Forex
Overtrading Chaos: Classroom Insights & Quick FixesWatching my students get caught up in the whirlwind of overtrading was like watching a rollercoaster ride gone wrong - all that excitement turned into stress, quick decisions based on gut feelings rather than strategy, and seeing their accounts shrink before my eyes. Here's what I've noticed firsthand:
-Emotion Over Logic: They were making choices fueled by the fear of missing out or trying to get back at the market after a loss, not because it was the smart move. Spot on. Emotional trading is the quickest path to financial ruin. It's all about managing those emotions.
-Exhaustion: The constant screen time was draining them, both physically and mentally. This is why I always preach about the importance of having a life outside of trading. Burnout is real and it clouds judgment.
-Costly Habits: Those small fees and spreads started adding up, eating away at their profits with each impulsive trade. Always remember, every trade has a cost. Overtrading is like death by a thousand cuts.
But here’s the good news - I've got some immediate steps I take to turn things around:
1)Trade Log Love: I get them to write down every trade, focusing on the reasons behind their decisions. It’s amazing how this simple act helps them learn from their actions. A trade log isn't just about accountability; it's about education. Every trade is a lesson.
2)Take a Breather: I enforce a little break after each trade. It's like hitting the reset button for your brain, ensuring the next trade isn't just a reaction to the last. This is critical. It’s about breaking the cycle of reactive trading. Think of it as forced discipline.
3)Quality Time: I shift the focus to waiting for those golden opportunities, teaching them that sometimes the best trade is the one you don't make. Patience in trading is not just a virtue; it's a strategy. The markets reward those who wait for the right moment.
Come join me as I navigate through the overtrading storm, helping my students, and maybe you too, become more thoughtful, strategic traders! This is what I call practical wisdom. Overtrading is a symptom of not having a solid plan. I'd recommend this course of action to any trader looking to turn their habits around.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
XAUUSD NEXT MOVE IN 30M TFHello Guy's Welcome To Another Day Of TRADING
Here we are mapping chart of XAUUSD ( GOLD ) in 30-M TF
Support (Lower Trendline): Around 2888 – 2884
Resistance (Upper Trendline): Around 2925 – 2930
A breakout above or below these levels will determine the next strong move.
If price respects the lower trendline and moves up, buying opportunities could be considered with a target near resistance.
S&P 500 Eyes New ATH – Breakout or Pullback Next? S&P 500 (SPX) Technical Analysis – February 17, 2025
Market Overview
The S&P 500 is on the verge of breaking to a new All-Time High (ATH) as U.S. investors return from the long weekend. The index maintains strong bullish momentum, with traders eyeing fresh highs. However, historical seasonal trends suggest that a breakout could be followed by a deeper pullback, making it crucial to monitor key levels.
Technical Outlook
Bullish Scenario: As long as the price trades above 6123, the uptrend remains strong, targeting the next resistance levels at 6168 and 6225. A daily close above 6123 would reinforce the bullish momentum and increase the likelihood of further highs at 6279.
Bearish Scenario: If the index closes a 4-hour candle below 6098, bearish pressure may emerge, leading to potential declines toward 6031 and 6010.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Pivot Point: 6123
🔹 Resistance Levels: 6168, 6224, 6279
🔹 Support Levels: 6098, 6031, 6010
📈 Momentum remains bullish while above 6123, but a break below 6098 could trigger a pullback!
💬 Will S&P 500 break to new ATHs or face a pullback first? Drop your predictions below! 👇🔥
GOLD rises above 2,900 USD again, attention to Trump and PutinOANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery increased significantly due to factors such as a weaker US Dollar, geopolitical risks and uncertainty in US trade policy. As of the time this article was completed, spot gold increased to 2,909 USD/oz, an increase equivalent to 0.39% on the day.
The World Gold Council revealed central banks purchased more than 1,000 tons of gold for the third consecutive year in 2024. According to the World Gold Council, central banks' gold purchases increased 54% year-on-year to 333 tons after Trump won the election.
