AUD/CHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
AUD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.528
Target Level: 0.525
Stop Loss: 0.530
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
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Forex
NZD/CHF BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on NZD/CHF right now from the resistance line above with the target of 0.487 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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AUD/NZD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on AUD/NZD, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 1.074.
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BTC/USD.4H CHART PATTERN.> Buy at 106,800
Resistance at 105,700
But resistance should be above the current price, not below. If 105,700 is below 106,800, it would typically be support, not resistance.
Corrected Interpretation:
Here's how your setup likely looks:
Buy Entry: 106,800
Support (not resistance): 105,700
Target 1: 110,000
Target 2: 112,000
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Strategy Summary:
Level Type
105,700 Support (Stop-loss zone)
106,800 Entry
110,000 Target 1
112,000 Target 2
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Trade Notes:
If BTC holds above 105,700, your long position is technically supported.
A break below 105,700 might invalidate the bullish setup — consider a stop-loss below that.
Momentum toward 110K–112K is possible if the market breaks out of short-term consolidation or reacts positively to macro news.
Would you like a chart or confirmation based on technical indicators (RSI, trendlines, volume, etc.)?
EURUSD 16 June – Technical Rebound or Liquidity Trap? EURUSD 16 June – Technical Rebound or Liquidity Trap?
The EURUSD pair has shown sharp movements after testing key resistance near 1.1607. While the price action may appear bullish at first glance, deeper analysis suggests we might be facing either a continuation of the uptrend or a strategic liquidity hunt.
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Overview
The ECB remains hawkish with rates still high, but recent commentary hints at a more dovish tone possibly leading to rate cuts in late Q3 2025.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve maintains its cautious stance, holding off on rate cuts due to sticky core inflation.
This divergence in policy expectations creates a neutral to slightly USD-favorable bias, depending on upcoming economic data.
⏳ Bottom line: EURUSD remains in a choppy environment with compression–expansion cycles, and no confirmed macro-driven trend yet.
📉 Technical Outlook (H1 Chart)
Price Structure: The pair is moving within a short-term ascending channel, but current price is testing the upper boundary.
EMA Analysis (13/34/89/200): Still supports an uptrend, but flattening out — potential bearish crossover if price fails to hold.
Key Resistance:
1.1607: Major resistance and local top (double rejection zone).
Critical Support Zones:
1.15540: Minor structural support — a decisive level for intraday direction.
1.15261 & 1.14807: Unfilled FVG zones and liquidity pools that may get targeted if the price breaks lower.
🎯 Trade Setup Ideas
📘 Scenario A – BUY from 1.15540 support (bullish continuation)
Entry: 1.15540 (upon bullish candle confirmation or strong bounce)
Stop Loss: 1.15200
Take Profits: 1.15850 → 1.16070 → 1.16300+
✅ Ideal if European sentiment remains positive or if USD weakens across the board.
📕 Scenario B – SELL if price breaks and retests 1.15540
Entry: 1.15540 (after a breakdown + rejection retest)
Stop Loss: 1.15720
Take Profits: 1.15261 → 1.14807 → possibly 1.1450
✅ Best used if USD gains strength or EUR shows weakness after economic releases.
🧠 Market Psychology
The market is currently reactive to any shift in tone from ECB and Fed, causing price whipsaws near key zones.
Smart traders will avoid chasing breakouts and instead focus on reaction zones like 1.15540 for confirmation-based trades.
Watch for fakeouts, as institutional players may be hunting liquidity before choosing direction.
📌 Final Thoughts
EURUSD is in a sensitive zone, and 1.15540 is the intraday pivot. Holding above could trigger a push toward 1.1607 and higher. But failure to hold would likely attract sellers toward the 1.1480–1.1450 liquidity range.
🎯 Discipline is key. Avoid emotional entries. Let the market come to your level — and execute only with confirmation.
GBP/USD LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/USD pair is trading in a local uptrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going down. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 1.358 area.
