GBPCHF: Bullish Move From Trend Line 🇬🇧🇨🇭
I think that there is a high probability that GBPCHF
will pull back from a rising trend line on a daily.
As a confirmation, I spotted a bullish engulfing candle
after its test on an hourly time frame.
Goal - 1.1085
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Forex
BITCOIN BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 106,664.53
Target Level: 100,986.05
Stop Loss: 110,439.78
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Market next move
Bearish Disruption to GBP/USD Analysis:
1. Support Weakness:
The price action within the red box shows multiple bearish candles, suggesting the zone is under pressure.
A break and close below this box could invalidate the bullish thesis.
2. Exhaustion Signals:
After a sharp rally, the market often consolidates or corrects. The current stall near 1.3400–1.3420 could indicate buying exhaustion.
The latest candle shows a strong bearish push into the support, hinting at potential for deeper decline.
3. Decreasing Volume:
Recent green candles had falling volume, which shows lack of conviction by buyers.
Meanwhile, red (bearish) candles show rising volume, signaling increased selling pressure.
4. Failed Breakout Setup:
If this bounce fails and price closes below 1.3380, this will form a false breakout or bull trap, triggering stop hunts and aggressive shorting.
5. Macroeconomic Headwinds:
GBP is sensitive to UK data and BoE policy. Any hawkish Fed or weak UK numbers may lead to a USD rebound, pushing GBP/USD lower.
EUR/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/USD is making a bullish rebound on the 12H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.105 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/USD – Fair Value Gap Filled, Market Eyes Higher HighsThe EUR/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe is showing a well-formed Elliott Wave pattern. We've seen a clear 5-wave move to the upside, followed by a corrective ABC pattern. This correction seems to have completed, with wave C ending right at a strong support area.
It's the lower trendline of the rising channel formed during the 5-wave impulse.
It's also where a Fair Value Gap (FVG) has just been filled — an area where price previously moved too quickly and is now finding balance.
T1: 1.12355
T2: 1.13072
SL: 1.10468
Market next move
Bearish Disruption to the EUR/USD Analysis:
1. Strong Resistance Zone (Red Box):
Price is struggling to hold above the resistance area. Several candles have long upper wicks, signaling rejection and selling pressure.
This may form a double-top or even a bull trap.
2. Volume Anomaly:
The upward price move shows decreasing volume, which is a classic signal of weak momentum. Without increasing volume, breakouts often fail.
3. Overextended Rally:
The pair has already made a sharp move up from below 1.1300 to near 1.1340. This type of parabolic move can lead to a snapback correction.
If bulls cannot decisively break resistance soon, profit-taking may trigger a short-term retracement.
4. Bearish Divergence Potential:
If RSI or MACD indicators are available, watch for bearish divergence (price makes higher highs while indicators make lower highs). This would reinforce downside risk.
5. Fundamental Pressure:
If any upcoming U.S. economic data (like PMI, FOMC minutes, etc.) is strong, it could boost USD and push EUR/USD down from this resistance.
Market next move Bearish Counter-Analysis:
1. Resistance Zone Saturation:
The red box shows repeated tests of the resistance area around $33.14–$33.20. This can suggest exhaustion instead of momentum.
Multiple failed attempts to break this zone can result in bearish rejection.
2. Volume Divergence:
The volume appears to be declining even as price approaches resistance. This divergence can imply a lack of buyer strength, which is a red flag for a bullish continuation.
3. Possible Bull Trap:
A sharp move above resistance followed by a quick drop back inside (false breakout) could trap long traders.
This may be followed by a sharp sell-off toward the previous support level (~$32.60–$32.80).
4. Candlestick Patterns:
Watch closely for bearish candlestick patterns like doji, shooting star, or bearish engulfing in the red box. Their appearance would strengthen a bearish reversal case.
5. MACD/RSI (if available):
If the RSI is overbought or MACD shows a bearish crossover, it would reinforce the possibility of a downward retracement.
