USOIL Will Fall! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 60.503.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 55.493 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Forex
EURUSD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.130.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.121.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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AUDUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.642.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.638 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USDCHF Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.842.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.830 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USDCAD RETEST OR FRESH DOWNTREND? PRICE AT A CRUCIAL CROSSROAD!USDCAD 22/05 – KEY RETEST OR FRESH DOWNTREND? PRICE AT A CRUCIAL CROSSROAD!
🌐 MACRO BACKDROP:
Canada’s CPI and Retail Sales have come in weaker than expected, signaling sluggish consumer demand and reducing the probability of near-term rate hikes by the Bank of Canada.
Meanwhile, the USD is stabilizing, supported by steady U.S. Treasury yields after the Fed reaffirmed its “higher for longer” stance.
Oil prices, a major driver of the Canadian Dollar, have shown no significant breakout, further weakening CAD’s bullish momentum.
🔍 TECHNICAL OVERVIEW (H1–H4 Chart):
After hitting a key swing low at 1.3820, USDCAD is now retracing towards the 0.5 Fibonacci zone (1.3889 – 1.3913), which also aligns with:
The 200 EMA resistance (red line)
Previous structure rejection zone
➡️ This area is critical – it could act as a trap zone before price resumes downward or breaks to confirm a short-term bullish reversal.
📈 TRADE SETUPS:
🔻 SELL SETUP (HIGH PROBABILITY IF PRICE FAILS AT RESISTANCE):
Entry: 1.3900 – 1.3913
Stop Loss: 1.3930
Take Profit Targets: 1.3884 → 1.3859 → 1.3847 → 1.3820
🔹 BUY SETUP (IF PRICE HOLDS ABOVE THE BASE ZONE):
Entry: 1.3820 – 1.3823
Stop Loss: 1.3805
Take Profit Targets: 1.3847 → 1.3880 → 1.3913
⚠️ STRATEGY NOTES:
Be cautious during the New York session, as potential comments from Fed officials or crude oil updates could spike volatility.
This is a textbook case of “reaction vs. continuation” at a Fibo cluster – stick to confirmed candlestick signals to avoid false breakouts.
📌 FINAL THOUGHTS:
USDCAD is in a corrective rally after an extended decline. The 1.3913 zone is a key decision point. Sellers should watch for signs of exhaustion, while buyers can target short-term retracements if support holds at 1.3820.
EUR/CAD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
EUR/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.567
Target Level: 1.549
Stop Loss: 1.579
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD Pullback in Play – Next Stop: $1.1337EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($1.1310-$1.1162) while the upper line of the descending channel has been broken.
According to Elliott Wave theory , a breakout of the descending channel can at least confirm the end of a corrective wave . The corrective wave structure was a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect EURUSD to rise to at least $1.1337 after completing a pullback to the upper line of the descending channel .
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.11590, we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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USD/CAD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 1.400 level area with our long trade on USD/CAD which is based on the fact that the pair is oversold on the BB band scale and is also approaching a support line below thus going us a good entry option.
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GOLD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,458.82
Target Level: 3,187.96
Stop Loss: 3,639.42
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Popular Trading Styles in ForexHere are some common trading styles used in the Forex market:
Trend Following: Traders identify and follow the main market trend, buying in an uptrend and selling in a downtrend.
Reversal Trading: Traders look for points where the trend may reverse and enter positions against the current trend.
Range Trading: Traders buy near support and sell near resistance when the price moves within a defined range.
News Trading: Traders capitalize on strong market movements following major economic news releases.
Scalping: Traders open and close trades very quickly, aiming to profit from small price movements.
Swing Trading: Traders hold positions from several days to weeks, taking advantage of short-term price swings within a larger trend.
Technical Analysis Trading: Decisions are based on indicators, price patterns, and volume analysis.
Fundamental Analysis Trading: Traders analyze economic and political factors affecting currency values to make trading decisions.
If you have any questions or need further explanation on any style, feel free to ask.
Good luck and happy trading!
Market fall down 1. Weak Bearish Confirmation
Issue: The red arrow implies a confirmed downtrend, but the price action doesn’t show a strong breakdown—just a slight dip through a thin support zone.
Disruption: Without strong bearish candles or volume spikes, the breakdown could be a false move or liquidity grab before a reversal.