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NZDJPY TECHNICALS AND FUNDAMENTALS DETAILED ANALYSISNZDJPY is currently trading around the 87.00 handle and has just bounced strongly from a well-respected support zone. The pair is now showing clear signs of recovery after a brief corrective dip, and price action on the 8H chart confirms a bullish reversal structure. The support held firmly, and we’ve already seen a solid rejection wick forming the foundation of this new impulsive leg up. With this momentum in play, I’m targeting the 90.00 zone in the coming sessions.
On the macro front, the New Zealand dollar is benefiting from a relatively hawkish RBNZ stance. Inflation pressures remain sticky in New Zealand, and the central bank has reiterated its cautious approach toward rate cuts. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen remains under persistent selling pressure due to the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose policy and intervention uncertainty. These diverging central bank outlooks are fueling continued upside in NZDJPY as carry trade flows remain in favor of the kiwi.
From a technical perspective, the market structure remains bullish. After retesting a previous higher low, price is climbing within a clean channel and has broken minor resistance levels convincingly. This aligns well with a swing continuation pattern toward the 90.00 mark. Momentum is supported by increasing bullish volume, and as long as we remain above 86.00, the bulls are firmly in control.
In my analysis, this is a textbook setup. We’re seeing higher lows, strong trend continuation, and a macro-backed directional bias. I’m long from 87.00 with a bullish outlook into 90.00. I’ll reassess price action as we approach major resistance levels, but until then, I remain confidently positioned with a clear technical and fundamental confluence.
NZD/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
NZD/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.605
Target Level: 0.602
Stop Loss: 0.606
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EurUsd Daily Profile and expectation for New YorkMy Monday Protocol normally is to sit on my hands and see how Monday prints and trade from Tuesday onwards. With FOMC coming Wednesday, I'm allowed to deviate from this because Monday can be trending to "get somewhere in a hurry", trap Traders and go the other way during FOMC.
When I now look at the Market I see that London kept Asia Lows in tact and expanded higher leaving Failure Swings. Now consolidating which is normally a continuation signature... But then it should first sweep the consolidation Low and make a Reversal Signature. When we sweep or run the Consolidation High first, then the Long idea is not valid anymore.
Im watching the FVG below and see how we trade there and then decide if a Long is in play... I don't want to lose the Equilibruim Level of London Session otherwise the Failure Swings below the Market are the target.
Bottom Line, no hard Bias because its Monday. Favoring the Bullish side with FOMC on the Agenda this week, but not in a hurry to trade.
Hope you appreciate my content 👍
Happy Hunting, Stay Safe!
Warm Regards,
Mariinus
AUD/USD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly falling on the 15m timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 0.651 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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USD/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 144.203 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the USD/JPY pair.
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USD/CHF BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
USD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.821
Target Level: 0.815
Stop Loss: 0.826
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
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MARKET TECHNICAL BREAK DOWN FOR 16TH TO 20TH JUNE📊 Market Technical Breakdown – EURUSD, AUDUSD, XAUUSD & BTCUSDT 🔍
Traders,
Get ready for this week’s precision-driven analysis across four major markets:
✅ EURUSD – Is the euro gaining strength or facing more downside?
✅ AUDUSD – Key zones to watch as the Aussie reacts to USD data.
✅ XAUUSD (Gold) – Will gold hold strong or give in to bearish pressure?
✅ BTCUSDT – Bitcoin’s momentum shift: Are bulls still in control?
This breakdown covers:
🔹 Clean chart analysis
🔹 Key levels (support & resistance)
🔹 Trade ideas with potential entries & exits
🔹 My personal trading insight for each pair
🎯 Whether you're a beginner or a seasoned trader, this breakdown will help sharpen your bias and build confidence in your trades.
👉 Watch the video till the end to catch all setups, confirmations, and bonus tips for the week.
Drop a comment if you found it helpful or want to see a pair included in the next breakdown!
Toward $3,500? Gold Faces Key Policy DecisionsGold is currently trading around $3,438 and continues to show positive momentum. After a week focused on inflation data, the gold market is now shifting its attention to interest rate decisions and policy guidance from major central banks.
The week begins with the Empire State Manufacturing Index, a key indicator of economic activity in the New York region. Following that, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its monetary policy decision, and investors are closely watching to see whether the BoJ will continue normalizing its interest rates.