NG1! BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
NG1! SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3.790
Target Level: 3.302
Stop Loss: 4.116
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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4-hour time frame update4-hour time frame update
The first two legs of the market have been correcting/rising as expected. So far, the resistance range is 90 to 25, a large range on the daily and weekly time frame, which, with the strong 4-hour market candlesticks, shows that the correction of the third leg may not proceed as analyzed and will only be a pullback of the upward wave. I am keeping the orders and added a new support area to the chart. In addition, the trend line has been broken... and the fourth leg and the view are still the same, and after the correction, the upward movement will be towards the channel ceiling, and if it is stabilized, the movement will be towards the liquidity of the last ceiling.
GOLD BUY NOW STRONG BULLISH NEXT MOVE1. Double Top Resistance
The chart identifies a "double top" near the current level. This is typically a strong bearish reversal pattern.
If price fails to convincingly break above this level (around 3,310–3,320), it may indicate a loss of bullish momentum.
2. Overextended Move
Recent candles show a steep rally (notably the 3.03 move), which may be overbought on lower timeframes (e.g., RSI likely >70).
Parabolic moves are often followed by sharp corrections.
3. Support Cluster Vulnerability
The red shaded support zones could act as liquidity traps. If price dips into those zones and fails to bounce, it may trigger sell-offs.
Especially the zone just below the current price — if broken — could accelerate downside toward the "Strong Support Area" around 3,270.
4. False Breakout Risk
AUDJPY at Key Resistance Level: Will it Drop To 92.850?OANDA:AUDJPY is approaching a key resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 92.850 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
BTC Long View by Mythic TraderBTC Long View by Mythic Trader. Let's take BTC again close to its ATH. Don't try to decode my trades because you can't. Sorry to say this but its Reality. People are still stucked in SMC and ICT. They don't even klnow that there are some more thing thats exists in the Market. And yes, now dont think that its EWT:)
USD/JPY Dips FurtherUSD/JPY Dips Further
USD/JPY declined below 144.50 and is currently consolidating losses.
Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today
- USD/JPY is trading in a bearish zone below the 146.10 and 144.90 levels.
- There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 144.25 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a steady decline from well above the 146.00 zone. The US Dollar gained bearish momentum below the 145.00 support against the Japanese Yen.
The pair even settled below the 144.50 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a spike below 144.00 and the pair traded as low as 143.72. It is now consolidating losses with a bearish angle. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 146.10 swing high to the 143.42 low at 144.25.
There is also a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 144.25. The first major resistance is near the 144.90 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 146.10 swing high to the 143.42 low.
If there is a close above the 144.90 level and the hourly RSI moves above 50, the pair could rise toward 145.50. The next major resistance is near 146.10, above which the pair could test 147.50 in the coming days.
On the downside, the first major support is near 143.70. The next major support is near the 143.20 level. If there is a close below 143.20, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 142.00 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDJPY TRADE PLAN – MAY 21 BIG BREAKOUT AHEAD?USDJPY TRADE PLAN – MAY 21 | FED HAWKISH BUT YEN STAYS WEAK – BIG BREAKOUT AHEAD?
USDJPY is entering a critical technical zone as the market weighs the Fed’s persistent hawkish stance against Japan’s passive approach to the Yen’s depreciation. After a strong rally, we are seeing a potential exhaustion with key levels in play.
🌍 MACRO CONTEXT:
FED remains hawkish: Officials continue to support higher-for-longer interest rates to tame inflation → USD remains firm.
Bank of Japan silence: No signs of FX intervention or rate policy shift, causing ongoing weakness in JPY.
Risk sentiment neutral: Risk-off flows are muted; USDJPY remains trapped in a wide range – awaiting macro catalysts.
📊 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H2 CHART):
Price is now correcting within a falling channel.
Price broke below the MA200 and rising trendline, now retesting a key support zone at 143.77.
The current range 141.99 – 144.71 is critical – a breakout from either end may dictate the next medium-term direction.
🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY:
✅ SCENARIO A – SELL THE RALLY (PRIMARY BIAS):
If price rejects 144.71:
SELL ZONE: 144.70 – 144.71
SL: 145.10
TP: 143.77 → 143.30 → 142.50 → 141.99
→ Key resistance area – price may trigger strong seller interest.
✅ SCENARIO B – SELL ON BREAKDOWN:
If price breaks 143.77 and retests:
SELL ZONE: 143.60 – 143.70 (post-breakdown entry)
SL: 144.10
TP: 142.50 → 142.00 → 141.99
✅ SCENARIO C – SHORT-TERM BUY (LESS FAVORABLE):
If price reacts positively at 141.99 with bullish confirmation:
BUY ZONE: 141.90 – 141.99
SL: 141.50
TP: 142.50 → 143.00 → 143.77
→ Only take this setup if strong reversal signals appear.
🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:
Resistance: 144.71 – 145.00 – 148.44
Support: 143.77 – 143.30 – 141.99 – 141.20
📌 FINAL THOUGHTS:
USDJPY remains in a volatile consolidation zone, pressured by a hawkish Fed but lacking JPY strength. Watch for PMI data and Fed comments this week for directional cues. Until then, respect the current range and trade with discipline.
📣 Bias favors SELL from 144.71 unless buyers reclaim full control – trade the reaction, not the prediction!
NZD/USD TRADING PLAN – MAY 21 | RETEST OR CONTINUATION?NZD/USD TRADING PLAN – MAY 21 | RETEST OR CONTINUATION? 🔍
After several steady bullish sessions, NZD/USD is pulling back slightly from the 0.5961 resistance zone. The pair remains within a well-defined ascending channel on the H1 chart and is approaching a key support area around 0.5910 — a zone that could trigger a technical bounce and continuation of the current bullish trend.
🌍 MACRO CONTEXT:
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of weakness following disappointing CPI and PPI data. This opens up room for commodity currencies like NZD to recover further.
Meanwhile, New Zealand's domestic consumption data has exceeded expectations, and the RBNZ continues to maintain a stable policy outlook — a medium-term bullish sign for NZD.
Market sentiment is leaning cautiously against the USD, especially as the Fed holds its “no cut but no hike” stance — boosting interest in alternative currencies.
📊 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1):
NZD/USD is trading within an ascending price channel.
EMA 13 is above EMA 34 and EMA 200 — a positive short-term trend signal.
Two important zones to watch today are 0.5910 (key support) and 0.5961 (key resistance).
🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY:
✅ SCENARIO A – BUY THE RETEST:
If price tests the 0.5910 zone and shows strong reaction:
BUY ZONE: 0.5910 – 0.5915
SL: 0.5890
TP: 0.5960 → 0.5980 → 0.6000 → 0.6006
→ This zone aligns with ascending channel support + prior FVG → strong rebound probability.
✅ SCENARIO B – BREAKOUT & CONTINUATION:
If price breaks and holds above 0.5961:
BUY SCALP: 0.5965 – 0.5970
SL: 0.5950
TP: 0.5980 → 0.6000 → 0.6006
❌ SCENARIO C – BEARISH BREAKDOWN:
If price fails to hold above 0.5910 and closes H1 candle below it:
SELL SCALP: 0.5900 – 0.5895
SL: 0.5915
TP: 0.5870 → 0.5850 → 0.5820
📌 FINAL THOUGHTS:
NZD/USD is at a critical decision point — this could be a retest before continuation to 0.6000 or the beginning of a deeper drop.
Watch the 0.5910 level closely to determine market direction.
⚠️ Risk management is key — high volatility expected as U.S. PMI data is set for release during today’s NY session.
🧠 Be patient. Let price come to your zone. React, don’t predict.
GOLD 21/05 – FED'S HAWKISH STANCE VS. TECHNICAL LEVELSGOLD MARKET UPDATE 21/05 – FED'S HAWKISH STANCE VS. TECHNICAL LEVELS – BIG MOVE AHEAD?
Gold’s recent rally has paused as traders weigh the latest signals from the Federal Reserve. Despite geopolitical tensions and softer U.S. economic data, the Fed is sticking with a "higher-for-longer" interest rate policy, which has kept the U.S. dollar strong and put pressure on gold’s price action.