On Monday local time, at the suggestion of French President Macron, leaders of many European countries held an emergency meeting in the French capital Paris to discuss issues such as the situation in Ukraine and collective European security.
According to French press reports, the biggest disagreement at the meeting that day was whether to send troops to Ukraine under the peacekeeping framework or not. British Prime Minister Starmer said the UK is ready to send ground troops if necessary. Germany and Spain objected.
At the same time, Ukraine's peace negotiations also became the focus of market attention. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said on Monday that he would travel to the Saudi capital Riyadh and hold talks with US representatives on Tuesday.
US President Donald Trump said on Sunday that he will soon meet Russian President Vladimir Putin in Saudi Arabia.
If a peace agreement is reached between Russia and Ukraine, this may be the driving force for gold to be able to adjust significantly down in the near future. On the contrary, if the agreement "goes nowhere", gold will continue to increase in price because geopolitical risks once again increase.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
From the support level of 2,881 USD, note to readers in the previous issue that gold has surpassed the initial target level at the original price point of 2,900 USD and currently maintains price activity above this level.
With the current position, gold has conditions to continue to increase in price with the goal of reaching an all-time peak rather than renewing the previously achieved all-time peak.
The upward relative strength index shows that the bearish momentum is also weakening, giving way to overwhelming buying force.
In general, in terms of the overall technical picture, gold still tends to be completely bullish, and notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,900 – 2,881 – 2,857USD
Resistance: 2,942USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2921 - 2919⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2925
→Take Profit 1 2913
↨
→Take Profit 2 2907
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2849 - 2851⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2845
→Take Profit 1 2857
↨
→Take Profit 2 2863
Gold price analysis February 18⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Top US and Russian officials will meet to discuss ending the war in Ukraine, but there are concerns that a decision may be made without the participation of Ukraine and Europe.
Weak risk sentiment has boosted demand for the safe-haven US dollar, putting pressure on gold prices. At the same time, Fed officials were cautious about inflation and interest rate policy, strengthening the US dollar and US Treasury yields. The Fed governor said that inflation is progressing slowly, possibly delaying a rate cut until 2025.
In the coming time, the market will focus on speeches by Fed officials for clues on monetary policy, as well as monitor the developments in negotiations between the US and Russia, a factor that could have a big impact on risk sentiment and gold prices.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold prices approached the 2915 resistance zone before the US session, marking the importance of this price zone today. When the candle does not break through 2915 when Europe enters, SELL to 2906. In case of break 2915, wait for retest buy back around 15 TP around 2927. Pay attention to price reaction around 2920. BUY zones of gold around 2906-2900-2895. SELL zones of gold 2927-2949
USDCAD in a corrective channel to continue in the downward move?USDCAD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
A higher correction is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 1.4175 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 1.4125.
We look to Sell at 1.4235 (stop at 1.4285)
Our profit targets will be 1.4135 and 1.4125
Resistance: 1.4200 / 1.4235 / 1.4250
Support: 1.4150 / 1.4135 / 1.4125
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDCAD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDCAD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.9015
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.8992
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
THEUSDT 100%-130% Gains Potential Ahead!THEUSDT is currently experiencing a strong bounce from a key support level, signaling a potential bullish reversal. This support level has acted as a significant floor for the price, and the bounce suggests that buying pressure is starting to build. The price action indicates that investors are increasingly confident in this level holding, and with good volume behind the move, the chances of the price continuing to rise are high. Traders are targeting gains in the range of 100% to 130%+, as the price moves toward the next resistance levels. This bounce from support has captured the attention of both retail and institutional investors alike, contributing to a surge in interest around this crypto pair.
The good volume accompanying this bounce is a crucial indicator of the move’s strength. In technical analysis, volume plays a key role in confirming price moves, and with the increased trading activity, it’s clear that the market is reacting positively to the support level holding. If the price continues to hold above this support zone, it sets the stage for a potential rally, as the market shifts from a period of consolidation to a more bullish trend. The projected 100% to 130%+ gain is highly achievable if this momentum continues and resistance levels are successfully breached.