Next comes U.S. retail sales data for May — a crucial gauge of consumer spending, which remains the backbone of the U.S. economy. Any signs of weakness in consumer activity could increase expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.
However, the main focus remains the upcoming Fed meeting. While markets widely expect rates to be held steady, investors are awaiting clear signals from Chair Jerome Powell regarding the path and timing of potential rate cuts ahead.
According to Kitco’s weekly gold survey, professional analysts remain optimistic about gold’s outlook, while retail investors are showing more caution.
With central bank decisions approaching and geopolitical tensions lingering, investors need to stay alert. Risks such as rising social unrest in the U.S., escalating conflicts in the Middle East, and ongoing de-dollarization trends are all fueling demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Given expectations that the Fed will hold rates steady, gold maintains its defensive appeal. In my view, the precious metal may soon retest its highs near $3,500, as its role as a global safe haven becomes even more pronounced amid mounting uncertainty.
XAUUAD UPDATE 16- 6 +2025The chart you provided is a 45-minute time frame analysis for Gold CFDs (US$/OZ). Here's a breakdown of the key elements and what they suggest:
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Current Price
$3,414.93, down -18.42 (-0.54%)
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Analysis Summary
Price Action
The price has recently rejected from a resistance zone (around $3,445–$3,450).
It is currently pulling back, heading downward from this resistance.
Support Zones Highlighted
Multiple horizontal yellow zones mark previous support/resistance levels.
The key immediate support level lies near $3,400–$3,405.
A deeper support area is visible around $3,360–$3,365, and further below near $3,320.
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Forecast Indication (Based on Markings)
A short-term pullback (blue arrow up) may retest the breakdown level (~$3,430).
Then, a potential drop toward the next support at $3,360 is expected (blue arrow down).
A bearish continuation scenario is emphasized with a red downward arrow, suggesting price may head further down to the $3,320 area if $3,360 fails to hold.
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Implications for Traders
Bearish Bias: Suggested by the forecast arrows and recent resistance rejection.
Potential Setup:
Short on pullback near $3,430 (if price fails to reclaim this zone).
Target: $3,360 and possibly $3,320.
Stop-loss: Above $3,450 resistance.
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Would you like a trading plan or signal based on this analysis?
GBPCAD: Pullback After a Trap 🇬🇧🇨🇦
There is a high chance that GBPCAD will pull back
from the underlined support.
The price started to grow after a false violation of that and a confirmed bearish trap.
Goal - 1.8458
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USDCAD: Bearish Trend Continues 🇺🇸🇨🇦
Amid the geopolitical tensions and a bullish rally on Crude Oil,
USDCAD is going to drop more.
The closest support that I see is 1.3545.
It will be the next goal for the sellers.
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US100 - Trading within a bearish parallel channel!Introduction
The US100 is currently trading within a well-defined parallel channel to the downside, consistently finding support along the lower trendline and facing resistance near the upper boundary. This structure has led to a clear pattern of lower lows and lower highs on the 1H timeframe. Most recently, price action broke market structure, and we now anticipate a reaction near a high-confluence resistance area.
Parallel Channel
A distinct parallel channel has been developing on the US100 over the past several days on the 1H timeframe. During last night's move, the price touched the lower boundary of the channel and has been trending upward since. After breaking above the midline at $21,640, momentum suggests a potential continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel around $21,830.
FVG
During the most recent downward move, the US100 created a significant 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG), stretching from $21,775 to $21,840. This zone represents a key imbalance that could generate a strong reaction to the downside if price revisits it.
Conclusion
Given the break in structure on the 1H timeframe, short-term upward moves are likely to face resistance. The confluence between the upper boundary of the parallel channel and the 1H FVG creates a high-probability area for price rejection, making it a critical level to watch for potential downside pressure.
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S&P 500 Index.4H CHART PATTERN.the S&P 500 Index (4H timeframe), it appears you're using a combination of Ichimoku Cloud, trend channels, and support/resistance zones to project downside targets. Here's the breakdown of your marked targets:
📉 Bearish Targets:
1. Target 1: Around 5,500
2. Target 2: Around 5,200
3. Target 3: Around 4,950–4,900
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🔍 Technical Observations:
Price has broken below the upward trend channel.