📉 However, the technical outlook suggests a different story.
⚙️ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Is It A Bearish Trap Or A Hidden Bullish Opportunity?
Looking at the 1H timeframe, XAU/USD is consolidating after reaching a major Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 3328–3356. This zone reveals significant volatility and potential liquidity grabs, with two key FVG zones forming above and below the current price levels.
There’s a potential bullish scenario if gold retraces to the 3250–3252 support zone, where strong trendline confluence and dynamic support are likely to drive demand.
On the flip side, any rejection from the 3354–3356 SELL ZONE could initiate a bearish trend, pushing gold lower to test key structural support levels.
💹 TRADING STRATEGY FOR TODAY:
🔵 BUY ZONE
Entry: 3252–3250
Stop Loss: 3246
Take Profit:
3256 – 3260 – 3264 – 3268 – 3272 – 3280 – 3300 – ???
🔵 BUY SCALP
Entry: 3277–3275
Stop Loss: 3272
Take Profit:
3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3300
🔻 SELL ZONE
Entry: 3354–3356
Stop Loss: 3360
Take Profit:
3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3334 – 3330 – 3320
🔻 SELL SCALP
Entry: 3328–3330
Stop Loss: 3334
Take Profit:
3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3310 – 3305 – 3300
🌍 MACRO INSIGHT
The Fed’s hawkish stance continues to weigh on gold, but geopolitical uncertainty and ongoing de-dollarization trends maintain gold’s appeal.
China, along with other central banks, is still actively accumulating gold, signaling that long-term bullish pressure remains intact.
Keep an eye on U.S. data this week, especially PMI and jobless claims, as these could act as short-term catalysts for gold.
📌 KEY NOTES
Volatility is increasing, so stay disciplined. Stick to your key levels and manage risk effectively. Patience and strategy will be key as the market moves in the coming days.
Stay alert and trade wisely!
Market next move Bearish Disruption Analysis:
1. Weak Breakout Confirmation:
Although price broke above the red consolidation zone, it quickly pulled back within the range, suggesting a false breakout or bull trap.
The current red candle closing back into the range hints at bullish exhaustion.
2. Volume Divergence:
Note the declining volume on the recent upward push compared to the initial breakout on the 20th.
Lower volume during a breakout typically signals lack of conviction, weakening the bullish case.
3. Resistance Cluster:
The price is stalling just above the 3306 level — possibly facing resistance from previous highs or round-number psychological resistance.
Bears may take control if price fails to hold above 3300.
4. Potential Bearish Scenario:
Price re-enters the consolidation range and breaks below it.
Target zones could be:
3,290 (local support from the range base)
3,270 (previous minor support)
Further down toward 3,250 if momentum builds.