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2. Overconfidence in Double Bottom Reversal
Issue: The blue “W” pattern and green arrow suggest a possible double bottom, but no clear second bottom has formed yet.
Disruption: Assuming a reversal prematurely is risky. The price may continue dropping, invalidating the bullish reversal scenario.
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3. Target Placement Is Vague
Issue: The "Target" is placed arbitrarily along a horizontal line without referencing key resistance levels or technical confluences.
Disruption: Without support from Fibonacci, previous highs, or indicators, the target lacks reliability and could mislead trade planning.
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4. Lack of Volume Context
Issue: The volume histogram shows a spike during a previous down move, but no current volume analysis is integrated into the decision.
Disruption: Price action alone, especially on lower timeframes, is insufficient without volume confirmation to validate breakouts or breakdowns.
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5. No Risk Management Displayed
Issue: The analysis includes bullish and bearish paths but omits stop-loss levels or invalidation zones.
Disruption: Without clear invalidation, the trade becomes ambiguous and exposes the trader to unnecessary risk if price deviates unexpectedly.
STRUCTURE SHIFT OR FALSE BREAKOUT? MAJOR MOVE LOADING? EURUSD 22/05 – STRUCTURE SHIFT OR FALSE BREAKOUT? MAJOR MOVE LOADING?
🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK
The market remains caught between dovish expectations and hawkish reality. While recent US CPI and PPI came in weaker than expected, Fed officials have refrained from confirming any imminent rate cuts, keeping the dollar resilient in the medium term.
Meanwhile, the ECB’s cautious stance and ongoing inflation risks across the eurozone continue to cap euro strength. The divergence in tone between the Fed and the ECB adds to the short-term volatility and uncertainty around EURUSD’s direction.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 + H4 Timeframe)
EURUSD has faked a breakout above the 1.1310–1.1320 resistance zone and is now pulling back to the key structure support around 1.1279 — a critical short-term level.
📌 Key Observations:
Bearish engulfing candle formed on H1 after price rejected the upper zone → potential reversal signal.
EMA 13 is crossing below EMA 34 → suggesting short-term downside pressure.
A confirmed H1 close below 1.1279 opens room for deeper retracement towards 1.1234 (previous demand/FVG area).
If momentum builds, we could see a broader correction toward 1.1148 in the coming days.
⚙️ TRADE STRATEGY FOR TODAY
🔻 PRIMARY SCENARIO – SELL THE RALLY
Entry Zone: 1.1315 – 1.1318 (near FVG + fake breakout zone)
Stop Loss: 1.1360
Take Profit Targets:
→ TP1: 1.1279
→ TP2: 1.1234
→ TP3: 1.1148
🔹 ALTERNATE SCENARIO – BUY SCALP ON STRONG REACTION
Buy Entry: 1.1234 – 1.1230 (only with bullish M15 confirmation)
Stop Loss: 1.1210
Take Profit: 1.1279 → 1.1300
🧠 STRATEGIC INSIGHT
A D1 candle close below 1.1234 will confirm a structure break and likely initiate a deeper downward trend.
On the flip side, if 1.1234 holds and US jobless claims disappoint later today, EURUSD may recover back to test 1.131x.
Market sentiment is highly reactive — stay flexible and prioritize price action confirmation.
📌 FINAL THOUGHTS:
EURUSD is at a pivotal point — either confirming a new downtrend or bouncing back within the current range. This is a trader’s market: clear key levels, disciplined risk management, and adaptive execution are essential.
📈 Follow for real-time chart updates, FVG mapping, and more daily trading setups.
Stay smart, stay sharp. Risk management first.
Artavion Analysts Forecast Bitcoin to Reach $100,000 by End of MThe analytical company Artavion has released an updated forecast for the price of Bitcoin (BTC) by the end of May 2025. According to the experts, amid sustained institutional demand and limited supply following the recent halving, the price of the leading cryptocurrency could reach $100,000 in the coming days.
Key Growth Drivers
Analysts highlight several factors contributing to Bitcoin's price growth:
📈 Institutional Demand: Ongoing accumulation by investment funds and banks through spot ETFs approved in the U.S. and Asia.
⛏ Reduced Supply: The April halving has decreased miner rewards, limiting daily BTC issuance.