Investor interest in THEUSDT is growing, with many seeing the bounce from support as an indication of the start of a new upward trend. As the price breaks through resistance levels, it could trigger further buying activity, pushing the price higher. The solid technical setup, combined with increasing volume and a positive market sentiment, creates an attractive opportunity for traders looking for high-reward setups. The growing interest in this project adds fuel to the fire, increasing the likelihood that THEUSDT will continue to gain in value.
Traders should stay vigilant and monitor the price action closely, paying attention to key levels of support and resistance. If THEUSDT can maintain its position above the support level and push through resistance, it could lead to a substantial price increase, delivering the expected gains. With the current technical indicators and strong market interest, THEUSDT is shaping up to be one of the more promising crypto pairs to watch for significant returns.
GOLD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2912.4
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2897.6
Recommended Stop Loss - 2918.8
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDJPY Bearish Flag: Retest Complete, Targeting 82.60NZDJPY is currently trading at 86.60, with a target price of 82.60, indicating a potential downward movement of 300+ pips. The pair is forming a bearish flag pattern, which typically follows a strong downtrend and is followed by a period of consolidation. This pattern suggests that after the breakout and a successful retest of the lower trendline, the price could continue its decline toward the 82.60 target.
Technically, a bearish flag is often seen as a continuation pattern, signaling that the downtrend is likely to resume after the consolidation phase. The successful retest of the breakout point confirms the market’s readiness to move lower. In this case, if NZDJPY breaks below the support level, it could accelerate the move toward the 82.60 target.
Fundamentally, the New Zealand dollar has been under pressure due to a weaker global risk appetite and softer economic data. In contrast, the Japanese yen benefits from its status as a safe-haven currency, particularly during times of market uncertainty. These fundamental factors may continue to support a bearish move for NZDJPY, especially if global market sentiment remains cautious.
In summary, the bearish flag pattern on NZDJPY suggests further downside potential, with a target of 82.60. Traders should watch for confirmation of the bearish continuation after the retest of the breakout level, as well as monitor global risk sentiment and economic data from both New Zealand and Japan.
USDJPY: Growth & Bullish Continuation
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the USDJPY pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
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#NZDUSD 4HNZDUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming an expanding pattern, indicating increased market volatility and potential bearish movement. This pattern suggests that price swings are widening, with lower lows and higher highs, often leading to a strong directional move once a breakout occurs.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the expanding pattern signals possible downside movement, especially if price rejects a key resistance area.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A sell position can be considered near the upper boundary of the expanding pattern or after confirmation of bearish rejection.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the recent swing high to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target lower support zones based on previous price action.
Market Sentiment:
The expanding pattern reflects increasing price fluctuations, and if sellers gain control, a strong bearish move can follow. Confirmation through price action and volume analysis will help validate the trade setup.
EURAUD: Expecting Bullish Continuation! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURAUD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
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USDJPY - Retesting the lowThe USD/JPY currency pair has shown a significant downward trend since mid-January 2025, falling from peaks around 158.50 to current levels near 151.77. The price action has been characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, with notable resistance forming around the 156.00 level during late January and early February.
The technical analysis suggests further bearish momentum, with a red arrow indicating a potential continuation of the downward movement toward the 150.89 support level. This bearish outlook is reinforced by the pair's inability to maintain gains above 155.00 in recent trading sessions, and the current price structure shows limited signs of reversal potential in the near term.
#USDX 4HUSDX (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming a flag pattern, which is generally considered a continuation signal. This indicates that the market is in a consolidation phase after a strong move, and a breakout could lead to further bullish momentum.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise if the price breaks above the upper trendline of the flag pattern, confirming bullish strength.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a breakout above the flag pattern with strong volume.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the recent low to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next key resistance levels based on previous price action.