USDCHFUSDCHF If the price can still stay above 0.81888, it is expected that the price will have a chance to rebound.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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GBP/USD Cable Heist:Join the Thief Trading Style to Raid Profit!GBP/USD Cable Heist Plan - Thief Trading Style 😎💸
Greetings, wealth chasers and market bandits! 👋💰
Welcome to the Thief Trading Style, blending sharp technicals with savvy fundamentals to raid the GBP/USD "Cable" Forex Market. 📊 Follow the strategy outlined in the chart, focusing on long entries targeting the high-stakes Red Zone. 🌋 Expect an overbought market, consolidation, or trend reversal where bears might set traps. 🐻 Nail the plan, grab your profits, and treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 🎯💵🎉
Entry 📈: The heist begins! 🚨 Wait for the MA breakout at 1.34700, then strike for bullish gains. 🐂 Set buy stop orders above the moving average or place buy limit orders within a 15/30-minute timeframe at the recent swing high/low. ⏰ Don’t miss the move—set a chart alert to catch the breakout! 🔔
Stop Loss 🛑: Listen up, crew! 🗣️ For buy stop orders, hold off on setting your stop loss until after the breakout. 🚀 Place it at the recent swing low on the 4H timeframe (1.33300) for swing/day trades. 📍 Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and number of orders. Play smart, or you’re dancing with danger! 🔥😈
Target 🎯: Aim for 1.37000 or bail early if the market shifts. 🏃♂️ Scalpers, stick to long-side trades. 👀 Got deep pockets? Jump in now. 💪 Otherwise, join the swing traders and execute the plan with a trailing stop loss to secure your loot. 🔒💰
Market Outlook: GBP/USD is riding a bullish wave, fueled by key fundamentals. 🐃 Dive into the COT Report, macro data, sentiment, intermarket analysis, and future trend targets via the linkss below for the full scoop. 🔗👉
Why This Trade?: The bullish setup on GBP/USD is backed by strong technical signals, with the MA breakout confirming upward momentum. 📈 Fundamentals, including favorable COT positioning and positive macro data, suggest sustained strength in the pound. 💪 Intermarket correlations and sentiment analysis further align with a bullish outlook, making this an ideal moment to strike the Cable for potential high rewards. 🌟 The Red Zone target at 1.37000 offers a prime risk-to-reward ratio for disciplined traders. 🤑
⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Management 📰:
News releases can shake up prices and volatility. 🌪️ To stay safe:
Skip new trades during news events. 🚫
Use trailing stops to lock in profits and protect open positions. 🔐
Boost the Heist! 🚀: Support our plan by hitting the Boost Button to supercharge our market raids. 💥 With the Thief Trading Style, we’re stacking profits daily. 📈 Join the crew, execute the plan, and let’s make money moves! 💪🤝😺
Stay sharp for the next heist plan. Until then, keep robbing the markets! 🤑🐱👤
AUDCAD: Bull Trap & Bullish Confirmation 🇦🇺🇨🇦
AUDCAD formed a liquidity grab after a test of significant intraday/daily support.
A cup & handle pattern and a violation of its neckline with a bullish imbalance
provide a strong bullish confirmation.
I expect an up move now, at least to 0.899
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3300.Dear colleagues, I still expect an upward movement, because I am sure that the five-wave movement is not over yet.
The price has updated the 3202 level, which means that wave “4” is a combined correction (WXY) and it is just completing its movement.
I expect the price to start an upward movement and reach at least the 3300 resistance area.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Gold : Sell or Wait for Pullback to buy?Price is approaching a strong Sell Zone (3320–3345), which aligns with Daily & Weekly Resistance.
🔻 Sell Idea:
Entry: 3325–3330
🟢 Buy Idea (if pullback):
Entry: 3245–3255
I will update SL and TP once trade is activated.
Watching for rejection in the Sell Zone or a retest of the Buy Zone before entering.
Share your opinion below. Trade safe! 💥
Market next move 1. Resistance Zone Already Tested
The price is currently testing a resistance zone (highlighted in red). Historically, prices have reversed from such levels unless there's a strong breakout catalyst. Without a clear breakout and volume confirmation above this zone, a reversal is plausible.
Bearish View:
If price fails to close decisively above 3,320–3,325, it may indicate a double top or false breakout setup, leading to a correction back toward 3,275 or lower.
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2. Volume Divergence
Look at the declining volume bars while price pushes upward. This is a bearish divergence, suggesting weakening momentum behind the rally.
Bearish Implication:
Without increasing volume, the current move may lack the strength to sustain higher levels, opening the door for a pullback.
---
3. Overbought Short-Term RSI (not shown)
Assuming an RSI or momentum oscillator is present (often used with this type of analysis), there’s a high likelihood it is nearing overbought levels based on recent price action.
Bearish Risk:
Overbought conditions often precede short-term pullbacks or consolidations.
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4. Potential Fake Breakout (Bull Trap)
The blue and yellow arrows suggest a breakout and continuation. However, a fakeout above resistance (bull trap) could lure buyers in before a reversal.
Disruption Scenario:
Price spikes above the resistance zone briefly, then sharply reverses and closes below the red box, leading to a fast drop as trapped longs exit.