🇺🇸 Fed Policy Easing: Expectations of interest rate cuts are increasing demand for alternative assets, including crypto.
💼 Market Confidence: Growth in long-term holders and increasing BTC withdrawals from exchanges indicate a “HODLing” trend among investors.
Company Comment
"We are witnessing stable accumulation and a capital shift into digital assets. If markets avoid major shocks, Bitcoin has every chance to consolidate above $95,000 and briefly test the psychological barrier of $100,000," said Alexey Gurov, senior strategist at Artavion.
Potential Risks
Despite the optimistic outlook, analysts point out several risks that could impact the forecast:
📉 Unexpected macroeconomic data (e.g., rising inflation, stronger U.S. dollar);
⚠️ Regulatory actions from the SEC or other global bodies;
🌍 Escalation of geopolitical tensions, which could trigger risk-off sentiment.
Conclusion
Considering the current market environment and macroeconomic expectations, Artavion maintains a positive short-term outlook for Bitcoin through the end of May, while cautioning investors to remain aware of the sector’s inherent volatility and risk.
Market next move
1. Overreliance on Basic Support/Resistance
Issue: The analysis uses a simple support/resistance concept without clear validation (e.g., no multiple touches or volume confirmation).
Disruption: Support could easily break if there's insufficient volume or strong bearish sentiment, invalidating the buy signal.
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2. Lack of Confirmation Indicators
Issue: There's no use of confirmation tools like RSI, MACD, or moving averages.
Disruption: Entering a "Buy" based purely on support without a reversal signal (like bullish divergence or candle patterns) increases risk.
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3. Premature Target Setting
Issue: The target is drawn quickly after a minor dip, with no fib levels, pivot points, or historical resistance considered.
Disruption: The price might face resistance before reaching the “Target,” especially around previous highs or psychological levels.
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4. Ignoring Downside Risk
Issue: The scenario assumes price will bounce back but doesn’t show a stop-loss or contingency for a breakdown.
Disruption: If price breaks the "Support" zone, it could trigger a stronger bearish move—this risk is not accounted for.
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5. Misleading Arrows
Issue: Arrows (red, yellow, blue) seem speculative and oversimplified.
Disruption: They imply a clear path, which can mislead traders into thinking price action follows linear logic—real markets are more chaotic.
xauusd stron down next movePrice is in a resistance/selling zone near 3,310–3,340.
Expected to reject and drop to the target/support near 3,260.
Strong bearish bias based on resistance zone.
Disruptive Bullish Scenario:
Breakout Confirmation:
If the price breaks and closes above 3,340, this invalidates the resistance zone.
This would trigger stop-losses from sellers and initiate buy momentum.
Volume Spike & Momentum:
EURNZD: Pullback From Resistance Confirmed?! 🇪🇺🇳🇿
Odds are high that EURNZD will retrace from the underlined blue resistance.
The pair looks bearish from the intraday perspective after a release
of German fundamentals this morning.
I think that the price may drop to 1.9027 level.
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Gold Analysis – Can Buyers Push the Price Up to $3,350?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting a potential continuation to the upside.
Price has recently broken through a key resistance zone and has now returned to retest it. If this level holds as support, it will reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,350 target, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel.
As long as price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. However, failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a deeper pullback.
Remember, always confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
FVG LIQUIDITY & POLITICAL SHOCKS: WILL THE SELLERS STRIKE BACK?GOLD PLAN 22/05 – FVG LIQUIDITY & POLITICAL SHOCKS: WILL THE SELLERS STRIKE BACK?
🌍 Fundamental & Geopolitical Overview:
🔺 Breaking Political News:
On the night of May 21, two Israeli embassy officials were fatally shot near the Jewish Museum in Washington in what’s being labeled an anti-Semitic terrorist act.
→ Former President Trump condemned the attack, calling it “disgusting” and demanding an end to extremism.
→ Events like these typically boost gold as a safe haven, but this time the market appears hesitant.
🔺 Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve remains hawkish, signaling “higher-for-longer” interest rates.
→ This continues to support USD strength, putting downward pressure on gold.
🔍 Technical Outlook (H1):
Gold (XAUUSD) recently topped around 3397, followed by a strong bearish rejection candle at that level.