It's entering the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling potential consolidation or bearish pressure.
The large blue downward arrow indicates a bearish expectation, possibly tied to macro/fundamental concerns or technical reversal patterns.
The grey resistance block near 5,960–6,000 suggests failed breakout/retest.
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📌 Summary:
If current bearish momentum continues:
✅ Immediate Target: 5,500 (first major support)
⚠ Medium Target: 5,200
🔻 Final Target Zone: 4,900–4,950 (strong previous support and fib zone)
Let me know if you want stop-loss ideas, confluence indicators, or entry strategy breakdowns!
XAU/USD,4h chart pattern.Im looking to buy Gold at 3432 with a target of 3500. Here's a quick analysis and trade plan for this idea:
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🟡 Gold Trade Setup
Buy Entry: 3432
Target (Take Profit): 3500
Potential Gain: 68 points
Suggested Stop Loss: Around 3400 (for a 1:2 risk/reward ratio)
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📊 Things to Consider:
1. Trend: Ensure the current market trend supports a bullish move. Look for higher lows and higher highs.
2. Support at 3432: Is this a strong support level? If it’s holding multiple times, it can be a good entry.
3. Resistance at 3500: This could be a psychological or historical resistance. Be ready for partial profit booking near it.
4. News & Events: Watch for U.S. economic data or Fed comments that could impact gold volatility.
5. Risk Management: Don’t risk more than 1-2% of your capital on this trade.
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Would you like a technical chart setup or analysis based on current market conditions to support this trade idea?
USD/JPY...1h chart pattern..Here's a quick summary of MY USD/JPY trade setup:
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Trade Idea: SELL USD/JPY @ 144.000
Entry Point: 144.000
Target 1 (TP1): 143.400 → +60 pips
Target 2 (TP2): 142.400 → +160 pips
Suggestions:
Stop Loss (SL): Consider setting a stop loss above recent resistance (e.g., 144.500 or 144.800) to manage risk.
Risk/Reward Ratio:
For TP1: 1:1 with SL @ 144.600
For TP2: ~2.6:1 with SL @ 144.600
Key Technical Zones:
Watch for support near 143.400 (TP1); possible bounce or consolidation.
142.400 is a deeper move — stronger confirmation needed (e.g., a break below 143.400 with volume).
Let me know if you’d like a chart analysis or updates on news that could impact this trade.
GOLD's room for growth is still wide, new all-time peakThe Israel-Iran conflict has increased the safe-haven role of gold, while pushing up oil prices, putting further pressure on inflation alongside the tariff pressure from the Trump administration.
Although the Israel-Iran conflict may continue to push gold prices higher this week, investors should be cautious and avoid chasing the development of this conflict. Because, gold price increases due to geopolitical events are usually short-lived.
In addition to the Israel-Iran conflict, markets will witness a speech by Fed Chairman Powell this week. With the Trump administration’s tariff policy still complicated and the Israel-Iran conflict escalating, the Fed Chairman may continue to signal that interest rates will remain unchanged at the July FOMC meeting. However, there is growing speculation that the Fed may begin laying the groundwork for a rate cut later this year.
In the short term, gold prices may be less affected by the Fed's monetary policy. Investors will pay more attention to the Trump administration's tariff policy, especially when the 90-day tariff suspension is about to end.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Technical analysis still shows an upward trend in gold prices in the medium and long term, although gold prices will inevitably have periods of adjustment and accumulation, especially when the Israel-Iran conflict subsides.
Accordingly, if the gold price surpasses 3,446 USD/oz, it may continue to increase to the 3,500 USD/oz area. Conversely, if the gold price trades below 3,446 USD/oz, it may adjust to around 3,344 - 3,373 USD/oz, or even lower.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,400 – 3,371 USD
Resistance: 3,435 – 3,500 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3485 - 3483⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3489
→Take Profit 1 3477
↨
→Take Profit 2 3471
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3417 - 3419⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3413
→Take Profit 1 3425
↨
→Take Profit 2 3431
Bearish continuation for the Loonie?The price has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.3725
1st Support: 1.3430
1st Resistance: 1.3837
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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