** **Uptrend (confirmed if 2873 breaks)**
- **EMA50 Direction:** **Bullish, indicating buying pressure**
---
### **✅ Bullish Scenario (Buy Setup)**
**🔹 Condition:** If **2873 resistance** is broken, the uptrend is confirmed.
**🔹 Trade Setup:**
- **Buy Entry:** Above **2873**
- **Take Profit (TP):** **2885**
- **Stop Loss (SL):** Below **2860**
**📌 Explanation:**
- **2873 is a resistance level**—if price **breaks above**, it confirms that buyers are strong.
- **EMA50 is aligned with the uptrend**, supporting a bullish move.
- **TP is set at 2885**, a reasonable target based on momentum.
---
### **❌ Bearish Scenario (Sell Setup)**
**🔹 Condition:** If **price drops below 2857**, selling pressure increases.
**🔹 Trade Setup:**
- **Sell Entry:** After breaking **2858**
- **Take Profit (TP):** **Lower targets based on price action**
- **Stop Loss (SL):** Above **2865**
**📌 Explanation:**
- **2857 is a support level**—if price **breaks below**, it signals that sellers are taking control.
- A **break below 2858** confirms a bearish move.
- **EMA50 trend must shift** to confirm further downside movement.
---
### **📌 Risk Management & Trade Execution**
- **Follow the breakout confirmation** (don’t enter too early).
- **Adjust SL & TP based on volatility** (gold is highly volatile).
- **Use proper lot sizing** to manage risk effectively.
📊 **Monitor these key levels and let the price dictate the trade!** 🚀🔥
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 03 - March 07]OANDA:XAUUSD this week were under pressure to take profits. After opening this week at 2,934 USD/oz, gold prices rose to 2,956 USD/oz, but then continuously dropped to 2,832 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,858 USD/oz. Thus, gold prices this week dropped sharply after 8 consecutive weeks of increases.
The reason why gold prices dropped sharply this week is because the USD continued to increase strongly compared to many other major currencies. Market sentiment changed slightly after the US announced the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE) for January 2025. Accordingly, PCE increased by 2.5% over the same period last year, thus down from 2.6% in December 2024 and in line with market expectations. Meanwhile, core PCE, excluding fluctuating food and energy prices, also increased 2.6% year-on-year, but down from 2.9% in December 2024 and in line with forecasts.
Notably, in the recent meeting, US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky had many disagreements and could not reach any agreement to contribute to an early end to the war between Russia and Ukraine. This is a factor that may increase gold's role as a haven, but it is unlikely to push gold prices up sharply next week, perhaps just a slight recovery before adjusting again.
There will be a lot of data released next week, but the US February non-farm payrolls (NFP) report will be of particular interest to investors. According to forecasts, NFP is expected to reach 156,000 jobs, compared to 143,000 jobs in January. If NFP reaches the forecast level, it will not affect the Fed's interest rate policy direction, unless NFP increases far beyond the threshold of 200,000 jobs. Therefore, NFP news is likely to have little impact on gold prices next week.
In addition, investors will also pay attention to the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision, which could have an impact on gold prices next week. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates again next week, which could partially support the USD, thereby negatively impacting gold prices next week.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
Next week, the market will focus on jobs data, with the US February non-farm payrolls report released on Friday morning.
Other key economic events include the Eurozone FMCG and US ISM manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP jobs report and US ISM services PMI on Wednesday, and weekly unemployment data on Thursday.
The other big event of the week is the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision on Thursday, with many experts expecting the ECB to make another interest rate cut.
📌Technically, gold prices next week may continue to adjust, with the level of 2,790 USD/oz being an important support level. If next week's gold price stays above this level, it will increase slightly to 2,900 USD/oz. On the contrary, if gold prices fall below 2,790 USD/oz next week, there is a risk of a deeper correction.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,814 – 2,835USD
Resistance: 2,900 – 2,868USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2955
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2739 - 2741⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2735
Gold Declines as USD StrengthensGold ended today’s trading session fluctuating around $2,858, retreating further from its record high and marking a decline of over 200 pips by the session’s close. The drop came as the US dollar remained near its two-week high, following the latest inflation data aligning with expectations. This reinforced the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on rate cuts, limiting gold’s upside momentum.
Losses in the stock market exacerbated the downward pressure on gold, extending the sell-off that began after the metal hit a fresh all-time high earlier in the week.
On Friday, US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data showed a 0.3% increase in January, in line with expectations, following an unchanged 0.3% rise in December. Despite the release, the report did not significantly impact Fed rate expectations, meaning it failed to provide a catalyst for a gold rebound.
ETHUSD Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for ETHUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 2,224.8.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 2,506.1 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUD/USD: Bearish Continuation in PlayThe AUD/USD pair has confirmed a bearish breakout, breaking below its ascending trendline and shifting momentum downward. Previously, the pair moved within an uptrend channel, encountering multiple sideways consolidations before reaching a peak at 0.64035. However, once the price rejected the resistance zone and broke the trendline, selling pressure took over.
Currently, AUD/USD is trading around 0.62149, with a possible short-term retracement toward the 0.6274 - 0.6299 Fibonacci retracement zone before continuing its decline. If sellers defend this resistance, the next major target lies at 0.61156, aligning with the previous low and key support area.