Two Fair Value Gaps (FVG) are now defining market sentiment:
Upper FVG: 3330 – 3356 (partially filled)
Lower FVG: 3277 – 3247 → highly likely to be targeted if breakdown occurs.
EMA 13 & EMA 34 are flattening out, indicating consolidation within a breakout range.
🧭 Trade Strategy for Today:
🔻 PRIMARY SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3395 – 3397
Stop Loss: 3401
Take Profit: 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370
🔻 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3358 – 3360
Stop Loss: 3364
Take Profit: 3354 → 3350 → 3346 → 3342 → 3338 → 3330
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3296 – 3294
Stop Loss: 3290
Take Profit: 3300 → 3304 → 3308 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330 → ???
🔵 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3316 – 3314
Stop Loss: 3310
Take Profit: 3320 → 3324 → 3328 → 3332 → 3340 → 3350
⚠️ Key Things to Watch:
FBI and White House responses to the DC shooting could ignite renewed risk-off sentiment, pushing gold higher suddenly.
A break above 3400 invalidates today’s setup – expect renewed bullish pressure if that happens.
📌 Pro Tip: Don’t chase the market. Let price come to your zones. Respect SL/TP and manage risk – especially on volatile days like today.
📣 Follow this account for live updates, scalping levels, and macro-triggered trading zones in real time!
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): LONG to resistance area of 110,000.Colleagues, I believe that the upward movement is not over yet, so I move wave “3” higher as prolonged.
I believe that the price will reach a strong resistance level of 110,000.
A small correction is possible, as usual.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
USDJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISUSDJPY is trading around the 143.00 level, and we’re now closely eyeing a potential breakdown. After a prolonged uptrend driven by policy divergence between the Fed and the BoJ, the pair appears to be losing bullish momentum. Structurally, the pair has formed a lower high, and sellers are starting to step in near resistance. A clean break below the 142.00–141.50 zone could open the path toward my downside target at 135.00.
On the fundamental side, recent data suggests a shift in sentiment. The US dollar is under pressure as markets increasingly price in a Fed pause or even rate cuts by the end of the year, following soft retail sales and labor market figures. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen is gaining ground amid rising speculation that the Bank of Japan could adjust its ultra-loose policy sooner than expected. The BoJ’s recent bond purchase tapering and Governor Ueda's hints at tightening are starting to shift market flows back toward the yen.
Technically, USDJPY is at a critical juncture. The pair is testing a key trendline support that has held for months, but price action is showing signs of exhaustion. Volume is thinning on the rallies, and bearish divergence is visible on multiple indicators, including RSI and MACD. If the pair breaks below the current structure, we could see accelerated downside action toward the 135.00 target, which aligns with previous consolidation zones and fib retracement levels.
This setup offers a strong short opportunity with clear invalidation and solid risk-to-reward potential. The macro narrative is shifting in favor of the yen, and technicals are lining up with this view. I’ll be watching the coming sessions for confirmation of breakdown and potential entries. This could be the start of a broader correction after a strong bullish cycle.
BTCUSD UPDATE - 22- 05- 2025This chart illustrates a potential rising wedge pattern in the Bitcoin/USDT (BTC/USDT) 45-minute timeframe on Binance. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
Chart Analysis:
Rising Wedge Pattern (Bearish):
The price is moving within converging trend lines (marked in blue), forming a rising wedge — typically a bearish reversal pattern.
The projected breakdown (blue arrow) suggests a move downward out of the wedge.
Support Zone (Yellow Box):
A strong historical support zone is highlighted, around the $103,000–$104,500 range.
This is the likely target if the price breaks down from the wedge.
Bearish Target:
If the breakdown occurs, the price may fall to the yellow support zone.
Volume spikes on recent candles suggest increasing interest or volatility.
Stop Loss Zone (Red Area):
The red shaded area at the top of the wedge likely represents a stop-loss for a short trade setup.
Current Price: Around $110,708.20 at the time of the snapshot.
Summary:
The chart implies a potential short opportunity based on the rising wedge breakdown, targeting the yellow support zone. Confirmation would be needed from a strong bearish candle closing below the lower wedge boundary with increased volume.
Would you like help identifying entry/exit points or risk management strategies for this trade setup?