Market Sentiment:
The flag pattern suggests that the market is pausing before continuing its upward move. Waiting for a confirmed breakout will help align with the prevailing trend and avoid false signals.
EURNZD Bullish Flag Pattern: Awaiting Breakout Toward 1.8700EURNZD is currently trading at 1.8330, with a target price of 1.8700, suggesting an anticipated upward movement of 300+ pips. This pattern indicates that the pair is forming a bullish flag, a continuation pattern that often signals a breakout to the upside after a consolidation phase. In this scenario, traders are looking for a breakout above the flag's upper trendline, which would potentially push the price toward the 1.8700 target.
From a technical perspective, the bullish flag pattern is formed when the price consolidates after a strong uptrend. The consolidation phase represents a period of indecision in the market, but once the price breaks above the flag's resistance level, it typically resumes its upward momentum. In this case, the breakout would likely bring the pair closer to the 1.8700 level, where strong resistance could be expected.
On the fundamental side, the euro has been supported by the European Central Bank's monetary policy, which continues to focus on economic stability, while the New Zealand dollar faces pressure from softer commodity prices, particularly dairy exports. Additionally, global risk sentiment, such as inflation data or geopolitical events, could further influence the direction of EURNZD.
In summary, if EURNZD breaks above the resistance of the bullish flag, it could provide a strong buying opportunity toward the 1.8700 target. Keep an eye on the global economic landscape, particularly developments in Europe and New Zealand, to validate this bullish move.
#GBPJPY 4HGBPJPY (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently testing a key support level, indicating potential buying interest. If the support holds, buyers may step in to push the price higher, leading to a possible bullish move.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise if the price shows signs of rejection at the support level, confirming that buyers are defending this area.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered if the price holds above the support level and shows bullish confirmation.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the support level to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target higher resistance zones where price may face selling pressure.
Market Sentiment:
The support level is a key area where buying pressure may increase. Confirmation through bullish price action will provide more confidence in a potential upward move.
AUD/USD Trades Near Year’s High After RBA DecisionAUD/USD Trades Near Year’s High After RBA Decision
Today, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) eased monetary policy, cutting the interest rate from 4.35% to 4.10%, according to Forex Factory.
As reported by Reuters:
→ This marks the first easing since the 2020 pandemic;
→ RBA Governor Michele Bullock stated that market expectations for two more cuts this year are “ambitious”;
→ The bank’s leadership remains cautious about further easing prospects.
While analysts had accurately predicted the February rate cut, AUD/USD saw volatility without a significant move, possibly because market participants are more focused on Trump’s tariff plans, which could impact global trade and Forex markets.
Technical Analysis of AUD/USD Today
Since mid-December, the AUD/USD pair has mostly traded within the 0.6200–0.6300 range, except for early February’s sharp drop when Trump’s tariff policies shook currency markets.
However, demand appears resilient:
→ After plunging to around 0.6100, the price quickly rebounded into the range;
→ Arrows highlight rapid recoveries after short-term dips;
→ A blue ascending trend channel is forming on the chart.
These factors suggest growing appeal for the Australian dollar, with the 0.6300 level potentially acting as support going forward.
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USD/JPY Holding Above 151.79 – Breakout or Rejection Next?USD/JPY Technical Analysis – February 18, 2025
The price is stabilizing above the 151.79 support line, indicating a potential move toward the 153.27 resistance.
To confirm a bullish continuation, USD/JPY must break above the 153.97 trend resistance, which could push the price further toward 155.10.
However, if the price fails to hold above 151.79 and breaks below 151.04, it would signal a bearish trend toward 149.67 and 147.82.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Pivot Point: 151.79
🔹 Resistance Levels: 153.27, 153.97, 155.10
🔹 Support Levels: 151.04, 149.67, 147.82
📉 Directional Bias: USD/JPY is expected to test 153.27 - 153.97 before deciding whether to break out higher or reject downward toward 151.79.
💬 Will USD/JPY break resistance or face rejection? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